Saturday 4/9/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #31
    Nevada Sharpshooter

    Your free winner for Saturday : Take MEMPHIS/NEW ORLEANS UNDER the total of 230
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #32
      Hawkeye Sports

      Saturday's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers - 160
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #33
        Huddle Up Sports

        KC Keller -118
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #34
          Arthur Ralph

          FreePlay SAT White Sox w/ Cease -145
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #35
            Vegas Steam Line

            Your free winner for Saturday: ATLANTA (Wright) -155 over Cincinnati
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #36
              High Stakes Syndicate

              Free Selection for Saturday: Cincinnati Reds + 145
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #37
                Kenny Towers

                Your Free Pick for Saturday: GS/SA OVER 222
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #38
                  Hollywood Anthony

                  Your Free Play Take Houston -115 (MLB)
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #39
                    Chris Tudor

                    MLB Cleveland/Kansas City OVER the total of 8.5 runs
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #40
                      TAMPASPORTSHANDICAPPER

                      COLORADO ROCKIES -R.LINE +1.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #41
                        Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - April 8

                        SANTA ANITA TIPS - FRIDAY, APRIL 08, 2022
                        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
                        RACE #1 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                        1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 8-5 5 Rhea Moon J J Hernandez
                        PLACE 4-1 1 Kirstenbosch T Baze
                        SHOW 4-1 7 Sweet Talked J Bravo
                        WILD CARD 8-1 4 Dear Beau R A Vazquez
                        ALTERNATE 1 5-2 2 Isola Mia D A Herrera
                        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Violet Storm K Frey
                        * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
                        RACE #2 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                        1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 7-5 5 Midnight Jamboree M E Smith
                        PLACE 7-2 4 Fi Fi Pharoah D A Herrera
                        SHOW 8-5 2 Dream Princess J J Hernandez
                        WILD CARD 8-1 3 Classical Romance R Curatolo
                        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Varoma T Baze
                        * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                        RACE #3 $25,000 CLAIMING
                        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:07 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 7-2 7 Stanford Bay D A Herrera
                        PLACE 5-1 5 Gator Shining R Curatolo
                        SHOW 7-2 1 Smiling Goodbye A Cedillo
                        WILD CARD 5-1 3 Prince Magician K Frey
                        ALTERNATE 1 3-1 2 Thirsty Always T Baze
                        ALTERNATE 2 5-1 8 Perfecto Amor R Ramirez
                        * EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
                        RACE #4 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                        1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:37 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 3-1 6 Queen Ofthe Temple D Van Dyke
                        PLACE 5-1 1 Exit Soul V Espinoza
                        SHOW 5-2 2 Sunny Morning M E Smith
                        WILD CARD 3-1 5 Carroll Girl R A Vazquez
                        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 7 Adelie R Curatolo
                        ALTERNATE 2 5-1 4 Khlass R Gonzalez
                        * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
                        RACE #5 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                        6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:09 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #6 MAGNIFICENT RIDE
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 3-1 6 Magnificent Ride K Frey
                        PLACE 5-2 3 Torrid Tommy R Gonzalez
                        SHOW 7-2 4 Limited Heatwave A Cedillo
                        WILD CARD 3-1 2 Big Hand J J Hernandez
                        ALTERNATE 1 7-2 5 Heavens Music T Baze
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Grazen Sun K Zonett
                        * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                        RACE #6 $40,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                        6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:42 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #4 GRITTY GIRL
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 3-1 4 Gritty Girl K Frey
                        PLACE 4-1 1 Roses and Candy T Baze
                        SHOW 4-1 5 Dancing Dana J J Hernandez
                        WILD CARD 5-2 3 Founders Day M E Smith
                        ALTERNATE 1 2-1 2 Westward Breeze B Blanc
                        * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
                        RACE #7 $40,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                        1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:15 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #7 MONGOLIAN FORD
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 5-2 7 Mongolian Ford E A Maldonado
                        PLACE 4-1 5 Bud Knight T Baze
                        SHOW 6-1 3 Salto de Tigre R Curatolo
                        WILD CARD 3-1 1 Papale D Van Dyke
                        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 4 Bright Leaf J J Hernandez
                        ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Clampett K Frey
                        * EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
                        RACE #8 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                        6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:49 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 3-1 2 Besame Mucho D A Herrera
                        PLACE 5-2 6 Conundrum D Van Dyke
                        SHOW 7-2 4 K P Kwest T Baze
                        WILD CARD 3-1 5 Funkenstein J J Hernandez
                        ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Little Mischief E A Ellingwood
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Erik the Viking K Frey
                        * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #42
                          Keeneland Select Derby Prep Hotlists - April 9

                          April 8, 2022

                          Keeneland Select Derby Prep Hotlists

                          Saturday, April 9, 2022

                          By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt





                          The $1 million Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G1), Keeneland, Race 9

                          9th race – (4) Zandon had a rough trip when third in the Risen Star to start his 3-year-old campaign. With a smooth trip here, he should be able to reach the winner’s circle. (10) Smile Happy rallied for second in the Risen Star but had a better trip than the top pick and must overcome a difficult post here. (1) Commandperformance may be a maiden but he was second in the Grade 1 Champagne and fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He should be able to make his presence felt from the rail. (8) Ethereal Road could make things interesting in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta and trifecta box: 1-4-8-10.

                          The $750,000 Wood Memorial (G2), Aqueduct – race 8

                          The Wood Memorial (G2) drew a field of eight 3-year-olds including three unbeaten horses that will vie for a purse of $750,000 and a share of the Kentucky Derby qualifying points of 100-40-20-10 to the top four finishers.

                          (3) Early Voting (A) won both of his races in a career that began in December with a maiden special weight at Aqueduct going a mile. He then stepped up to win the Withers (G3) on the Kentucky Derby trail by more than four-lengths while defeating Un Ojo who went on to win the Rebel (G2) Oaklawn Park. Trainer Chad Brown left Early Voting to train in New York with an eye on the Wood Memorial. (5) Morello won all three of his races at Aqueduct for trainer Steve Asmussen. Morello moved from a maiden win to the Jimmy Winkfield and then the Gotham, winning each by open-lengths with a significant increase in speed figures each time. He increased in distance each race finally going a mile in the Gotham. (1) Mo Donegal is also a winner at the Big A when he took down the Remsen (G2) in December. In his 2022 debut he was a late rallying third in the Holy Bull (G3) behind White Abarrio and Simplification who both won their next starts on the Derby trail. (7) A. P.’s Secret had his heels clipped in the Fountain of Youth (G2) when he was in third-place with a chance to win and then lost all of his momentum. Betting strategy: Exacta box: 1, 3, 5, 7. Trifecta box: 1, 3, 5, 7.

                          The $750,000 Santa Anita Derby (G1), Santa Anita – race 6

                          The Santa Anita Derby (G1) drew a field of six including the two best 3-year-olds in the west that will vie for a purse of $750,000 and a share of the Kentucky Derby qualifying points of 100-40-20-10 to the top four finishers.

                          (3) Forbidden Kingdom was the very fast front-end winner of his two starts this year in the San Vicente (G2) and then the San Felipe (G2) as he stretched out from seven furlongs to 1 1/16 miles. The Richard Mandella runner seems to be much more relaxed this year when allowed to settle on the lead. (4) Messier was moved to the barn of trainer Tim Yakteen to try and qualify for the Kentucky Derby. His 15-length victory in the Robert B. Lewis (G3) back in February overwhelmed an uncompetitive field. The two-month layoff may be of concern when you try and choose between the top two. (5) Win the Day moved from turf to dirt and broke his maiden by more than five-lengths for Doug O’Neill. (6) Talba was also moved to Tim Yakteen after his debut victory last month that earned a triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure. Betting strategy: Exacta: 3 with 4.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #43
                            Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | April 9, 2022

                            April 8, 2022

                            Race 7 at Keeneland | Saturday April 9 | Post Time 3:55 PM Eastern

                            Madison Stakes – Grade 1 | Purse $500,000 | Seven Furlongs | Fillies and Mares, Four Years Old and Upward


                            The Madison Stakes is always a thrilling race, no much more than this year with last year’s winner Kimari (6) returning and last year’s Madison runner-up Bell’s the One (5) returning as well, plus other horses which have won similar stakes races.

                            In spite of the two powerhouse mares above, the NOW horse is Just One Time (4), a phrase many a bettor has shouted in their lifetimes. Just One Time is a lightly raced, newly turned four year old with a record of five-for-six in her career. She’s thrown in just one clunker in her lifetime and better still she enters the race off a win in a nearly identical race to this one, the seven furlong Inside Information Stakes in Florida at the end of January. She loves short rests like the one she’s coming back from here and she can stalk the pace or rally from far back as well. Her last two workouts were spectacular and she still has improving to do as a four year old compared to most of the rest of these which are five and six so I give her slight preference.

                            That being said, Kimari (6), being seven- for-10 in the U.S., is one tough mare. She is a perfect two-for-two at Keeneland including last year’s Madison and she won her 2022 comeback last month after four months off and is on a pattern just as she was last year when winning this race.

                            Bell’s the One (5) has won 11 of 22 races and $1.5 million dollars in her career which includes three wins at Keeneland. She is making her 2022 debut and her fast closing runner-up finish behind Kimari in last year’s Madison came off a layoff so another “A” race is likely.

                            Club Car (8) is not a win contender for me but it would be a mistake to leave her off any exacta or trifecta tickets played, evidenced by her career record (5-10-5 in 24 races) in which she has demonstrated she is competitive but just shy of good enough to win these kinds of races. She missed in last fall’s TCA Stakes by a neck to Bell’s the One and was second to that one again one month later in the Dream Supreme Stakes at Churchill Downs.



                            Win bets:

                            Just One Time (4) to win at odds of 9 to 5.

                            Please note that minimum odds on Kimari (6) and on Bell’s the One (5) are around 9 to 5 as well but in this case I think the value will be on only Just One Time as far as a profitable win wager is concerned.

                            Exacta:

                            Just One Time (4), Bell’s the One (5) and Kimari (6) over Just One Time (4), Bell’s the One (5), Kimari (6) and Club Car (8).

                            Trifecta:

                            Just One Time (4), Bell’s the One (5) and Kimari (6) over ALL over Just One Time (4), Bell’s the One (5), Kimari (6) and Club Car (8).

                            When the exacta and trifecta above are both played, we can win if any two of the three main contenders (Just One Time, Bell’s The One) finish first and second or first and third, with any horse finishing second, and we can win both bets if any of the top three selections wins then if any two of those three plus Club Car finishes second and third.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #44
                              Keeneland FULLCARD Hotlist - April 9

                              April 8, 2022

                              Today’s Keeneland Hot List fullcard selections
                              Saturday, April 9, 2022
                              Toyota Blue Grass Stakes Day

                              By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

                              Hot List Key:
                              A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                              *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                              *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
                              * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

                              1st race – (4) Scotland Yard set the pace at Fair Grounds in his debut but settled for second. Should appreciate the short stretch here. (11) Pioneering Spirit just missed with a wide rally. Will be a force if he can overcome an outside post. (7) Magia Nera missed by a neck last time and deserves respect here. (12) Enough Already has talent but landed a tough post.

                              2nd race – (10) Jeeper was an improved second last time and should graduate here. (6) Bourbon Heist adds blinkers and should fare better than a fifth-place finish last time. (9) Civics Class could be a threat in his debut. (5) Emirates Road might be better suited on a fast track.

                              3rd race - (5) Nevisian Sunrise can start her 2022 campaign on a winning note after closing last year with a third in a stakes. (8) Millefeuille was second after a long layoff and should be the main rival. (3) Longpants Required will appreciate a return to turf. (4) Pentagon had a useful prep for this at Tampa.

                              4th race – (9) Macallan was a sharp winner at Tampa for Pletcher and looks best in this spot. (5) Naval Aviator missed by a head last time and will be a main contender. (10) Iron Works is working nicely for this start and should be formidable. (3) American Sanctuary may appreciate the stretchout.

                              5th race – The Commonwealth Stakes, G3 - (5) Nashville finally returned to top form last time and looks best here. (7) South Bend could be a menace in the stretch. (10) Prevalence seems razor sharp and should be a prime threat. (1) Manny Wah may work out a good trip from the rail.

                              6h race – The Appalachian Stakes Presented by Japan Racing Association - (4) Dolce Zel rallied nicely to win her U.S. debut and can make it two in a row here. (3) Spendarella looks like the one to catch in the stretch. (2) An Agent Mistake was second in a Santa Anita stakes and merits consideration here. (7) Ouraika should handle the added ground with aplomb.

                              7th race – The Madison Stakes, G1 - (5) Bell’s the One is now 6 but still looks best in this field and should be hard to fend off in the stretch. (8) Club Car was second to the top pick on a couple of occasions last year and can complete the exacta here. (9) Kalypso makes her first start since being moved from Baffert and seems ready for a sharp try for Asmussen. (3) Lady Rocket has keen early speed and should be tough to reel in.

                              8th race – The Shakertown Stakes, G2 - (10) Golden Pal makes his first start since winning the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint and seems on edge for a big effort. (9) Filo Di Arianna hasn’t raced since June but looked good enough in his North American debut to be a factor here. (8) Johnny Unleashed might figure in the exotics here. (5) Gear Jockey could be dangerous on his best try.

                              9th race – The Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, G1 - (4) Zandon had a rough trip when third in the Risen Star to start his 3-year-old campaign. With a smooth trip here, he should be able to reach the winner’s circle. (10) Smile Happy rallied for second in the Risen Star but had a better trip than the top pick and must overcome a difficult post here. (1) Commandperformance may be a maiden but he was second in the Grade 1 Champagne and fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He should be able to make his presence felt from the rail. (8) Ethereal Road could make things interesting in the final furlong.

                              10th race – (11) Into Vanishing wasn’t helped by the post position draw, but has the most talent and gets the nod in this spot. (9) Tabor Hall has been away since June but is working quickly for her return. (12) Semble Juste gets Lasix again and is worth a long look. (4) Illiogami broke her maiden here and should be in the mix.

                              11th race – (10) Momos has plenty of speed and may not look back from an outside post. (11) Artemus Citylimits has been no worse than third in his last 10 starts and definitely belongs in the exotics. (4) Infinite has been away for a year but Ward excels off the layoff. (7) Souper Dormy looms a stretch threat here.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371089

                                #45
                                Aqueduct Hotlist - April 9

                                April 8, 2022

                                Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, April 9, 2022 at Aqueduct
                                By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

                                Hot List Key:
                                A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                                *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                                *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
                                * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

                                2nd race [Alw 82000 N1X, 6F] – (2) Timed Out (A) has a pair of seconds since coming back from a long layoff. Last time she lost a head bob after being bumped and badly herded down the stretch. (1) Monshun won her debut at Saratoga last summer and then returned last month to finish second in the Cicada. She will get Lasix for the first time in this allowance as a 3-year-old. (6) Fight on Lucy also has two place-finishes in her most recent starts at this allowance level. (5) Lanfrankophile was the winner of a starter allowance at the Big A last time.

                                3rd race [Md Sp Wt, 1 mi TURF] – (1) Howe Street (B) was scratched before what was supposed to be his debut after an incident in the paddock at Aqueduct. Before his bad behavior he looked like a horse with lots of talent. (11) Al’s Rocket has been off since December when the turf course closed at Aqueduct. He finished second twice then and now is a gelding and gets Lasix for Todd Pletcher. (4) Corton Charlemagne sold for $1.25 million and makes his first start for the Clement barn. He is a half-brother of Neolithic and Travel Column. (9) Cognitive Bias will debut for Chad Brown and is out of a mare that produced 2 stakes winners already.

                                10th race [Gazelle (G3), 1 1/8 mi] – (5) Venti Valentine is just a neck short of being undefeated in her four-race career. In the Demoiselle (G2) as a juvenile she was beaten by the talented Nest. In her 2022 debut in the Busher at Aqueduct, the New York-bred won by seven lengths. She is a half-sister to the 2019 Busher winner Espresso Shot who was also trainer by Jorge Abreu. (6) Classy Edition is another talented NY-bred and she was unbeaten as a 2-year-old for Todd Pletcher. In her first start of the year she ran second behind the currently undefeated filly Kathleen O. in the Davona Dale (G2) at Gulfstream Park. (1) Morning Matcha finished in the top three in all nine of her starts including the Busanda at the Big A in January. (4) Shotgun Hattie was transferred to the New York barn of trainer Bill Morey and won the Ruthless in February and then was second behind the top choice in the Busher.

                                11th race [Bay Shore (G3), 7F] – (6) Highly Respected (A) was a debut winner for Chad Brown in February at Aqueduct against a very strong field which was evident when you notice that he won at very high odds of 7-1 for a Brown first-time starter. (5) Dean’s List won his first two races for Todd Pletcher at Gulfstream and then was second in the Gotham (G3) on the Kentucky Derby trail after setting the pace. He showed a lot of courage battling down the stretch in that one-turn mile and should appreciate the cut back in distance to seven furlongs. (9) Wit was an open-length winner of his first two starts last year which included the Sanford (G3) at Saratoga. He was then second in the Hopeful (G1) and third in the Champagne (G1). This will be his first of this year for the Pletcher runner. (10) Life Is Great ran behind the unbeaten Wood Memorial favorite in Morello in his last two starts. Expect him to compete down the stretch for a top three finish.



                                Best bets: Timed Out (2nd); Venti Valentine (10th). Best value: Howe Street (3rd); Highly Respected (11th).

                                Saturday Pick 3 Special --
                                The Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 2 – 4
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