Sunday 12/11/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20541

    #61
    Jeff Alexander

    1* NFL - Panthers/Seahawks Free Pick on Seahawks -3.5


    Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Seattle Seahawks as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Panthers. I think the fact that the Panthers are coming off a bye and Seattle has all these questions at running back with guys hurt, has Carolina getting a little too much respect in this spot. Seattle is no easy place to play. I still think the Seahawks will be able to run the football in this game. Simply put, we are only laying 3.5 at home with Geno Smith against Sam Darnold. I also think this Carolina defense might be a bit overrated. Only two offenses they have faced with a real pulse this year are the 49ers and Bengals. They gave up 37 at home to SF and 42 on the road to Cincinnati. Bet the Seahawks -3.5!

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20541

      #62
      Kenny Walker

      Free Pick on Kings-130 NHL

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20541

        #63
        Ray Monohan

        "Razor" Ray's Free courtesy play for Sunday.
        Rutgers comes into this matchup on Sunday as 7.5pt favorites vs. Seton Hall. The over/under is set at 131.5 (opened at 130)
        Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
        Play on Rutgers -7.5.
        Good Luck, Razor Ray.
        Sunday 5* FREE CBB Play

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20541

          #64
          Steve Janus

          1* Free Sharp Play on Hofstra +2 -110


          *All CBB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20541

            #65
            Totals Guru

            Free Total Annihilator On Flyers vs Coyotes under 6 -105

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20541

              #66
              Black Widow

              1* Free Wiseguy Play on Flyers/Coyotes under 6 -105


              *All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20541

                #67
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

                Camarero - Race 2
                Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quinella / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6
                Maiden Claiming $14,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 60 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:10P
                FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CENTRALINO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EL BRAVO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ECLESIASTES: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                9
                CENTRALINO
                2/1
                7/2
                11
                EL BRAVO
                3/1
                4/1
                7
                ECLESIASTES
                7/2
                7/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                9
                CENTRALINO
                9
                2/1
                Front-runner
                58
                54
                86.9
                46.2
                43.2
                11
                EL BRAVO
                11
                3/1
                Front-runner
                58
                53
                84.2
                47.0
                44.0
                12
                JEY GUELIN
                12
                9/2
                Front-runner
                0
                0
                75.8
                18.0
                6.0
                7
                ECLESIASTES
                7
                7/2
                Alternator/Front-runner
                52
                46
                86.4
                37.3
                29.3
                3
                RAZI
                3
                10/1
                Trailer
                0
                0
                14.2
                32.2
                25.2
                1
                CIRIBILLO
                1
                20/1
                Alternator/Trailer
                0
                0
                20.7
                25.9
                14.4
                8
                CONTROVERSIAL
                8
                15/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                0
                0
                80.6
                14.2
                0.2
                10
                LINDO VICTORIANO
                10
                20/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                0
                0
                0.0
                13.3
                1.3
                Unknown Running Style: D' ARION (10/1) [Jockey: Rodriguez Joshua - Trainer: Lisboa Jason], GALATEO CENTRO (10/1) [Jockey: Rivera Carlos - Trainer: Betancourt Eric A], SRTA. ELI (4/1) [Jockey: Navarro Joshua - Trainer: Morales Ramon], EL MAJESTUOSO (1

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20541

                  #68
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 8 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 78

                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2021 - 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 8 GOOD MONGOLIA 7/2
                  # 5 RENTAL POOL 9/5
                  # 3 IMAGINE GOLD 8/1
                  GOOD MONGOLIA looks to be a strong contender. Has been racing solidly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. She has been racing admirably recently while recording strong speed figs. Looks solid to be up on the front end at the first call. RENTAL POOL - She has been racing very well lately while recording very strong Equibase Speed Figures. Trainer boasts solid win figures at this distance and surface. IMAGINE GOLD - With a solid 61 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20541

                    #69
                    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Turfway Park


                    12/11/22, TP, Race 6, 3.15 ET
                    12/11/22,TP,6,6F [All Weather] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000 (includes up to $35,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $30,000).
                    . . . .
                    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
                    100.0000 9 Charleston Strong 5/2 Corrales G Maker Michael J. JTL 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    098.3855 8 Bourbon Heist 9/5 Cheminaud V Wilkes Ian R. SEC 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    096.9576 5 Iceatude 4/1 Curtsinger J Pierce Lacy 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    096.3397 10 Park Place 12/1 Landeros C McCarthy Michael W. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    095.7574 6 Code Violation 12/1 Rocco. Jr. J Pitts Helen 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    095.6857 2 Mo Money Mo Betta 30/1 Rodriguez W A Rivera Justin W 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    095.6552 4 Fabricator 15/1 Ayala I Lucas Ted W. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    093.8894 7 Workinfromhome 30/1 Miller C Guerrero Sal 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    088.2695 3 Son of Thunder 10/1 Franklin M Toye Kara Lin F 98 31.63 1.68/$1
                    088.2658 1 Ten Extra 10/1 Gilligan J Romans Dale L. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
                    Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
                    Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6145
                    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
                    [All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
                    *Scratches may change this condition

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20541

                      #70
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:45pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 76

                      Rating:

                      #1 VALIANT PRAISE (ML=7/2)
                      #9 NOM DE PLUME (ML=6/1)


                      VALIANT PRAISE - Just see her most recent speed fig, 64. That one looks good in this field. This filly is in fine form, having run a nice race on November 16th, finishing third. Another way to determine class is earnings per start (EPS). This horse has the topmost in the group. I think she'll be close at the end. NOM DE PLUME - With no PP lines, one of the variables I look at are trainer stats, and Lobo has a +85 pct ROI clip with 1st timers.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #12 HOCKADAY GIRL (ML=3/1), #7 ICY STARE (ML=9/2), #10 MISS J D (ML=8/1),

                      HOCKADAY GIRL - Would have to get much more than the morning line odds of 3/1 to bet on this horse. ICY STARE - No good fortune for this vulnerable equine in a sprint contest over the last couple of months tells me that this filly is in a difficult spot MISS J D - Showed very little in the last affair. Really don't see any hint of any betterment today. Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a short distance race to be any kind of value at short odds in a sprint.


                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #1 VALIANT PRAISE is the play if we get odds of 9/5 or better
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,9]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      None
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20541

                        #71
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 11:20am - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,400 Class Rating: 71

                        Rating:

                        #4 FRISCO KID (ML=4/1)


                        FRISCO KID - He must like the track here. Shipped in to finish first on Nov 13th and he looks tough once again. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a sharp outing within the last month or so.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #8 HOLYJAZZ (ML=8/5), #1 INDIANERA (ML=2/1), #6 TOM'S MOON (ML=8/1),

                        HOLYJAZZ - Don't think this runner is worth 8/5 in this event. INDIANERA - This mount gave a less than rousing performance last time finishing fifth. Don't see any chance of any change in today's event. TOM'S MOON - Morning line odds of 8/1 make this racer a pass by my standards.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 FRISCO KID to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: None

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        None
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

                        SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
                        Pass

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20541

                          #72
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                          Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 1
                          $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Place Pick All Starts Here/ $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Early Double / $1 Pick Four
                          Claiming $5,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 80 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 5:30P
                          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
                          Contenders
                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds

                          Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ASIAN RAIN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TWO BILLS: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has the highes t TrackMaster Power Rating. MALAKAI MOXIE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RESTLESS RAMBLER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or ro ute)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position.
                          5
                          ASIAN RAIN
                          3/1
                          9/2
                          6
                          TWO BILLS
                          3/1
                          6/1
                          2
                          MALAKAI MOXIE
                          2/1
                          7/1
                          4
                          RESTLESS RAMBLER
                          5/1
                          9/1

                          P#
                          Horse (In Running Style Order)
                          Post
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style
                          Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure
                          Finish Figure
                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          6
                          TWO BILLS
                          6
                          3/1
                          Front-runner
                          89
                          85
                          89.3
                          66.6
                          61.1
                          4
                          RESTLESS RAMBLER
                          4
                          5/1
                          Front-runner
                          81
                          70
                          73.0
                          65.9
                          56.9
                          1
                          SHE THINKS IM CUTE
                          1
                          15/1
                          Front-runner
                          63
                          57
                          66.0
                          49.8
                          38.3
                          2
                          MALAKAI MOXIE
                          2
                          2/1
                          Alternator/Front-runner
                          78
                          79
                          66.0
                          71.2
                          66.7
                          5
                          ASIAN RAIN
                          5
                          3/1
                          Stalker
                          83
                          75
                          76.5
                          74.0
                          69.0
                          3
                          TROMADOR
                          3
                          4/1
                          Trailer
                          73
                          67
                          26.4
                          68.6
                          63.1

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20541

                            #73
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.




                            Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $126800 Class Rating: 88

                            FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.

                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 3 WAR IN CHARGE 3/1
                            # 5 SAMMY STONE 4/1
                            # 14 MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE 10/1
                            WAR IN CHARGE is my choice. Put up a strong speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. I think having Hernandez ride this gelding is a smart choice. Is hard not to consider based on Speed Figures which have been very good - 80 avg - of late. SAMMY STONE - Earnings per start in dirt route races is sound for this horse. He has recorded very good figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this field. MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE - Have to assume this entrant will do well following the quick major improvement. Demonstrates the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 79 speed figure which is one of the top in this field.



                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20541

                              #74
                              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cal-Expo

                              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                              RACE 9
                              5 5 DELIGHTFULLY WILD 9/5 Lackey, James - 15 484.98
                              1 1 HELEN'S GIRL 6/1 Sobey, Nathan - 19 478.06
                              6 6 AERIAL VIEW 7/2 Svendsen, Lemoyne - 14 436.08
                              2 2 SALARY 4/1 Thiessen, Daryl - 8 420.20
                              3 3 BROOKLYN MOONSHINE 9/2 Plano, Luke - 18 412.82
                              4 4 JESSIES GIRL 12/1 Grundy, Ryan - 9 405.07

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20541

                                #75
                                Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau Carleton

                                Always check program numbers.
                                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                                Race 4 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$7200 - N/W $35000. LIFETIME
                                CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                                # 5 SPORTY DEAL 8/5
                                # 3 SIR LUCKNOW 4/1
                                # 4 BUCK N BETTOR 2/1
                                Hey, listen up! SPORTY DEAL is the educated bet if you like to win. The consortium saw this horse's name on a t-shirt. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small bet. Could be the most respectable in the race here, showing competitive statistics of late. Avg speed is a solid 81. Surely the class of the group of horses with an average rating of 73. A nice selection. SIR LUCKNOW - Worth thinking about here on the basis of the numbers in the TrackMaster Speed Rating department alone. Should be given a look based on the nice TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in the most recent contest. BUCK N BETTOR - This gelding has been competing versus some of the most competitive company in this group of horses in recent times. Many analyzers will recognize the amazing TrackMaster SR in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this field of starters.

                                Comment

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