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Kelso 50 Unit
50 units UCLA -13
50 units UCLA -13
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Re: 2-21-09
Matt Farrgo
Northern Iowa @ Siena
PICK: Siena
We get some great matchups on Saturday with all of the Bracket Buster games and this is one of those. Northern Iowa got off to a solid start in the Missouri Valley but it is now starting to come back to the pack with losses in two of its last three games. After starting the season 7-0 in MVC road games, the Panthers dropped their first on Saturday at Wichita St. and they saw their lead cut to just one game over Creighton. After playing Drake on Wednesday, Northern Iowa is at Illinois St. on Tuesday who is just two games back so this trip to Albany could not have come at a worse time. Northern Iowa went 0-3 in non-conference road games and this is far from any easy trip. Siena made a name for itself last year in the tournament as it smacked Vanderbilt. The Saints brought nearly everyone back this season and they are once again going to be a force come March. They are 15-1 in the conference and lead the MAAC by two and a half games over Niagara. They have a game against the Purple Eagles up next but that game is not until Friday and the situation is different than that of the Panthers especially that this game is at home. Siena is perfect at home this season and it will no doubt be looking to keep that intact. This is bigger game for the Saints as they are from a much smaller conference and need to prove some things. These games often come down to which team wants it more and you have to give that to Siena especially based on the past. They did so last season in the Bracket Buster when they went to Boise St. and throttled the Broncos by 23 points. Northern Iowa meanwhile lost to Illinois-Chicago at home last year in its Bracket Buster game. The Saints have significant edges in efficiency numbers in this matchup. Offensive efficiency shows the teams right at dead even but Siena has an edge on the defensive side as it has a rating of 96.5 which is 2nd in the MAAC and 84th in the country. Northern Iowa is near the bottom in that category in the Missouri Valley as it has a rating of 100.6. The key for the Saints is turnovers as they are forcing turnovers at a 23 percent slip which is 55th best in the nation. One can argue that it plays in a weak conference but the Saints have played a rather tough schedule that is ranked 113th in the nation, which is stringer than that of the Panthers. As far as forcing turnovers, Northern Iowa is dead last in the MVC at 17.7 percent which is also 319th in the nation. It isn’t going to force many in this matchup as Siena turns it over only 18.8 percent of the time which is 2nd in the conference and 68th in the country. That has led to a solid 1.11 assist/turnover ratio. Northern Iowa is right on pace with that but again, the defense of the Saints will cause havoc. The home team gets the call here and we will see some added value based on the success that Northern Iowa is having. 3* Siena SaintsComment
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Re: 2-21-09
ChicagoSportsConnection
Subscriber email
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We have a 5-2 record this week going into Saturday.
I looked at Saturday's games forever and came up with these 4.
My neck is killing me so the write-ups will be short.
I need to get away from the PC Saturday, so I will alert you via phone/text if anything else comes up.
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NCAAB
# 646 WITCHITA ST +1.5 vs Clev St.................3:00 EDT
BracketBuster game.
WITCHITA is tough to beat at home...they are only 13-14 this year , but 11-3 @ home (30-14 L3 years).
The Shockers are riding a 6 game home win streak....beating some good teams too (highlighted in gray).
N.IOWA- MIZ ST- DRAKE- EVANS- ILLST- CREIGHTON.
CLEV ST having decent year , but the Conf isn't good.
.....6-6 road record.
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#540 NEW MEXICO-5 vs SD St..............................3:00 EDT
NewMex is 16-10
SDiegoSt is 18-6..........so why is NMX favored by 5 , right ?
Because The Lobo's have been whoopin some tail in The Pit.
Won L5 home games....
73-69 unlv
86-57 wyo
68-50 col st
81-62 byu
78-53 af
NMX 12-2 @ home
SDSt 7-5 on road
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#560 RICHMOND-4 vs NC Char.............................6:00 EDT
RICHM Spiders are 3-0 ATS in L3...
***Won @ Lasalle......
***Hung tuff with a good Dayton team...
***Won vs Duquesne..
.....so they are p[laying good and they have talent.
NC CHAR.....2-10 on the road....
2-6 ATS in L8
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NBA
UTAH JAZZ -8 vs NOrleans..................................9:00 EDT
NORL played OT last night in LaLaLand.
They fought hard to get back in that game and now fly to play a rested Jazz club that will be playing in tribute to their well-liked ( loved actually) owner Larry Miller who passed away at the young age of 64.
UTAH has won 6 straight at home, including 5 point wins over the Lakers and Celtics and 2 or 3 20 point blowouts.
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I'll call/ text you if anything else comes in.Comment
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Re: 2-21-09
Dwayne Bryant | CBB Sides
dime bet557 California -4.5 (-110) BetUS vs 558 Oregon St.
Analysis:
Big revenge game for Cal, who lost at home to Oregon State by 4 as a 17.5-point favorite last month. Oregon State is coming off back-to-back upset wins over Washington State and Stanford and they have state rival Oregon up next.
Oregon State's other home games vs. top Pac-10 foes resulted in losses by 11 to Arizona State, 26 to Washington, and 23 to UCLA.
California is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Oregon State.
California is also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. The Golden Bears are also 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite of 6.5 or less and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win.
From a series perspective, the favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings and the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Cal has won each of their last 3 trips to Oregon State.
Oregon State is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. Oregon State is also 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
From a statistical standpoint, Cal owns significant edges in rebound margin, 3-point shooting, shooting percentage, and points per game. And it all translates to the road as well.
I'll lay the points with Cal today as a Single-Dime playComment
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Re: 2-21-09
Matty O'Shea | NBA Sides Triple-Dime Bet
508 UTA -7.0 (-110) BetUS vs 507 NOH
Analysis: The Utah Jazz will be playing with heavy hearts on Saturday after team owner Larry Miller passed away on Friday due to complications from diabetes. That factor alone has upgraded this play from a Game O' the Week to a Game O' the Month selection. I had already planned on taking the Jazz because the New Orleans Hornets will be playing a very tough back-to-back situation following an overtime road loss to the Lakers on Friday night along with the fact that Utah point guard Deron Williams has dominated previous meetings with Chris Paul. Williams has won nine of the 11 all-time meetings with Paul, with the Jazz going 5-1-1 ATS in the lsat seven games between the teams. Look for an easy double-digit victory in honor of Miller and bet the Jazz as my Triple Dime NBA Game O' the Month.
Sat, 02/21/09 - 11:00 PMMatty O'Shea | CBB Sides Triple-Dime Bet
612 UNLV -2.0 (-110) BetUS vs 611 Brigham Young
Analysis: This quite simply the biggest game of the season for the UNLV Runnin' Rebels, who were caught in a look-ahead spot at Wyoming on Wednesday. They lost that game 77-68 but have dominated the BYU Cougars recently, going 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings over the past four years. UNLV could miss out on the NCAA tournament with a loss at home against BYU and does not want to depend on winning the conference tournament yet again in order to qualify for the Big Dance. Ironically, the Rebels have won the last two Mountain West tourney titles with wins against the Cougars and pulled off a stunning 76-70 victory at Provo in the first meeting earlier this season despite trailing 43-30 at halftime. They have circled this game on the calendar and realize what it means to their season. Bet UNLV as my Triple Dime NCAA Game O' the Year.
Sat, 02/21/09 - 9:00 PMMatty O'Shea | CBB Total Single-Dime Bet
604 Texas / 603 Oklahoma Over 141.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: The Oklahoma Sooners appear to be the new #1 team in college basketball but will have to play in a hostile environment at Austin here first before the polls come out on Monday. They won the first meeting with the Texas Longhorns 78-63, and I expect an even higher-scoring game in the rematch. Texas is averaging 74 points in its last five games and has seen the OVER cash in three straight. Meanwhile, the OVER is 7-1 in Oklahoma's last eight games overall, and the Sooners are averaging nearly 83 points during that stretch. Both teams should be able to score at will in this one, so bet the OVER as my Single Dime College Hoops Total Play O' the Day.Comment
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Re: 2-21-09
The VSE Saturday Hoops Power Plays are:
VSE Bracket Buster Power Plays
10* Take Appalachian State (pk) over Winthrop (NCAA Power Play)
Appalachian State
• 5-1 SU & ATS off a win by 3 points or less
• 12-4 SU as a road favorite or pick the last 3 seasons
• 8-0 ATS coming off a game where they had 9 or less assists
10* Take Tennessee Tech (+5) over Ball State (NCAA Power Play)
Ball State
• 5-14 ATS when playing on a Saturday the last 2 seasons
• 6-15 ATS in non-conference games the last 2 seasons
• 8-19 ATS in home games coming off an OVER the total
Bonus Pays
5* Take Utah (-7) over New Orleans (NBA)
5* Take San Jose (-360) over Atlanta (NHL)Comment
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Re: 2-21-09
Feist Bracket Buster GOY
659) UTAH STATE
(660) SAINT MARYS CA
Take " (659) UTAH STATE "
Bracket Buster GOY: Utah State.
A great coach, a winning program, great defense and a ton of talent...and they're a dog? Utah State (25-2) has the second-best record in the nation behind Oklahoma (25-1) and is tied with the Sooners for the most wins in the nation. Utah State is also one of just five teams in the nation with two or fewer losses along with Oklahoma, Connecticut (24-2), Pittsburgh (24-2), and North Carolina (24-2). This is nothing new. Utah State is the only team in the nation to win at least 23 games in each of the last 10 years. The Aggies play terrific defense, allowing 59 ppg and are 10-1 on the road. They were a dog once this season, and won straight up at UCSB. St. Mary's is 3-4 SU the last 7 games without star playmaker Patrick Mills (18.7 ppg), the leading scorer who is out with two broken bones in his right hand. The wrong team opened as the favorite. Play Utah State.Comment
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Re: 2-21-09
Matt Farrgo
Georgia State at Eastern Michigan
Prediction: Georgia State
Georgia St. was supposed to make some noise in the Colonial this season but it has been a pretty big disappointment for the Panthers. However, they are playing much better now and they are peaking at the time. Georgia St. has won two straight games and four of its last six following a horrendous 3-14 run. The Panthers are 7-9 in the CAA which is middle of the pack and the fact that it has been such a disappointing season means it will be looking past no one, including a horrible Eastern Michigan team. The resurgence has been due to them finally making shots as they have shot 50 percent or better in four of their last five games including a 55.8 percent effort last time out at Northeastern. Eastern Michigan is 4-22 this season and only two of those wins have come against Division I competition. The Eagles were coming off their biggest win of the season, an eight-point win at Bowling Green last Sunday but followed that up with another dud on Wednesday as they managed just 38 points in a loss at Western Michigan. The defense has been pretty good this year but the offense has been atrocious as Eastern Michigan has scored 53 points or fewer in 12 of its last 16 games including scoring in the 40?s or worse in six of its last eight contests. Part of the problem has been a lack of chemistry as ten different players have started at least four games for the Eagles this year. Georgia St. falls into a solid situation as well. Play on road teams with a losing record on the season where the line is +3 to -3 and are coming off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 1997 with the average point differential being +6.1 ppg. This scenario is a perfect 3-0 this season and extended here. 5* Georgia St. PanthersComment
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