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Sunday 11/27/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Edges - Seahawks: 7-1 ATS when coming off a loss versus an opponent coming off a SUATS win… Raiders: 0-4 ATS after the Broncos when facing a foe coming off a SUATS loss; and 1-4 ATS versus NFC West opponents … With that, we recommend a 1* play on Seattle. Thank you and good luck as always.
Dave's Sunday Free Play: 1* on Chargers/Cardinals OVER 48
The Key: The Los Angeles Chargers just got Keenan Allen back last week and scored 27 points against the Chiefs. The Arizona Cardinals get both Kyler Murray and Marquise Brown back this week and are in much better shape offensively than they have been in recent weeks. Both of these defenses are really struggling right now. The Cardinals have yielded 31 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. The Chargers have yielded 22 or more points in 7 of their last 9 games overall. The OVER is 8-1 in Chargers last 9 games off 2 or more consecutive losses. The OVER is 7-1 in Chargers last 8 road games against a team with a losing home record. The OVER is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games overall. Take the OVER.
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our Sunday Free Play.
The season is on the line for both teams on Sunday and probably more so Los Angeles even though it possesses the better record and has better playoff odds at this point. The Chargers are coming off a tough loss against Kansas City last Sunday night which was their second straight loss to a Super Bowl contender as they lost by six points at San Francisco the previous week. They had won four of their previous five games with the four wins coming against non-playoff teams and that is what we consider the Cardinals at this point. Injuries still haunt Los Angeles but the passing game is in better shape even with Mike Williams out for this game as Justin Herbert should have a big game here. The Chargers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games off a close home loss by three points or less. Arizona got absolutely dominated last Monday in Mexico City as it lost 38-10 as it was never in the game and the Cardinals have lost three of four and five of their last seven games after a 2-2 start. All four victories are against teams that will not be in the postseason and while the Chargers are no lock, they are more likely to get in than stay out with a favorable schedule going forward. Kliff Kingsbury remains on the hot seat as it has been heating up week by week and last week gave no confidence to the upstairs brass that he can get it done when it counts. Kyler Murray is back which is a good thing but he ha been underwhelming with his 86.9 passer rating and 12:6 TD:INT ratio. Arizona is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games in the second half of the season against teams averaging 350 or more passing ypg. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season that are averaging 265 or more passing ypg and after allowing seven or more passing ypa in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 230 and 265 passing ypg. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Play (267) Los Angeles Chargers
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #269 Over in Los Angeles Rams @ Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 27 FOX)
This is not a marque game anymore, as the Rams have fallen flat on their face in 2022. They have the worst record of any defending champion and things will likely not get any better for the rest of the season. The only chance that they have to be competitive in this game is to score close to 30 points and outscore the Chiefs. Los Angeles has gone over the posted total in 10 of their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. Kansas City has gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Holiday card featuring winners in football, basketball, hockey, and World Cup Soccer. Sign-up now and let 51 years of handicapping experience work for you.
Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the New Orleans Saints as a 9.5-point road dog against the San Francisco 49ers. This to me is a great spot to sell-high on San Francisco after last week's 38-10 blowout win over the Cardinals on Monday Night Football. This is not an ideal spot for them either, as they are on a short week after playing in Mexico City on Monday. Saints have had a disappointing season, but are still in the mix in the NFC with their 4-7 record. They are just 2-games back of Tampa Bay for the top spot in the NFC South. Thing is, their room for error is very small. I expect a big effort here from the Saints and while it might not be enough to get the win, I think it's enough to get the cover. Bet the Saints +9.5!
Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Sunday 11-27-22
Washington @ Boston (6:10 PM EST) Play On: Washington +7 1/2
The Washington Wizards travel to Boston to take on the Celtics on Sunday night. Washington is 10-9 SU overall this year while Boston comes in with a 15-4 SU overall record on the season. Washington is 12-4 ATS last 16 games and 22-10 ATS last 32 games against good offensive teams scoring 116 points per game or more. Washington is 5-0 ATS last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage higher than .600. Washington is 5-1 ATS last 6 games against teams with a winning record. We'll recommend a small play on Washington tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Seattle is 12-5-3-0 this year. The Kraken are 6-1-1 on the road and I believe they're worth the price of admission in this spot. Seattle is off a 4-2 win at Vegas. It averages 3.50 GPG, and allows 2.80. Anaheim is 6-14 this year. It averages 2.48 GPG, and allows 4.19. Each of those stats is ranked 31st in the league. The Ducks are off a listless 5-1 loss here at home to Ottawa. I feel a similar fate awaits them here vs. the surging Kraken; consider laying the price on Seattle on Sunday night!
AAA Sports
The Philadelphia Eagles go from being 7-point road favorites at Indianapolis to 6.5-point home favorites over the Green Bay Packers this week. Keep in mind they were also 11-point favorites over the Commanders at home two weeks ago. I think Washington and Indianapolis are both better than Green Bay currently, so from a line value perspective, we are getting a good price on the Eagles favored by less than a touchdown this week. The Packers are a dead team right now sitting at 4-7 and just playing out the string. The Eagles are trying to not only win the NFC East, but also win the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Aaron Rodgers keeps saying the right things in the media, but he and his teammates are not delivering as the Packers are 1-6 SU in their last seven games overall. Their lone win was a miracle 14-point 4th quarter comeback. But they promptly lost at home to the Titans by 10 last week, and Rodgers is having accuracy issues with his broken thumb. This soft Green Bay run defense that has allows 136 rushing yards per game and 4.6 per carry is in trouble this week against one of the top rushing teams in the NFL in the Eagles. Philadelphia has the better defense as well giving up only 18.3 points per game and 300 yards per game this season. The Eagles rank 1st in the NFL allowing 4.6 yards per play while the Packers are 18th at 5.5 yards per play. Green Bay's offense is broken at 18.4 points per game, ranking 26th in the NFL in scoring offense. Give me the Eagles.
The Commanders did a nice job of beating up on Houston. However, the Texans are playing out the string while the Falcons are still battling for a division title. I don't feel that Washington is ready to be laying more than a field goal. Both teams have been playing a lot of close ones. Three of Atlanta's last four game were decided by three points or less. Meanwhile, Washington has seen three of its past five decided by three or less. Grab the points. (Good at +3 or better.)
Play: Panthers Eagles
Carolina +8.5 with Eagles -1, 6 point Teaser. (Make sure you wager at a location that a push & a loss is a refund) Carolina hasn't given up, they're just mediocre. Denver would be 9-1 if they scored 18 pts per games, but they don't, so what business do they have covering 8.5 on the road… Wilson has lost a step, & perhaps his mind. He's calling audibles that nobody understands & he throws incomplete passes when he's trying to run the clock out.
Event: (251) Baltimore Ravens at (252) Jacksonville Jaguars
Play: Total Under 43.5 (-110)
What to make of a 13-3 win at home vs Carolina and it was 3-3 in the 4th quarter.
Let’s just chalk it up to a bad game with a lot of penalties and Lamar did get sacked 4 times.
It is so hard to bet a total in a Ravens game, as they can pass for 94 yards and still put up 23 (that was against the Browns). Then they threw 131 yards and scored 27 vs NO.
This team is clearly a running team, but Lamar gets chunks on the ground.
Jax is a running team as well. Yes, Trevor has put up over 200 many times this year, but they have also put up 240, 191, 168, 142 on the ground and that is 4 of their last 5 games.
I don’t see any way to bet the side, as I don’t quite have a grip on how the Jags will play after their bye.
The bet for me on this game is the Under, but even that scares me.
There will be a ton of running, a ton of clock movement and it will come down to FGs or TDs in the redzone.
Both these Defenses are top half in the league in points allowed, both are top 10 stopping the run, but both are bottom half in stopping the pass. Normally this would be a factor and I would look to the Over, but for instance, the Ravens are who they are and they will run regardless.
Jax has gone Under 4 in a row and Baltimore 6 of last 7.
Balt/Jax Under 43.5
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