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Marco D'Angelo
4%
[NFL] (101) Miami Dolphins at (102) Cincinnati Bengals
Time: 8:15 PM EDT
Total Over 47.0 (-110)
Analysis:
4% (101) MIAMI/CINCINNATI OVER 47
Quick turnaround for Miami after their Biggest game of the Year beating Buffalo last Sunday. If you look deeper at the stats you will see that Buffalo although they only had 19 points had 497 yards of offense. They kept shooting themselves in the foot leaving points off the board. I expect Cincinnati to be able to move the football and get it into the Endzone as the short week and playing a team that they don’t usually face gives the Bengal Offense a Big advantage. It also must be noted that although Cincinnati has only allowed 23,20 and 12 points the 3 opponents all were teams with struggling offenses. Miami’s offense is the best that Cincinnati will have faced so far and Cincinnati is the worst defense that the Miami offense will have faced. That all adds up to high flying shootout on Thursday. We also find the following:
Key Stat: Play Over on Road teams against the total (MIAMI) that have been outgained by their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. This league wide system is 38-13 to the OVER the L10 Seasons.
TAKE MIAMI/CINCINNATI OVER 47 as my 4% TNF BEST BET
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
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