Saturday 7/23/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Jul 23 '22, 1:10 PM in 56m
MLB | Guardians vs White Sox

Play on: Guardians +105 at William Hill

1 Dimer on Guardians +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ellis Park Tip Sheet - July 23

ELLIS PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, JULY 23, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $18,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 11:30 AM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	4	Undecoded	C Landeros
PLACE	5-2	10	Princess Nina	T Canuto
SHOW	6-1	9	Seaward	C Bailey
WILD CARD	9-2	6	Sariah Sariah	J Padron-Barcenas
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Indicia	C A Emigh
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	Catchusifyoucan	A Beschizza
* EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/9/10 BOX, 6/9/10 BOX
RACE #2 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:58 AM ET
BEST BET: #4 HORSE DADDY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	4	Horse Daddy	R Diaz
PLACE	4-1	1	Cabana Time	M Garcia
SHOW	5-2	7	Triple Chrome	C A Emigh
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Bel Aria	C Bailey
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Atomic Tone	F Peterson
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Missouri Gent	J E Lopez
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
RACE #3 $62,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:26 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-5	3	Beside Herself	C J Lanerie
PLACE	10-1	7	Valentina Day	G Corrales
SHOW	15-1	1	Pistol	R Diaz
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Surprisingly	V Cheminaud
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Princess Pauline	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	5	Roughly a Diamond	A Achard
* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
RACE #4 $30,000 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:54 PM ET
BEST BET: #1A NINETIES COUNTRY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1A	Nineties Country	G Franco
PLACE	3-1	5	Official Business	R Gutierrez
SHOW	6-1	4	Path to Success	C A Emigh
WILD CARD	9-2	2	Baby Quinn	E Morales
ALTERNATE 1	2-1	1	Arrow Strike	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	6	Bonus Appreciation	B J Hernandez Jr.
* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
RACE #5 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:22 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Tolkien	G Saez
PLACE	5-1	2	Sailors Return	R Bejarano
SHOW	9-2	1	Alyanaabi	M Murrill
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Lawmaker	J E Lopez
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	5	My Brother Cam	C A Emigh
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	9	Strings	E Morales
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
RACE #6 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 FUN AND FEISTY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	6	Fun and Feisty	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	9-2	3	Dot Marie	A Gomez
SHOW	3-1	8	Boss Lady Bailey	R Gutierrez
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Bolted	C Landeros
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Killing Time	G Saez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Wicked Flight	C J Lanerie
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX
RACE #7 $62,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	2	Bad Beat Brian	M Garcia
PLACE	9-2	5	Siem Riep	F Arrieta
SHOW	10-1	4	City Drifter	J E Lopez
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Ian Glass	C A Emigh
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	7	Race Driver	G Corrales
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Fore Left	G Franco
* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #8 $61,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:46 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	1	Outlining	G Corrales
PLACE	6-1	6	Traverse	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	6-1	8	Take a Stand	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	7-2	3	Lady Traveler	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	4	Take Charge Lorin	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	Shoshoni Moon	R Gutierrez
* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
RACE #9 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:14 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	11	English Treasure	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	5-2	12	Joyful Applause	E Morales
SHOW	5-1	1	Under One Sky	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	20-1	8	Mejthaam	A Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	7	Seiver	G Corrales
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Lanterns Candy	C J Hernandez
* EXACTA: 11-12 BOX, 12-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/11/12 BOX, 1/8/12 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | July 23, 2022

July 21, 2022

Race 10 at Saratoga | Saturday July 23 | Post Time 6:13 PM Eastern
Caress Stakes – Grade 3 | Purse $200,000 | Five and One-Half Furlongs on Turf | Fillies and Mares, Four Year Olds and Upward
Analysis and top contenders:

10 are entered in this excellent turf sprint stakes race, and five have some shot to win. The 5 to 2 morning line favorite is Caravel (1), who is fairly legitimate as she just won the nearly identical Intercontinental Stakes at Belmont last month. That being said, and with utmost respect for anyone who tries to predict how the public will bet by making the morning line, the 30/1 starting odds offered on Fouette (10) are unbelievably high. First, this filly has a similar record to many of the other nine, 3-2-3 in 13 races to be exact. She cost $140K at auction as a three year old last November after a so-so record 2-2-3 in her first nine races, all on dirt and all for Steve Asmussen. She ran a couple of times on the all-weather at Turfway Park in the winter and pressed or set the early pace but faded late. HOWEVER, after moving to the barn of Linda Rice at some point between January and her next start on May 27, Fouette was ANOTHER HORSE ALLTOGETHER. In her first start for Rice, at six furlongs on dirt, Fouette set the pace and dominated in hand by four lengths. That effort was by far her best ever as she earned a 103 Equibase Speed Figure. To put that figure into perspective, Caravel earned a 104 figure winning the Intercontinental. Since the win, Fouette put in a strong 47.2 half-mile workout which was the best of 44 at the distance on the day, and she gets the #1 jockey for the barn in Jose Lezcano as Jose Ortiz goes to Monmouth today. Her breeding screams turf as she’s by Nyquist (who produced multiple turf sprint stakes winner Gretzky the Great) out of a mare whose only other foal to have a win has won a turf sprint. Simply put, if the effort Fouette put forth last time out wasn’t a fluke, and particularly if she improves second off the layoff, she can post the huge upset in this field.
Star Devine (3) and Caravel (1) finished second and first, respectively, in the Intercontinental, with Star Devine having won the Galway Stakes at this distance on the Saratoga grass last year before taking eight months off and returning to finish second in a stakes at Keeneland to multiple stakes winner Campanelle. She improved markedly second off the layoff and could turn the tables on Caravel in this situation. Caravel has no knocks, especially as she own this race last year off a win in a turf sprint stakes at Monmouth which wasn’t graded and this year won the grade 3 Intercontinental. She had moved to the Cox barn prior to her 2022 debut in March following four months off and she’s likely to take another step forward in only the fourth start of the year.
Miss J McKay (2) and Bout Time (3) deserve mention, with a combined record on grass of 7-4-2 in 17 races including stakes. Miss J. McKay finished second two years ago in a stakes at this distance at Saratoga and although a poor eighth in the Intercontinental won a stakes right before that (106 figure), with Irad Ortiz, Jr. in the saddle, who gets back on after not riding last time out. Bout Time has never been worse than second in four turf races, winning three including her first try in a stakes last month. Her back-to-back 98 figures need improving to get to the level of any of the other four but she’s lightly enough raced that is a strong possibility.

Win bets:
Theirs is no doubt no matter what minimum odds I set on Fouette (10), given her 30/1 starting odds, she’s going to be a bet. I think her odds should be no more than 5 to 1 so a win bet is definitely recommended.
Also, at these odds an “exacta as a place bet” is nearly always a good idea, so for at least $1 the exacta will be ALL over Fouette (10).
Minimum odds for considering a win bet on Star Devine (3) and on Caravel (1) are 5 to 2 and it appears only Star Devine may meet that threshold. Still, I have no hesitancy betting Star Devine to win as well.
Exactas:
Caravel (1), Star Devine (3) and Fouette (10) over Caravel (1), Miss J McKay (2), Star Devine (3), Bout Time (4), and Fouette (10)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - July 23

July 21, 2022

Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, July 23, 2022 at Saratoga
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
4^th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 TURF] – (3) Wings Like Eagles (A) broke last, got stuck in traffic, and then was blocked in mid-stretch. The running line said he got a “brutal trip”. (4) Jane Mast was third in her debut at Belmont last month and got steadied at the quarter pole. (1) Mozay hit the board in 5 out of 6 starts for Bill Mott including a narrow loss by a head last time. (5) Herington Rocket missed his maiden breaker by a neck in his first start of the year when she dropped into the claiming ranks for the first time.
7^th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Hotlist - July 23

July 21, 2022

Today’s Del Mar Hot List races to watch
Saturday, July 23, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3rd race – (5) Fearless Girl was given a freshening and should return ready for a solid effort. (6) Gillian Elizabeth seeks a third straight win and is the one to fear. (10) My Kentucky Girl might appreciate the stretchout and switch to turf. (1) Self Isolation will be a force from the rail. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-10. Doubles: 1-5-6-10 with 2-5-8-10.
4th race – (10) Fast and Shiny debuts for Baffert and seems set for a strong try. (2) Flying Connection should show some speed in her debut and may hang around until the end. (5) And Tell Me Nolies has an interesting pedigree and is worth a look. (8) Satin Doll has been prepping nicely for her debut. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-8-10.
7th race – (7) Fun Money lost her rider last time when favored. Make amends for that miscue today. (9) Organic is working nicely for her debut. (1) Warren’s Paradice could benefit from an inside trip. (8) Yvonne’s Miss was second in her debut and merits consideration. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-7-8-9. Doubles: 1-7-8-9 with 2-4-8-9.
8th race – (8) Reign of Speed set the pace in his debut before finishing second. Should not look back here. (2) Buck Owens could sneak into the picture in his debut. (9) Charbonneau was an improved second last time and cannot be overlooked. (4) Kangaroo Court could jump up with a big effort here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-8-9.
10th race – (3) Mastering returns from a long layoff for Baffert but could be poised to win off the bench. (2) C Z Rocket has plenty of back class and can win this off memory. (6) Diamond Oops will welcome some class relief here. (7) Desmond Doss has enough speed to be a factor in this group. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Jul 23 '22, 6:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Cubs vs Phillies

Play on: Phillies -162 at SC Consensus

Look for the Phillies to straighten things out after an embarrassing, 15-2, loss to the Cubs on Friday in their first game following All-Star break.
Chicago is 21 games below .500 in rebuild mode. The Cubs had lost nine of 10 before Friday's game.
The Cubs battered Kyle Gibson last night. I don't see them having anywhere near that type of success against Zach Wheeler, who is at least two levels higher than Gibson. Wheeler has followed up well on his All-Star status of a year ago. He has a 2.89 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Wheeler ranks 11th in strikeouts per nine innings at 9.6 and is in the top-10 in exit velocity and chase rate.
Wheeler won't lack motivation after giving up six runs in 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays during his last start 10 days ago. Wheeler had a 1.53 ERA in his previous 13 starts before that game.
Marcus Stroman goes for Chicago. He's 2-5 with a 4.69 ERA. Stroman is a ground-ball pitcher, but his ground ball percentage is at a career-low this season. Not a good sign. The Phillies rank sixth in homers and seventh in runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)! Free Winners for Saturday, July 23rd 2022 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
GULFSTREAM PARK
RACE #10
TIME: 5:16 PM EST
PICK: BET #6 Miss You Ella 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada

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Black Widow

Jul 23 '22, 6:40 PM in 1h
MLB | STL vs CIN

Play on: [B]UNDER 10

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Mike Lundin

Jul 23 '22, 6:40 PM in 1h
MLB | Cardinals vs Reds

Play on: Cardinals -153 at linepros

Reds left-hander Mike Minor has a 2-4 record with an ERA of 5.88 in nine appearances (seven starts against the Cardinals in his career. Last season, Minor allowed seven runs on 13 hits in 11 innings against the Cards. The Cardinals are 22-10 in their last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Minor is 0-5 with a 6.08 ERA in five home starts on the season.
The Mets are 4-1 in left-hander Steven Matz's five road starts on the season. Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
FREE PICK ON ST. LOUIS CARDINALS.

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Sean Murphy

Jul 23 '22, 6:40 PM in 1h
MLB | STL vs CIN

Play on: [B]OVER 10

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Rocky Atkinson

Jul 23 '22, 6:40 PM in 1h
MLB | Cardinals vs Reds

Play on: Cardinals -153 at linepros

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Saturday 7-23-22
St Louis @ Cincinnati (6:40 PM EST)
Play On: St Louis -153 (Matz/Minor) Listed
The St Louis Cardinals travel to Cincinnati to take on the Reds on Saturday night. St Louis is 50-45 SU overall this year while Cincinnati comes in with a 35-57 SU overall record on the season. Mike Minor gets the start for Cincinnati where he is 1-6 with a 6.22 ERA overall this year and 0-5 with a 6.08 ERA at home this season. Minor is 2-3 with a 5.77 ERA in his 7 career starts vs St Louis. Steven Matz is 2-0 with a 2.94 ERA in his 3 career starts vs Cincinnati. St Louis is 22-10 last 32 games against left handed starters. Cincinnati is 18-43 last 61 games against a team with a winning record. St Louis is 8-3 last 11 meetings overall in this series. We'll recommend a small play on St Louis tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Steve Janus

Jul 23 '22, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Marlins vs Pirates

Play on: Marlins -104 at Ace

1* Free Sharp Play on Marlins -104
The Marlins (-104) are worth a look as a slim road favorite against the Pirates in Saturday's MLB action. Miami is 21-9 this season when listed as a favorite of -150 or less. Marlins are also 23-9 in their last last 32 vs a NL team that is giving up 4.5 or more runs/game. Pittsburgh is allowing 5.1 runs/game in 2022. Pirates will also turn to a struggling Jose Quintana, who has a 6.91 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the Marlins -104!

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Sal Michaels

Jul 23 '22, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Marlins vs Pirates

Play on: Marlins -110 at Caesars

Free Play on Marlins -110

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Mike Williams

Jul 23 '22, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Marlins vs Pirates

Play on: Marlins -105 at circa

1* on Marlins -105

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Totals Guru

Jul 23 '22, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | TAM vs KC

Play on: UNDER 11 -130

Free Total Annihilator On Rays vs Royals under 11 -130