Saturday 8/27/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    Tipsheet: 2022 Travers Stakes
    J. Keeler Johnson

    A deep field of three-year-olds will square off over 1 1/4 miles in Saturday’s $1.25 million Travers S. (G1) at Saratoga. The fabled “Midsummer Derby” has drawn seven stakes winners, five graded winners, four Grade 1 winners, and two classic winners, so the list of viable contenders is long, and an excellent betting race awaits.
    Travers picks

    #6 Epicenter
    #8 Zandon
    #5 Artorius
    #1 Cyberknife

    Travers wagers

    $10 Trifecta: 6 with 8 with 1,5 ($20)
    $10 Trifecta: 6 with 1,5 with 8 ($20)

    Travers contenders

    #1 Cyberknife (7-2) parlayed a rail-skimming trip into a track-record victory in the Haskell S. (G1) last month, his second Grade 1 win of the year following a romp in the Arkansas Derby (G1). The improving son of Gun Runner has rebounded nicely from a surprising 18th-place finish in the Kentucky Derby (G1) and enters off a career-best 104 Brisnet Speed rating, so a top-three finish is within reach.

    #2 Rich Strike (10-1) shocked the world when he sprang an 80-1 upset in the Kentucky Derby, but the stretch-running longshot was aided by the fastest early pace in Derby history. Rich Strike subsequently finished sixth in the Belmont S. (G1), and while he’s trained nicely in the interim, Rich Strike figures to face a modest pace in the Travers and will have to prove he can bring his A-game without a hot tempo up front.

    #3 Ain’t Life Grand (20-1) has emerged as one of the best Iowa-bred runners in training, beating open three-year-olds in the Iowa Derby before trouncing Iowa-bred rivals by seven lengths in the Iowa Stallion S. But Ain’t Life Grand has yet to contest a graded stakes and ran down an apparent sprinter to win the Iowa Derby, suggesting the Travers will be a tougher test.

    #4 Gilded Age (30-1) has employed deep-closing tactics to place in a couple of stakes this year, finishing third in the Withers S. (G3) behind Early Voting and second in the Curlin S. behind Artorius. But Gilded Age was beaten by wide margins on both of those occasions, and Early Voting and Artorius are back for the Travers, so Gilded Age still has form to find against this caliber of competition.

    #5 Artorius (9-2) delivered a powerful performance to win the 1 1/8-mile Curlin S. at Saratoga last month, sweeping from the middle of the pack to trounce Gilded Age by 4 3/4 lengths. The Travers will obviously mark a much stiffer test of his talents, but Artorius has the pedigree to handle 1 1/4 miles (sire Arrogate set a track record in the 2016 Travers), and his rapidly improving profile suggests we haven’t seen his best yet.

    #6 Epicenter (7-5) placed second in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness S. (G1) while enduring deceptively tricky trips. He recently returned to the winner’s circle with a confident 1 1/2-length score in the 1 1/8-mile Jim Dandy S. (G2) at Saratoga, beating a deep field in the fast time of 1:48.99 over a slow track. Epicenter remains in strong form and looms as the horse to beat in the Travers.

    #7 Early Voting (8-1) surprisingly faltered to finish last of four in the Jim Dandy after carving out a modest pace, but two starts back the son of Gun Runner parlayed a pace-tracking trip into a 1 1/4-length victory over Epicenter in the Preakness. Early Voting is the only obvious pacesetter in the Travers field and may escape with an easy early lead, but his subpar showing in the Jim Dandy is a cause for pause. Was it a fluke, or does Early Voting dislike the tiring Saratoga main track?

    #8 Zandon (5-1) employed deep-closing tactics to win the Blue Grass S. (G1) and finish a game third in the Kentucky Derby, so it was interesting to see him switch to pace-tracking tactics in the Jim Dandy, where he ran second behind Epicenter. Zandon has actually finished behind Epicenter in all three of their meetings, and turning the tables will be tricky in the Travers, but a top-three finish is well within reach for this consistent and versatile colt.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Saturday, August 27

      By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

      Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Saturday's meetings at Goodwood, Beverley, Newmarket, Windsor, Redcar and Cartmel.

      Cartmel

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      2.50 Rich Dream

      3.25 Catchmeifyoucan

      4.00 Gladiatorial

      4.34 Tico Times

      5.05 Dee Star

      5.40 Vocal Duke

      6.10 Beeno

      GIMCRACK

      2.50 No Trouble

      3.25 Simply Red

      4.00 Jelski

      4.34 Mah Mate Bob

      5.05 Dee Star

      5.40 Jamacho

      6.10 Redwood Queen

      Northerner - 7.53 Burj Malinka (nb)


      Redcar

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      4.05 Bavardages

      4.41 Taritino

      5.15 Cite D’Or

      5.50 Star Shield

      6.20 Arrange

      6.50 Classy Al

      7.20 Cuppacoco

      7.50 Isle Of Dreams

      GIMCRACK

      4.05 Bavardages

      4.41 Indian Falcon

      5.15 Saleet

      5.50 Willard Creek

      6.20 Arrange

      6.50 Classy Al

      7.20 Primo

      7.50 Quercus

      Northerner - 4.05 Cianciana (nap); 5.50 Diamondonthehill (nb).


      Windsor

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      3.55 Cherish

      4.30 Chasseral

      5.02 Nanga Parbat

      5.34 Capote’s Dream

      6.05 Maksud

      6.35 Majestic Dawn (nb)

      7.05 Snapcracklepop

      7.35 Showman

      GIMCRACK

      3.55 Silver Bullet Lady

      4.30 Skysail

      5.02 Tobetso

      5.34 Zero Carbon

      6.05 Maksud

      6.35 Grocer Jack

      7.05 Espresso Freddo

      7.35 Tessy Lad

      Newmarket - 6.35 Grocer Jack (nap); 7.05 Kaatibb (nb).


      Goodwood

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      1.50 Fairy Cross

      2.25 Orbaan

      3.00 Hoo Ya Mal

      3.35 Mutasaabeq

      4.10 Keep Bidding

      4.45 Legendary Day

      5.20 Our Jester

      GIMCRACK

      1.50 Bright Diamond

      2.25 Tacarib Bay

      3.00 Hoo Ya Mal (nb)

      3.35 Mutasaabeq

      4.10 Lavender Beauty

      4.45 Legendary Day

      5.20 Our Jester



      Beverley

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      1.30 Majestic

      2.05 Kitsune Power

      2.40 Tis Marvellous (nap)

      3.10 Hey Mr

      3.45 Indian Sounds

      4.20 Cell Sa Beela

      4.54 Allo Arry

      5.29 Highlight Reel

      GIMCRACK

      1.30 It Just Takes Time

      2.05 Box To Box

      2.40 Korker

      3.10 Van Gerwen

      3.45 Cotai West

      4.20 Cell Sa Beela

      4.54 Bormida River

      5.29 Tromso



      Newmarket

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      1.35 The X O

      2.10 Wowzers

      2.45 Liberation Bay

      3.15 Summerghand

      3.50 Liverpool Knight

      4.25 Simply Sondheim

      4.58 Lipsink

      GIMCRACK

      1.35 Charyn

      2.10 Space Tracker

      2.45 Woolhampton (nap)

      3.15 Vadream

      3.50 Nahanni

      4.25 Oh It’s Saucepot

      4.58 Lipsink
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        Caulfield full racing tips & best bets | Saturday, August 27
        August 25, 2022 10:36 pm.
        James Herbert

        What Memsie Stakes Day 2022
        Where Caulfield Racecourse
        When Saturday, August 27, 2022
        First Race 12:25pm AEST
        Watch Live
        Ladbrokes Logo

        Visit Ladbrokes

        Racing heads to Caulfield on Saturday afternoon where the first Group 1 of the 2022/23 season in Victoria, the Memsie Stakes headlines the action from The Heath. With plenty of rain in Melbourne and the surrounding areas we are racing on a Heavy 8, with the rail in the true position the entire circuit.

        With plenty of quality thoroughbreds coming back, this looks a day where if you find two or three winners, you should be ending the day well in front.

        The first of nine races at Caulfield is set to jump at 12:25pm AEST.

        Keep reading for our free race-by-race preview and quaddie selections
        Race 1: BM78 Handicap (2000m)

        Opening races do not get much tougher than what greets punters at Caulfield on Saturday where a massive field of 15 stayers face the starter. Despite not having tasted success this campaign, the Danny O’Brien-trained Americain Angel has been there or thereabouts and strikes a winnable race this time around. She ran her to best on a firmer deck last time out when finishing third behind Barbie’s Fox and Rusutsu at the Caulfield 1600m. Americain Angel boasts a record of 7: 3-2-0 on rain-affected tracks, with those two placings coming on Heavy surfaces. She can handle the conditions and will be wary of getting trapped deep from barrier 14, but we anticipate Damian Lane will have her fighting out the finish.

        Selections:

        silks9
        AMERICAIN ANGEL

        Ladbrokes
        silks12
        STORM KING

        Bet365
        silks13
        HANAADY

        Neds
        silks2
        FIFTH POSITION

        Unibet

        Race 2: Mares BM90 Handicap (1400m)

        The Ken & Kasey Keys yard is low-flying at the moment and we are hoping Zimowy can keep her strong form going as well. The seven-year-old mare managed to beat a handy field at Flemington on August 6, where despite being trapped three wide with no cover, managed to finish the better and looks well placed to bring up back-to-back wins. She is a proven wet tracker having won four times and placed on a further four occasions when able to get her toe into the ground. Billy Egan sticks on board and from barrier five, the pair should gain a perfect run in transit and at a nice double figure quote with online Bookmakers, Zimowy looks a great bank builder early on.

        Selections:

        silks4
        ZIMOWY

        Ladbrokes
        silks9
        STARLIGHT SCOPE

        Bet365
        silks5
        LADY OF HONOUR

        Neds
        silks7
        SAIGON

        Unibet

        Race 3: BM78 Handicap (1400m)

        The Graheme Begg-trained Cardinal Gem is a model of consistency and looks well-placed by the stable, despite the competitive field he faces. He can be frustrating to back on a win basis for punters considering his horrid racing pattern of getting back upon settling and launching late to be deemed as an “eye-catcher” 75% of the time. However, with plenty of speed in this 1400m BM78, the race looks perfectly set up for Jordan Childs to have this bloke settled at the rear of the field and when asked for an effort, we anticipate he will sprout wings inside the final furlong and ultimately prove too hard to hold out at a nice price with Ladbrokes.

        Selections:

        silks14
        CARDINAL GEM

        Ladbrokes
        silks13
        ATTRACTABLE

        Bet365
        silks11
        EL ROCKO

        Neds
        silks6
        SO RISQUE

        Unibet

        Race 4: Handicap (1400m)

        Buffalo River gave a massive sight out in front in the P.B Lawrence Stakes last time out when beaten a half-length by the ever-impressive Mr Brightside. That was arguably one of his best performances on a firmer deck, as this bloke absolutely laps up the wet ground. He gets his preferred ground on Saturday boasting a remarkable record of 12: 6-3-1 on rain-affected going. He goes around with just 57kg on his back following Logan McNeil’s 3kg claim. In a race where he should gain an uncontested lead, Buffalo River should prove too hard to run down and looks to be one of the better bets of the day.

        Selections:

        silks2
        BUFFALO RIVER

        Ladbrokes
        silks3
        BANKERS CHOICE

        Bet365
        silks9
        GENTLEMAN ROY

        Neds
        silks12
        NICOLINI VITO

        Unibet

        Next Best

        Race 4 – Silk #2 Buffalo River (10)

        6yo Gelding | T: Mike Moroney | J: Logan McNeil (a3) (60kg)

        $6.50 with Bet365
        Race 5: H.D.F McNeil Stakes (1200m)

        Impressive last start Sandown maiden winner Aft Cabin is now one of the market elects for the Caulfield Guineas in October and a win on Saturday will further solidify his claim as the one to beat. The three-year-old colt out of the Godolphin yard should arguably be undefeated after two starts, but peaked on his run late on debut to be caught on the winning post. He backed that effort up with a dominant six-length win at Sandown on a Soft 5 back on August 10 and did so with plenty left in reserve. This is a big step up in class, but from barrier three under the capable hands of Jamie Kah, Aft Cabin should gain a perfect run-in transit. With race fitness under his belt compared to most of his main market rivals, Aft Cabin should prove a bit too sharp for a quality field in the McNeil Stakes.

        Selections:

        silks12
        AFT CABIN

        Ladbrokes
        silks10
        ZAMBORGHINI

        Bet365
        silks6
        JACQUINOT

        Neds
        silks4
        CROSSWINDS

        Unibet

        Race 6: The Heath 1100 (1100m)

        The Group 3 The Heath 1100 opens the quaddie on Saturday and we are hoping the Clinton McDonald-trained Star Patrol can pick up where he left off during the autumn. The four-year-old gelding strung together three consecutive wins last campaign before a last start second in the A.R. Creswick Stakes behind the smart Passive Aggressive. He comes to this on the back of a smart trial behind subsequent Carlyon Stakes winner Bella Nipotina and if he is anywhere near his best, Star Patrol is the one we want to be on. Ben Melham takes the steer and from barrier 11, should gain a nice cart across the field with speed drawn either side of him. If Star Patrol is within striking distance on the home turn, his turn of foot is sharp and with a win could stamp himself a s a genuine Group 1 contender this spring.

        Selections:

        silks10
        STAR PATROL

        Ladbrokes
        silks3
        GENERATION

        Bet365
        silks4
        IN THE BOAT

        Neds
        silks2
        KALLOS

        Unibet

        Race 7: W.W. Cockram Stakes (1200m)

        The word star gets thrown around too often, but the Grahame Begg-trained Passive Aggressive could be just that by the end of the spring. The four-year-old mare has four wins to her name from as many starts and that includes a win over Star Patrol who we fancy in the race prior. It is simply too hard to knock the way this girl goes about her racing. She has perfect barrier manners, wants to lead and continually keeps on kicking in the home straight when running good time. This is by far her hardest test to date, but with a few of her key market rivals wanting further or potentially being vulnerable first-up, the race shapes up perfectly for Passive Aggressive to lead throughout. She is a clear best bet of the day.

        Selections:

        silks7
        PASSIVE AGGRESSIVE

        Ladbrokes
        silks11
        CHAIN OF LIGHTNING

        Bet365
        silks1
        GRACEFUL GIRL

        Neds
        silks3
        FLYING MASCOT

        Unibet

        Best Bet

        Race 7 – Silk #7 Passive Aggressive (6)

        4yo Mare | T: Grahame Begg | J: Jordan Childs (54kg)

        $2.70 with Bet365
        Race 8: Memsie Stakes (1400m)

        The Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) is the first Group 1 in Victoria for the new racing season and what a cracking field we have awaiting us. Eight of the 14 runners have tasted success at Group 1 level and the market with horse betting sites show that with Western Empire and Alligator Blood sharing favouritism at $5.50 for this weight-for-age battle.

        Click here for our full runner-by-runner preview of the 2022 Memsie Stakes
        Race 9: Heatherlie Handicap (1700m) tip

        The Listed Heatherlie Handicap rounds out proceedings at Caulfield and we are hoping the Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young-trained He’s Our Bonneval can bounce back from a midfield finish at Flemington. Prior to that last start effort, this five-year-old gelding had strung together impressive performances at Caulfield and looks to be a stayer on the way up. He was ridden up on speed last time out, but looks to be the type of runner who benefits being ridden cold and flashing home late. From barrier 17, we anticipate Craig Newitt will look to settle in the second half of the field. With the likes of No Effort set to make this a genuinely run 1700m race, it looks perfectly setup for He’s Our Bonneval to launch late and blouse the leaders.

        Selections:

        silks16
        HE’S OUR BONNEVAL

        Ladbrokes
        silks9
        JIMMY THE BEAR

        Bet365
        silks8
        NO EFFORT

        Neds
        silks4
        CHAPADA

        Unibet

        Best Value

        Race 9 – Silk #16 He’s Our Bonneval (17)

        5yo Gelding | T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young | J: Craig Newitt (57kg)

        $14 with Neds

        Saturday quaddie tips for Memsie Stakes Day 2022
        Caulfield quadrella selections

        Saturday, August 27, 2022

        3-4-10
        7-11
        1-11-12-14
        2-4-7-8-9-16

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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          San Domenico Stakes Day 2022 racing tips | 27/08/2022
          August 25, 2022 11:14 am.
          Nicholas Lloyd

          What San Domenico Stakes Day 2022
          Where Rosehill Gardens Racecourse – James Ruse Dr, Rosehill NSW 2142
          When Saturday, August 27, 2022
          First Race 11:35am AEST
          Ladbrokes Logo

          Visit Ladbrokes

          Rosehill Gardens plays host to 10 races on Saturday, and while there isn’t any Group 1 action, two vital lead-up races to the Golden Rose will be run and won. The Up & Coming Stakes (Race 8) and San Domenico Stakes (Race 9) have proven to be two of the better lead-ups to the Group 1 feature in four weeks’ time, with last year’s Golden Rose winner In The Congo reigning supreme in the San Domenico. HorseBetting’s New South Wales racing analyst presents you with his best bets in the two features, as well as his best bets for the remainder of the card and his suggested quaddie numbers. The track is rated a Soft 6, the rail is in the true position and the meeting is scheduled to get underway at 11:35am AEST.
          Up & Coming Stakes Best Bet – Golden Mile

          This hasn’t really been a race that Godolphin have targeted in recent years, but it looks to be pretty deliberate placement by James Cummings and his team with unbeaten colt Golden Mile. The son of Astern was stylish when winning on debut at Ballarat back in April, defeating Lalaguna and subsequent winner of The Showdown, King’s Consort. While both trials back have seen him finish more than six lengths off the winner, he has looked brilliant in his action, just gliding through his motions. Cummings has an exceptional strike rate with horses resuming in metropolitan races, striking at well over 16%, suggesting that his horses are fit and ready to fire first-up. Sam Clipperton had a terrific autumn carnival, so he will be out to continue that form in the spring, while barrier seven gives him plenty of options. There was plenty of support in early markets for this horse too, so we can’t see the $31 available with online Bookmakers lasting until Saturday afternoon.
          Up & Coming Stakes Best Bet

          Race 8 – Silk #7 Golden Mile (7)

          3yo Colt | T: James Cummings | J: Sam Clipperton (54kg)

          $31 with Ladbrokes
          San Domenico Stakes Best Bet – Swiss Exile

          Hopefully Sam Clipperton has a terrific day in the saddle and can get a clean-sweep of the feature races. In the Group 3 San Domenico Stakes, he hops aboard the Annabel Neasham-trained Swiss Exile. This horse has always shown ability, but he had no racing manners early in his career, bundling the start on a few occasions against quality opposition, only to rattle home and run third. He started a short-priced favourite with online betting sites first-up last preparation in a 2YO Maiden at the Sunshine Coast only to be beaten, but he jumped out of the ground next start on a drier track at Eagle Farm when winning his maiden in the Group 2 Champagne Classic over 1200m. He was then only gunned down late in the Group 2 BRC Sires’ Produce Stakes (1400m) by subsequent Group 1 J.J. Atkins (1600m) winner Sheeza Belter. This son of 2017 San Domenico winner Pariah, has trialled like a rocket in preparation for this first-up assignment, putting a few handy gallopers to the sword. If he comes out and bolts in, we will not be the slightest bit shocked. Dodging the wet Sydney Autumn Carnival could prove to be a blessing.
          San Domenico Stakes Best Bet

          Race 9 – Silk #2 Swiss Exile (7)

          3yo Colt | T: Annabel Neasham | J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg)

          $9 with Palmerbet
          Best Bet at Rosehill Gardens – Grace And Harmony

          Chris Waller and Kerrin McEvoy combine in the fifth with a smart mare in Grace And Harmony. The lightly-raced five-year-old has won three of her 11 starts, while she is unlucky for that number to not be four after only just missing last start behind Yukon at Randwick over 1300m three weeks ago. She got a long way back that day and ran home strongly with 59kg on her back, running the fastest last 200m sectional of the entire day. On Saturday, the mare by Sebring drops to 53kg, steps out to 1400m and finds a race with a bit more speed in it. From barrier two, McEvoy can be a bit closer and have her ready to strike in the straight.
          Best Bet

          Race 5 – Silk #10 Grace And Harmony (2)

          5yo Mare | T: Chris Waller | J: Kerrin McEvoy (53kg)

          $3.40 with Neds
          Next Best at Rosehill Gardens – Hope In Your Heart

          Yes, Frumos is obviously the horse to beat. We all saw what happened last start, but go back and watch the replay and convince us that Kerry Parker’s Hope In Your Heart wasn’t equally unlucky. One horse is even-money, the other is close to double figures – ridiculous! Four-year-old mare Hope In Your Heart was never really going to be suited over 1400m first-up after running in the Australian Oaks (2400m), but she was absolutely bolting and in need of a run, so the eighth of nine last start doesn’t do her run any justice. She stays at 56.5kg, keeps Tim Clark in the saddle, has drawn well, but most importantly, she gets out to 1500m which will suit her down to the ground. With Sally Pops and Mystic Mermaid the only natural leaders in the race, Clark can have this daughter of Dundeel in the box seat, while Frumos will be forced back once again from the wide barrier. She looks an outstanding each-way bet early in the day.
          Next Best

          Race 2 – Silk #4 Hope In Your Heart (5)

          4yo Mare | T: Kerry Parker | J: Tim Clark (56.6kg)

          $8.50 with Bet365
          Best Value at Rosehill Gardens – Easy Single

          Easy Single sure has a job on his hands if he is to lower the colours of Shades Of Rose, but he is the sort of horse who is consistent enough and brave enough. The Ciaron Maher & David Eustace-trained five-year-old has won two of his last four starts, while he hasn’t been out of the minor money in the other two runs. To the naked eye, he won one of the races he lost, only narrowly missing in a photo finish, while two starts back he was beaten by subsequent winners Conscript and Snowzone. While he is getting up in the weights now with 59kg, he won’t have to do any work early from barrier one, likely just landing on Shades Of Rose’s back. With a bit of speed in this race from Conscript, Shades Of Rose, Maotai, Dajraan, Zoushack and Tristate, Easy Single could just have the last shot at them and make it back-to-back victories at Rosehill Gardens. The 1200m will be his acid test though.
          Best Value

          Race 10 – Silk #2 Easy Single (1)

          5yo Gelding | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Jason Collett (59kg)

          $14 with Unibet
          Saturday quaddie picks for San Domenico Stakes Day
          Rosehill Gardens quadrella selections

          Saturday, August 26, 2022

          1-8-10-12-14
          2-6-7-8-11
          1-2-5-9
          2-3-8

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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Saturday’s Eagle Farm betting tips & quaddie numbers | 27/8/2022
            August 25, 2022 10:45 pm.
            Nicholas Lloyd

            What Eagle Farm Races
            Where Eagle Farm Racecourse – 230 Lancaster Rd, Ascot QLD 4007
            When Saturday, August 27, 2022
            First Race 11:43am AEST
            Ladbrokes Logo

            Visit Ladbrokes

            Racing in Queensland moves to headquarters on Saturday for a nine-race program at Eagle Farm. HorseBetting’s Queensland racing analyst presents you with his best Eagle Farm tips, value bet and quaddie selections for the program, which is set to begin at 11:43am AEST. The Eagle Farm track is rated a Good 4 and the rail is out 7m for the entire course.
            Best Bet at Eagle Farm – Russian Warrior

            We have a big opinion of Allan Chau’s filly Russian Warrior and now that she is deep into her preparation, we are confident that she will be winning. The daughter of Russian Revolution has always impressed us but she has bumped into some good opposition in her seven start career. After two minor placings at Grafton and Eagle Farm, Chau sent the three-year-old to Sydney to contest a very competitive 3YO Benchmark 72 Handicap over 1300m. She settled last and worked home really strongly against the pattern of the day to run sixth, just three lengths behind the likes of Manzoice, Backrower and Kibou. Now in a Fillies & Mares Class 3 Handicap in the Brisbane off-season, Russian Warrior can give this race a real shake. She has drawn to do no work in barrier four under Sean Cormack, while the rise to 1400m will be ideal. The only other time she has been fourth-up, she was an eight-length winner at Ipswich, so we’re hoping to see a similar result on Saturday.
            Best Bet

            Race 6 – Silk #11 Russian Warrior (4)

            3yo Filly | T: Allan Chau | J: Sean Cormack (54kg)

            $11 with Palmerbet
            Next Best at Eagle Farm – Mill Rossa

            The Toowoomba trainers tend to be hard to beat this time of year in metropolitan races, and we are expecting that trend to continue on Saturday when Mark Currie saddles up five-year-old gelding Mill Rossa in a No Metro Wins Handicap. Just three starts ago, the son of Testa Rossa was running less than four lengths behind the now-Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes favourite Uncommon James at this track and distance with 55.5kg on his back, so you would like to think he can put away a field like this with 54kg. Currie sent this horse north in July where he won well at Rockhampton and then couldn’t finish off when favourite in the Mackay Newmarket (1300m), but he has been freshened and is back at a track he races well at. Drawn the inside alley, Angela Jones won’t have to do much at all aboard this horse, allowing him to jump, settle into a rhythm and then finish off two to their one. He looks better than them.
            Next Best

            Race 7 – Silk #5 Mill Rossa (1)

            5yo Gelding | T: Mark Currie | J: Angela Jones (a3)(57kg)

            $4.80 with Ladbrokes
            Best Value at Eagle Farm – Loveplanet

            We will give Loveplanet another chance. The Chris Waller-trained gelding has been plain on face value in two Sydney metropolitan runs this time in but when you look a bit deeper into it, he’s been beaten by no fault of his own. First-up, when eighth behind Yukon, he got back to near last on the fence in a race where the leaders crawled in front and you had to be wide on the track. While at his latest outing, he drew wide on a day where you had to be on the fence. Now up in Queensland where Waller’s runners can be rejuvenated, he could get luck on his side. While he will be coming from a wide alley in gate 14, James Orman will have plenty of time to make his mind up from the 1400m start at Eagle Farm as to where he goes. The horse is good enough to be winning a race like this at this time of year in Brisbane.
            Best Value

            Race 9 – Silk #2 Loveplanet (14)

            5yo Gelding | T: Chris Waller | J: James Orman (58kg)

            $12 with Neds
            Saturday quaddie tips for Eagle Farm
            Eagle Farm quadrella selections

            Saturday, August 27, 2022

            1-2-4-11
            5-11-16
            4-7-12
            2-3-5-7

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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              Morphettville racing preview & quaddie tips | Saturday, August 27
              August 25, 2022 10:20 pm.
              James Herbert

              What Leon Macdonald Stakes Day 2022
              Where Morphettville Racecourse – 79 Morphett Rd, Morphettville SA 5043
              When Saturday, August 27, 2022
              First Race 11:34am ACST

              Visit Ladbrokes

              The Morphettville Parks track is the destination for metropolitan racing in South Australia on Saturday afternoon where a massive 10 races program is scheduled. The feature event of the day is the Listed Leon Macdonald Stakes (1400m) worth $107,250. The meeting is set to be run with the rail out 3m the entire circuit, whilst competitors will be racing on the worst side of a Soft 7 following plenty of rain.

              Morphettville racing gets underway at 11:34am ACST.
              Leon Macdonald Stakes Top Tip: So Say Angel

              With a bit of luck, the Ryan Balfour-trained So Say Angel can continue her progression through the grades when she gets her chance in the Leon Macdonald Stakes. The five-year-old mare has won two of her last three starts and is yet to finish worse than fourth in her last six starts. She managed to stalk the speed at Murray Bridge on August 6 and kicked clear in impressive fashion. This is no doubt the toughest test of her career coming up against the Group-proven duo of Just Folk and Dalasan, but with confidence on her side, there is no reason why So Say Angel cannot give this a shake at a nice price with online Bookmakers.
              Leon Macdonald Stakes

              Race 9 – Silk #11 So Say Angel (2)

              5yo Mare | T: Ryan Balfour | J: Jason Benbow (57kg)

              $9.50 with Bet365
              Best Bet at Morphettville: Golden Crusader

              We will be looking to build a bank early when the Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr-trained Golden Crusader steps out over 1950m. The four-year-old gelding managed to lead through in what looks to be a tougher race at Sandown on August 7 and from barrier three on Saturday, he should have no issue in doing the same at Morphettville. Both of his two wins this campaign have come on soft ground, with his only failure coming when he ran into the red-hot Crackerjack Prince two starts back. Golden Crusader looks set to gain an uncontested lead throughout and if Todd Pannell can gain a couple of cheap sectionals, then the $2.80 with online betting sites looks to be a steal.
              Best Bet

              Race 2 – Silk #2 Golden Crusader (3)

              4yo Gelding | T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | J: Todd Pannell (58.5kg)

              $2.80 with Unibet
              Next Best at Morphettville: Enchantingly

              Having spent the best part of 12 months on the sidelines, the Scott Westover-trained Enchantingly looks the best way to “get out”. The six-year-old mare has a trial win under her belt ahead of this first-up assignment and with a win and two minor placings when resuming from a spell, we know she will handle the occasion with great aplomb. From barrier three, under the trusty hands of Jason Benbow, look for the Choisir mare to lead this field up and blow her rivals away to signal her intent ahead of hopefully a massive spring. She finished 1.7 lengths off Bella Nipotina in the How Now Stakes last spring and considering she has a record of 8: 3-4-0 on wet going, Enchantingly looks the goods in the last.
              Next Best

              Race 10 – Silk #13 Enchantingly (3)

              6yo Mare | T: Scott Westover | J: Jason Benbow (58kg)

              $4.60 with Neds
              Best Value at Morphettville: Spanish Heirloom

              The Travis Doudle-trained Spanish Heirloom is a speedster on her day and a heartbreaker when she isn’t switched on. The five-year-old mare has finished down the track at her last two starts, but if she is anywhere near the level she produced first-up at this track and trip, she might just blow this field away at a price. She is an 83-rater going around in BM76 class, so she clearly has the class advantage on her rivals. With Ellis Wong hopping back on board claiming 3kg, this Barbados mare looks to have every chance of running her rivals into the ground once again. Considering six of her eight career victors have come on rain-affected ground, the price we are getting about Spanish Heirloom in the opening leg of the quaddie is ridiculous.
              Best Value

              Race 7 – Silk #1 Spanish Heirloom (4)

              5yo Mare | T: Travis Doudle | J: Ellis Wong (a3) (61.5kg)

              $11 with Palmerbet
              Saturday quaddie tips for Morphettville
              Morphettville quadrella selections

              Saturday, August 27, 2022

              1-4-6-11
              2-4-6-9
              1-2-10-11-12
              13

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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Belmont betting tips & quaddie | Idyllic Prince Stakes Day 2022
                August 25, 2022 10:57 pm.
                Nicholas Lloyd

                What Belmont Races
                Where Belmont Park Racecourse – Saintly Entrance, Burswood WA 6100
                When Saturday, August 27, 2022
                First Race 12:38pm AWST
                Ladbrokes Logo

                Visit Ladbrokes

                The Listed Idyllic Prince Stakes headlines a nine-race card at Belmont on Saturday, August 27. HorseBetting’s WA racing analyst presents you with his best bet in the feature race, as well as his best bets and quaddie numbers for the remainder of the Belmont program. The track is rated a Good 4 and the rail is out 8m for the entire course. The first race at Belmont is scheduled for 12:38pm AEST.
                Idyllic Prince Stakes Best Bet – Nerodio

                Seven-year-old gelding Nerodio is chasing back-to-back Listed wins after bolting in to win the Belmont Newmarket last start. Prior to that he was third in the H.G. Bolton Sprint at Listed level and before that he was in the winner’s room for the Listed Beaufine Stakes. Now back onto a Good 4 and carrying 0.5kg less for his troubles, we are expecting the Stephanie Bakranich-trained son of Playing God to be too good once again. He should get all of the favours from barrier two and be winning again and is still offering some value at around $2 with online Bookmakers.
                Idyllic Prince Stakes

                Race 8 – Silk #5 Nerodio (2)

                7yo Gelding | T: Stephanie Bakranich | J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg)

                $2.15 with Palmerbet
                Best Bet at Belmont – Harmika

                Adam Durrant and Clint Johnston-Porter combine in the seventh race of the afternoon with four-year-old mare Harmika. The daughter of Rogano has had eight career starts for two wins and four minor placings, while she is yet to miss out on a podium finish in three starts here at Belmont. Drawn down low in barrier four, CJP will have this mare in a beautiful spot in the first three or four runners, before producing her in the straight. She’s a nice horse who can resume as a winner on Saturday. .
                Best Bet

                Race 7 – Silk #9 Harmika (4)

                4yo Mare | T: Adam Durrant | J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54.5kg)

                $3.20 with Bet365
                Best Value at Belmont – Dance Of The South

                Dance Of The South was a good winner here three starts ago over 1700m, but since then she hasn’t been able to fire on heavy tracks, despite not being beaten far. The Summer Dickson-trained five-year-old steps out to 2200m on Saturday, but most importantly steps back onto a dry surface, so we are expecting a much better performance. The mare by Shooting To Win gets Lucy Warwick in the saddle again and they have drawn kindly in barrier five. Ideally, Warwick will send this mare forward and be the bunny the others have to catch.
                Best Value

                Race 5 – Silk #7 Dance Of The South (5)

                5yo Mare | T: Summer Dickson | J: Lucy Warwick (58kg)

                $13 with Ladbrokes
                Belmont Guineas Day quaddie tips for Belmont
                Belmont quadrella selections

                Saturday, June 18, 2022

                4-6-8-9
                1-2-3
                2-5-11
                1-5-13

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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Darwin racing tips, top odds & value bets | Saturday, August 27
                  August 26, 2022 6:01 pm.
                  David White

                  What Darwin Races
                  Where Darwin Turf Club – Buntine Dr, Fannie Bay NT 0820
                  When Saturday, August 27, 2022
                  First Race 3:14pm ACST

                  Visit Ladbrokes

                  The Darwin Turf Club is set to host a five-race card on Saturday afternoon. See our top selections for every race on the Darwin program, with odds from Australia’s best Bookmakers.
                  Race 1 (3.14pm) – $20,500 Top End Racing Awards 16 September 0-76 Handicap (1000m)

                  Ideas Man made his first appearance at Fannie Bay on May 7 following his arrival from South Australia and finished a narrow second behind El Magnificence over 1100m (0-64). The five-year-old gelding then proved unstoppable with three straight wins over 1000m (0-70) on June 4, 1000m (0-70) on June 25 and 1100m in open company on July 13. Ideas Man had plenty of fans when he lined up in the $135,000 Palmerston Sprint (1200m) on July 30, but found it a bit too hot in the kitchen finishing 10th. He backed up two days later in the Montgomerie Lightning (1000m) on Darwin Cup Day to finish behind Glock in fourth place. If he can find his mojo Ideas Man is a strong contender, but Belmont Day is capable of spoiling the party. Lightly raced, Belmont Day has posted five wins from 11 starts in Darwin and was a last start second in the Montgomerie Lightning. Cielo D’Oro makes his Top End debut after a last start third over 1200m (0-64) at Moonee Valley on January 1. Former Queensland galloper Charretera also steps out in Darwin for the first time after a last start ninth over 1200m (0-72) at Doomben on April 9. Papalet is only battling.
                  Best Bet

                  Race 1 – silks#1 Ideas Man (3)

                  5yo Gelding | T: Chris Nash | J: Paul Shiers (59kg)

                  Bet with Bet365
                  Race 2 (3.54pm) – $17,500 Silks Darwin Class 2 Handicap (1000m)

                  Champs D’Or failed to make an impression in five starts in Alice Springs and Darwin from April-June before finishing third behind Swing With Junior in a fillies and mares race over 1200m (0-62) on July 2. Two weeks later, the five-year-old mare finished sixth over 1300m (0-62) before coming third behind War Games over 1100m (Class 2) on July 27. Champs D’Or headed to Katherine on August 13 and could not have been more convincing en route to posting her second career win over 1100m (0-58). She won by almost four lengths and only has to repeat that effort to make it back to back wins. Wild Rover finished second in that Katherine race and although his form can fluctuate he is some chance. Mystery Flyer won a 1000m maiden at Katherine with Antonio finishing third in the same race. Little Kibo is a recent arrival from NSW and finished fourth in her NT debut at Katherine over 1100m (0-58). Minister finished third in an 1100m Darwin maiden on July 23. Sabaku finished second on three straight occasions at Strathalbyn before a last start ninth over 1400m (0-58) at Balaklava on May 25 and she could salute on her NT debut.
                  Best Bet

                  Race 2 – First Crusade silks#3 Champs D’Or (6)

                  5yo Mare | T: Chris Nash | J: Stan Tsaikos (57kg)

                  Bet with Palmerbet
                  Race 3 (4.29pm) – $17,500 TAB Venue Mode TROBIS 0-58 Handicap (1300m)

                  Afternoon Tea is a last start winner after blitzing her rivals by almost five lengths over 1300m (0-54) in only her fourth career start on Katherine Cup Day on August 13. The five-year-old mare was quite simply emphatic, but a first up win was always on the cards after finishing a narrow second behind War Games in her Fannie Bay debut over 1100m (Class 2) on July 27 after arriving from Victoria. Clearly, Afternoon Tea is adapting to life in the Northern Territory after producing little in a 1200m maiden at Doncaster on May 8 and a 1400m maiden at Pakenham on June 4. Fraction Late is the biggest threat. In his first career start he couldn’t match a speedy bunch of three-year-olds when he finished fifth over 1100m (0-66) on July 9. In his next start a fortnight later Fraction Late won an 1100m maiden before finishing fourth over 1200m (0-58) on Darwin Cup Day on the first Monday in August. Prince Ruban is a handy commodity and his form is better than average, so he must be included in exotics despite not tasting victory since May 28 over 1300m (0-58). Mr Boomjangles is sadly out of touch, but there is no denying he’s the next best selection.
                  Best Bet

                  Race 3 – silks#3 Afternoon Tea (7)

                  5yo Mare | T: Phil Cole | J: Wayne Davis (57.5kg)

                  Bet with Bet365
                  Race 4 (5.09pm) – $17,500 Darwin Racing 0-54 Handicap (1200m)

                  Siakam wasn’t all that far away when he finished a narrow second at the hands of Star Of Monsoon over 1600m (0-66) on July 30 and recent form suggests that that long-awaited win since saluting on Darwin Cup Day last year is imminent. The five-year-old gelding enjoyed a respectable finish to the 2021 campaign in Darwin before returning on April 16 in Alice Springs where he finished ninth over 1100m (0-62). That was followed by two seconds at Fannie Bay over 1200m (Class 2) on May 21 and June 18. Before his last appearance, Siakam came fifth over 1300m (0-62) and fourth over 1600m (0-62) in July. A drop in grade enhances Siakam’s hopes immeasurably. Blueberry Boy won on debut in the Top End over 1100m (0-54) in May before a last start second over 1200m (0-58) on August 1. Since March 25, Zip Lane has had four starts for a win, two seconds and a fourth. Light And Dark’s form had been up and down before a last start win over 1100m (0-58) at Katherine recently. Umfana won a 1200m maiden on July 30. Against The Tide is backing up after coming second in Katherine. Great Boulder and Cometh The Hour can surprise.
                  Best Bet

                  Race 4 – silks#2 Siakam (7)

                  4yo Gelding | T: Gary Clarke | J: Jarrod Todd (61.5kg)

                  Bet with PlayUp
                  Race 5 (5.40pm) – $18,500 Melanie Tyndall Memorial 0-64 Handicap (1100m)

                  Expert Witness has been a model of consistency since arriving from Queensland at the start of the year. The four-year-old gelding began his career with a second in 860m maiden at Gatton in May last year before finishing seventh in a 1000m maiden at Toowoomba and 11th in a 900m maiden at the Gold Coast. Expert Witness wins on debut at Fannie Bay on New Year’s Day in an 1100m maiden and backs that up with a second over 1100m against three-year-olds and maideners on Australia Day before a third over 1000m (0-64) in February. Resuming with three starts in July, the son of Star Witness managed a win over 1000m (0-58), a third over 1000m (0-66) and another win over 1000m (0-62). If he’s at his best he will take some stopping, but Manly Cove cannot be dismissed so easily. In July, he finished second ahead of Expert Witness before finishing third at his next start behind Expert Witness. A solid win over 1100m (0-70) at Katherine is another reason why Manly Cove is more than a decent chance. Don’t Say It is a last start winner over 1200m (0-58). Consider Dream Weaver, Overruled, Brimarvi Rooby and Turnstar in your exotics.
                  Best Bet

                  Race 5 – silks#1 Expert Witness (5)

                  4yo Gelding | T: Tayarn Halter | J: Paul Shiers (60.5kg)
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    2022 Memsie Stakes preview & betting strategy | August 27
                    August 24, 2022 4:12 pm.

                    What Memsie Stakes 2022
                    Where Caulfield Racecourse
                    When Saturday, August 27, 2022 | Race 8 | 4:45pm AEST
                    Prizemoney $1,000,000
                    Distance 1400m
                    Status Group 1
                    Conditions Weight For Age
                    2021 Winner Behemoth (8) | T: David Jolly | J: Brett Prebble (59kg)

                    Visit Ladbrokes

                    The 2022 Memsie Stakes is the feature event on the nine-race program from Caulfield on Saturday afternoon and a cracking field of 14 is set to contest the Group 1 weight-for-age event over 1400m. Superstars of the track such as Sunline, Makybe Diva, So You Think, Atlantic Jewel and Dissident have all used the Memsie as a launching pad to greater success in the spring. Who will etch their name alongside some of the greats of the turf in the 2022 Memsie Stakes?

                    Keep reading for HorseBetting’s full runner-by-runner preview and $100 betting strategy
                    silk1. I’M THUNDERSTRUCK (9)

                    5yoG | T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | J: Mark Zahra (59kg)

                    Coming off what was a rather disappointing autumn campaign, the 2021 Golden Eagle victor I’m Thunderstruck will be looking to add a second Group 1 win to his name when he resumes in the Memsie. We have not seen this son of Shocking since his shocking run in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes where he was beaten some seven lengths back on April 9. He returns to Caulfield, a track he has a strong affiliation with, having won twice and placed on two other occasions from seven starts at the track. Judging by all reports from the stable and more importantly co-trainer Mick Price, the now five-year-old gelding has returned in fine fashion and is expected to fire first-up from a spell. With two wins from three starts when fresh and boasts a record of 3: 2-0-1 on soft going, we know he will handle what is in front of him on Saturday. Mark Zahra hops on board for the first time and if the 22-time Group 1 winning hoop can have this bloke settled midfield with cover, I’m Thunderstruck looks to be the one who will have the last crack at the on-pace runners in the Memsie and could prove too hard to hold out.
                    silk2. CASCADIAN (7)

                    7yoG | T: James Cummings | J: Blake Shinn (59kg)

                    Godolphin will be looking to bag the first two Group 1 races of the 2022/23 racing season when Cascadian looks to emulate the win of Anamoe in last weekend’s Winx Stakes. The stable had nominated Cascadian for the Group 1 in Sydney last week, but have opted to send him around in the Memsie. He comes to this on the back of an eye-catching trial behind Anamoe at Warwick Farm on August 5 when hitting the line with great intent under his own steam over 1000m. He rounded out last campaign with a win in the All Aged Stakes, but outside of that, it looked to be a campaign where he left plenty on the table. With a decent enough first-up record of 8: 2-1-2, he should be there or thereabouts, but we expect a couple of his rivals to be a touch too sharp for him this early in the spring.
                    silk3. ALLIGATOR BLOOD (1)

                    6yo G | T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | J: Damien Oliver (59kg)

                    Alligator Blood hasn’t been seen since his remarkable victory in the Stradbroke Handicap during the Queensland Winter Carnival. Despite a strange couple of weeks of the track in terms off his ownership, he is set to go around as favourite with online Bookmakers in the Memsie. His winter campaign in Queensland saw him bounce back to the Alligator Blood of old where he was nosed out in the BRC Sprint and then came out and thrashed his rivals in the Straddie. He draws barrier one on Saturday and gains the services of Damien Oliver for the first time in his career. Despite getting back and running on during his winter campaign, we expect Ollie to use the soft draw to his advantage and be camping off the likes of Snapdancer and Lightsaber throughout. The issue is, if he gets shuffled back to a position like three back the fence, he is going to need a mountain of luck at a certain stage, He has the right jockey on board to do that, but with a few too many uncertainties, we are willing to take Alligator Blood on in the Memsie.
                    silk4. NONCONFORMIST (4)

                    6yoG | T: Grahame Begg | J: Jordan Childs (59kg)

                    It has been almost 12 months since we last saw the Grahame Begg-trained Nonconformist run second in a Caulfield Cup behind Incentivise. He has much bigger aspirations this campaign then winning a 1400m Group 1, which backs up his $31 quote with Ladbrokes. He will find this way too sharp against opposition like this, but look for this son of Rebel Raider to be doing his best work over the final 100m in what will be a good pipe opener for him.
                    silk5. WESTERN EMPIRE (12)

                    5yoG | T: Danny O’Brien | J: Damian Lane (59kg)

                    Western Australian superstar Western Empire is set to have his first start in Victoria for Danny O’Brien and brings with him a massive reputation. The five-year-old gelding shares early favouritism with Alligator Blood and based off his efforts during the spring last year in Perth, who is to say he cannot blow out his rivals in the Memsie? His win in the Railway Stakes showed he is a genuine Group 1 runner, but he was aided by carrying just 53kg on that day. He needs to lug 59kg against some of his rivals who are proven at weight-for-age level and despite having plenty of x-factor about him, it is hard to take the $5.50 available for him with some online betting sites. He has an electric turn of foot, but from the wide barrier of 12, it is hard to see how he settles close enough to be effective without being trapped wide. A win would not shock, but much like Alligator Blood, we are happy to take Western Empire on.
                    silk6. CALLSIGN MAV (14)

                    6yoG | T: Danny O’Brien | J: Jamie Mott (59kg)

                    The Danny O’Brien-trained Callsign Mav is a genuine 1400m specialist boasting a record of 9: 4-4-0 at the trip. However, those results have mainly been in weaker races in New Zealand. From the wide barrier (14), he will most likely settle outside expected leader Snapdancer, but we expect Callsign Mav to struggle in such a competitive Group 1 event like this.
                    silk7. ELEPHANT (11)

                    6yoG | T: Emma-Lee & David Browne | J: Daniel Moor (59kg)

                    With a Cox Plate in mind this campaign, the Emma-Lee & David Browne-trained Elephant will no doubt find this a touch sharp this early in his preparation. However, he did manage to finish second in a Feehan Stakes last preparation and did win the Sandown Stakes over 1500m in albeit weaker company, but it does suggest he is more than capable of standing up in a race like this. However, he left plenty to be desired when convincingly beaten first up by Mr Brightside in the P.B. Lawrence Stakes and a sharp form reversal is required if Elephant is to be fighting out the finish in the first Group 1 of the season.
                    silk8. ZEYREK (8)

                    5yoG | T: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes | J: Damien Thornton (59kg)

                    Much the same as Nonconformist, the Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes-trained Zeyrek is a runner who will be using the Memsie as a pipe-opener for bigger races this campaign. Having not won a race less than 2000m in his career, the 1400m at Caulfield is sure to be leaving him wanting compared to most of his rivals. With a bit of luck he will be getting warm inside the final furlong, with a race like The Metropolitan early in October a potential goal for this son of Sea The Stars.
                    silk9. DRAGON LEAP (12)

                    6yoG | T: Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott | J: Michael Dee (59kg)

                    This looks a genuine throw at the stumps by the Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott yard with Dragon Leap, who looks to be a fair way out of his depth in this. He struggled behind Callsign Mav in the Tarzino Trophy last spring and is sure to find this much harder.
                    silk10. LIGHTSABER (6)

                    4yoH | T: Peter Moody | J: Luke Nolen (58.5kg)

                    The Peter Moody-trained Lightsaber is a runner who continues to catch the eye in his races but is yet to do much other than tease punters. His second in the Australian Guineas was super, but we would prefer him in something much easier than this.
                    silk11. ILLATION (13)

                    4yoH | T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | J: Jamie Kah (58.5kg)

                    The boom horse to come out of the Adelaide Carnival earlier in the year was undoubtedly the Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr-trained Illation. He may not have beaten much at Morphettville, but the manner in which he won his races suggested he was every bit of a Group 1 horse this spring. He is the current favourite for the Golden Eagle this year and his set to embark on a similar campaign to stablemate I’m Thunderstruck did last year. At 58.5kg, he will need to be at his very best first-up from a spell as he needs to prove himself against proven performers at weight-for-age level. From barrier 13, Jamie Kah will need to make a decision early enough whether to go forward and risk getting trapped three wide or opt to take a sit midfield or just worse than midfield. His turn of foot is electric and if Illation is within striking distance on the home turn, he is more than capable of sprinting the better and proving too hard to hold out. We’re willing to back against him in terms of a win bet, but we expect to see Illation finish in the first four at his first cracked at the highest level.
                    silk12. TOFANE (3)

                    7yoM | T: Mike Moroney | J: Jye McNeil (57kg)

                    The C.F. Orr Stakes winner from the spring Tofane returns to the Caulfield 1400m in a bid to further improve on her already impressive record. The seven-year-old mare was set for the breeding barn following a second in the All Aged Stakes behind Cascadian, but connections have opted to give her another campaign. She is a runner who absolutely thrives at 1400m, having not missed the top three in all eight starts at the trip. She is a four-time Group 1 winning mare and from barrier three is sure to gain the perfect run in transit just off the back of Snapdancer and Callsign Mav. Whether or not she has the sharpness in her legs first-up remains to be seen, but if Tofane is anywhere near what she is capable of, then a top four finish should be on the agenda.
                    silk13. DUAIS (10)

                    5yoM | T: Edward Cummings | J: Joshua Parr (57kg)

                    It was truly a breakout autumn for the Edward Cummings-trained Duais who managed to take out the Australian Cup and Tancred Stakes in consecutive starts. Now that Verry Elleegant is plying her trade in France, this girl looks to be the top mare in racing in Australia and is set to resume her career in the Memsie, with the Melbourne Cup a potential Grand Final for her. She will be looking to replicate the deeds of Verry Elleegant who has shown if you are good enough, you can win from 1400m to the infamous 3200m in a single campaign. However, we expect Duais to not be fully screwed down for a race like the Memsie, but for those with futures tickets on her for the Cups later this spring, an impressive final 200m or so is a must.
                    silk14. SNAPDANCER (5)

                    6yoM | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Ethan Brown (57kg)

                    The Ciaron Maher & David Eustace-trained Snapdancer showed she is every bit a Group 1 mare last campaign when winning the Robert Sangster Stakes before a huge run when finishing second behind Startantes in the Tatt’s Tiara. It is hard to knock her racing pattern as she is quick out of the gates, can lead any field up and offers a kick in the home straight on the back of any tempo. In a race where she looks set to gain an uncontested lead, we are hoping Ethan Brown can use barrier five to his advantage, have the mare settled in front and with a couple of cheap sectionals expected, there is no reason why Snapdancer cannot take out the Memsie. 1400m against the boys is a slight query, but with Caulfield known to be favourable to leader’s early on in the spring, then conditions may play perfectly into Snapdancer’s hands. At the double figure price, we are happy to be with Snapdancer in the 2022 Memsie Stakes.
                    2022 Memsie Stakes Selections & Best Bets

                    Selections:

                    silk14
                    SNAPDANCER

                    neds
                    silk1
                    I’M THUNDERSTRUCK

                    Ladbrokes
                    silk11
                    ILLATION

                    sportsbet
                    silk12
                    TOFANE

                    bet365

                    The Showdown $100 betting strategy
                    $100 win Snapdancer ($10 @ Neds)
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      What You Need to Know - Del Mar | Saturday, August 27, 2022

                      by Jeff Siegel

                      DEL MAR SPOTLIGHT RACES:

                      Third Race: Post: 3:00 PT
                      Top Pick: 1-Emerald Lake (2-1)

                      Lightly raced with solid speed figures, a good recent breeze over the course and a cozy inside draw, this daughter of Bluegrass Cat has much in her favor and should make amends today after finishing second in a similar affair as the favorite over the local lawn last month. She switches to Umberto Rispoli and projects to settle into a second flight, stalking position and then have every chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. At 2-1 on the morning line, the Peter Miller-trained sophomore filly looks solid as a win play and rolling exotic single.


                      Tenth Race
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        What You Need to Know - Saratoga | Saturday, August 27, 2022

                        by Jeff Siegel

                        SARATOGA SPOTLIGHT RACES:

                        First Race – Post: 11:35 ET
                        Top Pick: 3-Verifying (5/2)

                        This maiden special weight sprint for juveniles features yet another highly regarded son of Justify, this one from the barn of Brad Cox. Impressive in his local works, including a half mile breeze in company last week in :47 2/5 that accomplished under a tight hold, this $775,000 yearling purchase has all the makings of a high class prospect, and he has been given a sufficient numbers of drills to be fit and ready right off the bat. He’ll have to be, because also in the field – and equally well thought of by his connections – is the first timer 6-King’s Glory . The son of Speightstown sports a local work tab that has been excellent if not flashy, and if this Steve Asmussen-trained colt performs to expectations, he’ll be a major player every step of the way. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with the main push going to Verifying.

                        Thirteenth Race: Post: 6:52 ET
                        Top Pick: 1-Parnac (3-1)

                        French-bred filly ran much better than the line will show her U.S. debut at Belmont Park in July. She was shuffled back at the start to trail, was fanned extremely wide when commencing her rally into the lane and kept to her task to wind up a willing fourth, beaten less than three lengths in a race that she should have finished in the picture. Freshened and training very well in the interim for Christophe Clement, this 3-year-old filly won her first two career outings in Germany before being imported, and in this entry-level allowance grass miler from a good inside draw she is guaranteed an ideal, ground-saving trip. With Joel Rosario riding her back, she’s a strong win play and rolling exotic single.

                        *

                        SARATOGA RECOMMENDED ROLLING EXOTIC STRATEGIES:

                        (Races 1-6)
                        1st race: 3-Verifying; 6-King’s Glory
                        2nd race: 5-Triple Start; 4-Alexis Zorba
                        3rd race: 1-On the Hill; 2-Bold Journey
                        4th race: 5-Technical Analysis
                        5th race: 3-Jackie’s Warrior
                        6th race: 5-Baltasar; 7-Swift Tap; 2-Life Changer; 3-Leddy

                        (Races 7-13)
                        7th race: 2-Maxwell Esquire; 3-Discreet Tune; 1-Comedy Town
                        8th race: 6-Jack Christopher; 9-Accretive
                        9th race: 3-Clairiere; 5-Malathaat
                        10th race: 3-Broome; 6-Gufo; 1-Adhamo
                        11th race: 5-Artorius; 6-Epicenter; 1-Cybernife
                        12th race: 7-Heymackit’sjack; 1-Kreesa; 2-Feathers Road
                        13th race: 1-Parnac

                        *


                        SARATOGA WORKOUT ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY:

                        FIRST RACE:

                        Game Warden (August 21, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00b). Grade: B-
                        Sluggish leaving the gate but then moved up under some urging to be even inside Fightertown (same time) to the turn before slipping back slightly in the late stages and appearing second best in gate drill for T. Pletcher. Decent final time but not a real quick type, maybe needs distance and some experience.
                        View Workout Video

                        Verifying (August 20, Saratoga, 4f, :47.2b). Grade: A-
                        In blinkers, went off quickly under a tight hold in :22.2, remained under wraps inside Instant Coffee (same time) through the lane and was noticeably best while finishing with plenty left, final quarter in :25 flat. Could have gone infinitely faster if permitted. Justify colt from the Brad Cox barn trains like the Real McCoy.
                        View Workout Video

                        King’s Glory (August 7, Saratoga, 5f, 1:01.2b). Grade: B+
                        Was even but much best inside Watch This Munny (same time), always under a nice hold (workmate asked) to finish with plenty left, final quarter in a sharp :24.1. Speightstown colt has plenty of ability, could be one of the barn’s better young colts. Plenty fit by now.
                        View Workout Video

                        Standard of Proof (August 20, Saratoga, 4f, :48.1b). Grade: B
                        Stride-for-stride inside Kaon (same time) for C. Brown, not real quick early but moving up to be head-and-head throughout without undue pressure, steady splits. Gun Runner colt probably will get more comfortable as the distances increase.
                        View Workout Video


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                        SECOND RACE:

                        Triple Start (August 19, Saratoga, 4f, :51.3b TT TC DU). Grade: B-
                        Ridden a tad late to be even outside Clubhouse (same time) around dogs over the training track turf course for T. Pletcher, nice drill while gearing up for debut. Doesn’t act like a speed type, maybe more of a grinder and definitely wants to run long on turf.
                        View Workout Video


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                        THIRD RACE:

                        Great Workout (August 18, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00.4b). Grade: B
                        Never asked inside Bold Victory (same time) for L. Rice, final quarter in :24.4 while holding his form. Might be most comfortable as a late-running sprinter. In good shape.
                        View Workout Video


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                        FOURTH RACE:

                        Technical Analysis (August 14, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00.3b). Grade: B+
                        Never asked while inside the dogs in company with In Italian (same time, hammerlock throughout while appearing slightly best), both looking sharp and on edge for C. Brown. Daughter of Kingman should be a short price in the Ballston Spa.
                        View Workout Video


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                        FIFTH RACE:

                        Jackie’s Warrior (August 15, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00.1b). Grade: A-
                        Broke off slightly in front of Gunite (same time) and was always going much best, under wraps through the lane while full of run. Maintains his championship edge, workmate was asked to close the gap but couldn’t, was hoping to see a bit more from him.
                        View Workout Video

                        Cody’s Wish (August 21, Saratoga, 4f, :48b). Grade: A-
                        Terrific breeze, smooth as silk, never asked a drop, easy early, strong through the lane, final quarter in :23.3. Continues to improve and seems ready for a career top try.
                        View Workout Video


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                        EIGHTH RACE:

                        Jack Christopher (August 20, Saratoga, 5f, :59.4b). Grade: B+
                        Even but slightly best outside Key Point (same time), never asked at any stage while going stride-for-stride throughout. On edge, should return to winning form when shortened back to one-turn.
                        View Workout Video

                        Accretive (August 20, Saratoga, 5f, 1:01b). Grade: B+
                        Razor sharp while going stride-for-stride inside Early Voting (same time), easy early, plenty left late final quarter in :24.2. Continues to improve and should run a career top in the Jerkens.
                        View Workout Video


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                        NINTH RACE:

                        Clairiere (August 22, Saratoga, 4f, :50.4b). Grade: B
                        Nothing more than a high gallop in half mile solo breeze on training track for S. Asmussen. Seeks her third straight win in the Personal Ensign following terrific victories in the Phipps and Shuvee. Maintains her terrific form.
                        View Workout Video

                        Malathaat (August 20, Saratoga, 4f, :49.2b). Grade: B+
                        Just galloping outside Saint Tapit (same time), neither asked a drop, both looking fine. Certainly didn’t run her best race when second in the Shuvee but her breezes since than have been very good. Capable of rising to the occasion.
                        View Workout Video



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                        TENTH RACE:

                        Gufo (August 19, Saratoga, 4f, :49b TT TC). Grade: B
                        In blinkers, hard held while even outside City Man (same time) both looking very sharp in easy breeze for C. Clement. Won the Sword Dancer last year and will try for a repeat score. Appears ready for a major effort.
                        View Workout Video


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                        ELEVENTH RACE:

                        Artorius (August 20, Saratoga, 4f, :47b). Grade: A-
                        Sharp as a tack breezing outside Search Results (same time) while hitting the wire slightly in front, never asked. Improves every time we see him.
                        View Workout Video

                        Early Voting (August 20, Saratoga, 5f, 1:01b) Grade: B
                        Stride-for-stride outside Accretive (same time), both going easily through the lane, final quarter mile in a sharp :24.2 for Chad Brown. Looks a bit better (and tighter) for the Travers than he did for the Jim Dandy, so improvement can be expected.
                        View Workout Video

                        Zandon (August 20, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00.3b). Grade: B+
                        Hard held to the top and then continued under wraps through the lane, final quarter mile in :24 3/5 for Chad Brown in solo five furlong breeze. According to his speed figures, he’s never taken a backward move in six career starts and based on this drill he’s ready to step forward again.
                        View Workout Video

                        Cyberknife (August 20, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00b). Grade: B+
                        Breezed outside Angitude (5f, 1:00.4b), breaking off three lengths behind and winding up a length in front at the wire, very light coaxing only (workmate never asked), final quarter in :24 1/5 before being allowed to gallop out strongly into the clubhouse turn and backstretch. Workmanlike, solid move should keep him on edge.
                        View Workout Video

                        Rich Strike (August 19, Saratoga, 5f, :59.4b). Grade: B+
                        Strong solo five furlong breeze for Kentucky Derby winner, not asked to the top before responding to very mild coaxing through the lane to finish in a rally, final quarter in :24 flat. Always has been willing in the morning and should be fit enough for a top effort in the Travers despite the layoff.
                        View Workout Video


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                        THIRTEENTH RACE:

                        Parnac (August 21, Saratoga, 4f, :50.2b TT TC DU). Grade: B+
                        Broke off behind Shad Nation (4f, :50.3b TT TC DU) for C. Clemente while just cruising outside and then closed the gap to finish head-and-head at the wire, strong hold, then galloped out quite well and ahead of workmate toward the late stages. Had a run in July at Belmont Park in his first U.S. outing and seems very likely to improve a ton next time.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



                          Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 9
                          $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Late Double Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)
                          Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 75 • Purse: $8,410 • Post: 10:21
                          QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
                          Contenders
                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds

                          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * YELLOW EAGLE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GO OUT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rat ing. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FASTER THAN FIRE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface.
                          5
                          YELLOW EAGLE
                          9/5
                          9/2
                          6
                          GO OUT
                          6/1
                          9/2
                          2
                          FASTER THAN FIRE
                          8/5
                          7/1
                          1
                          FUSSY
                          4/1
                          10/1

                          P#
                          Horse (In Running Style Order)
                          Post
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style
                          Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure
                          Finish Figure
                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          1
                          FUSSY
                          1
                          4/1
                          Slow/Trouble-prone
                          67
                          66
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          2
                          FASTER THAN FIRE
                          2
                          8/5
                          Average
                          72
                          70
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          3
                          PANCHO ROYALTYS
                          3
                          8/1
                          Slow/Trouble-prone
                          0
                          0
                          8.9
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          4
                          L A WOMAN LF
                          4
                          15/1
                          Slow
                          0
                          0
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          5
                          YELLOW EAGLE
                          5
                          9/5
                          Average
                          73
                          70
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          6
                          GO OUT
                          6
                          6/1
                          Average
                          78
                          71
                          4.2
                          0.0
                          0.0
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.




                            Race 6 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 80

                            FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 29, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 6 EVER TRUE 3/1
                            # 4 TANNIN 5/1
                            # 5 DREADNAUGHT 5/2
                            EVER TRUE looks formidable to best this field. Recent figs for the jockey - 21 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this field. He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Ran a strong last race. TANNIN - Has some interesting handicapping angles which make this horse a wager. The Equibase class rating of today's race is much lower than his last race. DREADNAUGHT - Should best this group here, showing formidable figures of late. Ought to be considered in this event if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last race.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                              Timonium - Race #1 - Post: 12:40pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 83

                              Rating:

                              #1 EMMA AND I (ML=9/5)


                              EMMA AND I - You'll be generating money right and left by turning your bankroll onto this jock/trainer combination. Great chance for this horse. Big late speed and should have good position. This equine likes the equitrack a whole heck of a lot better. Look at the start 2 races back on July 10th and take a note on the surface change. We may be sitting on a real live one!

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #4 RAVENEL (ML=2/1), #6 R TRUE SENSATION (ML=5/1), #5 SIMMARD SHENANIGAN (ML=6/1),

                              RAVENEL - Pedestrian fig last out at Laurel at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this pony will improve too much in today's event. R TRUE SENSATION - This mare is always close, but just doesn't finish on top. Hard to play her on the top end. SIMMARD SHENANIGAN - 67/54/50, are the lessening speed figures for this racer. Improbable that this horse will finish better than she did last time out of the box when placing sixth.

                              GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - EMMA AND I - I love betting on horses that have a big advantage over the rest of the field when it comes to the TrackMaster Power Rating. This one fits the bill.





                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #1 EMMA AND I on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
                              EXACTA WAGERS: 1 with [5,7]

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              Pass
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                              SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
                              None
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Saratoga

                                Always check program numbers.
                                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                                Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $105000 Class Rating: 82

                                FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.

                                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                                # 4 DIDINGER 6/1
                                # 3 VERIFYING 5/2
                                # 7 STANDARD OF PROOF 7/2
                                DIDINGER has a competitive shot to take this race. Has strong trainer figures (Reid wins 29 percent of the time with 2yolds) to back up this wagering choice. Could provide positive profits based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 62. Handler boasts very strong win figs at this distance and surface. VERIFYING - This trainer is formidable with starters in baby races. Maybe a little unsafe in this baby race, but there are very good historic results for players on this bloodline. Sire's figures - Justify - support this betting selection. STANDARD OF PROOF - By Gun Runner, has a clear advantage in the bloodlines - brothers and sisters have raced well as two-year olds. This group gives this handler an edge with a quite good two year old. Handler boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface.
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