Tuesday 12/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #46
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12200 Class Rating: 71

    FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 PYRITE 8/5
    # 6 SMUDGE THE CAT 9/5
    # 3 ROGERS GINGER 5/2
    PYRITE is tough to overlook as the bet in here. This horse enters today's outing with second time Lasix. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Should come out solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the lead recently. SMUDGE THE CAT - Has strong Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. He has a good opportunity in this race as trainer, Radosevich, has sharp win clip with horses going this distance. ROGERS GINGER - Is hard not to examine based on Equibase speed figs which have been competitive - 61 avg - of late. Profitable rider and trainer team, with a +17 return on investment.

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #47
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

      Parx Racing - Race 7
      Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Philly BIG 5
      Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 71 • Purse: $50,000 • Post: 2:37P
      FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. IF RACE SHOULD RUN WITH FIVE (5) OR LESS STARTERS - THE PURSE WILL BE REDUCED BY $5,000.
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. UNCLE DAR is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * UNCLE DAR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highe st TrackMaster Power Rating. MEET THE ELITE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
      4
      UNCLE DAR
      8/5
      2/1
      5
      MEET THE ELITE
      8/1
      7/1

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      4
      UNCLE DAR
      4
      8/5
      Front-runner
      71
      67
      95.7
      63.5
      60.5
      5
      MEET THE ELITE
      5
      8/1
      Front-runner
      67
      58
      83.6
      35.1
      29.1
      6
      GO EAST
      6
      9/2
      Alternator/Stalker
      0
      0
      65.4
      50.2
      45.2
      7
      THE GRAYT PUMPKIN
      7
      10/1
      Alternator/Stalker
      68
      63
      42.6
      45.8
      38.3
      1
      RUNNIN JOKE
      1
      12/1
      Trailer
      0
      0
      33.2
      42.7
      35.7
      Unknown Running Style: PROFESSOR KOOL (6/1) [Jockey: Laprida Jeremy - Trainer: Padilla-Preciado E], WINNIN'ONWEEKENDS (3/1) [Jockey: Pennington Frankie - Trainer: Servis John C].

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #48
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Turf Paradise - Race #6 - Post: 2:55pm - Optional Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,400 Class Rating: 97

        Rating:

        #3 MR. STANG (ML=2/1)
        #4 SMILING GOODBYE (ML=9/2)


        MR. STANG - This gelding is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. This thoroughbred coming off a sharp try in the last month is a serious competitor in my humble opinion. This gelding earned a good speed rating of 97 in his last race. That rating should be high enough to triumph today. SMILING GOODBYE - This speedy sort is cutting back in distance today. Should help his winning probability.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BODENHEIMER (ML=5/2), #2 PERFECT FANNY (ML=7/2), #5 SMOKEN SHADOW (ML=8/1),

        BODENHEIMER - The victory on Nov 14th probably isn't good enough to beat these today. Will be hard for this horse to beat this group off of that last fig. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the questionable contenders list. PERFECT FANNY - Not easy to play any steed in a sprint race if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple of months. Finished second in his most recent performance with a disappointing speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. SMOKEN SHADOW - No favorable outcomes for this horse in a short distance affair over the last couple months tells me that this gelding is in a difficult situation Don't think this racer will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was mediocre when compared with today's class rating.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 MR. STANG on top if we're getting at least 6/5 odds
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,4]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Pass
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #49
          Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

          P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
          RACE 12
          5 5 DANCIN' ANNA 8/1 Mullet, Lester - 2 454.06
          2 2 HILLBILLY KISSES 7/5 Palone, Dave - 25 440.53
          6 6 SOMETHING REEL 5/1 Warren, Ridge - 10 438.44
          4 4 TEMPTATION EYES 9/2 Zendt, Brian - 8 434.89
          3 3 MARVALOUS SONG 20/1 Killeen, Jack - 5 420.29
          8 8 VICKY EVERYDAY 20/1 Walters, Justin - 6 412.33
          1 1 TSM ARTEMIS T 15/1 Neal, Eric - 2 403.80
          7 7 SPANISH DREAM 5/1 Roland, Nick - 10 385.79

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #50
            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rosecroft Raceway

            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
            RACE 12
            6 6 BEYOND WORDS N 5/2 Roberts, Jonathan - 25 521.30
            2 2 GRACE ROCKS 7/2 Allard, Simon - 16 491.22
            5 5 ARTS AND FLOWERS 3/1 Plante, Roger Jr - 9 479.84
            1 1 AUNTMILLY'SMARTINI 6/1 Donoway, Declan - 5 431.80
            3 3 TRUTH AND LIBERTY 9/2 Wagner, John - 16 430.97
            4 4 JACKIE'S EXPRESS 8/1 Moyer, Jared - 11 402.38

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #51
              Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.



              Race 11 - Post: 10:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 69 - Purse:$7500 - NON WINNERS 1 PARI-MUTUEL RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. AE: N/W 2 PM RACES OR $20,000 LIFETIME. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000
              CONSORTIUM CHOICES
              # 4 TELLITLIKEITISNOW 5/2
              # 3 LOUIE OSBORNE 3/1
              # 1 WHOLE LOTTA SKYWAY 7/2
              Hard not to support TELLITLIKEITISNOW as the top play for this race. The wagering panel saw this horse's name in a newspaper. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. Getting a good feeling about this gelding. Could surprise this time. The number crunching team noted a huge outing out of this harness racer last time. Looking for a repeat of that to take the whole enchilada. LOUIE OSBORNE - With a 72 avg class ranking, this contender has one of the most solid class edges in the field of horses. Merriman is racking up the wins in recent times. Exemplary win stat makes this harness racer our selection. WHOLE LOTTA SKYWAY - Could provide us a victory based on great recent TrackMaster speed figs - earning an avg of 70. Unquestionably the class of the pack with an average rating of 73. A nice pick.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #52
                Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 1 - Post: 6:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$23800 - F& M CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $50,000
                CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                # 3 LADY DELA RENTA A 6/1
                # 1 NUTTINBUTHEBEST 2/1
                # 6 TOBAGO TIME 4/1
                LADY DELA RENTA A will not be denied the ultimate prize this time. Has a very promising shot in this race, if she can race to her back racing class. Take a long look at making this horse your win wager based on very high win rate alone. NUTTINBUTHEBEST - Great win statistic combined with recent great performances. We think she can handle this group. Could very well be the most competitive in the group of horses here, showing nice stats of late. Average speed is a solid 84. TOBAGO TIME - Devita knows this race horse well. Exemplary in the money history when starting together. The consortium happens to know that when you put Bartlett and Devita together great results are not far behind.

                Comment

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