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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Fair Grounds - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Sumitup Pace has a little other company near the top, but she looks like the controlling pace from this draw near the inside, and she seems likely enough to wire these if she doesn't take a ton of heat early on.
#5 Maw Maw's Sophia She's a fairly reliable type with some tactical ability, and she was competitive with this kind a few starts back. The last pair hasn't been quite as good, but she still seems like a good fit here.
#7 A. K. A. Grams She has been a bit better at Delta than on full size courses, but she has enough pace to track the splits here while trying to hang around for a piece underneath.
Race Summary Sumitup has inside pace in a race where the other main speed comes further outside, so a clean break could put her in the driver's seat right out of the box with these.
Fair Grounds - Race #6
Picks Notes
#2 Honorary Guest She flashed a little bit of forward ability when trying the turf for the first time, and that should lead her to another really nice trip with this group while up close throughout. Another step forward might do the trick.
#5 Shishito No doubt she has a claim on this if she's able to get back to anything like her first two tries, but it's never great to see a horse show up in maiden claiming company two weeks after a dreadful try like that last one. Yes, she can win this, but she's a play against on principle for me.
#1 Freeze the Day He's the 'other' Stidham while hailing from the likely chalk's barn, but this team has had some recent struggles, and maybe this one hangs around for a piece in a bad race.
Race Summary Not a deep race here at all, making Shishito potentially tough, but she enters this off a terrible try with better, so I am not too excited to take a short price to see if she can bounce back here. Honorary Guest could trip out and land this as something like the second choice.
Fair Grounds - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 Tempo Madness He showed a little bit of finishing ability in his early 2-year-old season in Kentucky, and perhaps he has matured a bit here into his sophomore year. Finisher comes alive late?
#2 Mahoney Road He has shown some positional pace through two starts, and he's bred to handle the move over to the grass for the first time. Think he might get the right trip, then it's just a question of whether he can find that final gear.
#8 Evan Sing Debuter goes for a very capable team in a race without a ton of hard-hitting form, so he may not have to be a world-beater to land this at first asking.
Race Summary Really looking forward to this race that feels pretty competitive on paper. Tempo Madness showed a touch of late interest in her early career races last year, and she might be worth a look off the bench in hopes she moved forward with that time away.
Fair Grounds - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Sumitup Pace has a little other company near the top, but she looks like the controlling pace from this draw near the inside, and she seems likely enough to wire these if she doesn't take a ton of heat early on.
#5 Maw Maw's Sophia She's a fairly reliable type with some tactical ability, and she was competitive with this kind a few starts back. The last pair hasn't been quite as good, but she still seems like a good fit here.
#7 A. K. A. Grams She has been a bit better at Delta than on full size courses, but she has enough pace to track the splits here while trying to hang around for a piece underneath.
Race Summary Sumitup has inside pace in a race where the other main speed comes further outside, so a clean break could put her in the driver's seat right out of the box with these.
Fair Grounds - Race #6
Picks Notes
#2 Honorary Guest She flashed a little bit of forward ability when trying the turf for the first time, and that should lead her to another really nice trip with this group while up close throughout. Another step forward might do the trick.
#5 Shishito No doubt she has a claim on this if she's able to get back to anything like her first two tries, but it's never great to see a horse show up in maiden claiming company two weeks after a dreadful try like that last one. Yes, she can win this, but she's a play against on principle for me.
#1 Freeze the Day He's the 'other' Stidham while hailing from the likely chalk's barn, but this team has had some recent struggles, and maybe this one hangs around for a piece in a bad race.
Race Summary Not a deep race here at all, making Shishito potentially tough, but she enters this off a terrible try with better, so I am not too excited to take a short price to see if she can bounce back here. Honorary Guest could trip out and land this as something like the second choice.
Fair Grounds - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 Tempo Madness He showed a little bit of finishing ability in his early 2-year-old season in Kentucky, and perhaps he has matured a bit here into his sophomore year. Finisher comes alive late?
#2 Mahoney Road He has shown some positional pace through two starts, and he's bred to handle the move over to the grass for the first time. Think he might get the right trip, then it's just a question of whether he can find that final gear.
#8 Evan Sing Debuter goes for a very capable team in a race without a ton of hard-hitting form, so he may not have to be a world-beater to land this at first asking.
Race Summary Really looking forward to this race that feels pretty competitive on paper. Tempo Madness showed a touch of late interest in her early career races last year, and she might be worth a look off the bench in hopes she moved forward with that time away.
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