Sunday 7/24/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 06:26 AM

Sunday’s games

National League
Cubs (37-57) @ Philadelphia (49-45)
— Smyly is 0-0, 5.79 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 3-8 in his starts.
— under 9-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-1
— He is 0-0, 4.40 in three starts vs Philly.

— Cubs won their last three games.
— Cubs are 19-25 on road.
— under 10-4-3 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-94
— record in first 5 innings: 36-43-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

— Falter is 1-1, 5.91 in five starts.
— Philly is 4-1 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He gave up five runs in 3.2 IP, in three relief stints vs Chicago.

— Phillies won three of last five games.
— Philly is 24-23 at home.
— under 12-6-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-94
— record in first 5 innings: 37-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-3

St Louis (51-45) @ Cincinnati (35-58)
— Mikolas is 2-0, 1.26 in his last two starts.
— St Louis is 11-8 in his starts
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-4
— He is 3-3, 4.94 in 11 starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 8-11 in their last 19 games.
— St Louis is 22-25 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 43-38-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.2-3.2

— Mahle is 1-2, 4.58 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 6-11 in his starts.
— over 11-6
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
— He is 3-4, 4.57 in 13 starts vs St Louis.

— Reds won seven of last 11 games.
— Cincinnati is 19-29 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 22-93
— record in first 5 innings: 27-51-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-5

Miami (44-50) @ Pittsburgh (40-55)
— Alcantara is 2-1, 1.41 in his last four starts.
— Miami is 12-7 in his starts.
— under 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-7
— He is 1-0, 2.89 in four starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Miami is 5-10 in its last 15 games.
— They didn’t score in four of last five games.
— Marlins are 22-27 on road.
— under 13-7-2 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-94
— record in first 5 innings: 35-41-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-7.1

— Keller is 2-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Pittsburgh is 6-10 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-4
— He is 1-0, 2.53 in three starts vs Miami.

— Pirates lost five of last seven games.
— Pittsburgh is 21-24 at home.
— under 11-6 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 20-95
— record in first 5 innings: 32-46-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-2

Colorado (43-52) @ Milwaukee (52-43)
— Kuhl is 2-0, 4.63 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 10-7 in his starts.
— under 11-6
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-6
— He is 4-2, 3.09 in ten starts vs Milwaukee.

— Colorado lost its last three games.
— Rockies are 15-29 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 27-49-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-2.2

— Lauer is 0-0, 3.22 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-7 in his starts
— under 3-1-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-6
— He is 1-4, 7.30 in nine starts vs Colorado.

— Brewers are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— Milwaukee is 24-19 at home.
— under 7-5 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 31-95
— record in first 5 innings: 42-36-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8-3

Washington (31-65) @ Arizona (42-52)
— Fedde is 0-2, 6.52 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 9-9 in his starts
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-2
— He is 2-2, 5.06 in four starts vs Arizona.

— Washington lost 17 of last 19 games.
— Nationals are 16-29 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-96
— record in first 5 innings: 26-59-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

— Martin is making his first ’22 start.
— In his career, he is 1-4, 6.89 in 15 games (8 starts)
— This year in AAA, he is 6-3, 5.10 in 12 starts at high-altitude Reno.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He gave up a run in 2 IP in relief vs Washington.

— Diamondbacks are 3-0 in last three games.
— Arizona is 24-26 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 36-35-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-1

San Francisco (48-46) @ Dodgers (63-30)
— Cobb is 0-2, 3.49 in his last seven starts.
— Giants are 6-8 in his starts
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Giants are 0-3 in their last three games.
— San Francisco is 22-24 on road.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 22-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4

— Kershaw is 2-0, 0.79 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 7-5 in his starts.
— under 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-2
— He is 24-15, 1.91 in 51 starts vs San Francisco.

— Dodgers are 24-6 in their last 30 games.
— Los Angeles is 33-13 at home.
— under 15-8-2 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-93
— record in first 5 innings: 54-24-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

San Diego (54-42) @ NY Mets (58-37)
— Musgrove is 0-2, 5.04 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 12-4 in his starts.
— under 5-4 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-2-4
— He is 1-4, 5.63 in five games (4 starts) vs New York.

— Padres are 10-15 in last 25 games.
— San Diego is 29-21 on road.
— under 13-7 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-96
— record in first 5 innings: 45-29-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4

— Carrasco is 2-0, 1.56 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 10-4 in his last 14 starts.
— over 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
— He is 1-0, 2.57 in one start vs San Diego.

— Mets are 0-3 in their last three games.
— Mets are 28-17 at home.
— under 7-2-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-95
— record in first 5 innings: 49-26-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2

American League
New York (65-31) @ Baltimore (47-47)
— Cortes is 1-1, 4.50 in his last five starts.
— New York is 12-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-4
— He is 1-0, 1.74 in three starts vs Baltimore.

— New York is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
— New York is 28-19 on road.
— over 13-2 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 51-24-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-6.1-2

— Kremer is 1-0, 3.48 in his last four starts.
— Baltimore is 6-2 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He is 1-2, 5.01 in five starts vs New York.

— Orioles won 12 of their last 15 games.
— Baltimore is 26-18 at home.
— over 6-1-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-94
— record in first 5 innings: 35-45-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

Toronto (52-43) @ Boston (48-47)
— Stripling is 1-1, 4.15 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 7-6 in his starts
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-4
— He is 0-0, 2.70 in two starts vs Boston TY.

— Blue Jays won seven of their last eight games.
— Toronto is 22-24 on road.
— over 37-17 last 54 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-95
— record in first 5 innings: 39-34-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3

— Bello is 0-1, 10.13 in two starts.
— Red Sox are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Red Sox lost 12 of last 15 games.
— They were outscored 59-9 in last four games.
— Boston is 23-22 at home.
— over 11-4 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 38-34-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.1-3

Minnesota (51-44) @ Detroit (38-57)
— Gray is 0-2, 9.45 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 8-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— He is 3-1, 2.63 in six starts vs Detroit.

— Minnesota is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Twins are 24-22 on road.
— over 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-94
— record in first 5 innings: 48-33-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3.1

— Garcia is 3-0, 3.31 in his last three starts.
— Tigers are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
— He is 0-1, 8.00 in two starts vs Minnesota TY.

— Tigers are 2-10 in their last 12 games.
— Detroit is 23-25 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 21-95
— record in first 5 innings: 30-51-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-6

Cleveland (48-45) @ White Sox (47-48)
— Bieber is 1-1, 3.92 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 11-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 1-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-3
— He is 2-0, 1.20 in two starts vs Chicago this year.

— Guardians are 5-1 in their last six games.
— Cleveland is 23-26 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-39-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-6.1

— Cease is 4-1, 0.88 in his last five starts.
— White Sox are 14-5 in his starts.
— under 10-9
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-1
— He is 1-1, 3.27 in two starts vs Cleveland this year.

— White Sox are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Chicago is 20-27 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 23-95
— record in first 5 innings: 40-44-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-5

Tampa Bay (52-42) @ Kansas City (37-57)
— Springs is 0-0, 6.28 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 9-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0-1 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-6
— He gave up four runs in 4.2 IP, in four relief stints vs Kansas City

— Tampa Bay won seven of last nine games.
— Rays are 21-24 on road.
— over 16-9-2 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-31-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

— Bubic is 0-2, 5.60 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 4-10 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay

— Kansas City lost four of last five games.
— Royals are 20-28 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 34-45-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-3

Texas (42-51) @ A’s (35-62)
— Perez is 3-0, 3.72 in his last six starts.
— Texas is 13-5 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-7
— He is 0-0, 0.69 in two starts vs Oakland TY.

— Rangers are 6-14 in last 20 games.
— Texas is 21-25 on road.
— over 15-8 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-93
— record in first 5 innings: 34-41-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-5.2

— Blackburn is 0-3, 7.46 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 1-8 in his last nine starts.
— under 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6
— He is 0-2, 10.54 in three starts vs Texas.

— A’s are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
— Oakland is 14-32 at home.
— under 25-9-2 last 36 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-97
— record in first 5 innings: 30-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-2-4

Houston (63-32) @ Seattle (51-44)
— Valdez is 1-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— under 11-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-5
— He is 4-0, 1.21 in five starts vs Seattle.

— Astros are 27-9 in their last 36 games.
— Houston is 33-18 on road.
— under 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 32-95
— record in first 5 innings: 58-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-3-2

— Ray is 3-0, 1.36 in his last seven starts.
— Seattle is 6-0 in his last six starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
— He is 3-1, 5.40 in seven starts vs Houston.

— Mariners won 14 of last 16 games, but lost last two.
— Seattle is 24-22 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 37-42-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-3

Interleague game
Angels (39-55) @ Atlanta (58-38)
— Detmers is 0-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Angels are 0-8 in his last eight starts.
— over 7-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Angels are 12-38 in their last 50 games.
— Angels are 17-28 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1.2-5

— Anderson is 2-0, 2.30 in his last three starts.
— Atlanta is 12-6 in his starts.
— over 9-6-1 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— Braves are 35-11 in their last 46 games.
— Atlanta is 33-20 at home.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 28-96
— record in first 5 innings: 54-32-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:14 AM

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Picks: Sunday, July 24, 2022

Race 1: 6-7-4-2
Race 2: 5-10-2-11
Race 3: 7-4-3-9
Race 4: 3-7-9-6
Race 5: 7-5-9-10
Race 6: 10-4-3-7
Race 7: 4-3-7-5
Race 8: 2-3-6-4
Race 9: 11-12-7-4
Race 10: 9-2-11-8
Race 11: 10-2-12-5
Most Likely Winner: Tizmagician #2 (Race 8)
Best Value: An Army Of Light #5 (Race 2)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:15 AM

Lone Star Park Closing Day Picks: Sunday, July 24, 2022

Race 1: 4-6-8-10
Race 2: 9-4-3-6
Race 3: 2-5-9-6
Race 4: 2-6-9-7
Race 5: 9-6-3-4
Race 6: 8-9-1-6
Race 7: 7-9-8-2
Race 8: 5-3-10-13
Race 9: 7-5-3-10
Race 10: 4-1-2-8
Most Likely Winner: Cosmetology #9 (Race 5)
Best Value: Dreams Of Valor #2 (Race 3)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:15 AM

Saratoga Picks: Sunday, July 24, 2022

Race 1: 2-1-8-4
Race 2: 1-2-4-7
Race 3: 3-2-1/1A-4
Race 4: 8-2-7-1
Race 5: 3-4-2-1
Race 6: 2-7-4-8
Race 7: 4-2-7-1
Race 8: 4-3-7-2
Race 9: 3-1-4-6
Race 10: 5-2-1-9
Most Likely Winner: Nota Bene #3 (Race 9)
Best Value: Emerald Express #4 (Race 8)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:16 AM

Saratoga Picks: Match race theme continues in Shuvee S. on July 24
By J.N. Campbell

Saratoga Picks: Sunday, July 24, 2022

Race 1: 2-1-8-4
Race 2: 1-2-4-7
Race 3: 3-2-1/1A-4
Race 4: 8-2-7-1
Race 5: 3-4-2-1
Race 6: 2-7-4-8
Race 7: 4-2-7-1
Race 8: 4-3-7-2
Race 9: 3-1-4-6
Race 10: 5-2-1-9
Most Likely Winner: Nota Bene #3 (Race 9)
Best Value: Emerald Express #4 (Race 8)

Most Likely Winner: (Race 9: Nota Bene #3, 5/1):

Trainer Ian Wilkes doesn’t come to Saratoga with a large stable, but when he does show you can count on his entries being fit and ready for duty. Here is a filly by Declaration of War that I have followed closely on the KY Circuit over this past year. She has strong bloodlines when it comes to the turf, and the addition of Irad Ortiz makes her a major threat. With a late kick, plus running against tough competition at Keeneland and Churchill, she should be a reasonable price too. The name of the game in turf racing is knowing when to "ask the question," and finding those seams where there aren't any ... Ortiz is one of, if not, the best!

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #3

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 8: Emerald Express #4, 5/1):

The claims made by Joe Sharp can be quite good, and he picked up this colt by Tapit after he ran nicely to finish 2nd in a Clm50k race at Churchill Downs. The former Mike Maker trainee has consistent form, and now he comes to Saratoga for the 1st time. Getting Tyler Gaffalione to take the controls is a super move, and look for this jockey to get his Spa Meet on track soon. He wins races in batches, and this could be a great score. I like the 5/1 M/L price, and am hoping that this one will hover around that on the tote. One of these days Sharp is going to break through and join the ranks of the “Super Trainers” … mark my words.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #4 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 5: Dirt, 1 1/8th, Shuvee S. (G2), $200k, F&M 4+):

In recent memory, no jockey has ever won the Shuvee Stakes for a third time in-a-row. Joel Rosario has a shot to break that tradition … He rode Letruska to victory in 2020, and then Royal Flag all the way to the winner’s circle last year. Coming into this edition we have a marquee match race between Steve Asmussen’s Clairiere #4 and Todd Pletcher’s Malathaat #3. Rosario took over the riding duties of the former in ’22, and his mount has yet to run a poor race. The Stonestreet homebred has faced her rival several times before, but it wasn’t until the Ogden Phipps (G1) on the Belmont Stakes undercard that she actually proved she could best her. Pletcher’s prize KYOaks (G1) winner from ’21 with regular rider Johnny V aboard, just did not have enough to get to the wire. That was a signature win for Asmussen, who has a trophy room full of victories. The HOF-er has never won the Shuvee though, and his entry has a major shot to do so. I don’t think it is going to happen in what amounts to a head-to-head match on Sunday afternoon. Also bred by Stonestreet, the filly by Curlin is just getting her season cranked to perfection. Shadwell’s best runner right now will be looking to get back on track. Losing a head bob is not the end of the world, and the goal of getting back to the BC Distaff (G1) when Keeneland hosts in Novemeber, is within reach. The real question is what will her price be? I would say that accepting anything above 4/5, looks to qualify as an overlay. M/L odds man David Aragona is one of the best in the business, and I think he has this one tabbed properly. Let the dukes commence!

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:16 AM

AI Picks: $2K Hit & Split Del Mar Pick 4 | Sunday, July 24, 2022

Sunday’s Del Mar card includes a $2,000 Hit & Split promotion for Xpressbet and 1/ST BET players. Take down the late pick four (Races 8-11) and collect the partimutuel winnings as well as your share of an additional $2,000 with other players on the 1/ST and Xpressbet platform who also connect.

To assist your handicapping, top selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds.

Del Mar // Race 8 // 5:33 pm ET // $125,000 Cougar II Stakes

#2 Tizamagician (8-5) // 29%W
#1 Dicey Mo Chara (4-1) // 20%W
#4 Extra Hope (4-1) // 13%W
#3 Heywoods Beach (5-2) // 10%W

Del Mar // Race 9 // 6:03 pm ET // $100,000 Wickerr Stakes

#12 Smooth Like Strait (6-5) // 29%W
#10 Majestic Eagle (12-1) // 16%W
#6 Navy Armed Guard (20-1) // 9%W
#2 Tesoro (50-1) // 7%W

Del Mar // Race 10 // 6:33 pm ET // allowance

#5 Ajaaweed (6-1) // 22%W
#1 Street Ruckus (10-1) // 21%W
#11 Dark Vader (6-1) // 11%W
#9 Hail Freedom (5-2) // 9%W

Del Mar // Race 11 // 7:03 pm ET // allowance

#1 Miss Mattie B (12-1) // 23%W
#4 Glenall (10-1) // 13%W
#5 Annie’s Song (6-1) // 10%W
#10 Rhea Moon (4-1) // 7%W

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:17 AM

AI Picks: $4K Woodbine Hit & Split Pick Four | Sunday, July 24, 2022

Sunday’s Woodbine Oaks Day card at Woodbine includes a $4,000 Hit & Split promotion for Xpressbet and 1/ST BET players. Take down the pick four (Races 4-7) and collect the partimutuel winnings as well as your share of an additional $4,000 with other players on the 1/ST and Xpressbet platform who also connect.

To assist your handicapping, top selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds.

Woobine // Race 4 // 2:40 pm ET // maiden special weight

#12 Langstaff Road (5-1) // 22%W
#8 Gaston (3-1) // 20%W
#10 Dominant Destroyer (10-1) // 16%W
#4 Midnight Arkle (15-1) // 7%W

Woobine // Race 5 // 3:13 pm ET // allowance

#7 Day Tripper (12-1) // 24%W
#6 Burning Man (5-1) // 13%W
#5 Shangassah (3-1) // 10%W
#9 Desolator (20-1) // 8%W

Woobine // Race 6 // 3:46 pm ET // maiden special weight

#8 Awesome Bourbon (6-1) // 19%W
#7 One for Chap (4-1) // 11%W
#4 Venti (3-1) // 10%W
#15 Calusa Donnie (8-1) // 8%W

Woobine // Race 7 // 3:19 pm ET // $150,000 Plate Trial Stakes

#8 The Minkster (2-1) // 26%W
#6 Lac Macazza (12-1) // 20%W
#4 Duke of Love (4-1) // 14%W
#5 Causin’ Mayhem (5-2) // 11%W

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:18 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, July 24, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

Hawthorne Racecourse has a competitive 13-race card set for this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Pericles (8-1)-Warren steers tonight and this will be 2nd time Lasix for the Simmons entry. Paced the 2nd half in 57.2 last time and could be better here. This is a field without standouts, likes to race in up-close seat and that can happen.
6-Silly Willy (7/2)-Beat 7 from this crew last weekend and now adds Lasix. Did benefit from a sweet trip and should be considered for a repeat picture.
7-Do Fear Me (4-1)-Has had excuses, stuck with post 9 in the last 2 starts and comes off a rough trip. Appears to be getting better and makes the 3rd start for Ms Agosti, should be in the hunt.
10-Dandys BB Eight (3-1)-Closed well with a 56.1 back half but was a long way from the leaders early on. Has battled tougher and the post makes the price. It will be up to Leonard to figure out the best plan for success.

Race 11

2-Hello (7/2)-Should get a boost with the driver change to Leonard. One-move type could benefit with an inside post draw.
3-Ellis Gray (7-1)-Brink pupil might be ready to seal the deal with smooth trip. Bender took the long way around last week from post 7 and the fractions were soft. Looking for this race to set-up differently and has a chance at a price if the pilot does good work.
10-Fox Valley Hadley (5/2)-Husted sticks and this looks like a case of the best horse has the worst post. There isn't much gate speed in this field. Could be leaving for position and hope for the best, risky to leave off the ticket.

Race 12

3-Victress's Desire (5/2)-Caught a nice pocket ride and pulled away down the lane for the 1st win at Haw (3-1-1-1). This will be a test but fits well and deserves respect.
4-The Moma Dance (4-1)Team Leonard entry has shown good speed at HoP and now makes its Stickney debut. Draws well, does its best work racing near the top of the stack, and looks like a main player.

Race 13

1-Racing ForThe Mark (5-1)-This is a soft spot and thinking Putnam shipping in means this mare will come with a big try. Should enjoy the company and Bender will need to coax a more alert start and have in striking range turning for the wire.
2-Eliza Dushku N (5-1)-Should be a threat but often comes up short. Did pace to the wire to hold 2nd but can do better with a sharp steer. If gets on the engine, stealing a quarter could make the winning difference.

0.50 Pick 4

1,6,7,10/2,3,10/3,4/1,2
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:18 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Del Mar, Gulfstream Park, and Saratoga for July 24, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

Let’s finish the week strong after an amazing day yesterday! The paid rockets produced a $3,592.55 Late Pick 5 at Monmouth as well as a $631.75 Early Pick 5 at Saratoga! For the free pick 4, we will head back to Saratoga for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for opening day at Del Mar and Gulfstream Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out.

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Saratoga:

Saratoga July 24, 2022

Race 7: Maiden Special Weight

When in doubt it is always a good choice to go with Chad Brown on the turf. He has a good first timer in the #5 Idea Generation, who seems to be working out well leadign up to this race. #10 Treasured Gem out of Medaglia D’Oro is a threat as well for Clement with his top rider Joel Rosario up for the ride.

Race 8: Claiming
freestar

#3 Kinetic Sky is coming back for the first time since December. The horse had a solid 2021 campaign and is running for a claiming price for the first time. He will get pushed by the #4 Emerald Express who has finished second in the last two similar races, both at Churchill Downs.

Race 9: Allowance

#1 Osiria broke her maiden last time out at Belmont and has Rosario aboard for this one. She is making the natural progression. The #2 A Little Faith, is interesting as she is making her 2nd start after a lengthy layoff. In her first start back, she was an impressive second in a similar race at Belmont.

Race 10: Maiden Claiming

Another Chad Brown horse on the turf. #2 What a Dude is making his debut for a price of $75K which is somewhat of an issue but Brown is hard to pick against. Mike Maker sends out #4 Emboite who has finished 3rd in two of his 3 starts at MSW. The drop might send him to the winner’s circle.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 5,10 / 3,4,7 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,4,6 – $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:41 AM

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks July 24
Joseph Aiello

Race 5 – Grade II Shuvee Stakes

1. #3 Malathaat (4-5) – Not many options in this four horse field, and even though this one just lost narrowly to Clairiere, this spot and distance suits her a tad better

2. #4 Clairiere (1-1) – The other who realistically can win, and has seemingly taken a step forward this year after a solid campaign last year, seems to be in good form to run well here

3. #2 Crazy Beautiful (8-1) – A notch below the top two, and with no show betting maybe one to include in multi-race bets if hoping for a bigger payoff

Race 8 – Clm 50000n3L

1. #4 Emerald Express (5-1) – Narrowly lost his last two against similar company, and should be good value with a stalking trip that works well in this field of closers

2. #7 Swiftsure (2-1) – Will be a short price purely off the class drop, but hasn’t been as effective as his first two tries, but still a likely contender here

3. #3 Kinetic Sky (9-5) – Another who benefits from a drop, but a long layoff for this Runhappy colt make others here seem a bit more logical

4. #5 Bold Victory (6-1) – Seems the best suited for this distance of the field, but might need to be a bit more forward than usual which is well suited for jockey Kendrick Carmouche

Race 9 – Alw 115000n1x

1. #1 Osiria (5-2) – A repeat of her last effort is probably good enough here, and with the top flight connections this seems like a good first choice

2. #4 Boxing Day (7-2) – Comes out of a stakes race where she ran a very close fifth, and certainly prefers these shorter distances to the longer races she tried last year

3. #3 Nota Bene (5-1) – Doesn’t win often because she tries to come from too far back, but gets Irad Ortiz here and can certainly be a strong closer in this group to at least hit the board

4. #2 A Little Faith (7-2) – This six year old mare has faded in her recent stretch runs, finishing second last time after a near two year layoff, but had some nice races here two summers ago

Race 10 – MC 75000

1. #7 Street Vendor (6-1) – Has lost narrowly in all four tries, plus drops into maiden claiming company after four in open maidens but might need some pace here

2. #6 Pivotal Mission (6-1) – This gelding once had promise for Graham Motion, and if he can rediscover early form, this first time lasix gelding is a threat here

3. #2 What a Dude (7-2) – First time starter for Chad Brown might be aggressive here by Hard Spun, and could take advantage of a lack of pace

4. #5 Good Medicine (8-1) – The other Pletcher trainee has raced at distances longer than this, but should see some improvement with the class relief of a drop to maiden claiming

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:42 AM

Owners’ Cup Sunday: Busan & Seoul Race-By-Race Preview (July 24)

The Owners’ Cup (1600M KOR-G3) is the feature race of the day as Raon The Fighter seeks to get back to winning ways after two shock defeats. See here for a horse-by-horse preview of the race. The Owners’ Cup is the concluding race 7 at Busan on a card that runs from 11:35 to 17:05. There are 10 races at Seoul from 10:45 to 18:00. Here are the previews:

Seoul Race 1: Class 6 (1000M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

A juvenile maiden to open with and while the field is small, it’s a good one. (7) GIANT PUNCH is worth favourite status having run the fastest time among these on his debut on June 18th when handy throughout. He’ll probably sit handy again and could prove too strong late on. The latest off Raon’s Musket Man production line is (6) RAON THE HIGHMAN. He debuts here having won a trial in a fast time in June and he looks set for a bold showing first-up. (1) STRONG CHARM was a good 2nd on debut on June 25th. Expect him to be on pace from the inside gate and he should be in this a long way. (2) DUSON CLASSIC and (4) WHITE WITCH came home 2nd and 4th when they debuted together on June 18th. Their times were only fair, but both hinted at ability and there could be some natural improvement here.
Selections (7) Giant Punch (6) Raon The Highman (1) Strong Charm (2) Duson Classic
Next Best 4, 3
Fast Start 1, 2, 5, 6

Seoul Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

Three-year-old maiden fillies and it’s hard to look past (9) INNER PEACE. She has run 3rd in both her starts to date, both at this distance and registering good times. She has run on the pace both times so the draw may not be ideal, but she should be able to overcome it and will take some beating. (5) BARAMSAL looks to be figuring things out with three 4th place finishes from her latest three outings. She should settle midfield and run on and should be aiming for a career best finish here. (6) SPEED ACE was an improved 3rd at start number two on June 26th, settling back and running on. He can be a contender here. (2) MONEY TAP and (8) COSMO QUEEN among others with placing chances.
Selections (9) Inner Peace (5) Baramsal (6) Speed Ace (2) Money Tap
Next Best 8, 1
Fast Start 1, 3, 7, 9

Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1000M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

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Juvenile maidens with four of the eight racing for the first time. (4) DOCTOR OSCAR will start as the hot favourite, having run 2nd on debut on June 24th, beating three of today’s rivals in the process. She was on pace throughout and should get into the lead here and go all the way. Of the first-timer starters, (6) K.AI looks the pick. He led practically the entire way in his trial in early June, crossing the line well clear of the field in a fair time. If he can bring that form to the races, then he has a good chance. (2) RELEASE EDITION ran 5th on debut behind Doctor Oscar in that June 24th race. With some natural improvement from that run, he can get closer today. (5) PEOPLE POWER and (7) NALA, the latter a first-time starter, others who could potentially place.
Selections (4) Doctor Oscar (6) K.Ai (2) Release Edition (5) People Power
Next Best 7, 1
Fast Start 1, 3, 4, 6

Seoul Race 3: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

A competitive race with plenty of chances. (7) RUBY CAT showed plenty of promise across five starts in 2021 with a best of 3rd over 1200M. She also ran well at this distance. She races for the first time since last December but looked well when winning a June trial and has every chance of a bold first-up showing here. If the lengthy layoff raises a red flag, then (11) EUNPA MOUNTAIN is the logical pick. After a chastening debut, he has run 3rd and 4th in two starts since, both at 1200M. He draws wide but the additional half furlong can suit, and he can be a danger. (2) BLOW MIND comes back in trip following recent work over 1700M. He has a 3rd place to his name at this distance and from a good draw can go close today. (4) GANGCHEOL BUDAE and (10) SONGAM DRAGON others in the frame.
Selections (7) Ruby Cat (11) Eunpa Mountain (2) Blow Mind (4) Gangcheol Budae
Next Best 10, 5
Fast Start 4, 7, 10, 11

Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

Tricky puzzle here. (5) HANSEN ICHEON returns for the first time since last November. He had shown ability in three starts last year with a 3rd place over 1400M his best. He impressed in a July 2nd trial when handy to the lead and crossing the line with the same time as the “winner”. If he brings that form to the races, he may win. (1) SKY SEUNG races for the first time. The filly good when trialing up in June and draws a very nice gate on the inside. She can go close in what is not an intimidating race to debut in. (3) MORNING MUSE has been consistent with a 5th and a 3rd from his latest two. His times haven’t been spectacular but in the absence of much gate speed here, he may get a soft run to the front and could take some dislodging. (8) SKY ARCH and (4) PUNGAN JOHWA others with placing chances.
Selections (5) Hansen Icheon (1) Sky Seung (3) Morning Muse (8) Sky Arch
Next Best 4, 7
Fast Start 1, 3, 4, 6

Seoul Race 4: Class 4 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

(1) THE FAVORITE will, for once, be exactly that. Yet to score in eight, he has six top-four finishes including his latest on July 9th when running 2nd at class and distance. From the inside gate and in this small field he can get a soft lead and make all. (2) SAEROUN BOBAE is yet to win in twenty-four starts but knows how to pick up a cheque with eleven top-five finishes. That includes a 3rd at her latest outing on May 8th and she has solid claims to place again. (5) MAIN OF KING is another many-start maiden but he too comes in with recent form reading well, especially her 2nd place two starts back at class and distance. She can be handy to the speed here and run on. (7) STAR RUSH and (6) FEDERAL EYE others with money chances.
Selections (1) The Favorite (2) Saeroun Bobae (5) Main Of King (7) Star Rush
Next Best 6, 3
Fast Start 1, 2, 3, 5

Busan Race 3: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

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Competitive race. (8) LADY GOLDEN won over this distance at class 3 level two starts back, coming out of the widest gate to settle midfield and then run on well. She then ran a creditable 4th on her first try at this level over the extended 1400M on June 19th. She looks nicely in here, Perovic knows her well, and she can win. (6) TAMNA HANEUL is vastly experienced and the seven-year-old is seemingly having a late career resurgence with a 3rd and a 2nd from her latest two. She gets in here under a very light weight, draws well, and can go close again. (9) RAON THE FLASH is yet to win n eight starts but has five top-four finishes. She comes in following a useful class and distance 2nd on June 26th and should be competitive again today. (5) HALLOWEEN PARTY comes up in class and distance but can measure up while (1) GIANT CAL is another who could potentially place.
Selections (8) Lady Golden (6) Tamna Haneul (9) Raon The Flash (5) Halloween Party
Next Best 1, 3
Fast Start 2, 3, 5, 9

Seoul Race 5: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

Draw a line through the latest showing by (5) RAON THE PEARL when she had a disappointing day at the office over 1300M on June 4th. She was a bit slow away and took a bump coming out of the gate, then raced wide all the way around and was found slightly lame afterwards. Her form before that was robust, winning well over this distance at class 6 level. She has been back in work since July 9th and will be favourite to score here. In a race where the form isn’t very deep, (9) WONPYEONG GWANGYA should be competitive. She comes up in class having got her maiden win at start seven over this distance on June 19th. It was a big uptick in form but there is little to fear here. Similarly (7) HWANGGEUM DALBIT is also up in class following a maiden win at the distance. In her case, she led gate-to-wire and will be on speed again here under a very light weight. (3) EUNHYE SERVE and (2) JISANGUN others in the frame.
Selections (5) Raon The Pearl (9) Wonpyeong Gwangya (7) Hwanggeum Dalbit (3) Eunhye Serve
Next Best 2, 8
Fast Start 2, 7, 9, 10

Busan Race 4: Class 5 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

(8) CHEONNYEONUIGUREUM looks to have as good a chance as any here. She may be a twenty-four-race maiden, but she has twelve top-four finishes and enters in consistent form with a 4th place on her latest outing at class and distance on June 12th. Moon Se-young climbs aboard and it could be her day. If she does find one too quick again – and she might – then a probable suspect is (1) GOLD TAP. His win came on debut at 1200M in February, but he has run fairly at this level, including two spins around a mile, in three starts since. He likes to be on pace, so the draw is in his favour. (5) ADELE BOSS is another maiden who knows how to pick up a cheque and comes in with recent form reading well. He is another on pace type who will be challenging for the lead from the start. (4) QUEEN OF HEARTS and (6) NORTHERN LIGHTS are among several other possible placers.
Selections (8) Cheonnyeonuigureum (1) Gold Tap (5) Adele Boss (4) Queen Of Hearts
Next Best 6, 9
Fast Start 1, 5, 6, 7

Seoul Race 6: Class 4 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

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(4) NEMO PRINCESS has won at this distance and gets top pick here based on her last start 2nd in a fast race on June 19th when she was handy throughout and briefly struck the front before being beaten by a good winner. She comes up 2kg from that but that’s balanced a little by a better draw. She should be on pace here and can win. (5) YUKWAEHAN NALDEUL was 3rd in that race and while he has six-lengths to make up, he stays at the same weight and also draws better than he did that day. He can get closer. (2) COSMO comes up rapidly in class having won two of her latest three. She’s an on-pace galloper who draws well and should be in this a long way. (1) P N S HAENGBOK and (3) TIZ BLACK others with placing hopes.
Selections (4) Nemo Princess (5) Yukwaehan Naldeul (2) Cosmo (1) P N S Haengbok
Next Best 3, 6
Fast Start 2, 3, 4, 5

Busan Race 5: Class 3 (1800M) Allowance / KRW 75 Million

(3) DOCTOR FAITH comes in having led every step of the way to win over class and distance on June 5th. He is ultra-consistent with thirteen top-three finishes from sixteen starts and while he does come up 2kg for that win, he has every chance of following up here. (2) CHANGE BACK doesn’t win out of turn but he too has good consistency with a 3rd at class and distance two starts back and then beating a couple of today’s rivals on his way to 4th place over a mile on June 17th. He likes to settle back and run on and has recorded good times for the distance. Don’t rule out. (8) DAEJI CHOICE had a hard time in his latest start, the Minister’s Cup at Seoul over 2000M when he found himself on gate thirteen. Go instead on his previous outing, when winning well over this distance at class 4 level. He should be competitive here. The up in class pair of (5) HAPPY WITCH and (6) ALPHA AGAIN are others who can enter the calculations.
Selections (3) Doctor Faith (2) Change Back (8) Daeji Choice (5) Happy Witch
Next Best 6, 7
Fast Start 3, 6, 7, 8

Seoul Race 7: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

(7) HEUNG DREAM is set to be a warm favourite here. He comes in following a 2nd and two 3rd place finishes from his latest three at distances between 1200M and 1400M and at this distance specially has recorded good times. He will be on or close to the early speed and despite giving away plenty of weight to everything else, should prove too strong. (5) QUIET ADELE comes back in trip for the first time in a very long time. She has tended to get a bit far back in her races, but she finishes well and under a very light weight today, could go close. (2) ANYANG OXEN has the fastest time among these for the distance. He has had a couple of months off since his last start and he looked very well when running 2nd in a fair time in a trial last week. (1) BAEDARI CANDY is another who has perhaps lost his way a little but looks nicely in here and could surprise. (4) ARFONS another placing chance.
Selections (7) Heung Dream (5) Quiet Adele (2) Anyang Oxen (1) Baedari Candy
Next Best 4, 8
Fast Start 2, 4, 7, 9

Busan Race 6: Class 4 (1600M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

(1) EUNSEONG WINNER is the probable favourite based on her 3rrd place finish in the Gyeonggi Governor’s Cup, the final leg of the filly Triple Crown, over 2000M at Seoul on June 4th. She is nicely weighted and drawn here and in an easier assignment, can win. (2) MENIFEE SONG is a winner of two races at 1400M and comes up in class following the latest of those back in April. That’s a thirteen-week layoff but he tends to settle midfield and run on, is nicely drawn, and can be in this a long way. (9) MAN OF THE STAR is improving with every run. At his last start he was a winner over 1400M at class 5 and while this is harder and he has the challenge of a wider barrier, he can be in the mix again. (4) DONGNAM BULPAE is worth thought on his last start 2nd after knuckling coming out of the gate while (3) DAEHO JEONSEOL is another who can aim for at least a place.
Selections (1) Eunseong Winner (2) Menifee Song (9) Man Of The Star (4) Dongnam Bulpae
Next Best 3, 10
Fast Start 1, 4, 9, 10

Seoul Race 8: Class 5 (1700M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

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(1) K N POST is a maiden, but she has been improving at each run and comes in with three consecutive runner-up finishes, most recently over 1400M at this class on June 12th. The additional distance may suit, and she draws nicely. (6) BODY STAR has been there or thereabouts in his latest runs and was a close 3rd over this distance on June 26th having been last most of the way around. He does tend to get a bit far back in his races, but this is an easier assignment than recent ones and he can go close. (3) CHEONGSAN YEONGUNG is up in class on his win over 1400M on May 28th. He likes to race forward and can measure up at this level. (4) DELPHINI is a maiden with consistent form. She was a fair 6th on her first try at two-turns last time out and should have benefitted from that experience. (2) COUNTRY ROAD another in the hunt.
Selections (1) K N Post (6) Body Star (3) Cheongsan Yeongung (4) Delphini
Next Best 2, 5
Fast Start 1, 3, 4, 5

Busan Race 7: Class Open (1600M) Owners’ Cup (KOR-G3) Weight for Age / KRW 450 Million

(2) RAON THE FIGHTER won his first ten but comes in off two luckless seconds in the Busan Ilbo and Seoul Owners’ Cups at 1200M, stumbling at the start in the first and then being run down late by Black Musk in the latter. He has won up to 1800M, lands a nice gate here and with Moon Se-young aboard for the first time, he is the one to beat. (1) SUCCESS MACHO is a winner of nine from eleven with both defeats coming in Group company including his last start 3rd in the Mayor’s Cup when from gate eleven he was on pace and wide. He has a much better draw today and a big chance. Another up-and-comer is (10) KING OF THE MATCH. He came from well off the pace to run 4th in the Busan Mayor’s Cup, having made all to win at this distance in a fast time at class 1 level in April but was carrying a very light weight. Looks to have plenty of upside and can be given a chance at an each-way price here. (11) SIMJANGUI GODONG and (6) HEUNGBARAGI are among a number of others with chances of at least a place.
Selections (2) Raon The Fighter (1) Success Macho (10) King Of The Match (11) Simjangui Godong
Next Best 6, 7
Fast Start 2, 3, 7, 8

Seoul Race 9: Class 4 (1800M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

(2) MANSE is race fit and has solid class 4 form. He won at this class over 1700M three starts back and comes in off a 2nd place at that same distance on his latest start on June 18th. This race is no stronger and he has big claims. (7) WHITE CHARM places in the 2020 Rookie Stakes and he enters in consistent form in four starts returning from a year’s absence in April. He can race forward or in midfield and can at least match his last start runner-up finish. (9) SOARA BABA was a class and distance winner three starts back in April and has subsequently run 4th and 2nd in two outings since. She gets the benefit of an apprentice claim today and the barrier isn’t much of a concern. (3) SPEAR GUN is yet to win but is a prolific placer. Especially around the two-turns. He is nicely drawn and could go close again. (11) ACHIM HAMSEONG another to keep safe.
Selections (2) Manse (7) White Charm (9) Soara Baba (3) Spear Gun
Next Best 11, 4
Fast Start 1, 2, 6, 7

Seoul Race 10: Class 2 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 90 Million

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(6) WONPYEONG GASOK will be favourite here. He has won his last two races by a combined margin of twelve-lengths, the first of which was at this distance. He comes up in class here but is down in the weights and has every chance of completing a hat-trick here. (3) LORD BAN returns to action for the first time since April of 2021. He had certainly shown ability before the layoff and is a class and distance winner. He looked good in a fast trial in mid-June and could go well first-up today. (2) JANGSAN MISSILE can have a line drawn through his latest and instead we can go on his 3rd place at class and distance in April. He trialed up well in June, draws well and has a light weight. (4) MIGHTY BOOM is never far away and can settle forward with a nice draw today. He and (1) LOOKING GOOD are at least place chances.
Selections (6) Wonpyeong Gasok (3) Lord Ban (2) Jangsan Missile (4) Mighty Boom
Next Best 1, 7
Fast Start 4, 6, 7, 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:42 AM

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Sunday, July 24
by David Aragona

RACE 4: PHANTOM SMOKE (#6)

I believe #6 Phantom Smoke is a very likely winner of this New York-bred N2X allowance affair. He had shown turf sprint ability as a 3-year-old and ran well when just missing over this course and distance last summer. That was his first start off a layoff and he subsequently improved in two more starts downstate. He returned from another lengthy layoff last time at Belmont and ran a much better race than his final position would indicate. That was one of the fastest paces that we’ve seen on turf in New York all year, especially for a 6-furlong turf sprint. Two horses set some wickedly fast fractions, and he wasn’t that far off stalking in third, well ahead of the eventual winner. He made the first move to reel in those two pacesetters, but proved vulnerable late after running so fast for the first 5 furlongs. I love this slight turnback for him, and he projects to work out a great trip stalking a more moderate pace this time. His main rival appears to be #1 King Angelo, who is also making his second start off a layoff. This horse won up here last summer when leading all the way, and I think he’s best using that front-running style. They tried to rate him off the pace in his return last time, and it proved to be the wrong move, as he lacked a late punch. I think he’ll get a better trip this time, but I still prefer his Christophe Clement trained rival. #7 Battle Station is the other interesting horse at a better price. He’s getting significant class relief while moving back into the barn of Rob Atras, for whom he’s had past success.

RACE 6: KALING (#4)

#2 Key of Life was the beaten 2-5 favorite in her debut at Churchill Downs when she was significantly compromised by a poor start, breaking lengths behind the field. That race was won by a talented rival in Summer Promise, and Key of Life did run on decently for third. She had trained well into that race and she clearly is still highly regarded by the barn. Her July 10 workout was in company with Grade 1 Acorn winner Matareya, and this 2-year-old held her own in company with that classy 3-year-old stablemate. I just question whether she can break cleanly this time, as that will be key to her success. There are also some very interesting first time starters in this race. #7 Rarify is a daughter of Triple Crown winner Justify and a half-sister to sprint champion Runhappy. Wesley Ward can obviously win with a 2-year-old, and showed some confidence nominating her to the Schuylerville on opening week. My top pick is #4 Kaling. Todd Pletcher has done well with his 2-year-old firsters over the past couple of summers. This filly is by 19% juvenile debut sire Practical Joke. The siblings haven’t been much, but she nevertheless appears to have some ability. She’s earned the fastest workout time from the gate at Belmont on July 8, which is usually telling for Pletcher runners. And on July 17 at Saratoga, she was going much easier than colt Bat Flip, who debuts in today’s first race. I think there’s talent here, and she may be a fair price given the strength of this field.

RACE 9: BLAZING STAR (#5)

#1 Osiria will be looking to win two in a row after breaking her maiden in her third attempt last time out. She clearly took a step forward in that second turf start, displaying improved speed to lead a field from gate to wire. She was flattered when runner-up Frosted Oats returned to win with a strong speed figure, and Christophe Clement has solid stats off maiden wins. I expect her to run well showing speed from the inside, but I didn’t want to take a short price on anyone in this competitive allowance. #4 Boxing Day could attract support as she drops out of stakes company. She only finished 1 1/2 lengths behind last year’s Breeders’ Cup winner Twilight Gleaming in the Mamzelle, but that was a race where many horses hit the wire together, and I’m not sure any of them ran that well. #2 A Little Faith merits respect off her runner-up finish at this level last time, since it was her first start in nearly two years. She showed good speed and just got tired in the last furlong. The slight cutback shouldn’t bother her since she’s been successful going 5 1/2 furlongs in the past. I considered putting her on top, but wanted to get a little more creative. #5 Blazing Star figures to get somewhat overlooked here off two nondescript efforts in the U.S. However, I don’t think either of those races at Churchill – one on dirt, the other a route – were ideal spots for her. She had shown some speed and ability sprinting in Europe last year, and I believe that’s what she wants to do. This daughter of sprint sire Dark Angel looked quick overseas, and I think she can take a real step forward switching into the barn of Mike Maker. She obviously has some questions to answer, but she’ll fly under the radar and is finally getting a chance to do what she wants.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:44 AM

24/7/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Sale
July 24, 2022 by Editoriel staff

Sale will play host to the main Victorian racing program on Sunday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

*Existing customers only. 2nd Racing bet. Excl SA & WA. T’s & C’s apply. Gamble responsibly.

WATCH THESE RACES LIVE AT

tab

Race One: 2 Exonumia

Race Two: 11 Most Impressive

Race Three: 14 Victims

Race Four: 5 Peak Road

Race Five: 1 Token Spirit

Race Six: 5 Redoute’s Soul

Race Seven: 11 Waylaid

Race Eight: 7 Trading Post

*Existing customers only. 2nd Racing bet. Excl SA & WA. T’s & C’s apply. Gamble responsibly.

BEST BET: Race One Number 2 Exonumia

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 5 Peak Road

BEST VALUE: Race Eight Number 7 Trading Post

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 7

Leg Two: 2, 5, 6, 7

Leg Three: 1, 3, 10, 11, 13

Leg Four: 2, 7, 8, 9, 10

$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2022, 09:45 AM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Sunday, July 24, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-7-10
Race 2: 4-8-7-1
Race 3: 4-9-6-1
Race 4: 4-7-5-1
Race 5: 2-8-11-4
Race 6: 2-10-4-6
Race 7: 7-2-1-5
Race 8: 3-7-10-1
Race 9: 4-9-5-1
Race 10: 8-1-2-5
Race 11: 3-7-10-4
**Most Likely Winner: Royal Squeeze #4 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Danger Ranger #3 (Race 1)**