Sunday 10/2/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:14 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Belmont at the Big A, Santa Anita Park Park, and Churchill Downs for October 2, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

It’s time to round out another great weekend of racing! For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont at the Big A for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Churchill Downs and Santa Anita Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s GO!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Belmont at the Big A:

Belmont at the Big A October 2, 2022

Race 7: Fasig-Tipton Waya Stakes (G3)

#2 Flirting Bridge has been close to in two straight starts against graded stakes company in her last two starts. She has hit the board in all of her starts in the United States. #8 Rocky Sky has been running well lately and should be ready for this small bump up in class today.

Race 8: Frizette Stakes (G1)
freestar

#4 Chocolate Gelato disappointed a bit on debut; however, rebounded in a big way last time out at Saratoga. She should move forward nicely off of that effort today. #6 The Great Maybe could not have been more impressive on debut last time out at Saratoga. She looks ready to take on stakes company today.

Race 9: Pilgrim Stakes (G2)

#10 Im Very Busy was an impressive maiden special weight winner on debut last time out for Chad Brown. He should move forward off of that race today. #5 Battle of Normandy was also very impressive on debut before running a tough luck second last time out in a stakes race at Saratoga.

Race 10: Starter Allowance

#3 Relate has run well in two start since moving over to the turf. Today we should see more of the same from him. #10 Frenchboro returns from a layoff today; however, he had been running well at this level before the break.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 2,5,6,8 / 4,6 / 5,10 / 2,3,5,10 – $32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:15 AM

Sunday’s games

National League
Philadelphia (85-73) @ Washington (55-103)
— Wheeler is 0-2, 4.64 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 14-11 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-25
— record in first 5 innings: 10-12-3
— He is 9-14, 4.44 in 27 starts vs Washington.

— Phillies lost six of last eight games.
— They lead Milwaukee by a game for last playoff spot.
— Philly is 38-39 on road.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 42-158
— record in first 5 innings: 65-68-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-5.1

— Corbin is 1-1, 3.10 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 3-14 in his last 17 starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 8-19-3
— He is 0-3, 16.87 in three starts vs Philly TY.

— Washington is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
— Nationals are 26-54 at home.
— under 11-4-1 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-158
— record in first 5 innings: 41-95-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-9.1

Cincinnati (60-98) @ Chicago (72-86)
— Anderson is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
— Cincinnati is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 5-5, 3.33 in 14 starts vs Chicago.

— Reds are 9-21 in last 30 games.
— Cincinnati is 29-51 on road.
— under 15-5-2 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-158
— record in first 5 innings: 50-80-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.1-3

— Stroman is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 9-15 in his starts (3-0 last three).
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-4
— He is 3-1, 3.07 in five starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cubs are 14-4 in their last 18 games.
— Cubs are 36-44 at home.
— under 17-5 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-158
— record in first 5 innings: 65-68-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-6

NY Mets (98-60) @ Atlanta (99-59)
— Bassitt is 4-1, 2.93 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 10-1 in his last 11 starts
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-29
— record in first 5 innings: 18-7-4
— He is 1-1, 2.77 in two starts vs Atlanta TY.

— Mets are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Mets are 47-33 on road.
— over 18-9 last 27 games.
— scored run in first inning: 53-158
— record in first 5 innings: 83-47-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-2.1
— Mets are game behind Atlanta in NL East race.

— Morton is 3-1, 5.27 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 6-3 in his last nine starts
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 16-11-3
— He is 1-2, 5.40 in three starts vs New York TY.

— Braves are 11-4 in their last 15 games.
— Atlanta is 54-26 at home.
— under 13-7 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-158
— record in first 5 innings: 88-52-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

Miami (66-92) @ Milwaukee (84-74)
— Lopez is 2-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 3-8 in his last 11 starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-5
— He is 1-1, 4.13 in four starts vs Milwaukee.

— Miami is 25-53 in its last 78 games.
— Marlins are 34-46 on road.
— under 7-3-1 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-157
— record in first 5 innings: 59-68-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-0-6

— Milwaukee hasn’t named a starter.

— Brewers are 13-9 in last 22 games.
— Milwaukee is 44-33 at home.
— under 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 49-158
— record in first 5 innings: 69-59-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1-4.2
— They trail Phillies by half-game for last Wild Card slot.

Pittsburgh (59-99) @ St Louis (92-66)
— Contreras is 0-1, 5.93 in his last three starts.
— Pittsburgh is 6-6 in his last 12 starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
— He is 1-0, 4.66 in two starts vs St Louis TY.

— Pirates are 4-3 in last seven games.
— Pittsburgh is 27-53 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-158
— record in first 5 innings: 49-80-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3

— Wainwright is 1-2, 6.16 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 7-9 in his last 16 starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-5
— He is 2-0, 0.69 in two starts vs Pittsburgh TY.

— Cardinals are 3-1 in last four games.
— St Louis is 53-27 at home.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-158
— record in first 5 innings: 69-63-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3
— Cardinals have clinched a playoff spot

Colorado (65-93) @ Los Angeles (110-48)
— Marquez is 0-3, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 15-15 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 12-30
— record in first 5 innings: 6-18-6
— He is 0-3, 6.04 in four starts vs Los Angeles TY.

— Colorado is 8-14 in its last 22 games.
— Rockies are 24-53 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-155
— record in first 5 innings: 42-88-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-3.1

— Anderson is 1-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 4-4 in his last eight starts
— under 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 2-27
— record in first 5 innings: 14-8-5
— He is 1-1, 2.65 in three games vs Colorado TY.

— Dodgers are 7-4 in last 11 games.
— Los Angeles is 56-21 at home.
— under 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-157
— record in first 5 innings: 89-37-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-4
— Dodgers have clinched a playoff spot

Arizona (73-85) @ San Francisco (79-79)
— Davies is 0-1, 7.16 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 6-4 in his last ten starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-9
— He is 1-4, 3.70 in nine starts vs San Francisco.

— Diamondbacks are 8-16 in last 24 games.
— Arizona is 33-44 on road.
— under 12-7 last 19
— scored run in first inning: 44-158
— record in first 5 innings: 68-53-37
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-3

— bullpen game

— Giants are 14-6 in their last 20 games.
— San Francisco is 43-37 at home.
— under 16-7 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-158
— record in first 5 innings: 63-68-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4.2

American League
Baltimore (81-77) @ Bronx (97-60)
— Bladish is 1-1, 6.89 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 13-9
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 4.2 IP in a May 16 start vs New York.

— Orioles lost four of last five games.
— Baltimore is 37-43 on road.
— under 27-17-1 last 45 games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-158
— record in first 5 innings: 59-74-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3

— bullpen game

— New York is 18-6 in its last 24 games.
— New York is 57-23 at home.
— over 14-7 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 54-157
— record in first 5 innings: 79-47-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-1.2
— New York has clinched a playoff spot

Boston (75-83) @ Toronto (89-69)
— Wacha is 0-0, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 14-3-5
— He is 1-0, 4.09 in two starts vs Toronto TY.

— Red Sox are 8-15 in their last 23 games.
— Boston is 35-45 on road.
— over 8-3-1 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-158
— record in first 5 innings: 62-65-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

— Gausman is 1-1, 4.38 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-6
— He is 3-0, 2.61 in five starts vs Boston TY.

— Blue Jays are 21-11 in their last 32 games.
— Toronto is 46-34 at home.
— over 11-5-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-158
— record in first 5 innings: 63-59-36
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-3
— Toronto clinched a playoff spot, is still playing for home field in first round.

Kansas City (64-94) @ Cleveland (89-69)
— Castillo is 0-1, 5.93 in three starts.
— Royals are 2-1 in his those three starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Kansas City is 1-4 in its last five games.
— Royals are 25-52 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 42-158
— record in first 5 innings: 61-75-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-4

— Bieber is 4-0, 2.25 in his last five starts.
— Guardians are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— under 7-1 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-5
— He is 1-0, 1.46 in two starts vs Kansas City TY.

— Guardians are 21-5 in their last 26 games.
— Cleveland is 43-34 at home.
— under 30-19-2 last 51 games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-158
— record in first 5 innings: 64-64-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5.1
— Cleveland has clinched a playoff spot.

Minnesota (77-81) @ Detroit (64-93)
— bullpen game

— Minnesota is 8-14 in its last 22 games.
— Twins are 31-46 on road.
— under 12-6-2 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-158
— record in first 5 innings: 78-57-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

— Wentz is 2-2, 1.93 in six starts.
— Tigers are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He threw 4 shutout IP vs Minnesota May 31.

— Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 games.
— Detroit is 35-46 at home.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-157
— record in first 5 innings: 53-83-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-4.2

Tampa Bay (86-72) @ Houston (103-55)
— Kluber is 0-2, 7.56 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 10-5 in his last 15 starts.
— over 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-15-1
— He is 6-3, 2.86 in 11 starts vs Houston.

— Tampa Bay is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Rays are 35-42 on road.
— under 6-4 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 45-158
— record in first 5 innings: 75-56-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3
— Rays clinched a playoff spot last nite, are still going for home field.

— Garcia is 6-0, 3.55 in his last seven starts.
— Astros are 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-27
— record in first 5 innings: 19-7-1
— He is 1-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Astros are 8-4 in last 12 games.
— Houston is 52-25 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 56-158
— record in first 5 innings: 94-40-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-3
— Astros have clinched #1 seed in AL.

Texas (66-91) @ LA Angels (72-86)
— Texas hasn’t named a starter.

— Rangers are 8-22 in last 30 games.
— Texas is 34-46 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 43-157
— record in first 5 innings: 55-72-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-3

— Davidson is 0-3, 9.22 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He is 0-1, 5.40 in one start vs Texas.

— Angels are 11-4 in their last 15 games.
— Angels are 39-41 at home.
— under 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 46-158
— record in first 5 innings: 74-60-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3-2

A’s (56-102) @ Seattle (87-70)
— Kaprielian is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-9
— He is 1-1, 3.13 in four starts vs Seattle TY.

— A’s are 11-25 in last 36 games.
— Oakland is 30-51 on road.
— over 15-10 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-158
— record in first 5 innings: 50-80-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2

— Ray is 0-3, 4.57 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 5-7 in his last 12 starts
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 10-15-6
— He is 1-1, 2.55 in four starts vs Oakland TY.

— Seattle clinched their first playoff spot since 2001 Friday.
— Mariners are 4-0 in their last four games.
— Seattle is 43-33 at home.
— under 23-11-1 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 54-157
— record in first 5 innings: 67-67-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-1-3

Interleague game
White Sox (78-80) @ San Diego (87-71)
— Lynn is 2-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 11-9 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-2
— He is 3-3, 2.94 in eight starts vs San Diego.

— White Sox lost nine of last 11 games.
— Chicago is 43-37 on road.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 39-158
— record in first 5 innings: 62-77-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-3

— Snell is 2-0, 0.47 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 3-0 in his last three starts.
— under 13-10
— allowed run in first inning: 3-23
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-6
— He is 4-0, 0.86 in six starts vs Chicago.

— Padres are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— San Diego is 42-35 at home.
— under 12-4-1 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-158
— record in first 5 innings: 73-53-32
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:15 AM

Bendigo racing tips & quaddie numbers | Sunday, October 2
September 30, 2022 3:34 pm.
James Herbert

What Seymour Cup Day 2022
Where Bendigo Jockey Club – Heinz St, White Hills VIC 3550
When Sunday, October 2, 2022
First Race 1pm AEDT
Ladbrokes Logo

Visit Ladbrokes

Bendigo Jockey Club is scheduled to host an eight-race program on Sunday afternoon, headlined by the Listed Seymour Cup (1600m). With plenty of rain in the region throughout the week, the track has come up a Heavy 9, but with a near-perfect day forecast on Sunday, an upgrade early on the program would not surprise. The day of racing gets underway at 1pm AEST.
Seymour Cup Top Tip – Noname Lane

We were with the Will Clarken-trained Noname Lane when he won the Listed Balaklava Cup on September 14, and we anticipate he will go on with the job here on Sunday. Having sat outside the lead throughout the 1600m event, the Shamus Award gelding took over inside the final furlong and kept kicking to suggest a race like the Seymour Cup is well within his grasp. From barrier 12 under the urgings of Linda Meech, we expect to see Noname Lane in a prominent position once more, and in a race where he looks like he will gain an uncontested lead throughout, we expect he will continue on his winning ways. He has won four of his last five starts and boasts a wet track record of 13: 8-2-0, so we know he will handle the conditions. Online betting sites are betting up to $6.50 for this guy to win, and that looks a perfect price to load into.
Seymour Cup

Race 7 – Silk #7 Noname Lane (12)

6yo Gelding | T: Will Clarken | J: Linda Meech (54kg)

$6.50 with Ladbrokes
Best Bet at Bendigo – Mister Me

The Symon Wilde-trained Mister Me was impressive when leading throughout to claim victory at the Bendigo 1300m on September 21, and we expect he will make it consecutive wins at the track as he steps out in the final event. The way he won on that day suggests he will only get better as he steps out in trip this campaign, and despite this being his first go at the mile, he looks the one they will have to gun down. He goes up 2kg off that last-start win, but considering he remains in BM64 company, this looks to be no harder than the field he disposed of last time out. From the widest barrier, John Allen should have Mister Me settled outside expected race leader Black Ivory throughout, and when asked for an effort, we expect Mister Me to leave his rivals behind in a couple of strides.
Best Bet

Race 8 – Silk #1 Mister Me (15)

4yo Gelding | T: Symon Wilde | J: John Allen (62.5kg)

$2.70 with Palmerbet
Next Best at Bendigo – Dartboard

Having finished second on debut at Geelong on September 15, Goldophin’s Dartboard comes to the Bendigo 1500m and looks one of the better bets of the day. The three-year-old gelding was defeated by a length on debut, which was even better than it reads on paper given he was forced to run on in the inferior going. The step up to 1500m from the 1225m looks to be ideal for this bloke, who looks like he will appreciate getting out further in trip as his career goes on. Damien Oliver sticks on board, and if he can have this three-year-old lobbed midfield with cover, he will be a real threat in the home straight. He handled a Heavy 8 track at Geelong and with similar conditions expected on Sunday, we expect Dartboard to get us off to a winning start at Bendigo.
Next Best

Race 1 – Silk #2 Dartboard (11)

3yo Gelding | T: James Cummings | J: Damien Oliver (58kg)

$2.20 with Neds
Best Value at Bendigo – Barmah Al

The Daryl Archard-trained Barmah Al returns to Bendigo looking to build on a run of form in which he has finished no worse than fourth at his last three starts. The seven-year-old gelding has a strong affiliation with the track at Bendigo, winning twice and placing on two further occasions from five starts. He relishes rain-affected going, with five of his six career wins coming on wet ground, and considering he will be up on speed throughout this 2400m event, he will take some gunning down. With a majority of the key market fancies wanting to settle in the second half of the field, we are hoping this guy’s tactical advantage on those runners will prove to be beneficial.
Best Value

Race 4 – Silk #7 Barmah Al (11)

7yo Gelding | T: Daryl Archard | J: Neil Farley (56.5kg)

$10 with Ladbrokes
Sunday quaddie tips for Bendigo
Bendigo quadrella selections

Sunday, October 1, 2022

2-3-4-7
4-5-6-7-9-10
1-2-5-6-7-11
1

Investment: $120 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:15 AM

Sunshine Coast racing tips & value bets | Sunday, October 2
October 1, 2022 4:36 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What Sunshine Coast Races
Where Sunshine Coast Turf Club – 170 Pierce Ave, Caloundra QLD 4551
When Sunday, October 2, 2022
First Race 1:16pm AEST

Visit Ladbrokes

Queensland metropolitan racing continues on Sunday with a nine-race program at the Sunshine Coast Turf Club. The track is currently rated a Good 4 but there is rain around on the forecast for Saturday and Sunday, so we may find ourselves in the Soft range by the jump of the first race at 1:16pm AEST. The rail will stay in the 3m position for the entire course, after being in the same position for racing on Wednesday.
Best Bet: Tranquil Bay

Our best bet of the day comes up in race seven where we will be siding with Tranquil Bay from the Robert Heathcote yard. After returning from a six month spell last week at this track, this four-year-old mare was hampered just about all the way down the straight and still ran second, going down by half a length first-up. Considering this daughter of Cable Bay has never won first-up, it was a good sign to see her run well with some more improvement to made going into her second-up run here. Ben Thompson will take the ride on this girl after piloting in her trial back on August 30. If Thompson can have this mare midfield and tracking wide around the bend, we should be seeing this girl record her second win at start 12.
Best Bet

Race 7 – Tranquil Bay silks#6 Tranquil Bay (11)

4yo Mare | T: Robert Heathcote | J: Ben Thompson (56.5kg)

$4.50 with Bet365
Next Best Bet: Wolf Moon

The Billy Healey-trained Wolf Moon will be our top tip and next best bet in the $50,000 Noosa Cup over 1400m. This five-year-old gelding returned from a six month spell at Doomben on September 14 for a fifth of seven carrying 60kg, which seemed to be a fitness run first-up. Considering his first-up form isn’t that great, we can easily move on to the second-up run here. Now that this son of Wandjina is second-up, it is time to bet. Wolf Moon has a 100% win rate second-up with two wins from two starts, therefore, we are going to be backing him here and hoping that the second-up record goes to three from three.
Next Best

Race 8 – Wolf Moon silks#7 Wolf Moon (10)

5yo Gelding | T: Billy Healey | J: Samantha Collett (56kg)

$7.50 with Bet365
Best Value Bet: Singer Sargent

In the second race of the day we have sided with a first starter from the Kacy Fogden yard, Singer Sargent in a 1200m Maiden Handicap. This three-year-old gelding has had two trials on Soft ground, where he has been very impressive without being asked to do a whole lot. The son of Speith looks a ready racehorse, with a great turn of foot and has a will to find the finish line first. If this guy can settle midfield from barrier six and get out wide on the bend, he will relish the 1200m and will be finishing very strong late, hopefully taking care of his maiden quickly.
Best Value

Race 2 – Singer Sargent silks#11 Singer Sargent (6)

3yo Gelding | T: Kasey Fogden | J: TBC (56kg)

$12.00 with Bet365
Sunday quaddie tips for Sunshine Coast races
Sunshine Coast quadrella selections

Sunday, October 2, 2022

1-5-6
5-6-9-10
7-8-10
2-3-4-7-13

Investment: $180 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:16 AM

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 2nd October 2022
by Racing & Sports

Racing and Sports highlight our standout plays at Australian TAB meetings for October 2.

BENDIGO: RACE 4 @ 2:45 PM

ANGELIC SCENT (2) gets her chance to break through for another win having run second at her past four starts including her last two behind Port Phillip who has won three on end. She'll handle any going and from a forward position in the run she's the one to beat. KISSINGER (1) ran on well for second in town last start when favourite. He goes to the trip for the first time but should handle it with the only query being a genuinely wet track. Keep safe. OUTBACK JACK (4) has placed at both runs back from a spell and is ready to win third up. Include among the main hopes. BARMAH AL (7) stuck to his task well in town last start in a strong form race and warrants respect from a forward position in the run. SELECTIONS: Angelic Scent can notch a deserved win.

NARRANDERA: RACE 1 @ 1:30 PM

STARSPANGLED TEXAN (3) has found the line strongly in his two career starts and was unlucky not to break through last time. N Souquet sticks after partnering in both starts. Very hard to hold out. PENICHE (6) showed plenty of fight to hold on to a placing after leading them up. Drawn to advantage and is rock-hard fit. Big chance. LITTLE MIST (5) has found herself too far back in her first two runs but has managed to close off nicely to the line. Drawn to settle much closer this time. Can make amends. DIAMOND CARAT (4) was among the placings last time when third at Wagga and will be fitter again. Can figure in the finish. SELECTIONS: Backing Starspangled Texan to win.
NORTHAM: RACE 5 @ 3:05 PM

SECRET IDENTITY (7) has missed a whisker here the last two settling back. Not sure the rail suits but he keeps a leading hoop and on a 7-day return is the one to beat. LINDEN LADY (11) is also in good hands and can build on the first-up near miss. Has a low gate and can make the finish again. ARAMAT (5) is busting to win and has the speed to manage the awkward barrier. She will give a sight again. FRECH (2) resumes and has shown enough to consider if presented on-song. SELECTIONS: With Secret Identity.
SUNSHINE COAST: RACE 7 @ 4:00 PM

SCRIPT WRITER (1) resumed further improved beaten a nose at Doomben. He's won second-up and will push forward. Fitter and can go one better. TRANQUIL BAY (6) is a former Victorian right up to this. Just missed here first-up for the Heathcote barn and is also a second up winner. Draws out but gets Thompson and fitter is a player. NOT ANOTHER (5) continues to race well without winning. Will enjoy the run of the race and is a chance. THE STIFMEISTER (2) and METAL ROCK (3) also deserve consideration. SELECTIONS: Backing Script Writer to win.
WANGARATTA: RACE 8 @ 4:15 PM

SAVENTINO (2) looks better than most of these and demonstrated that with an authoritative 8 len maiden win over 1350m at Donald on September 11. Azzopardi sticks and has the speed to overcome the wide draw. The one to beat again. GRISBI'S PAL (3) has got his hoof on the till after a string of minor placings at his last three outings. Sat just off the speed and no match for Diamond Model when second over 1400m at Wodonga on September 5. Claim helps and should figure prominently. AMEGDUL (1) should be at his peak now third-up and gives the indication he's looking for 1300m now. Will get back again from the gate and swoop late. SELECTIONS: Saventino to win.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:16 AM

Interstate Racing Tips – Sunday October 2nd

Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – Sunday October 2nd

RSN927

Sky Race caller Terry Spargo covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Grafton on Sunday the 2nd of October.
Grafton Tips

Grafton, 2nd October 2022

Race 1 Selections: 1,9,2,8
Race 2 Selections: 6,8,9,1
Race 3 Selections: 1,3,8,2
Race 4 Selections: 1,7,6,8
Race 5 Selections: 6,1,4,5
Race 6 Selections: 1,5,9,2
Race 7 Selections: 5,3,9,6
Race 8 Selections: 5,7,1,3

Sky Race caller James Tait covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Narrandera on Sunday the 2nd of October.
Narrandera Tips

Narrandera, 2nd October 2022

Race 1 Selections: 3,6,9,4
Race 2 Selections: 6,9,4,5
Race 3 Selections: 5,9,7,8
Race 4 Selections: 2,4,6,5
Race 5 Selections: 2,1,3,4
Race 6 Selections: 4,2,7,11
Race 7 Selections: 6,4,5,2
Race 8 Selections: 1,2,6,3

Sky Racecaller Josh Fleming covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Sunshine Coast on Sunday the 2nd of October.
Sunshine Coast Tips

Sunshine Coast, 2nd October 2022

Race 1 Selections: 4,2,1,3
Race 2 Selections: 2,15,17,5
Race 3 Selections: 1,2,3,5
Race 4 Selections: 1,12,2,10
Race 5 Selections: 1,5,3,2
Race 6 Selections: 1,11,7,5
Race 7 Selections: 6,1,5,2
Race 8 Selections: 8,5,4,3
Race 9 Selections: 2,7,1,11

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:17 AM

Belmont at the Big A Horses in Focus for Sunday, October 2
Posted on October 1, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 4: IRON LION IN ZION (#9)

I suppose Misbehaved (#4) is the horse to beat as he drops back in for a claiming tag for the second time in his career. He broke his maiden when risked for $50k two back Churchill, though he did benefit from a very fast pace that day. He was never a factor against starter allowance foes last time at Saratoga, but I can be somewhat forgiving of that performance, since he was facing tougher company. This is a realistic drop, but I do find it odd that Pletcher is putting blinkers back on after this horse ran two of his worst races with blinkers. There isn’t much speed signed on in this race, which could work against Blu Grotto (#3) as he returns from a layoff. He does have plenty of prior races that make him a contender here, but he’s fairly unreliable and this barn isn’t known for success off layoffs. I’m going with a different closer. Iron Lion in Zion (#9) is going to have to find a way to sit a bit closer to the pace here, but I do think he ran better than it appears last time out. He was slammed by another rival coming out of the starting gate before settling in mid-pack. He then launched a decent rally to nearly get up for third behind a pair of superior rivals. The third-place finisher from that affair returned to run well against a tougher field here last week with an improved speed figure. He has more upside than some others and fits at this level.

RACE 6: WASP (#2)

While Jane Grey (#1) did handle the mile last time and improved her speed figure a few points, I’m not convinced that she’s necessarily better with added distance. She also got the front end that day, and this time there is plenty of other speed drawn to her outside. She’s arguably the horse to beat after handling the slop last time, but I preferred others. Spiked (#7) makes plenty of sense as she cuts back to a mile after chasing home the undefeated Fingal’s Cave at 1 1/8 miles last time. She’s taken a step forward with each start and is an effective stalker who doesn’t necessarily need to be vying for the lead. They’re both logical contenders, but I wanted to go with a more experienced foe. Wasp (#2) doesn’t have the obvious upside of the aforementioned two, but she has been in solid form lately. I’m not going to hold her loss in the Yaddo against her, since she was put in the difficult position of dueling with heavy favorite Make Mischief on the front end. Prior to that she had run some nice races at this level. I like her running style for this race, because there’s plenty of speed signed on and she’s been effective closing from mid-pack. She also wouldn’t mind some moisture in the track, as she’s run well over sloppy surfaces before.

RACE 8: AMERICAN ROCKETTE (#2)

Chocolate Gelato (#4) is the filly to beat in this Frizette off her impressive maiden score in her second career start at Saratoga. She had been hyped prior to her debut on opening day, but was a little lackluster on that afternoon. She obviously benefited from the experience, as she displayed improved early speed in her second start, and ran clear to an easy victory. That said, she did get away with a pretty moderate pace last time, and now she has to deal with a few other quality speed types in here. All three runners drawn to her outside want to be vying for early command, so Irad Ortiz could be forced to use Chocolate Gelato more aggressively than the connections might like. She’s a deserving favorite, but I didn’t want to accept a very short price on her given the question marks. The Great Maybe (#6) is one of those who should be challenging the favorite early. She didn’t break that sharply in her debut, but quickly rushed up to duel for the lead. She got away at the quarter pole and ran clear to a commanding score. Like the favorite, she has to stretch out an extra two furlongs here, but she’s obviously talented. Some may also be enticed by You’re My Girl (#7) off a similarly impressive debut score, but she was beating a much weaker field of New York-breds and has to get faster. Two contenders in this Frizette exit last month’s Spinaway at Saratoga, including winner Leave No Trace (#1). She was obviously in great form over the summer, running well to win her debut before putting forth a similar effort in that stakes last time. However, she got perfect trips on both occasions and now has drawn the inside post. I’m instead interested in American Rockette (#2) out of the Spinaway. She obviously has to get faster as one of the slower fillies coming into this race. However, she severely compromised herself at the start last time when she bolted to the outside fence after the gates opened. She ultimately got back on track, but was still a little green while rejoining the field. I thought she did well to pass rivals in a race that didn’t exactly favor the closers. She has to prove she can handle added distance here, but she strikes me as one that’s still figuring things out. She also figures to get the right pace setup when plenty of speed signed on.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:17 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Sunday, October 2, 2022

October 2, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Pride of the Nile; 4-Dash Away
Backups/savers: 1-Fourth Street

Forecast: Pride of the Nile was thought enough of by her connections to debut in the Juvenile Fillies Turf Stakes at Del Mar last month and she did well to finish a highly respectable fourth after finding her best stride late. She drops into the maiden ranks today, switches to top rider Juan Hernandez, and should be a short price to graduate. Dash Away was scratched out of a maiden turf sprint yesterday for this longer affair and should be a live item at 8-1 on the morning line. She’s a lengthy, good-sized filly with plenty of scope, but despite previewing in :21 1/5 at the OBS June sale (where she brought $140,00 despite a complete lack of pedigree), she travels like a filly that will be most effective over a distance of ground. Her works at San Luis Rey Downs should have her plenty fit. Fourth Street, with the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern, lands the rail, removes blinkers, and exits a couple of pretty decent races. She’s almost certain to employ gate-to-wire tactics and deserves to be included on your ticket, at least as a backup for a saver.

__________________________________________________ ___________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 2: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Nice Guy Clay; 3-Troubadour
Backups/savers: 5-Dutch Boy

Forecast: Nice Guy Clay surfaces in a restricted (nw-2) claimer for the first time and may have found his friends. He has speed figures that are better than par for this level and projects to be on or near the lead throughout. Troubadour, freshened since July, is another that shows the maiden-to-maiden claiming angle plus the route-to-sprint maneuver, so the Richard Mandella-trained colt seems certain to produce a significant forward move. Top rider Juan Hernandez stays aboard, a positive sign. Dutch Bus, with competitive numbers but winless in seven career starts over the Santa Anita main track, probably should be relegated to a backup or saver role.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 3: Post: 2:06 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Ami Please; 2-Thread Count
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: This is the split of the today’s first race and on paper looks like the decidedly easier division. The 7/2 morning line favorite, Anacaro, has a career top speed figure from her first two outings that is 25 points lower than par for this level on the Beyer scale, so let’s look elsewhere. Ami Please didn’t leave cleanly sprinting on dirt in her debut and then failed to land a blow when sixth of 10 in a fairly hot race won by the promising Justique at Del Mar in late July. We’re expecting the daughter of Goldencents to improve considerably today, and from her favorable inside draw she could very well make the running and be tough to catch, so at 8-1 on the morning line the D. O’Neill trained filly offers a reasonable gamble in an open fray. The first timer Thread Count breezed well enough at the OBS April Sale (:10 1/5) when displaying good athleticism and smooth action before being purchased for $70,000, and as a daughter of Cairo Prince she shouldn’t dislike grass or a distance of ground. The barn rarely wins with debut runners, but this filly really doesn’t have a whole lot to beat, so at 6-1 you have to toss her in.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 4: Post: 2:38 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Midnight Memories; 5-Samurai Charm
Backups/Savers:

Forecast: This year’s renewal of the Zenyatta Stakes-G2 for older fillies and mares came up unusually soft. Midnight Memories just won the Torrey Pine S.-G3 at Del Mar in gate-to-wire fashion and likely will try similar strategy in a race that projects to have modest early splits. She’s perfect in two starts over the Santa Anita main track with rising speed figures, so at 8/5 on the morning like she’s clearly the one to beat. Samurai Charm earned a career top number - one that makes her a strong threat - when second in the restricted Tranquility Lake Stakes at Del Mar last month. She make try to clear the field, as her best races have come as the controlling speed, and it will be interesting to see if she can outrun the favorite into the clubhouse turn or if not settle into a stalking position and then try to win the race from there. We’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play but not with a great deal of confidence in a race that probably should be treated with caution.

__________________________________________________ ___________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 5: Post: 3:08 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Speed Boat Beach
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Speed Boat Beach broke the Del Mar track record for five and one-half furlongs in his debut last month, so if he can duplicate that performance on grass he should dominate this year’s edition of the Speakeasy Stakes, a five furlong turf sprint for juveniles. A :58 2/5 workout on the training track last week (see below) indicates he retains all of his speed and then some and the switch in surface shouldn’t be any issue.. At 4/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, the Bob Baffert-trained speedster will be too short to play other than as a no value rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Speed Boat Beach (Sept. 24, Santa Anita, 5f, :58.2h TT). Grade: A-
In company outside Reincarnate (same time) for B. Baffert and proved slightly best in the late stages without being asked for anywhere near his best, splits of :23.1 and :58.2, impressive as expected for track record setting juvenile. Should be odds-on in the Speakeasy Stakes.
View Workout Video

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Ce Ce
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Ce Ce performed below par when a dull fifth in late August at Saratoga in the Ballerina S.-G1, just as she the previous year when she wound up a modest third in that same race. Apparently, she doesn’t like the Spa’s surface, but she’ll have no such excuse in today’s Chillingworth Stakes over a Santa Anita main track, where she has compiled an admirable record of five wins from nine starts, including a five length blowout in last year’s renewal of this event. The older filly and mare sprint champion from last year may have lost a step (or not) but seems quite likely to return to winning form against her outclassed opposition. She is 3/5 on the morning line in a race that probably should be left alone.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Queen’s Code
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Queen’s Code is an eight-race maiden and probably not one to trust, but the five-year-old son of Desert Code appears to have landed his easier opportunity yet in this Hillside turf dash for older state-bred runners. He’s never run down the hill but shows a couple of strong runner-up races over the flat course that chart extremely well against this below par field. If it’s not him, it could be anybody, so let’s take a stand and single the Carla Gaines-trained gelding in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

Notable Workouts:

Queen’s Code (Sept. 26, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h TT). Grade: B+
Was engaged by Gold For Kitten (4f, :47.1 TT) on the turn and finished down the lane with that one, mild coaxing only while coming the final quarter mile in a sharp :23 flat. Looks ready to graduate vs. state-bred older maidens.
View Workout Video

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 8: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Tizamagician; 3-Heywoods Beach; 4-Extra Hope
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: We’re going to spread this marathon while preferring Tizamagician on top due mainly to his previous success over the Santa Anita main track. The veteran son of Tiznow has finished first or second in seven of 11 career starts over the local surface, and while he prefers the front end the Richard Mandella-trained veteran can stalk and pounce if the pace flow dictates. Out of his element in the Del Mar Handicap-G2 on grass last time out, he catches favorable conditions today, so we’re expecting to see him back in the winner’s circle. Heywoods Beach ran past our top selection when they met in the 12-furlong main track Cougar II Stakes at Del Mar this past summer and it would be no great shock if he did so again, while Extra Hope just missed (by 31 lengths) when pitted against Flightline in the Pacific Classic-G1 last time out but against this group he should be competitive. He's a three-time winner at Santa Anita and we’re anticipating that this marathon distance should be within his range.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Gillian Elizabeth; 11-Shes’a Perfectlady; 5-Ma France
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: This downhill turf sprint for entry-level allowance fillies and mares offers several possibilities, so a spread strategy in rolling exotic play seems the way to go. Gillian Elizabeth crushed a starter’s allowance field over a mile at Del Mar last time out, and while this is a tougher crew her numbers are solid and she’s unbeaten in two starts over the local flat course. Her style suggests that the Hillside Course should be right up her alley. Shes’a Perfectlady has a good stalking style, a cozy outside box, and numbers that make her a major player. She looks like the most dangerous of the closing types. Ma France turns back in trip and won her U.S. debut over this tricky layout last spring. She’s a tad slow in the speed figure department but could easily improve enough to be a strong fit.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 10: Post: 5:38 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Big Mama Sue; 11-Barrister’s Ride; 7-Emerald Lake
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Here’s a competitive middle distance turf event for fillies and mares that offers a chance for a nice payoff. Big Mama Sue is a two-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course and is likely to produce a forward move in her second start off a layoff. She closed well with the help of the race shape in a similar spot last month at Del Mar while earning a solid number that is par for this level. With any kind of forward move, she can be along in time while offering good value at or near her morning line of 6-1. Barrister’s Ride is drawn poorly outside but is better than her morning line of 10-1 and is another that offers a decent price chance. She’s been first or second in four of five career starts over the local lawn and her numbers are good enough to win. Emerald Lake is lightly raced and improving. She’s fresh from a clever score at Del Mar from state-bred rivals and though this open group clearly represents a class hike she appears to be a progressive sort offering value at 8-1 on the morning line.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:18 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 2, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Northfield Park has a 15-race card ready to go with the first post coming at 6:00 PM EST. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

4-Herecomscharlie B (7/2)-The sequence starts with an amateur driver's race and they are a special challenge. This 5-year-old shows some heart, and the trainer is between the pipes. Should be forwardly placed and could offer a fair price.
6-Holton (4-1)-This 5-year-old has hit the board in 2 of 3 at Nfld and has taken one picture. Will fade the program chalk (6), this guy can pass foes and likes to compete. Looks like a player if Oldford can provide a good steer.
7-Its A Horse (3-1)-Kreiser trainee comes off a judge's scratch and hasn't seen action since 9-11. Was claimed for $15k after winning 3 straight in August and has enough gate speed to get a decent early seat. Looks like a contender despite the outside post, if the 9-year-old is ready for a big try.

Race 12

2-Between I N U (6/5)-Winner of 3 straight with the last 2 coming after being claimed by the Kreiser barn. Won on a sloppy track in its NFLD debut on 9-25 and faces $30k claimers once again. Appears to be a cut above the rest and should be a winner with a smooth trip.

Race 13

1-Just Toyin With Ya (7/2)-Made every call a winning one on a sloppy track last week. Steps-up but should fare well versus this crew. Could get the jump on the field leaving from the rail and end up in the pocket behind #8.
2-Executive Dash N (12-1)-This price shot has been facing better after losing by a neck versus this kind 3 starts back. Has enough gate speed to race near the lead and could trip out at a large price with a sharp steer. Has won 23 of 78 Nfld starts.
8-Odds On Shaggy (3-1)-Has been facing tougher and is the leading money maker in the field for 2022. Could be the one to beat but this post draw doesn't help, and recent form has been so-so. Has good early speed, is fast and will trust Ronnie Wrenn to do his part.

Race 14

1-Heidi's Heart (3-1)-Raced well versus Open company on a sloppy track and cashed a 3rd place check. Now drops to the level of the previous race which resulted in a win. Not sure if starting from the rail will help but likes to race near the top of the stack. Should be a major player and probably at a better price than the one below.
3-Light Blue Movers (9/5)-Maybe Merriman thought he had more horse last week. He pulled out of 3rd near the 3/8 pole in a 6-horse field and was hung the mile. Seems to find a way to fall short but does drop, and this looks like a spot to take a picture.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,6,7/2/1,2,8/1,3
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:18 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #2
Picks Notes
#7 King Zion He can be one-paced at times, but that might serve him well in a spot where there appears to be a decent number of pace and pressing types, so he may be able to grind along for a piece. 25-start maiden might have a sneaky look here.
#5 Gotta Chase It No arguments with anyone landing here, as the barn tends to keep them in reasonable spots, and he's bringing some relatively quick works for a race at this level.
#8 Storm's Reflection He has already had 11 chances, but he has done a lot of his work against better company than he's going to find here, and he should be in a good spot to contest the pace. Could see him sticking around.
Race Summary King Zion is worth a small price look in here in his 26th career start. He's meeting a pretty bad group, and I could see him passing some tiring speed to make some noise late. Gotta Chase It figures capable at first asking for Rivelli, but I worry he's going to get caught in the pace.

Hawthorne - Race #4
Picks Notes
#4 Oeuvre She has historically been very good over the local footing, and she's getting some major class relief out of that stakes try in Kentucky last out. Should handle these.
#5 Sharp Hero She owns some decent back dirt form that makes her interesting here, but I am not sure her ceiling is high enough to land this if the top choice runs her race.
#2 Ready to Runaway She has some tracking sprint pace that should leave her in a good spot early on, and there are a couple of pretty nice one-turn races on her page.
Race Summary Oeuvre is going to get bet in here, but her baseline effort looks too good for this group if she brings it. Not going to put a ton of thought into trying to beat her today.

Hawthorne - Race #7
Picks Notes
#5 Where'd the Day Go He might be too cheap and/or slow for these, but I like that he's a cutback finisher in a race that has enough capable forward players to think someone might be able to pick them up late. Betmix Longshot Score of 49 says maybe look for a price here.
#4 Upbeat Melody She's capable with some sharp speed for a top barn and ace pace rider, but I do worry that he will have some company up top with a few who might be cheaper but still force him to pay a price for wanting the lead.
#8 Dastardly Deeds He was bred to be better than he has shown, but he broke through last out in a turf sprint in Minnesota, and his two short grass runs have been among his better. Maybe worth a price look underneath.
Race Summary Where'd the Day Go has some price appeal in a race that has enough pace to keep things interesting late. He's going to need to prove himself on class today, but I bet he's legged up to come rolling late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:18 AM

KRIST PICKS

BELMONT AT THE BIG A - SUNDAY, OCTOBER 02, 2022 // POST TIME - 1:00 P.M. EST
Saturday, 01 October 2022 00:00 | Author: Administrator | PDF Print E-mail

- DAILY SELECTIONS FOR OCTOBER 02 -

RACE 1: 3 - RISK FREE 12-1
7 - RELAY 5-1
2 - SEDUCTION 3-1

RACE 2: 5 - CONVERSING 5-2
7 - SCRAMBLE 7-2
6 - WIDERIGHT 8-1

RACE 3: 2 - ROYAL PRINCE 7-2
1 - CALL ME HARRY 9-2
6 - EASY TIME 9-2

RACE 4: 5 - JAY'STALKER 4-1
7 - EMINENCY 8-1
4 - MISBEHAVED 2-1

RACE 5: 8 - WINNING CONNECTION 10-1
4 - SECOND AND REED 8-1
6 - CHURRO 7-2

RACE 6: 3 - FROST ME 15-1
4 - MARIAH'S FORTUNE 15-1
7 - SPIKED 3-1

RACE 7: 5 - FLYING FORTRESS 10-1 - LONGSHOT
6 - COASTANA 3-1
7 - TASS 15-1

RACE 8: 1 - LEAVE NO TRACE 9-2
7 - YOU'RE MY GIRL 5-1
6 - THE GREAT MAYBE 7-2

RACE 9: 3 - MAJOR DUDE 8-1
9 - LACHAISE 8-1
5 - BATTLE OF NORMANDY 9-2

RACE 10: 5 - BRICCO 9-2 - BEST BET
9 - PATIENT CAPITAL 10-1
7 - INFLATION ADJUSTED 8-1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:18 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings
PURCHASE
Hastings - Race 1

Daily Double / Exactor / Triactor / Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)

Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 2:00P
(PLUS UP TO $4,200 THRIF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE AUGUST 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $3,000 2 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SILK STILETTOS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SILK STILETTOS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest av erage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DON WITH THE WIND: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today's race is a route, horse is a Front-runner and is in post position one. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
SILK STILETTOS
6/5

5/2
1
DON WITH THE WIND
8/5

3/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
SILK STILETTOS
5

6/5
Alternator/Front-runner
67

63

58.1

59.4

55.9
1
DON WITH THE WIND
1

8/5
Alternator/Front-runner
67

61

57.2

58.6

54.6
2
KEEPINGTHEDREAM
2

6/1
Stalker
54

52

51.2

51.2

44.2
3
TUXEDO
3

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
63

65

53.2

54.8

47.8
4
BARNEY GOOGLE
4

9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
63

55

34.1

43.2

36.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:19 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
PURCHASE
Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 8

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Late Double

Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 91 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 9:14P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. 126LBS; ( NO SEX ALLOWANCE). HORSES NOMINATED AND REMAINING ELIGIBLE TO THIS RACE MUST PASS THE ENTRY BOX IN THE USUAL MANNER WITH A PAYMENT OF $750.00. TRIAL ENTRY FEE MUST BE ON DEPOSIT WITH THE PAYMASTER OF PURSE PRIOR TO CLOSING OF ENTRIES. THIS RACE MAY BE DIVIDED AND WILL HAVE PREFERENCE OVER OTHER RACES CARDED FOR THIS DAY. HORSES WHICH QUALIFY FOR THE FINALS MUST REMAIN ON THE GROUNDS UNTIL 48 HOURS AFTER THE FINALS HAVE RUN.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ONE SWEET DUCK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. MONICAS FAVORITE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. MY LETHAL JESS: Hors e ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
ONE SWEET DUCK
7/5

7/2
2
MONICAS FAVORITE
2/1

4/1
1
MY LETHAL JESS
10/1

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
MY LETHAL JESS
1

10/1
Average
86

79

5.4

0.0

0.0
2
MONICAS FAVORITE
2

2/1
Fast
90

85

1.6

0.0

0.0
3
FIRST DOWN ICON
3

15/1
Average/Trouble-prone
62

65

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
ONE SWEET DUCK
4

7/5
Slow
89

89

6.2

0.0

0.0
5
JESS YAYA
5

5/1
Average
82

71

4.0

0.0

0.0
6
TIPPA THE ICEBERG
6

20/1
Average
75

54

0.0

0.0

0.0
7
REBALICIOUS
7

5/1
Average
80

70

3.6

0.0

0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2022, 11:19 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arapahoe Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 69

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES LIFETIME. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. COLORADO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 KNIGHTED 7/2

# 4 LINCHTOWN 9/2

# 9 BE ALL EARS 15/1

I've got to go with KNIGHTED. He has been running quite well and the speed figures are among the top in this field. Trainer has sharp win rate (17 percent) at this distance and surface. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the lead recently. LINCHTOWN - Vaunts reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this field. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group recently. BE ALL EARS - Wagerers ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. This gelding has some longshot handicapping angles I like to take a chance on.