Wednesday 3/23/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369852

    #46
    NBA
    Wednesday, March 23
    Trend Report

    New York @ Charlotte
    New York
    New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    Charlotte
    Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

    Atlanta @ Detroit
    Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    Detroit is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games

    Sacramento @ Indiana
    Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 12 games at home
    Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    Utah @ Boston
    Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
    Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
    Boston
    Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

    Brooklyn @ Memphis
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Memphis
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

    Golden State @ Miami
    Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
    Miami
    Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Golden State

    Phoenix @ Minnesota
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Orlando @ Oklahoma City
    Orlando
    Orlando is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando

    Houston @ Dallas
    Houston
    Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas
    Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas's last 21 games at home

    Philadelphia @ LA Lakers
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
    Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
    LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games

    San Antonio @ Portland
    San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
    Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
    Portland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369852

      #47
      The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
      The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five matchups againt Brooklyn.
      The total has gone OVER in 14 of the last 20 Nets' games.
      The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Grizzlies' games.
      The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 12 matchups between Brooklyn and Memphis.


      The Warriors are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games.
      The Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against Golden State.
      The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven Warriors' games.
      The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
      The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven matchups between Golden State and Miami.


      The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
      The Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last seven matchups against Phoenix.
      The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Suns' games.
      The Wolves are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games.


      The Sixers are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.
      The Lakers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games.
      The Sixers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against the Lakers.
      The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Lakers' games.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369852

        #48
        Sam Houston Tip Sheet - March 23

        SAM HOUSTON TIPS - WEDNESDAY, MARCH 23, 2022
        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track.
        RACE #1 $15,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
        6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:02 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 6-5 5 Lulos S Elliott
        PLACE 2-1 6 Gods Pick L J Luzzi
        SHOW 4-1 1 Mad Gold J Melancon
        WILD CARD 15-1 2 Knighted W Hamilton
        ALTERNATE 1 20-1 3 Russet Moon I V Diego
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Gospel Buzz G Mora
        * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
        RACE #2 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
        6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:30 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 1-1 4 Lookwhogotlucky S Elliott
        PLACE 6-1 1 Heartthrob Halo J Melancon
        SHOW 7-2 6 Arbuckle Outlaw W Hamilton
        WILD CARD 12-1 7 Doctor Do Little E E Perez
        ALTERNATE 1 9-2 2 Soldiers Fight B C Landeros
        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Bro Code R Guerra
        * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
        RACE #3 $5,000 CLAIMING
        1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:59 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 7-2 8 Bold Legend F Wethey Jr.
        PLACE 4-1 1 Wicked Flashback F J Manrrique
        SHOW 2-1 5 C. F. Shelauh R Eikleberry
        WILD CARD 5-2 4 Super Legs C Montalvo
        ALTERNATE 1 15-1 6 She Is a Bling S Elliott
        ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Nocturnal Mission G Mora
        * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
        RACE #4 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:28 PM ET
        BEST BET: #6 TWICE THE PRICE
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 6 Twice the Price L D Goncalves
        PLACE 4-1 1 Silver Wings E Valdez-Jiminez
        SHOW 10-1 5 Tiz Strong G Mora
        WILD CARD 6-1 3 Hit One Out F J Manrrique
        ALTERNATE 1 9-2 7 Justice Once J Melancon
        ALTERNATE 2 2-1 4 Screenplay J L Alvarez
        * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
        RACE #5 $25,000 CLAIMING
        1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:57 PM ET
        BEST BET: #2 DR FRANCES
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 2-1 2 Dr Frances S Elliott
        PLACE 3-1 3 Haileys Melody J L Alvarez
        SHOW 4-1 4 Shesskysthelimit F Wethey Jr.
        WILD CARD 10-1 8 Racy Jaycee E Valdez-Jiminez
        ALTERNATE 1 9-2 1 Senorita Cometa G Mora
        ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Leas Princess C Montalvo
        * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
        RACE #6 $37,000 ALLOWANCE
        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:27 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 2-1 5 Cost Average L D Goncalves
        PLACE 15-1 6 Texas Skywalker E Valdez-Jiminez
        SHOW 5-2 4 Silver Ratio R Eikleberry
        WILD CARD 20-1 10 Man Above F J Manrrique
        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 9 Carpe Eros S Elliott
        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Hooves Your Daddy F Wethey Jr.
        * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 4/6/10 BOX
        RACE #7 $37,000 ALLOWANCE
        5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 3 Neon Summer F Wethey Jr.
        PLACE 6-1 6 Amardine D H Magnon
        SHOW 8-1 8 Miss Aggie Bling E Valdez-Jiminez
        WILD CARD 4-1 5 Fetching R Eikleberry
        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 12 My Golden Bling G Mora
        ALTERNATE 2 7-2 2 Happy Sailor L D Goncalves
        * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
        RACE #8 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:24 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-5 3 Gramis Boy S Elliott
        PLACE 4-1 2 Tappin the Bling R E Eramia
        SHOW 6-1 6 Talk of Texas F J Manrrique
        WILD CARD 20-1 8 Red Birds Storm G Mora
        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Iberian Runner E Valdez-Jiminez
        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Stormin Hank C Hughes
        * EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
        RACE #9 $36,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:51 PM ET
        BEST BET: #5 SWITZER
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 2-1 5 Switzer R Eikleberry
        PLACE 12-1 4 Dare to Fail F J Manrrique
        SHOW 8-1 2 Heza Freak F Wethey Jr.
        WILD CARD 4-1 8 Dare to Be Wild G Mora
        ALTERNATE 1 3-1 7 Del Moon S Elliott
        ALTERNATE 2 20-1 6 Euro Tracking R E Eramia
        * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369852

          #49
          Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - March 23

          TAMPA BAY TIPS - WEDNESDAY, MARCH 23, 2022
          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
          RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
          1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:14 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-2 5 Take Me as I Am R Alvarado Jr.
          PLACE 8-5 2 Charge It Jenn D Centeno
          SHOW 4-1 3 Beautiful Tiz L Sanchez
          WILD CARD 3-1 4 Luna Queen J C Ferrer
          ALTERNATE 1 15-1 6 Lapulga J Bisono
          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Sundrenched R Feliciano
          * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
          RACE #2 $8,000 CLAIMING
          1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:43 PM ET
          BEST BET: #6 ONLYAMATTEROFTIME
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 8-5 6 Onlyamatteroftime D Centeno
          PLACE 5-2 3 Mr. Sarcastic F De La Cruz
          SHOW 12-1 2 Starship Oreo M Rowland
          WILD CARD 5-1 1 Castle King P Morales
          ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 Dohko R Alvarado Jr.
          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Wilshire Diamond M Allen
          * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
          RACE #3 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:15 PM ET
          BEST BET: #4 ONLY GIRL
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 6-5 4 Only Girl P Morales
          PLACE 5-2 2 Ransoms Reward G Wales
          SHOW 7-2 1 Bellavalencia A Santos
          WILD CARD 8-1 6 Starship Macys A Valdes
          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Maartys Dilemma H Villa-Gomez
          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Redzilla M Jimenez
          * EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
          RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING
          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-2 1 Rumpole R Feliciano
          PLACE 6-1 6 Poseiden S Camacho
          SHOW 3-1 7 Berhanu M Rowland
          WILD CARD 2-1 3 Doctor K I Castillo
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Jupiter Blues H R Diaz Jr.
          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Gunman R Mitchell
          * EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
          RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING
          1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-2 2 Thunder Buggy I Castillo
          PLACE 7-2 3 Awildas Treasure J Bisono
          SHOW 3-1 5 Sweet Moochie F De La Cruz
          WILD CARD 10-1 4 R Tenderoni D Centeno
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Platinumcents H R Diaz Jr.
          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Tiz Lottie R Alvarado Jr.
          * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
          RACE #6 $8,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:42 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-2 5 Super Shoes A Santos
          PLACE 4-1 8 Sette Stelle I Castillo
          SHOW 3-1 1 Banditoftheprairie M Jimenez
          WILD CARD 4-1 2 Giovanes Promise A A Rodriguez
          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 7 Ral Copperheadroad M Arroyo
          ALTERNATE 2 5-1 4 Prakriti W A Garcia
          * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
          RACE #7 $16,000 CLAIMING
          5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 2-1 8 Money and Honey A A Rodriguez
          PLACE 3-1 6 Luscious F De La Cruz
          SHOW 6-1 1 Sassy Cat P Morales
          WILD CARD 8-1 10 Barrel of Bliss S Spanabel
          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Glitter Bay W A Garcia
          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Miss Lamarr R Mitchell
          * EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/6/10 BOX
          RACE #8 $26,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:52 PM ET
          BEST BET: #5 KNIGHT SLEEPER
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 3-1 5 Knight Sleeper F De La Cruz
          PLACE 6-1 8 Lil Miss Camille H R Diaz Jr.
          SHOW 9-2 4 Tactical Range D Centeno
          WILD CARD 5-1 7 Acaciahelpme S Camacho
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Sassy Like Julia W A Garcia
          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Starship Precious I Castillo
          * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX
          RACE #9 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:23 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 15-1 11 Misspoken J Bisono
          PLACE 7-2 1 Wasser S Camacho
          SHOW 5-2 8 Macrelletta F De La Cruz
          WILD CARD 5-1 4 Teas Dream H R Diaz Jr.
          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 12 Magic Mikaela F De La Cruz
          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 9 Magic Surprise R Alvarado Jr.
          * EXACTA: 11-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/8/11 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369852

            #50
            Gulfstream Park Tip Sheet - March 23

            GULFSTREAM PARK TIPS - WEDNESDAY, MARCH 23, 2022
            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
            RACE #1 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
            BEST BET: #5 POETIC CODE
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 5 Poetic Code J L Ortiz
            PLACE 7-2 8 Mekano E Jaramillo
            SHOW 8-1 6 Tapaterm L Panici
            WILD CARD 4-1 4 No Man Left Behind I Ortiz Jr.
            ALTERNATE 1 20-1 9 Thousand Letters L Reyes
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Principe J M Rios
            * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX
            RACE #2 $24,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:33 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 2-1 4 Queen Calypso J L Ortiz
            PLACE 3-1 6 Follow Me Mom M Meneses
            SHOW 6-1 1 Simplify A Morrison
            WILD CARD 8-1 2 Playera M A Vasquez
            ALTERNATE 1 5-2 3 Pino in a Purse I Ortiz Jr.
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Choose to Be Happy R M Hernandez
            * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
            RACE #3 $43,000 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 8 Mia Camila J L Ortiz
            PLACE 4-1 3 Kelseys Shot I Ortiz Jr.
            SHOW 7-2 4 Hardspun Woman T Gaffalione
            WILD CARD 6-1 5 Z First J Castellano
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Proton Pack E Jaramillo
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 Charmed Way J Alvarado
            * EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
            RACE #4 $25,000 CLAIMING
            1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:38 PM ET
            BEST BET: #7 MISS CALIFORNIA
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-1 7 Miss California J Alvarado
            PLACE 4-1 2 Freccia dArgento I Ortiz Jr.
            SHOW 5-1 1 Cagua J L Ortiz
            WILD CARD 7-2 9 Hatari L Saez
            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Susans Novela J Castellano
            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Sneaky Cheeky C Sutherland
            * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX
            RACE #5 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
            1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:09 PM ET
            BEST BET: #3 MISSY GREER
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 7-2 3 Missy Greer L Saez
            PLACE 5-1 7 Oaxaca J Castellano
            SHOW 6-1 8 Friendship Road I Ortiz Jr.
            WILD CARD 5-1 1 Rita Marga A S Arroyo
            ALTERNATE 1 3-1 6 Im Baffled T Gaffalione
            ALTERNATE 2 9-2 5 Rum Swizzle J L Ortiz
            * EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
            RACE #6 $54,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-1 2 Dominate Themoment I Ortiz Jr.
            PLACE 10-1 6 Magical Marriage J Alvarado
            SHOW 9-2 7 Marisas Mission L Saez
            WILD CARD 6-1 8 Astroturf T Gaffalione
            ALTERNATE 1 4-1 4 Exchange Day J R Leparoux
            ALTERNATE 2 7-2 10 Super Design J L Ortiz
            * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
            RACE #7 $54,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:11 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 5 Our Fantasy T Gaffalione
            PLACE 7-5 2 Smarmy L Saez
            SHOW 5-1 1 Celestial Cheetah I Ortiz Jr.
            WILD CARD 4-1 4 Battle Cry S Bridgmohan
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Heiressindy M A Vasquez
            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Tiz Enough J Castellano
            * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
            RACE #8 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:42 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 4-1 10 Sinfulicious E Jaramillo
            PLACE 7-2 6 Chica Boom I Ortiz Jr.
            SHOW 3-1 5 Cocoa Icing J Castellano
            WILD CARD 10-1 11 Tempermental L Saez
            ALTERNATE 1 20-1 12 Blue Kentucky Girl M Meneses
            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Cali Divine C Sutherland
            * EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 5/6/11 BOX
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369852

              #51
              Gulfstream Park Hotlist - March 23

              March 22, 2022

              Today’s Gulfstream Park Hot List races to watch
              Wednesday, March 23, 2022

              By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
              Hot List Key:
              A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
              *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
              *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
              * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
              1st race – (1) Stolen Money trotted across the wire 81 lengths behind in his lone start. But he drops in class after he was gelded, gets Lasix and switches to Gaffalione. Is worth a look in this field. (4) No Man Left Behind is a firster from the same connections as the top pick and seems like the next best option. (3) Urmizzenthepoint might respond to a switch to Tapeta. (8) Mekano has enough speed to be a threat here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-8.
              3rd race – (4) Hardspun Woman tries a claimer for the first time and may appreciate the class drop. (6) Proton Pack is a firster from Ward, who sends out fit runners but his results drop in two-turn races. (3) Kelsey’s Shot returns from a layoff with Lasix and merits respect. (5) Z First can make her presence felt in this field. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-6. Doubles: 3-4-5-6 with 2-5-8-9.
              4th race – (9) Hatari (D) was bet down from 7-2 to 3-1 and didn’t fire while racing wide. Should work out a better trip in this spot. (2) Freccia d’Argento might welcome a change to synthetics. (5) Cindy’s Song returns to Tapeta, where she broke her maiden. (8) Susans Novela will be a stretch threat here. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-8-9.
              7th race – (2) Smarmy (A) was shuffled back at the start in a sprint and still rallied for third. Makes amends here. (5) Our Fantasy might rebound with a better effort in this spot. (1) Celestial Cheetah faded last time but Irad stays on board and that’s a good sign. (4) Battle Cry was a distant second and fits well here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5. Exactas: 2-5 over 1-4 and 1-4 over 2-5. Doubles: 1-2-4-5 with 5-6-7-10.
              8th race – (5) Cocoa Icing (B) missed by a head last time despite rallying wide. Gets the job done here. (6) Chica Boom runs without blinkers and may be hard to catch. (7) Tiz Impressive will be better suited on turf. (10) Sinfulicious was a promising third in her debut but landed a bad post. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-7-10.
              No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
              (9) Hatari D, 3/12 4 GP Was hurt by a wide trip
              (2) Smarmy A, 3/11 7 GP Closed for third despite trouble
              (5) Cocoa Icing B, 2/26 8 GP Missed by a head last time
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369852

                #52
                Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)! Free Winners for Wednesday, March 23rd 2022 from THE LEGEND!
                FREE HORSE PICKS
                CHARLES TOWN
                RACE #7
                TIME: 3:33 PM EST
                PICK: BET #5 House Wrecker 5/2 odds to win @ Bovada
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369852

                  #53
                  Gulfstream 5 Facts | March 22-28, 2022

                  March 22, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

                  Schedule:

                  Wednesday-Sunday

                  Carryovers:

                  $184,549 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Wednesday)

                  $6,463 // Super High 5 (Wednesday)

                  Feature Race(s):

                  $75,000 Texas Glitter // 3-year-old turf sprinters // Saturday

                  $75,000 Melody of Colors // 3-year-old filly turf sprinters // Saturday

                  Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

                  Avg. E1 Pace (29%, +$127.00)

                  Trainer Current Meet (31%, -$2.60)

                  Jockey 1 Year Win % (29%, -$17.80)

                  Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

                  T: Jose Francisco D’Angelo // last week 9: 4-0-1 (44%, $1.07 ROI) // 4-5 with favorites // 14-31 since Feb. 23

                  T: Todd Pletcher // last week 6: 4-0-1 (67%, $3.35 ROI) // 3-3 with Irad Ortiz Jr. // 2-3 on dirt and 2-3 on turf

                  T: Jonathan Thomas // last week 3: 3-0-0 (100%, $2.13 ROI) // 3-3 with Luis Saez // 3-3 with favorites // 4-4 since March 11

                  J: Irad Ortiz Jr. // last week 37: 11-6-6 (30%, $0.90 ROI) // 6-14 with favorites // 3-3 with Todd Pletcher

                  J: Emisael Jaramillo // last week 13: 4-1-1 (31%, $1.89 ROI) // $3, $6, $14, $24 winners for 4 different trainers

                  ** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369852

                    #54
                    Today’s Free Horse Picks – Wednesday, March 23rd 2022
                    By Reggie Garrett

                    We are covering 7 tracks on Wednesday, March 23rd, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Gulfstream Park, Parx and more. Good luck and enjoy!


                    Charles Town – 7:00 ET
                    Race 1: 6 Sugar Lips
                    Race 2: 8 Are You Happy
                    Race 3: 4 Lady Licious
                    Race 4: 4 That’s History
                    Race 5: 1 Freedom Is Ringing
                    Race 6: 6 Committeeman
                    Race 7: 5 House Wrecker
                    Race 8: 8 Channel Scent


                    Fair Grounds – 1:05 CT
                    Race 1: 4 Custom for Carlita
                    Race 2: 1 Doctrinaire
                    Race 3: 4 Cause to Cruise
                    Race 4: 3 Johnny Bootleggs
                    Race 5: 1 Battle of Will
                    Race 6: 3 Deano
                    Race 7: 7 Tricolour
                    Race 8: 4 Janisthebeauty
                    Race 9: 7 Sixtythreecaliber
                    Race 10: 4 Unwanted Intruder


                    Gulfstream Park – 1:05 ET
                    Race 1: 4 No Man Left Behind
                    Race 2: 3 Pino in a Purse
                    Race 3: 4 Hardspun Woman
                    Race 4: 2 Freccia d’Argento
                    Race 5: 5 Rum Swizzle
                    Race 6: 10 Super Design
                    Race 7: 4 Battle Cry
                    Race 8: 6 Chica Boom


                    Mahoning Valley – 12:45 ET
                    Race 1: 1 Danza Magic
                    Race 2: 4 Princess Celeste
                    Race 3: 6 Good Idea
                    Race 4: 6 Inspiring Justice
                    Race 5: 3 One Glamorous Gal
                    Race 6: 5 Skipshot Lilly
                    Race 7: 1 Check Out Line
                    Race 8: 8 Captain Bernardo


                    Parx – 12:55 ET
                    Race 1: 1 Monster Rising
                    Race 2: 8 Stoneharbor Blonde
                    Race 3: 8 Imaginary Sky
                    Race 4: 9 Verrazano Vittoria
                    Race 5: 1 Solemn Oath
                    Race 6: 2 Unimpeachable
                    Race 7: 4 Baagy
                    Race 8: 5 Thousand Percent
                    Race 9: 7 Confirmed Genius
                    Race 10: 5 Souper Fly Over
                    Race 11: 4 Runningforhome


                    Tampa Bay Downs – 12:14 ET
                    Race 1: 3 Beautiful Tiz
                    Race 2: 3 Mr. Sarcastic
                    Race 3: 1 Bellavalencia
                    Race 4: 7 Berhanu
                    Race 5: 2 Thunder Buggy
                    Race 6: 5 Super Shoes
                    Race 7: 6 Luscious
                    Race 8: 4 Tactical Range
                    Race 9: 10 Blue Neith


                    Turf Paradise – 1:25 PT
                    Race 1: 2 Fictional
                    Race 2: 4 Guarding Elk Camp
                    Race 3: 1 House Limit
                    Race 4: 2 Try to Capture
                    Race 5: 7 Creative One
                    Race 6: 4 Shooting
                    Race 7: 2 Autism Savant
                    Race 8: 7 Quinto Sol
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369852

                      #55
                      Gulfstream Park Picks: Proton Pack charged on March 23
                      By J.N. Campbell

                      Gulfstream Park Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

                      Race 1: 1-5-4-8
                      Race 2: 4-3-6-1
                      Race 3: 6-3-4-8
                      Race 4: 9-1-7-6
                      Race 5: 3-5-6-8
                      Race 6: 8-10-4-7
                      Race 7: 4-5-2-1
                      Race 8: 10-5-8-6
                      **Most Likely Winner: Proton Pack #6 (Race 3)**
                      **Best Value: Astroturf #8 (Race 6)**

                      Most Likely Winner: (Race 3: Proton Pack #6, 5/1):

                      With a nod to the great Ivan Reitman film of the mid-80s, this young filly is making her debut at Gulfstream Park on the turf. I do not often pick “1st timers” because they are very unpredictable. However, when both Wesley Ward (trainer), and CJ Thoroughbreds (owner) come together, this daughter of Ghostzapper (appropriate …) makes a ton of sense. Her breeding speaks to the idea that she can handle this surface with ease, and I like that Emisael Jaramillo gets the call. Ward is simply a master when it comes to breaking in, and training up these types. Her work tab looks consistent at Palm Meadows, and I am thinking that her price will be more than square. Egon would be proud …

                      Wager: $100 Win, #6



                      Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Astroturf #8, 6/1):

                      Here is a Bridlewood homebred that looks to be in great form. The son of Speightstown is making his 6th consecutive start of the GP Meet for Kent Sweezey, a conditioner who continues to look for opportunities to score. I like his potential, and with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle, this gelding will be facing some foes that he has tackled in the recent past. The bloodlines, his record against state co., and his fitness, all look like ticks to the positive. What it is going to come down to is what always happens on the grass … settling and rating … if Gaffalione can do that effectively, then this 5-yr-old has more than a sporting chance.

                      Wager: Graduated Wager, WPS, $100 Bankroll, #8 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



                      Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 7: Dirt, 1 Mile, OC20kn1x, F&M 4+ Florida Breds):

                      The Wednesday “Spotlight” race is this tough contest … a 1-turn mile on the MT. Out of these 7 runners that are entered, it is clear that Phil Bauer has the one to beat. Smarmy #2, a filly by Liam’s Map, made her ’22 debut on-track recently at a similar class level. She was a short price that day, and bettors seemed convinced that she could easily put a bow on that 5½F sprint … it was not to be. Ending up 3rd was disappointing, as she was pushed towards the rear. Though she rallied, it was too little, too late. Even with Luis Saez aboard, it feels like she might be an underlay at 7/5 on the M/L. I think she is vulnerable … When it comes to a top selection, I think there is value to be found in Carlos David’s Battle Cry #4. It was 2 races back that this filly by Prospective turned up the heat late in the game against OC20k open company. It was an impressive score for David’s entry, especially considering that she had not competed at that kind of level since last year. Shaun Bridgmohan gets the call once again for Pirate Racing, and even though his numbers are not quite up to scratch, he still has ability. I would imagine that this 4-yr-old’s odds will drift up a bit from 4/1, and that will suit. One other runner that I would not overlook is Saffie Joseph’s Our Fantasy #5. The seasoned mare by Amira’s Prince (IRE) was in that race that Battle Cry #4 won back on 2nd Jan., and even though her next start was a miss, she has the class to easily compete against this group. Using her in any horizontal wager is essential. Here is the bet I have constructed …

                      Wager: Trifecta Box, $2, 2/4/5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369852

                        #56
                        Sam Houston Race Park Picks: Twice the Price could bring that on March 23
                        By J.N. Campbell

                        Sam Houston Race Park Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

                        Race 1: 6-5-1-2
                        Race 2: 4-1-2-6
                        Race 3: 1-4-2-8
                        Race 4: 6-4-7-1
                        Race 5: 2-4-1-5
                        Race 6: 7-4-5-2
                        Race 7: 6-8-3-12
                        Race 8: 6-3-4-2
                        Race 9: 5-8-2-10
                        **Most Likely Winner: Twice The Price #6 (Race 4)**
                        **Best Value: Talk Of Texas #6 (Race 8)**

                        Most Likely Winner: (Race 4: Twice the Price #6, 3/1):

                        Here is a Cal bred that is shipping to Texas from Arkansas. The last time we saw this sprinter take to the track it was at Oaklawn Park earlier this month. The Violence colt did not run poorly, ending up 2nd behind Karl Broberg’s Blame George. That MC event was for $20k, and this one at Sam Houston is for $50k. Don’t forget that running in Hot Springs means that you are up against some of the best in the country. If this 4-yr-old can be in-the-money there, then he can win at SHRP. I think his level of fitness is strong, and maybe he can beat Screenplay #4 at his own game. This is going to be a heck of a race …

                        Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #6



                        Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 8: Talk of Texas #6, 6/1):

                        Here is another MC contest that is sure to bring some value … we have Texas breds going 5½F on the Main Track. With 9 approved, I think I want to try and beat Mindy Willis’ Grami’s Boy #3. This 3-yr-old gelding is dropping down from MSW Co., and it might not be such a cinch. Instead, I landed on a son of Saturday Launch that continues to develop for Brent Davidson. He is having a good Meet, and this entry is lightly-raced. With just 3 career starts (all @SHRP in ’22), I am just waiting for this one to break through. The cutback in distance from his last race of 7F is a positive, and so is the switch to rider Freddy Manrrique. He too is applying his trade well in Houston, and I expect that to continue. This will not be an easy step in class, but I trust in Davidson’s conditioning ability.

                        Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #6 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



                        Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 6: Dirt, 6F, ALLW37kn2L, 3+):

                        The “feature” on what could be a wet Wednesday in H-Town, is this steady-as-she-goes ALLW Co. contest. It is going to be a “blow and go” kinda race, and those that make the lead have a distinct advantage, especially when the top of the lane arrives. I have witnessed a pretty fair set-up these past few months, and I cannot say that a “Golden Rail” or outside speed have necessarily been biases that we can point to. I am sure that M/L oddsmaker Nick Tammaro has it right with Austin Gustafson’s Cost Average #5 (2/1) and Robertino Diodoro’s Silver Ratio #4 (5/2) going 1-2. They both continue to knock on the winner’s circle door, and I would not be surprised if either one scored. I want to use them in a couple of different horizontal wagers, but not on top. That nod is going to Shawn Davis’ Speight and Malice #7. This 4-yr-old gelding by Speightstown did not care for the stretch out against this kind of company last time at Sam Houston (he had to pull up). It is safe to say that his bloodline enjoys the shorter distances. He is going to get another shot in this spot, and I like the angle. Davis is a solid conditioner, even if his numbers are not equal to the Gustafsons and the Caldwells of this Meet. With the addition of Jose Alvarez, I like the investments that owner George Sharp makes. If this speedster can sit on or close to the lead, he should have a great shot at a score. The price is more than right, hovering around 8/1.

                        Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Wheel, 7 w 4/5
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369852

                          #57
                          Rocket Picks ��: Gulfstream Park and Fair Grounds for March 23, 2022
                          By: Aaron Halterman

                          It’s time to start another week of great racing! For the free pick 4, we will head to Gulfstream Park, which has the best card of the day. We will also be covering Fair Grounds for the paid Rockets as they kick off a great week of racing, ending with the Louisiana Derby (G2). Let’s cash this ticket!

                          Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Gulfstream Park:

                          Gulfstream Park March 23, 2022

                          Race 5: Maiden Special Weight

                          #3 Missy Greer ran well in her dirt debut last time out, finishing third against some decent horses. She can win here if she improves off of that effort. #6 Im Baffled debut in this spot for a solid trainer, and gets Gaffalione aboard, which is a good sign.

                          Race 6: Allowance Optional Claiming
                          freestar

                          #2 Dominate Themoment runs off of a long layoff today, which is a question mark, but his past races are good enough to win here. Irad Ortiz Jr. gets the mount, which is a good sign. #10 Super Design moves back to the turf today, which seems to be his best surface.

                          Race 7: Allowance Optional Claiming

                          #2 Smarmy runs second off of the layoff today, which should lead to an improved effort. Her past races should win this one, while she could be the lone speed. #4 Battle Cry won two back at this distance, and was second last time out at a similar race.

                          Race 8: Maiden Claiming

                          #5 Cocoa Icing was close at this level last time out, finishing second by a head. She should be tough again today. #6 Chica Boom was fourth in the same race as our top choice, which ended in a blanket finish.

                          THE TICKET

                          $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-8) 1,3,6 / 2,6,7,10 / 2,4 / 5,6,8,10 – $48
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369852

                            #58
                            Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Wednesday, March 23
                            By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

                            FFOS LAS

                            ROBIN GOODFELLOW

                            1.55 Rossbeigh Strand

                            2.30 Happy Du Mesnil

                            3.05 Stamina Chope

                            3.40 Smash The Lamp

                            4.15 VALSHEDA (nap)

                            4.50 Dicey Rielly

                            5.25 Time Leader

                            GIMCRACK

                            1.55 Rossbeigh Strand

                            2.30 Happy Du Mesnil

                            3.05 Stamina Chope

                            3.40 Dynamite Kentucky

                            4.15 Jaytee

                            4.50 Minnie Escape

                            5.25 You Say Nothing


                            LUDLOW

                            ROBIN GOODFELLOW

                            2.20 Whizz Kid

                            2.55 Cilluiirid

                            3.30 Tikitov

                            4.05 Guy

                            4.40 Just The Man (nb)

                            5.10 Equus Millar

                            5.40 Stratagem

                            GIMCRACK

                            2.20 WHIZZ KID (nap)

                            2.55 Hamilton Dici

                            3.30 Tikitov

                            4.05 Guy (nb)

                            4.40 Fontana Ellissi

                            5.10 Crystal Gazing

                            5.40 Bletchley Castle


                            HAYDOCK

                            ROBIN GOODFELLOW

                            1.00 Cartonne

                            1.35 Burrows Diamond

                            2.10 N'Golo

                            2.45 Chef D'Oeuvre

                            3.20 Nora The Xplorer

                            3.55 Godrevy Point

                            GIMCRACK

                            1.00 Parisencore

                            1.35 Burrows Diamond

                            2.10 Sacre Pierre

                            2.45 Tim Pat

                            3.20 Nora The Xplorer

                            3.55 River Walk

                            NORTHERNER - 1.00 Parisencore (nb); 2.10 SACRE PIERRE
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369852

                              #59
                              Keeler Johnson's picks and plays for March 23
                              J. Keeler Johnson

                              Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Wednesday, March 23 at Fair Grounds and Gulfstream Park, including a ticket for Gulfstream’s $6,463 Super High 5 carryover.

                              Picks and Plays
                              Fair Grounds: Race 1: $5,000 Claiming (six furlongs, 2:05 p.m. ET)

                              #5 Sweet Bay (7-5) has come to hand quite nicely at Fair Grounds this year. Under the care of hot trainer Ron Faucheux (a 25% winner this meet), Sweet Bay has broken her maiden for a $12,500 claiming tag, finished fifth in a $15,000 claimer, and romped by 2 3/4 lengths in a $5,000 claimer.

                              All of these efforts came sprinting six furlongs, and Sweet Bay showed tactical speed in both of her victories while posting sharp Brisnet Speed ratings of 72 and 77. There isn’t a ton of pace in Wednesday’s field, so a typical performance from Sweet Bay should be sufficient to secure a clean trip and beat #2 Rivetrix (8-1) and #3 Spy a Star (7-2) to the winner’s circle.

                              $20 to win on #5 Sweet Bay
                              $5 Exacta: 5 with 2,3 ($10)
                              Total: $30

                              Gulfstream Park: Race 5: Maiden Special Weight (one mile, 3:09 p.m. ET)

                              #3 Missy Greer (7-2) ran well over this track, distance, and class level on Feb. 13, carving out the pace before weakening down the homestretch to finish third by 2 3/4 lengths. Even in defeat, she earned a solid 84 Brisnet Speed rating, tied for the highest figure in Wednesday’s field.

                              That effort marked Missy Greer’s first start since October, so she’s eligible to improve in her second start off the layoff. Trainer Danny Gargan has been hot at Gulfstream this meet, winning at a 29% rate, and Gargan’s lofty 31% win rate with horses racing on Lasix for the second time applies to Missy Greer. Throw in the presence of jockey Luis Saez (a 30% winner teaming up with Gargan over the last two months), and Missy Greer is an obvious win threat.

                              First-time starter #6 I’m Baffled (3-1) can battle with #8 Friendship Road (6-1) for the minor awards.

                              $20 to win on #3 Missy Greer
                              $5 Exacta: 3 with 6,8 ($10)
                              Total: $30

                              Fair Grounds: Race 7: $50,000 Maiden Claiming (one mile on turf, 4:59 p.m. ET)

                              It’s unclear whether rain will force this two-turn turf heat to be contested on dirt. But regardless, #6 Lord Zed (5-2) should be formidable while dropping in class.

                              Conditioned by high-percentage trainer Brad Cox (a 28% winner at Fair Grounds this meet), Lord Zed has placed twice against maiden special weight company at Fair Grounds. After running second in his debut sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs, the son of Lord Nelson finished third in a slow-paced one-mile heat, beaten only 1 1/2 lengths with a sharp 82 Brisnet Speed rating.

                              Lord Zed is clearly the runner to beat on grass, but since Lord Nelson won three Grade 1 races on dirt, tackling the main track shouldn’t be an issue for Lord Zed either. Plus, Cox wins at a 36% rate with horses running long for the second time, which matches his win rate when teaming up with jockey Colby Hernandez over the last two months.

                              Taking advantage of the Midweek Bet Back offer, we’ll place a $10 win bet on Lord Zed. Then we’ll bet him on top of an exacta using #2 Brother Harold (20-1) and #5 Cryptic Code (5-1) for second place.

                              $10 to win on #6 Lord Zed
                              $5 Exacta: 6 with 2,5 ($10)
                              Total: $20

                              Carryover Watch
                              Gulfstream Park: Race 1: $6,463 Super High 5 carryover (1:05 p.m. ET)

                              Let’s say you have your eyes focused on winning a share of the $6,463 Super High 5 carryover up for grabs on Wednesday at Gulfstream Park. If you’re going to pursue this goal, you had better come prepared, because a serious handicapping challenge is on tap.

                              Winning the prize pool for the $1 non-jackpot wager involves selecting the top five finishers in Race 1, a $16,000 maiden claimer for three-year-olds racing one mile and 70 yards on Tapeta. You might be telling yourself, “There are only nine entries—that’s just 15,120 possible outcomes, a very manageable number!” But the form lines of the nine runners are quite muddled, and choosing which horses to build tickets around is easier said than done.

                              Take morning-line favorite #5 Poetic Code (3-1) as an example. The son of Honor Code has placed a couple of times over this track and class level, but his 0-for-9 lifetime record and 0-for-7 record over the Gulfstream Tapeta both indicate he’s more likely to secure a minor award than battle for victory.

                              Much the same can be said of second choice #8 Mekano (7-2), who has hit the board in three of his four starts over this track and class level. Certainly Mekano has a strong chance to finish in the top five, but he’s 0-for-7 lifetime and 0-for-5 over the Gulfstream Tapeta, so he’s not necessarily one to count on for a winning performance.

                              That’s why we’re going to think outside the box with #1 Stolen Money (5-1). True, the Saffie Joseph trainee failed to fire at all in his Dec. 5 debut against $25,000 maiden claiming company over this track and distance, racing in last place throughout while coming home more than 80 lengths behind the winner.

                              But Stolen Money has been freshened since then and is adding blinkers and Lasix for his first start as a gelding. It’s worth noting Joseph wins at a 24% rate with second-time starters, and he’s gone 17-for-68 (25%) saddling experienced runners in Tapeta routes at Gulfstream. Throw in jockey Tyler Gaffalione (a 20% winner teaming up with Joseph over the last two months), and Stolen Money is eligible to fire a much stronger shot in his second run under colors.

                              Here’s how we’ll bet the Super High 5:

                              $1 Super High 5: 1 with 5,8 with 5,8 with ALL with ALL ($60)

                              Good luck!
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369852

                                #60
                                Hong Kong Preview: Packing Award well-placed
                                By: Alastair Bull

                                #9 Packing Award looks well capable of handling the step up to Class 3 company in the Sam Chuk Handicap at Happy Valley March 23.

                                The Australian-bred has raced seven times in Hong Kong, racing mostly up to six furlongs, but he handled the step up to 1,650 meters (about one mile and 55 yards) with aplomb when winning a Class 4 contest at Happy Valley Feb. 23.

                                In that victory he carried 132 pounds and sat three wide without cover, which is normally very tough to do at Happy Valley, but he fought very strongly to take the honors.

                                His barrier draw of eight could be troublesome, but if the in-form Karis Teetan is able to find any sort of cover, Packing Award looks to have enough ability to handle Class 3 company.

                                #2 Zone D and #11 Viva Hunter fought out a very close finish last time they raced, with the former just coming out on top. Both should be prominent again, with Viva Hunter perhaps a chance to turn the tables as he is three pounds better off at the weights.

                                In an open field, #7 Villa Fionn should also run well. His last four starts have produced two wins, a second, and a third, and from barrier three he should get every chance.

                                The interesting runner is #5 Copartner Fionn. A three-time winner in New Zealand when known as Black Forest, he finished fast for third on his Hong Kong debut at Sha Tin over 1,200 meters (about six furlongs). He has won over 1,600 meters in New Zealand and should appreciate the step up in trip, but the tight Happy Valley track could work against him.
                                Best Hong Kong play
                                Happy Valley, March 23, Race 9, Sam Chuk Handicap (1,650 meters)

                                $10 win/$30 show: #9 Packing Award
                                $1.30 trifecta: 9, 11 with 2, 9, 11 with 2, 5, 7, 9, 11

                                Bonus Play – New Zealand
                                Pukekohe, March 23, Race 3, Pukekohe Mitre10 2100

                                $10 win/$30 show, #4 Tavi With Me: Unlucky enough to run into a Derby winner and an Oaks placegetter in two maidens before breaking through March 12. Should handle rise in class.
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