Sunday 9/18/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Miami at Baltimore: The Miami Dolphins made a lot of headlines in the offseason, particularly due to the splash it made with the trade for WR Tyreek Hill. But in Week 1, the defense stole the show, as the team posted a 20-7 victory while allowing just 78 yards on the ground and 193 yards through the air. Miami was also a plus-3 in the turnover department, which helps.

The UNDER easily cashed in Miami's game, and Baltimore did the same against another AFC East foe, the New York Jets. Gang Green was forced to start QB Joe Flacco, the former Raven, as QB Zach Wilson continues to recover from arthroscopic knee surgery done last month. As you can expect, New York's offense was a train wreck, and Baltimore allowed just nine points for the UNDER result.

For Miami, it closed on a 5-0 UNDER run in its final five road games last season, and the UNDER is 8-3 in the past 11 games overall. The UNDER is also 8-2 in the past games in the month of September, while going 8-2 in the past 10 following a straight-up win.

Baltimore is also on an UNDER kick lately, going 7-3 in the past 10 games overall dating back to last season, while cashing the UNDER in six in a row when favored.

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N.Y. Jets at Cleveland: The aforementioned Jets cobbled together just nine points and 83 yards on the ground last week vs. BAL. Yes, the Jets did end up with 295 passing yards, but a lot of those came late in the game with things already decided, and Baltimore in more of a prevent defense, including the team's only touchdown with exactly one minute left in regulation to cut the lead to 24-9, the game's final score.

Unlike the Jets, the Browns cashed the OVER in Week 1, outlasting the Carolina Panthers 26-24 in Charlotte. The run game picked up right where it left off, as the Browns gashed the Panthers for 217 yards on 39 carries, while managing just 138 yards through the air. New York run defense, be ready!

The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five September games for the Jets, while going 4-1 in the past five on a grass surface. The UNDER is also 4-0 in New York's past four meetings against Cleveland. The UNDER is also 5-1 in Cleveland's past six games at home, while going 5-1 in the past six when favored, too.

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Washington at Detroit: The UNDER went 11-5 across the NFL in Week 1, but these teams weren't having any of it. In fact, this is the only Week 2 matchup featuring two teams which hit the OVER in Week 1.

Washington outlasted the Jacksonville Jaguars by a 28-22 count to hit the OVER, as QB Carson Wentz had a successful debut with four touchdown strikes. Meanwhile, the boys in Honolulu Blue and Silver were topped by the visiting Philadelphia Eagles 38-35 in the highest-scoring game of Week 1. In fact, only the Kansas City-Arizona game (65 total points), with Washington's game with 50 points tied with Cleveland-Carolina for the third-most total points.

Despite the OVER last week, the UNDER is still 9-4 in the past 13 games overall for Washington. Of course, this offense looked completely different with Wentz under center. But, it was also facing the lowly Jaguars, too.

The OVER is 5-2 in Detroit's past seven games overall, while going 4-1 in the past five on a field-turf surface and 17-7 in the past 24 overall at Ford Field.

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Carolina at N.Y. Giants: The Panthers fell behind by 14 points midway through the second quarter, and it looked like the same ol' Carolina offense. But down 20-8 heading into the fourth quarter, new QB Baker Mayfield and the offense rallied, taking a 24-23 lead late before falling on a 58-yard field goal with :08 left. The OVER cashed with six minutes to go in regulation.

Speaking of things not looking like the past, the Giants went on the road and topped the Tennessee Titans in head coach Brian Daboll's debut. Down 20-13 late, the team elected to go for two on a late touchdown, converted, and led 21-20. The Titans blew a field goal at the buzzer to win it. That field goal, if good, would've made the total go OVER by a half-point at most shops. Or, if Daboll didn't go for two, instead opting for potential OT, tied 20-20, the game had a chance to go OVER. It was close, but officially, it went UNDER.

The Panthers have hit the OVER in four of the past five games on the road, while the UNDER is a whopping 20-5-1 in the past 26 games overall for the G-Men, 12-1 in the past 13 against teams with a record under .500, and 18-7-1 in the past 26 at the Meadowlands. These teams met last season, too, and New York won 25-3 in this same venue for an easy UNDER.

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New England at Pittsburgh: The Patriots offense looked lost in the heat and humidity of South Florida, losing and cashing the UNDER against the Dolphins for the second straight regular-season opener. New England is on the road for a second consecutive game, looking to get on track against a Steelers team which had a surprise for the defending AFC champs.

The Steelers won 23-20 in overtime at Cincinnati, stealing a game despite the fact the offense managed just 75 rushing yards and 192 passing yards. Watch the health of RB Najee Harris this week, too. He exited with a foot injury, although head coach Mike Tomlin is optimistic Harris will be ready in Week 2. But the bad news is that the team lost tackle machine T.J. Watt to a torn pectoral muscle, and he is out indefinitely.

Both of these teams hit the UNDER last week, and neither team looked terribly good on offense.

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Atlanta at L.A. Rams: The Falcons frittered away a 26-10 lead with just over 11 minutes to go in regulation, falling 27-26 to the Saints as the OVER connected. Hey, at least it wasn't the Super Bowl.

Speaking of the Super Bowl, the defending champ Rams lost in what some think was a Super Bowl preview. The Buffalo Bills came to town and waxed the current belt holders by a 31-10 score as the UNDER cashed.

The UNDER hit in four of the final five games on the road for the Falcons to close out last season, and it remains to be seen if the team will have a more powerful offense with QB Marcus Mariota taking the reins from Ryan. The Rams have hit the UNDER in 21 of the past 28 games at home, while going 28-10-1 in the past 39 as a favorite, and 19-7 in the past 26 as a home favorite.

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Houston at Denver: The Texans managed a 20-20 tie against the Colts, an UNDER result. Not many were surprised to see Houston's offense struggle. The UNDER is 6-1 in Houston's past seven road games, while going 6-1 in the past seven following an ATS win, too. In addition, the UNDER is 5-1-1 in the past seven in Week 2, for whatever that's worth.

The Broncos struggled on Monday night in Seattle, falling 17-16 as the UNDER easily hit. The field goal game was on point, but the red-zone offense and late clock management was an absolute joke, especially if you were holding an OVER ticket.

Non-Conference Angles
The Week 1 slate featured six AFC vs. NFC battles, including the Thursday night and Monday night games. The OVER-UNDER split 3-3 in those contests.

In Week 2 we have two AFC-NFC matchups, both featured in the late window on Sunday.

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Cincinnati at Dallas: The Bengals were absolutely atrocious in Week 1, particularly QB Joe Burrow. He had four interceptions and a fumble lost, and to make matters worse, the kicking game was a problem spot, too. The UNDER cashed in the 23-20 overtime loss, but not without some heart problems. UNDER bettors were feeling good as Cincinnati scored with zeroes left in regulation. It just needed an extra point to win 21-20, but PK Evan McPherson had his attempt blocked, forcing OT.

Did I say atrocious? That might be too nice for the performance of Dallas in Week 1. The Pokes lost 19-3 to the Buccaneers at Jerry World, and they lost Prescott to a thumb injury. Dallas managed just 71 rushing yards and 173 passing yards.

The UNDER has cashed in six straight for the Bengals, while going 4-0 in the past four as an underdog, too. The UNDER is 20-7-2 in the past 29 road games for Cincinnati, too. For the Cowboys, the UNDER is 10-3 in the past 13 dating back to last season, while hitting in five of the past seven games at home.

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Arizona at Las Vegas: The Cardinals, like many others in the past, had no answers for Mahomes. Arizona's pass defense was horrific, and the offense couldn't do anything until late in the game. Still, Arizona was one of a handful of teams to see the OVER cash in Week 1.

The Raiders never really threatened the OVER in their game with the Chargers, falling 24-19 on a total of 52.5. Vegas failed to run the ball, going for 64 yards on 13 totes, while QB Derek Carr posted three interceptions.

Against AFC teams, Arizona hit the UNDER at a 4-1 clip, although again, last week was an OVER. The UNDER was 3-2 in five games for the Raiders against NFC teams in 2021, too.

Primetime Notes
The UNDER went a perfect 3-0 in the Week 1 primetime games, including the only team not to score at least one touchdown. The UNDER produced at a 25-19-1 (56.9%) clip in 46 primetime games during the 2021 regular season.

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Sunday Night Football Notes
Chicago at Green Bay: The Bears might have received some help from the rain last week, as a slow track helped them in a 19-10 win at Soldier Field against the 49ers as the UNDER easily connected. In fact, the Bears game was the third-lowest scoring game in the NFL in Week 1.

The Packers were one of just four NFL teams to score in single digits, and the seven points it scored last week was tied for second-lowest. Green Bay could get well against Chicago, as it has scored 45, 24, 45 and 41 in the past four meetings with the Bears, cashing the OVER at a 3-1 clip during the span.

The OVER is 4-0 in Chicago's past four as a road 'dog, while going 4-1 in the past five overall on the road. The Packers have cashed the OVER in five of the past seven as a favorite, and 4-1 in the past five vs. NFC North, although that lone UNDER was last week's debacle in Minnesota.

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Scott Rickenbach

Sep 18 '22, 9:15 AM in 20m
Soccer | West Ham United vs Everton

Play on: Everton +201 at BetVegas

EPL Sunday Free Pick Everton +200 vs West Ham United @ 9:15 AM ET - Like this one for a sneaky spot on the home dog Everton. They are so hungry for their first win of the season and they are on their home pitch here and catching West Ham off B2B wins in UEFA Europa Conference League action including a match just a few days ago on the 15th. So here we will take a shot with the big home dog and look for an upset win with the generous 2 to 1 odds on the money line. Keep in mind, West Ham has not exactly been lighting the world on fire in the league action so far either. Great home dog value worth, in my opinion, absolutely worth a look here. Free Pick EVERTON +200

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Jack Jones

Sep 18 '22, 1:00 PM in 4h
NFL | Washington Commanders vs Lions

Play on: [B]Lions -1

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Black Widow

Sep 18 '22, 1:00 PM in 4h
NFL | Jets vs Browns

Play on: [B]UNDER 39

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Steve Janus

Sep 18 '22, 1:00 PM in 4h
NFL | Commanders vs Lions

Play on: OVER 48 -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Washington Commanders vs Lions over 48 -110

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Ricky Tran

Sep 18 '22, 1:00 PM in 4h
NFL | Jets vs Browns

Play on: Jets +7 -120 at Ace

Ricky's 1* play on NYJ.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
Key Trends:
- The Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- The Browns are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 versus AFC team.
- The Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite.
Verdict: This line looks to be a little inflated.