Saturday 8/20/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358318

    #76
    Woodbine Tip Sheet - August 20

    WOODBINE TIPS - SATURDAY, AUGUST 20, 2022
    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
    RACE #1 $126,800 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 4-1 5 Last Call R M Hernandez
    PLACE 2-1 3 Dolce Sopresa J Stein
    SHOW 3-1 2 Fearless Angel P Husbands
    WILD CARD 15-1 8 Our Liberty Belle E Flores
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 9 All for Honor A A Gallardo
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Fastn Sexy L Salles
    * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
    RACE #2 $23,500 CLAIMING
    1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:29 PM ET
    BEST BET: #6 IMA DAREDEVIL
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 6 Ima Daredevil K Kimura
    PLACE 3-1 8 Gabby Squared R M Hernandez
    SHOW 10-1 3 Bella Nina D Fukumoto
    WILD CARD 12-1 1 Teachers Pet S Civaci
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 9 Sparkle Sammy P Husbands
    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 7 Big Band Luzziann L Contreras
    * EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX
    RACE #3 $126,800 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:59 PM ET
    BEST BET: #6 COURTLY RO
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 6 Courtly Ro K Kimura
    PLACE 6-1 3 Kantbackoff L Contreras
    SHOW 3-1 5 Star Candy P Husbands
    WILD CARD 4-1 4 Mischief Lily R M Hernandez
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Meritamen J Stein
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Mrs. C D Moran
    * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
    RACE #4 $23,500 CLAIMING
    6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:29 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 9 Artful Ballerina E Wilson
    PLACE 6-1 3 Veery K Kimura
    SHOW 8-1 2 Cleomenes L Contreras
    WILD CARD 3-1 7 Kerics Beauty A A Gallardo
    ALTERNATE 1 20-1 10 Veri Unified E Flores
    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 6 Blazing Sky D Carroll
    * EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
    RACE #5 $64,300 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    5 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 3 Souper Sunday L Contreras
    PLACE 5-2 5 Ancient Spirit R M Hernandez
    SHOW 3-1 8 Hot Cargo J Stein
    WILD CARD 10-1 6 Canadiansweetheart J Anderson
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Ready to Orbit A A Gallardo
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Chromes Angel J I Alderson
    * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
    RACE #6 $125,000 STAKES
    6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:37 PM ET
    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 CATCH A GLIMPSE STAKES
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 11 Wickenheiser L Contreras
    PLACE 4-1 5 Collecting Flatter K Kimura
    SHOW 15-1 2 Cairo Consort L Salles
    WILD CARD 5-1 8 Happy Valentine J Stein
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 12 Alternate Rock R M Hernandez
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Grand Oak D Moran
    * EXACTA: 11-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/5/11 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX
    COMMENTS: WICKENHEISER won her debut weaving through traffic. A cleaner trip could make it easier this time. COLLECTING FLATTER is undefeated in two and neither was all that close. CAIRO CONSORT won her last with improved race internals from beginning to end. HAPPY VALENTINE won her debut with a consistent effort from start to finish.
    RACE #7 $108,700 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:09 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 4 Rosebuds Hope S Jones
    PLACE 3-1 3 Peace Seeker E Flores
    SHOW 4-1 2 Sweet Serenade E Wilson
    WILD CARD 8-1 1 Ann of Cleves D Fukumoto
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Youens K Kimura
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Saratoga Vision J Hoyte
    * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
    RACE #8 $125,000 STAKES
    6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:42 PM ET
    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 SOARING FREE STAKES
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 6-1 7 Philip My Dear K Kimura
    PLACE 5-2 3 Poulin in O T L Contreras
    SHOW 10-1 2 One for Chap D Carroll
    WILD CARD 3-1 1 Battle Strike R M Hernandez
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Chiseler P Husbands
    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 5 Ninetyfour Expos E Wilson
    * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
    COMMENTS: PHILIP MY DEAR won his debut splitting horses and has some good works between starts. POULIN IN OT is undefeated in a pair of easy wins. ONE FOR CHAP won his last with improved early pace. BATTLE STRIKE rides the high win rate rail and goes grass for the first time.
    RACE #9 $101,200 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
    BEST BET: #4 MALIBU EDGE
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 4 Malibu Edge S R Bahen
    PLACE 6-1 1 H C Holiday K Kimura
    SHOW 8-1 2 Luckman L Salles
    WILD CARD 5-2 5 Rocket Joe Copper S Civaci
    ALTERNATE 1 7-2 7 Shangassah L Contreras
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Leslie Chow E Wilson
    * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
    RACE #10 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
    6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-2 11 Mia and Me S R Bahen
    PLACE 4-1 4 Executive Chairman J Stein
    SHOW 6-1 6 The Coachman P Husbands
    WILD CARD 3-1 2 Mystic Point S Jones
    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 10 Mighty Pele E Wilson
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Doinggoodtrouble L Salles
    * EXACTA: 11-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/6/11 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358318

      #77
      Monmouth Park Tip Sheet - August 20

      MONMOUTH PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, AUGUST 20, 2022
      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
      RACE #1 $10,500 CLAIMING
      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:15 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-2 5 Baby Boomer S Camacho
      PLACE 7-2 8 Great Blake P Lopez
      SHOW 3-1 7 Trilogy A Hernandez
      WILD CARD 6-1 1 Analyzethisandthat A S Worrie
      ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 Ahsad J A Vargas Jr.
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Victors Dynasty L D Rivera
      * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
      RACE #2 $30,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:42 PM ET
      BEST BET: #4 WEDONTBELIEVEHER
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 7-2 4 Wedontbelieveher A A Rodriguez
      PLACE 3-1 6 Above Par S Camacho
      SHOW 4-1 1 Ray Arewethereyet R Mitchell
      WILD CARD 5-2 2 Midtown Rose P Lopez
      ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Lady Zeta A Hernandez
      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 3 D tiger Lily S Marin
      * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
      RACE #3 $25,000 CLAIMING
      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:09 PM ET
      BEST BET: #5 VIKRAM
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-2 5 Vikram P Lopez
      PLACE 6-1 3 Cajun Mandate S Camacho
      SHOW 3-1 1 Ridgepointe D Centeno
      WILD CARD 3-1 2 Yo Nessroundonkern A A Rodriguez
      ALTERNATE 1 3-1 6 Lord Berrier H R Diaz Jr.
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Caerus N Juarez
      * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
      RACE #4 $55,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
      5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:35 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 6-1 5 Exclusive Rose J Torres
      PLACE 5-2 8 Navy Goat H R Diaz Jr.
      SHOW 6-1 3 Gun of Gold M Rowland
      WILD CARD 7-2 7 Explosive Exchange P Lopez
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Shes So Bearrish J C Ferrer
      ALTERNATE 2 4-1 1 Tapestry Colors A A Rodriguez
      * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
      RACE #5 $30,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:03 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 2-1 1 Rattrapante M Rowland
      PLACE 4-1 6 Itsy Bitsy Betty A Jimenez
      SHOW 6-1 4 Empire G R F Moya
      WILD CARD 5-2 2 Joe Mike Jim C E Rojas
      ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Clout Chaser D Haddock
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Save the Flag N Juarez
      * EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
      RACE #6 $14,000 CLAIMING
      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:31 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 6-1 5 Magic Surprise J Rendon
      PLACE 3-1 9 Lulis Dancer S Camacho
      SHOW 5-1 8 Still Doing Time A Hernandez
      WILD CARD 6-1 1 R Girl Faith R Mitchell
      ALTERNATE 1 7-2 2 Little Red Button J Panaijo
      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Thefabulous Moolah A A Rodriguez
      * EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX
      RACE #7 $5,000 CLAIMING
      1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:58 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 2-1 2 Lady Fox A Hernandez
      PLACE 6-1 3 Seeds of Time R F Moya
      SHOW 3-1 5 Holmdel Park P Lopez
      WILD CARD 6-1 6 Sheknowsthedrill L M Ocasio
      ALTERNATE 1 7-2 7 Ten Pin Ally J C Ferrer
      ALTERNATE 2 5-1 4 Rose E Holiday M Rowland
      * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
      RACE #8 $57,500 ALLOWANCE
      1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-2 5 There Are No Words A Jimenez
      PLACE 6-1 9 Montauk Summer A A Rodriguez
      SHOW 9-2 7 Agent Creed H R Diaz Jr.
      WILD CARD 5-1 8 Credit River S Camacho
      ALTERNATE 1 7-2 4 Due Vini P Lopez
      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Leo Monte J A Vargas Jr.
      * EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX
      RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES
      1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:54 PM ET
      ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 PHILIP H ISELIN STAKES GRADE III
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 9-5 3 Highly Motivated H R Diaz Jr.
      PLACE 8-5 1 Forza Di Oro P Lopez
      SHOW 20-1 4 Sagamore Mischief J Rendon
      WILD CARD 8-1 5 Ridin With Biden F Pennington
      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Informative D Haddock
      ALTERNATE 2 5-2 2 Promise Keeper S Camacho
      * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
      COMMENTS: HIGHLY MOTIVATED won his last and shows some amazing late pace from time to time. FORZA DI ORO is undefeated in two at the distance and rides the high hit rate rail. SAGAMORE MISCHIEF finished in the money eight of nine at Monmouth Park. RIDEN WITH BIDEN won his last by more than six lengths with consecutive triple digit speed numbers.
      RACE #10 $10,500 CLAIMING
      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-2 1 On the Couch P Lopez
      PLACE 5-1 8 Unleveraged J A Vargas Jr.
      SHOW 9-2 2 Til the End S Camacho
      WILD CARD 4-1 4 Birds Eye View J Rendon
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 10 Cabinet Pik R Mitchell
      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 9 Kitten Street A Hernandez
      * EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX
      RACE #11 $10,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
      1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:50 PM ET
      BEST BET: #3 ANOTHER SAUCY SIX
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 3-1 3 Another Saucy Six S Camacho
      PLACE 7-2 1 Dusted M Jimenez
      SHOW 12-1 5 Only Girl A Jimenez
      WILD CARD 5-2 6 War in Paradise A Hernandez
      ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 School of Thought N Juarez
      ALTERNATE 2 3-1 7 Freedoms Allure P Lopez
      * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358318

        #78
        Ellis Park Tip Sheet - August 20

        ELLIS PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, AUGUST 20, 2022
        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
        RACE #1 $30,000 CLAIMING
        1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 7-5 5 Absam A Beschizza
        PLACE 9-5 4 Highestdistinction B J Hernandez Jr.
        SHOW 6-5 7 Saqeel F Arrieta
        WILD CARD 6-1 2 Atta Boy Anthony T Canuto
        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1 Arties Lady R Miranda
        ALTERNATE 2 4-1 3 Shady McGee M Garcia
        * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
        RACE #2 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 7-5 4 Boxster R Bejarano
        PLACE 9-5 1A Rabbit Hound J Talamo
        SHOW 9-2 3 Route Runner V Cheminaud
        WILD CARD 15-1 2 Ghost Nation L Machado
        ALTERNATE 1 9-5 1 Mano Dura A Beschizza
        ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 McEnroe G Corrales
        * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
        RACE #3 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:46 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 5-2 4 Ball Gown R Bejarano
        PLACE 7-2 8 Lady Pele B J Hernandez Jr.
        SHOW 6-1 3 Twentytwenty Hoax G Franco
        WILD CARD 9-2 2 Icy River G Corrales
        ALTERNATE 1 3-1 1 Merci Road M Garcia
        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Annies Kingdom C Miller
        * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
        RACE #4 $62,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
        1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:14 PM ET
        BEST BET: #3 SEARCH ENGINE
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 3 Search Engine E Morales
        PLACE 7-2 4 Beachwalker A Beschizza
        SHOW 9-5 6 Creed R Bejarano
        WILD CARD 6-1 1 Simovitch M Garcia
        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Peekacho C J Lanerie
        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Super Constitution J Graham
        * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
        RACE #5 $21,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
        1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:42 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 2-1 3 Dynablue G Corrales
        PLACE 8-5 9 Pledgeofallegiance B J Hernandez Jr.
        SHOW 4-1 1 Courageously M Murrill
        WILD CARD 8-1 5 Optimus Kat R Bejarano
        ALTERNATE 1 20-1 8 Chasin Charlie E Herrforth
        ALTERNATE 2 5-2 7 Nip N Tuck F Arrieta
        * EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX
        RACE #6 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:10 PM ET
        BEST BET: #5 COLLECTED GLORY
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 5 Collected Glory F Arrieta
        PLACE 4-1 3 Storm Rate R Mojica Jr.
        SHOW 10-1 10 Bling R Bejarano
        WILD CARD 12-1 8 Mystify J E Lopez
        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Chanel Point M Michel
        ALTERNATE 2 9-2 6 Holy Foley B J Hernandez Jr.
        * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 3/5/10 BOX, 3/8/10 BOX
        RACE #7 $61,000 ALLOWANCE
        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
        BEST BET: #4 SILK TRADE
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 7-2 4 Silk Trade J Talamo
        PLACE 5-2 2 Uber Kirk C J Lanerie
        SHOW 20-1 8 Title Shot F Arrieta
        WILD CARD 8-1 7 Flags Up R Bejarano
        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 1 Dr. Perry V Cheminaud
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Marching B J Hernandez Jr.
        * EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
        RACE #8 $21,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
        1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 12-1 8 Social Engagement V Cheminaud
        PLACE 12-1 7 Mission Belle C A Emigh
        SHOW 4-1 3 Legerity C J Lanerie
        WILD CARD 8-1 9 Fabricate G Corrales
        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Lets Duet B J Hernandez Jr.
        ALTERNATE 2 3-1 4 Treaty of Paris A Beschizza
        * EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358318

          #79
          Del Mar Hotlist - August 20

          August 19, 2022

          Today’s Del Mar Hot List races to watch
          Saturday, Aug. 20, 2022

          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
          Hot List Key:
          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
          1st race – (2) Echosmith (B) got bumped and steadied early and then had to race wide. (5) Breakfast Ride won a starter allowance at Del Mar last time. (6) Rhetoric gets the blinkers off as he stretches out for Bob Baffert. (4) Lammas was fourth in his American debut with Lasix and blinkers. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Daily Doubles: 2 with 2, 3, 4, 5.
          2nd race – (4) Always At Ease (B) raced greenly in her debut and trainer Desormeaux does well with his second-time starters. (3) Bold Connection had a troubled trip in her second start and the blinkers come off. (2) Queenzy set the pace when she moved from dirt to turf and now stretches out. (5) La Paloma Blanca will make her second start for Peter Miller who wins at 25% with his second-time runners. Betting strategy: Daily Doubles: 4 with 1, 2, 3, 5. Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.
          3rd race – (3) Tapit Doux was a front-end winner at this level last time. (2) Keepmeinthe Moment won a starter allowance two races back and now drops in for a tag. (1) Loveherheart won a maiden special weight at Santa Anita last year, tried stakes racing, and now drops in for a tag for the first time. (5) Never Sway moves back to the main track where she broke her maiden for $50,000. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1, 2, 3, 5.
          6th race – (9) Gillian Elizabeth has two wins from her last three starts in a $50,000 maiden claimer, a starter allowance, and a first-level allowance. (4) Sweet and Cheeky won her last two starts in a similar spot after a maiden breaker. (6) Founder’s Day also won her most recent race in a starter allowance. (5) Jimmyssmokedcarrot is a consistent performer at this level. Betting strategy: Exacta box: 4, 5, 6, 9. Trifecta box: 4, 5, 6, 9.
          10th race – (2) Maeve of Connaught will make her American debut after a second and third in Ireland last year. (6) Vivando was second in her last two starts, one at Del Mar and one at Santa Anita for John Sadler. (11) Albayaader had a pair of troubled trips in her two American starts (3) Leisurewear has early speed which should serve her well in this field. Betting strategy: Exacta box: 2, 3, 6, 11. Trifecta box: 2, 3, 6, 11.
          No. Name Letter/
          last race
          Today's Race Comments
          (2) Echosmith B on 7/24 1 Bumped and steadied early and then raced wide.
          (4) Always At Ease B on 7/30 2 Raced greenly in debut and steadied off heels.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358318

            #80
            Saratoga Hotlist - August 20

            August 18, 2022

            Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, August 20, 2022 at Saratoga
            By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
            Hot List Key:
            A:
            A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
            *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
            *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
            * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
            1st race [Md 40000, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (4) Floki’s Flight (B) was rank going into the first turn and went extremely wide. (1) Fazaro got his best speed figure last time when he moved back to the turf, stretched out, and then finished second. (2) Sebaray also ran his best race when he made his first start on the grass and rallied for third. (3) Billy Price will make his career debut for George Weaver whose barn has started to win races at this Saratoga meeting.
            5th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (6) Activist Investing (A) was sent off as the favorite in his debut but lost all chance when a bolting horse forced him to go almost to the outer rail in the first turn. (1) Coach Petro (A) had the lead and finished second in his first career start for Brad Cox well ahead of the rest of the field. (7) Wideright was rank in his first start for Bill Mott, bore out badly, and had to check. (5) Rarified Flair had difficult trips in his first two starts. Last time on the turf at the Spa he finished third after getting blocked heading into the stretch.
            8th race [Lake Placid (G2), 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (3) Eminent Victor (A) stumbled at the start of the Lake George (G3) at Saratoga and was most likely the best horse in the race when she finished second by a nose for Chad Brown. (1) With The Moonlight won the Saratoga Oaks (G3) just two weeks ago for Charlie Appleby following a second in the Belmont Oaks (G1). (4) Consumer Spending won her first two starts of the year in New York stakes and then was third in the Belmont Oaks. She is also from the Brown barn. (5) Dolce Zel is the yet another worthy contender for Chad as she was the winner of the Lake George while overcoming a troubled trip.
            9th race [Smart N Fancy, 5
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358318

              #81
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Gulfstream Park - Race #12 - Post: 6:23pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 73

              Rating:

              #7 MEET THE BEAUTY (ML=4/1)
              #2 BE NAUGHTY WITH ME (ML=20/1)
              #9 GOLDEN ISLE (ML=3/1)
              #10 FOR EVER OURS (ML=8/1)


              MEET THE BEAUTY - This thoroughbred coming off a sharp race in the last 30 days is a serious competitor in my book. Perez comes to saddle up after getting to know the filly in the last event. Strong return on investment for this jock and handler tandem. Dropped in class last race out, and keeps in that lower class level in this field. A good sign this equine is comfortable and ready to go. BE NAUGHTY WITH ME - The jockey and trainer combination have a favorable ROI when they combine forces. Filly is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a nice effort today. Look at this pattern of improvement. 26/48/52 are the last three speed figs. GOLDEN ISLE - Likes to go to the head of the pack and the fact that today is a shorter trip should help. This animal has increased her speed ratings in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking notice of. FOR EVER OURS - A racer coming back this promptly after a nice outing is a good signal. This filly has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Barboza. Better watch out for this angle. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MUGURUZA (ML=7/2), #12 BUNNYNOTBEAST (ML=6/1),

              MUGURUZA - When scrutinizing today's Equibase class figure, she will have to garner a better speed figure than in the last race to compete in this dirt sprint. BUNNYNOTBEAST - This filly hasn't had any in the money efforts in sprint contests in the last sixty days. This animal just hasn't looked sharp lately.

              GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - FOR EVER OURS - Posting a better speed rating each of her last couple of events. This filly is a prime candidate to win today.




              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #7 MEET THE BEAUTY to win if you can get odds of 9/2 or more
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Pass
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

              SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
              [2,7] with [2,7,9,10] with [2,7,9,10] with [1,2,7,9,10,11] with [1,2,7,9,10,11] Total Cost: $72
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358318

                #82
                Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | August 20, 2022

                August 18, 2022

                Race 8 at Del Mar | Saturday August 20 | Post Time 8:34 PM Eastern
                Del Mar Oaks | Purse $300,000| One Mile and One-Eighth on Turf | Fillies, Three Year Olds
                Analysis and top contenders:
                Spendarella (11) has always been cut out to be an exceptional horse on the grass, being a daughter of Breeders
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358318

                  #83
                  Analysis and top contenders:

                  Spendarella (11) has always been cut out to be an exceptional horse on the grass, being a daughter of Breeders’ Cup Mile winner Karakontie. She won the first three races of her career, one month apart in February, March and April of this year, the latter two stakes races in which she earned 104 and 102 Equibase speed figures, which are exceptional for a three year old filly that early in the year. In the first of the two stakes wins Spendarella led from start to finish beating 10 other horses in the Herecomesthebride Stakes then one month later she relaxed off the pace to draw off late in the Appalachian Stakes. Sent to England for the prestigious Coronation Stakes, Spendarella wasn’t disgraced one bit when second behind the strong four length winner, gamely holding second by a nose and earning a field high 112 figure. She’s been working very well since her return and jockey Tyler Gaffalione, who was aboard for the Appalachian, has the mount so we can expect a top effort good enough to win.

                  Txope (9) is the biggest threat to Spendarella based on her win when last seen (in June) winning the German One Thousand Guineas and earning a 111 Equibase speed figure right there with the 112 Spendarella earned in the Coronation Stakes. She’s now run 12 times, finishing first or second in eight of those, the last eight being stakes races as well. In training at Del Mar since the end of July, Txope (FR) has put in three consistent workouts on the Del Mar turf and appears to be handling it well. As such, she should be in a great position in the last quarter mile and has a big shot to add to her record in this year’s Del Mar Oaks.

                  In this full 14 horse field, with no also-eligibles, so barring any horses becoming sick all will run, I wouldn’t argue with cases to be made for many of the others, such as the one-two-three finishers of the San Clemente Stakes last month – Bellabel (2), Sixteen Arches (7) and Island of Love (3) or even the fourth place finisher in the race (beaten just a neck for third), Lady T (13). Cairo Memories (5) is also worth mentioning as she won the Providencia Stakes and Honeymoon Stakes back-to-back before a fifth place finish in the $1 million Belmont Oaks Invitational last month. Just the same, I think if this race was run 100 times, Spendarella or Txope would win about 66 times between them.



                  Win bets: Consider Spendarella (11) and Txope (9) at odds of 2 to 1 or more.

                  Note: Spendarella opens as the 8 to 5 morning line favorite so we will use exacta and trifecta tickets to make a profit if she wins.

                  Exactas: Box Spendarella (11) and Txope (9)

                  Spendarella (11) over Txope (9)

                  Spendarella (9) over ALL (this is the bet instead of a win bet at low odds)

                  Trifectas:

                  Spendarella (11) and Txope (9) over Spendarella (11) and Txope (9) over ALL

                  Spendarella (11) and Txope (9) over ALL over Spendarella (11) and Txope (9)
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