Saturday 4/2/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jack Jones

Apr 02 '22, 8:10 PM in 7h
NBA | Heat vs Bulls

Play on: Heat -2 -110 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Miami Heat -2
The Miami Heat have put their differences aside and have put together two straight impressive performances as they are motivated to try and hang on to the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. After crushing the Kings 123-100 at home, they went on the road and upset the Celtics 106-98 as 5-point underdogs.
Now the Heat come in rested and ready to go after having the last two days off. They will be taking on a tired Chicago Bulls team that will be playing their 8th game in 13 days. The Bulls are coming off an OT win over the Clippers in which they basically never led the entire way until overtime.
The Heat absolutely own the Bulls. They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their three meetings with Chicago this season with their last two victories coming by 13 and 26 points. They won't be taking them lightly tonight with the top seed in the East at stake.
The Heat are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Chicago is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games as an underdog. The Bulls are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last five trips to Chicago. Bet the Heat Saturday.

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Bobby Conn

Apr 02 '22, 8:10 PM in 7h
NBA | Heat vs Bulls

Play on: Heat -2 -110 at circa

1* Free Play on Heat -2 -110

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Frank Sawyer

Apr 02 '22, 8:40 PM in 8h
NBA | Jazz vs Warriors

Play on: Warriors +2 -110 at circa

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 4/2:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with the Golden State Warriors plus the points versus the Utah Jazz. Golden State (48-29) has lost four in a row after their 107-103 loss to Phoenix as a 4.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Warriors are home underdogs often — and in their last 7 situations where they were getting the points at home, they covered the point spread all 7 times. Golden State has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Utah (46-31) snapped a five-game losing streak with their 122-109 win against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 13.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Jazz have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win. They are also 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on the road. Take Golden State plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

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Dave Price

Apr 02 '22, 8:49 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Duke

Play on: North Carolina +4 -110 at Caesars

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on North Carolina +4
The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels are 10-1 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They beat Marquette by 32, upset Baylor after nearly blowing a 25-point lead, upset UCLA and crushed St. Peter's by 20. They also won by 13 at Duke in the regular season finale. This team is playing too well to be a 4-point underdog to Duke. This line is shaded towards Duke because of it being Coach K's last season. It should be much closer to a pick 'em. I like the price we are getting on the Tar Heels in this Final 4 showdown. Take North Carolina.

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Totals Guru

Apr 02 '22, 8:49 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Duke

Play on: OVER 151 -110

Free Total Annihilator On North Carolina vs Duke over 151 -110

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Dustin Hawkins

Apr 02 '22, 9:10 PM in 8h
MLB | White Sox vs Diamondbacks

Play on: Diamondbacks +130 at circa

1 Dimer on Diamondbacks +130

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

04/02/22, OP, Race 1, 12.10 CT
04/02/22,OP,1,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $107,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since January 2, 2022 Allowed 3 lbs. A Race Since December 2, 2021 Allowed 6 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Santos Dumont	4/1	Arrieta F	Hartman Chris A.	TSFEL	140	35.00	1.32/$1
095.3403	7	Manhattan Up	9/2	Cohen D	Diodoro Robertino	W	55	41.82	1.84/$1
092.6950	5	Sermononthemount	10/1	Graham J	Amoss Thomas M.		188	35.11	1.21/$1
091.8891	3	Starrininmydreams(b+)	2/1	Velazquez J R	Stewart Dallas		188	35.11	1.21/$1
090.9785	6	Shortlist	5/2	Geroux F	Van Berg Thomas L.	J	188	35.11	1.21/$1
088.8381	2	Reconvene	8/1	Franco G	Hollendorfer Jerry		188	35.11	1.21/$1
082.5336	1	Salow	12/1	Santana. Jr. R	Brennan Terry J.	C	188	35.11	1.21/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.09, ROI 1.25/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.6597
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 HOT ON THE TRAIL 6/1
# 6 CIRCULODEGANADORAS 5/2
# 7 DISCERNMENT 4/1

HOT ON THE TRAIL has a very strong shot to take this race. Recently Ruiz has provided players with a very good winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Is tough not to look at given the company run in recently. Has to be given consideration versus this field displaying competitive figs as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 74 under similar conditions. CIRCULODEGANADORAS - Wong has a strong 24 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Ought to compete admirably in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of horses in this race. DISCERNMENT - Has to be considered versus this group of horses displaying quite good numbers lately and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 78 under similar conditions. Has formidable early pace and ought to fare well versus this field.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18700 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 15/1
# 4 PASCAL CHANT 3/1
# 6 BULL SHARK 9/2

I've got to go with GRUMPELSTILTSKIN and is a very good value-based bet given the 15/1 line. With a strong return on investment of +4 this trainer has shown very good results with entries running at this distance and surface. Could best this group based on the speed rating - 69 - of his last affair. PASCAL CHANT - He looks formidable in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Should be considered based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figure earned in the last race. BULL SHARK - Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 78. Should go to the lead and may never look back.