Wednesday 12/7/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Oilers -262 LOL


*All NHL picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Weber State+9 1/2 -110

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Matt Fargo

This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS-3 1/2 for our Wednesday Free Play. Yes, we are backing a favorite that has started the season 0-9 but there have been close calls along the way for California and is in a good spot here to notch that first victory. The schedule has been tough overall and after a 0-7 start in nonconference action, the Golden Bears dropped their first two Pac 12 games against USC and Arizona, the two top teams in the conference, and overall, they have played the No. 63 ranked schedule in the country. California is one of 14 teams in Division I that has yet to pick up a win and one of just two from a major conference along with Louisville and at this point, it is about pride if nothing else. Guard Devin Askew and center Lars Thiemann have paced the Bears offensively with a combined 31.2 ppg and both are coming off career highs at Arizona and the one key strength is the Golden Bears lead the Pac 12 in free throw shooting at 77.2 percent. We won with Eastern Washington on Saturday as it was in a great situational spot playing its first home game of the season after starting out with seven straight games away from home. The Eagles are 0-3 in true road games, losing at Florida International, Santa Clara and Fresno St. by an average of 10.7 ppg and all by at least nine points. They do nothing well overall as the Eagles are ranked No. 258 or worst in all scoring and shooting categories on both sides of the floor and this has come against a schedule ranked No. 263 in the nation. Play (722) California Golden Bears

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Stephen Nover

Free Play: NY Rangers+140

Kudos to the Golden Knights on ending the Bruins' NHL-record 14-game home winning streak two days ago. That was a highly emotional win for Las Vegas and Bruce Cassidy, who had coached the Bruins for six seasons before he was fired this past June. The Golden Knights really wanted to win that game for Cassidy.
That game also was the finale of a successful four-game East Coast trip where the Golden Knights went 3-1. Now the Golden Knights fly cross country heading home fat and happy.
Waiting for the Golden Knights are the Rangers, who happen to be coached by Gerard Gallant. He was Las Vegas' first coach leading them to the Stanley Cup final as an expansion team in 2018. Gallant did an excellent job with the Golden Knights. It was surprising when the team fired him in January of 2020.
The Rangers have underachieved but they are a good team and I expect them to play well in this matchup. They are off a 6-4 home win against the Blues this past Monday.
The Golden Knights are 2-4 in their last six home games.

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Will Rogers

Free Play: Canucks-113

The 7-3 Canucks have to feel confident in their offense after rallying for the win off an 0-4 first period against the Habs in their last start. They face a Sharks team that is 2-8 L10 and also 2-8 at home. Canucks have a very hot offense and power play, and can put up big totals,especially against weaker offenses. The Ducks are 24th rated on defense this year and struggle to score. The Canucks managed a 4-3 win against the Ducks in a back to back situation in late November, with big road wins against Vegas and the Avs in the preceding days. Look for Vancouver net-minder Martin to bounce back from a tough first period vs Montreal, and Canucks beat up again on a a some-what shaky Kahkonen.
Take Vancouver, still somewhat in the hunt for a Wild Card spot, to win against a pretty hapless Sharks team.

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Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Pacers +4.5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Raptors -9
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Clippers over 216
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Pistons +10.5
5. VegasSI.com NBA – Celtics -2
6. Sam Casey NHL – Sharks +100
7. Henry Brown Sports NHL – Oilers -1.5
8. Winning Big Sports NHL – Bruins over 6
9. Lou Panelli NHL – Flyers +115
10. Platinum Info Club NHL – Rangers over 6
11. William E. Stockton CBB – Notre Dame -14.5
12. Vincent Pioli CBB – Fairfield -7.5
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – CS Fullerton +14
14. SCORE CBB – Weber St +9
15. Tony Campone CBB – BYU -8
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Pacers +4.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Hawks +1.5
18. VIP Action NBA – Celtics -2
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Warriors +7.5
20. LV Sports Commission NBA – Wizards under 227.5
21. NY Players Club NHL – Flyers +115
22. Fred Callahan NHL – Wild +130
23. LV Private CEO Club NHL – Sharks over 6.5
24. Michigan Sports NHL – Sabres under 6.5
25. National Consensus Report NHL – Bruins -1.5

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 1	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 1-2) Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $5,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $15,700 • Post: 7:00P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 7, 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SURE WOULD FOREST is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SURE WOULD FOREST: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rat ing. KING NEKIA: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. THE GREAT DANSKY: Horse is dropping into a race which has a n Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer.
3	SURE WOULD FOREST	6/1	4/1
1	KING NEKIA	3/5	9/2
2	THE GREAT DANSKY	7/2	5/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	SURE WOULD FOREST	3	6/1	Front-runner	78	74	55.0	72.8	63.8
2	THE GREAT DANSKY	2	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	91	84	64.4	71.2	66.2
1	KING NEKIA	1	3/5	Trailer	96	87	50.8	75.0	73.0
5	SUNMAN	5	12/1	Trailer	85	69	20.6	63.4	54.9
4	JAMMIN STILL	4	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	81	66	31.8	67.0	59.0
6	VICTORY ELEMENT	6	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	87	38.2	51.4	42.4

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24300 Class Rating: 59

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 SKI SLOPE 2/1
# 7 ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 6/1
# 1 UNESCORTED 7/2

SKI SLOPE supports the wager in here. She has been moving well recently while recording solid speed figures. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in this race in her last contest. The drastic drop in class can only help out this horse this time out. ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS - Look for a solid pace improvement from this pony who enters on Lasix today. UNESCORTED - She looks decent in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Seems to have a respectable class edge based on the most recent company kept.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turf Paradise - Race #3 - Post: 1:42pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,900 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#4 BORN TO REIGN (ML=7/2)
#6 MISSCZECH (ML=5/1)
#5 FOR LOVE NOT MONEY (ML=9/2)


BORN TO REIGN - Have to make this mare a contender; she comes off a nice outing on November 7th. MISSCZECH - Cruz rode this horse for the first time last time out and comes right back in this race. Another way to judge class is earnings per start. This racer has the topmost in the bunch. I think she'll be close at the finish line. FOR LOVE NOT MONEY - That last blow out tells me this filly is set for a top performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MIDNIGHT GARDEN (ML=8/5), #3 SUNDANCE STAR (ML=6/1),

MIDNIGHT GARDEN - Recent dropping speed figures of 91/86/80 give a sign that this horse may be going off form. Don't think this runner will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's class rating. SUNDANCE STAR - This group is a whole lot tougher than the ones she met in the last event. This runner ran a mediocre speed rating last time around the track. She shouldn't run better and will likely lose in today's race running that figure.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BORN TO REIGN - I like the ground this race horse made up in the stretch. The route distance is just what the doctor ordered.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 BORN TO REIGN is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 PINK HIGGINS 4/1
# 7 QUIET AS MIDNIGHT 7/2
# 3 TOP HONORS 2/1

PINK HIGGINS looks to be a solid contender. Must be given a shot - I like the figs from the last contest. Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved swiftly to the front end recently. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the strongest class figs of this field. QUIET AS MIDNIGHT - Has quite good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look. His chances to prove victorious are much better today facing this less demanding lot. TOP HONORS - Dominguez will most likely be able to get this colt to break out quickly in this competition. At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

12/07/22, TAM, Race 6, 2.59 ET
12/07/22,TAM,6,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $19,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 7 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Antigone	3/1	Morales P	Davis Scooter	JTE	201	24.88	1.23/$1
097.0158	5	Alizee	8/1	Lozada C	Arnett Jon G.	FC	201	24.88	1.23/$1
095.6966	4	Tiz Herself	5/2	Mena R E	Rigattieri John		201	24.88	1.23/$1
095.6432	2	One Night Stand	5/1	Centeno D	Orseno Joseph F.	S	201	24.88	1.23/$1
095.2774	1	Dr. Ann	7/2	Camacho S	Campbell Michael B.		201	24.88	1.23/$1
095.1884	3	She Dazzle	15/1	Suarez A	O'Connor. II Robert R.	WL	201	24.88	1.23/$1
094.3678	6	Expect to Be Ready	5/1	Marin S	Wilson Tony		201	24.88	1.23/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.65, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.9842
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Jockey Dirt YTD_Curr*0.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 5-9) Super High 5
Optional Claiming $32,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 103 • Purse: $28,000 • Post: 2:29P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 7 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MID DAY IMAGE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MID DAY IMAGE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse racing off a layoff o f 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
4	MID DAY IMAGE	8/1	9/5

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	MID DAY IMAGE	4	8/1	Front-runner	108	112	123.6	101.4	98.4
2	MONTAUK SUMMER	2	4/1	Stalker	100	93	68.8	92.0	84.0
5	BULLET FORCE (IRE)	5	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	97	97	85.3	77.7	70.2
1	CREED	1	2/1	Trailer	97	100	85.5	93.2	85.2
7	HARD ATTACK	7	9/2	Trailer	103	97	70.4	95.2	88.7
6	BENS MALICE	6	15/1	Trailer	94	81	66.4	84.0	71.5
3	OBIWAN	3	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	99	91	92.2	92.0	82.0

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 12:37pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#1 GRUNDER'S CALL (ML=4/1)
#2 FEDERAL EXCHANGE (ML=4/1)


GRUNDER'S CALL - That recent bullet 48.0 work shows that this gelding is ready for a top effort today. Ran a less than stellar race at Delaware Park in the last race. Racing on a fast track puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list. FEDERAL EXCHANGE - This horse fits one of my favorite angles. A racer that has a gate drill since his last race and gets the 'shades' on for today's race. That signals to me that the connections are looking for improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ROYAL ATTITUDE (ML=2/1), #4 CAJUN BAYOU (ML=7/2), #7 READTHETRANSCRIPT (ML=5/1),

ROYAL ATTITUDE - The result of third in the last event shows me that this animal may be losing physical conditioning. CAJUN BAYOU - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance races of late. Unlikely to see him doing it today either. READTHETRANSCRIPT - This equine hasn't been in the mix in either of his last two outings. Going to have a tough go of it with all of the other early speed in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 GRUNDER'S CALL to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
4	4	LYONS SERENITY	7/2	Kirby, Victor - 12	526.49
2	2	A DELIGHTFUL ACT N	9/2	Stafford, Art Jr - 15	494.90
1	1	NIKASA N	5/2	Teague, Montrell - 15	489.23
6	6	DIVINE DEO	6/1	Davis, Allan - 13	482.89
5	5	ROSE RUN VICTORIA	10/1	Thompson, Jason - 5	477.38
8	8	WESTERN SECRET A	8/1	Cole, Mike - 8	467.48
3	3	TAE	12/1	Berry, Pat - 12	459.18
7	7	ROWDY ROUSEY	12/1	Allard, Simon - 4	425.99

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Post: 2:10 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$7300 - NW $750 PS L5 OR PS IN 2022 $12000 PC LS AE:NW 11 PM LT AE:$12500 CLM WA

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 3 NIGHT FLYER K 5/2
# 2 JUST MAYBE THE ONE 6/1
# 1 CREWS HILLTOPPER 3/1

NIGHT FLYER K looks very good to best this field. Has nice speed ratings and most likely has to be thought of for a bet here. The number crunching team gives this entrant a really strong chance to take this race, class stats are tops in the bunch. Recorded a 76 TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. A duplicate race here should get the victory in this event. JUST MAYBE THE ONE - Considered a solid wager based solely on his high win pct. Take a look at this race horse's average speed stat of 79 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a competitive play. CREWS HILLTOPPER - When starting from the 1 position, a better than expected win percentage has resulted. This harness racer achieved a great TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. Looks to be racing sharply to come right back.