Thursday 12/1/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Seton Hall +9 -110


All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

[ConleyPicks]

Matt Fargo

This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our Thursday Free Play. It has been a season of early losses for the bluebloods of college basketball with the preseason top ten getting ravaged with defeats and that includes a loss by Kansas against Tennessee at the Maui Invitational but it was one of the late losses of the bunch and the Jayhawks dropped down to No. 9 in the nation and the win over Duke is the lone real quality victory. The Jayhawks have been hurt by the pollsters since they have yet to see Cam Martin take the floor so they will be a very dangerous team come conference season. Still, this is a team that should overmatch Seton Hall and they remain home where they are 4-0 and have won 11 straight games going back to last season. Jalen Wilson has picked up the slack as he is averaging 22.8 ppg which is tops in the conference and third nationally while super freshman Gradey Dick has put up 15.4 ppg which leads all freshmen in the Big 12. Seton Hall is 4-3 to open the season as it started 3-1 with the three victories coming against Monmouth, St. Peter's and Wagner where it was favored by at least 16 points in all of those games. The Pirates finished fourth at the ESPN Events Invitational last week in Orlando, defeating Memphis before falling to Oklahoma and Siena. The Pirates worked the transfer portal well and nabbed a pair of power five players with Clemson transfer Al-Amir Dawes and Louisville transfer Dre Davis and both have already made their presence felt as they are the team leaders in scoring with 11.9 and 11.4 ppg respectively but Davis has missed the last two games and he is questionable again tonight with a knee injury. This is the first true road game for Seton Hall and this is a tough spot as Kansas is overdue for a dominating performance against a quality team. Play (770) Kansas Jayhawks

[ConleyPicks]

Ricky Tran

Ricky's 1* play on SEA.


Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
Key Trends:
- The Capitals are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
- The Kraken are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- The Kraken are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
Verdict: The value is on the short home favorite.

[ConleyPicks]

AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY Seattle.


I think a great spot to pull the trigger on the home side. Washington is just 10-11, but it's coming off a rare 5-1 road win over the Canucks. Despite the victory the Caps still only average 2.79 GPG, while allowing 3.04 collectively. The Kraken are 14-5-3 and they're off a 9-8 OT win at the Kings. They average 3.82 GPG, while collectively conceding 3.09. I think Washington gets caught looking ahead to the rest of its difficult road trip; all things considered, some great value here on the undervalued home side; consider Seattle on Thursday!
AAA Sports

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Panthers -129

[ConleyPicks]

Dave Price

Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on UCLA -6


The Key: The UCLA Bruins have 5 wins by 21 or more points and single-digit losses to Illinois and Baylor. Look for another blowout win here when the Bruins take a step down in class and face a Stanford team that is just 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS this year. The 3 wins have come against Pacific, Cal Poly and Florida State, and it appears FSU is one of the worst Power 5 teams in the country alongside Louisville. The Cardinal have losses to Wisconsin by 10, Memphis by 8 and Ole Miss by 4 on neutrals plus a 12-point home loss to San Diego State. And you could make the case that UCLA will be the best team they have faced yet. UCLA won by 23 at home and by 9 on the road in their 2 matchups with Stanford last year. Take UCLA.

[ConleyPicks]

Sal Michaels

Free Play on Coyotes +235

[ConleyPicks]

Will Rogers

Free Play: Coyotes+1 1/2

The 4-6 Kings lost a high scoring affair 9-8 to the Kraken, and have been under-performing this season. The Kings just put their "goalie of the future" on waivers, so Quick will be in net. He is not the stellar performer he once was, and has been uneven this year. He was shelled in that high-scoring affair vs Seattle. The Kings are a young team with a certain amount of turmoil, playing an "easy" team, a perfect set up to fail.
Not much is expected of the 4-6 Coyotes, but their defense isn't as poor as the Kings, and they are at least average on special teams, facing a Kings team that is 28th on the PK. The Coyotes' last three losses have all been by one goal, with two going to shoot-outs. They are getting solid net minding from Vejmelka as well. Hey, they shut out the Canes just a few games ago, and won three straight earlier in November.
I am wagering on the Coyotes on the puck line at +1 1/2 today, although an outright win wouldn't surprise me..

[ConleyPicks]

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Akron+12


So Buffalo will play a make up game against Akron Friday, and it will be their last chances to become bowl eligible. Before we put too much emphasis on what you could call a "must win situation", we have to keep in mind that Buffalo has lost it's last three games, allowing 45,31 and 30 points in those games. The Zips are the worst team in the MAC, but despite that they have been sneaky competitive. Only two of their seven losses versus unranked teams have come by double digits. Last week they gave Jeff Undercuffler his first start, and he threw for 312 yards, 3TDs and an INT on 21-of-32 passing in an upset win over Northern Illinois. I'll take the points with the Zips, and wouldn't be surprised if they upset the apple cart.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[ConleyPicks]

ADAM TRIGGER

Play: Delaware -3.5 (-110)

This one is getting steamed so I'm not going to sell this in an individual package as I intended to.
Line Parameters: Clients were sent Delaware -3.5 early this morning, if you missed the -3.5 I think anything up to -5 is still playable as a 4% play
I will fully summarize this game and discuss alternative ways to bet Delaware on WagerTalk today. At a high level, I'm just not buying Cornell being a very good team. Cornell is 5-1 but two of those wins are to non-D1 schools, one is to winless Monmouth and the other two are over struggling Canisius and St Francis (PA).
Jameer Nelson Jr has found a home with Delaware and he's thriving alongside Jyare Davis, who I have as one of the top players in the CAA this season and veteran LJ Owens who seems to fit in nicely after transferring in from UMBC. Delaware is the far superior team and I like the Blue Hens to roll in their first competitive home game of the season. Play on Delaware -3.5 (-110) for 4% (or 4 units)

[ConleyPicks]

BEN BURNS

Play: Nashville Predators +1.5 (-145)

With the Devils heavy ML favorites, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with Nashville, for a reasonable price. Keep in mind that the Predators have won five of their past seven games and that one of those two losses came by a single goal. Also, note that the Preds have also dominated the Devils. They're 8-2 the past 10 meetings and both of those NJ wins came by a single goal. A closer look reveals that five of those 10 games, incl. each of the two NJ wins, was tied after regulation. In what figures to be another close one, I'm grabbing the extra +1.5 goals.

[ConleyPicks]

BRYAN LEONARD

Play: Pittsburgh Penguins -115

42 Vegas at Pittsburgh

As a season ticket holder in Vegas we know this team better than any other. Despite the shootout victory at Columbus, this team is simply not playing well. They will be shorthanded as it's best defender will be missing this game because of a personal matter. Vegas doesn't have its timing down right now, as you rarely see a pass that can lead to a goal opportunity. They haven't fared well in this building either. Give us the Penguins to get back on the winning track.

PLAY PITTSBURGH

[ConleyPicks]

RALPH MICHAELS

Play: Houston Christian +7.0 (-110)

#306722 Houston Christian +7 Denver

Just couldn’t pull trigger backing this bad of a team as a client release.

[ConleyPicks]

RALPH MICHAELS

Play: 7 PT TEASER NE & UNDER

7 PT Teaser (-140) New England +10.5 with UNDER 50.5

[ConleyPicks]

Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
1. NSA(The Legend) NHL – Knights -105
2. Gameday Network NHL – Lightning -1.5
3. Sports Action 365 NHL – Stars over 6
4. Vegas Line Crushers NHL – Canucks +115
5. VegasSI.com NHL – Capitals +105
6. Sam Casey NBA – Pistons +8
7. Henry Brown Sports NBA – Pistons under 221
8. Winning Big Sports CBB – Cornell +5
9. Lou Panelli CBB – Creighton +6.5
10. Platinum Info Club CBB – Murray St over 135.5
11. William E. Stockton CBB – Belmont -9
12. Vincent Pioli CBB – Purdue Fort Wayne -4
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Youngstown St -1
14. SCORE NHL – Kings -1.5
15. Tony Campone NHL – Stars over 6
16. Chicago Sports Group NHL – Oilers +135
17. Hollywood Sportsline NHL – Penguins -115
18. VIP Action NHL – Devils -1.5
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Pistons +8
20. LV Sports Commission NBA – Pistons under 221
21. NY Players Club CBB – Connecticut -9
22. Fred Callahan CBB – Creighton +6.5
23. LV Private CEO Club CBB – Murray St over 135.5
24. Michigan Sports CBB – UC Davis -6.5
25. National Consensus Report CBB – Radford -4.5