Wednesday 4/27/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 06:17 AM

National League
NY Mets (14-5) @ St Louis (9-7)
— Carrasco is 1-0, 1.47 in his first three starts.
— New York is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 0-1, 2.84 in two starts vs St Louis

— Mets are 11-3 in their last 14 games.
— Mets are 9-3 on road.
— under 10-5-2 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-6

— Former Met Matz is 2-0, 0.84 in his last two starts.
— Cardinals are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 0-1, 3.18 in one start vs New York.

— Cardinals lost their last three games.
— St Louis is 3-3 at home.
— under 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3

Los Angeles (12-5) @ Arizona (7-11)
— Urias is 1-0, 0.90 in his last two starts.
— Dodgers are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 7-1, 1.55 in nine games (6 starts) vs Arizona.

— Dodgers won 11 of last 14 games.
— Los Angeles is 6-4 on road.
— under 11-5-1
— scored run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-4

— Gallen is 0-0, 1.00 in his first two starts
— Arizona is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-2
— He is 1-2, 2.88 in seven starts vs Los Angeles.

— Diamondbacks lost three of last five games.
— Arizona is 4-7 at home.
— under is 14-4 in their games
— scored run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-7

Milwaukee (11-7) @ Pittsburgh (8-9)
— Ashby allowed three runs in 4 IP (74 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— Brewers are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He threw 4 shutout IP in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Brewers won seven of last nine games.
— Milwaukee is 6-4 on road.
— under 10-3-2 last 15
— scored run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4

— Wilson is 0-0, 6.35 in three starts.
— Pirates are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He is 0-2, 6.23 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Pirates won three of their last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-3 at home.
— six of last eight games under
— scored run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10

San Diego (11-7) @ Cincinnati (3-14)
— Gore is 1-1, 1.74 in his first two MLB starts.
— Padres are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He blanked Cincinnati for 5 IP Thursday.

— Padres won six of last eight games.
— San Diego is 5-3 on road.
— under 8-4 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-2

— Gutierrez is 0-3, 5.54 in three starts.
— Reds are 0-3 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 0-2, 9.00 in three starts vs San Diego.

— Reds lost 12 of their last 13 games.
— Cincinnati is 1-5 at home.
— under 3-3 at home
— scored run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 3-13-1

Colorado (10-7) @ Philadelphia (7-10)
— bullpen game

— Colorado lost 8-2/10-3 last two games.
— Rockies are 4-3 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2

— Suarez is 1-0, 4.05 in three starts.
— Philles are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 9 IP in two games (1 start) vs Colorado.

— Phillies won four of their last six games.
— Philly is 6-5 at home.
— over 7-3-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-4

Miami (8-8) @ Washington (6-13)
— Lopez is 2-0, 0.52 in his first three starts.
— Marlins are 3-0 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 3-2, 5.12 in nine starts vs Washington.

— Miami won four of its last five games.
— Marlins are 4-5 on the road.
— under five of last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3

— Fedde is 1-1, 7.43 in three starts.
— Washington is 2-1 in his starts.
— Under is 1-1-1 in his starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 4-0, 1.43 in seven starts vs Miami.

— Washington lost its last six games.
— Nationals are 3-9 at home.
— under 9-3 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-13-1

Cubs (7-10) @ Atlanta (8-10)
— Leiter is 0-1, 11.05 in his first two starts.
— Cubs are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 0-1, 4.05 in one start vs Atlanta.

— Cubs lost six of their last seven games.
— Cubs are 3-4 on road
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1

— Morton is 1-2, 6.32 in his first three starts.
— Braves are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 4-6, 5.27 in 15 starts vs Chicago.

— Braves are 5-7 in last 12 games.
— Atlanta is 5-6 at home.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1

American League
Kansas City (6-9) @ White Sox (6-10)
— Greinke is 0-1, 2.30 in his first three starts.
— Royals are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
— He is 3-7, 5.50 in 13 games (11 starts) at Chicago.

— Kansas City lost nine of its last 13 games.
— Royals are 1-4 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-6

— Cease is 2-1, 3.38 in his first three starts.
— Chicago is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 3-2, 2.96 in nine starts vs Kansas City.

— White Sox lost their last eight games.
— Chicago is 4-3 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1

Seattle (11-6) @ Tampa Bay (9-8)
— Gonzales is 1-1, 8.56 in his first three starts.
— Mariners are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 3-0, 2.84 in five starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Mariners are 8-2 in their last ten games.
— Seattle is 4-4 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-17
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-1

— Rasmussen is 0-1, 5.25 in his first three starts.
— Rays are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He threw 1.2 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs Seattle.

— Tampa Bay won five of its last eight games.
— Rays are 6-5 at home.
— under 7-4 at home
— scored run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2

Boston (7-11) @ Toronto (12-6)
— Wacha is 2-0, 1.88 in his first three starts.
— Red Sox are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
— He is 0-1, 4.76 in four games (3 starts) vs Toronto.

— Red Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
— Boston is 4-7 on road.
— under 8-2-1 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-5

— Stripling is 0-0, 3.38 in two starts.
— Toronto is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 2-3, 7.50 in six starts vs Boston.

— Blue Jays are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Toronto is 6-2 at home.
— under 11-7
— scored run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5

Baltimore (6-11) @ New York (11-6)
— Wells is 0-2, 6.75 in his first three starts (8 IP).
— Orioles are 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 0-1, 3.09 in seven games (1 start) vs New York.

— Orioles are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Baltimore is 3-8 on the road.
— over 4-1 last five games, after under 10-1-1 in first 12
— scored run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-4

— Montgomery is 0-1, 0.82 in his last two starts.
— New York is 0-3 in his starts, scoring four runs total.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 3-1, 2.85 in 13 starts vs Baltimore.

— New York is 6-1 in its last seven games.
— New York is 8-3 at home.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-2-5

Detroit (6-10) @ Minnesota (9-8)
— Pineda threw 5 shutout IP in his first ‘22 start.
— Detroit is 1-0 in his starts
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-1, 3.54 in five starts vs Minnesota.
— Pineda pitched for Minnesota from 2019-21.

— Tigers are 2-6 in last eight games.
— Detroit is 2-2 on road.
— under 9-4 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-3

— Ryan is 2-1, 1.69 in his first three starts.
— Twins are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He gave up six runs in 4.2 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

— Minnesota won its last five games.
— Twins are 6-4 at home.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2

Houston (8-9) @ Texas (6-11)
— Javier is making his first ‘22 start.
— He is 9-3, 3.35 in 51 MLB games (19 starts)
— This year, he’s thrown 8.1 scoreless IP in three relief stints.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He is 3-0, 2.84 in eight games (4 starts) vs Texas.

— Astros lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Houston is 6-5 on road.
— under 7-3-1 on road
— scored run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2

— Otto allowed a run in 5 IP (75 PT) in his first ‘22 start.
— Rangers are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 0-1, 7.56 in two starts vs Houston.

— Rangers won four of last six games.
— Texas is 2-6 at home.
— over 6-4-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 1-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-4

Cleveland (7-10) @ Angels (11-7)
— Plesac is 1-1, 2.04 in three starts.
— Cleveland is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 2-0, 2.81 in two starts against the Angels.

— Guardians are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— Cleveland is 1-10 if they score less than six runs.
— Cleveland is 4-7 on road.
— over 9-6 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5

— Ohtani is 1-2, 4.40 in his first three starts.
— Angels are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 0-0, 3.86 in one start vs Cleveland.

— Angels won fiveof their last seven games.
— Angels are 6-5 at home.
— over 7-4-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2

Interleague game
A’s (9-9) @ San Francisco (13-5)
— Blackburn is 2-0, 1.80 in his first three starts.
— A’s are 3-0 in his starts, scoring 26 runs.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He is 1-0, 7.11 in one start vs San Francisco.

— A’s are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Oakland is 5-6 on road.
— under 10-8
— scored run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-3

— bullpen game

— Giants won six of last seven games.
— San Francisco is 5-2 at home.
— under 11-6-1
— scored run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:33 AM

Keeneland Tip Sheet - April 27

April 27, 2022

KEENELAND TIPS - WEDNESDAY, APRIL 27, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $10,000 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	3	Kittys Promise	T Canuto
PLACE	4-1	2	Especially You	R Mojica Jr.
SHOW	2-1	1	Ancient Brown	A Beschizza
WILD CARD	5-2	5	Princess Renee	M Murrill

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Smokin Hot Bobbie	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Bow Maker	J Padron-Barcenas

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

RACE #2 $110,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/2 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	6	Bella Conchita	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	7-5	5	Federalist Papers	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	5-1	3	Good Measure	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	7-2	1	Met in Miami	J Rosario

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	2	Noble Enterprise	V Cheminaud
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	4	Three Tipsy Chix	J R Leparoux

* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #3 $20,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	3	Fortunes Fool	J Rosado
PLACE	3-1	2	Bless the Kitten	A Jimenez
SHOW	6-1	5	Hemp Heaven	A Achard
WILD CARD	5-2	1	My Bariley	R Bejarano

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	4	Ballinonabudjet	A Beschizza

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

RACE #4 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 GEORGETOWN ROAD

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	7	Georgetown Road	T Gaffalione
PLACE	15-1	4	Trouble Making	A Beschizza
SHOW	3-1	1	Chardy Party	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	9-2	11	Doozy Batz	J R Velazquez

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	9	Never At All	J McKee
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Xtreme Gem	J Graham

* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/4/11 BOX

RACE #5 $100,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-2	9	Coco Puff	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	8-1	11	West Love	C J Lanerie
SHOW	4-1	1	American Heights	G Corrales
WILD CARD	9-2	6	Midnightmakessense	L Saez

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Nosilverspoonshere	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	8	Darene	T Gaffalione

* EXACTA: 9-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/9/11 BOX, 1/6/11 BOX

RACE #6 $120,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 FLORIFORM

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	9	Floriform	J Rosario
PLACE	12-1	10	Monition	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	7-2	1	Cellist	J R Leparoux
WILD CARD	6-1	11	Point Me By	L Saez

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	5	Skyro	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Absam	I Ortiz Jr.

* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/9/10 BOX, 1/10/11 BOX

RACE #7 $50,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Expensive Cut	A Beckman
PLACE	9-5	3	Down Cold	T Gaffalione
SHOW	3-1	5	Silent Disco	R Gutierrez
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Bureau	J Rosario

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Maximum Impact	A Beschizza

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #8 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 SPARE CASH

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	4	Spare Cash	T Gaffalione
PLACE	3-1	5	American Pyramid	J R Velazquez
SHOW	6-1	10	Diva Ready	L Saez
WILD CARD	20-1	6	Robins Fantasy	R Bejarano

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	16	Aboukir Bay	A Beschizza
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	12	Honeycomb	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/10 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:34 AM

Keeneland Hotlist - April 27

April 27, 2022

Today’s Keeneland Hot List races to watch
Wednesday, April 27, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race – (5) Federalist Papers (B) ran wide while finishing third on Tapeta. Figures to thrive back on turf. (6) Bella Conchita should be suited by the distance. (3) Good Measure could fit in nicely with this group. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6.
4th race – (1) Chardy Party debuts for Ward and may not look back from the rail. (12) Devious could like turf and has a nice turn of speed from the outside post. (11) Doozy Batz is another Ward firster who deserves consideration. (7) Georgetown Road has an interesting turf pedigree. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-7-11-12 with 2-4-8-9. Doubles: 1-7-11-12 with 2-4-8-9. Pick 3: 1-7-11-12 with 2-4-8-9 with 5-9-10-11.
5th race – (2) Nosilverspoonshere debuts for Cox in a claimer and may prove best. (8) Darene put in a nice gate work for her career debut and can be a contender. (4) Nibbles is worth a look off the Hiles claim. (9) CoCo Puff should turn in a better try in a dirt claimer. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-8-9. Doubles: 2-4-8-9 with 5-9-10-11.
6th race – (9) Floriform was a solid third in a graded turf stakes at Tampa Bay and merits top billing here. (11) Point Me By has been freshened since February and seems ready for a strong effort in this field. (5) Skyro was a game second last time and cannot be ignored here. (10) Monition missed by a neck when second after a four-month break and can be formidable. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-9-10-11.
8th race – (4) Spare Cash was second in her last two starts and should transfer that sharp form from synthetics to turf. (9) Saffron Moon might perk up on turf. (7) Take Joy had useful comeback race and should be in better shape for this try. (5) American Pyramid could be tough to collar in this spot. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-7-9.

No.

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

Comment

(5)

Federalist Papers

B, 2/10

2 Kee

Will welcome a return to turf

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:35 AM

Today’s Free Horse Picks – Wednesday, April 27th 2022
By Reggie Garrett

We are covering 6 tracks on Wednesday, April 27th, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Charles Town, Parx and more. Good luck and enjoy!

Charles Town – 7:00 ET
Race 1: 6 Majestic Seas
Race 2: 1 Mary’s Jewel
Race 3: 9 Royal Pain
Race 4: 3 Tyry Tyrannosaurus
Race 5: 6 Ellies Lil Castle
Race 6: 3 Fiber Strong
Race 7: 1 Nice n’ Broad
Race 8: 7 Ellie’s Lil Man

Keeneland – 1:00 ET
Race 1: 2 Especially You
Race 2: 6 Bella Conchita
Race 3: 1 My Bariley
Race 4: 7 Georgetown Road
Race 5: 1 American Heights
Race 6: 5 Skyro
Race 7: 1 Bureau
Race 8: 9 Saffron Moon

Parx – 12:55 ET
Race 1: 4 Tomater Gator
Race 2: 6 Sophia Lauren
Race 3: 6 Sheknowsthedrill
Race 4: 9 Hotpot
Race 5: 2 Jean Valjean
Race 6: 1 Ms Canela
Race 7: 8 Beaver Creek
Race 8: 5 Tangerine Dream
Race 9: 3 Hooray for Harvey
Race 10: 6 World Gone Wild
Race 11: 1 A Gray for Carolyn

Tampa Bay Downs – 12:40 ET
Race 1: 4 Lloydly
Race 2: 2 Aycapote
Race 3: 1 Hurry Up Dear
Race 4: 7 Plunk
Race 5: 2 Fierce Warrior
Race 6: 6 Azura
Race 7: 5 Swift Dancer
Race 8: 10 Magical Adventure
Race 9: 8 I’m Buzzy

Turf Paradise – 1:25 PT
Race 1: 7 Nineteen Crimes
Race 2: 4 Jess Good Taki
Race 3: 1 Ax Man
Race 4: 7 Nacho S
Race 5: 1 Friend of Autism
Race 6: 6 Flower Beach
Race 7: 2 Outlaw
Race 8: 4 Sandra C

Will Rogers Downs – 1:00 CT
Race 1: 4 Monster River
Race 2: 2 Major Griffin
Race 3: 4 Who Spent It
Race 4: 2 Limbo’s Promise
Race 5: 5 I Can’t Tell Ya
Race 6: 1 Sunday’s Vision
Race 7: 9 Confess
Race 8: 1 You Sexy Boy
Race 9: 5 Sweet Tea Red

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:35 AM

DRF's Horse Racing Playbook for Wednesday, April 27, 2022
DRF Staff

Daily Racing Form has served as the most trusted source of news and information about the sport since 1894, and moving forward we have decided to provide a free daily playbook – something that both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day’s action.

1:42 TAM 3rd BAROLA (#5, 5-1) makes his first start for trainer Matthew Kintz and that makes her a threat by default, as the barn wins at a strong 39% with new faces; first start off the layoff and now back at Tampa, and though she was off the board in her only try over this course she endured a tumultuous trip against better. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:14 TAM 4th PLUNK (#7, 5-1) was well off the board in his debut despite taking enough money to make him the 8/5 favorite but he had no chance in that sprint after a slow start left him well off the pace in a race that ultimately set up well for the pacesetters; now goes long in his second career start for a barn that does well with horses stretching out from sprints to routes. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:36 KEE 4th LEAVE IT BE (#10, 15-1) debuts with at least mildly encouraging workout times and with a win-early, turf-sprint pedigree. This is the first foal from a dam who won her second race and whose dam, Over the Edge, won her career debut, a sprint, with a 98 Beyer. Sire Street Boss is above average getting turf sprinters generally and I rate him higher than that with horses trying a turf sprint for the first time. -Marcus Hersh | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:46 TAM 5th MELINA'S DREAM (#5, 6-1) gets back on the turf for the first time since early January, and that effort suggests that this is his best surface, as the resulting Beyer fits very well he ran quite well in defeat, showing late foot to finish third; leading trainer Gerald Bennett's record with horses stretching out from sprints to routes is another plus. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:08 KEE 5th Casa de Goat's Saturday romp gave trainer Brad Cox four winners from his last five first-time starters at Keeneland. Not much to report on the pedigree front regarding the Cox-trained firster NOSILVERSPOONSHERE (#2, 5-1), but she has posted good workout times going three furlongs and five furlongs. -Marcus Hersh | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:22 TAM 8th MAGICAL ADVENTURE (#10, 4-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Kenny Peck). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:44 KEE 8th UNDER ONE SKY (#1, 15-1) has enough natural ability that she was second in her career debut late last summer behind subsequent Jessamine Stakes winner California Angel. Things went south from there during the 2yo campaign but now comes a fresh start and first Lasix. Have to think she'll be well off the pace and there are any number of speed elements entered here. -Marcus Hersh | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:19 TUP 5th FOXY CARMELA (#10, 6-1) just didn't care for the turf or two turns in her most recent which is a bit surprising as turf breeding is solid. New barn is 26% off the claim. Connections are in the black with a win plus claim. Lopez gets a leg up and is 33% for team Evans. This mare likes this dirt but loves this distance and she draws best. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:48 TUP 6th FORTY FATHOMS (#3, 8-1) is the value. This race came up light on pace and we think this gelding can take advantage if connections try for the front end. Weight break helps front speed and this gelding draws fine. His most recent was a tad better you know. Second time this jock is another plus. -Scott Ehlers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:35 AM

Hong Kong Selections for Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Andrew Le Jeune:

R1: 1-3-4-6
R2: 8-5-2-1
R3: 8-6-1-7
R4: 4-7-10-2
R5: 5-3-8-4
R6: 4-5-1-10
R7: 1-9-10-5
R8: 4-2-3-1
R9: 10-2-1-3

Best: R8 #4 Crossford
Each/way: R9 #10 Atomic Force
Play: Q/QP R9 1-2-10

Paul Lally:

R1: 1-3-6-4
R2: 3-4-11-2
R3: 1-6-7-9
R4: 4-7-10-2
R5: 4-5-3-8
R6: 5-4-10-1
R7: 1-2-6-10
R8: 8-4-2-7
R9: 3-1-8-10

Best Bet R6 5 Gang Of Brothers
Longshot R5 4 Perfect Peach
Play R6 QQP 4-5-10

Mark McNamara:

R1: 1.4.3.6
R2: 10.8.2.4
R3: 1.6.8.2
R4: 7.1.4.9
R5: 8.5.2.3
R6: 5.1.4.8
R7: 1.2.5.8
R8: 3.8.1.7
R9: 8.1.9.4

Best Bet R7 1 Rewarding Together
Longshot R2 10 Red Brick Glory
Play R4 1.2.5.8

Nick Child:

R1: 1-3-4-5
R2: 2-8-7-6
R3: 6-8-1-10
R4: 1-4-7-9
R5: 5-2-4-6
R6: 5-1-8-2
R7: 2-5-2-8
R8: 1-8-4-3
R9: 1-8-3-9

Best Bet R3 – 6 WINNING VOLATILITY
Longshot R2 – 2 MASTER ALBERT
Play R3 Q/QP 1-6-8

Tom Wood:

R1: 1-3-4-2-6
R2: 7-2-8-1-3
R3: 1-6-2-8-7
R4: 1-7-9-10-4
R5: 5-3-8-4-2
R6: 5-4-8-1-11
R7: 3-5-1-6-2
R8: 4-8-7-6-3
R9: 8-1-10-11-9

BEST: R9 – 8 STOLTZ (WIN)
NEXT BEST: R6 – 5 GANG OF BROTHERS
VALUE: R7 – 3 WIND N GRASS (EW)
PLAY: R9 – QQP 1,8,10

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:35 AM

Keeneland Picks: Last 3 days of the meet begins on April 27
By J.N. Campbell

Keeneland Picks - Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Race 1: 1-5-3-2
Race 2: 5-3-6-1
Race 3: 2-4-1-3
Race 4: 5-1-7-11
Race 5: 3-9-1-2
Race 6: 12-11-5-2
Race 7: 5-3-1-5
Race 8: 9-4-5-10
**Most Likely: Saffron Moon #9 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Beautiful Farewell #3 (Race 5)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 8: Saffron Moon #9, 5/1):

On the turf at Keeneland we have a good group of maiden fillies (3 and 4-yr-olds) that will be going up against one another around 2-turns. I want to play Chad Brown’s lay-off entry because he has exceptional numbers in spots like these. A daughter of Malibu Moon, she cut her teeth on the track at Saratoga and Belmont back in August-September-October … With more maturity to her credit, she should be ready to start her campaign. Brown is using this spot as a tune-up, with more to comes as the season develops. I am sure he has plans for her … With Flavien Prat aboard, I think she will be the one at the wire.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #9

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 5: Beautiful Farewell #3, 12/1):

The Turfway shippers to Central Kentucky get lost in the Keeneland shuffle. It might have to do with bettors' concerns about them sometimes making the switch from the Tapeta to the dirt. I like this one from Robert Medina’s stable because here is a filly by Frosted that is dropping out of MSW Co. She hasn’t run all that poorly for this barn, and this might be the spot to back her. Against this field, which includes some 1st time starters, she might be catching this group at the right time. Florent Geroux is a jockey upgrade to say the least, and if she can get close or on the lead, then she has a shot. Boxcar price on the tote at Keeneland? Yes, please …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #3 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 6: Turf, 1 1/16th, ALLW120kn2x, 4+):

Taking to the Haggin Turf Course, it should be pretty firmed up after a weekend of no rain. I would advise checking the conditions and the placement of the temporary rail, which could be “out.” We shall see … Whatever comes our way, I am intrigued by this race because it has a good field of 12, plus a trio of AEs. I do not think that Eddie Kenneally’s Point Me By #11 is going to be anywhere near 6/1 come post time, because this barn is hot, and Luis Saez is piloting a colt by Point of Entry that is dropping out of the G3 Fair Grounds S. He is going to take money, and that will drive his price down. I am sure that Brian Lynch’s Skyro #5 is also worth a look not only because the gelding by Verrazano gets leading rider Tyler Gaffalione, but also because this is one of those Gulfstream invaders. The 4-yr-old comes in sharp when it comes to form, and if he gets a solid break from the gate, rating close to the frontend, then he has a major chance to win. I am going to take a shot against both of these entries, because I am a major fan of Mark Casse’s Palazzi #12. I saw this colt as a 3-yr-old get-up just in time to win the Texas Mile $200k at Sam Houston, and he has built some very nice class lines since. Even though he missed the board in his ’22 debut @FG in an OC40kn2x, this should be a great opportunity to bet a well-bred runner owned by John Oxley. Based on his latest work tab at Churchill, I think Casse had the choice of this race, or one under the Twin Spires on their new Matt Winn lawn. Opting for Keeneland tells me that he thinks he can grab a score. The addition of Florent Geroux is welcome, and I like the price at double-digit odds. Here is the bet …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Wheel, 12 w 5/11 w 5/11

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:36 AM

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 27th April 2022
By: Racing and Sports

Racing and Sports highlight our standout plays at Australian TAB meetings for April 27.

Australian thoroughbred Tab meeting is today held at Warwick Farm, Sale, Ipswich, Mt Gambier and Pinjarra Scarpside.

WARWICK FARM: RACE 2 @ 2:35 PM

A lot to learn here with many of these babies on debut. RINGMASTER (5) is at the races for the first time but looked very handy winning a recent Randwick trial and should be respected from a good barn for two-year-olds. SURREAL LEO (8) wasn't disgraced at Hawkesbury and can play a role with natural improvement. The well-related LUNA ROCKS (10) best of the rest.
SELECTIONS: Ringmaster to win.

As a FREE Racing and Sports offer, below is the Warwick Farm Computer Card.

SALE: RACE 6 @ 3:20 PM

ISLAND EDITION (2) has had plenty of chances now and has run well without winning since the maiden success. One win from nine but without a bad run in sight and this looks a lovely chance for him to get some reward for effort. Brings a string of ratings to the table that say he is good enough to take care of these. Respecting MT BULLER (5) off the dominant win at Ararat, for all that there might not have been a lot chasing him, and clearly HARANNDA (4) has a dangerous profile. Another to win last time out, back in Ireland, and she has jumped out in Australia as though she has settled in. MADDOX (7) just peaked on the run fresh. Fitter and has a hope.
SELECTIONS: Keen on Island Edition getting the elusive second win.

IPSWICH: RACE 7 @ 4:03 PM

DEVASTATING (4) has just been beaten both starts back and the on-pacer comes back plenty in grade. Has the speed to manage the awkward barrier and it's hard to risk the potent Maloney-Gollan linkage. FIRST PEOPLES (5) is a leader who was good at Beaumont (Newcastle) two back and will take running down. KARAOKE QUEEN (10) has been good both runs back and finds easier. Darws out but expect the longer sprint to suit. READY FOR ANYTHING (6) will be better for the firs-up run and Darws low with Thompson booked. In the mix.
SELECTIONS: Backing Devastating to win.

MT GAMBIER: RACE 6 @ 4:15 PM

NERRIVIK (8) didn't beat much of a field at Clare on debut but did it in style. She has the breeding to go further and should really win this race as well. RECREANT (3) was just as impressive as the top selection on debut when he came with a sustained burst to win going away. He is a five year old having his second career run so he has been given plenty of time to mature. This fellow has not finished winning yet. Watch closely. AMFISSA (1) has improved at each of her two runs this time in and should be even sharper third up, she drops in class for this assignment and is ready to show her best. Can win.
SELECTIONS: Nerrivik win bet.

PINJARRA SCARPSIDE: RACE 6 @ 3:35 PM

VITAL TIMES (10 has had three placings from six runs this prep. Only just missed last start when coming from eighth on the turn to finish a nose second over 1500m after making a slow start. If she can begin on level terms with her rivals today, she should be winning here. MONEY FOR MUSIC (7) finished two lengths off the winner for fourth when making his racing debut last start at Albany. Will strip a lot fitter today and has solid each-way claims. PRESIDENT SAM (3) has two placings from four runs this prep and ran on strongly from fifth on the turn here last start to finish second. Rates well on that last start performance and should be finishing in the top three. LET THEM ALL TALK (4) faded from second on the turn to finish fourth over 1600m here last time out in what was just his second raceday start. He will strip fitter today and should be finishing in the money.
SELECTIONS: Vital Times to win

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:36 AM

Charles Town Picks - Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Race 1: 2-1-6-4
Race 2: 5-1-6-3
Race 3: 3-5-9-8
Race 4: 3-1-6-4
Race 5: 7-1-4-3
Race 6: 2-3-5-7
Race 7: 8-1-4-2
Race 8: 5-4-9-1
**Most Likely Winner: Be Be Bop #2 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Feisty And Sassy #5 (Race 8)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:36 AM

Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks - Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Race 1: 2-4-6-1
Race 2: 2-3-7-5
Race 3: 3-1-2-7
Race 4: 6-1-9-4
Race 5: 2-9-5-6
Race 6: 5-3-4-7
Race 7: 3-5-4-1
Race 8: 1-9-6-4
Race 9: 7-8-2-4
Race 10: 8-3-6-10
**Most Likely Winner: Last Hurrah #6 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Forever A Champ #2 (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:36 AM

Keeneland Picks - Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Race 1: 1-5-3-2
Race 2: 5-3-6-1
Race 3: 2-4-1-3
Race 4: 5-1-7-11
Race 5: 3-9-1-2
Race 6: 12-11-5-2
Race 7: 5-3-1-5
Race 8: 9-4-5-10
**Most Likely: Saffron Moon #9 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Beautiful Farewell #3 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:37 AM

Parx Racing Picks - Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Race 1: 2-4-1-3
Race 2: 6-3-5-1
Race 3: 3-1-4-5
Race 4: 7-4-6-8
Race 5: 1-4-6-2
Race 6: 3-6-1-2
Race 7: 8-2-5-6
Race 8: 1-6-5-4
Race 9: 1-4-7-3
Race 10: 7-6-5-3
Race 11: 5-1-2-7
**Most Likely Winner: Smokey White (Race 4)**
**Best Value: West Horizen (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:37 AM

Penn National Picks - Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-3-4
Race 2: 7-4-6-5
Race 3: 8-9-1-7
Race 4: 3-7-6-2
Race 5: 2-4-5-1
Race 6: 7-1-5-6
Race 7: 6-7-1-4
Race 8: 8-4-3-2
**Most Likely Winner: Champers (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Ninja Princess (Race 7)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-27-2022, 09:41 AM

Tampa Bay Picks - Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Race 1: 1-5-3-4
Race 2: 5-2-3-6
Race 3: 9-1-2-5
Race 4: 7-1-3-6
Race 5: 4-2-8-3
Race 6: 4-1-6-2
Race 7: 2-4-8-5
Race 8: 10-1-5-7
Race 9: 8-5-10-1
**Most Likely: Plunk #7 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Shes Sky High #9 (Race 3)**