Sunday 11/13/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Vikings vs Bills over 43 -105

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Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin's Saints vs Steelers Free Pick


The Steelers took a 35-13 beating at Philadelphia in their last game, but this is a team that rarely loses big two games in a row. The Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and they have a rest advantage here coming out of their bye week while the Saints lost to Baltimore Monday night. The Steelers are 1-2 at home, losing by three points to New England, by four points to the Jets and they beat Tampa Bay in their last game here at Acrisure Stadium.

FREE PICK ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS.

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Jim Feist

AFC Clash here on Sunday between the Cleveland Browns and the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins are in the most competitive division in football with the Bills, Jets and Patriots, just 1.5 games separate first from last. The Dolphins are a half game in second place with a 6-3 record. Miami won on the road last week at Chicago, 35-32. It was the team's third win in a row after losing to Minnesota four weeks ago. The Dolphins have the fifth best offense in the league and the 22nd best in defense. The Browns are 15th in defense and fourth in offense thanks to their 3rd ranked rushing offense. The Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning home record while Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five games vs a team with a losing record. Cleveland is 1-5 Ov/Un in their last six road games. Miami is 0-4 Ov/Un in their last four home games, 4-10 O/U in their last 14 games vs the AFC. Your free play is on the UNDER.

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Brandon Lee

Sunday's Free NFL Pick: Miami Dolphins -3.5
I'll take my chances with the Dolphins as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Browns in Week 11. I just think this Miami offense as good as it’s been, is still not getting the respect it deserves. They got two of the most explosive wide receivers in the game in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. It’s not crazy to think these two could end up being No. 1 and No. 2 in the league in receiving. Right now Hill leads the league with 1,104 yards. The next best is Justin Jefferson at 867 yards. Waddle, who currently sits 5th and is just 55 yards behind Jefferson. I know the Browns offense looked great in their last game against the Bengals, but let’s not forget that was Cincinnati’s first game without Jamar Chase and at that time just weren’t committed to the run. That was also a division game, where there’s so much familiarity between the teams. In Cleveland’s 5 non-division games this year they are giving up 29.2 ppg and it’s not like it’s been against great offenses. Four of those 5 games were against bad offensive teams in the Panthers, Jets, Falcons and Patriots. The only decent offense they faced outside the division is the Chargers and they are way underperforming this year. On the flip side of this, I’m not so sure the Browns high-powered run game is going to be as big a factor as some might think. Yes the Dolphins gave up 252 rushing yards to Chicago last week, but almost all of that came from quarterback Justin Fields, who had 178 of those yards. I mentioned when I gave out the total in that game last week, how I thought this Miami defense could struggle containing Fields given how they let Lamar Jackson run all over them earlier in the season. Outside of those two games against Baltimore and Chicago who have elite running QBs, the Dolphins have given up just 92.9 rush yards/game in their other 7 contests. That mark would have them ranked 4th in the NFL in run defense. Give me the Dolphins -3.5!

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Marc Lawrence

Play - Denver Broncos+3 (Game 255).


Edges - Broncos: 5-0 ATS when coming off a Bye week; and 5-0 ATS in this series with a losing record … Titans: 2-6 ATS home coming off consecutive road games … We recommend a 1* play on Denver. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Dave Price

Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5
The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off their bye week while the New Orleans Saints are on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. The situation favors the Steelers. They are getting healthy with both TJ Watt and S Damontae Kazee both expected to return to their defense. The return of Watt is huge as the Steelers are 1-9 without him in his career. The injuries are piling up for the Saints and they couldn't do anything against the Ravens on Monday. They lost 27-13 while being held to only 247 total yards. The Saints are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS on the road this year with their lone win coming by a single point against the Falcons 27-26 only after erasing a 16-point 4th quarter deficit with Jameis Winston in the opener. The Steelers have played the most difficult schedule in the entire NFL to this point while the Saints have played the 10th-easiest schedule. Dennis Allen is now 3-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as a head coach. Mike Tomlin is 13-4 ATS as a home dog as the coach for the Steelers. Take Pittsburgh.

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Giants -4.5


The New York Giants are coming off their bye week and off a loss. I like the spot for them this week. Their two losses this season came to two of the best teams in the NFC in the Cowboys and Seahawks. And that loss to Seattle last time out was a tough spot as they just went to Jacksonville the previous week and won, traveled back to New York, and then had to fly clear out to the West coast to face a red hot Seahawks team. Now the Giants are rested and get to beat up on the worst team in the NFL in the Houston Texans. The Texans are 1-6-1 this season. They rank 29th in offense at 290.5 yards per game and 30th in defense at 398.1 yards per game. They are getting outgained by 108 yards per game. The matchup really favors the Giants. They rank 5th in the NFL in rushing at 161.5 yards per game. Houston ranks dead last (32nd) against the run allowing 180.6 rushing yards per game. They also rank 30th allowing 5.5 yards per attempt. The Giants will be able to move the football on the ground, and they should have more success throwing the football with WR Kenny Golloday expected to return this week. Golloday has been out since Week 4 and it has been a big loss because he is their best receiver. His return is what allowed the Giants to trade away Kedarius Toney to the Chiefs. The Texans continue to be hampered by injuries and disgruntled players in the locker room like WR Brandin Cooks. This line should be Giants -7 or higher. Give me the Giants.

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ASA

#255 ASA FREE PLAY ON Denver Broncos +2.5 over Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - We like the situation here with Denver coming off a bye vs a Tennessee team that simply isn’t as good as their 5-3 record. The Titans have outgained only ONE team the entire season and that was Houston, one of the worst in the league. Last week it looks like they hung tight @ KC losing in OT but the Chiefs outgained Tennessee by a whopping 270 yards! They were extremely fortunate to even be in that game. Despite their 5-3 record, the Titans have a point differential of -9 which is 17th best in the NFL and a yards per play margin of -0.62 which is 27th in the league. It looks like QB Tannehill will be back for this game after missing the last 2 games, however he’s had very little practice time the last 2 weeks so we don’t expect him to be sharp. Denver topped Jacksonville in London 2 weeks ago and they are well rested here having last weekend off. They are pretty much the opposite of Tennessee as their numbers support a much better record than their current 3-5 mark. Denver basically has the same point differential as Tennessee (-11) but their YPP differential is 6th in the NFL at +0.63. They’ve lost 2 games in OT and another by a single point. The Denver defense ranks #1 in the NFL in YPP allowed at 4.5 (Tennessee ranks 21st) and they’ve allowed just 1.28 points per drive, the fewest in the NFL. After missing a game 2 weeks ago, Russell Wilson, is healthy and had a solid game in London throwing for 252 yards and a TD. We think Denver has a solid shot to win this game outright and we’ll take the points.

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Matt Fargo

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our Sunday Free Play. New Orleans is coming off a poor effort on Monday night as it fell 27-13 against Baltimore to fall to 3-6 on the season and now the Saints are on a short week in a travel spot. The Saints came into that game with the No. 3 ranked offense in the league but had their worst offensive effort of the season with just 243 yards of offense which has dropped them to No. 6 and Andy Dalton has been ineffective of late passing totals of 229 yards or less in four of his last five games. Despite losses in three of their last four games, they come in as the favorite here which is mostly due the lack of success of the Steelers which is understandable but not in this certain situation. Pittsburgh has struggled to a 2-6 record but it is coming off its bye week after playing two straight games on the road so this is its first home game in a month and the Steelers have played well here. They are 1-2 with the win coming against Tampa Bay and the two losses coming against the Patriots and Jets by just three and four points respectively. Overall, Pittsburgh has played the toughest schedule in the league with half of their games coming against the top ten and five of eight coming against the top 16. Quarterback Kenny Pickett has been put into a tough situation with limited weapons around him and he has not been horrible with the exception of his eight interceptions but an extra week of preparation should do him good. The defense will get a boost with T.J. Watt coming back as his presence will be felt with the pass rush that has struggled since he went down early in the season. Here, we play against favorites averaging 4.5 or more rushing ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 117-64 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1983. Play (248) Pittsburgh Steelers

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Joseph D'Amico

Sunday’s FREE WINNER: Tennessee Titans.
Game 256.
10:00 am PST/1:00 PM EST.
My friends I don’t care how good you are defensively, when your offense is averaging a dismal 15.1 points per game, you just can’t compensate. Yes, I’m talking about the Denver Broncos folks. I am fully aware that their “D“ ranks second in the league in scoring and first against the pass. But this is a stop unit that is severely overworked. Because the Broncos have no offense, they are turning the ball over, they are committing penalties, and they are experiencing ton of three-and-outs. Because of this, their defense is fatigued and overworked. Being number one against the pass is a moot point in this matchup. The Tennessee Titans are not a passing offense. Speaking about the passing game, at this point the starting quarterback for Tennessee is uncertain. This is going to make it even harder for the Broncos to prepare. Let’s face it, you can’t find two starting quarterbacks on the same team that play more differently than Ryan Tannehill and Malik Willis. The Titans are a rushing team. They pound the ball up the middle and around the ends behind the legs of Derrick Henry, wearing defenses down, and allowing them to open up the passing attack. This is the team that has gotten all of us sports bettors paid, covering their last six. And are just a few points away from winning six in a row straight up. You know, they have a pretty darn good defense as well. They rank in the top-10 in points allowed, yielding just 19.8 points per game. Guys, they have faced some pretty good offenses and haven’t given up a lot of points since mid-September. I really feel Denver is in for a long day here. They’re not going to be able to move the ball in the air or on the ground. As I mentioned earlier, they experience a lot of three-and-outs. And when you’re facing Derrick Henry, your defense is going to get tired to begin with. Trust me when I tell you, they are in trouble here. The Broncos do come off a bye week. But they have some roster turnover too. This is not the smartest team in the league guys. It’s going to take a little while for additions to get in sync. Here’s a couple of against the spread trends you to further my pick here; the Broncos are 2-5 ATS the last seven on the road, 4-12 ATS the last 16 versus the AFC, and 0-6 ATS the last six following and ATS win. Meanwhile the Titans are 5-2 ATS the last seven at home, 5-0 ATS the last five first versus the AFC, and 4-0 ATS the last four versus teams with a losing record. Under a field goal is a gift here. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

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Cole Faxon

FREE PLAY on Bills -6 1/2 -110

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Stars-170

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Flyers +163
*All NHL picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

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Sean Murphy

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Green Bay at 4:25 pm et on Sunday.
I realize that everyone is down on the Packers offense right now, and rightfully so following a 'rock-bottom' performance against a pitiful Lions defense in Detroit last Sunday. I'm actually even more concerned about their suddenly injury-plagued defense that just lost pass-rushing specialist Rashan Gary to a season-ending knee injury. That's not all as key corner Eric Stokes and LB De'Vondre Campbell are sidelined as well, opening the door for a boxscore post-bye stuffing performance from the Cowboys offense. The question is whether Green Bay can produce enough offensively to help this total along. I believe it can. After seemingly trying to fit round pegs into square holes all afternoon long against Detroit last week, I'm confident we'll see the Packers go back to RB Aaron Jones as their workhorse on Sunday afternoon. While Dallas has been stout in all areas defensively, I do think Jones can inflict some damage against a pressure-happy Cowboys front here. It's well past desperation time for the Packers and I do expect them to make somewhat of a stand in this national spotlight game on Sunday afternoon. Take the over.

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Jeff Alexander

1* NFL - Cowboys/Packers FREE Pick on Cowboys -3.5


Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Dallas Cowboys as a 3.5-point road favorite against the Green Bay Packers. I don't understand the line move at all in this one, as we have seen this line drop in favor of Green Bay. There's been little to no evidence that Green Bay is going to turn this thing around. The offense is stuck in reverse and is up against one of the better defenses in the NFL in the Cowboys. I also don't trust the Green Bay defense to be able to stop this balanced Cowboys offense. Dallas also has a big edge in this one coming off of their bye and road favorites off a bye have been a great bet historically in the NFL. Bet the Cowboys -3.5!