Wednesday 3/23/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #61
    Interstate Racing Tips – March 23rd

    Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – March 23rd

    RSN927

    RSN Form Analyst Shayne Montgomery covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Warwick Farm on Wednesday the 23rd of March.

    Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

    Rail Position: +3m Entire
    Track Type: Turf
    Track Condition: Heavy 9
    Weather: Fine
    Penetrometer: 6.19
    Shayne Montgomery Warwick Farm Tips

    Warwick Farm, 23rd March 2022

    Race 1 Selections: 6,3,1,2
    Race 2 Selections: 6,9,8,1
    Race 3 Selections: 11,4,1,2
    Race 4 Selections: 7,4,6,8
    Race 5 Selections: 7,8,5,4
    Race 6 Selections: 4,9,13,5
    Race 7 Selections: 1,5,7,8
    Race 8 Selections: 6,10,13,1
    Best Bet

    Race 1 Number 6 King Of Naples
    Next Best

    Race 5 Number 7 Straight Aaron
    Best Value

    Race 8 Number 6 Shadow Devil
    Quaddie

    Quaddie 1:7,8
    Quaddie 2:4,5,9,13
    Quaddie 3:1,5,7,8,16
    Quaddie 4:1,4,6,10,13
    Play Of The Day

    Race 1 Number 6 King Of Naples all up Race 5 Number 7 Straight Aaron

    RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at Eagle Farm on Tuesday the 22nd of March.

    Rail Position: +12m Entire Course
    Track Type: Turf
    Track Condition: Good 4
    Weather: Fine
    Howard Walter Eagle Farm Tips

    Eagle Farm 23rd March 2022

    Race 1 Selections: 3,2,1,5
    Race 2 Selections:3,7,10,8
    Race 3 Selections: 3,2,1,7
    Race 4 Selections:3,2,5,8
    Race 5 Selections:4,7,6,8
    Race 6 Selections:8,4,3,10
    Race 7 Selections:8,12,6,9
    Best Bet

    Race 2 Number 3 Kirsten
    Best Value

    Race 7 Number 8 Chicamo
    Quaddie

    Quaddie 1:2,3
    Quaddie 2:4,6,7
    Quaddie 3:3,4,8
    Quaddie 4:6,7,8,9,10,12
    Play Of The Day

    Win all-up Race 1 Number 3, Race 2 Number 3.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #62
      Charles Town Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

      Race 1: 1-7-5-3
      Race 2: 1-7-8-9
      Race 3: 1-4-3-6
      Race 4: 2-4-1-6
      Race 5: 7-1-3-2
      Race 6: 2-6-4-1
      Race 7: 5-4-6-7
      Race 8: 2-8-9-1
      **Most Likely Winner: Charm Weaver #1 (Race 3)**
      **Best Value: Steal The Cash #1 (Race 2)**
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #63
        Fair Grounds Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

        Race 1: 5-6-4-3
        Race 2: 1-4-7-2
        Race 3: 4-7-6-1/1A
        Race 4: 9-2-3-7
        Race 5: 6-3-4-1/1A
        Race 6: 5-6-4-1
        Race 7: 6-1-5-7
        Race 8: 3-7-5-8
        Race 9: 7-1-5-2
        Race 10: 1/1A-6-4-8
        **Most Likely Winner: Sweet Bay (Race 1)**
        **Best Value: Perrins (Race 5)**
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #64
          Gulfstream Park Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

          Race 1: 1-5-4-8
          Race 2: 4-3-6-1
          Race 3: 6-3-4-8
          Race 4: 9-1-7-6
          Race 5: 3-5-6-8
          Race 6: 8-10-4-7
          Race 7: 4-5-2-1
          Race 8: 10-5-8-6
          **Most Likely Winner: Proton Pack #6 (Race 3)**
          **Best Value: Astroturf #8 (Race 6)**
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #65
            Mahoning Valley Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

            Race 1: 1-2-7-5
            Race 2: 1-3-2-6
            Race 3: 4-7-2-1
            Race 4: 2-5-6-1
            Race 5: 1A-6-2-4
            Race 6: 3-4-5-6
            Race 7: 4-3-2-7
            Race 8: 7-2-1-4
            **Most Likely Winner: Hard To Access #1 (Race 2)**
            **Best Value: Act Like A Lady #1A (Race 5)**
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #66
              Parx Racing Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

              Race 1: 4-2-3-5
              Race 2: 8-2-3-1
              Race 3: 6-1-2-9
              Race 4: 8-9-3-1
              Race 5: 3-1-4-6
              Race 6: 2-3-7-1
              Race 7: 4-6-3-1
              Race 8: 10-8-6-4
              Race 9: 6-7-4-2
              Race 10: 6-4-5-2
              Race 11: 5-4-1-10
              **Most Likely Winner: Outline (Race 3)**
              **Best Value: Monolete (Race 8)**
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #67
                Penn National Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

                Race 1: 5-3-1-2
                Race 2: 3-1-5-2
                Race 3: 4-1-7-2
                Race 4: 5-6-3-4
                Race 5: 3-2-5-4
                Race 6: 6-5-4-2
                Race 7: 6-2-1-4
                Race 8: 1-7-2-3
                **Most Likely Winner: Jump Free (Race 8)**
                **Best Value: Bench Press (Race 3)**
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #68
                  Sam Houston Race Park Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

                  Race 1: 6-5-1-2
                  Race 2: 4-1-2-6
                  Race 3: 1-4-2-8
                  Race 4: 6-4-7-1
                  Race 5: 2-4-1-5
                  Race 6: 7-4-5-2
                  Race 7: 6-8-3-12
                  Race 8: 6-3-4-2
                  Race 9: 5-8-2-10
                  **Most Likely Winner: Twice The Price #6 (Race 4)**
                  **Best Value: Talk Of Texas #6 (Race 8)**
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #69
                    Tampa Bay Picks Picks - Wednesday, March 23, 2022

                    Race 1: 5-3-2-4
                    Race 2: 3-6-4-1
                    Race 3: 4-2-1-6
                    Race 4: 3-1-6-4
                    Race 5: 2-5-7-3
                    Race 6: 4-5-2-1
                    Race 7: 6-8-10-1
                    Race 8: 4-3-5-8
                    Race 9: 8-1-4-9
                    **Most Likely Winner: Only Girl (Race 3)**
                    **Best Value: Prakriti (Race 6)**
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #70
                      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                      Fair Grounds - Race #5
                      Picks Notes
                      #2 Big Chopper He'll try the turf for the first time after a nice effort from a bit off the pace, but he has previously shown a little bit of speed that should keep him in a perfect spot in a race without a ton of other committed pace players.
                      #6 Perrins He still needs better than he has shown so far if he's going to handle these on the rise to try winners for the first time, but he has only started three times, leaving him with some upside here. In the mix late.
                      #3 Your Time's Coming He has landed a long string of underneath shares with this kind of company over the last year, so I am a bit hesitant to think he's getting over the top here.
                      Race Summary Big Chopper should get a really good run from the inside draw, and his positional speed should give him every chance to move into the lane and hold the closers. The new footing is the obvious question.

                      Fair Grounds - Race #7
                      Picks Notes
                      #6 Lord Zed Dropper has turned in a couple decent tries against special weight groups, and he looms tough here with something like his last. On one hand, the drop doesn't feel great, but they pocket $60k if he wins and gets claimed near the end of the meet, so maybe not all bad.
                      #3 Keys Included He didn't stay in his turf route debut last time out, but his two-back try was really not all bad, so I'm hoping he can bounce back here with an improved effort at a price. Gimmicks player?
                      #5 Cryptic Code He proved a better fit when dropping in to face this kind last out, but he'll be making his turf debut and doesn't own much early pace. Willing to let him beat me.
                      Race Summary Lord Zed has a right to be tough here after a couple useful efforts with special weight groups, and I'll try to get Keys Included in the frame with him to boost the gimmicks.

                      Fair Grounds - Race #9
                      Picks Notes
                      #7 Sixtythreecaliber Debuter brings what appears to be a progressive series of drills to this debut run, and she's not meeting the deepest group here at first asking. Think she might be set to go.
                      #12 Queen In the North She has an experience edge on her top-choice stablemate, but she'll race off the layoff and has given away ground late in all three career starts. Could see her getting used up a bit hustling for position from this draw?
                      #1 Fly Me Home She has been showing up with some relatively quick works, and as mentioned above, I don't think she's meeting a terribly deep group today. The rail draw is the main worry.
                      Race Summary Sixtythreecaliber might be set to go first time out, and while there are a couple of pretty logical contenders in here from previous running lines, there is also a lot of really poor form littered throughout the past performances in this one, so a fresh face might be the right move.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #71
                        DRF's Horse Racing Playbook for Wednesday, March 23, 2022

                        Daily Racing Form has served as the most trusted source of news and information about the sport since 1894, and moving forward we have decided to provide a free daily playbook – something that both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day’s action.

                        12:14 TAM 1st BEAUTIFUL TIZ (#3, 4-1) might be the best closer in this opener, which features a short field but one that's not light on pace; thinking she can make the last run given an honest, contested pace up front, as she closed with some interest in her latest at this same level and she was overmatched against open claimers two back when against the race flow. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        1:05 GP 1st URMIZZENTHEPOINT (#3, 8-1) looks like controlling speed dropping, stretching out while switching to Tapeta for third start of form cycle. Might not look back. -Mike Welsch | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        1:15 TAM 3rd BELLAVALENCIA (#1, 7-2) was against the race flow as a closer in speed-friendly races in her last couple but she still earned decent figures in defeat; tough to project the pace scenario in this route but given an honest tempo up front she should be positioned to make an impact late. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        2:13 TAM 5th STARRY HOPE (#6, 8-1) ships over from Gulfstream and makes her Tampa debut; she figures to find the locals more her speed, and if she runs to her best back figures she's plenty good enough to win this. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        2:38 GP 4th SNEAKY CHEEKY (#6, 6-1) making first start for barn owning high marks with new acquisitions. Those 53 Beyer in fall of 2-year-old campaign should have her right in this mix. -Mike Welsch | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        3:18 TAM 7th DONTMESSWITHTESS (#9, 15-1) has not yet run in an abbreviated sprint but trainer Dennis Ward excels with runners under these conditions, and this filly has lots of upside off her last pair, as she was trying to close in a paceless race last time and pushing the pace two back in a race that set up well for the closers (hence the "S" and "C" symbols in pp lines); needs pace but given a clean trip and quick fractions she may well be good enough, likely at a price. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        4:41 TUP 3rd CANDY WOMPUS (#3, 4-1) often gets a lot of play and for good reason as current form is sharp. He adds distance today and that could actually help if distance tab of 15-3-3-5 is any indication (any show bettors out there?). When Diodoro gets a horse sharp they often hold that good form for multiple starts. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        4:42 GP 8th SINFULICIOUS (#10, 4-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Mike Welsch). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        5:19 TUP 5th KEENEYE GEORGE (#4, 10-1) is by a 8% debut turf sire. His dam went 15-4-2-0 and earned 60K on the grass (won turf debut). Both sibs are multiple winners on the turf. This gelding exits a key race where 2 of 5 returned to win with figs of 62 and 56. We like that this horse has worked at least twice since his debut. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

                        6:46 TUP 8th ZERO DOWN (#6, 6-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Scott Ehlers).
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #72
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise
                          PURCHASE
                          Turf Paradise - Race 2

                          $1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 2-3) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)


                          Claiming $6,250 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $13,300 • Post: 1:53P
                          FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 23, 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 23, 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
                          Contenders

                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line

                          Accept
                          Odds


                          Race Type: Lone Stalker. MCGOLDIE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DOUBLE DARE YOU: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SHESAHEATWAVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SWEET HONOR: Today is a sprint a nd the horse's last start was within the last ten days. MCGOLDIE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. GUARDING ELK CAMP: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                          3
                          DOUBLE DARE YOU
                          2/1

                          5/1
                          1
                          SHESAHEATWAVE
                          3/1

                          7/1
                          2
                          SWEET HONOR
                          7/2

                          7/1
                          5
                          MCGOLDIE
                          5/1

                          7/1
                          4
                          GUARDING ELK CAMP
                          9/2

                          9/1




                          P#

                          Horse (In Running Style Order)

                          Post

                          Morn
                          Line

                          Running Style

                          Good
                          Class

                          Good
                          Speed

                          Early Figure

                          Finish Figure

                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          3
                          DOUBLE DARE YOU
                          3

                          2/1
                          Front-runner
                          89

                          84

                          80.2

                          60.0

                          58.0
                          2
                          SWEET HONOR
                          2

                          7/2
                          Alternator/Front-runner
                          79

                          74

                          68.4

                          67.6

                          60.6
                          5
                          MCGOLDIE
                          5

                          5/1
                          Alternator/Stalker
                          78

                          70

                          49.0

                          67.4

                          59.4
                          1
                          SHESAHEATWAVE
                          1

                          3/1
                          Trailer
                          82

                          69

                          48.8

                          66.2

                          61.7
                          4
                          GUARDING ELK CAMP
                          4

                          9/2
                          Trailer
                          79

                          74

                          44.4

                          66.6

                          58.1
                          6
                          TRANS MISSISSIPPI
                          6

                          12/1
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          77

                          66

                          46.2

                          60.6

                          50.1
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #73
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course
                            PURCHASE
                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.

                            Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17700 Class Rating: 45

                            FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            The Walker Group Picks

                            # 1 DANZA MAGIC 7/2

                            # 7 DISCREET ENERGY 8/1

                            # 2 ALWAYS ON THE ROX 5/2

                            DANZA MAGIC is the strongest bet in this race. Is hard not to look at given the company run in recently. DISCREET ENERGY - This group is much softer than the last one she was up against. ALWAYS ON THE ROX - Can't overlook the connections here, a 34 winning percentage, one of the most competitive at getting into the winner's circle. Has very strong early speed and should fare very well versus this field.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #74
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
                              PURCHASE

                              Bar

                              Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 64

                              Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                              #3 LAUGH IT OFF (ML=2/1)


                              LAUGH IT OFF - This filly should give a good account of herself in today's affair.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BRODY SLAM (ML=9/5), #1 MONSTER RISING (ML=4/1), #4 OUI MADAME (ML=9/2),

                              BRODY SLAM - A rallier like this one needs a speed duel to set things up and she isn't likely to get one in this one. Hasn't been on the Parx Racing oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. Could be tough for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. MONSTER RISING - In this situation, this vulnerable equine's inability to close any ground in the last affair is a cause for concern. OUI MADAME - You believe this horse is going to be victorious just because she's always close. Just doesn't win frequently.



                              STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                              Go with #3 LAUGH IT OFF on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

                              EXACTA WAGERS:
                              Skip

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              Skip

                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                              None
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #75
                                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston
                                PURCHASE
                                Always check program numbers.
                                Odds shown are morning line odds.

                                Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 67

                                FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 115 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.


                                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                                The Walker Group Picks

                                # 5 LULOS 6/5

                                # 6 GOD'S PICK 2/1

                                # 1 MAD GOLD 4/1

                                LULOS gets the edge as the bet in here. Has to be considered a solid contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. With a nice class figure average of 75, has one of the strongest class advantages in this field. This gelding with Elliott in the saddle makes him a contender. GOD'S PICK - Overall, this conditioner has been money-making at this distance/surface. Ran a strong last race. MAD GOLD - Shows strong Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group.
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