Sunday 5/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 07:30 AM

Sunday’s games

National League
St Louis (22-18) @ Pittsburgh (16-23)
— Matz is 0-2, 8.56 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3
— He is 2-3, 5.61 in six starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals are 6-8 in last fourteen games.
— St Louis is 12-10 on road.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 15-40
— record in first 5 innings: 19-16-5

— Wilson is 0-2, 8.66 in five starts.
— Pirates are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 0-1, 10.00 in three games (2 starts) vs St Louis.

— Pirates are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-4 its last six home games.
— under 5-0-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 7-39
— record in first 5 innings: 12-22-5

Arizona (21-21) @ Cubs (15-24)
— Kelly is 2-1, 4.21 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 4-4 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-3
— He is 2-1, 4.58 in three starts vs Chicago.

— Diamondbacks won their last three games.
— Arizona is 11-10 on road.
— five of last seven games went over
— scored run in first inning: 11-42
— record in first 5 innings: 16-13-13

— Miley is 1-0, 2.70 in his first two starts.
— Cubs are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 1-0, 1.04 in one start vs Arizona.

— Cubs lost their last four games.
— Cubs are 6-15 at home.
— under 11-5-2 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-38
— record in first 5 innings: 14-20-4

NY Mets (27-15) @ Colorado (19-20)
— Walker is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
— Mets are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 2-1, 2.43 in six starts vs Colorado.

— Mets are 16-10 in their last 26 games.
— Mets are 14-7 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-42
— record in first 5 innings: 24-10-8

— Gomber is 1-2, 4.88 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5
— He is 1-0, 2.25 in one start vs New York.

— Colorado lost 10 of last 14 games.
— Rockies are 14-10 at home.
— over 11-4 last fifteen home games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-39
— record in first 5 innings: 14-21-4

San Diego (26-14) @ San Francisco (22-17)
— Gore is 2-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.
— San Diego is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Padres are 21-9 in their last 30 games.
— San Diego is 16-7 on road.
— under four of last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-40
— record in first 5 innings: 23-12-5

— Wood is 1-1, 4.20 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He is 4-2, 2.93 in 17 games (11 starts) vs San Diego.

— Giants lost their last three games.
— San Francisco is 11-9 at home.
— over 15-7 last 22
— scored run in first inning: 7-39
— record in first 5 innings: 21-13-5

Los Angeles (27-12) @ Philadelphia (18-22)
— Gonsolin is 3-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 5-2 in his starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0-2
— He is 0-0, 2.45 in one start vs Philly.

— Dodgers won their last seven games.
— Los Angeles is 12-7 on road.
— over 8-4 last twelve
— scored run in first inning: 15-39
— record in first 5 innings: 23-10-6

— Eflin is 1-2, 4.41 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 2-4 in his starts
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 2-0, 3.09 in six starts vs Los Angeles.

— Phillies lost five of their last six games.
— Philly is 10-13 at home.
— four of last five games under
— scored run in first inning: 14-40
— record in first 5 innings: 16-18-6

Atlanta (19-21) @ Miami (17-22)
— Anderson is 2-1, 2.78 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
— He is 1-2, 4.15 in six starts vs Miami.

— Braves won three of last four games.
— Atlanta is 9-10 on road.
— over 16-8-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-40
— record in first 5 innings: 18-18-4

— Alcantara is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two starts
— Marlins are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He is 2-1, 2.20 in seven starts vs Atlanta.

— Miami lost 14 of last 19 games.
— Marlins are 9-12 at home
— over 10-4 last fourteen home games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-39
— record in first 5 innings: 15-17-7

Washington (13-28) @ Milwaukee (26-14)
— Sanchez is 1-2, 9.45 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 0-0, 2.70 in two games (1 start) vs Milwaukee.

— Washington lost 12 of last 16 games.
— Nationals are 8-13 on the road.
— over is 12-6-3 in their road games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-41
— record in first 5 innings: 13-25-3

— Peralta is 3-0, 2.04 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He is 2-1, 6.00 in four games (2 starts) vs Washington.

— Brewers are 22-9 in their last 31 games.
— Milwaukee is 14-5 at home.
— over 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-40
— record in first 5 innings: 18-14-8

American League
White Sox (19-20) @ New York (29-10)
— Cueto allowed 2 hits, no runs in 6 IP, in his first ‘22 start.
— White Sox are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 2-1, 1.80 in five starts vs New York.

— Kopech is 0-0, 1.55 in six starts.
— White Sox are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He is 0-1, 4.32 in three games (1 start) vs New York.

— White Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Chicago is 10-10 on road.
— under 16-7-1 last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-39
— record in first 5 innings: 19-17-3

— Taillon is 3-0, 3.31 in his last three starts.
— New York is 6-1 in his starts
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 3-0, 1.89 in three games (2 starts) vs Chicago.

— Severino is 3-0, 3.69 in his last six starts.
— New York is 7-0 in his starts
— over last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 2-2, 4.11 in five starts vs Chicago.

— New York won 23 of last 27 games.
— New York is 15-4 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 11-40
— record in first 5 innings: 22-7-11

Tampa Bay (24-16) @ Baltimore (16-25)
— Kluber is 1-1, 4.71 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 5-1, 2.94 in 11 starts vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay won six of last nine games.
— Rays are 11-7 on road.
— over 7-1-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 13-40
— record in first 5 innings: 19-11-10

— Watkins is 0-1, 6.14 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 3-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-5
— He is 1-3, 6.43 in four starts vs Tampa Bay

— Orioles lost seven of last nine games.
— Baltimore is 11-11 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-41
— record in first 5 innings: 10-22-9

Detroit (13-26) @ Cleveland (17-19)
— Faedo is 0-1, 2.87 in three starts.
— Tigers are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Tigers won four of last seven games.
— Detroit is 4-13 on the road.
— under 24-11-1 last 36 games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-39
— record in first 5 innings: 10-23-6

— Bieber is 0-2, 4.98 in his last four starts.
— Cleveland is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He is 6-2, 2.28 in eight starts vs Detroit.

— Guardians lost five of their last seven games.
— Cleveland is 8-7 at home.
— over 9-6 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-36
— record in first 5 innings: 9-15-12

Seattle (17-24) @ Boston (18-22)
— Gilbert is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 5-3 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
— He is 0-0, 3.00 in one start vs Boston.

— Mariners lost 18 of their last 24 games.
— Seattle is 8-17 on road.
— over 10-6-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-41
— record in first 5 innings: 14-20-7

— Eovaldi is 0-2, 8.31 in his last three starts
— Red Sox are 2-6 in his starts.
— under 3-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-3
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in six starts vs Seattle.

— Red Sox are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Boston is 9-10 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-40
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-11

Minnesota (24-16) @ Kansas City (14-25)
— Ober is 1-1, 3.66 in four starts.
— Minnesota is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 0-0, 4.32 in two starts vs Kansas City

— Minnesota won six of last eight games.
— Twins are 11-8 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 13-40
— record in first 5 innings: 19-13-8

— Singer threw seven shutout IP in his first ‘22 start.
— Royals are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-5, 6.00 in seven starts vs Minnesota.

— Kansas City lost 15 of last 22 games.
— Royals are 8-14 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 9-39
— record in first 5 innings: 12-20-7

Texas (18-21) @ Houston (26-15)
— Hearn is 2-0, 3.21 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 2-1, 2.78 in eight games (3 starts) vs Houston.

— Rangers are 12-7 in their last 19 games.
— Texas is 8-9 on foreign soil.
— under 16-9-1 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-39
— record in first 5 innings: 11-17-11

— Urquidy is 1-0, 3.21 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1
— He is 3-0, 1.67 in four starts vs Texas.

— Astros won 15 of their last 19 games.
— Houston is 11-5 at home.
— under 20-5 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 11-41
— record in first 5 innings: 25-12-4

A’s (17-25) @ LA Angels (25-17)
— Irvin is 2-1, 2.93 in five starts.
— His last start was April 30; he’s been hurt.
— A’s are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 2-2, 2.90 in five starts vs Anaheim.

— A’s lost six of their last nine games.
— Oakland is 11-11 on road.
— under 11-5-2 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 11-42
— record in first 5 innings: 15-21-6

— Sandoval is 2-1, 2.45 in six starts
— Angels are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 1-3, 1.78 in five starts vs Oakland.

— Angels are 19-12 in their last 31 games.
— Angels are 13-8 at home.
— over six of last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 18-42
— record in first 5 innings: 24-14-4

Interleague game
Cincinnati (11-28) @ Toronto (22-18)
— bullpen game

— Reds are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Cincinnati is 6-19 on road.
— under five of last six games
— scored run in first inning: 8-39
— record in first 5 innings: 9-25-5

— Kikuchi is 2-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Toronto is 14-7 at home.
— under 8-0 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 15-40
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-13

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:34 AM

GOLDEN STATE (63 - 32) at DALLAS (60 - 37) - 5/22/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 53-85 ATS (-40.5 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
DALLAS is 54-41 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 149-109 ATS (+29.1 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
DALLAS is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:34 AM

FLORIDA (62-22-0-6, 130 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (57-26-0-8, 122 pts.) - 5/22/2022, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 134-182 ATS (-56.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
FLORIDA is 12-13 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (+6.3 Units) in the second round of the playoffs over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 13-2 ATS (+10.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 14-10 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 14-10-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
13 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

CAROLINA (60-23-0-8, 128 pts.) at NY RANGERS (56-27-0-8, 120 pts.) - 5/22/2022, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 44-70 ATS (-41.5 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
CAROLINA is 41-70 ATS (-29.3 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 56-35 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 27-22 ATS (-2.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (+6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 19-10 ATS (+29.9 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 294-288 ATS (-133.6 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 195-188 ATS (-77.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 5-8 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 8-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

CALGARY (55-26-0-10, 120 pts.) at EDMONTON (54-31-0-6, 114 pts.) - 5/22/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 51-55 ATS (-29.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 26-9 ATS (+12.2 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CALGARY is 136-132 ATS (+297.2 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 10-10 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 10-10-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
13 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.5 Units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:34 AM

Belmont Park Picks - Sunday, May 22, 2022

Race 1: 5-6-2-4
Race 2: 2-7-5-10
Race 3: 3-4-1-2
Race 4: 8-3-5-1
Race 5: 4-8-12-11
Race 6: 7-2-4-1
Race 7: 6-4-1-3
Race 8: 2-8-6-4
Race 9: 7-5-3-6
**Most Likely: Cara's Dreamer #2 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Wolfie’s Dynaghost #3 # (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:35 AM

Churchill Downs Picks - Sunday, May 22, 2022

Race 1: 3-5-7-2
Race 2: 6-4-5-2
Race 3: 2-4-7-1
Race 4: 3-12-7-11
Race 5: 5-2-4-1
Race 6: 7-3-5-9
Race 7: 3-2-7-4
Race 8: 7-4-8-10
Race 9: 3-8-5-2
**Most Likely: Ridgepointe #2 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Silver Blur #3 (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:35 AM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Sunday, May 22, 2022

Race 1: 1-10-4-6
Race 2: 2-6-1-5
Race 3: 7-4-2-3
Race 4: 4-6-1-2
Race 5: 7-1-3-4
Race 6: 4-6-7-1
Race 7: 4-7-1-3
Race 8: 1-6-4-3
Race 9: 5-8-3-1
**Most Likely Winner: Valhalla Air Base #2 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Susans Novela #4 (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:35 AM

Lone Star Park Picks - Sunday, May 22, 2022

Race 1: 4-8-6-2
Race 2: 3-6-1-5
Race 3: 2-6-4-7
Race 4: 1-5-7-3
Race 5: 7-1-4-6
Race 6: 4-5-2-6
Race 7: 8-4-2-5
Race 8: 1-9-7-6
Race 9: 5-1-3-7
Race 10: 1-8-3-4
**Most Likely: U S Navy Cross #1 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Englander #4 (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:35 AM

Monmouth Park Picks - Sunday, May 22, 2022

Race 1: 8-6-7-4
Race 2: 2-5-6-4
Race 3: 3-2-1-5
Race 4: 3-6-7-2
Race 5: 4-11-7-1
Race 6: 3-7-6-1
Race 7: 4-6-10-1
Race 8: 2-6-7-1
Race 9: 2-6-9-10
**Most Likely Winner: Beverly Park #2 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: American Day #3 (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:35 AM

Interstate Racing Tips – May 22nd

Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – May 22nd

RSN927

RSN Form Analyst Kev Casey covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Muswellbrook on Sunday the 22nd of May.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: +5m 1000m-300m then Cutaway Applies, True Remainder
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 6
Weather: Overcast
Kev Casey Muswellbrook Tips

Muswellbrook, 22nd May 2022

Race 1 Selections: 8,3,9,7
Race 2 Selections: 2,1,3,5
Race 3 Selections: 5,3,4,1
Race 4 Selections: 7,5,8,11
Race 5 Selections: 4,5,2,3
Race 6 Selections: 8,2,6,3
Race 7 Selections: 2,9,10,8
Best Bet

Race 5 – 4. Aperol Sprint
Best Value

Race 6 – 8. The Defiant One
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 5,7,8,11
Quaddie 2: 2,3,4,5
Quaddie 3: 2,3,6,8
Quaddie 4: 2,8,9,10

RSN Form Analyst Ian Humphries covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Moruya on Sunday the 22nd of May.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 6
Weather: Fine
Ian Humphries Moruya Tips

Moruya, 22nd May 2022

Race 1 Selections: 7,6,1,3
Race 2 Selections: 2,12,9,7
Race 3 Selections: 5,10,2,4
Race 4 Selections: 6,3,11,7
Race 5 Selections: 12,10,3,8
Race 6 Selections: 10,2,5,1
Race 7 Selections: 1,8,4,5
Race 8 Selections: 4,1,5,6
Best Bet

Race 5 – 12. Sweet Biscuit
Best Value

Race 4 – 6. Delightful Dream
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 12
Quaddie 2: 1,2,5,9,10
Quaddie 3: 1,8
Quaddie 4:1,4,5,6,9

RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Sunshine Coast on the Poly track on Sunday the 22nd of May.

Rail Position: True
Track Type: Synthetic
Track Condition: Synthetic
Weather: Raining
Howard Walter Sunshine Coast Poly track Tips

Sunshine Coast, 22nd May 2022

Race 1 Selections: 2,8,10,13
Race 2 Selections: 12,13,6,1
Race 3 Selections: 4,5,3,10
Race 4 Selections: 3,4,5,9
Race 5 Selections: 5,9,10,11
Race 6 Selections: 8,9,10,3
Race 7 Selections: 11,10,9,14
Race 8 Selections: 15,18,7,9
Best Bet

Race 6 – 8. Casrock
Value Bet

Race 7 – 11. Emmy Regina
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 5,9,10
Quaddie 2: 8,9,10
Quaddie 3: 9,10,11,14,17
Quaddie 4: 7,9,15,18
Play Of The Day

Race 6 Quinella’s – Quinella 1 – 8 & 9 and Quinella 2 – 8 & 10

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:36 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Churchill Downs, Santa Anita, and Belmont Park for May 22, 2022
By: Jared Welch

Let’s round out the week in a good way this afternoon! For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont Park for the late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Santa Anita and Churchill Downs for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s go!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Belmont Park:

Belmont Park May 22, 2022

Race 6: Claiming

#7 Thataint Tooshabby was a close second at a higher level last time out, setting the pace, before finishing third. She will be tough to catch in this spot. #2 Waters of Merom gets on the turf today after getting rained off of the surface last time out. She should enjoy finally getting on the surface.

Race 7: Allowance
freestar

#4 Join the Dots has hit the board in all three of her starts so far, while she was a solid second at this class level last time out at Gulfstream Park. #3 Courageous Girl has been close in a couple of recent allowance efforts at Belmont Park and should be competitive with this group today.

Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming

#6 Fortin Hill drops down in class to allowance company after running third in a decent stakes race last time out at Gulfstream Park. This is also his third race off of the layoff. #2 Mr Phil scratched out of a stakes yesterday at Pimlico to run in this spot today.

Race 9: Maiden Claiming

#6 Jimmy the Boot drops down to the maiden claiming ranks for the first time today, which is the biggest class drop in racing. #7 Vocalize also will be taking that same drop in class today, while also cutting back in distance, which should help her chances.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 2,7 / 2,3,4,6 / 2,5,6 / 1,4,6,7 – $48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:36 AM

Belmont Horses in Focus for Sunday, May 22
Posted on May 21, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 2: CARA’S DREAMER (#2)

The Chad Brown-trained #5 Marvelous Maude figures to go favored again here, as she’s usually pretty popular at the windows. Amazingly, 5 of the 6 runners entered for turf in this spot all met up in a race at this level nearly 6 months ago on Nov. 27. A close viewing of that affair is essential handicapping information for this race. Marvelous Maude achieved the best result that day, finishing ahead of the four rivals she meets here, while checking in second. She arguably should have won, as she was never inside and had to cover plenty of ground on the turns while launching her bid. This filly is lightly raced and has moved forward with each turf start. I wouldn’t be too concerned about the layoff since the barn is one of the best in the business with this move. She’s the one to beat, but I prefer the fourth-place finisher from that Nov. 27 event who figures to be a better price. #2 Cara’s Dreamer finished 3/4-length behind Marvelous Maude that day, but she also got a wide trip and ran better than it seems. She’s not exactly a win machine, but she always shows up with a good effort regardless of the company. She really stepped up her game in the second half of last season, as she picked up a couple of stakes placings over this course. She also has a recency edge on some others, having gotten in a prep at Aqueduct. She closed well, but was cost a victory by having to alter course to the far outside in upper stretch. If she can work out a smoother journey here, I think she can find her way to the winner’s circle.

RACE 5: SUMMER AT THE SPA (#6)

#12 Tis a Pity figures to go off as a substantial favorite in this 12-horse claiming affair. She’s previously run well against New York-bred allowance foes, so this drop in for a tag is supposed to put her in the winner’s circle. However, I wasn’t thrilled with her last race. She rightfully took money that day, going off as the 2-1 narrow second choice. Yet she failed to capitalize on a perfect setup, as she got plenty of pace ahead of her and only closed mildly for fourth. That performance is probably good enough to beat this field, but she is returning from a layoff for a barn that doesn’t have the best stats off breaks like this. I want to find some alternative and there are a few to consider. #7 Thegoddessofsnakes and #8 Ofalltheginjoints both possess the tactical speed to get the jump on the favorite. Both are coming off decent runner-up performances, but I don’t think either were facing particularly strong fields last time. I instead want to look in a different direction with #6 Summer At the Spa. This mare has sprinted effectively in the past, finishing second at this level in April 2021, and prior to that picking up minor awards at the New York-bred N1X level. There’s an argument that she was in better form back then, but I don’t think her recent turf races are as bad as they seem. She got involved in a quick pace on June 19 of last year, and then in her return last time she was very wide around both turns. The turnback suits her as she switches into the barn of Horacio De Paz, who is 4 for 15 (27%, $4.02 ROI) off trainer switches on turf over the past 5 years.

RACE 8: ZOOMER(#4)

This is one of the more intriguing races on the card, as you have a few formerly promising runners meeting up here as older horses having squandered some of that early potential, chief among them the enigmatic #8 Hidden Scroll. He’s one of just two horses in this optional claimer being offered for the $80k tag, notably after being purchase at auction by his current owner for $525k. The fact that I’ve pegged that popular 6-year-old as the longest price on the morning line speaks to the overall depth of this field. The horse to beat is arguably #6 Fortin Hill. A $575k auction purchase as a two-year-old, he began his career in impressive fashion but has had a few significant stops and starts along the way. He’s now in Bill Mott’s barn as a 6-year-old making his third start off a lengthy layoff. I thought he ran reasonably well last time in the Sir Shackleton despite not getting the most comfortable trip chasing from the inside. He’s logical, but I didn’t want to take too short a price on anyone in this field. #1 Whistling Birds and #2 Mr Phil are both coming off victories with solid speed figures, but both enjoyed perfect trips in those races and are stepping up to face tougher this time. I instead preferred a couple of horses dropping out of stakes. My top pick is #4 Zoomer. This hard-trying gelding can run effectively over a variety of distances, but I think he’s best between 7 furlongs and a mile, especially in races that feature some early pace. He figures to get that here with a few other speeds signed on. They tried the Grade 3 Westchester with him, but he was just no match for the improved Cody’s Wish. He’s now back in a realistic spot for Linda Rice, whose barn has woken up a bit at Belmont after a slow winter. The other horse I’d want to use at a bigger price is #5 Lobsta. He was no match for the classy Ny Traffic in a NY-bred stakes last time, but he’s now stretching back out to his best distance and has some speed figures that put him in the mix. I won’t fault him for failing to handle a mile two back, as he can win this race if he runs back to his stakes victory from last December.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:37 AM

Al Cimaglia: Running Aces Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 22, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Running Aces has a 9-race card scheduled with the first post coming at 7:00 CST. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $3,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Bringoverthemoney (5/2)-This veteran is no stranger to the Aces winner's circle and now has a needed a start under his belt. Drops to a soft spot and should be a main threat.
7-Bordogna (7/2)-Drops after racing well in a quick mile in its Aces season debut. The Anfinson barn has posted 36% winner over the last 30 days and should relish the company.

Race 7

4-Pecorino (7/2)-Has battled better at Aces and won, now makes the 2nd start of the meet. Has 2 wins in 8 races here and there isn't much form in this field. Should be in the hunt and appears more ready than others for a big effort.

Race 8

4-Mind Yown Business (3-1)-Had a big try in last from the 8-hole versus this kind to finish 2nd. Could be better tonight and hopefully won't be over bet.
5-Mandeville (4-1)-Came 3rd in the same race as the one above and should be better prepared after a race over the track. Plano got on the point in last and could try the same game plan here.
8-Pridecrest (5-1)-This 10-year-old still knows how to win and now makes its Aces debut. Has done well here hitting the board in 36 of 56 with 15 wins. Has been off since 5-1 and that may help the price. Could take a picture if ready for a big try.

Race 9

5-Impressive Art (5-1)-Got in a needed start on 5-17 versus better and now Roland takes the lines. Fits well with this crew and could be sitting on a big try.
9-Bobs Time (12-1)-Will take a swing here and play against the program chalk #7 who is 2 for the last 49. This 5-year-old has hit the board in 7 of 16 at Aces with 3 pictures and now drops to a more competitive level. There should be an honest pace and Magee could be rolling hard down the lane.

0.50 Late Pick 4

2,7/4/4,5,8/5,9
Total Bet=$6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:37 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 5/22/22

May 22, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): Havana Love; 2-Unbridled Mary

Forecast: Florida invader Havana Love (TOC=12-1; ML=6-1) is quite interesting in this second-level allowance turf sprint for fillies and mares. An Italian stakes winner when mostly competing over a middle distance, she appears to have plenty of early zip and could display significant improvement while turning back in trip in this six furlong affair. In a race that projects to have moderate early fractions and based on what we’ve seen of her in the morning, she could easily be quick enough to be on or near the lead throughout. Unbridled Mary is a late-runner returning from Kentucky where she finished a close fifth in a listed stakes while earning a career top speed figure. The daughter of Maclean’s Music shows a healthy series of local dirt works to have her fit following a six week respite, so if she can get some help up front the J. Sadler-trained sophomore should be heard from late. Havana Love gets top billing but both should be included in rolling exotic play.

Notable Workouts:

Unbridled Mary (May 13, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B
Stride-for-stride with Famous Star (same time) for J. Sadler, mild coaxing through the lane, final quarter mile in :25 flat. Decent work, nothing flashy, probably a bit more comfortable on grass.
View Workout Video

Havana Love (May 14, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.1hg). Grade: B+
Loved this work from Florida invader now in D. O’Neill barn, splits of :24 flat, :35.2, :47.1 and :59.1, mostly on her own while best over Still on the Books (5f, :59.4hg). Appears to have plenty of natural speed (she was stakes-placed sprinting overseas as a 2-year-old) and may be allowed to show it if shortened up. Had useful Italian form and should be quite competitive on this circuit.
View Workout Video

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RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 1-Fordy G; 7-Tahoma

Forecast: Fordy G missed his scheduled debut last week when he was a late scratch but obviously is none the worse for wear as he reappears eight day later in this four and one-half furlong affair for juveniles. The son of American Freedom has displayed plenty of quickness in a.m. drills and could clear the field from the rail, assuming he breaks well. Tahoma, from the first crop of Justify, shows a local gate work (see below) that was solid if not spectacular. Whatever he can do today, he’s most likely to do better down the road as the distances increase.

Notable Workouts:

Fordy G (April 28, Santa Anita, 4f, :46.2hg). Grade: B
Urged most of the way while second best with older Honor It (5f, :59.4hg) and well ahead of Reign of Speed (4f, :48.2hg) for Hanson, splits of :23 flat, :34.2 and :46.4, excellent speed for a juvenile. Have to think he’ll be live at first asking in an abbreviated dash.
View Workout Video

Tahoma (May 16, Santa Anita, 4f, :47hg). Grade: B
From the first crop of Justify, juvenile went three ticks slower than given on our watches while even with Henry Q (same time), ridden a bit most of the way while earning splits of :23.3, :35.1 and :47.3 for K. Desormeaux. Decent work, not earth shattering, but seems fit enough and should make the entries soon and will have a look if not world beaters show up.
View Workout Video

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RACE 3: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: X
Single: 3-Paid Informant

Forecast: Paid Informant (TOC=2/5; ML=Evens) really doesn’t look like a “healthy” odds-on favorite – she’s even money on the morning line and likely will go lower – but in the absence of a viable alternative the D. O’Neill-trained mare is the top pick by default. Following 10 month layoff, she returned protected in a starter optional claimer and ran very well to be third after a rough trip but today she surfaces in a $25,000 event and is clearly “for sale.” If the daughter of Into Mischief has one good one left she’ll take of business, but this suspicious pattern makes her almost unplayable at the short price she’s sure to be. You can use her as a no-value rolling exotic single or better yet just pass the race.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:44 PT Grade: C
Use (in order of preference: 6-Here Comes Ralphie; 5-Kelanie Kim; 3-Mo Connelly

Forecast: Here’s a six-runner field with nothing to embrace. Rolling exotic players should use as many as they can afford to. Here Comes Ralphie (TOC=5-1; ML=5/2) may be as good as any. She takes a slight but significant drop into a woefully weak race and based on her recent speed figures should be capable of producing the last run. Most of her recent races have been on turf or synthetic but the daughter of Lakerville shouldn’t have a problem with the main track, at least against this group. Kelani Kim (TOC=2-1; ML=2-1) looks like the controlling speed after displaying early speed but then fading in her comeback race last month at Turf Paradise. This return to the claiming ranks is warranted but as a six year old mare with just seven career starts she’s clearly had her issues. Mo Connelly (TOC=7/2; ML=8-1) broke her maiden over this track and distance two races back but then was out of her element and far back vs. starter’s allowance foes on grass in her most recent outing. This is a field she can act with, so at 8-1 on the morning line she is worth tossing in on a ticket or two.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:17 PT Grade: N
Single: 3-Summer Lake

Forecast: Older maiden California-bred fillies and mares sprint six furlongs on grass, with the second-time starter Summer Lake quite appealing after being given a run at 30-1 last month in her debut when facing similar company. Allowed to lag to the top of the lane, the daughter of Lakerville responded when asked a bit in the final furlong to close a gap without threatening, splitting the field while beaten less than five lengths. We’re expecting a much more serious effort today. K. Frey got to know her and stays aboard, so at 6-1 on the morning line, the B. Heap-trained filly is worth a gamble in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:50 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 5-Doc Adams; 7-Weston; 4-Verragio

Forecast: Here’s another somewhat messy restricted (nw-3) claimer, this one for $20,000 older sprinters. Doc Adams (TOC=6-1; ML=5/2) is a first-time gelding taking a significant class drop and turning back from a series of two-turn outings. A prior winner over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Vronsky seems most effective when held up early and allowed to run late, and at this extended sprint trip the A. Harris-trained four-year-old seems primed for major effort. Weston (TOC=4-1; ML=8-1) is drawn comfortably outside, exits a stronger than par race, has numbers that fit, and projects to enjoy a clean, stalking journey and then have every chance from the quarter pole home. Verragio (TOC=6-1; 3-1) has won two of five starts, most recently earning a career top speed figure when winning a $25,000 non-winners of two sprint in mid-March. He’s eligible to produce another forward move and projects to be part of the pace throughout.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:20 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Cash Equity; 1-Red King; 3-Seven Charms

Forecast: This 10-furlong grass event attracted just five starters, and as the saying goes, top to bottom a chance. Cash Equity (TOC=9/5; ML=8/5) finished second in his U.S. debut last month in a race in which he enjoyed an ideal trip, had every chance when set down for the drive but then failed to produce the necessary late kick and in fact appeared to lose some of his punch late. The question is, will he step forward off that effort today, and if so, how much? The P. D’Amato-trained colt seems a bit of an underlay at his morning line of 8/5, but he certainly could win and must be included in rolling exotic play. His D’Amato-trained stable mate, the multiple graded stakes winner Red King (TOC=3-1; ML=5/2), is eight years old and may have lost a step, so this drop into an optional claimer ($80,000) seems warranted. He’ll be running on late, but in a race that projects to be slowly run early, the race flow isn’t likely to compliment his style. Seven Charms (TOC=6-1; ML=7/2 is lightly-raced and unproven at this level but he may inherit a very easy front-running trip and get brave. In a race in which the major players aren’t completely trustworthy, he’s worth including on your ticket.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:50 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 3-King Rob; 6-Mongolian Kingdom

Forecast: Bottom rung ($20,000) maiden claimers meet over a mile, with King Rob deserving of top billing based on his most recent outing, a runner-up in a similar affair earlier this month that produced a career top speed figure. Can he turn in two alike? If so, he can win. Chris Fix stretches out following a series of sprints and should be forwardly placed. However, He’ll need considerable improvement in the speed figure department to challenge our top pick if that one reproduces his last outing. With nothing else to embrace, we’ll sink or swim using just these two in our rolling exotics.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:20 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 8-Dancing Soul; 10-Magic Game

Forecast: Dancing Soul didn’t get the best of runs in her debut up north at Golden Gate Fields – she was squeezed back at the start and was wide throughout – but kept to her task to wind up second in a promising effort. She goes for a barn that has solid stats with the second-time starter angle and is bred for grass on both sides of her pedigree, so we’re expecting the daughter of Vronsky to produce a significant forward move. Magic Game received no action (37-1) in her debut but ran well when staying on nicely through the lane to finish second in a similar turf sprint last month. The daughter of Flintshire is another likely to improve with that bit of experience behind her, and if she can secure a decent early position from her outside draw the E. Kruljac-trained sophomore should find this group within her capabilities. A healthy work pattern at Los Alamitos indicates improvement is likely. Both should be used in rolling exotic play with a slight preference on top to Dancing Soul.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-22-2022, 09:37 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Churchill Downs - Race #4
Picks Notes
#9 Division Street He showed some pace and faded in the debut at Turfway, but sire Street Boss is aces with turf sprinters, so there is a real chance this guy moves up in a serious way while getting on the grass. Upside in this second start, too.
#12 Grantastic Thought about taking a shot with this guy who is bred to handle the footing just fine, but I'd want to get a look at him on the tote and track before landing here. Think he might be ready enough to share.
#7 True Jedi He's the most likely winner in here, but he's likely going to be a short price and has given away a bit of ground late in both lifetime starts. Obvious win contender, but someone might be along to pick him up late.
Race Summary A pretty nice Betmix Longshot Score of 46 for this race, which typically gets me looking around a little bit, and Division Street is a pedigree play with a sire whose runners often move way up when getting on the turf. Let's see if he can flip the form today.

Churchill Downs - Race #7
Picks Notes
#2 Dark Timber He's protected off the claim after stopping badly in the lane in the Keeneland comeback, but he gets a pass on that one for me after showing pace off the layoff, and I expect better here. Think he might be able to run these off their feet.
#3 Official Business He was well placed for the debut win at the $50,000 level, and he looks like a decent fit here if he has any upside in this second lifetime start. Tactical player should be able to prompt the top choice.
#5 Flags Up His form is spotty, but he has been in with much better groups than he's going to find today, and this looks like a really good spot for him to kick off his 2022 campaign.
Race Summary Dark Timber has a right to be tough here despite a string of fading efforts, as he goes for a new team today and might be fast enough to mostly control this race up top.

Churchill Downs - Race #8
Picks Notes
#9 Verstappen He has generally been better the further he runs, and he has shown some versatility in running style that can make a horse tough at this type of trip. Price might be right to see if he can handle these.
#5 Win Worthy He's a really reliable finisher, but I worry what kind of price he's going to offer while giving a few talented players a pretty big jump on him into the far turn. Along too late?
#4 Arabian Prince He's another who can adapt a little bit depending on how the pace unfolds, and his turf form is actually pretty reliable despite the 0-for-6 career slate staring back at you. Chance.
Race Summary Verstappen may offer a mid-range price, and he might get the run of the race ahead of a a few logical players who should be rolling late. Better here in the third start of the season?