Friday 7/8/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #46
    Larry Ness

    Jul 08 '22, 7:05 PM in 30m
    MLB | Angels vs Orioles

    Play on: Orioles -128 at circa

    My free play is on the Bal Orioles at 7:05 ET.
    The LA Angels are coming off a 77-85 season in 2021 and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years. The Baltimore Orioles have missed the postseason in each of the last FIVE years, losing 100-plus games in THREE of the four full seasons, including tying Arizona for MLB's worst record in 2021 at 52-110.
    However, the Orioles welcomed the Angels to Camden Yards last night for the first contest of a four-game series on a four-game winning streak, after completing a three-game home sweep of Texas. Baltimore stood 37-44 after 81 games (mid-point of the 162-game season), 10 games ahead of where the team was after 81 games in 2021 (27-34). Los Angeles came out strong to open the current season and through May 24th, was 27-17. That left them just ONE game behind the Astros in the AL West, who owned a 28-16 record on the same date. However, the Angels began a 14-game losing streak on May 25 that lasted through June 8. Los Angeles 'limped' into Miami on Tuesday for a two-game IL series with the Marlins and after a 1-1 split, were 38-45, 16 games behind Houston and well on its way to missing the postseason for the 12th time in 13 years.
    The Orioles opened the four-game set with a 4-1 win on Thursday and have now won FIVE in a row for the first time since winning six straight from Aug 7-13, 2020. The Orioles are now 40-44 on the season but they are way over their heads in the AL East. The defeat dropped the Angels to 38-46, leaving them closer to the last-place A's (are ahead of Oakland by just 10 games) than they are to the first-place Astros (trail by 17 games!). Los Angeles will recall Reid Detmers (2-3, 4.66 ERA) from the minors to make the start. Detmers is replacing Michael Lorenzen, who was placed on the injured list on Thursday due to a strained right (pitching) shoulder. He will undergo an MRI exam to determine the extent of the injury. The Orioles will counter with Tyler Wells (7-4, 3.09 ERA).
    Detmers struggled after throwing a no-hitter against the Tampa Bay Rays on May 10 and was demoted to Triple-A Salt Lake last month. The Angels lost ALL six of his starts following his no-hitter, with Detmer allowing nine ERs on nine hits (including four HRs) over 8.2 innings in the two starts prior to his demotion. In stark contrast, Wells has won his past five starts and his last six decisions, playing a major role in the Orioles' turnaround this season. He takes the mound with Baltimore having won each of his last SEVEN starts (Wells owns a 1.89 ERA in that stretch).
    I'm not sure why anyone would want to take the Angels these days, unless Ohtani was on the mound. After all, the Angels are 5-1 since the start of June with Ohtani on the mound, but 6-22 when anyone else starts. Let's just 'go with the flow' and take Baltimore.
    Good luck...Larry
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #47
      Timothy Black

      Jul 08 '22, 7:10 PM in 35m
      MLB | MIA vs NYM

      Play on: UNDER 8 -120

      1* Best Bet on Marlins/Mets under 8 -120
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #48
        Steve Janus

        Jul 08 '22, 7:10 PM in 35m
        MLB | Yankees vs Red Sox

        Play on: Yankees -140 at circa

        1* Free Sharp Play on Yankees -140
        The Yankees (-140) are worth a look as a road favorite at Boston in Friday's matchup between these two AL East rivals. Easy play on New York with the starting pitching we have in this one. Yankees will turn to Nestor Cortes, who is 7-3 with a 2.44 ERA and 0.953 WHIP in 15 starts. Red Sox on the other hand are having to turn to Connor Seabold, who is set to make his 3rd start of 2022. He's given up 8 runs on 15 hits in 8 2/3 innings over his first two starts. Look for New York to put up a big number, while Cortes keeps Boston in check. Play the Yankees -140!
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #49
          Sal Michaels

          Jul 08 '22, 8:05 PM in 1h
          MLB | Twins vs Rangers

          Play on: Twins -114 at Caesars

          Free Play on Twins -114
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #50
            Marc Lawrence

            Jul 08 '22, 8:05 PM in 1h
            MLB | Twins vs Rangers

            Play on: Rangers +111 at Ace

            Play - Texas Rangers w/Jon Gray (Game 970).
            Edges: Rangers Jon Gray 3.44 ERA with 1.04 WHIP at home this season; and 2.70 ERA with 1.04 WHIP last seven overall starts; and 8-2 last 10 home starts in July … Twins: 1-4 when coming off a day off this season; and 1-5 after scoring 5+ runs this season … With Jon Gray in good KW form with 20 Ks and 4 BBs in his last three starts, we recommend a 1* play on Texas. Thank you and good luck as always.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #51
              Sean Murphy

              Jul 08 '22, 8:05 PM in 1h
              MLB | MIN vs TEX

              Play on: UNDER 8 -110

              Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Friday.
              It's a battle of the 'Grays' on Friday in Texas as the Twins send Sonny to the mound against Jon of the Rangers. Sonny Gray is enjoying a 'turn back the clock' campaign, posting a 3.14 FIP and 1.04 WHIP while yielding just 2.63 runs per nine innings. Jon Gray hasn't been quite as dominant for the Rangers but still checks in with a solid 3.43 FIP and 1.16 WHIP, allowing just shy of 4.1 runs per nine frames. Both bullpens in this matchup have quietly been pitching well with the Twins relief corps having posted a 3.25 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over the last seven games and the Rangers 'pen checking in with a 2.35 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #52
                Black Widow

                Jul 08 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
                MLB | Guardians vs Royals

                Play on: Royals -103 at circa

                1* Free Wiseguy Play on Royals -103
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #53
                  Totals Guru

                  Jul 08 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
                  MLB | PIT vs MIL

                  Play on: UNDER 8 +100

                  Free Total Annihilator On Pirates vs Brewers under 8 +100
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #54
                    Scott Rickenbach

                    Jul 08 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
                    MLB | DET vs CWS

                    Play on: OVER 8 -105

                    *action on pitchers* Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Friday Free Pick OVER 8 in Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers @ 8:10 ET - The Tigers have won 5 straight and 9 of 13 games. Detroit, prior to the tight 2-1 win yesterday, had scored an average of 5 runs over prior 12 games. The White Sox, prior to getting shut down in yesterday's game, had been hot at the plate with a respectable 6-4 run in which they scored an average of 5.2 runs per game. Chicago's Giolito can certainly be tough on the mound but he has a 9.90 ERA in the 10 innings spanning his last two home starts. the Tigers Skubal is 2-5 last 7 starts and has a 9.00 ERA last 5 starts. Regardless of pitchers, I like the over here. Free Pick OVER 8 in Chicago White Sox
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #55
                      Dustin Hawkins

                      Jul 08 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
                      MLB | Pirates vs Brewers

                      Play on: Pirates +196 at William Hill

                      1 Dimer on Pirates +196
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #56
                        Matt Fargo

                        Jul 08 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
                        MLB | Guardians vs Royals

                        Play on: Guardians +101 at Ace

                        This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our Friday Free Play. Cleveland is coming off a much needed day off after getting swept by the Tigers in their four-game set and it is 4-11 over its last 15 games but going from one bad team to another can get the Guardians off this skid. They are now 20-23 on the road and the recent run has kept this number down and is the overall pitching matchup which actually favors Cleveland based on recent results. Aaron Civale got off to an awful start with a 9.85 ERA through his first seven starts but has settled down with a 3.80 ERA over his last four outings and while his last start was not great, it came against the Yankees whose bats seem to be getting it together. Kansas City stole a game at Houston on Wednesday but lost the finale Thursday as it was done in by the long ball once again. The Royals have one of the worst overall pitching staffs in baseball as their 4.97 ERA is the worst in the American League and while they can be played in spots based on the starter, this is not one of those. Kansas City is 14-25 at home with the bats being tame, the starters being inconsistent and the bullpen struggling all year long with a 5.05 ERA in the 39 home games. Brady Singer has been average this season and after posting a 1.37 ERA in his first three starts, he has put up a 5.94 ERA over his last six starts and is on a seven-game non-quality start run. Here, we play against American League home teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.20 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 6.20 or worse. This situation is 42-22 (65.6 percent) since 1997. Play (973) Cleveland Guardians
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #57
                          Bobby Conn

                          Jul 08 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
                          MLB | Guardians vs Royals

                          Play on: Royals -103 at circa

                          1* Free Play on Royals -103
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #58
                            Mike Williams

                            Jul 08 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
                            MLB | Pirates vs Brewers

                            Play on: Pirates +196 at William Hill

                            1* on Pirates +196
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #59
                              John Martin

                              Jul 08 '22, 8:15 PM in 1h
                              MLB | PHI vs STL

                              Play on: [B]UNDER 7
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371089

                                #60
                                Jesse Schule

                                Jul 08 '22, 9:30 PM in 2h
                                CFL | Ottawa vs Saskatchewan

                                Play on: [B]Ottawa +6
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