Friday 7/8/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 06:01 AM

Friday’s games

National League
Miami (39-42) @ NY Mets (52-31)
— Lopez is 1-1, 3.93 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 5-7 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 2-3, 4.99 in seven starts vs New York.

— Miami is 7-6 in its last 13 games.
— Marlins are 19-25 on road.
— under 5-2-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-81
— record in first 5 innings: 31-34-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-2-4

— Bassitt is 2-1, 1.17 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 9-6 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-2
— He is 1-1, 4.05 in two starts vs Miami this year.

— Mets are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Mets are 27-13 at home.
— over 26-14-2 last 42 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-83
— record in first 5 innings: 43-24-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-6.1-2

Washington (30-55) @ Atlanta (49-35)
— Fedde is 1-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 9-7 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
— He is 0-5, 9.97 in eight starts vs Atlanta.

— Washington lost seven of last eight games.
— Nationals are 16-24 on road.
— under 8-4-1 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-85
— record in first 5 innings: 25-50-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-4

— Morton is 0-0, 1.35 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— over 13-3
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-1
— He is 4-6, 5.23 in 13 starts vs Washington.

— Braves won 26 of their last 34 games.
— Atlanta is 27-18 at home.
— under 11-4 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-85
— record in first 5 innings: 47-28-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5

Pittsburgh (34-49) @ Milwaukee (47-37)
— Brubaker is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 7-9 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-2
— He is 1-1, 6.55 in two starts vs Milwaukee TY.

— Pirates are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— Pittsburgh is 14-26 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 18-83
— record in first 5 innings: 29-39-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-4.1

— Ashby is 0-3, 8.84 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 4-5 in his starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-2
— He is 0-1, 5.00 in two starts vs Pittsburgh TY.

— Brewers won nine of last 14 games.
— Milwaukee is 20-18 at home.
— over 9-3-2 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 29-84
— record in first 5 innings: 35-34-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-2

Philadelphia (44-39) @ St Louis (45-40)
— Wheeler is 4-1, 2.45 in his last six starts.
— Phillies are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 8-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 2-2, 3.26 in five starts vs St Louis

— Phillies are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Philly is 20-18 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 21-83
— record in first 5 innings: 34-35-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1.1-5

— Wainwright is 1-2, 4.40 in his last five starts.
— St Louis is 10-6 in his starts
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-1
— He is 7-5, 3.18 in 16 starts vs Philly.

— Cardinals lost six of last eight games.
— St Louis is 21-24 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 31-85
— record in first 5 innings: 37-35-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-7

Colorado (36-47) @ Arizona (37-45)
— Kuhl is 1-1, 4.26 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-4
— He is 0-0, 4.91 in two starts vs Arizona TY.

— Colorado lost 10 of last 15 games.
— Rockies are 13-26 on road.
— under 15-6-1 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-82
— record in first 5 innings: 25-44-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-1.1-4

— Gallen is 0-0, 4.88 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 9-6 in his starts
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-4
— He is 1-0, 2.08 in two starts vs Colorado TY.

— Diamondbacks are 2-4 in last six games.
— Arizona is 21-24 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 21-82
— record in first 5 innings: 29-32-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2.2-2

San Francisco (40-40) @ San Diego (48-36)
— San Francisco hasn’t named a starter.

— Giants are 4-13 in their last 17 games.
— San Francisco is 20-20 on road.
— over 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 20-80
— record in first 5 innings: 35-32-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-1

— Snell is 0-2, 5.14 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 0-8 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6-2
— He is 1-0, 4.30 in three starts vs San Francisco.

— Padres lost nine of last 13 games.
— San Diego is 22-18 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-84
— record in first 5 innings: 41-27-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-x-3

Cubs (34-49) @ Los Angeles (53-29)
— Thompson is 1-1, 2.82 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He is 0-1, 2.16 in four games (1 start) vs Los Angeles.

— Cubs are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Cubs are 17-22 on road.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 32-83
— record in first 5 innings: 32-38-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.1-3

— Anderson is 2-1, 3.51 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 10-3 in his starts.
— over 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-1
— He is 4-3, 3.91 in eight starts vs Chicago.

— Dodgers are 14-5 in their last 19 games.
— Los Angeles is 27-13 at home.
— under 10-2-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-82
— record in first 5 innings: 48-20-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-2

American League
LA Angels (38-46) @ Baltimore (40-44)
— Detmers is 0-2, 5.06 in six starts since his no-hitter.
— Angels are 4-8 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-3
— He is 0-1, 3.60 in one start vs Baltimore.

— Angels are 11-29 in their last 40 games.
— Angels are 17-23 on road.
— under 17-7-2 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 42-33-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4

— Wells is 6-0, 1.89 in his last seven starts.
— Baltimore is 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-1
— He threw 4 scoreless IP, in three relief stints vs Anaheim.

— Orioles are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Baltimore is 22-17 at home.
— under 13-5-1 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-84
— record in first 5 innings: 30-40-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-2.1-3

New York (60-23) @ Boston (45-38)
— Cortes is 1-1, 4.70 in his last three starts.
— New York is 11-4 in his starts.
— under 7-6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-4
— He’s allowed 13 runs in 14.1 IP in 8 games (1 start) vs Boston.

— New York is 20-7 in their last 27 games.
— New York is 26-14 on road.
— under 7-4-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-83
— record in first 5 innings: 45-20-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-3

— Seabold is 0-1, 8.31 in two starts.
— Red Sox are 1-1 in his starts
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Red Sox lost their last three games.
— Boston is 21-19 at home.
— under 9-7-2 last 18 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-83
— record in first 5 innings: 36-28-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-4

Minnesota (47-38) @ Texas (37-43)
— Sonny Gray is 3-0, 2.12 in his last six starts.
— Minnesota is 8-3 in his starts.
— under 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
— He is 9-3, 2.86 in 14 starts vs Texas.

— Minnesota is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
— Twins are 22-20 on road.
— under 14-8-2 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-85
— record in first 5 innings: 46-28-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-6

— Jon Gray is 3-1, 2.49 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Rangers are 1-6 in last seven games.
— Texas is 17-20 at home.
— over 6-4 last tene games
— scored run in first inning: 19-80
— record in first 5 innings: 28-36-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5.2-5

Cleveland (40-40) @ Kansas City (30-51)
— Civale is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 5-5 in his starts.
— over 8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-2
— He is 0-1, 5.75 in four starts vs Kansas City

— Guardians are 4-12 in their last 16 games.
— Cleveland is 20-23 on road.
— under 7-4 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-80
— record in first 5 innings: 28-35-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-2.1

— Singer is 0-2, 4.63 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 4-5 in his starts
— over 6-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He is 2-0, 4.30 in five starts vs Cleveland.

— Kansas City lost eight of last 12 games.
— Royals are 14-25 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 24-81
— record in first 5 innings: 28-41-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-2.2

Detroit (35-47) @ White Sox (39-42)
— Skubal is 0-5, 9.13 in his last five starts.
— Tigers are 7-9 in his starts.
— under 8-3-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-2
— He is 2-2, 6.95 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Tigers won six of their last seven games.
— Detroit is 12-23 on road.
— six of last nine games under.
— scored run in first inning: 18-82
— record in first 5 innings: 23-45-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-2.2

— Giolito is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
— White Sox are 5-9 in his starts.
— over 7-0 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
— He is 5-5, 4.36 in 15 starts vs Detroit.

— White Sox are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Chicago is 17-24 at home.
— under 8-5-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-81
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-3

Houston (54-28) @ A’s (28-56)
— Urquidy is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 10-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5
— He is 0-2, 3.95 in five starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won 18 of their last 23 games.
— Houston is 27-16 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 48-23-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-3

— Blackburn is 1-1, 3.45 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 12-4
— He is 0-3, 10.80 in four starts vs Houston.

— A’s split their last six games.
— Oakland is 10-29 at home.
— under 16-5-2 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 27-44-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-4-3

Toronto (45-39) @ Seattle (42-42)
— Stripling is 1-1, 4.02 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 6-5 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-3
— He is 0-0, 11.81 in three games (1 start) vs Seattle.

— Blue Jays lost six of their last seven games.
— Toronto is 20-21 on road.
— over 32-11 last 43 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-84
— record in first 5 innings: 34-33-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-7.2

— Kirby is 1-1, 4.24 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 6-5 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 games.
— Seattle is 21-20 at home.
— under 15-9-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-2.1

Interleague game
Tampa Bay (45-37) @ Cincinnati (29-54)
— McClanahan is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 11-5 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Tampa Bay won five of last six games.
— Rays are 20-20 on road.
— over 9-4-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 39-26-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-5-3

— Castillo is 1-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Reds are 5-6 in his starts.
— under 8-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Reds lost 15 of last 22 games.
— Cincinnati is 15-28 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 19-83
— record in first 5 innings: 23-46-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-10

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:42 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Monmouth Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:48pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#2 FRIENDLY FELLA (ML=9/2)
#7 UNCLE NED (ML=2/1)

FRIENDLY FELLA - My chums and I have made dough playing horses with this type of early speed. Follow my advice and do the same. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is up against an easier bunch than in the last race at Monmouth Park. UNCLE NED - I like to invest in this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a nice race within the last 30 days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 GO POKE THE BEAR (ML=3/1), #3 BLOOD MOON (ML=7/2), #6 TAPSOLUTE (ML=6/1),

GO POKE THE BEAR - In the last affair this entrant finished seventh. Doesn't look promising for his chances this time around. Shins may have some problems since they added wraps in the last contest. BLOOD MOON - Hard to invest in at 7/2 odds after the last two showings. You always think this animal has a shot to be the victor, but he comes up short often. TAPSOLUTE - Didn't do much last time out of the box. Probably won't make an impact in today's event. Don't think this less than sharp equine will make an impact in today's race. That last fig was quite unimpressive when compared with today's Equibase class figure.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FRIENDLY FELLA - Earnings per start is a sign of class. I often play horses like this one that are at the top in the field in earnings per start.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 FRIENDLY FELLA is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:42 PM

Belmont Park Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 2-1/1A-6-4
Race 2: 7-4-5-8
Race 3: 5-4-2-8
Race 4: 4-3-5-2
Race 5: 3-6-1-7
Race 6: 5-7-2-4
Race 7: 4-1-7-5
Race 8: 2-6-9-3
Race 9: 5-9-2-4
**Most Likely: Bay Storm #7 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Miss Tapirado #2 (Race 8)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:43 PM

Ellis Park Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 7-3-6-1
Race 2: 1/1A-5-2-6
Race 3: 2-4-3-6
Race 4: 6-4-9-7
Race 5: 2-6-3-7
Race 6: 4-10-3-1
Race 7: 2-3-1-6
Race 8: 5-1-6-8
**Most Likely: Candace O #4 (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Bonus Appreciation #2 (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:43 PM

Lone Star Park Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 3-4-5-1
Race 2: 5-6-1-4
Race 3: 5-2-4-7
Race 4: 2-6-3-5
Race 5: 4-6-2-8
Race 6: 7-4-1-10
Race 7: 7-3-2-5
Race 8: 1-8-12-5
**Most Likely: Ready Edge #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Tenth Of Gold #7 (Race 7)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:43 PM

Monmouth Park Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 3-4-7-6
Race 2: 2-6-3-5
Race 3: 4-3-2-6
Race 4: 6-3-7-5
Race 5: 1-2-6-7
Race 6: 5-3-8-4
Race 7: 2-5-7-3
Race 8: 7-2-9-1
**Most Likely: Strong Gem #5 (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Honest Approach #6 (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:43 PM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 2-5-1-7
Race 2: 4-6-7-1
Race 3: 1-3-7-6
Race 4: 2-3-7-6
Race 5: 1-8-4-7
Race 6: 3-2-7-10
Race 7: 2-7-1-6
Race 8: 4-7-9-10
Race 9: 7-9-1-2
**Most Likely Winner: Spin Rate #2 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Staticus Ruby #4 (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:44 PM

Laurel Park Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 1-7-2-4
Race 2: 1-3-6-5
Race 3: 4-11-6-1
Race 4: 2-1-7-5
Race 5: 8-3-5-1
Race 6: 6-8-1-4
Race 7: 3-6-10-1
Race 8: 3-7-6-1
**Most Likely Winner: Deshackled #2 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: My Super Sally #8 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:44 PM

Woodbine Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 1-6-2-4
Race 2: 4-7-1-3
Race 3: 2-6-5-1
Race 4: 1-2-3-7
Race 5: 6-7-2-1
Race 6: 6-8-1-2
Race 7: 6-7-5-1
Race 8: 7-2-1-5
**Most Likely Winner: Too Legit #1 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Sunspear #6 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:45 PM

Belmont Park Picks: Channel Maker the one to beat on July 8
By J.N. Campbell

Belmont Park Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 2-1/1A-6-4
Race 2: 7-4-5-8
Race 3: 5-4-2-8
Race 4: 4-3-5-2
Race 5: 3-6-1-7
Race 6: 5-7-2-4
Race 7: 4-1-7-5
Race 8: 2-6-9-3
Race 9: 5-9-2-4
**Most Likely: Bay Storm #7 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Miss Tapirado #2 (Race 8)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 2: Bay Storm #7, 7/5):

Trainer Jonathan Thomas might not have an expansive stable when it comes to numbers, but he is a conditioner that works hard with what he has in the barn. I like this filly by Kantharos, and she should be able to return to Belmont with some great form. Her trainer shipped her to Keeneland, then over at Churchill, and she ran a couple of nice races against Illegal Smile and Richie’s Great Girl. The Belmont course is one that she knows well, and having Luis Saez in the irons for the 4th start in-a-row gives me some major confidence that she can win. If you get anything above 7/5, then that qualifies as value.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #7

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 8: Miss Tapirado #2, 10/1):

HOF trainer Bill Mott is sending this talented mare by Tapit back to Belmont for another try on the turf. She certainly cost a pretty penny at the Keeneland Sale in April of 2019 … $1.3 million … wow … In 4 career races, which have spanned 3 years (she was off in ’21), the results just have not been there. That does not mean that the 5-yr-old cannot turn things around in the present. Maybe she has other things on her mind other than racing? Whatever the case, I want to try and give her another chance. She gets Jose Lezcano, and with a cutback in distance, that could be the opportunity that she needs.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 4: Turf, 1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:45 PM

Ellis Park Picks: Opening Day for 100th Season on July 8
By J.N. Campbell

Ellis Park Picks - Friday, July 8, 2022

Race 1: 7-3-6-1
Race 2: 1/1A-5-2-6
Race 3: 2-4-3-6
Race 4: 6-4-9-7
Race 5: 2-6-3-7
Race 6: 4-10-3-1
Race 7: 2-3-1-6
Race 8: 5-1-6-8
**Most Likely: Candace O #4 (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Bonus Appreciation #2 (Race 3)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 6: Candace O #4, 4/1):

HOF trainer Mark Casse gave his filly by Declaration of War a few months off after last running her at Turfway Park in February. A former member of Graham Motion’s establishment, Casse took her on in mid-May of ’21. Clearly, she needed some time off, and her work tab has steadily improved at Churchill Downs in the late spring. She has stout turf bloodlines on both sides, and I expect that Florent Geroux will be able to get her into position once the top of the lane arrives. This will be a good warm-up for the superstar jockey before he heads to Del Mar. That will be his home during their Meet … not too shabby digs whatsoever …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #4

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 3: Bonus Appreciation #2, 6/1):

The value meter is high in this race, and I particularly like one half of Steve Asmussen’s uncoupled entry. Owned by the excellent Kirk and Judy Robison (Jackie’s Warrior fame), this colt by Klimt has some major potential to score in a spot like this one. Joe Talamo has signed on to pilot, and his job will be to get his mount out of the gate in good order. If he can do that, then this one has a great chance. Starting at the end of last summer and ending in the fall, the colt was up against some tough competition at Saratoga, Kentucky Downs, and Keeneland. After a major break, his maturity, and sprinting ability should be ready to fire from off-the-bench. If his odds are anywhere close to 6/1, then that qualifies as an overlay.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 7: Dirt, 6F, OC40kn2x, 3+):

The dirt sprinters will be out in-force this afternoon, and when it comes to who will be on top of the tote before post time, look for the Stinson Barn entry to get the nod. Here Mi Song #3, a homebred for Nathan Hayden, was really up against some tough foes at Keeneland back in April … that was OC62.5kn2x Co. … So, in many ways, this race should be a cinch for the gelding by Cross Traffic. Mar Pedroza will have the mount again, and he just missed getting to the winner’s circle in that race. Just in case this is a trend for this one (who will be the favorite based on his M/L odds of 9/5), I am going with Ian Wilkes’ Violent City #2. This gelding by Violence needs another shot at this level, especially after competing at the OC62.5k level for over a year. I realize the results have not yielded a victory, but he certainly has the capability to score at Ellis. Sometimes shifting to a new track is just the ticket. I am going to play an ice-cold Exacta, and reap the rewards. This should be a fun race!

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 2/3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:45 PM

Rocket Picks ��: Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, and Prairie Meadows for July 8, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

It’s another big weekend of racing and we are ready to roll! For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont Park for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Gulfstream Park and Prairie Meadows for the Iowa Festival of Racing for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. We had another solid showing last week and are ready to do it again!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Belmont Park:

Belmont Park July 8, 2022

Race 6: Starter Allowance

#10 Stuck On Kitten returns off the layoff today, which is a question mark, but has speed figures that are better than this group. This is a logical race for her return, while Saez jumps aboard, which is a good sign. #3 Thismightbetheone was second at this level last time out over this track and should be competitive here running against winners for the second time.

Race 7: Allowance
freestar

#5 Who Hoo Thats Me drops back down to the allowance ranks for this race after running fourth against stakes company last time out. This is also his third start off of the layoff, which usually leads to a solid effort. #4 Unique Unions is a consistent runner who was third last time out in the same stakes race as our top choice.

Race 8: Allowance

#6 Nazuna and #9 Invincible Gal are both entries for Chad Brown that will be tough in this spot. Nanzuna was second at this level off of a layoff last time out and should runner better in her second start off of the layoff. Invincible Gal runs for Brown for the first time today; however, she takes a drop in class after running against stakes company in her last three starts.

Race 9: Maiden Claiming

#10 Martinez has been close at this level in his last two starts, while today looks to be a weaker race than those starts. His speed figures are better than the rest of this group. #8 Majestic Johnson is a first time starter for strong connections that is entered in race that looks winnable for a debut runner.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 3,4,10 / 2,4,5,7,8 / 6,9 / 8,10 – $30

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:46 PM

Belmont Horses in Focus for Friday, July 8
Posted on July 7, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 2: BYE BYE (#3)

#7 Bay Storm is obviously the horse to beat as she returns to the site of her last victory, a triumph over this course and distance in the Christiecat last September. She led from gate-to-wire that day, and figures to use similar tactics here given the lack of speed signed on in this affair. The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring the early leader, and she looks loose up front. Her two races since returning from a layoff this year have been decent, but I thought she was supposed to offer more of a finish last time as the 4-5 favorite. I’m taking a shot against her with #3 Bye Bye. This Christophe Clement trainee made her return from the layoff at this level last time and put in a good effort to just miss. That was a day when the rails were set at 9 feet on the inner turf course, and the inside path probably wasn’t the best place to be. I think she can move forward with that start under her belt, and she had a nice foundation of solid turf sprint form from her 3-year-old season that she can still build upon. I prefer her to the other obvious alternative #4 Alwayz Late, who could be somewhat compromised by the lack of pace in this affair. I’m actually more afraid of Clement’s other runner #8 Mischievous Dream, who was a visually impressive winner last time and has seemingly found her niche as a turf sprinter.

RACE 5: SIDEKICK (#4)

I have no major knocks against #6 Gasoline, who is overdue to break his maiden after posting strong speed figures in the first three starts of his career. He just ran into a better rival last time when run down by the promising Artorius. He has the tactical speed to work out a good trip and goes out for a barn that has really come alive in recent weeks. He’s the one to beat, but he figures to be a short price now that his form is totally exposed. I actually think #5 Winit has more upside from that June 10 affair, though it remains to be seen if he can turn the tables on Gasoline. Winit showed promise when overcoming a wide trip to be second at Gulfstream in his dirt debut over the winter, and took a further step forward in his return last time. I think this well-bred son of Tapit still has upside and he should be a square price. My top pick is #4 Sidekick. This son of Honor Code is a half-brother to Travers winner Code of Honor, so the pedigree is there for him to be a good one. He ran like a horse that would benefit from more ground in his career debut when rallying belatedly to get up for third. I liked the way he seemed to level off and run to daylight in the last furlong in a race that didn’t feature a particularly strong pace. Shug McGaughey is 8 for 30 (27%, $2.60 ROI) with maiden second time starters going from sprints to dirt routes over the past 5 years.

RACE 8: ROMANOSA (#1) / ANGELINKA (#1A)

#9 Invincible Gal is supposed to beat this field as she returns from a layoff and makes her first start for the Chad Brown barn. Graham Motion did a good job with her, but she did develop a habit of settling for second, just never able to get back to the winner’s circle after winning her career debut. Most of those subsequent starts came against stakes company, so she figures to appreciate dropping back down into an allowance. I don’t fully trust her to seal the deal at a short price and she seems like the kind of runner on which the public could go overboard. Nevertheless I do prefer her to Brown’s other entrant #6 Nazuna, who didn’t have a major excuse when checking in second at this level last month. I instead prefer #1 Romanosa from that affair. She was making her first start in this country for Christphe Clement, which is not a strong move for the barn. She finished far back, but I thought she got the wrong trip, sitting on the rail in a race that was dominated by outside movers. It’s unclear how much she would have had to offer in the lane, but she was forced to alter course while rallying. I like her French form and think she can do better here. She’s part of an entry, which normally would be an issue for me. Yet I also like her entrymate #1A Angelinka. This filly faced lesser company in France and Germany, but achieved decent results, showing steady improving over the course of 2021. She did her best running on the lead in Europe, so it was curious to see her rated aggressively in her U.S. debut last time. Irad Ortiz stays aboard here, but at least she’s landing in a race that figures to feature a more honest pace, so she’ll have a better chance to settle if he rates her again. I just think she’s better than that stateside debut would indicate and the entry figures to be a fair price given the presence of two Chad Brown runners.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2022, 03:46 PM

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Friday, July 8

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Friday's meetings at Newmarket, York, Ascot, Chester and Chepstow.

YORK

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

2.05 My Little Queens

2.40 Benefit

3.15 The Platinum Queen

3.50 Animato

4.25 Escobar

5.00 King Of Tonga

5.30 Piastrella (nb)

GIMCRACK

2.05 Fairmac

2.40 Benefit

3.15 The Platinum Queen

3.50 Highland Premiere

4.25 Saleymm

5.00 Guest List

5.30 Beautiful Surprise

Northerner – 2.05 Forza Orta (nap); 5.30 The Cookstown Cafu (nb).

CHEPSTOW

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

6.15 Dundory

6.45 Astrophysics

7.15 Silent Flame

7.45 Stockpyle

8.15 Adatorio

8.45 Diamond Cottage

GIMCRACK

6.15 Bug Boy

6.45 Rhubarb

7.15 Silent Flame

7.45 Devon Envoy

8.15 Atlantic Heart

8.45 Soldier’s Son

CHESTER

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

6.00 Gabrial The Wire

6.30 Boom Boom Pow

7.00 Box To Box

7.30 True Statesman

8.00 Jilly Cooper

8.30 Late Arrival

9.00 Hellenista

GIMCRACK

6.00 Carnival Zain

6.30 Boom Boom Pow

7.00 Box To Box

7.30 Double O

8.00 Madrinho

8.30 Enduring

9.00 Rozalia

NEWMARKET

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.15 Flying Honours

1.50 Yonafis (nap)

2.25 Lezoo

3.00 Candleford

3.35 Inspiral

4.10 Nizaaka

4.45 Ancient Times

GIMCRACK

1.15 Flying Honours

1.50 New London

2.25 Mawj (nb)

3.00 Candleford

3.35 Inspiral (nap)

4.10 Nizaaka

4.45 Celsius

Newmarket – 1.50 Yonafis (nap); 2.25 Mawj (nb).

ASCOT

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

2.15 Far Shot

2.50 Teumessias Fox

3.25 Atrium

4.00 Hello Jumeirah

4.36 Sea The Casper

5.11 Emperor Spirit

5.45 Professional Widow

GIMCRACK

2.15 It’s Chico Time

2.50 First Officer

3.25 Al Marmar

4.00 Hello Jumeirah

4.36 Surrey Mist

5.11 Asad

5.45 Counsel

Friday 7/8/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 7/8/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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