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Saturday 5/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 -Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 69
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $3,000 2 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
# 3 VALERIE VALESKI 9/5
# 1 BAKFIRE BABY 7/2
# 2 THE KAT'S BACK 3/1
I like VALERIE VALESKI here. Perez will most likely be able to get this filly to break out quickly for this race. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is formidable for this animal. This filly has posted some nice finishing positions in her last couple of starts. BAKFIRE BABY - Has decent Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a wager in this race. Has quite good early lick and ought to fare well against this field. THE KAT'S BACK - This mare looks good in this contest since Krasner has a strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. The speed figure of 71 from her most recent contest looks very good in here.
May 14 '22, 4:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Hurricanes
Play on: Hurricanes -131 at circa
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 5/14:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday afternoon was with the Carolina Hurricanes with the money-line versus the Boston Bruins in their Game Seven at 4:37 PM ET. Carolina (57-23-8) limps home after losing their third game in their last four in this series with a 5-2 loss on the road against the Bruins on Thursday. The Hurricanes have won 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by three or more goals. They have won 40 of their last 54 games at home when favored. Boston (53-30-5) has lost 4 games in a row on the road. They have also lost 5 straight playoff games as the underdog. Take Carolina with the money-line. Best of luck — Frank.
May 14 '22, 4:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Hurricanes
Play on: Hurricanes -131 at linepros
The Bruins knocked the Hurricanes out of two recent postseasons. In both cases, they had home ice advantage. That's no longer the case. The Canes finished ahead of the Bruins this season and that means that they have the benefit of playing this afternoon's winner-take-all game on home ice. We've seen how significant that's been all series; the home team is a perfect 6-0. The Canes are 32-12 here at home. While I respect the Bruins, I like the Canes' chances of advancing. Consider Carolina.
May 14 '22, 6:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Brewers vs Marlins
Play on: Brewers -117 at SC Consensus
My free play is on the Mil Brewers at 6:10 ET.
The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021 and were favored to repeat in 2022. The Marlins joined the National League in 1993 and entering the COVID-shortened season of 2020, had made the postseason just TWICE. However, the Marlins would capture the World Series each time, in 1997 over the Indians and in 2003 over the Yankees. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. The Brewers and Marlins opened a three-game series last night in Miami, with Milwaukee winning 2-1. The teams continue the series Saturday, with Milwaukee sitting at 21-12 (3 1/2-games up on the Cards in the NL Central) and Miami at 14-18, SEVEN games behind the Mets in the NL East.
Saturday's pitching matchup features Eric Lauer (3-0, 1.82 ERA for Milwaukee and Trevor Rogers (1-4, 5.00 ERA) for Miami. Rogers was a modest 7-8 in 25 starts as a rookie but owned an ERA of 2.64, a 1.15 WHIP plus opponents hit just .218 against him. However, we saw NOTHING like that from him in his first five starts of 2022, as he was 1-4 with a 6.14 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and a BAA of .262. However, he is coming off his best performance of the year, when he pitched five scoreless innings last Sunday against the San Diego Padres, scattering five hits. As luck would have it, the Padres hit a walk-off three-run HR in the 9th for a 3-2 win. That leaves Miami 1-5 in Rogers' starts this season. A 'ray of hope' could be that in two career starts against the Brewers (both last year), Rogers is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.82 and 13 strikeouts in 11 innings.
Then again, his mound opponent is Eric Lauer, who was a first-round pick in 2017 for San Diego. Lauer showed improvement in his first season with Milwaukee last year, going 7-5 with a 3.19 ERA in 24 appearances (20 starts). That still left him just 21-24 with a 4.28 ERA in 81 appearances (74 starts) entering 2022. Milwaukee owns a strong starting rotation, but no one has been better than Lauer, who is 3-0 with a 1.84 ERA. 0.94 WHIP, and a 42-8 KW ratio, all while holding opponents to a .189 BAA.
It's NO surprise that Milwaukee has won ALL five of his starts and it will be NO surprise when Lauer makes it SIX consecutive winning starts here vs Miami.
1* FREE PLAY Reds.
The Reds started the season 3-22, but they've now won 5 of their last 6 after crushing the Pirates here by a score of 8-2 on Friday night. I say the visiting side keeps the momentum rolling on Saturday. Cincinnati has averaged 7.8 RPG over its last 6 games. This is Castillo's second official start. He's 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA after allowing 3 runs over 5 innings vs. the hard-hitting Brewers in his debut. Here's a great opponent to get back on track against. Pittsburgh's posted just 2 runs so far to open up this series. Zach Thompson has been a confirmed "gas can" as well, going 1-3 with a 7.08 ERA over five starts for the Bucs. Great overall value here on the hungry visiting side in my opinion; consider the Reds on Saturday!
AAA Sports
May 14 '22, 7:05 PM in 4h
MLB | Red Sox vs Rangers
Play on: Red Sox +108 at Caesars
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Boston Red Sox +108
I'll hop back on the Boston Red Sox in another 'buy low' spot on after cashing them in as +105 underdogs in a 7-1 victory over the Rangers yesterday. The Red Sox come back as similar-sized underdogs today against a team they should be favored against.
The Red Sox have been arguably the most disappointing team in baseball at 12-20 this season. But that's the only reason we are getting them as underdogs against a Texas Rangers team that will prove to be one of the worst in baseball by season's end. Since the Rangers have gone 7-4 in their last 11 games overall, they are starting to get some unwarranted respect.
Rich Hill should not be an underdog to Glenn Otto today. Hill has posted a 2.86 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in five starts this season. He is 2-0 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.044 WHIP in three career starts against the Rangers as well.
Texas is 3-11 in its last 14 games as a favorite. The Rangers are 6-20 in their last 26 vs. AL East opponents. Boston is 20-9 in its last 29 meetings with Texas. Bet the Red Sox Saturday.
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