Tuesday 11/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #46
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Zia Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:21pm - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 74 Zia Park Princess S.

    Rating:

    #1 FLYING CONNECTION (ML=9/5)
    #3 MO BONITA (ML=5/2)


    FLYING CONNECTION - This filly was sharp enough to post a 'top two' workout recently. I think she's ready for today's event. Shipped in on November 7th to finish first here. Take right back again. Juarez was aboard this filly in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the second time using it, like we have with this horse. This filly recorded a good speed figure of 79 in her last race. That speed figure should be good enough to triumph this time. MO BONITA - This race horse should be rumbling down the lane.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BOLD CONNECTION (ML=3/1), #6 DIAMONDS DANZING (ML=5/1),

    BOLD CONNECTION - Doubtful that the speed fig she recorded on Oct 11th will hold up in this event. DIAMONDS DANZING - Just don't think she is worth it at the given odds.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #1 FLYING CONNECTION to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #47
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17200 Class Rating: 74

      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $9,000 2 LBS.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 3 STREET CULTURE 2/1
      # 2 DEVIL OR ANGEL 5/2
      # 6 HANGOUT 10/1
      I have to support STREET CULTURE here. Has respectable early speed and should fare soundly against this group of horses in this race. This gelding ought to be given a shot just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. Rice has this gelding racing well and is a respectable pick based on the quite good speed figs garnered in sprint races lately. DEVIL OR ANGEL - Has been constatntly running well recently. Formidable jockey and conditioner combo winning 18 percent of their races working together. HANGOUT - Looks very good against this group of horses in this race and will probably be one of the front-runners. This gelding with Worrie in the irons makes him a definite contender.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #48
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 7 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $23800 Class Rating: 94

        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 6 MY BUDDY B 1/2
        # 1 SHELTOWEE'S BALI 8/1
        # 4 SPEIGHTY WAR 4/1
        My pick in this race is MY BUDDY B. Has strong Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet here. This colt obviously likes the distance, going 3 for 4 in his races as of late. Will most likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the race. SHELTOWEE'S BALI - This equine could stun this lot at a nice number. Displays reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group. SPEIGHTY WAR - He has a quite good distance/surface win record - 3 / 10. Must be used in the exotic wagers.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #49
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Penn National - Race #8 - Post: 9:10pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,100 Class Rating: 75

          Rating:

          #3 DETERMINED EMPIRE (ML=7/2)
          #4 SEEKINGARRANGEMENT (ML=3/1)


          DETERMINED EMPIRE - This filly should get a gorgeous trip in this spot. She looks like the only 'stalker' in this event. That 58 fig this filly earned in her last race tells me she's a major player in today's event. SEEKINGARRANGEMENT - This filly looks like a natural router, based on efforts in last 2 sprint races.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DUST BUNNY (ML=5/2), #1 SUPER DUPER FLY (ML=4/1), #6 HIGH CLASS DIVA (ML=8/1),

          DUST BUNNY - Substandard speed fig in the last race at Penn National at 6 furlongs. Don't think this runner will improve too much in today's event. HIGH CLASS DIVA - In the last race this vulnerable equine finished third. Doesn't look good for her chances in today's event.

          GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SEEKINGARRANGEMENT - Earnings per start is a sign of class. I often play horses like this one that are utmost in the field in earnings per start.




          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 DETERMINED EMPIRE to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,4]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Pass
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #50
            Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.



            Race 7 - Post: 6:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 66 - Purse:$8000 - NW 2 RACES LIFE 4 YEAR OLDS & UNDER DSBF AGE EXCLUDED NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER BALLY`S DOVER DRIVER CHOICES: NO. 8 TITOTITO - 1ST TIME LASIX
            CONSORTIUM CHOICES
            # 5 FORKNER HANOVER 10/1
            # 7 ROCK A HONEY 5/2
            # 1 MULL OF KINTYRE 7/2
            If you want a formidable play today, feast your eyes on FORKNER HANOVER and is a very good value wager given the line. He has been battling admirably and the speed ratings are among the best in the race. This horse looks very good considering the high class numbers. We wouldn't recommend tossing out of any exotics. Achieved a 70 speed figure last out. A duplicate affair here should get the win in this contest. ROCK A HONEY - When Hundertpfund sends this standardbred out you can bet they'll be in the top three, numbers show them there 100 percent of the time. He has been racing strongly and the speed ratings are among the most competitive in the group of horses. MULL OF KINTYRE - Battling sharply, recorded a formidable TrackMaster Speed Rating in his most recent gathering (67). Formidable driver/trainer rankings make this race horse a very promising choice. Unquestionably will be putting some green stuff down in this race.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #51
              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rosecroft Raceway

              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
              RACE 12
              7 7 BEYOND WORDS N 2/1 Roberts, Jonathan - 24 506.61
              6 6 ARTS AND FLOWERS 7/2 Plante, Roger Jr - 9 488.62
              4 4 SEA YA MYSTERY 10/1 Long, William - 7 486.25
              5 5 TRUTH AND LIBERTY 8/1 Moyer, Jared - 12 480.77
              3 3 TALK SHOW CHICA 4/1 Still, Rick - 10 470.73
              2 2 IN AND OUT AGAIN 6/1 Wagner, John - 16 440.10
              8 8 KILEE ROCKS 3/1 Davis, Eric - 7 393.24
              1 1 LADY SAYS WIN 12/1 Donoway, Declan - 5 374.99

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #52
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park

                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 12
                5 5 GET THE CASH 5/1 Lems, Chris - 13 505.65
                1 1 ITS A HORSE 5/1 Deaton, Elliott - 10 494.11
                3 3 SHESWILDNFREE 2/1 Merriman, Aaron - 24 489.24
                2 2 YES 5/2 Macdonald, Anthony - 15 482.89
                9 9 NEXT WOMAN UP 25/1 Myers, Hunter - 15 471.20
                4 4 FIREWORKS FLASH 20/1 Ebersole, Luke - 8 462.63
                6 6 CASTYOURCROWN 9/1 Stahl, Ryan - 9 460.89
                7 7 KING FELIX 25/1 Thompson, Jason - 7 446.31
                8 8 COWBOY COUNTRY 25/1 Sugg, Kurt - 10 437.77

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #53
                  Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 7 - Post: 8:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$17000 - 3-5 YO C,H& G NW 6 P-M RACES OR $81,716 LT AE: 3-5 C,H& G NW 4 P-M RACES OR $50,000 LT TO DRAW INSIDE SIRE STAKES EXCLUDED
                  CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                  # 3 BB LUCKY BOY 7/5
                  # 4 FROZEN HANOVER 6/1
                  # 5 DRAGON CITY 7/1
                  BB LUCKY BOY has a respectable shot to take this outing. Could surprise us at a favorable price. Don't leave out. He's performing in fine form, recording very strong TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent choice. Could be considered in this one if only for the really good speed rating recorded in the last gathering. FROZEN HANOVER - When the starter calls, standardbreds beginning out of the 4 hole have more wins than you would expect. This colt has been running against some of the most competitive horses in this field of horses recently. DRAGON CITY - Some trainers just fit better with certain interesting entrants. That seems to be the case right here with Hart. A very good wager. Recorded a 84 speed rating last time out. A duplicate showing here should get the win in this one.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #54
                    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
                    1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – 76ers +7.5
                    2. Gameday Network NBA – Lakers +7
                    3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Nets -7.5
                    4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Pistons +5.5
                    5. VegasSI.com NBA – Kings under 231
                    6. Sam Casey NHL – Kings -105
                    7. Henry Brown Sports NHL – Canadiens -115
                    8. Winning Big Sports NHL – Kings under 6
                    9. Lou Panelli NHL – Canadiens over 6.5
                    10. Platinum Info Club NBA – Pistons +5.5
                    11. William E. Stockton NBA – Lakers +7
                    12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Nets over 217.5
                    13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Kings -2.5
                    14. SCORE CBB – Canisius +7
                    15. Tony Campone CBB – Notre Dame -14.5
                    16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Rider +15.5
                    17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – SMU -2.5
                    18. VIP Action CBB – East Carolina +9.5
                    19. South Beach Sports CBB – Fordham -15
                    20. LV Sports Commission NHL – Canadiens -115
                    21. NY Players Club NHL – Kings -105
                    22. Fred Callahan NHL – Canadiens over 6.5
                    23. LV Private CEO Club CBB – Elon +8.5
                    24. Michigan Sports CBB – Pacific -5
                    25. National Consensus Report CBB – San Diego St under 162

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #55
                      RALPH MICHAELS

                      San Diego State at Arizona
                      Total Under 164.5

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #56
                        KEVIN DOLAN

                        Play: Phoenix Suns -7.0 (-110)

                        Our numbers have the Suns winning comfortably here on Tuesday night against the Lakers over in Phoenix.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #57
                          BEN BURNS

                          Play: Buffalo Sabres +100

                          While their hot start is a distant memory, this should be a good place for the Sabres to get back on track. They're getting healthier and come in well-rested. The Habs have been scoring goals lately but they're also giving up a lot of them. Off a 5-4 OT win over the Flyers, note that they're 1-6 their last seven, after scoring five or more goals. Going back further finds Montreal at an ugly 24-47 (-30.1) the past 2+ seasons, when facing a a team with a losing record. Don't be surprised when the Sabres snap their losing streak and avenge an earlier home loss.

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #58
                            BRYAN POWER

                            Play: Ball State/Miami OH Total Over 44.0 (-110)

                            Both teams are looking to become bowl eligible, but only one will do it Tuesday when 5-6 Ball State meets 5-6 Miami in the regular season finale. Miami was a winner for me last Wednesday when they went to Northern Illinois and prevailed 29-23. Ball State is off a 32-18 home loss to Ohio. The Cardinals have lost three of four while the RedHawks have lost three of five. So I'm not interested in playing either side here.

                            When handicapping this matchup, perhaps the most interesting thing is that Ball State has gone Under in six consecutive games. There is a chance they could be without RB Steele after he suffered a concussion last week. And we aren't 100 percent clear on who will be playing QB for Miami this week as Gabbert (ankle) didn't play at all last week. But the backup, Aveon Smith, has seen plenty of action this season and accounted for three touchdowns last week.

                            The Under is a combined 16-6 for these two teams this season (both 8-3). But looking at the O/U line for tonight, it's the lowest for any Ball State game this season. Yes, the Cardinals have gone Under six straight times, but four of those games have seen 46 or more total pts scored. As for Miami, there's a chance this could close as their lowest O/U for the season as well. I know there are key injuries to both offenses, but the best move here is taking the Over. There's definitely value in the current number, especially if RB Steele were to play for BSU. I'm fine with whomever plays QB for Miami.

                            2000 POSTS! Thank you all for the support!

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #59
                              TOKYO BRANDON

                              Play: Southern Miss +3.5 (-110)

                              I have Southern Miss favored by 13 so take whatever points they give.

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #60
                                RALPH MICHAELS added

                                Play: Texas Tech -13.5 (-110)

                                (653) Texas Tech at (654) Louisville

                                Comment

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