Sunday 7/10/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #1

    Sunday 7/10/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #2
    Sunday’s games

    National League
    Miami (40-43) @ NY Mets (53-32)
    — Alcantara is 3-1, 2.22 in his last six starts.
    — Miami is 11-6 in his starts.
    — under 7-2 last nine
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-4-6
    — He is 1-1, 4.20 in two starts vs New York TY.

    — Miami is 8-7 in its last 15 games.
    — Marlins are 20-26 on road.
    — under 6-3-2 last eleven games.
    — scored run in first inning: 15-83
    — record in first 5 innings: 32-35-16
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4

    — Walker is 4-0, 2.25 in his last five starts.
    — Mets are 9-5 in his starts.
    — under 9-4-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-14
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
    — He is 2-0, 2.84 in two starts vs Miami TY.

    — Mets are 5-2 in their last seven games.
    — Mets are 28-14 at home.
    — over 27-15-2 last 44 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 32-85
    — record in first 5 innings: 44-25-16
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-4.1

    Washington (30-57) @ Atlanta (51-35)
    — Espino is 0-2, 5.32 in five starts.
    — Nationals are 1-4 in his starts.
    — over 3-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-5
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
    — He is 0-1, 6.16 in 8 games (2 starts) vs Atlanta.

    — Washington lost nine of last ten games.
    — Nationals are 16-26 on road.
    — under 9-5-1 last fifteen games.
    — scored run in first inning: 28-87
    — record in first 5 innings: 25-52-10
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-2

    — Anderson is 2-2, 6.11 in his last four starts.
    — Atlanta is 10-6 in his starts.
    — under 3-1 last four
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-3-4
    — He is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Washington.

    — Braves won 28 of their last 36 games.
    — Atlanta is 29-18 at home.
    — under 12-5 last 17 home games
    — scored run in first inning: 25-87
    — record in first 5 innings: 49-28-10
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-2

    Pittsburgh (35-50) @ Milwaukee (48-38)
    — Quintana is 1-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
    — Pirates are 2-4 in his last six starts.
    — under 8-5-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
    — He is 9-4, 2.74 in 18 starts vs Milwaukee.

    — Pirates are 7-11 in their last 18 games.
    — Pittsburgh is 15-27 on road.
    — under 6-1 last seven games
    — scored run in first inning: 18-85
    — record in first 5 innings: 29-41-15
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-4.1

    — Lauer is 1-1, 5.16 in his last four starts.
    — Milwaukee is 10-5 in his starts
    — under 2-0-2 last four
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-15
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-4-5
    — He is 3-2, 2.51 in eight starts vs Pittsburgh.

    — Brewers won 10 of last 16 games.
    — Milwaukee is 21-19 at home.
    — over 9-5-2 last sixteen games
    — scored run in first inning: 29-86
    — record in first 5 innings: 37-34-15
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-3

    Philadelphia (46-39) @ St Louis (45-42)
    — bullpen game

    — Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine games.
    — Philly is 22-18 on road.
    — under 7-3 last ten games
    — scored run in first inning: 21-85
    — record in first 5 innings: 34-35-16
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-2

    — Pallante is 0-3, 5.64 in his last four starts.
    — St Louis is 2-4 in his starts
    — under 4-1 last five
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-6
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-3
    — He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

    — Cardinals lost eight of last ten games.
    — St Louis got shut out the last two days.
    — St Louis is 24-18 at home.
    — under 9-2 last 11 games
    — scored run in first inning: 31-87
    — record in first 5 innings: 37-35-15
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-0-3

    Colorado (37-48) @ Arizona (38-46)
    — Marquez is 0-2, 8.68 in his last two starts.
    — Colorado is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
    — under 4-1 last five
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-8-3
    — He is 2-3, 3.70 in ten starts at Arizona.

    — Colorado lost 11 of last 17 games.
    — Rockies are 14-27 on road.
    — under 15-8-1 last 24 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 26-84
    — record in first 5 innings: 25-45-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-1.2

    — Gilbert is 0-3, 8.10 in four starts.
    — Arizona is 1-3 in his starts
    — under 2-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
    — He is 0-0, 7.20 in one start vs Colorado.

    — Diamondbacks are 3-5 in last eight games.
    — Arizona is 22-25 at home.
    — over 7-3 last ten home games
    — scored run in first inning: 23-84
    — record in first 5 innings: 30-32-22
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-2

    San Francisco (41-41) @ San Diego (49-37)
    — Wood is 1-1, 7.41 in his last four starts.
    — Giants are 5-8 in his last 13 starts.
    — under 5-3 last eight
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-8-4
    — He is 0-1, 8.59 in two starts vs San Diego TY.

    — Giants are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
    — San Francisco is 21-21 on road.
    — over 8-5 last 13 games
    — scored run in first inning: 20-82
    — record in first 5 innings: 35-33-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-5.2-0

    — Gore is 0-0, 0.84 in his last two starts.
    — Padres are 7-5 in his starts.
    — under 4-2 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-12
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
    — He is 1-0, 1.50 in one start vs San Francisco.

    — Padres lost 10 of last 15 games.
    — San Diego is 23-19 at home.
    — under 7-3 last ten games.
    — scored run in first inning: 24-86
    — record in first 5 innings: 42-27-17
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

    Cubs (34-51) @ Los Angeles (55-29)
    — Steele is 2-0, 4.03 in his last four starts.
    — Cubs are 6-10 in his starts.
    — over 6-3 last nine
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-6-4
    — He is 1-1, 3.60 in two games (1 start) vs Los Angeles.

    — Cubs are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
    — Cubs are 17-24 on road.
    — under 6-1-1 last eight games
    — scored run in first inning: 32-85
    — record in first 5 innings: 34-38-13
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4

    — Urias is 4-0, 2.31 in his last four starts.
    — Dodgers are 8-8 in his starts.
    — under 6-1-2 last nine
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-6-2
    — He is 1-1, 3.38 in three starts vs Chicago.

    — Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 games.
    — Los Angeles is 29-13 at home.
    — under 12-2-2 last 16 games
    — scored run in first inning: 28-84
    — record in first 5 innings: 48-22-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-1.1

    American League
    LA Angels (38-48) @ Baltimore (42-44)
    — Suarez is 0-2, 5.74 in six starts.
    — Angels are 2-4 in his starts.
    — over 4-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-6
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
    — He is 0-0, 5.19 in two starts vs Baltimore.

    — Angels are 11-31 in their last 42 games.
    — Angels are 17-25 on road.
    — under 18-8-2 last 28 games
    — scored run in first inning: 26-86
    — record in first 5 innings: 43-34-9
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-1.2

    — Voth is 0-1, 4.85 in four starts.
    — Baltimore is 3-1 in his starts.
    — under 2-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-1
    — He threw 2 scoreless IP in relief vs Anaheim.

    — Orioles are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
    — Baltimore is 24-17 at home.
    — under 14-6-1 last 21 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 15-86
    — record in first 5 innings: 31-41-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4

    New York (61-24) @ Boston (46-39)
    — Taillon is 1-1, 7.88 in his last three starts.
    — New York is 13-3 in his starts.
    — under 8-7-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
    — He is 2-0, 1.46 in four starts vs Boston.

    — New York is 21-8 in their last 29 games.
    — New York is 27-15 on road.
    — over 4-0 last four games
    — scored run in first inning: 28-85
    — record in first 5 innings: 46-20-19
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.1-4

    — Pivetta is 3-1, 3.48 in his last five starts.
    — Red Sox are 9-2 in his last 11 starts
    — over 7-2 last nine
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
    — He is 0-2, 6.75 in three starts vs New York.

    — Red Sox lost four of last five games.
    — Boston is 22-20 at home.
    — over 4-1 last five games.
    — scored run in first inning: 25-85
    — record in first 5 innings: 36-29-20
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6.1-5

    Minnesota (47-40) @ Texas (39-43)
    — Bundy is 1-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.
    — Minnesota is 3-8 in his last 11 starts.
    — over 5-1-1 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-14
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
    — He is 6-2, 3.12 in nine starts vs Texas.

    — Minnesota is 8-6 in its last 14 games.
    — Twins are 22-22 on road.
    — under 14-9-2 last 25 games
    — scored run in first inning: 30-86
    — record in first 5 innings: 46-29-11
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-4.2

    — Dunning is 0-2, 5.32 in his last four starts.
    — Texas is 1-11 in his last 12 starts.
    — under 11-5-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-8-4
    — He is 1-2, 3.24 in three starts vs Minnesota.

    — Rangers are 3-6 in last nine games.
    — Texas is 19-20 at home.
    — over 8-4 last dozen games
    — scored run in first inning: 19-82
    — record in first 5 innings: 30-36-16
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-3

    Cleveland (41-41) @ Kansas City (31-52)
    — Plesac is 1-2, 2.36 in his last seven starts.
    — Cleveland is 6-9 in his starts.
    — under 6-1 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-15
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
    — He is 0-0, 0.77 in two starts vs Kansas City TY

    — Guardians are 5-13 in their last 18 games.
    — Cleveland is 21-24 on road.
    — under 8-5 last 13 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 25-82
    — record in first 5 innings: 29-35-18
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-1-3

    — Greinke is 2-2, 5.57 in his last four starts.
    — Royals are 6-7 in his starts
    — over 5-2-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-13
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-6-3
    — He is 11-9, 3.65 in 27 starts vs Cleveland.

    — Kansas City is 5-9 in its last 14 games.
    — Royals are 15-26 at home.
    — over 5-2 last seven games
    — scored run in first inning: 24-83
    — record in first 5 innings: 28-43-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-7.2

    Detroit (36-48) @ White Sox (40-43)
    — Hutchison is 1-1, 4.61 in three starts.
    — Tigers are 2-1 in his starts.
    — over 2-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-3
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-1
    — He is 2-2, 4.20 in seven games (4 starts) vs Chicago.

    — Tigers won seven of their last nine games.
    — Detroit is 13-24 on road.
    — over three of last five games.
    — scored run in first inning: 18-84
    — record in first 5 innings: 23-47-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-3

    — Kopech is 0-4, 7.29 in his last four starts.
    — White Sox are 2-8 in his last ten starts.
    — under 9-4-1 last 14 starts
    — allowed run in first inning: 7-14
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-8-2
    — He is 1-1, 5.51 in three starts vs Detroit.

    — White Sox are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
    — Chicago is 18-25 at home.
    — under 8-7-1 last 16 games
    — scored run in first inning: 20-83
    — record in first 5 innings: 35-38-10
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-1

    Houston (55-29) @ A’s (29-57)
    — Odorizzi is 3-2, 5.05 in eight starts.
    — Astros are 5-3 in his starts.
    — under 5-1 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-8
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-4
    — He is 1-4, 4.05 in ten starts vs Oakland.

    — Astros won 19 of their last 25 games.
    — Houston is 28-17 on road.
    — over 6-3 last nine games
    — scored run in first inning: 25-84
    — record in first 5 innings: 49-24-11
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-0

    — Irvin is 1-4, 4.31 in his last five starts.
    — A’s are 4-10 in his starts.
    — under 4-1-1 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 7-14
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-7-3
    — He is 0-3, 6.15 in five starts vs Houston.

    — A’s are 4-4 in their last eight games.
    — Oakland is 11-30 at home.
    — under 18-5-2 last 25 games
    — scored run in first inning: 25-86
    — record in first 5 innings: 28-45-13
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4

    Toronto (45-41) @ Seattle (44-42)
    — Toronto hasn’t named a starter

    — Blue Jays lost eight of their last nine games.
    — Toronto is 20-23 on road.
    — over 32-13 last 45 games
    — scored run in first inning: 31-86
    — record in first 5 innings: 34-33-19
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-5.2-0.2

    — Gilbert is 5-1, 3.60 in his last six starts.
    — Seattle is 12-5 in his starts.
    — under 9-7-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-5-1
    — He is 0-2, 6.55 in two starts vs Toronto.

    — Mariners are 14-4 in their last 18 games.
    — Seattle is 23-20 at home.
    — under 17-9-1 last 27 games
    — scored run in first inning: 26-86
    — record in first 5 innings: 33-38-15
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-6.2-3

    Interleague game
    Tampa Bay (45-39) @ Cincinnati (31-54)
    — Baz is 1-0, 1.21 in his last four starts.
    — Rays are 1-4 in his starts.
    — over 4-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 0-5
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
    — He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

    — Tampa Bay won five of last eight games.
    — Rays are 20-22 on road.
    — over 9-6-2 last 17 games
    — scored run in first inning: 25-84
    — record in first 5 innings: 40-26-18
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-5.2

    — Lodolo is 1-2, 4.19 in four starts.
    — Reds are 2-2 in his starts.
    — under 3-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
    — He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

    — Reds won their last three games.
    — Cincinnati is 17-28 at home.
    — under 7-2 last nine games
    — scored run in first inning: 19-85
    — record in first 5 innings: 23-47-15
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 10-3-4
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #3
      Jim Feist

      Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SUNDAY, JULY 9, 2022

      07/10 10:40 AM PT / 1:40 PM ET

      MLB (953) MIAMI MARLINS VS (954) NEW YORK METS

      Take: (953) MIAMI MARLINS

      Reason: Miami and the NY Mets went to 10 innings with their game 3 of the series on Saturday, with the Mets winning, 5-4. The Mets lead the series 2 games to one. The Marlins will send their Ace to the hill on Sunday in Sandy Alacantara who is 9-3 on the season thru 17 games with a 1.82 ERA. Alcantara is coming off one of his best outings where he went eight innings vs the Angels, allowing just two hits and not runs. The Mets now have to contend with the Cardinals, who are hot on their heels in the NL East. The Mets will send Carlos Carrasco to the hill today. Carrasco is 9-4 in his 16 starts with a 4.53 ERA. He is also coming off an excellent start where he allowed just one run over 5 2/3 innings to the Rangers. We know Alcantara will keep the Marlins in this contest and that means they will be a live dog. Your free play for Sunday is on Miami.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #4
        Belmont Park Picks - Sunday, July 10, 2022

        Race 1: 5-6-4-7
        Race 2: 7-1-6-2
        Race 3: 8-1-4-6
        Race 4: 4-9-3-2
        Race 5: 3-4-2-1
        Race 6: 5-7-3-2
        Race 7: 7-2-8-5
        Race 8: 5-2-4-6
        Race 9: 11-2-9-1
        **Most Likely: Market Alert #5 (Race 8)**
        **Best Value: Met In Miami #7 (Race 7)**
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #5
          Ellis Park Picks - Sunday, July 10, 2022

          Race 1: 7-3-2-5
          Race 2: 6-3-5-2
          Race 3: 4-7-3-8
          Race 4: 2-4-1-5
          Race 5: 3-5-4-6
          Race 6: 8-5-9-3
          Race 7: 1-4-5-2
          Race 8: 9-2-6-4
          **Most Likely: West Jet #6 (Race 6)**
          **Best Value: Calrissian #4 (Race 3)**
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #6
            Lone Star Park Picks - Sunday, July 10, 2022

            Race 1: 4-8-9-2
            Race 2: 5-1-4-3
            Race 3: 3-2-4-6
            Race 4: 2-4-6-3
            Race 5: 7-8-3-5
            Race 6: 6-4-8-1
            Race 7: 9-4-2-6
            Race 8: 8-5-7-9
            Race 9: 2-5-8-6
            **Most Likely: He's A Prince #2 (Race 4)**
            **Best Value: Kolkata #6 (Race 6)**
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #7
              Monmouth Park Picks - Sunday, July 10, 2022

              Race 1: 2-1-7-5
              Race 2: 6-2-4-5
              Race 3: 2-3-5-1
              Race 4: 3-2-4-6
              Race 5: 9-3-4-2
              Race 6: 4-1-2-6
              Race 7: 8-5-7-4
              Race 8: 2-1-6-3
              Race 9: 9-6-3-2
              **Most Likely: Stratofortress #3 (Race 4)**
              **Best Value: Gran Malbec #9 (Race 5)**
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #8
                Mountaineer Park Picks - Sunday, July 10, 2022

                Race 1: 3-2-7-1
                Race 2: 7-3-8-9
                Race 3: 1-5-2-4
                Race 4: 2-6-7-1
                Race 5: 7-1-4-2
                Race 6: 7-4-3-9
                Race 7: 2-4-7-1
                Race 8: 5-6-2-7
                **Most Likely: Wicked Chance #1 (Race 3)**
                **Best Value: Summer Storm #7 (Race 7)**
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #9
                  Woodbine Thoroughbred Picks - Sunday, July 10, 2022

                  Race 1: 4-7-1-6
                  Race 2: 2-7-1-6
                  Race 3: 6-2-4-3
                  Race 4: 4-2-9-6
                  Race 5: 4-7-8-5
                  Race 6: 10-8-2-6
                  Race 7: 5-7-1-4
                  Race 8: 2-1-5-3
                  Race 9: 6-11-7-5
                  **Most Likely: Housebuilder #2 (Race 2)**
                  **Best Value: Dragon's Key #6 (Race 9)**
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #10
                    Rocket Picks ��: Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, and Monmouth Park for July 10, 2022
                    By: Aaron Halterman

                    Let’s finish out the week strong today! For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont Park for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Gulfstream Park and Monmouth Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out.

                    Below is our free late Pick 4 for Belmont Park:

                    Belmont Park July 10, 2022

                    Race 6: Allowance Optional Claiming

                    #2 Nevisian Sunrise drops back down to the allowance ranks today after taking on graded stakes company last time out. She also stretches back out to a mile today. #6 King’s Harlequin makes her second start in the United States after running fifth against allowance runners last time out. Look for improvement today.

                    Race 7: Allowance
                    freestar

                    #2 Eylara has hit the board in two straight starts at this level since coming to the United States. She should get the job done with a good trip today. #6 Rheaume was a head away from victory in her last start. She has hit the board in all three of her starts this season.

                    Race 8: Saginaw Stakes

                    #5 Market Alert drops back down to New York bred company today after taking on open company in his last several starts. He should find this to be an easier spot. #6 Therisastormbrewin goes for two in a row in this spot after a sharp allowance victory over this track in his last start.

                    Race 9: Maiden Claiming

                    #2 North Carolina gets back to a level where he should be competitive, while running for Linda Rice for the second time should lead to an improved effort. #11 Imola is a first time starter for Todd Pletcher, who gets Luis Saez aboard, which is a good sign.

                    THE TICKET

                    $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 42,5,6,8 / 2,5,6,8 / 4,5,6 / 2,11 – $48
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #11
                      Belmont Park Picks: Closing Day arrives on July 10
                      By J.N. Campbell

                      Belmont Park Picks - Sunday, July 10, 2022

                      Race 1: 5-6-4-7
                      Race 2: 7-1-6-2
                      Race 3: 8-1-4-6
                      Race 4: 4-9-3-2
                      Race 5: 3-4-2-1
                      Race 6: 5-7-3-2
                      Race 7: 7-2-8-5
                      Race 8: 5-2-4-6
                      Race 9: 11-2-9-1
                      **Most Likely: Market Alert #5 (Race 8)**
                      **Best Value: Met In Miami #7 (Race 7)**

                      Most Likely Winner: (Race 8: Market Alert #5, 5/2):

                      The Saginaw Stakes on Sunday will serve as the “feature,” wrapping up another successful Belmont Meet. When it comes to a “deserving favorite” in this spot, none looks better than the Ryerson Barn entry. A gelding by D’Funnybone (who also happens to be a NY homebred), he has the class edge against a group like this one. Coming back to the track at Belmont, he has the form after running against AOC Co. He did not have the chance to do much running against Highly Motivated and Stage Raider last time, so this should be a resounding victory with Jose Ortiz in the irons.

                      Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #5



                      Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 7: Met in Miami #7, 10/1):

                      Looking for a “value play” on Sunday, I landed on this filly by Upstart that has not had much of a chance to run on the grass. Trainer Graham Motion knows his business when it comes to the green, and I am expecting this entry to make a big splash at Belmont. Her last opportunity on the lawn was negated when the 1
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #12
                        Declan Schuster's Hong Kong Selections and Analysis for Sunday, July 10, 2022

                        SHA TIN SELECTIONS
                        (Sunday, July 10, 2022)

                        Race 1: #6 Inspiring City, #5 Superb Move, #2 Happy Won, #1 Forever Friends
                        Race 2: #7 Lucky Ruby, #9 Wisdom Patch, #1 Quadruple Double, #3 Happy Tango
                        Race 3: #6 Chicken Dance, #2 Turbo Power, #1 Proud Dragon, #5 Country Treasure
                        Race 4: #3 Shanghai Power, #12 Grand Power, #11 Run Des Run, #6 El Valiente
                        Race 5: #5 Universal Horizon, #3 Sweet Diamond, #12 Smart Folks, #1 California Vanes
                        Race 6: #8 Woodfire Bro, #2 Palace Pal, #1 Let’s Do It, #3 King Tourbillon
                        Race 7: #12 Plikclone, #6 Tycoon Jewellery, #10 Boom Stitch, #11 Get The Monies
                        Race 8: #9 Beauty Charge, #3 Brilliant Way, #7 Reve Parisien, #6 Smart Idea
                        Race 9: #9 Super Axiom, #10 Jolly Ruler, #7 Valiant Elegance, #8 Call Me Teddy
                        Race 10: #2 Master Montaro, #7 Keefy, #4 Sauvestre, #11 Private Rocket

                        Race 1: The Pearce Memorial Challenge Cup Plate

                        Tricky opener to contend with. #6 Inspiring City caught the eye prior to his debut and it’ll pay to stick with him here. He was inconvenienced in the run home on debut and without that hindrance he goes very, very close. #5 Superb Move should be a decent price and has done enough to suggest that he’s moving in the right direction. #2 Happy Won will be well supported and rightly so. He comes from the right barn but at the likely (short) price he might be worth opposing. #1 Forever Friends can improve again. Keep safe.

                        Race 2: The Purves Quaich Handicap

                        #7 Lucky Ruby should roll forward and pressure for the lead. Expect he finds it with his speed and from there he could take a power of running down, especially under the in-form Matthew Chadwick. #9 Wisdom Patch mixes his form but has shown plenty of prowess on the dirt. He won well two runs back and has proven his worth in this grade. #1 Quadruple Double gets a handy claim and should relish the class drop. He’s done well on the dirt previously. Keep safe. #3 Happy Tango has the runs on the board. Next best.

                        Race 3: The Swaine Cup Handicap

                        #6 Chicken Dance appears back to his best and with that he can win here. He delivered a strong effort for second last time out and it wouldn’t surprise to see him go one better this weekend. #2 Turbo Power should improve second-up following that first-up effort for sixth last time out. Zac Purton sticks aboard and any improvement should see him go close. #1 Proud Dragon is progressing. The big weight is a hindrance but he’s showing enough class and this grade might be what he is after. #5 Country Treasure is next best.

                        Race 4: The Wong Cup Handicap

                        #3 Shanghai Power is racing well enough to suggest that another win this season is nearing. This could well be his final chance to do so and if they roll forward to lead he could prove quite difficult to reel in. #12 Grand Power surprised two runs back and has held his form since then. He’s in with an opportunity here. #11 Run Des Run is a big brute of horse, but he is in sound enough form at the minute. He’ll get his chance on the speed for Antoine Hamelin. #6 El Valiente has consistency on his side. Don’t discount.

                        Race 5: The Li Cup Handicap

                        #5 Universal Horizon has done enough at home to suggest he could figure strongly on debut. He looks above average and has come up with a nice enough gate to ensure he gets every chance. #3 Sweet Diamond is after back-to-back wins and breaks favourably from gate three under Alexis Badel. He’s well weighted. #12 Smart Folks turned his form around last start which, at times, he can mix regularly. He’s worth including. #1 California Vanes is the likely favourite. Still, he has to overcome a sticky gate and hefty weight.

                        Race 6: The Arculli Trophy Handicap

                        #8 Woodfire Bro has mixed his form but has shown plenty of early form so far. He’s a red-hot little talent who, if he can offset the wide, is capable of collecting a first win. #2 Palace Pal is rolling towards a first win also. The wide gate makes life hard here, however, expect he finds himself in the second half of the field regardless. #1 Let’s Do It mixes his form but is edging ever so close to a maiden win. The retention of Zac Purton bears close watching. #3 King Tourbillon is progressing well. He’s a tidy little stayer it seems.

                        Race 7: The Chan Trophy Handicap

                        #12 Plikclone has trouble maintaining a string of consistent runs. Still, on his day he knows what it’s all about and the inside draw, booking of Antoine Hamelin and low weight should offer him every chance to go on with things. #6 Tycoon Jewellery narrowly missed last start. He’s on an upward trajectory and a win is close. #10 Boom Stitch has done well previously when ridden close to the speed. If they do that here then look out. #11 Get The Monies is improving. He’s worth supporting on a win and place line as a blowout chance.

                        Race 8: The Stevenson Cup Handicap

                        #9 Beauty Charge rattled home from the tail of the field on debut in Hong Kong and he should get his chance here with a closer run in transit. Expect improvement, enough to suggest the possibility of a boilover. #3 Brilliant Way is a consistent customer who should once again produce a performance worthy of winning. #7 Reve Parisien has a bit of class about him. He gets his opportunity. #6 Smart Idea has the runs and wins on the board this term. He just needs to translate that form from Happy Valley to Sha Tin.

                        Race 9: The Ip Jup Handicap

                        #9 Super Axiom will roll forward as he always does. He draws well and with an early lead he should be able to run this group along at a pace to suit. Expect he’s back out racing to do so again for trainer Me Tsui. #10 Jolly Ruler is improving and appears worth consideration. He slots in light and with further development here he can contend. #7 Valiant Elegance is another should settle close to the speed. He knows what it’s all about here. #8 Call Me Teddy mixes his form but is worth consideration. Still, Michael Chang and Zac Purton don’t combine for a win too often.

                        Race 10: The Chow Silver Plate Handicap

                        #2 Master Montaro will improve returning to Sha Tin after finishing down the field at Happy Valley last time out. He thrives over this course and distance and if he can take closer order here then he should get his shot. #7 Keefy is chasing back-to-back wins. He’s on the steady improve and another bold effort is expected. #4 Sauvestre is now a two-time winner in town. He’s classy and should be competitive again. #11 Private Rocket is next best. Don’t discount a return to his best.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #13
                          Today's Horse Racing Tips: Sunday July 10th
                          Stephen Harris
                          bettingexpert Racing editor

                          Today’s Racing Tips – July 10th

                          There are 4 meetings in Britain and Ireland on Sunday, with the highlight coming from Fairyhouse, where the Group 3 over seven furlongs at 4.15pm promises to be a very informative affair. There are 3 NH fixtures for jumps fans to get stuck into, with action from Perth, Sligo and Stratford sure to attract big summer crowds.
                          Today’s Daily Nap

                          Castletown

                          Perth 2:20pm

                          Lucinda Russell’s quirky 10-y-o does not always produce off the bridle what looks likely, but he loves decent ground and has been in terrific heart this summer. He has been found a very weak looking handicap at Perth on Sunday, and hopefully the excellent Derek Fox will be able to produce him late and smoothly after the last without having to come under maximum pressure.

                          Odds: 4.50
                          Today’s Value Angle

                          Newtown Boy

                          Perth 2:55pm

                          Keith Dalgleish’s 9-y-o has dropped rapidly down the handicap in the last couple of years, and he finally showed he was no back number when finishing third here last time out 22 days ago over two miles. A step back up in trip to 2m4f should suit, and he should now be fully fit third run back under Billy Garrity

                          Odds: 9.00

                          Odds are best odds available as at 1am July 10th 2022. Odds may now differ.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #14
                            Belmont Horses in Focus for Sunday, July 10
                            Posted on July 9, 2022 by David Aragona

                            RACE 6: KING’S HARLEQUIN (#6)

                            Chad Brown sends out a pair of runners who both figure to attract support in this optional claiming event. #2 Nevisian Sunrise stretches back out in distance after failing to handle sprinting in the Intercontinental last time. I like the distance for her, but I’m just not thrilled with her prior form. She beat a mediocre field at Keeneland two back, and figures to vie for favoritism given the fact that Irad Ortiz is riding. #7 Zainalarab is perhaps more appealing since she’s only had the one start on turf, in which she ran quite well to be second. However, now she’s stretching out to a mile and it’s no guarantee that added distance will suit her. I won’t be shocked when either wins, but I wanted to look elsewhere. I think #5 Miss Dracarys could bounce back at a square price. She ran well behind Love and Thunder two back, albeit with a very good trip. I didn’t like her last effort but she may prefer more ground than 7 furlongs these days, as she just seemed to have trouble keeping up with the pace on the turn. I’m going with a different horse out of the Love and Thunder race. #6 King’s Harlequin finished fifth that day, but it was her U.S. debut while returning a one-year layoff. Christophe Clement does not do well with foreign shippers first time in this country, but he does do better second off a layoff. Over the past 5 years, he is 12 for 48 (25%, $2.23 ROI) second off a 180+ day layoff in turf routes at NYRA. King’s Harlequin has solid French form to build upon from early in her career. She got a wide trip last time and should fare better here.

                            RACE 7: QUEEN BOURBON (#5)

                            Christophe Clement arguably has the two fillies to beat in #2 Eylara and #8 Classic Colors. I much prefer the latter of the two. Classic Colors delivered a career-best performance in her return last time, closing into a moderate pace to win pretty easily over a couple of next-out winners. This is a step up in class as she tries open company, but she appears to have matured since she tried this level as a 3-year-old. The bigger question is the stretch-out in distance, but she has enough stamina on the bottom side of her pedigree to handle it. She has plenty of upside, whereas Eylara has just been a little disappointing in her two U.S. starts to date. A couple of fillies are shipping in from Churchill Downs. #4 Stepper finished well to be second behind the talented Lady Rockstar in that May 7 race at this level. However, that was by far the best performance of this 3-year-old’s career, and I’m not convinced that the added distance is going to suit her. I’m far more interested in #5 Queen Bourbon. This filly made her turf debut a winning one after a trio of solid dirt efforts last year. It took her a while to get back to the races after that, and I think she’s run deceptively well since returning as an older horse. She was facing better rivals both two and three back, as April 15 winner Ocean Road returned to win the G1 Gamely out west, and Lady Rockstar came to New York with a dominant performance. I also thought she might have moved too soon in that May 7 affair. I wouldn’t be too concerned about the stretch-out for her, since she’s handled 1 1/4 miles on dirt. She picks up Irad Ortiz, who should have her forwardly placed in a race that doesn’t feature much early speed.

                            RACE 9: THE ICEMAN COMMETH (#6)

                            It’s hard to trust anyone in this wide-open maiden claiming affair, which closes out the Belmont meet. #2 North Carolinaonce had turf form that towered over this field, but his recent efforts leave a lot to be desired. #9 Calloway Peak has to be considered on the class drop. Even though he hasn’t done much running in his races, he’s exiting one of the best maiden special weight events of the meet and may have found the right field returning on short rest. A couple of runners exit that 10-furlong maiden special weight event on May 20. #8 Dream of a Day stayed on mildly late without really threatening, though he’s another who could appreciate the drop. I’d be more interested in #7 Greg’s Honor, who got a somewhat indecisive ride, making an early move on the backstretch before fading. He should fare better as John Velazquez takes over. My top pick is #6 the Iceman Commeth. I had though this horse was an interesting prospect in his debut prior to that race getting rained off the turf. He clearly needed the experience, as he got squeezed back at the start and had no speed thereafter. Yet he did get rolling in the last quarter mile, passing tiring runners before galloping out with interest. Keen Ice has had a bit of success with turf routers, and the dam earned some of her best speed figures on turf despite never winning on the surface. Second dam Duty Dance was an excellent turf performer, so there is plenty of pedigree for him to handle the surface. Tom Morley runners tend to do better with experience, and this gelding isn’t meeting the toughest field.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #15
                              KRISTPICKS

                              BELMONT PARK - SUNDAY, JULY 10, 2022 // POST TIME - 12:30 P.M. EST
                              Saturday, 09 July 2022 00:00

                              - DAILY SELECTIONS FOR JULY 10 -

                              RACE 1: 1 - MADAME ROSE 3-1
                              5 - LADY YELLEN 1-1
                              7 - KAY TEE GAL 8-1

                              RACE 2: 4 - CASALSA 20-1
                              7 - DURESS 9-5
                              2 - REUX 7-2

                              RACE 3: 3 - CRAWFORD COUNTY 10-1
                              6 - DEVIL OR ANGEL 4-1
                              8 - EMINENCY 2-1

                              RACE 4: 1 - SMART JOKER 12-1
                              3 - LEFT ON BOYLSTON 9-2
                              4 - SPLENDID SUMMER 9-2


                              RACE 5: 7 - BABY MAN 4-1 - BEST BET
                              4 - WASP 7-2
                              2 - MASHNEE GIRL 3-1

                              RACE 6: 1 - PRINCESS FAWZIA 10-1 - LONGSHOT
                              7 - ZAINALARAB 5-2
                              6 - KING'S HARLEQUIN 9-2

                              RACE 7: 8 - CLASSIC COLORS 3-1
                              6 - RHEAUME 6-1
                              5 - QUEEN BOURBON 4-1

                              RACE 8: 4 - LISTENTOYOURHEART 5-2
                              6 - THERISASTORMBREWIN 7-2
                              5 - MARKET ALERT 9-5

                              RACE 9: 6 - THE ICEMAN COMMETH 10-1
                              11 - IMOLA 5-1
                              2 - NORTH CAROLINA 5-1
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