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Sunday 9/25/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Sunday's NFL Free Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -6
I think this is the week to jump on the Bengals as a 6-point road favorite against the Jets. I played against Cincinnati in Week 1. I should have done the same in Week 2 at Dallas. This team was being way overpriced coming off last year's Super Bowl appearance.
Thing is they should be 2-0 and I just don't see them leaving any doubt in this one trying to avoid the 0-3 start. The great news for them is they play a bad Jets team. One that is getting a lot of attention for their crazy 31-30 come from behind win over the Browns last week.
The Jets had no business winning that game. Cleveland could have not scored and fell down at the 1 an ran the clock out. The Browns also missed an extra point while scoring that late TD to up 31-17. They then somehow aren't in prevent and give up a 66-yard TD pass, failed to recover an onside kick and gave up another TD in a span of like 90 seconds.
I think it's created a great spot to fade the Jets, who I think will be a little flat off that crazy win. The biggest thing I think that gets overlooked with New York is that they have trailed 24-3 and 31-17 with less than 2 minutes to play in the 4th quarter in their two games.
I also think it's a much easier matchup for the Cincinnati offense. Clearly the offensive line, mainly pass protection, is still a problem. Didn't help matters their first two games were against maybe the two best pass rushers in TJ Watt and Micah Parsons. Jets don't have an elite edge rusher. They got just 3 sacks in 2 games.
With all that said, I think the Bengals could have a "B-" type of performance and still win this game by 7 or more points. I think we are going to get their "A" game after the 0-2 start. Give me the Bengals -6!
Play - Detroit Lions (Game 469).
Edges - Lions: 8-3 ATS as a dog of 7-plus points … Vikings: 0-3 ATS in this series … With NFL home teams just 18-24-1 ATS overall when they are headed to London the following week, we recommend a 1* play on Detroit. Thank you and good luck as always. …
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