2-16-09

[Guest]

Re: 2-16-09

NSA's Selection
CBB Pittsburgh @ Connecticut 7:00 PM EST 20* Pittsburgh +3.5
CBB Texas @ Texas A&M 9:00 PM EST 10* Texas A&M +2
CBB Pittsburgh @ Connecticut 7:00 PM EST 10* UNDER 136
CBB LA Tech @ New Mexico St 9:00 PM EST 10* La Tech +9
CBB Siena @ Iona 7:30 PM EST 10* Siena -4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NCAA:

1* La Tech +9
2* Texas -1

NHL:

1* Blue Jackets -125
3* Penguins/Islanders over 6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Frank Patron

10000 Unit Lock
Pittsburgh Panthers +3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

alatex 15*

A&M +2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Thank you for ordering from WinningAngle.com your one source for sports information on the web.

Winning Angle Plays for Monday

NCAA

Play Pittsburgh (+3.5) over Connecticut* (Top NCAA Play)

Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games after having won eighteen of the last twenty games and they are averaging over 86 points a game over the last five games.


Play Texas A&M (+2) over Texas* (Bonus NCAA Play)

Texas has lost 23 of the last 31 games against the spread coming off two or more consecutive OVER the totals and they have also lost 7 of the last 10 games against the spread vs. conference opponents this season.


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NBA Hoops

No NBA Hoops Plays Today



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NHL

Play Los Angeles (-215) over Atlanta* (NHL Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

BeatYourBookie.com

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Monday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Pittsburgh (+3.5) over Connecticut (NCAA)
(Big Monday Game of the Year)

Pittsburgh is 17-0 SU coming off four or more wins by 10 points or more
Pittsburgh is 18-1 SU after scoring 80 points or more in the last game
Connecticut is 1-6 ATS coming off ten or more consecutive wins



100* Play Texas A&M (+2) over Texas (NCAA)

Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS when the line is between +3 to -3
Texas A&M is 6-1 ATS after having lost 3 of the last 4 games
Texas A&M is 6-1 ATS when revenging a same season loss vs. opponent


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Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays


30* Play Pittsburgh (-180) over NY Islanders (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Bob Balfe
NCAA Basketball
Iona +4 over Siena

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Indian Cowboy


4 Unit Play. #503. Take Louisiana Tech +9 over New Mexico State (Monday @ 9pm est). Congrats on another winning week in college hoops (albeit small) and a winning week overall in hoops. That makes 5 of 6 winning weeks in college and 8 straight winning weeks in the NBA. But, we have more to accomplish and if there is one thing that I've learned in this business as it is not nearing a decade of capping, you never rest on your laurels - and you treat each day as if you neither lost or won - treat it neutral. It all comes down to research, patience and hard work. If you can do that 365 days a year being level headed - you will be just fine. This is why I love the site that I am with as it gives me a chance in a non-overly toutish way to publish, research, and the liberty to cap via flat betting with consistency. This is much better than being forced to sell for the day and being overly toutish - I hate that. As per the game today, I like La Tech catching the points. You know, I gave a strong look at the Pitt vs. Uconn game today and actually leaned on the under and nearly wrote the analysis last night. But, I held back simply b/c I think Pitt can very well win that game SU. I still think it can go under, the but the total has dropped two points, and if I think the dog is going to do well, then it would go with my active dog/over theory which I have published relentlessly about the last four years. So, it would go against my view to take the total if Pitt is competitive in that game. Let's ride La Tech today on the road. La Tech has quietly pulled themselves into a top 200 power ranked team. They have not faced New Mexico State this year, but have plenty of revenge from being swept last year. Note, that La Tech does have talent enough to beat Fresno State by 13 at home (same team that took State to OT just recently at State), lost to conference stud Utah State by just 8 on the road, and even beat a top 120 Nevada team on the road outright by 3 by dropping 78 points on the highway on them. New Mexico State is a talented team and they are 7-5 in conference play and I'm not taking that away from them. But, they are not the type of team that blows other teams out in conference play. When the played Fresno State recently, they won in OT (who is a similarly ranked team to La Tech), this team too beat Nevada on the road by 2 points (same as La Tech) and beat San Jose State by 8 and Hawaii by 10 at home. I can see La Tech hanging tough most of this game on the road today as if they can hang within 8 to Utah State who is a top 50 team, why can they not hang tough against New Mexico State who doesn't necessarily blow teams out at home. I have La Tech losing by 6 here and will take the 9 points. The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS as an Underdog of this margin, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and New Mexico State is 0-4 ATS as a favorite of this margin at home. Let's ride the Bulldogs who are also 16-5 ATS as a road underdog in their last 21 contests.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

kelso

Pitt 25 units
Texas A&M 5 units

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Kelso
4 units La Tech +8.5
3 units Loy Md -6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

CHARLIE

cbb. pitt @ uconn over 136 (500*)
cbb. texas a & m +2' (30*)
nba. uconn-3' (20*)
cbb. texas @ texas a&m under 131 (20*)
cbb. la tech @ new mexico st over 136(10*)
cbb. new mexico st-9 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Scott Rickenbach’s College Hoops Game #503 - 2* (Top Play) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (+) @ New Mexico State @ 9 PM ET – The Bulldogs are offering significant line value in this spot. Many people get hung up on the records in a spot like this and that is what gives us such value in games like this. Only Fresno State is lower in the standings than Louisiana Tech but, keep in mind, those Bulldogs just gave the Aggies all they could handle. New Mexico State had to go to overtime to beat them and so the 8 point final margin should be taken with a grain of salt. Also, these Bulldogs will test the Aggies even further. Louisiana Tech just walloped Fresno State in their last game. Not only have they won two of their last three but the lone loss for the Bulldogs during this run was at Utah State. Of course those Aggies are sitting atop the Western Athletic Conference and the Bulldogs were within four points late in that game before having to settle for an eight point loss. Overall, the Bulldogs have been a very competitive team in conference action and note that they’ve already played five of their conference games against three of the top teams (Utah State, Nevada, and Boise State) in the WAC. Even with that, the Aggies only have two conference losses by more than eight points. In other words, giving Louisiana Tech the nine points (currently they’re +9 for this game) in each of their twelve conference games would have resulted in a 10-2 ATS mark in conference action.

The Bulldogs simply don’t stop fighting. No matter what the score they keep fighting and battling all the way. Also, they’re confidence right now is at an all-time high because they have won two of their last three and the only loss came to the best team in the conference and the Bulldogs gave that team all it could handle. Though Louisiana Tech is not known for it’s scoring prowess, they have been very impressive defensively and that is what keeps them in nearly all their games. Additionally, they have edges here in terms of the youth and inexperience of New Mexico State. We’ve seen this time and time again with the Aggies this season. They are one of the youngest teams in Division I basketball and it shows up in the way they often struggle to put teams away. Look for a repeat of that tonight. Note that New Mexico State has truly been anything but special this season as they’re full season record is just 13-12. Also, none of their last six wins has come by more than ten points and, in fact, the average margin of victory in those games is just 5.5 points per win and that includes the benefit of the aforementioned eight-point overtime win. Had they layed the nine points their laying tonight in their last 11 games, the Aggies would be 1-10 ATS. As you can see, there is tremendous value in this spot with a scrappy Bulldogs team that is also quite talented as Kyle Gibson, Magnum Rolle, and Jamel Guyton are all very capable scorers for this team. Play Louisiana Tech plus the points as a Top Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Drew Gordon

Today's Games...

1. 300,000? Pittsburgh

2. 50,000? Texas A&M


1. Pittsburgh- While the public seemingly loves the # 1 ranked home team in this contest, I couldn't disagree more! True, the Huskies are playing well, but several factors will be their downfall in this showdown, but let's start with the injury to G Jerome Dyson.
I've always told my clients not to overeact to an injury, but in this case, its clear the Dyson injury has had an immediate impact on the Huskies and will continue to be a problem going forward. They did not look nearly as fluid at Seton Hall, working with only a 7-man rotation, it was clear the Huskies got tired down the stretch, scoring only 29 points in the second half. Also, there's no question back up guard Craig Austrie (39% shooter, only 14 steals compared to Dyson's 44 steals) is a MAJOR step down from Dyson.
The shortening of the rotation has to scare Connecticut-backers, because the Huskies are not a deep team, and will be hard-pressed to match Pittsburgh's energy level if they continue to go with a shortened rotation. Note, the improved play of Gilbert Brown and solid play of Wannamaker give the Panthers a huge edge coming off the bench.
From a match up standpoint, no team in the Big East in better equipped to deal with the Huskies frontline than Pittsburgh. In fact, I'd argue that its UCONN that needs to worry tonight, because for as good as Thabeet has been of late, he's very foul prone, and that will be a huge issue for the Huskies tonight. The frontline of Blair, Young, and Biggs is as good as any in the nation, and the fact they have the BEST point guard in the country feeding them the basketball is the difference in this one. Levance Fields 3.98 assists to 1 turnover ratio is outstanding, and you best believe he'll be finding his bigmen all night long.
One final note, with Dyson out, the Pitt defense will be able to concentrate on two things: A. Stopping Thabeet, who can be stopped if given proper attention (Adrien on the other hand, is not as raw offensively). And B. Putting pressure on AJ Price, who's been known to turn the ball over plenty (leads team with 65 turnovers). Look for Dixon to provide another lockdown defensive effort on the perimeter, much like he did Saturday against the Bearcats (just ask the Cincinnati's Deonta Vaughn how good a defender he is)! In the end, Pittsburgh has all the pieces necessary to win this game, and while we'll still take the points, don't be surprise if we see another # 1 get knocked off tonight.

Take Pittsburgh plus the points over Connecticut as your top-rated play of the day.



2. Texas A&M- Needless to say, this is a BIG game for the Aggies, who have stumbled down the stretch and desperately need to get back on track. Losers of 6 of their last 8 games, they've struggled in conference play, but if ever there was a time to back A&M, it would be tonight against rival Texas and here's why:
Although the Longhorns snapped their 3-game losing streak earlier this month, winning their last 2 games, I'm still not convinced. True, their home win over Okie State was impressive, but we're not talking about a home game here tonight. More notable is their near loss at Colorado, where they needed OT to get the win, but the game was razor close throughout, so don't let the final score fool you. That was a game they were expected to win, and clearly they did not play well on the road. More of the same tonight, as they face an even tougher task tonight at Redd Arena, where the Aggies are 13-2 SU and desperate for a bounce back win.
Much has been made of the Aggies recent SU slide, but bettors know they have remained profitable ATS, covering 5 of their last 6, including their most recent meeting with Texas, a 67-58 road loss, but cover as a 12-point dog. Factor in the revenge angle, and you've got the perfect storm brewing for an impressive A&M effort tonight. Note, Texas has won the last two meetings, so there's plenty of payback to be had in this one!
Finally, the biggest reason the Longhorns have found themselves in trouble of late, has been their lack of intensity on defense. Texas is allowing 72 ppg on nearly 44% shooting over their last 5 games, including getting torched by Colorado for almost 49% shooting in their last one. Defense like that could EASILY cost them this contest, as the Aggies are much better team than Colorado, and Texas will learn that the hard way tonight.
Take Texas A&M plus the points over Texas in this college hoops match up.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Seabass Steam (200) Pitt

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-16-09

Helmut
uconn under 135