Friday 5/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 1-2-4-3
Race 2: 4-1-5-6
Race 3: 8-10-7-4
Race 4: 3-6-4-5
Race 5: 7-4-9-3
Race 6: 4-7-6-3
Race 7: 6-4-1-2
Race 8: 3-7-2-1
Race 9: 6-2-3-3
**Most Likely: Lheeas Joy (Race 9)**
**Best Value: Giveitsomewellie (Race 5)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Woodbine Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 1-3-6-2
Race 2: 7-3-6-5
Race 3: 6-2-4-7
Race 4: 6-9-8-3
Race 5: 5-1-4-8
Race 6: 3-5-7-1
Race 7: 2-6-4-3
Race 8: 6-2-1-7
**Most Likely Winner: Ya Mar (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Salty Candy (Race 2)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Nahill’s Churchill Downs opinions for Friday, May 6 (Kentucky Oaks day, Races 5-11)

Note: Weather forecast says rain. We’ll see. If it rains and you see a son or daughter of GUN RUNNER, bet them. Huge off-track numbers.

RACE 5: 6-8-1-8-4

RACE 6: 2-4-6-1-5

RACE 7: 4-5-7-1-6

RACE 8: 3-9-8-5-10

RACE 9: 4-8-3-10-9

RACE 10: 9-10-1-8-6 (BEST BET)

RACE 11 KENTUCKY OAKS: 1. (1) Secret Oath, 2. (13) Shahama, 3. (7) Echo Zulu, 4. (4) Nest. LONG SHOT: (2) Nostalgic.

SECRET OATH gets huge jockey switch to Luis Saez. She ran against the boys in the Arkansas Derby (finishing third) after a brutally wide trip. If she had run against the girls last time, she wouldn’t be 6-1 on the morning-line.SHAHAMA (15-1) is ridden by our old West Coast pal Flavien Prat. He has already proven to the Midwest and East Coasters that he’s the real deal. Tough post but in Prat we trust. ECHO ZULU (4-1) has done nothing wrong as her 5-for-5 record proves. She will be out front, but trainer Steve Asmussen hasn’t had the best luck in Kentucky the last six months (0 for 72 coming into Thursday’s action). NEST (5-2) is the morning-line favorite and is trained by Todd Pletcher, who also trains SHAHAMA. NOSTALGIC (15-1) is from the Bill Mott barn and has the best closing kick in the race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Friday, May 6

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

CHESTER

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.30 Boardman

2.05 Mujtaba

2.40 Megallan

3.15 Haliphon (nb)

3.45 FLAMING RIB (nap)

4.20 Heart Of Soul

4.55 Emiyn

GIMCRACK

1.30 Boosaia

2.05 Brentford Hope

2.40 MEGALLAN (nap)

3.15 Arcadian Sunrise

3.45 King's Lynn

4.20 Scampi

4.55 Call My Bluff

NEWMARKET - 1.30 Boosala (nb); 2.40 MEGALLAN (nap).

RIPON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.15 The Ridler

5.45 Origintrail

6.15 Dapper Man

6.45 Manigordo

7.15 Evaluation

7.45 Intercessor

8.15 Letter Of The Law

GIMCRACK

5.15 The Ridler

5.45 Roach Power

6.15 Mews House

6.45 Imperium Blue

7.15 Rukwa

7.45 Eligible

8.15Sweet Mist

NORTHERNER - 6.45 FORTAMOUR - (nap); 7.15 Evaluation (nb).

MARKET RASEN

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.15 William Cody

1.50 Railway Muice

2.25 Baasem

3.00 Jay Bee Why

3.35 Benito

4.10 Trumps Benefit

4.40 Hands Off

GIMCRACK

1.15 William Cody

1.50 Mr Mafia

2.25 Oslo

3.00 Giovanni Change

3.35 Penpal

4.10 Trumps Benefit

4.40 Egbert


WOLVERHAMPTON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.26 Parikarma

5.56 Gatecrasher Girl

6.26 Gigi's Beach

6.56 Lady Eros

7.26 Heat And Dust

7.56 Waverley Star

8.26 Bear Profit

GIMCRACK

5.26 Street Poet

5.56 Gatecrasher Girl

6.26 Power On

6.56 Silver Bullet Lady

7.26 Frame Rate

7.56 Golden Gal

8.26 Imperial Khan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Horses in Focus for Friday, May 6
Posted on May 5, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 2: EASY SHOT (#6)

I have no major argument against #4 Chris and Dave, other than the fact that he’s likely to be a short price and is fairly obvious. Rob Atras is a decent 5 for 21 (24%, $2.25 ROI) with horses first off the claim who are moving up in claiming price by 50% or more. It was encouraging to see him wake up last time as his form had been on the decline since late last year. He battled gamely when challenged by winner Crypto Cash in the stretch, and that one came back to win, as did the third and fourth-place finishers. The one major issue for this horse is that there is other speed signed on, and he could sustain early challenges from runners like Auburn Hills and Liam’s Fire. I’m trying to beat the favorite with #6 Easy Shot. He would be aided by a swift pace up front, as he tends to run his best races when he’s held up early. He got the right setup to win for a higher claiming tag in the slop two back. He lost at this level last time, but that was a pretty tough field for the level, as winner Its All Relevant has improved in his last few starts. Easy Shot also got the wrong trip, as she was used too aggressively to get early position after a slow start, and then launched another middle move to challenge the leader on the turn before fading. Notably, he’s been claimed out of that race by Jeffrey Englehart, who is 10 for 23 (43%, $4.69 ROI) first off the claim over the past 4 months.

RACE 3: LADY THORNHILL (#3)

I expect the 3-year-olds in this lineup to attract plenty of support, and that group is led by #8 She’s a Mia. This filly showed turf ability for trainer Cleveland Johnson last year, outrunning massive odds to win her debut and finish second in the Tepin Stakes. As well as she did for that barn, one has to consider a trainer switch to Christophe Clement to be an upgrade. Yet she’s likely to get bet in accordance with that popular view, and it’s no guarantee that she’ll be ready to fire her best shot off the bench. #6 Solib has a recency edge on that rival, and I take it as a good sign that she ran so well in her dirt sprint prep last time. That wasn’t the strongest field for the level, but her performance was consistent with the narrative that she’s just improved a great deal since her career debut last summer. She figures to be suited by the surface switch, but she wants to be forward and there is plenty of other speed in this field. I considered both Linda Rice trained runners, but #9 Kannon Fire didn’t beat much on debut, and Rice has poor numbers off the kind of layoff from which #7 Tales of Makenna is returning. I’m going in a different direction with #3 Lady Thornhill. She’s also returning from a layoff, but should at least be a generous price. She also ran arguably the best race of her career off a similar layoff last summer at Saratoga. Since then she’s been tough to ride at times, but it seemed like Donk got her figured out towards the end of 2021. She finally learned to rate and produced strong finishes in those two Aqueduct starts last fall. She needs to improve slightly from a speed figure standpoint, but it’s not like anyone in this field is a standout in that department.

RACE 9: SARATOGA SKY (#12)

If this race manages to stay on the turf, I want to go for some bigger prices. I wouldn’t say that I’m against likely favorite #1 Nikostratos, but his form is totally exposed and he figures to attract plenty of support coming off the layoff for a hot barn. There is no shortage of new faces who will be better prices. The most logical of those is #2 Joint Resolution, who was intended for turf first time out and will now get a chance on that surface for Christophe Clement. He’s by good turf influence Declaration of War and the dam is a half-sister to Grade 1 Manhattan winner Spring Quality, so the pedigree for grass is there. He also showed some ability in the debut and would be dangerous with expected improvement. Yet there are two others with turf experience who I think are interesting at bigger prices. One of those is #5 Whistler’s Honor. This colt debuted going 6 furlongs last fall, but ran like one that wants to travel much farther than that. He broke slowly and lagged at the back of the pack early before unleashing a strong rally through the lane. He only passed about half the field by the time they hit the wire, but he was moving quickest of all and quickly ran by the leaders on the gallop out. This son of Tonalist now gets to stretch out for Jorge Abreu, who doesn’t have the best stats off layoffs. Still, I think he’s interesting at a square price. My top pick at even longer odds is #12 Saratoga Sky. This horse wanted no part of dirt in his debut so I don’t care about that race. He took a big step forward on turf next time, but got a nightmare trip. He was squeezed between horses coming out of the chute, and proceeded to get extremely rank, fighting his rider for the first few furlongs of the race. He had every right to quit after that early trouble, but stayed on decently until the last sixteenth. Now James Ferraro takes the blinkers off, which should help him settle better. He’s a half-brother to stakes-placed Sanctuary City, so there’s obviously turf potential here. And he’s going to get ignored with Jackie Davis named to ride.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 6, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Hoosier Park begins the weekend with a 14-race card with the feature rolling in Race 10 an Open Pace with a $22,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and the sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

4-Mcthriller (8-1)-Lost all chance in last when suffering an equipment break. The program has this 8-year-old moving up in class, but this appears to be a drop-in class. Looks like a player at a fair price.
5-Hopnroll Heaven (4-1)-Makes the 1st HoP start and the 1st start for the Kamann barn. Shows good speed at VD and was facing better company out East. Tetrick takes the lines and best to respect versus this group.
6-Sweet Troy (7/2)-Would like to see a better price than the morning line but this could be the spot for the 1st win of 2022. Raced well in its season debut here and will look for more improvement in this start.

Race 12

4-Luckbewithalex (3-1)-Tried a different plan in last, blasted out and got on the point looking for the 1st win of year. It was a good try but faded late. Will respect chances to make amends here and may not need a 27.1 opening quarter to take control.
6-Paw Patrol (2-1)-Gaskin 3-year-old faced stakes company last year and went off at 2-1 in the 1st start since 10-15. Didn't get a smooth trip, was shuffled, and rallied late to finish 3rd. Should be better here and the short field won't hurt chances.

Race 13

1-Shadyjack (8-1)-Will take a swing this 8-year-old might be ready for an aggressive try in the 3rd start off the bench. Drops to a spot to shine and regular pilot Trace takes a seat.
5-Sawyer's Desire (8-1)-Burke trainee makes the 2nd start of the meet and was handled conservatively in last. Hoosier is the favorite oval for this 5-year-old who has 9 wins in 44 starts here and has banked >$279,000. Looking for big try at a solid price.
6-Rock Solid Image (9/2)-Loses Smith to #8 but Widger can provide a smooth trip. Comes off an efficient win versus this kind and could be forwardly placed to roll by late once again.

Race 14

2-My House (5/2)-Rolled the 2nd half in 55.2 to take a picture and now steps-up. Should be in the mix with this crew after a strong effort.
4-Mc Mach (15-1)-Likes to get on the engine and not look back. Tried that plan in last and was used too hard and never got the top. Comes back versus the same kind and should be able to take command early in the mile.
8-Serious Miki (7/2)-The post helps the price and should be in the hunt versus some older foes after beating NW6/8. Putnam could put in play early on and be in striking range turning for the wire.
9-Bet Ninteen (5-1)-Winner in 5 of 9 races at HoP raced well last week after shipping in from M1. Gets stuck with another outside post but drops to a better spot to cash the top check.

0.50 Late Pick 4

4,5,6/4,6/1,5,6/2,4,8,9
Total Bet=$36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary (5-6-22)

May 6, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 5-Annie’s Song; 6-Honor It; 7-Briefcase Girl; 8-Too Bossy

Forecast: Lots of question marks in the opener, so we’ll spread the race in rolling exotic play. Annie’s Song has the route-to-sprint angle that we like and may in fact be most effective as a late-running turf sprinter. Even at this abbreviated five furlong trip, the Irish-bred filly should be quite dangerous from off the pace. Honor It flopped when well-backed in her only start last year but returns at a distance and surface that should bring out her best. She has plenty of zip – perhaps not much stick – but if she breaks cleanly this time the daughter of Tapit should have a strong pace presence. Both Briefcase Girl and Too Busy have trained like off-the-pace types and therefore may find five furlongs a bit sharp, but both have done some good work in the a.m. while displaying some quality, so at 6-1 on the morning line they’re worth including on the ticket.

Notable Workouts:

Honor It (April 28, Santa Anita, 5f, 59.3hg). Grade: B
Was driven hard from the gate inside Fordy G (4f, :46.2hg) and Reign of Speed (4f, :48.1hg) while almost two lengths clear after the opening half, then failed to change leads and slowed up noticeably in the final furlong, splits of :23.1, :34.2 and :46.3 on our watches before finishing out a tick or two slower when eased up after five furlongs, eventually coasting to the wire in 1:15.2. Has plenty of zip, seems ideally suited for five furlongs (the shorter, the better) and clearly has more speed than her only prior outing last summer indicates.
View Workout Video

Briefcase Girl (April 17, Santa Anta, 5f, :59.3h TT). Garde: B
Broke off a couple of lengths behind Gillian Elizabeth (5f, 1:00.1h) and Candybox (5f, 1:00.3h) in training track drill for Gaines, came through inside entering the lane easily disposed of workmates while drawing clear in the final furlongs, visually pleasing, splits of :23.1, :35.1 and :59.3 on our watches, lengthening out to the wire and galloping out well. Daughter of Hit It a Bomb may be a distance type but has a good turn of foot and could be competitive as a late-running sprinter. Decent turf prospect.
View Workout Video

Too Bossy (April 4, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01 TT). Grade: B
In blinkers, broke off several lengths behind Rosie the Cat (5f, 1:02.3h TT) and easily went by in the lane while mostly on her own, final three furlongs in :36.1, much the best by several lengths at the wire. Has some run, being trained like a stretch-running type.
View Workout Video

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 2: Post: 1:38 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 2-Liar Liar; 4-Vetoed; 5-Conundrum

Forecast: Vetoed and Conundrum should get more play than they deserve in this bottom-rung maiden claimer, but unless the newcomer Liar Liar can run, the winner probably will be one of these two. Vetoed has failed as the favorite in four of his six career starts and keeps getting slower (based on figures) by the race, so he’s obviously not one to trust, while Conundrum, the subject of a claiming war between G. Papaprodromou and E. Moger, Jr. for reasons that defy logic, has hit the board in five of six starts but seems unable to punch it in under pressure. Meanwhile, Liar Liar offers a viable alternative. Now five years old and finally making it to the races, the son of Clubhouse Ride doesn’t look half bad in the morning, so why not go with the fresh face in a race begging to be won by one?

Notable Workouts:

Liar Liar (March 31, Santa Anita, 4f, :49hg). Grade: C+
Broke poorly, rushed up and then went head-and-head after the opening furlong with Restoring Dreams (same time) in gate drill for D. Pederson, splits of :25 flat, :36.4 and :49 flat, mostly on his own and finishing with something left. Not the worst but needs to learn how to break. Five-year-old maiden probably will debut cheap.
View Workout Video


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 3: Post: 2:15 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 1-Frontier Market; 4-Encroachment

Forecast: Encroachment (TOC=4/5; ML=5/2) has form sufficient to win at this level but his pattern is unhealthy. An allowance winner two races back and then dangled as bait when reappearing in a $40,000 seller last time out, the Uncle Mo gelding ran reasonably well to be second, was haltered by R. Alvarado, and returns for $25,000 while providing the evidence of an issue that his new connections apparently don’t want to deal with. Additionally, the lightly-raced five-year-old is facing considerable heat in this race that should produce a less-than-ideal pace flow for a gelding that prefers to be on or near the lead. Frontier Market (TOC=8-1; ML=5-1) isn’t as fast on numbers as Encroachment but he has a closing kick that likely will be promoted by the race shape. He’s winless in five starts over the local lawn and always has preferred to run second or third than win, but he may be able to produce the last run in a race that seems likely to be won from behind. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play but not with a great deal of confidence. Tread lightly.


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 4: Post: 2:45 PT Grade: C
Use (in order of preference: 7-Lil Light Headed; 2-Its Big; 6-Chris Fix

Forecast: Lil Light Headed is nobody’s ideal version of a 6/5 morning line favorite but may win this split of the second race by default. Lightly-raced with room for improvement that most of the others in the field don’t have, the son of Will Take Charge shows the popular route-to-sprint angle combined with a cozy outside draw but may not be one to trust after failing at 3/5 last time out despite inheriting the role as the controlling speed. Others to (reluctantly) include on your ticket are It’s Big (class dropping to his lowest level and possibly most effective as a late running sprinter) and Chris Fix (exiting better races with figures that fit).

Notable Workouts:

Chris Fix (April 30, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.4hg). Grade: C+
Broke okay from gate and was ridden most of the way, splits of :24.3, :36.1, :48.3 and 1:01.4, asked most of the way while slightly second best with Stoic Luna (4f, :48.4hg) for A. Marquez. Seems about the same, needs bottom-rung maiden claimers.
View Workout Video


__________________________________________________ ___________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 5: Post: 3:17 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 7-Ghostem; 3-Avery Blue

Forecast: Six of the eight runners in this nine furlong maiden turf event for older state-bred fillies and mares exit the same April 10 race, which was contested over a mile. Ghostem made the running in that event but got nailed late while more than two lengths clear of the rest, and with the addition of blinkers today (she’s worn them before) at this longer nine furlong trip the daughter of Shaman Ghost most likely will employ similar front-running tactics. Avery Blue finished fifth (beaten less than five lengths) without being knocked about in her debut and seems likely to produce a forward move in what should be a much more serious effort today. We’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play.


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 6: Post: 3:49 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 7-Americaredwhiteblu; 8-Finglas Lad

Forecast: Americaredwhiteblu (TOC=9-1; ML5/2) was a maiden special weight winner at Oaklawn Park last year but then was haltered when (suspiciously) dropped into a $50,000 claimer and finished far back as the 6/5 favorite. Taken by M. Glatt, the son of American Pharoah was stopped on and turned out but returns protected in his first start for his new connections and his first in 11 months. The work tab looks quite good at San Luis Rey Downs, so let’s assume this lightly-raced 4-year-old colt can return to his best form in this starter’s allowance extended sprint for a barn that has strong stats with layoff runners. Finglas Lad (TOC=15-1; ML=8-1), off the track since October, is another that could return better than he left. The R. Alvarado-trained colt worked nicely from the gate last week to indicate he’s fit enough, and though much slower on speed figures than our top pick could be a much improved type this time around. The main push in our rolling exotic play goes to Americanredwhiteblue but we’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics.

Notable Workouts:

Finglas Lad (April 27, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1hg). Grade: B-
Even but maybe a tad second best in team gate drill outside Superman Shaq (same time), splits of :23.4, :35.2, :47.2 and 1:00.2 (coasted out in front in 1:15.2 to the wire), not bad for R. Alvarado, while gearing up for comeback. Maybe a bit better this time around than last year, eligible to return in a moderate sprint.
View Workout Video


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 7: Post: 4:20 PT Grade: A-
Use (in order of preference): 8-So It Would Seem

Forecast: So It Would Seem is an absolute stick out in tis maiden $50,000 turf sprint for older fillies and mares. Burned up in a torrid speed duel vs. infinitely stronger maiden special weight foes last time out, the J. Sadler-trained filly should bury this group with anything close to her strong runner-up performance vs. maiden $75,000 foes two runs back. The switch to grass shouldn’t be an issue, so let’s make this daughter of Honor Code a strong win play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to her morning line of 5/2.

Notable Workouts:

So It Would Seem (Santa Anita, March 30, 5f, 1:00.4h). Grade: B
Finished in good rhythm, final half mile in :23.3 and :47.3 mild urging only, nice drill for Sadler. Got cooked in a speed duel vs. straight maidens last time out and seems sure to improve a bunch next time when returned to the maiden claiming ranks.
View Workout Video


__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ______


RACE 8: Post: 4:50 PT Grade:
Use (in order of preference): 6-Claim of Passion; 8-Black Storm

Forecast: This $12,500 sprint for older claimers looks best suited for Los Alamitos-based runners. We’re not planning on getting too involved and will use just two on our ticket. Claim of Passion (TOC=10-1; ML=5/2), first off the claim by S. Miyadi, shortens to a one corner race for the first time in memory and may like the turn back in trip. He’s a prior winner over the Santa Anita main track and may be capable of producing a winning late kick. Black Storm (TOC=9/5; ML=3-1) was a non-threatening fifth from the rail last time out in a tougher event but earned a number that makes him a major player against this group. He’s a 10-time winner overall, with seven of the victories earned at Santa Anita, so on that angle alone he’s a major player.


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 9: Post: 5:21 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 5-Handy Pandy; 9-Beef Winslow; 6-Nero Tulip

Forecast Handy Pandy hit the board in a pair of recent turf stakes that produced strong speed figures and today drops to the allowance ranks while seeking a confidence-building win. He’s listed as the 8/5 morning line favorite and deservedly so. With the switch to J. J. Hernandez, we’re expecting the R. Alvarado-trained gelding to be along in time. Beef Winslow was handed an easy front-running trip and took full advantage of the situation to wire the field in a fast event for sophomore maidens. He’ll need to negotiate an extra furlong today but based on numbers he may never look back if left alone again. Nero Tulip showed some ability sprinting in Ireland last fall and makes his U.S. debut for P. Eurton over a distance of ground. His form is hard to gauge, though his Timeform ratings weren’t bad at all, and his local workouts indicate he should enjoy today’s trip. At 8-1 on the morning line, you have to toss him in somewhere.

Notable Workouts:

Nero Tulip (April 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h TT). Grade: B
Broke off many lengths behind Kazuhiko (5f, 1:01.1h TT) and closed the gap through the lane to be about a length back at the finish, ridden through the lane, final three furlongs on training track in :11.4 and :35.1. Irish import has some run, probably a stretch running type, has all of his conditions for P. Eurton.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli: Churchill Downs Late Pick 4 | Friday, May 6, 2022

May 6, 2022 | By Frank Carulli

CHURCHILL DOWNS LATE PICK 4 ANALYSIS
Friday May 6, 2022

The eyes of the racing world will focus on the Kentucky Derby this Saturday, but it will be understandable if anyone’s attention is diverted slightly on Friday afternoon at Churchill Downs. The $1.3 million Kentucky Oaks could emerge as the Race of the Year, with a blockbuster field of 3-year-old fillies set to go 1-1/8 miles in the 11th race. The Oaks is part of a 50-cent Late Pick 4 on the wagering menu that shapes up this way:

CD 10th race (4:51 EST) -- Punch the ‘ALL’ button in the leadoff leg of the Pick 4. The 13 entrants in the Grade II Twin Spires Turf Sprint are a combined 45-140 on turf with average earnings of more than $400,000. The field includes six graded stakes winners spanning five tracks, four other graded stakes-placed grass sprinters, a 10-1 shot that has seven minor stakes wins in the last year and a 20-1 shot who is 4-4 on the lawn.

CD 11th race (5:51 EST) -- To put into perspective how deep the Kentucky Oaks field is, consider this: The 14 entrants – half trained by Hall of Famers – ran in 23 graded stakes this year, combining for nine wins, five seconds and three thirds. To add further perspective: ECHO ZULU won three Grade I stakes and a Grade II in front-end fashion at four tracks, but she isn’t the favorite. Ditto for KATHLEEN O, who has done nothing but improve with eye-catching rallies to win back-to-back Grade II route races. Ditto for SECRET OATH, who was a troubled favorite against the boys in the Arkansas Derby at today’s distance. NEST earned morning-line favoritism with an 8-1/4-length romp in the Grade I Ashland. The picks here are Secret Oath and Kathleen O. Secret Oath was squeezed and bumped between rivals early, at least 4-wide from the backstretch to the top of the stretch, and in range of the winner until her sustained rally fell short in deep stretch. Kathleen O was unhurried and 5-wide chasing a slow half-mile pace, then overpowered the 8-to-5 runner-up in the stretch in the Grade II Gulfstream Park Oaks.

CD 12th race (6:25 EST) -- WISH YOU WELL set a brisk pace, drew clear on the turn at 7F and turned back a late run by the troubled runner-up to win in a heavily-bet debut. REAGAN’S DECISION rallied for an 18-1 debut upset, was roughed up at the start in allowance company, then finished third again behind Matareya (3-6, $374k) in a Grade III long sprint.

CD 13th race (7:00 EST) -- Race: Not sold on the company lines of several contenders in this 12-horse Maiden Special Weight sprint, so use only one of them alongside two first-time starters. COLORFUL MISCHIEF, a $300,000 sales buy, debuts off a series of bullet workouts at Palm Beach Downs. Trainer Todd Pletcher wins at a high percentage with first-time starters but was only 1-for-17 from March 5-April 4. MILAN’S GIRL went 4 furlongs in :47.1 in her final prep over the track for reigning Trainer of the Year Brad Cox. Her dam, Sky Gesture, went wire-to-wire first out at Saratoga. She gets Lasix but must avoid a wide trip from post 12. Of those that have run, RATHER BE LUCKY gets top billing. She led until the last jump in her 6F debut at Fair Grounds, then faltered as the favorite next out while chasing faster fractions than a same-day, MSW sprint for the boys (:45.1 half-mile split).

Suggested 50-cent Ticket
CD 10th Race: ALL
CD 11th Race: 1, 10
CD 12th Race: 2, 9
CD 13th Race: 8, 9, 12
COST: $78

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2022 Kentucky Oaks & Derby Wager Menu

May 5, 2022 | By 1/ST BET

FRIDAY, MAY 6 // KENTUCKY OAKS DAY

Race 1 (10:30AM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P5
Race 2 (11:00AM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P4
Race 3 (11:30AM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P5
Race 4 (12:05PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P4
Race 5 (12:43PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3
Race 6 (1:26PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P6 $2 Two-Day P6
Race 7 (2:09PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P5
Race 8 (3:03PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P4
Race 9 (4:04PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P5
Race 10 (4:51PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P4
Race 11 (5:51PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER HI5 P3 Oaks/Derby DB Oaks/Woodford/Derby P3
Race 12 (6:25PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER DD
Race 13 (7:00PM ET) - WPS EX TRI SUPER

Note: Trifecta and Superfecta wagering on all races that qualify under Kentucky statutes. Daily Double and Super High-5 wagers are $1 minimum straight bets. On Oaks Day and Derby Day the Superfecta is a $1.00 minimum wager. Trifecta, Pick-3, Pick-4 and Pick-5 wagers are $.50 minimum straight bets. The Derby City-6 is a $.20 minimum wager. The Exacta is a $2.00 minimum straight bet with $1.00 boxes and wheels. The special Oaks Day/Derby Day Pick-6 is a $2.00 minimum wager and will be a separate event from the regular Oaks Day card.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs | Friday

May 5, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Kentucky Derby weekend gets one of the nation's most illustrious lead-ins with Friday's G1 Kentucky Oaks for the 3-year-old fillies. The 1-1/8 miles 'Run for the Lilies' will be Race 11 of 13 on a mega-card that includes 7 stakes. Two-day bets like the Oaks-Derby Double, the Oaks-Turf-Classic-Derby Pick 3 and an all-stakes Pick 6 add importance to what already shapes up as a great betting race this year.

Field Depth:
G1 winners ECHO ZULU and NEST figure to battle for favoritism. KATHLEEN O., TURNERLOOSE and DESERT DAWN have G2 wins on their ledger. SECRET OATH, NOSTALGIC, HIDDEN CONNECTIO, YUUGIRI and SHAHAMA are G3 winners. This is a Who's Who of 3YO fillies from every corner of the US and beyond; the gang's all here.

Pace:
With 14 fillies stretched in many cases to their longest career test, expect a strong pace led by YUUGIRI and ECHO ZULU, while HIDDEN CONNECTION has been headstrong in the morning and hints that she's going to be breathing fire. VENTI VALENTINE and TURNERLOOSE should be just off that trio in what projects to be a strong pace.

Our Eyes:
There's a Big-4 here in ECHO ZULU, NEST, SECRET OATH and KATHLEEN O. that, at various times, each has looked like she could be the division's leader. It's been a matter of timing, however. ECHO ZULU had first lease as the 2-year-old champion and Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies winner. SECRET OATH stormed into consideration in January and February with dominant Oaklawn stakes wins. KATHLEEN O. made her case April 2 when blowing out the Gulfstream Park Oaks to stay unbeaten. And NEST got the last impression with an April 8 Ashland win at Keeneland that maybe trumped everything seen before it.

So where are they now, in terms of their best, could go a long way in determining who wears the lilies Friday. ECHO ZULU comes in off a modest victory in the Fair Grounds Oaks by her standards, albeit that prep has been a Kentucky Oaks beacon for a decade or more. SECRET OATH finished third with a poorly timed move in the Arkansas Derby vs. the boys and will change riders to Luis Saez in a big upgrade. KATHLEEN O. and NEST have trained well since their more recent victories and appear to be holding strong form. Of the quartet, it's the champion ECHO ZULU with the most cloud right now. NEST ran so huge in the Ashland, it may have been too big. I fear a chance of a regression off that effort, but a repeat of it would win this. That leaves KATHLEEN O. and SECRET OATH as the Big-4 pair I trust most Friday.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
KATHLEEN O. got zero pace help in the Gulfstream Park Oaks and still finished with flair. She'll love how this table is set. The outside post is good for sleek, athletic physique.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
While Todd Pletcher's NEST gets all the attention, his new transfer from Dubai, SHAHAMA, has really impressed me in the mornings. She should be overlooked and useful in the exotics.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$20 exacta key-box 10-KATHLEEN 0. with 1-SECRET OATH ,4-NEST ($80). $5 exacta part-wheel 10-KATHLEEN 0.,1-SECRET OATH ,4-NEST with 13-SHAHAMA ($15). $5 Oaks-Derby Double 10-KATHLEEN O. to 1-MO DONEGAL.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 Bubba Gump He's capable of something better than he showed in the clunker last time out, but he usually bounces back off flat efforts. Think he might get a pretty good run of things along the fence with a couple quicker players likely to cross over early.
#3 Fiber and Emily He looks like the most dangerous pace in here as he gets out of stakes company, and one of his better efforts makes him tough on the engine. The one to beat?
#6 Combination He has a little bit of versatility that should give his rider a couple options out of the gate, and he's one of the 'now' horses in really good form while searching for a third consecutive win.
Race Summary Bubba Gump has a high enough ceiling to land this, and it'd be great to see him settle inside and track the splits into the far turn. He may offer a playable enough price with Fiber and Emily and Combination lined up in here, and I'll lean on him a bit for a Derby Day bankroll builder.

Charles Town - Race #7
Picks Notes
#4 The Honorable One He won't offer much of a price, but there's a chance he's the slight second choice as he makes his local debut off a good Parx effort last time out. His form can be spotty, but he may prove a good fit with the locals.
#6 Jasontakeslong Think he's a logical player in what feels like a pretty top-heavy race to me, as he rolled in his only local start and should get a great trip right up top again tonight. Capable.
#8 Payito Would love to see him try to press the pace without forcing the issue too much in the early going, perhaps allowing him to stick around for a piece of this at a price.
Race Summary The Honorable One and Jasontakeslong both look tough on paper, but the slight edge goes to the Honorable One who bounced back last out and might enjoy the local company.

Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 Earthquakedirector Willing to take a swing in the finale with this guy stepping up off the win last time out, and he has actually been a pretty reliable finisher so far this year outside of try against allowance company. He's not THAT far off the best in here.
#7 Buzzhound Tactical type caught an easy winner last time out and should be able to find another good spot near the top with this group, but I worry about the fact that he just doesn't regularly pass horses late.
#2 Don't Dare Me I worry he's overbet off the win last time out, and while the step up isn't super significant in a field without a ton of depth, he doesn't have to win this and probably gets sent to post as the chalk.
Race Summary Earthquakedirector will need some of the pace to come back, but he is in pretty good form for a horse at this kind of level, and he might be in the frame if he can hold that solid form one more start.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lone Star Park Tip sheet - May 6

LONE STAR PARK TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 06, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $33,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:35 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 COLORATURA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	5	Coloratura	J L Alvarez
PLACE	5-2	6	Good Liquor	G Pivaral
SHOW	12-1	7	Izeadistortedlady	J Melancon
WILD CARD	5-1	10	Candy Anne	R Eikleberry
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	3	Reliant	R E Eramia
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	2	No Spin	W Hamilton
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 6/7/10 BOX
RACE #2 $33,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	6	Tootie	L J Luzzi
PLACE	5-2	3	Peek Factor	R E Eramia
SHOW	5-1	8	L L Cool Grey	S Camacho-Benitez
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Moro Nala	J L Alvarez
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	2	Amante de Sara	E Valdez-Jiminez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Shes a Ridge	G Mora
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX
RACE #3 $33,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:31 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 RUSH THE COLORS
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Rush the Colors	L J Luzzi
PLACE	2-1	1	Imperial Red Bird	S Elliott
SHOW	15-1	6	Get Witt Gone	W Hamilton
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Bling Me the Money	E G Garcia
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Reynardine	R Eikleberry
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Richards Tx Bling	G Mora
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #4 $33,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:59 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	7	Mister K	J L Alvarez
PLACE	8-1	6	Sunday Bling	D Sorenson
SHOW	10-1	2	Finding Silver	J Melancon
WILD CARD	2-1	3	Release the Beast	R Eikleberry
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	9	Fresh One	E Valdez-Jiminez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	8	Declarationofspeed	L J Luzzi
* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #5 $36,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 9:27 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	2	No Mas Tequila	L D Goncalves
PLACE	9-5	7	Golden Curl	R E Eramia
SHOW	9-2	5	Unburnt	R Eikleberry
WILD CARD	2-1	8	Island Hideaway	R Eikleberry
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	Lavender	J L Alvarez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Valentines Day	L J Luzzi
* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX
RACE #6 $34,500 ALLOWANCE 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	10	Set the Pace	J L Alvarez
PLACE	15-1	4	Its My Money Too	L D Goncalves
SHOW	8-1	2	Texas Red Bel	G Mora
WILD CARD	9-5	6	Rosie Jane	S Elliott
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	7	Bebop Baby	L J Luzzi
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	8	Sassy Kenzie Girl	J Melancon
* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/10 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #7 $36,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:23 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 EMPIRE OF GOLD
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Empire of Gold	R E Eramia
PLACE	2-1	3	Flash of Mischief	R Eikleberry
SHOW	9-2	2	Emerald Forest	J A Guerrero
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Digital	L J Luzzi
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	7	It Makes Sense	J L Alvarez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	8	Red N Wild	E Medellin
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #8 $33,000 ALLOWANCE 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 10:51 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	10	Sign of War	E Valdez-Jiminez
PLACE	20-1	11	Lil Carpe	L J Luzzi
SHOW	3-1	2	Invincibility	S Elliott
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Belews Gold	R Guerra
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	1	D C Hero	F Wethey Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	12	Hijo Galante	C Montalvo
* EXACTA: 10-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/10/11 BOX, 2/7/11 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - May 6

SANTA ANITA TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 06, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Annies Song	A Cedillo
PLACE	5-2	9	Snark	J Bravo
SHOW	8-1	3	Dazzling Joker	K Frey
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Granola Girl	V Espinoza
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	8	Too Bossy	J J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	9-5	6	Honor It	D Van Dyke
* EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
RACE #2 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:38 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 CONUNDRUM
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	5	Conundrum	J Bravo
PLACE	12-1	6	Weegee	D A Herrera
SHOW	6-1	2	Liar Liar	K Frey
WILD CARD	8-5	4	Vetoed	J J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	Romeos Glory	B Blanc
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	7	Sierra Pass	A Alsagoor
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #3 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	4	Encroachment	J J Hernandez
PLACE	12-1	3	Forever Mo	D Van Dyke
SHOW	5-1	1	Frontier Market	K Frey
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Move Over	T Baze
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	8	Stitzy	J Bravo
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	9	Mongolian Legend	D A Herrera
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
RACE #4 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	7	Lil Light Headed	A Cedillo
PLACE	10-1	3	Arickaree	D A Herrera
SHOW	12-1	2	Its Big	E Payeras
WILD CARD	3-1	6	Chris Fix	V Espinoza
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	4	Whiskey Vision	T Baze
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	Cross Indian	E A Ellingwood
* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #5 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:17 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	7	Ghostem	E A Maldonado
PLACE	4-1	1	Sensible Move	E A Ellingwood
SHOW	8-1	2	Shez Our Arch	J Espinoza
WILD CARD	7-2	3	Avery Blue	R Curatolo
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	5	Tiz My Princess	B Blanc
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	8	Mensa On Tap	E Payeras
* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
RACE #6 $40,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:49 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 THRIVE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	6	Thrive	D A Herrera
PLACE	5-1	3	Dance Company	T Baze
SHOW	15-1	9	Shortman	R Ramirez
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Redline	R Curatolo
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	8	Finglas Lad	R Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	50-1	2	Calder Vale	E Payeras
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
RACE #7 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:20 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 TOPOLINA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	9	Topolina	R Curatolo
PLACE	5-2	8	So It Would Seem	J J Hernandez
SHOW	5-1	11	Blossoming	V Espinoza
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Miracle of Hope	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	6	Gillian Elizabeth	J Bravo
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Missing Penny	B Blanc
* EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/9/11 BOX, 2/8/11 BOX
RACE #8 $12,500 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	8	Black Storm	D A Herrera
PLACE	5-1	7	Reckoning Day	E K Rojas Fernandez
SHOW	15-1	3	Dr. Troutman	R Ramirez
WILD CARD	4-1	2	King Parker	E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	6	Claim of Passion	T Baze
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	10	Prince Hussar	J Espinoza
* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
RACE #9 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:21 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	4	Echosmith	D A Herrera
PLACE	12-1	1	Red Road	R Gonzalez
SHOW	8-5	5	Handy Dandy	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Stotland	E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	9	Beef Winslow	K Frey
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	3	Egomania	E Payeras
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - May 6

TAMPA BAY TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 06, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $6,250 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	2	Susikin	J Bisono
PLACE	9-2	3	True Atka	R R Ordonez
SHOW	7-2	4	Peaceful Way	R D Allen Jr.
WILD CARD	3-2	1	U Know I B Lion	M Rowland
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	5	Fun Paddy	A Santos
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
RACE #2 $8,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	2	Lil Bull	J V Bridgmohan
PLACE	7-2	1	Felix the Fox	S Spanabel
SHOW	3-2	4	Chrome Finish	A Quinonez
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Stayin Or Strayin	M Rowland
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	3	Excellent Mark	J L Alonso
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Teddys Honor	A Moreno
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #3 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	11	Black Limo	S Diaz
PLACE	5-2	10	Analyzeyourvision	S Spanabel
SHOW	8-1	2	Johnnie Got Jets	K Mendez
WILD CARD	8-5	8	Bourbon Brown	M Rowland
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	Mister Fernando	R R Ordonez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	Magic Bomb	M Jimenez
* EXACTA: 11-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/10/11 BOX, 2/8/10 BOX
RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 RULING FRONT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Ruling Front	A Santos
PLACE	8-5	6	Money Song	R R Ordonez
SHOW	12-1	2	Jacks Willie	A Quinonez
WILD CARD	7-2	5	Rasmalai	W Henry
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	3	Boca Guy	M Rowland
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	Almonaster	J Bisono
* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
RACE #5 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	4	Go Yeowomen	M R Scaldaferri
PLACE	6-1	3	Just Stay Home	M Rowland
SHOW	3-1	9	Charge It Jenn	A Quinonez
WILD CARD	8-1	11	Afficionado	M Meneses
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	5	No Sniveling	A Santos
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Play That Tone	A A Marin
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 3/9/11 BOX
RACE #6 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 TAPINTOYOURBEER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	7	Tapintoyourbeer	A Santos
PLACE	8-5	4	Telecast	A Quinonez
SHOW	8-1	1	Truth and Honesty	J Bisono
WILD CARD	9-2	6	Wootdareitis	E Chaves
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	Aries Reigns	K Mendez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Heavy Weight	L Sanchez
* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #7 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	4	Our Stuie	J V Bridgmohan
PLACE	15-1	3	Gunman	M Rowland
SHOW	8-1	8	Shed a Tear	A Quinonez
WILD CARD	6-1	10	Monetized	A A Marin
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	My Way Or No Way	A Santos
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	9	Pretty Dude	K Mendez
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 3/8/10 BOX
RACE #8 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:57 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 LIL GRACE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	12-1	5	Lil Grace	A Santos
PLACE	2-1	3	Double Cosmo Girl	K Mendez
SHOW	6-1	1	J J Monet	J V Bridgmohan
WILD CARD	5-2	2	Makin It Look Easy	S Spanabel
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Lady Frijoles	D Cardoso
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	11	Lylas Mark	L Sosa
* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
RACE #9 $31,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:24 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	2	Katies a Lady	A Santos
PLACE	3-1	6	Lheeas Joy	R R Ordonez
SHOW	8-1	3	Blue Neith	A Quinonez
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Treasure Tails	A Moreno
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	8	Twelve Red Roses	E Chaves
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	7	Lady Teuflesberg	J R Herrera
* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - May 6

OAKLAWN PARK TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 06, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 AIRBORNE GAL
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Airborne Gal	F Arrieta
PLACE	3-1	4	Aidanike	I Castillo
SHOW	15-1	6	Starrgarita	L S Quinonez
WILD CARD	3-1	7	Emerald Princess	E Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Athenas Song	M Garcia
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Into Classic	A L Canchari
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
RACE #2 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 RESERVE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	8	Reserve	A L Canchari
PLACE	7-2	6	Take No Prisoners	G Franco
SHOW	8-1	5	Justin Speight	K R Jordan
WILD CARD	3-1	7	Stainless Steel	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	4	Project Thunder	E Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Wesleyan	M Garcia
* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
RACE #3 $52,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:16 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 SWIFT TAP
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Swift Tap	A L Canchari
PLACE	10-1	2	Megatap	K R Jordan
SHOW	5-2	4	Miniconjou	E Gonzalez
WILD CARD	7-2	5	Windcracker	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	6	Rare Stripe	M Garcia
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Ridgepointe	L S Quinonez
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
RACE #4 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:48 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	9	Jeri Dawn	E Esquivel
PLACE	2-1	7	Sweetness To	C H Borel
SHOW	9-2	10	Tallandlong	E Gonzalez
WILD CARD	3-1	2	Fibrillator	A L Canchari
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Twentytwentyredo	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	8	Spots Maine Girl	J Hiraldo
* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 2/7/10 BOX
RACE #5 $12,500 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	8	Itsy Bitsy Betty	A L Canchari
PLACE	3-1	9	Rattrapante	C Bailey
SHOW	10-1	4	Briar Thicket	K Harr
WILD CARD	8-1	5	Olivian	G Franco
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Guest in My Heart	E Esquivel
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	1	Dream Town	F Arrieta
* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 4/5/9 BOX
RACE #6 $60,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:11 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	2	Misty Veil	F Arrieta
PLACE	3-1	1	W W Fitzy	I Castillo
SHOW	8-1	6	Bobbin Tail	E Esquivel
WILD CARD	7-2	7	Miss Imperial	G Franco
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	4	Bow Bow Girl	J Hiraldo
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	A Real Jewel	K R Jordan
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
RACE #7 $107,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:43 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	10	Mocha Kiss	C Bailey
PLACE	5-1	8	Sulwe	A L Canchari
SHOW	15-1	12	Tapit Right	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Truly a Rocket	J Hiraldo
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	3	Spurwink Lane	M Garcia
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Big On Broadway	K R Jordan
* EXACTA: 10-8 BOX, 8-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/10/12 BOX, 4/8/12 BOX
RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	5	Summer Shoes	C Bailey
PLACE	8-1	7	Punchy Girl	E Gonzalez
SHOW	2-1	1	The Mary Rose	E Esquivel
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Too Pretty	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Connie K	G Franco
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Flatoutandfoxy	J Hiraldo
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
RACE #9 $108,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	5	Kingmeister	I Castillo
PLACE	8-1	8	Super Constitution	A L Canchari
SHOW	5-1	9	Calibrate	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	7-2	3	Notary	E Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	2	Caerus	E Esquivel
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Great Faces	M Garcia
* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX
RACE #10 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	7	Burrow Down	F Arrieta
PLACE	7-2	4	Late Nite Music	I Castillo
SHOW	8-1	5	Que Pasa Mufasa	A L Canchari
WILD CARD	8-1	10	Farasino	L S Quinonez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	2	Wild Irish	K R Jordan
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Bad Outlook	E Esquivel
* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 4/5/10 BOX