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Tuesday 11/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Both teams are looking to become bowl eligible, but only one will do it Tuesday when 5-6 Ball State meets 5-6 Miami in the regular season finale. Miami was a winner for me last Wednesday when they went to Northern Illinois and prevailed 29-23. Ball State is off a 32-18 home loss to Ohio. The Cardinals have lost three of four while the RedHawks have lost three of five. So I'm not interested in playing either side here.
When handicapping this matchup, perhaps the most interesting thing is that Ball State has gone Under in six consecutive games. There is a chance they could be without RB Steele after he suffered a concussion last week. And we aren't 100 percent clear on who will be playing QB for Miami this week as Gabbert (ankle) didn't play at all last week. But the backup, Aveon Smith, has seen plenty of action this season and accounted for three touchdowns last week.
The Under is a combined 16-6 for these two teams this season (both 8-3). But looking at the O/U line for tonight, it's the lowest for any Ball State game this season. Yes, the Cardinals have gone Under six straight times, but four of those games have seen 46 or more total pts scored. As for Miami, there's a chance this could close as their lowest O/U for the season as well. I know there are key injuries to both offenses, but the best move here is taking the Over. There's definitely value in the current number, especially if RB Steele were to play for BSU. I'm fine with whomever plays QB for Miami.
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