Friday 5/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - Mary 6

CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 06, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:30 AM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	10-1	5	Park On the Nile	C J Lanerie
PLACE	4-1	3	Idiomatic	M Franco
SHOW	9-2	6	Customer Driven	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	3-1	8	Fannie and Freddie	C J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	4	Sequist	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	2	Imogene Malvina	J L Ortiz
* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
RACE #2 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:00 AM ET
BEST BET: #11 INVENTING
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	11	Inventing	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	7-2	10	Misread	C J Hernandez
SHOW	6-1	8	Blamethechampagne	C Landeros
WILD CARD	8-1	4	Classic Coyne	F Prat
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	7	South Georgia	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	12	Olga Isabel	J Castellano
* EXACTA: 11-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/10/11 BOX, 4/8/10 BOX
RACE #3 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 11:30 AM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	1	Q F Seventy Five	J Rosario
PLACE	4-1	8	Aviano	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	3-1	7	Grael	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	10-1	2	Southern Passage	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 1	7-5	1A	Arabian Prince	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Myopic	R Gutierrez
* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
RACE #4 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:05 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	1-1	7	Jujus Map	F Geroux
PLACE	20-1	10	Miss Tulsa	R Gutierrez
SHOW	5-1	3	Powder River	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	10-1	5	Semble Juste	V Cheminaud
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	8	Illiogami	J R Leparoux
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Family Time	J Talamo
* EXACTA: 7-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/10 BOX, 3/5/10 BOX
RACE #5 $250,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:43 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	8	Bleecker Street	F Prat
PLACE	5-1	6	Hendy Woods	J L Ortiz
SHOW	8-1	4	She Cant Sing	J Castellano
WILD CARD	30-1	3	Mona Stella	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	Fluffy Socks	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Curly Ruth	L Saez
* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #6 $750,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:26 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	2	Shedaresthedevil	F Geroux
PLACE	6-1	4	Battle Bling	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	2-1	6	Paulines Pearl	J Rosario
WILD CARD	12-1	5	Shes All Wolfe	M E Smith
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Jilted Bride	L Saez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Temper Time	T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
RACE #7 $500,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:09 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	7	Happy Saver	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	8-1	6	Fulsome	F Geroux
SHOW	9-5	5	Olympiad	J Alvarado
WILD CARD	5-2	1	Max Player	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Weyburn	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Militarist	J L Ortiz
* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #8 $500,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Dolce Zel	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	7-2	3	McKulick	F Prat
SHOW	3-1	8	Spicer	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	8-1	10	Dream Lith	R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	2	My Philly Twirl	J R Leparoux
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	1	Tap Dancing Lady	A Jimenez
* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/8/10 BOX
RACE #9 $500,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:04 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Marissas Lady	R Bejarano
PLACE	5-2	8	Matareya	F Prat
SHOW	4-1	2	Pretty Birdie	F Geroux
WILD CARD	10-1	5	Wicked Halo	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	10	Sweet Dani Girl	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	7	Lac Vieux Desert	D Cohen
* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX
RACE #10 $500,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:51 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	10	Arrest Me Red	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	20-1	4	Chasing Artie	J L Ortiz
SHOW	10-1	1	Gregorian Chant	J Rosario
WILD CARD	12-1	7	Diamond Oops	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	11	Just Might	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	8	Gear Jockey	B J Hernandez Jr.
* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/10 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
RACE #11 $1,250,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:51 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	7	Echo Zulu	J Rosario
PLACE	5-2	4	Nest	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	6-1	1	Secret Oath	L Saez
WILD CARD	7-2	10	Kathleen O.	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 1	30-1	12	Candy Raid	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Hidden Connection	R Gutierrez
* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/4/10 BOX
RACE #12 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 ANGITUDE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	5	Angitude	F Geroux
PLACE	9-5	9	Wish You Well	T Gaffalione
SHOW	8-1	4	Society	J Rosario
WILD CARD	20-1	3	Feeling Happy	F Prat
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Ontheonesandtwos	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Reagans Decision	L Saez
* EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX
RACE #13 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 LITTLE BLAZE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	6	Little Blaze	J L Ortiz
PLACE	6-1	7	Fabulous Fanny	J Rosario
SHOW	8-1	10	Merci Road	L Saez
WILD CARD	5-1	8	Colorful Mischief	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	15	Comedy Act	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	9	Rather Be Lucky	C J Hernandez
* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/10 BOX, 7/8/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - May 6

BELMONT PARK TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 06, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	5	King of Hollywood	J A Gomez
PLACE	10-1	6	Miracle Nicky	K Carmouche
SHOW	15-1	2	Yah Huh	D Davis
WILD CARD	6-5	4	Remembermom	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 1	7-5	3	Royal Realm	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	1	Prince of Joy	J A Davis
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Kumar	J Lezcano
PLACE	9-2	6	Easy Shot	D Davis
SHOW	8-1	7	Dark Storm	T McCarthy
WILD CARD	8-5	4	Chris and Dave	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Auburn Hills	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Liams Fire	J A Davis
* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
RACE #3 $80,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:02 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	8	Shes a Mia	D Davis
PLACE	5-1	9	Kannon Fire	K Carmouche
SHOW	10-1	3	Lady Thornhill	J A Vargas Jr.
WILD CARD	9-2	2	Sweet Franny Lu	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	6	Solib	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	4	Infringement	H K Harkie
* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 2/3/9 BOX
RACE #4 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 VINCENT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	3	Vincent	D Davis
PLACE	4-5	9	Barone Marchis	J Lezcano
SHOW	12-1	7	El Veinticuatro	L Cardenas
WILD CARD	9-2	2	Limit Up	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 1	30-1	8	Igottahaveit	E Cancel
* EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX
RACE #5 $92,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:14 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	13	Dr Ardito	T McCarthy
PLACE	5-1	1A	Bay Street Money	K Carmouche
SHOW	4-1	5	Three Jokers	Rider TBA
WILD CARD	5-2	4	High Tide	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1X	Castle Chaos	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Civil War	Rider TBA
* EXACTA: 13-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/13 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #6 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:52 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 BEAUTIFUL KAREN
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	3	Beautiful Karen	E Cancel
PLACE	6-1	4	Big Tonys Girl	K Carmouche
SHOW	9-2	7	New York Banker	T McCarthy
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Bastet	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Irresistible Girl	D Davis
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	London Gold	M J Luzzi
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
RACE #7 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:29 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 MONEY IN THE BANK
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	6	Money in the Bank	D Davis
PLACE	8-5	1	Tilted Towers	D Davis
SHOW	8-1	5	Mexican Wonder Boy	J Lezcano
WILD CARD	15-1	7	Next Flight	L A Rodriguez Castro
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	10	Bad Guy	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	8	Victors Dynasty	J A Vargas Jr.
* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES 1 3/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	3	Locally Owned	D Davis
PLACE	7-5	2	First Constitution	J Lezcano
SHOW	6-1	4	Portos	K Carmouche
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Blewitt	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Will E Sutton	J A Vargas Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Warrior in Chief	J A Gomez
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
RACE #9 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:36 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Nikostratos	K Carmouche
PLACE	6-1	10	Salt Cay	E Cancel
SHOW	4-1	13	Lucky Brody	Rider TBA
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Joint Resolution	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	11	Uragano	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	12	Saratoga Sky	J A Davis
* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-13 BOX, 13-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/10/13 BOX, 2/10/13 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Oaks Day FULLCARD Hotlist - May 6

May 5, 2022

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List fullcard selections
Friday, May 6, 2022
Longines Kentucky Oaks Day
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1^st race – (3) Idiomatic comes off a convincing debut win on synthetics but should be able to handle dirt equally well. (2) Imogene Malvina won on a wet-fast track which could come in handy here. (4) Sequist was third in a stakes and has a class edge. (5) Park On the Nile can benefit from her 2022 debut
2^nd race – (11) Inventing was a game second in her debut and should graduate here. (10) Misread was also second In her first start and looms the main foe. (7) South Georgia will welcome a return to dirt. (8) Blamethechampagne should bounce back on dirt.
3^rd race - (1) Q F Seventy Five posted a maiden win off a layoff and can make it two in a row. (8) Aviano didn’t fire last time but seems better than that effort. (3) Red Hornet missed by a neck and merits respect. (7) Grael could be a factor at the finish. IF DIRT: (4) Myopic becomes the pick.
4^th race – (7) Juju’s Map was a Grade 1 winner at 2 and starts her 3-year-old season with a win against these. (5) Semble Juste was hurt by a wide trip last time and can improve here. (1) Compelling Smile flopped on synthetics, should perk up here. (8) Illiogami adds blinkers and figures to have better fitness this time.
5^th race – The Modesty Stakes Presented by TwinSpires, G3 - (1) Fluffy Socks was second in her 2022 debut and should move forward here. (8) Bleecker Street has won four in a row and is the one to fear. (4) She Can’t Sing seems ready for a step-up to graded stakes company. (9) Pass the Plate was a troubled third last time and merits consideration. IF DIRT: (2) Stand Tall becomes the pick.
6th race – The La Troienne Stakes Presented by Signify Health, G1 - (6) Pauline’s Pearl had some excuses when second in the Azeri and makes amends here. (2) Shedaresthedevil won the Oaks here and should be the main competition. (4) Battle Bling belongs in the exotics. (1) Jilted Bride can benefit from a rail trip and be around at the end.
7th race – The Alysheba Stakes Presented by Sentient Jet, G2 - (5) Olympiad seems poised to become a major player in the division and gets the nod here. (7) Happy Saver runs infrequently but runs well whenever he does. (6) Fulsome is on the upswing and merits consideration. (2) Weyburn is quite game and cannot be ignored.
8^th race – The Edgewood Stakes Presented by Forcht Bank, G2 - (5) Dolce Zel turned in solid efforts in her two U.S. starts and looks best here. (8) Spicer missed by a head against the top pick and can complete a Chad Brown exacta. (4) Kneeships rallied wide last time and stands the best chance of spoiling Chad’s party. (3) McKulick makes her 2022 debut and adds to Chad’s grip on the race. IF DIRT: (10) Dream Lith becomes the pick.
9^th race – The Eight Belles Stakes Presented by TwinSpires, G2 - (8) Matareya was a landslide winner at Keeneland and seems poised for another top effort. (6) Gerrymander makes her 2022 debut but has enough talent to be a contender. (2) Pretty Birdie has enough early speed to shine in this spot. (9) Awake At Midnyte should be well-suited by the turnback to a sprint.
10^th race – The TwinSpires Turf Sprint Stakes Presented by Sysco, G2 - (1) Gregorian Chant ships in from California and should prove best. (3) Caravel looked sharp in her seasonal debut and is the one to fear. (8) Gear Jockey should be a threat in the final furlong. (10) Arrest Me Red looks like the one to catch in the stretch. IF DIRT: (7) Diamond Oops becomes the pick.
11^th race – The Longines Kentucky Oaks, G1 - (4) Nest has done little wrong in her career with 4 wins in 5 starts and was ultra-impressive in the Ashland at Keeneland. Seems best in an excellent edition of the Oaks. (8) Venti Valentine was second by a neck to Nest last year and should rebound from a surprising loss last time. (10) Kathleen O. is undefeated after 4 starts and will be a major force in the stretch. (3) Hidden Connection narrowly lost to Echo Zulu and should be aided by the added distance here.
12^th race – (2) Reagan’s Decision was third in a graded stakes last time and should prevail from the rail. (9) Wish You Well won her debut on the front end and could prove tough to catch. (12) Vaccine of Hope is worth a shot here while trying dirt. (5) Angitude has been away since December but has enough talent to make her presence felt.
13^th race – (8) Colorful Mischief should close out the day by winning at first asking for Pletcher. (6) Little Blaze was an improved second last time and seems best of the experienced runners. (10) Merci Road was third in her debut and might move forward in this spot. (9) Rather Be Lucky seems a rather fitting horse for today’s card.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Hotlist - May 6

May 5, 2022

Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Friday, May 6, 2022 at Belmont Park
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3^rd race [NY, Alw 80000 N1X, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (2) Sweet Fanny Lu (A) returned from an October layoff to run third after setting the pace and clearly needed the race. (8) She’s a Mia has been off since November when she was second in the Tepin at Aqueduct. She has moved from a low-profile trainer to Christophe Clement. (3) Lady Thornhill was last seen breaking her maiden at the Big A in December. (6) Solib was a maiden winner on the grass last year and came back to run second in March on a muddy track allowance at Aqueduct.
4^th race [NY, Md 25000, 6F] – (9) Barone Marchis gets the nod as a lightly raced horse in this low-level maiden claimer. In his second start which came after a four-month layoff he was second. (2) Limit Up tried the turf last time and now drops back down to this level on the main track. (3) Vincent was second in his debut after having the lead back in February, then was claimed, and now drops back down. (7) El Veinticuatro improved last start for Rudy Rodriguez when he cut back to sprinting and was moved up to third.
5^th race [Alw 92000 N1X, 1 mi TURF] – (1) Starting Over will return to the grass after a couple of winter dirt races. Last year, he was graded takes placed at Santa Anita and second in a Keeneland allowance. (4) High Tide was a six-length winner of a turf starter allowance last month at the Big A. (11) Thin White Duke was a winner last time when he returned to the grass for new trainer David Donk. (3) Alado was first or second in a series of races at Gulfstream Park on the grass and Tapeta.
9^th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 mi TURF] – (5) Whistler’s Honor (A) was off slow in his debut and rallied from last to finish fifth in a turf sprint and had the look of a horse that needed to go longer. (2) Joint Resolution (B) finished fourth in his first career start in a race that was meant for the grass and was well bet for Clement. (11) Uragano (D) was heavily bet in both of his starts. He was entered for the turf last time at Aqueduct and finished fourth when the race went on the main track. (1) Nikostratos gets blinkers on and first-time Lasix after a pair of seconds last year on the grass in New York.
Best bets: Sweet Franny Lu (3^rd); Barone Marchis (4^th). Best value: Starting Over (5^th); Whistler’s Honor (9^th).

No.	Name	Letter/ last race	Today's Race	Comments
(2)	Sweet Franny Lu	A on 4/10	3	She needed a race in her third-place return.
(2)	Joint Resolution	B on 4/7	9	Entered for turf in debut where he got jostled.
(5)	Whistler’s Honor	A on 11/14	9	Far back in debut, rallied, gets a better distance.
(11)	Uragano	D on 4/8	9	Well bet last time in a race that came off the turf.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Evangeline Downs - Race #4 - Post: 6:51pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 58

Rating:

#9 MORO PHAROAH (ML=5/2)
#3 T G'S NELSON (ML=8/1)
#8 BLAZE OF GRAY (ML=12/1)


MORO PHAROAH - Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished in the place spot easily ahead of the third-place horse in his last race. This gelding garnered a good speed rating of 68 in his last contest. That speed rating should be lofty enough to score today. T G'S NELSON - This racer could be tough in today's contest, especially since Guerrero rode last time around the track and now should be familiar with this one. BLAZE OF GRAY - Took a class drop last race out at Fair Grounds. Brinkman keeps him at the same level right here. I think that's a good move. Gelding will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 GENUINE KITTEN (ML=7/2), #10 MARVINS GOLD (ML=4/1), #2 ORPHAN CREEK (ML=5/1),

GENUINE KITTEN - Last raced on Oct 12th at Gulfstream Park West, finishing ninth. Not likely to get better off of that outing in today's event. This colt hasn't had any recent good results in sprint races. No picnic to wager on him in this race. This horse ran a common speed figure in the last race. He shouldn't run much better and will probably suffer defeat today running that rating. MARVINS GOLD - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint events in order to play him. ORPHAN CREEK - 5/1 odds isn't enough for this horse when scrutinizing the most recent outings.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#9 MORO PHAROAH is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	9 with [3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 46

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 5 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 20 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 5 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 MACHUCHAL MAJORETT 2/1
# 1 LA FLOR PONCENA 20/1
# 3 ALTEZA REAL 5/1

I back MACHUCHAL MAJORETT here. Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been very strong - 50 avg - of late. Will make a good outing versus this field of horses. The average class rating of 50 makes this one tough to beat. LA FLOR PONCENA - Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this field of horses. ALTEZA REAL - This mare obviously likes the distance, going 12 out of 56 in her races recently.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont Park - Race #9 - Post: 5:23pm - Optional Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $92,000 Class Rating: 95

Rating:

#1 CELESTIAL CITY (ML=10/1)
#7 QUALITY G (ML=6/1)
#10 MACKILLOP (ML=6/1)
#6 PARQUETRY (ML=15/1)


CELESTIAL CITY - Lezcano's agent must enjoy anytime McGaughey gives them a mount; winning percentage together is terrific. This horse has the class to win the race. A tactical ride by Lezcano, and this one could bound home the winner. QUALITY G - Pletcher has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to watch out for the longer priced half. This colt has been posting some excellent workout times. MACKILLOP - I seem to always make money betting Brown horses on the turf. That barn has a powerful win pct for this distance/surface. I expect a lot from this fine animal. His speed ratings under similar conditions are tops in this field. PARQUETRY - Really believe this horse is going to be really close at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 NAPOLEONIC WAR (ML=3/1), #8 TREASURE KING (ML=7/2), #13 CATHEDRAL BEACH (ML=4/1),

NAPOLEONIC WAR - This stretch-runner looks to have little chance without an early battle on the front end. Unlikely that the fig he garnered on April 8th will be enough in this race. TREASURE KING - This colt probably needs a better pace scenario to make his late move. Finished first in his most recent race with a most unsatisfactory speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group. CATHEDRAL BEACH - Would have to get quite a bit more than the oddsmaker's morning line of 4/1 to wager on this racer.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - MACKILLOP - Look for this colt to run well versus these thoroughbreds. Last time out, scored a fraction of 112.8 and a final time of 136.6, registering a very strong final quarter.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 CELESTIAL CITY to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,7,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Yankees -1.5
2.	Gameday Network	MLB – Phillies +130
3.	Sports Action 365	NBA – Heat -3
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	NBA – Suns pk
5.	VegasSI.com	NHL – Kings +125
6.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	NHL – Wild +110
7.	Henry Brown Sports	NHL – Maple Leafs +100
8.	Winning Big Sports	MLB – Astros -1.5
9.	Lou Panelli	MLB – Royals +115
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	MLB – Reds +110
11.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Suns pk
12.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Heat over 210
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Suns under 219
14.	SCORE	NHL – Bruins -135
15.	Tony Campone	NHL – Kings +125
16.	Chicago Sports Group	NHL – Kings +125
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	NBA – Suns pk
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Heat over 210
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Reds +110
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	MLB – Royals over 8
21.	NY Players Club	MLB – Red Sox over 8.5
22.	Fred Callahan	MLB – Astros -1.5
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	NHL – Kings +125
24.	Michigan Sports	NHL – Bruins -135
25.	National Consensus Report	NHL – Maple Leafs over 6.5

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

PURCHASE

05/05/22, CD, Race 11, 6.14 ET
05/05/22,CD,11,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $58,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	9	Quick Munny	6/1	Santana. Jr. R	Barkley Jason	SEWL	31	38.71	2.10/$1
098.7714	6	Sweet Truffles	5/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	McPeek Kenneth G.	FC	31	38.71	2.10/$1
098.7472	4	Mrs. Nushi	6/1	Corrales G	Foster Eric N.		31	38.71	2.10/$1
098.4215	5	Somebody Loves Me	9/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Walsh Brendan P.	J	31	38.71	2.10/$1
098.2262	7	Abby the Bull Dawg	5/1	Hernandez C J	Stall. Jr. Albert M.		31	38.71	2.10/$1
097.9390	10	Tachlis	6/1	Saez L	Arnold. II George R.		31	38.71	2.10/$1
097.0634	2	Shes Greekandsleek	6/1	Prat F	Stall. Jr. Albert M.		31	38.71	2.10/$1
095.7479	3	Love of My Life	8/1	Graham J	Correas. IV Ignacio		31	38.71	2.10/$1
093.2724	8	Monocacy	10/1	Diaz R	Morey William E.	T	31	38.71	2.10/$1
091.9896	1	Maxine's Candy	20/1	Murrill M	Vance David R.		31	38.71	2.10/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.84, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2286
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Jockey Turf YTD_Curr*0.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 7	W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double
Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:43P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 5. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SURE WOULD FOREST is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SURE WOULD FOREST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface. THUNDER GRUNDER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PEPE TONO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distan ce/surface.
4	SURE WOULD FOREST	5/2	5/2
5	THUNDER GRUNDER	9/5	9/2
1	PEPE TONO	6/1	8/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	SURE WOULD FOREST	4	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	84	76	79.2	74.0	70.0
1	PEPE TONO	1	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	87	73	62.4	73.0	64.5
5	THUNDER GRUNDER	5	9/5	Alternator/Trailer	88	80	58.8	78.8	76.3
6	PRETENDANT	6	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	86	77	59.8	64.4	56.9
3	POCOPSON STATION	3	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	79	64	52.8	66.6	59.1
2	CATTLE DRIVE	2	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	55	50.6	63.8	53.3

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Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

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Mike Wynn

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Razor Sharp

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Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection: Miami Marlins/San Diego Padres over 6 1/2