Thursday 12/15/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20540

    #46
    2. Primetime Sports Picks CBB Chattanooga +5.5
    3. National Sports Service CBB Seattle -1.5
    4. The Sports Consensus NBA Utah +1.5
    6. Mikey Balhan Sports NHL Carolina under 6
    7. Top Rank Sports Picks CBB Cal Irvine +1
    9. Doc's Picks NFL San Francisco -3

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20540

      #47
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct

      Aqueduct - Race 6
      Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 6 &7, Pick 3 ($1) (6-8)
      Claiming $40,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 103 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 3:12P
      (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES FOR $32,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID).
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TWO THIRTY FIVE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LASTCHANCEATGLORY: Hors e ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GENTLEMAN JOE: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. FAMISHED: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KENNY HAD A NOTION: Horse has run a Good Race within th e last 30 days.
      7
      TWO THIRTY FIVE
      8/5
      9/2
      5
      LASTCHANCEATGLORY
      5/2
      7/1
      2
      GENTLEMAN JOE
      9/2
      8/1
      1
      FAMISHED
      3/1
      8/1
      3
      KENNY HAD A NOTION
      10/1
      10/1

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      6
      CARIBBEAN (AUS)
      6
      20/1
      Front-runner
      95
      87
      101.6
      77.0
      66.0
      1
      FAMISHED
      1
      3/1
      Alternator/Front-runner
      102
      99
      71.2
      81.6
      75.1
      3
      KENNY HAD A NOTION
      3
      10/1
      Stalker
      102
      97
      95.7
      63.5
      54.5
      5
      LASTCHANCEATGLORY
      5
      5/2
      Stalker
      98
      102
      89.6
      87.6
      81.6
      7
      TWO THIRTY FIVE
      7
      8/5
      Alternator/Stalker
      105
      98
      83.4
      94.8
      90.8
      2
      GENTLEMAN JOE
      2
      9/2
      Alternator/Stalker
      103
      87
      76.2
      84.6
      80.1
      4
      DATESFREEDOM
      4
      30/1
      Alternator/Non-contender
      84
      80
      73.0
      72.0
      58.0

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20540

        #48
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 58

        FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 4 BREEZY CONNECTION 2/1
        # 1 INTERESTING GEM 6/1
        # 5 VELOCISSIMA 8/1
        I think BREEZY CONNECTION is a very strong choice. Looks decent for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races recently. Should definitely be given consideration in this competition if only for the very strong speed figure recorded in the last contest. INTERESTING GEM - Will almost certainly go to the lead and should never look back. Could best this field based on the speed fig - 56 - of her last affair. VELOCISSIMA - Bettors ought to note that this equine runs with second time Lasix today. Looks very strong versus this field and ought to be one of the early speedsters.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20540

          #49
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Remington Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:07pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 48

          Rating:

          #7 SWEET DYNASTY (ML=6/1)
          #2 CUPID'S JOY (ML=7/2)


          SWEET DYNASTY - After the event aboard this horse on November 22nd, the jockey is going to be in tune with the filly much better. This filly's last speed figure is high enough to score here, I'll invest in her back again in today's event. This filly is in exceptional form right now. Ran third last out and comes back quickly. CUPID'S JOY - Faced tougher in the last race at Remington Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. In the last race, finished fifth on the mud at Remington Park. Have to give a better effort today.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MAZI (ML=5/2), #5 CAT TALE BREEZE (ML=9/2), #6 VALLEY VERDE (ML=5/1),

          MAZI - This entrant hasn't been on the track since Nov 22nd. Not even any morning drills. Never really did much at all last time out on November 22nd. Hard to play today. Finished fifth in her most recent race with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. CAT TALE BREEZE - Hard to put any dough on this filly on the top end. Likes to finish in the money though. VALLEY VERDE - This filly showed little last time. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to earn a much better fig than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt route.

          GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SWEET DYNASTY - Taking a very big class rating tumble today. Let's cash in on the big drop.




          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #7 SWEET DYNASTY to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Skip
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20540

            #50
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



            Fair Grounds - Race #2 - Post: 1:45pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 70

            Rating:

            #1 TOTAL DISCRETION (ML=3/1)


            TOTAL DISCRETION - I like the fact that this filly's last fig, 60, is tops in this bunch.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LATTE DOLCE (ML=5/2), #6 CAVIAR RESOLUTION (ML=3/1), #5 FIBRILLATOR (ML=5/1),

            LATTE DOLCE - The Brain cautions me to stay away from horses in sprint races that haven't hit the board in short distance contests of late. Difficult to keep following this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. CAVIAR RESOLUTION - No good results for this racer in a short distance affair over the last 60 days tells me that this filly is in a thorny spot Didn't meet expectations as the public's choice in back to back races. FIBRILLATOR - This filly hasn't had any strong finishes in sprint affairs in the last couple months. Last viewed on Sep 6th at Louisiana Downs. Probably needs to race into form.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #1 TOTAL DISCRETION to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
            EXACTA WAGERS: 1 with 6

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            None
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20540

              #51
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds


              12/15/22, FG, Race 4, 2.45 CT
              12/15/22,FG,4,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:42:00 CLAIMING. Purse $15,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $3,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OVER A MILE SINCE JUNE 15, 2022. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 15 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility).
              . . . .
              Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
              100.0000 1 Cap Rock Miner 4/1 Rodriguez J L Wilson Shane JFL 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              095.3261 2 Dyn O Mite 3/1 Graham J Desormeaux J. Keith SE 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              095.1911 6 When's Tee Time 8/1 Nieves E Jeansonne Justin T 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              094.7106 3 Rockdale 4/1 Pedroza. Jr. M Faucheux Ron 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              094.0174 5 Sermononthemount 9/2 Gutierrez R Sharp Joe 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              093.4798 4 Tio Blas 20/1 Barandela S Scherer Gary M. W 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              093.4734 10 My Guitar 12/1 Theriot J Alonzo Howard 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              091.6413 7 The Gray Blur 15/1 Culp B Hirdes John 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              091.5573 9 Feeling Dangerous 20/1 Murrill M Rodriguez Eduardo 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              089.7657 8 East Lex 15/1 Murray E M Cuccia L. Jay C 138 33.33 1.13/$1
              Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.49, ROI 0.88/$1
              Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.6739
              [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
              [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20540

                #52
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 4 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26400 Class Rating: 78

                FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 2 CANDY ISLAND 5/2
                # 1A ITSALLABOUTACTION 2/1
                # 5 ESTILO ELEGANTE 5/1
                CANDY ISLAND looks very strong to best this field. Has run well when racing a dirt route race. This filly with Batista in the saddle makes her a key contender. Could provide positive returns based on respectable recent Speed Figures with an average of 66. ITSALLABOUTACTION - Must be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Recently Reed has provided investors with a very good winning percentage with horses running in dirt route races. ESTILO ELEGANTE - Her chances to score are much better this time around facing this less demanding group.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20540

                  #53
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park

                  Turfway Park - Race 2
                  Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
                  Claiming $20,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 90 • Purse: $32,000 • Post: 6:25P
                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $17,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BATH AND TENNIS (IRE): Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. YOGURT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CLEVER TALE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ran ks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ROGUE TOO: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                  5
                  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)
                  8/5
                  5/1
                  9
                  YOGURT
                  10/1
                  5/1
                  4
                  CLEVER TALE
                  8/1
                  8/1
                  6
                  ROGUE TOO
                  2/1
                  8/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  8
                  EVERYOTHERWON
                  8
                  12/1
                  Front-runner
                  79
                  72
                  60.2
                  65.0
                  53.5
                  5
                  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)
                  5
                  8/5
                  Alternator/Front-runner
                  88
                  90
                  58.5
                  66.6
                  61.6
                  10
                  NANA'S GRAY
                  10
                  10/1
                  Stalker
                  75
                  71
                  72.2
                  69.4
                  55.9
                  2
                  AIDANIKE
                  2
                  12/1
                  Stalker
                  86
                  76
                  62.8
                  71.6
                  62.1
                  1
                  PRINCESSTAPITURE
                  1
                  12/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  87
                  79
                  68.2
                  70.4
                  57.9
                  9
                  YOGURT
                  9
                  10/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  89
                  86
                  62.8
                  79.8
                  72.3
                  4
                  CLEVER TALE
                  4
                  8/1
                  Trailer
                  89
                  85
                  66.8
                  79.6
                  70.6
                  3
                  LOOKIN ROYAL
                  3
                  30/1
                  Trailer
                  62
                  63
                  38.2
                  50.8
                  31.3
                  6
                  ROGUE TOO
                  6
                  2/1
                  Alternator/Trailer
                  93
                  83
                  62.6
                  85.3
                  77.3
                  7
                  HABOBANERO
                  7
                  15/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  74
                  65
                  54.0
                  66.6
                  53.1

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20540

                    #54
                    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 1 - Post: 4:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$20000 - DELAWARE STANDARDBRED BREEDERS FUND CONSOLATION 3 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS BALLY`S DOVER DRIVER CHOICES: ALLAN DAVIS 6 OVER 5
                    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                    # 7 IT'SPRONOUNCED JIF 5/2
                    # 2 I RODDY 6/1
                    # 6 HIRO KNOCKOUT 7/2
                    IT'SPRONOUNCED JIF looks like our best wagering option in this race. Have good vibrations this one might take for this race. He's doing work in fine form, recording formidable speed figs. An excellent pick. He has really strong class ratings, averaging 77. Should be considered for a bet today. I RODDY - Had one of the most compelling TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the race in his last gathering. Must use in your wagers. With one of the most respectable drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this gelding out of the race. HIRO KNOCKOUT - Looks like a strong choice in this field of horses and his positive winning percentage says he has the desire to score today. A specialty of the consortium is recognizing a trainer with a good return on investment percentage when a horse goes down in class.

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20540

                      #55
                      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rosecroft Raceway

                      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                      RACE 12
                      7 7 CAN'T BEACH THAT 2/1 Roberts, Jonathan - 25 566.30
                      6 6 SEA OF LIFE 3/1 Dunning, Bryson - 10 532.06
                      2 2 STARSHIP 7/2 Thompson, Jason - 12 528.86
                      5 5 FANTASTIC VOYAGE 10/1 Moyer, Jared - 11 519.27
                      1 1 JACK ROGER 6/1 Davis, Eric - 5 504.20
                      4 4 FULL SEND 4/1 Foster, Russell - 20 500.06
                      3 3 ROCKTAVIUS 8/1 Porter, Trae - 13 485.13

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20540

                        #56
                        Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

                        P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                        RACE 12
                        5 5 MEDOLAND BRUTUS 7/2 Smith, Jeremy - 21 529.89
                        8 8 KB MAC 6/1 Miller, Brett - 13 508.83
                        3 3 ARCH O MATIC 5/2 Hawk, Alex - 7 496.83
                        2 2 ONE CORONA TO GO 3/1 Kauffman, Kayne - 10 492.04
                        4 4 STANFORD COURT 10/1 Bates, Brandon - 13 490.34
                        6 6 LETITROCK 8/1 Melloy, Pat Jr - 9 467.21
                        1 1 ROCKING RETIREMENT 15/1 Ross, Jordan - 14 411.31
                        7 7 UNCLE SI 12/1 Sutton, Josh - 10 408.24

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20540

                          #57
                          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.



                          Race 8 - Post: 9:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$9000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $8,000 TO $10,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $500.
                          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                          # 6 UPGRADE VALLEY 3/1
                          # 8 THANKYAVERYMUCH 4/1
                          # 5 ROCKINMYDREAM 5/2
                          Look no further than UPGRADE VALLEY as the wager here. His 72 avg has this gelding among the best TrackMaster speed figs in this one. Competing quite well, recorded a huge TrackMaster Speed Rating in his last race (68). The 6 post sports an above average win stat at Woodbine Mohawk Park. THANKYAVERYMUCH - This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at his better than average win pct. Driver-conditioner are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this gelding breaking away from the field of horses. ROCKINMYDREAM - More wins than normal have been achieved by race horses lining up behind the 5 slot at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The 76 avg class statistic may give this gelding a distinct advantage in the grouping.

                          Comment

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