Saturday 10/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20541

    #31
    Will Rogers

    Free Pick: HOU/NYY UNDER 7 -115

    Unders, unders, and here comes another one. I keep waiting for the offense to break out but it isn't happening. We have seen great pitching to date in this series, and there will be more to come when Javier and Cole face off. Both starters have had great success against the other team this season. Cole already has two wins under his belt. And Javier, who was dominant down the stretch, gets his first play-off start. He pitched 11 innings of solid relief in last year's postseason. Other than some solo shots, there has been no consistent offense. The bullpens have had a day's rest. Houston's' relievers have been superb to date in the post season. I do";t see this game going over. You know what to do!

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20541

      #32
      Jimmy Boyd

      1* Free Pick on Boise State +3 1/2 -110

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20541

        #33
        Ricky Tran

        1* Free Play on Mississippi State +21 1/2 -110

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20541

          #34
          Nick Hub

          This will be PSU's white out game this season and it may be the best atmostphere in sports but they are just 9-8 in these games and we have an unranked Gophers team coming in for the prime time game a week ahead of the matchup between the Nittany Lions and the Buckeyes. Penn State has not covered in the past 3 years the week before playing Ohio State and lost their last 2 outright!


          Take Minnesota +4.5

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20541

            #35
            Kyle Hunter

            *Free Play on Kansas State* The Kansas State Wildcats are in a great situational spot here. Kansas State has had two weeks to prepare for this game. They are coming off a bye week. Overall, Kansas State is pretty healthy for this deep into the season.
            TCU is in a much more difficult position. The Horned Frogs had a thrilling win over Kansas in the final moments a couple weeks ago. Last weekend, TCU trailed nearly the entire game before rallying to beat Oklahoma State in double overtime. It is hard for a team to be on top of their game and bring their best every single game. TCU is a very good team, but I don't see them as the type of team that can avoid a slip up.
            Kansas State's ground attack should have a lot of success here. Deuce Vaughn and Adrian Martinez are going to be tough for the TCU interior defense to slow down. The Kansas State defense is the best defense TCU has played all season as well.
            Take Kansas State+3 1/2

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20541

              #36
              Brandon Lee

              Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick: Kansas State Wildcats +3.5

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20541

                #37
                Dave Price

                Dave's Saturday Free Play:
                1* on Wyoming -4.5
                The Key: The like the situation for the Wyoming Cowboys this week. They are off a bye and are 4-2 in their last 6 games overall since a season opening loss to Illinois, which doesn't look as bad now. That includes upset wins over both Tulsa and Air Force in Laramie, which is one of the toughest places to play in the country. The other two losses came to BYU and San Jose State, so the Cowboys have played a tough schedule. Now they host Utah State, which is coming off a lackluster 17-13 win at lowly Colorado State as a 14-point favorite. The Aggies are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games overall including losses to UNLV and Weber State. The Aggies were down to their 4th-string QB against Colorado State which is part of the reason why they struggled. And they may be without their top 3 guys again this week. Utah State won the Mountain West last year, but they aren't even close to that same team. And it's worth noting the Cowboys crushed the Aggies 44-17 last year and rushed for 362 yards on them in the win. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups. Take Wyoming.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20541

                  #38
                  Steve Janus

                  1* Free Sharp Play on Flames -130

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20541

                    #39
                    Doc's Sports

                    Free Play: California+8

                    Just do not believe Washington should be this big of a favorite in a true road game. The Huskies have come back down to earth after a hot 4-0 start to open the season. They have played the Arizona schools the last two weeks and Cal is a similar team to them. The Bears have not played a home game since 10/22 and they have a defense that will be able to keep this game inside the number. Washington is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. Cal is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring our World Famous Big 10 Game of the Year. This is the selection that won 19 years in a row during the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s and is a must have for any big game hunter. Sign-up now and let 51 years of handicapping experience work for you.

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20541

                      #40
                      Sean Murphy
                      Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Nevada plus the points over San Diego State at 10:30 pm et on Saturday.

                      Both of these teams have been disappointing this season although expectations were considerably higher for San Diego State. Nevada enters this game off an embarrassing loss at Hawaii and has now suffered five straight defeats, both SU and ATS. The good news is, the Wolf Pack have gone a perfect 7-0 ATS the last seven times they've played at home off four or more consecutive losses, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 6.4 points in that situation. The Aztecs suddenly have a quarterback controversy, or at least competition, on their hands with dual-threat Jalen Mayden starting in place of a concussed Braxton Burmeister last time out. All indications are that Burmeister is healthy but he was spotted working out with the wide receivers at practice earlier this week, meaning Mayden is likely to get another start here. Regardless, the San Diego State offense has struggled mightily this season while the defense hasn't been nearly as dominant as we've come to expect. There's certainly a path for Nevada to lean on its ground game and effectively shorten this game in the role of home underdog. Note that San Diego State is just one game removed from getting torched for 316 yards on 44 rush attempts against Boise State. While game script had something to do with that, the Aztecs actually led for a good portion of that game before coming unglued. The bottom line is, San Diego State has covered the spread just once in six games this season and that came in a narrow three-point victory over Toledo. This series has been played extremely close to the vest with the last four meetings having been decided by five points or less, with neither side scoring any more than 28 points in any of those contests. Take Nevada.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20541

                        #41
                        Handicappers' Consensus for Saturday, October 22

                        KEENELAND
                        Scott Hazelton Tom Leach Jeremy Plonk Gabby Gaudet Kim Nelson
                        1 6 O'Conner Sunset
                        3 California Twirl
                        7 Led Tasso
                        3 California Twirl
                        5 Connect Me
                        12 Mamba Forever
                        12 Mamba Forever
                        11 Qualified
                        3 California Twirl
                        6 O'Conner Sunset
                        12 Mamba Forever
                        3 California Twirl
                        11 Qualified
                        3 California Twirl
                        6 O'Conner Sunset
                        2 9 Frigid Lady
                        1 Lady Baron
                        12 Flowerdew
                        9 Frigid Lady
                        1 Lady Baron
                        3 Valiant Praise
                        6 Dooit
                        10 Weehawken
                        3 Valiant Praise
                        8 Royal Dame
                        3 Valiant Praise
                        1 Lady Baron
                        9 Frigid Lady
                        3 Valiant Praise
                        1 Lady Baron
                        3 4 Bet He's Ready
                        1 Derivative
                        10 Yolo Santiago
                        7 Stand for Freedom
                        3 Insolito
                        4 Bet He's Ready
                        2 Lucky Smile
                        1 Derivative
                        4 Bet He's Ready
                        4 Bet He's Ready
                        1 Derivative
                        7 Stand for Freedom
                        7 Stand for Freedom
                        1 Derivative
                        4 Bet He's Ready
                        4 4 Curly Ruth
                        6 Park Avenue
                        1 Pass the Plate
                        4 Curly Ruth
                        1 Pass the Plate
                        3 Flippant
                        4 Curly Ruth
                        6 Park Avenue
                        1 Pass the Plate
                        7 Madone
                        1 Pass the Plate
                        6 Park Avenue
                        6 Park Avenue
                        1 Pass the Plate
                        4 Curly Ruth
                        5 12 Eyes of Gold
                        4 Twirled
                        1 Poblano
                        5 Catskill Humor
                        1 Poblano
                        3 She's Fancy
                        4 Twirled
                        5 Catskill Humor
                        1 Poblano
                        3 She's Fancy
                        5 Catskill Humor
                        1 Poblano
                        4 Twirled
                        5 Catskill Humor
                        1 Poblano
                        6 8 Gunite
                        3 Artorius
                        6 B Dawk
                        6 B Dawk
                        8 Gunite
                        3 Artorius
                        8 Gunite
                        6 B Dawk
                        3 Artorius
                        3 Artorius
                        8 Gunite
                        6 B Dawk
                        8 Gunite
                        7 Of a Revolution
                        3 Artorius
                        7 2 Empress Tigress
                        9 Touch of Class
                        12 Alwayz Late
                        2 Empress Tigress
                        3 Storm Kiss
                        4 Mused (GB)
                        3 Storm Kiss
                        7 Artos (IRE)
                        12 Alwayz Late
                        12 Alwayz Late
                        2 Empress Tigress
                        3 Storm Kiss
                        2 Empress Tigress
                        3 Storm Kiss
                        7 Artos (IRE)
                        8 1 War Campaign
                        4 Tiz Rye Time
                        3 Gate Runner
                        3 Gate Runner
                        1 War Campaign
                        10 Strong Quality
                        11 Anejo
                        5 Higginson
                        3 Gate Runner
                        11 Anejo
                        1 War Campaign
                        5 Higginson
                        1 War Campaign
                        10 Strong Quality
                        5 Higginson
                        9 2 Smash Ticket
                        8 Wicked Halo
                        5 Fingal's Cave
                        9 Midnight Stroll
                        2 Smash Ticket
                        8 Wicked Halo
                        2 Smash Ticket
                        8 Wicked Halo
                        6 Colorful Mischief
                        8 Wicked Halo
                        9 Midnight Stroll
                        2 Smash Ticket
                        8 Wicked Halo
                        1 Union Lake
                        2 Smash Ticket
                        10 7 Push Button
                        12 Pancake House
                        4 Mount Kisco
                        5 Timo
                        13 Vintage Year
                        7 Push Button
                        6 Good Soldier
                        5 Timo
                        7 Push Button
                        7 Push Button
                        12 Pancake House
                        1 Caroom
                        5 Timo
                        6 Good Soldier
                        12 Pancake House

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20541

                          #42
                          KEENELAND TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2022
                          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.
                          RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                          1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #10 HES A GOOD DANCER
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 8-1 10 Hes a Good Dancer A Achard
                          PLACE 9-2 11 Qualified C Landeros
                          SHOW 15-1 4 Weslan R Arrieta
                          WILD CARD 3-1 3 California Twirl R Santana Jr.
                          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 OConner Sunset G Corrales
                          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 12 Mamba Forever B J Hernandez Jr.
                          * EXACTA: 10-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 4/10/11 BOX, 3/4/11 BOX
                          RACE #2 $150,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                          7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #3 VALIANT PRAISE
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 3 Valiant Praise B J Hernandez Jr.
                          PLACE 6-1 2 Queenannesrevenge F Geroux
                          SHOW 7-2 1 Lady Baron T Gaffalione
                          WILD CARD 15-1 9 Frigid Lady G Corrales
                          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 10 Weehawken R Santana Jr.
                          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 12 Flowerdew F Arrieta
                          * EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX
                          RACE #3 $75,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 3-1 4 Bet Hes Ready T Gaffalione
                          PLACE 6-1 3 Insolito G Corrales
                          SHOW 7-2 1 Derivative A Beschizza
                          WILD CARD 9-2 8 Nimrods J Talamo
                          ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 You Make Me Happy R Bejarano
                          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 10 Yolo Santiago E Morales
                          * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX
                          RACE #4 $140,000 ALLOWANCE
                          1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #4 CURLY RUTH
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 7-2 4 Curly Ruth L Saez
                          PLACE 5-2 1 Pass the Plate J Talamo
                          SHOW 6-1 3 Flippant R Bejarano
                          WILD CARD 2-1 6 Park Avenue J Rosario
                          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Madone M Garcia
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 8 Oliviaofthedesert B J Hernandez Jr.
                          * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
                          RACE #5 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 4 Twirled J Rosario
                          PLACE 4-1 16 Flyin Bessie J Rosario
                          SHOW 7-2 3 Shes Fancy J R Velazquez
                          WILD CARD 4-1 5 Catskill Humor F Geroux
                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Fearless Viv F Arrieta
                          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 8 Amber Cascade L Saez
                          * EXACTA: 4-16 BOX, 16-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 3/4/16 BOX, 3/5/16 BOX
                          RACE #6 $250,000 STAKES
                          7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 PERRYVILLE STAKES
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 3 Artorius F Geroux
                          PLACE 6-1 6 B Dawk J Rosario
                          SHOW 6-5 8 Gunite T Gaffalione
                          WILD CARD 5-1 7 Of a Revolution G Corrales
                          ALTERNATE 1 15-1 2 Provocateur L Saez
                          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Hoist the Gold B J Hernandez Jr.
                          * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
                          COMMENTS: ARTORIUS is making his first start after a short rest and has a bullet work since. B DAWK is undefeated in two at the distance and one at Keeneland. GUNITE has three wins and two seconds in five at the distance. OFA REVOLUTION hit the board in seven of eight races. He was better early and late in his last.
                          RACE #7 $120,000 ALLOWANCE
                          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 9-5 2 Empress Tigress J R Velazquez
                          PLACE 9-2 3 Storm Kiss G Corrales
                          SHOW 5-1 12 Alwayz Late J Rosario
                          WILD CARD 6-1 11 Thunder Love J Talamo
                          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 16 Trobairitz A Beschizza
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 9 Touch of Class J Graham
                          * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/12 BOX, 3/11/12 BOX
                          RACE #8 $110,000 ALLOWANCE
                          1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 2-1 1 War Campaign C J Lanerie
                          PLACE 6-1 4 Tiz Rye Time R Bejarano
                          SHOW 4-1 13 Kissalot T Gaffalione
                          WILD CARD 3-1 10 Strong Quality R Santana Jr.
                          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 5 Higginson T Gaffalione
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Gate Runner L Saez
                          * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/4/13 BOX, 4/10/13 BOX
                          RACE #9 $350,000 STAKES
                          7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET
                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $350,000 RAVEN RUN STAKES GRADE II
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 2 Smash Ticket K Carmouche
                          PLACE 4-1 8 Wicked Halo T Gaffalione
                          SHOW 6-1 1 Union Lake J R Velazquez
                          WILD CARD 4-1 5 Fingals Cave J Rosario
                          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 7 Freedom Speaks F Geroux
                          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 6 Colorful Mischief G Corrales
                          * EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX
                          COMMENTS: SMASH TICKET won three in a row in wire to wire fashion. WICKED HALO has five wins and three thirds in nine races. UNION LAKE should be close to the pace from go and has some really fast works between races. FINGALS CAVE is undefeated in four career starts and has a bullet and go work.
                          RACE #10 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 6-1 12 Pancake House E Morales
                          PLACE 5-1 13 Vintage Year T Gaffalione
                          SHOW 5-1 6 Good Soldier T Gaffalione
                          WILD CARD 6-1 9 Inbound A Beschizza
                          ALTERNATE 1 9-2 5 Timo J R Velazquez
                          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 11 Shogun Warrior F Peterson
                          * EXACTA: 12-13 BOX, 13-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 6/12/13 BOX, 6/9/13 BOX

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20541

                            #43
                            Today’s Keeneland Hot List races to watch
                            Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022
                            By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
                            Hot List Key:
                            A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                            *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
                            *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                            * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

                            1st race – (1) Out of Alcatraz didn’t fire on turf but is bred for dirt and should rebound here. (7) Led Tasso rallied for third at this level and should be a threat today. (6) O’Connor Sunset is training nicely for his career debut. (11) Qualified may wake up in a claimer. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-7-11.
                            5th race – (5) Catskill Humor is a firster for Cox who can win at first asking. (3) She’s Fancy is another firster who should be a factor. (4) Twirled should be a main threat while moving over to the main track. (10) Puffin could turn in an improved effort today. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-5-10. Doubles: 3-4-5-10 with 2-3-4-6.
                            6th race – (3) Artorius disappointed in the Travers but should bounce back here. (8) Gunite is razor sharp and figures to be the main rival. (4) Pinehurst flopped last time but is training smartly for this start. (2) Provocateur turned in a rare weak try last time and could be more competitive here. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-8.
                            9th race – (8) Wicked Halo was a Grade 2 winner at Saratoga and seems poised for a fourth straight win. (6) Colorful Mischief has enough speed to be a factor here. (1) Union Lake has speed from the rail and could be tough to catch. (5) Fingal’s Cave cuts back from some sharp two-turn races and looks like a main contender. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-8. Doubles: 1-5-6-8 with 5-6-7-12.
                            10th race – (7) Push Button adds blinkers after finishing a close fifth in his debut and might prove best. (5) Timo was second last time and should be the one to fear. (12) Pancake House has late kick and might be a stretch threat. (6) Good Soldier cannot be ignored in this spot. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-7-12.

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20541

                              #44
                              Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, October 22, 2022
                              By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
                              Hot List Key:
                              A:
                              A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                              *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                              *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
                              * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

                              7th race [Hill Prince (G2), 1 1/8 mi TURF] – (3) Constitutionlawyer (A) got caught in tight quarters down the stretch and finished fourth. Blinkers come off as he tries this turf stakes race. (7) Mackinnon moves from the California barn of Doug O’Neill to Chad Brown who wins with 31% of new horses like this. Remember that last year this guy was third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1) after winning three times. Since then he ran in stakes only. (1) Celestial City was an allowance winner last month after a second in the Saranac (G3) and a third in the Hall of Fame (G2) at Saratoga. (2) Grand Sonata was second in the Dueling Grounds Derby (G3) at Kentucky Downs after running in two legs of the New York Turf Triple for Todd Pletcher. As a winner of two stakes at Gulfstream Park in the winter, he gets some class relief in here.
                              8th race [NY, Md 40000, 7F] – (8) M. C. Double R (B) dropped into a maiden claimer for the first time, got bumped hard twice, checked sharply, got the lead, and finished third beaten by only a head. (1) Destin Hoofman was fourth in his debut last time and now breaking from the rail is projected to be on the lead. (10) Fast Study was fifth in his first start after racing wide. (5) Testa Dura was well bet in his first start for Linda Rice but got off to an awkward start. Rice wins with 26% of her second time out runners.
                              9th race [Alw 105000 N1X, 1 mi TURF] – (4) Danzigwiththestars has strung together five races with good speed figures including an allowance loss by a head last time. (7) Internal Capital broke his maiden last time at Monmouth Park for Chad Brown as the even money favorite. (2) Steady On got his first victory last month at Aqueduct with a front-end effort for Todd Pletcher and is projected to be on the lead again. (1) Chulainn came back from a June layoff for Graham Motion and when last seen was winning the top level allowance for NY-breds. He has a past win against open company in a starter allowance.
                              10th race [NY, OC45k/N2X, 6F TURF] – (3) Deep Cover (C) returns from an August layoff when he was bet down from 4-1 to 2-1. In the stretch the rider was intimidated by Irad Ortiz and finished second. (5) Phantom Smoke moves back to NY-bred racing by going in for the claiming option. He won at this level two races back and then tried an open company allowance. (9) Not Phar Now was claimed for $25,000 by the Noda Brothers from an open company win and moves back to state-bred racing for the tag. (4) Neuro comes back from a short layoff after winning the first-level NY-bred allowance.

                              Best bets: M.C. Double R (8th); Deep Cover (10th). Best value: Constitutionlawyer (7th); Danzigwiththestars (9th).
                              [COLOR=#4F4F4F][FONT=&quot]Saturday Pick 3 Special --
                              The Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 7-9 and begins with the Hill Prince (G2)

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20541

                                #45
                                BELMONT AT THE BIG A TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2022
                                Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money % of the time at this track.
                                RACE #1 $95,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                                1 1/16 MILES ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 4-1 3 Invest Wisely J L Ortiz
                                PLACE 8-1 1 Just a Splash E Cancel
                                SHOW 9-2 4 Liguria F Prat
                                WILD CARD 3-1 8 Sources and Uses I Ortiz Jr.
                                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Erna J Castellano
                                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Treasured Gem T McCarthy
                                * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
                                RACE #2 $65,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                                7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:06 PM ET
                                BEST BET: #1 SKYLANDER
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 7-2 1 Skylander J Alvarado
                                PLACE 6-1 4 Jake Rocks A Adorno
                                SHOW 6-1 9 Bezos O Hernandez Moreno
                                WILD CARD 9-2 8 Buckingham Prince D Davis
                                ALTERNATE 1 4-1 2 Swift Tap M Franco
                                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Basis Risk J A Davis
                                * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 1/4/9 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX
                                RACE #3 $150,000 STAKES
                                1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:42 PM ET
                                ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 NOBLE DAMSEL STAKES GRADE III
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 3-1 1 Kept Waiting I Ortiz Jr.
                                PLACE 8-5 2 Plum Ali M Franco
                                SHOW 2-1 4 Messidor J Castellano
                                WILD CARD 3-1 3 Evvie Jets E Cancel
                                ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Por Que No A Adorno
                                * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                                COMMENTS: KEPT WAITING is undefeated in two at Aqueduct and could be better in the second race after a layoff. PLUM ALI is another that is undefeated in two at Aqueduct and can have some incredible late pace pops. MESSIDOR ran the top last race speed figure and has some fast works since. EVVIE JETS was better in the first half mile of her last race.
                                RACE #4 $85,000 ALLOWANCE
                                6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:14 PM ET
                                BEST BET: #1 FUNNY HOW
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 7-2 1 Funny How T McCarthy
                                PLACE 5-2 2 Kant Hurry Love M Franco
                                SHOW 4-1 5 Ribots Valentine J A Vargas Jr.
                                WILD CARD 6-1 3 Julianas Rose J Castellano
                                ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Fancy Feline J Alvarado
                                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 Liberty Flame O Hernandez Moreno
                                * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
                                RACE #5 $95,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                                1 1/16 MILES ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 2:44 PM ET
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 3-1 6 Mademoisellejackie T McCarthy
                                PLACE 9-2 8 Sun Bee M Franco
                                SHOW 4-1 10 Letter of Gold J L Ortiz
                                WILD CARD 6-1 9 R Rose All Day J Alvarado
                                ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Will Be Famous J A Gomez
                                ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Agua Dulce J Castellano
                                * EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 6/8/10 BOX, 8/9/10 BOX
                                RACE #6 $95,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                                7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:16 PM ET
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 3-1 5 Skellig J L Ortiz
                                PLACE 6-1 10 Classic Legacy J Alvarado
                                SHOW 2-1 6 Rudders Men I Ortiz Jr.
                                WILD CARD 6-1 2 Classic Catch F Prat
                                ALTERNATE 1 15-1 3 Chess Spectacular A Adorno
                                ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Scootscoot D Davis
                                * EXACTA: 5-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 2/6/10 BOX
                                RACE #7 $300,000 STAKES
                                1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:48 PM ET
                                ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 HILL PRINCE STAKES GRADE II
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 6-1 8 Unanimous Consent M Franco
                                PLACE 7-2 1 Celestial City J Lezcano
                                SHOW 5-1 2 Grand Sonata J Alvarado
                                WILD CARD 4-1 10 Limited Liability J L Ortiz
                                ALTERNATE 1 9-2 7 Mackinnon F Prat
                                ALTERNATE 2 15-1 9 Wicked Fast T McCarthy
                                * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/2/10 BOX
                                COMMENTS: UNANIMOUS CONSENT is an all or nothing horse with three wins and nothing else in five races. CELESTIAL CITY won his last race with a little better fractions. GRAND SONATA has some of the best pedigree numbers for turf. LIMITED LIABILITY tied for the top last race speed figure but likes to run.
                                RACE #8 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                                7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 6-1 8 M. C. Double R J A Gomez
                                PLACE 5-1 1 Destin Hoofman M Franco
                                SHOW 9-2 5 Testa Dura J Lezcano
                                WILD CARD 8-1 10 Fast Study J L Ortiz
                                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Saratoga Banker J Castellano
                                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Who Me T McCarthy
                                * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/5/10 BOX
                                RACE #9 $105,000 ALLOWANCE
                                1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:54 PM ET
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 4-1 2 Steady On I Ortiz Jr.
                                PLACE 6-1 1 Chulainn M Franco
                                SHOW 6-1 8 Java Buzz J Lezcano
                                WILD CARD 7-5 9 Perceived J A Gomez
                                ALTERNATE 1 7-2 4 Danzigwiththestars D Davis
                                ALTERNATE 2 3-1 7 Internal Capital F Prat
                                * EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX
                                RACE #10 $90,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                                6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 5:24 PM ET
                                BEST BET: #9 NOT PHAR NOW
                                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                                WIN 5-2 9 Not Phar Now I Ortiz Jr.
                                PLACE 2-1 12 Sheriff Bianco F Prat
                                SHOW 4-1 3 Deep Cover E Cancel
                                WILD CARD 6-1 8 Yarrow M Franco
                                ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Ghost Giant J Lezcano
                                ALTERNATE 2 7-2 1A Klickitat F Prat
                                * EXACTA: 9-12 BOX, 12-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
                                * TRIFECTA: 3/9/12 BOX, 3/8/12 BOX

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