Saturday 7/2/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Saturday, July 2

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Saturday's meetings at Sandown, Doncaster, Beverley, Carlisle, Nottingham and Leicester.

HAYDOCK

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.35 Swayze

2.05 Double Cherry (nb)

2.40 Eshaada

3.15 Secret Shadow

3.50 Queen Of Deauville

4.25 Young Fire

4.55 Doux Esprit

GIMCRACK

1.35 Gannon Glory

2.05 Valsad

2.40 Sea La Rosa (nap)

3.15 Inchicore

3.50 Sunny Orange

4.25 Woven

4.55 Zero Carbon

Newmarket – 3.50 Ramazan (nb)


LEICESTER

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

2.45 Lednikov

3.20 Dunnington Lad

3.55 Misscall

4.30 Flower Of Thunder

5.00 Wild Lion

5.30 Pastel Power

6.05 Katie’s Kitten

GIMCRACK

2.45 Thunder Flash

3.20 Duchray

3.55 Sweet Glance

4.30 Mr Zee

5.00 Wild Lion

5.30 Dukedom

6.05 Selfish Brian



CARLISLE

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.50 Redrosezorro

6.20 Lakota Blue

6.50 Sixcor

7.20 Elzaal

7.50 Hostelry

8.20 Detective

8.50 Rechercher

GIMCRACK

5.50 Somewhere Secret

6.20 Braveheart Boy

6.50 Jungle Bee

7.20 Marwari

7.50 Millie The Minx

8.20 Jilly Cooper

8.50 Rechercher



NOTTINGHAM

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

6.00 Your Love Is King

6.30 Estate

7.00 Bibulous

7.30 Tribuna Uffizi

8.00 Miss Harmony

8.30 God Of Thunder

GIMCRACK

6.00 Sameem

6.30 Sixties Chic

7.00 Bibulous

7.30 Tribuna Uffizi

8.00 Holocene

8.30 At Liberty

Northerner – 8.30 Superior Council (nap)


SANDOWN

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.50 Mitbaahy

2.25 Checkandchallenge

3.00 Heredia

3.35 Vadeni

4.10 Electrical Storm

4.45 Picual

5.20 Nelson Gay

GIMCRACK

1.50 Method

2.25 Checkandchallenge

3.00 Heredia

3.35 Mishriff (nb)

4.10 Chairman

4.45 Land Of Eagles

5.20 Just Glamorous

Newmarket – 1.50 Mitbaahy (nb); 3.35 Bay Bridge (nap).


BEVERLEY

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

2.18 Exposed

2.53 Secret Guest

3.28 Indian Sounds (nap)

4.05 Casilli

4.40 Zihaam

5.15 Miss Clementine

5.45 Panama City

GIMCRACK

2.18 Coco Jack

2.53 Secret Guest

3.28 Rambuso Creek

4.05 Golden Melody

4.40 Under Fox

5.15 Miss Clementine

5.45 Panama City

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Piassek's Plays: Saturday Stakes Action at Delaware Park
by John Piassek

Delaware Park, Race 4, $100,000 Alapocas Run Stakes, post time 2 p.m. ET
weekend Television schedule

Friday, July 1: 12:30-6 p.m. ET on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Saturday, July 2: 12:30-3 p.m. on FS1; 3-5 p.m. on FS2; 4-6 p.m. on NBC; post time varies on TVG

Sunday, July 3: 12:30-1:30 p.m. on FS2; 1:30-5:30 p.m. ET on FS1; post time varies on TVG

Monday, July 4: 12:30-6 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on TVG

#1 Greeley and Ben: A field of nine will sprint six furlongs in the first of four stakes races on the Saturday Delaware Park card. The field includes the top two finishers from the June 4 Mr. Prospector Stakes at Monmouth Park, and those two will likely be the favorites. Drafted took advantage of a very fast pace and got up to win, for his third stakes victory of the year. Greeley and Ben was close to the early pace, but fought on in the stretch and lost to Drafted by just three quarters of a length. He's shown in recent starts that he can get to the front and not be intimidated by fast fractions, hanging on gamely until late. What's more, Trevor McCarthy, who usually doesn't ride at Delaware, is coming down for some stakes mounts. He's one of the strongest riders on his home circuit of New York, and always gets a maximum effort out of his horses. With a usual vigrous Trevor ride, Greeley and Ben should be able to withstand pace pressure and hold off Drafted's rally.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$6 to win on 1

$4 exacta, 1 with 3

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$15 to win on 1

$10 exacta, 1 with 3

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$30 to win on 1

$20 exacta, 1 with 3

Delaware Park, Race 6, $300,000 Delaware Oaks, post time 3 p.m. ET

Click image to purchase shirt.

#5 Morning Matcha: Eight 3-year-old fillies will go 1 1/16 miles on dirt in the feature race on the card. Although she finished off the board in her two prior graded stakes attempts, I still think Morning Matcha has lots of promise. She likes to rate near the back early on and then make a big closing rally. That strategy worked for her in the Main Line Stakes at Parx Racing in March, which she won by 6 3/4 lengths. She got caught behind a slow pace in the Gazelle Stakes next out and had no chance, although she had a great late pace figure. In the George E. Mitchell Black-Eyed Susan Stakes, she made up lots of ground from last place and got up for sixth. Carol Cedeno, one of the leading jockeys at Delaware, gets the mount for the first time, and the filly is also adding Lasix. With lots of speed horses in the race, the pace should be honest, enabling Morning Matcha to use her late speed to maximum effect.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$7 to win on 5

$3 exacta, 5 with 3

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$13 to win on 5

$6 exacta, 5 with 3, 8 ($12 total)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$26 to win on 5

$12 exacta, 5 with 3, 8 ($24 total)

Year-To-Date Statistics

52 starts: 9 wins, 8 seconds, 8 thirds

$10 Budget Plays: $520 bet, $408 returned

$25 Budget Plays: $1,300 bet, $1,130.95 returned

$50 Budget Plays: $2,600 bet, $2,237.24 returned

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Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Saturday, July 2nd 2022 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
MONMOUTH PARK
RACE #10
TIME: 4:27 PM EST
PICK: BET #5 Legal Deal 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso Downs
PURCHASE
Ruidoso Downs - Race 3

Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 2nd Leg Pick 4 /1st Leg .50 Pick 3


Claiming $5,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $8,200 • Post: 1:52P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * DIGGER'S GOLD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equib ase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MARK'S WARRIOR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey win percentage over the last 30 days is at l east 18.
6
DIGGER'S GOLD
7/2

2/1
5
MARK'S WARRIOR
6/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
PALICE REVENGE
2

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
55

41

32.2

42.2

34.2
6
DIGGER'S GOLD
6

7/2
Trailer
68

57

23.8

58.8

55.8
3
QUINTON'S CHARMER
3

5/2
Trailer
55

47

0.0

36.4

28.4
5
MARK'S WARRIOR
5

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
60

51

16.0

41.6

35.6
1
TRUEZER
1

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
49

44

43.8

34.2

23.7
4
KIRBY DERBY
4

9/5
Alternator/Non-contender
62

59

36.7

32.4

26.9

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Lone Star Park - Race #3 - Post: 11:56am - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 SECRET HOLIDAY (ML=4/1)
#5 TENTH OF GOLD (ML=5/2)
#6 JAMES GANG (ML=3/1)


SECRET HOLIDAY - Last race May 27th was pretty strong for a $20,000 Maiden Claiming race so this colt's performance wasn't all that bad. I like the piece of information that this colt's last fig, 71, is tops in this field. TENTH OF GOLD - This colt is almost always in the top three. Ranks highest in earnings per start (EPS). A dominant try in today's race will add to that total. JAMES GANG - Elliott is up for another event today after racing atop this horse for the first ride on June 4th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Have to give this gelding a good chance. Ran a strong effort last time around the track within the last month. Asmussen drops this one in today for only his second effort. Should do better than last out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 AIN'T THAT A KICK (ML=7/2), #1 LORD SHAFTESBURY (ML=5/1),

AIN'T THAT A KICK - No picnic to bet on any horse in a sprint race at 7/2 when he hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. 7/2 is not enough of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back races. LORD SHAFTESBURY - Trying to beat this participant today at the value of 5/1.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 SECRET HOLIDAY is going to be the play if we are getting 4/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[4,5,6] with [4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

07/02/22, BEL, Race 5, 3.03 ET
07/02/22,BEL,5,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Running Bee(b+)	10/1	Franco M	Brown Chad C.	FEC	90	32.22	1.12/$1
098.6970	1	Making It	9/5	Velazquez J R	Weaver George	S	97	28.87	1.25/$1
097.8660	8	Emboite (IRE)(b+)	9/2	Carmouche K	Maker Michael J.		211	27.01	1.08/$1
097.5923	6	Sosua Summer	4/1	Lezcano J	Mott William I.	L	90	32.22	1.12/$1
096.9833	4	Internal Capital	5/2	Prat F	Brown Chad C.	J	137	24.82	1.10/$1
096.2169	2	Breakwater	4/1	Castellano J	McGaughey III Claude R	W	137	27.01	1.16/$1
095.9714	5	Capensis	3/1	Ortiz J L	Pletcher Todd A.		137	24.82	1.10/$1
093.4838	3	Calloway Peak	15/1	Gomez J A	Martin Carlos F.		97	28.87	1.25/$1

Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3030
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Lasix Today

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[TD="class: body1"]MLB

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VegasInsider (Joe Osborne and Mark Madsen)

UFC
Adesanya - Cannonier
Adesanya by decision (+120)

Volkanovski - Holloway
Volkanovski ML (-200)
Volkanovski by decision (+120)

Strickland - Pereira
Strickland ML (-105)

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Bobby Ligs

MLB

Houston Astros (-133) - Urquidy/Sandoval must start

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Ralph Michaels

MLB

3% Diamondbacks/Rockies Over 12 (-108) - Keuchel/Gomber must start

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Buster Sports

MLB

San Diego Padres (+134) - Darvish/Anderson must start

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Minnesota w/Gray -195 over Baltimore

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY:ATLANTA/CINCINNATI UNDER the total of 9

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Totals4U

Saturday's Free Selection: Los Angeles Angels/Houston Astros under 8 1/2

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Atlantic Sports

Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: New York Yankees - 150 (GM 2 of DH)