Wednesday 8/17/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Mountaineer Park Picks - Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Race 1: 4-7-8-6
Race 2: 3-8-6-5
Race 3: 7-6-4-5
Race 4: 6-4-5-1
Race 5: 2-7-4-3
Race 6: 4-3-6-2
Race 7: 6-7-2-3
Race 8: 4-2-7-5
**Most Likely Winner: Vintage Kitten (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Alpha Dog (Race 7)**

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Penn National Picks - Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Race 1: 5-4-7-8
Race 2: 8-9-3-6
Race 3: 8-2-4-5
Race 4: 1-7-6-2
Race 5: 3-6-2-4
Race 6: 6-8-2-4
Race 7: 6-5-3-1
Race 8: 2-1-3-5
**Most Likely Winner: The Best Candy (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Runningforhome (Race 1)**

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Canterbury betting tips & quaddie selections | 17/8/2022
August 15, 2022 3:48 pm.
Nicholas Lloyd

What Canterbury Races
Where Canterbury Park Racecourse – King St, Canterbury NSW 2193
When Wednesday, August 17, 2022
First Race 1:25pm AEST
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There are seven races to be run and won at Canterbury Park on Wednesday, and HorseBetting’s New South Wales racing analyst is confident he has found you a couple of winners. The track is rated a Heavy 9 at the time of writing, but fine weather could see an upgrade before the first. The rail is in the true position for the entire course, and the meeting gets underway at 1:25pm AEST.
Canterbury Best Bet – Ambassadors

There are a couple of smart three-year-olds going around in the opening race of the day, including the likes of Northern Beaches, London, Nolan and Scientist. Another promising colt in the race is the Peter & Paul Snowden-trained Ambassadors. When sixth on debut behind Shailailed at this track and distance in May, the son of Zoustar didn’t have much galloping room for the 1200m journey and was squeezed out inside the final furlong. Of the five horses from that maiden to have raced again since, there has been one winner and a couple of unlucky placegetters, so it was a handy enough form reference. The Snowdens have trialled this horse twice now, winning both when caught three wide. In his most recent trial, Ambassadors wore blinkers for the first time, which looked to really sharpen him up, so we are pleased to see them on for the first on race day. He should get the run of the race from barrier three under Sam Clipperton and take plenty of beating.
Best Bet

Race 1 – Silk #4 Ambassadors (3)

3yo Colt | T: Peter & Paul Snowden | J: Sam Clipperton (57kg)

$11 with Ladbrokes
Canterbury Next Best – Hell I Am

John O’Shea’s three-year-old Hell I Am should just be too good for Benchmark 72 field. The son of Hellbent won well first-up over 1100m here on a Heavy 10 despite a betting drift, before tackling a strong 2YO Handicap at the end of the season at Rosehill. He finished fourth that day, less than five lengths behind Troach, who was beaten just over a length in the Listed Rosebud on Saturday. Hell I Am comes back to midweek company now and will tackle the older horses with just 55kg on his back. With William Pike in the saddle from barrier one, this gelding will be allowed to roll along with the blinkers coming off for the first time. He has shown he has the ability; now he just needs to put it all together.
Next Best

Race 5 – Silk #11 Hell I Am (1)

3yo Gelding | T: John O’Shea | J: William Pike (55kg)

$5.50 with Neds
Next Best Again at Canterbury – Roots

There is a fair chance that Roots has left Chris Waller scratching his head a little bit. The mare by Press Statement has shown plenty of promise in her seven-start career, but when she looked an Oaks contender, she didn’t seem to get the trip – despite every indication that she would. In two first-up runs, Roots has been too good for her rivals, with both of those wins – her only wins, for that matter – coming over 1200m. After a recent barrier trial at Rosehill, we are keen to be with the talented galloper. She got back in the ruck in the 900m barrier trial last Friday but worked through the line brilliantly, giving every indication that she’s ready to go. She has to carry 60.5kg, but she is well and truly good enough to win this – provided she doesn’t get dead and buried from barrier one.
Next Best Again

Race 6 – Silk #2 Roots (1)

4yo Mare | T: Chris Waller | J: James McDonald (60.5kg)

$3.10 with Palmerbet
Wednesday quaddie picks for Canterbury
Canterbury quadrella selections

Wednesday, August 17, 2022

1-3
3-5-6-11
1-2-5-9
1-2

Investment: $64 for 100%

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Cranbourne racing tips & quaddie | Wednesday, August 17
August 16, 2022 9:34 am.
Brendan Bunworth

What Cranbourne Races
Where Cranbourne Turf Club – Grant St, Cranbourne VIC 3977
When Wednesday, August 17, 2022
First Race 12:25pm AEST

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Horse racing returns to Cranbourne on Wednesday with gallopers to be running on a predicted Heavy 9 surface. Race one, a maiden, gets us underway at 12:25pm AEST, with the last of eight going off at 4:30pm. The quaddie starts at race five, which is scheduled for 2:45pm.
CRANBOURNE BEST BET: BOTANY

Peter Moody and Luke Nolen combine with a horse who won well when backed on debut before finding it a bit hard at Caulfield last start. Since then Botany has been spelled, and we think Moody will have her ready for this. She has no real form to speak of on Heavy ground but did run sixth of eight in a trial a few weeks ago, although she was never really asked to do much. Her last trial was one against a few that looked to have promise -Squizzy Mizzy and Millane in particular – and she looked like she belonged, running fourth of seven, again not really pushed along. Rich Divinity for Ken Keys and Craig Newitt is one from one, and punters will have to keep an eye or ear out for mail on this one on the morning of the race.
Best Bet

Race 4 – Botany silks#5 Botany (5)

4yo Mare | T: Peter Moody | J: Luke Nolen (57.5kg)

$4 with Bet365
NEXT BEST AT CRANBOURNE: PORT PHILIP

Julius Sandhu presents this gelding by Camelot and Aymara. Second up from a spell, he is a big chance in this maiden. Last start he ran sixth of 14 on the Heavy but was beaten less than two lengths in what was a pretty good effort first up. Before his rest he almost broke his maiden but was beaten by a nose by Fearentless. Sandhu has only had this guy for a month and will be starting to work him out after taking him from the Robert Hickmott stable. The Awesome Son drops in class and might be worth following into the race on the home turn.
Next Best

Race 1 – Port Philip silks#4 Port Philip (1)

5yo Gelding | T: Julius Sandhu | J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg)

$3.40 with Neds
CRANBOURNE VALUE BET: HOPKINS

This horse is pretty hard to catch, but he does go well in the wet. On Heavy ground last race at Sandown Hillside he plugged away, as he often does, down the outside for fourth after settling well back. That’s his racing pattern, though, and at Cranbourne he will probably need to take off at the 500m mark for jockey Craig Newitt. During April and May he raced very well on rain-affected ground for two wins and a second, and after a recent freshen up we think he can produce his best here at each-way odds. Barrier one isn’t a huge advantage for this horse, but at least he should get some cover in the run. His stablemate Flossing will be one of the hardest to beat.
Best Value

Race 7 – Hopkins silks#6 Hopkins (1)

5yo Gelding | T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young | J: Craig Newitt (59.5kg)

$9 with Palmerbet
Cranbourne quadrella selections

Wednesday, August 17, 2022

2-3-4-7-8-13
1-2-7
2-5-6
1-6-7

Investment: $162 for 100%

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Wednesday’s Ipswich best bets & quaddie | 17/8/2022
August 16, 2022 2:38 pm.
Nicholas Lloyd

What Ipswich Races
Where Ipswich Turf Club – 219 Brisbane Rd, Bundamba QLD 4304
When Wednesday, August 17, 2022
First Race 12:33pm AEST
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HorseBetting’s Queensland racing analyst presents you with his best bets, value bet and quaddie selections for Wednesday’s eight-race metropolitan card at Ipswich. The track is rated a Soft 5 and the rail is out 6m from the 1100m to the Winning Post and then 4m for the remainder of the course. The first of eight races is scheduled for 12:33pm AEST.
Best Bet at Ipswich – Our Armistice

Steven O’Dea & Matthew Hoysted combine in race three with four-year-old mare Our Armistice. The daughter of in-form stallion Shalaa has had three starts in Brisbane, finishing fourth twice and most recently running into third at Eagle Farm. Now having her fourth start for both her career and the preparation, the stable have opted to apply Blinkers for the first time, which should sharpen her up nicely. From barrier six, Our Armistice will get the right run in transit just midfield with cover, and with the ‘Queen of Ipswich’, Samantha Collett, in the saddle, she should go very close to getting her maiden out of the way.
Best Bet

Race 3 – Silk #5 Our Armistice (6)

4yo Mare | T: Steven O’Dea & Matthew Hoysted | J: Samantha Collett (57kg)

$5.50 with Ladbrokes
Next Best at Ipswich – A Call From Heaven

Tony Gollan and Ryan Maloney combine in the fourth with four-year-old mare A Call From Heaven, who is lining up in her second run for the preparation. In her first-up run, she got a long way back on a leader-dominated day and chased hard to be beaten just under a length by subsequent winner Beaux Rumble on a Soft 6 over 1200m. Every bit of that run suggested she wanted a bit further, as her breeding suggests, so the step out to 1350m should be ideal. In her maiden win over this distance at Doomben on February 16, A Call From Heaven led all of the way, so Maloney is going to have a few options from the wide gate – either cross and lead, or go back and run on like she did first-up. Either way, this is a suitable race for this mare.
Next Best

Race 5 – Silk #11 A Call From Heaven (8)

4yo Mare | T: Tony Gollan | J: Ryan Maloney (57kg)

$4.80 with Bet365
Next Best Again at Ipswich – Chief Artie

Chief Artie was impressive when resuming behind Incentivise’s half brother Argyle Lane at the Sunshine Coast on August 7, sticking on gamely to run second. The Rob Heathcote-trained four-year-old has some really solid form, breaking his maiden back in December last year when beating subsequent Group 3 Winx Guineas winner, Majestic Colour, by almost three lengths. The son of Flying Artie had a trial back in February, but he didn’t make it to the races following that, so it was encouraging to see him win a Doomben trial on August 2. Les Tilley rode him in that trial and in his first-up run, so it is good to see he has stuck with the horse. Chief Artie can be handy from barrier three and give this race a real shake.
Next Best Again

Race 7 – Silk #5 Chief Artie (3)

4yo Gelding | T: Robert Heathcote | J: Les Tilley (57.5kg)

$3.20 with Neds
Friday quaddie picks for Ipswich
Ipswich quadrella selections

Wednesday, August 17, 2022

1-2-6-7-11
4-10-11
2-5-6
2-4-7

Investment: $135 for 100%

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
PURCHASE
Finger Lakes - Race 4

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 4-5) * PICK 5 WITH CARRYOVER (50 Cent Minimum: Races 4-5-6-7-8)


Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 2:31P
FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * DEE BO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FORWARD MOTION: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DOUBLE VISION: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). RORY MOR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse rank s in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
DEE BO
3/2

4/1
2
FORWARD MOTION
3/1

7/1
4
DOUBLE VISION
7/2

7/1
5
RORY MOR
12/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
FORWARD MOTION
2

3/1
Front-runner
84

82

94.4

67.4

60.9
4
DOUBLE VISION
4

7/2
Front-runner
86

76

78.8

70.2

64.2
3
ACALTEQUE
3

9/2
Front-runner
84

73

77.4

65.8

56.3
6
DEE BO
6

3/2
Alternator/Front-runner
82

83

75.0

78.2

76.2
5
RORY MOR
5

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
88

74

63.6

67.6

59.1
1
DR. LLOYD
1

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
82

79

55.4

57.8

48.8

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Saratoga

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Stakes - 19.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $150000 Class Rating: 110

JONATHAN SHEPPARD H. - GRADE 1 TO BE RUN OVER NATIONAL FENCES A HURDLE HANDICAP FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THIS IS A NON-LASIX RACE PURSUANT TO 4043.2 E) LASIX NOT PERMITTED WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME. CLOSED SATURDAY, AUGUST 6, 2022 WITH 9 NOMINATIONS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 SNAP DECISION 6/5
# 8 HISTORIC HEART (IRE) 12/1
# 1 DOWN ROYAL 9/2

SNAP DECISION gets the edge as the wager in here. The Lasix change (now going off Lasix) may spark a turnaround for this gelding. Put up a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this group. DOWN ROYAL - Has to be used in the exotic bets. Dalton and Dalton have won 23 percent of their races giving this pony a very strong chance.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 80

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 TEMPUS 5/2
# 3 INCITATUS 8/1
# 4 LET PEACE PREVAIL 3/1

TEMPUS looks to be a very strong contender. Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 77 Equibase speed fig which is one of the most respectable in this group. Could best this field based on the speed figure - 80 - of his last affair. Must be given a shot given the class of races run recently. INCITATUS - This racer is prominent in this field in earnings per start at the distance/surface. This equine has some longshot angles going for him. LET PEACE PREVAIL - With Martinez controlling the reins on him, this gelding will most likely be able to break out early in here. His 65 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figures in this race.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 3:58pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,700 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#9 MI CRESCENDO (ML=7/2)
#5 OLIVIA'S JOY (ML=5/1)


MI CRESCENDO - You'll be making money right and left by turning your gambling cash onto this jock/handler combination. She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. OLIVIA'S JOY - Took a big class drop last out, and I think she may have needed it. Gilliam enters her at a similar level today. I'd expect an improved performance. This entrant ran off the board at Churchill Downs last time around the track on a track listed as good. She should improve in this event on a fast track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 HAPPY OUT (ML=5/2), #2 IRISH KITTEN (ML=9/2),

HAPPY OUT - Difficult to bet on any less than sharp equine in a short distance affair if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. IRISH KITTEN - Should be difficult for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #9 MI CRESCENDO to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #4 - Post: 2:20pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,500 Class Rating: 87

Rating:

#9 OL' L B (ML=3/1)
#4 PLAY BALL (ML=5/2)
#1A MISTER MOBIL (ML=4/1)


OL' L B - Dropping in class rating points from his Jul 18th race at Thistledown. Based on that knowledge, I will give this horse the advantage. I like that most recent contest on July 18th at Thistledown where he ended up first. PLAY BALL - This horse's last race was at Thistledown in a race with an Equibase class figure of 93. Dropping considerably in class rating this time around puts him in a solid position in this field. The rider and trainer combination have a lucrative ROI when they work together. This gelding has been working well, and the recent bullet work says he's primed for a nice effort today. MISTER MOBIL - Chavez rode this thoroughbred for the first time in the last race and comes right back this time. This campaigner coming off a solid race in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my book.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SHOW SLIDING HOME (ML=4/1), #7 PAT'S KARMA (ML=6/1), #6 SWEET LEMON DROP (ML=8/1),

SHOW SLIDING HOME - Tough to support since I think a 'performance bounce' is in the works today. PAT'S KARMA - Tough to support any vulnerable equine in a sprint event if he hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. SWEET LEMON DROP - Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any kind of closing ability on July 25th.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - OL' L B - With the highest last speed rating of 99, this gelding looks exceptional against these thoroughbreds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #9 OL' L B to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/17/22, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
08/17/22,SAR,8,1M [Dirt] 1:34:04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $95,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.;Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Silken Dollar	3/1	Saez L	Schosberg Richard E.	SWL	193	39.90	1.24/$1
097.4481	4	Sunset Louise	9/2	Ortiz J L	Levine Bruce N.	FE	193	39.90	1.24/$1
096.5804	1	U Guys Are No Fun	5/2	Rosario J	Englehart Jeremiah C.	JT	193	39.90	1.24/$1
094.3553	5	Caramocha	7/2	Castellano J	Friedman Mitchell E.		193	39.90	1.24/$1
094.0073	3	Gringotts	12/1	McCarthy T	Klesaris Robert P.		193	39.90	1.24/$1
093.0004	6	Mia Bea Star	3/1	Alvarado J	Persaud Randi	C	193	39.90	1.24/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 40.82, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5519
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Not Second Start

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
6.	Sam Casey	MLB – Athletics +140
7.	Henry Brown Sports	MLB – Twins -1.5
8.	Winning Big Sports	MLB – Nationals under 9
9.	Lou Panelli	MLB – Braves +135
10.	Platinum Info Club	MLB – Giants -1.5

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
11.	William E. Stockton	MLB – Yankees -130
12.	Vincent Pioli	MLB – Athletics +140
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	MLB – Red Sox -150
14.	SCORE	MLB – Angels under 8.5
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – White Sox +130

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
16.	Chicago Sports Group	MLB – Guardians -1.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	MLB – Blue Jays over 8.5
18.	VIP Action	MLB – Brewers under 8
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Nationals +135
20.	LV Sports Commission	MLB – Reds under 8.5

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
21.	NY Players Club	MLB – Cardinals -1.5
22.	Fred Callahan	MLB – Giants -1.5
23.	LV Private CEO Club	MLB – Yankees -130
24.	Michigan Sports	MLB – Nationals +135
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – Guardians over 7.5

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Angels +165
2.	Gameday Network	MLB – Nationals +135
3.	Sports Action 365	MLB – Reds under 8.5
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	MLB – Yankees -130
5.	VegasSI.com	MLB – Red Sox -150

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Ralph Michaels

MLB

Rays/Yankees under 8 (-113) - Kluber/German must start

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: San Diego w/Clevinger -135 over Miami

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: TAMPA BAY/NY YANKEES OVER the total of 8 runs