Saturday 2/4/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:09 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 2/4/23

February 4, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 12:00 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Bottle of Smoke; 4-Big Talker; 8-Doc Adams
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: The Saturday opener is a competitive allowance optional claiming main track miler for older horses that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll use three and hope to get by. Bay area shipper Bottle of Smoke, freshened since November, is a genuine and consistent gelding that has done most of his good work on synthetic, but he’s capable of winning over conventional dirt as well and projects to enjoy an ideal second flight, stalking trip from his favorable inside (post two) draw. The O. J. Jauregui-trained son of Northern Indy is solid on numbers and should fire a big shot off the bench after a long and length campaign through most of 2022. Big Talker has run well over this main track in the past and warrants a big look off his easy win two races back at Los Alamitos. He lacks tactical speed, but with some help up front he should be heard from late. Doc Adams is drawn a little farther out than we’d prefer (post eight) but is a three-time winner from just five starts over the local dirt strip and has several back numbers that are better than par for this level. The main concern is the somewhat suspicious class drop to $20,000 after having won four of his last five starts in better company. Sounds like he might be for sale.

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RACE 2: Post: 12:32 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Awesome Taylor; 5-Carpe Fortuna; 6-Glenall
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Here’s another challenging affair, this one on grass over a mile for starter optional claiming fillies and mares. Awesome Taylor looks fairly intriguing, so we’ll give her the edge on top. Freshened since November and trying turf for the first time, the daughter of Classic Empire won her only previous two turn try on dirt at Oaklawn Park last year and shows a steady, healthy series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs to have her fit and ready. The Peter Miller-trained 4-year-old removes blinkers (love that angle), retains Flavian Prat, and should inherit an ideal pace-stalking early position. Carpe Fortuna is winless in five prior starts over the local lawn, but she has hit the board three times and is exiting a series of tougher allowance races. At this level, she can be dangerous on the front end under Frankie if not pressured early. Glenall surfaces in a claimer for the first time and in this league must be considered a major player. She has a prior win over this course and distance and could be dangerous if given the patient ride she prefers.

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RACE 3: Post: 1:05 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Worcester
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: This year’s renewal of the Robert B. Lewis S.-G3 drew just four starters, all from the Bob Baffert barn. Worcester is a maiden after two starts but actually might be the best prospect of the bunch. The late-running son of Empire Maker displayed improved by 19 Beyer speed figure points between his first and second starts and now stretches out for the first time to a distance he seems sure to enjoy. The other three Baffert starters are essentially speed types, so top rider Juan Hernandez can settle behind that trio and then go after the leaders when the field heads to the top of the lane. We’re fully expecting the late charge with be more than sufficient to tag the speed, so let’s make him a strong win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 4: Post: 1:38 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): Closing Remarks 2-Hamwood Flier
Backups/Savers: 1-Bay Storm

Forecast: Closing Remarks always has been a bit too one-paced to be a truly top class turf mare but it takes one to beat her, as recent Pegasus World Cup Filly and Mare Turf winner Queen Goddess has done in their last two confrontations. There’s nothing in this year’s renewal of the Megahertz Stakes-G3 that good so we’re expecting the Carla Gaines-trained mare to regain her winning form. An excellent second behind ‘Goddess in Robert J. Frankel Stakes-G3 in late December, the California-bred daughter of Vronsky should step forward in her second start off a layoff, and in race loaded with speed she projects to settle in the second flight and then have every chance from the quarter pole home to grind out a victory. Turf master trainer Phil D’Amato has three entrants in field, the most dangerous of which may be Hamwood Flier, the speedy Irish-bred mare who finished fourth in the Matriarch S.-G1 at Del Mar in early December behind subsequent champion Regal Glory. A dyed-in-the-wool front runner, the daughter of Kodiac should have things to herself up front, and against this cut-below-the-best field she may be able to stick it out. A repeat of her victory over this course and distance in the listed Swingtime Stakes two runs back will make her especially dangerous. Drawn just inside of Hamwood Flier on the fence is Bay Storm, who seems sure to inherit a stalking, ground-saving trip. First or second in eight of 11 career outings, the South Florida shipper is quite competitive on speed figures and is worthing including on your ticket, at least as a backup.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:14 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Rhythem On Stage; 2-Upward Mobility
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Four of these exit the same race won by next out winner Cousteau and the other three are first time starters. Let’s use the best of each grouping. Rhythem On Stage finished second in the aforementioned race last month and in fact has been a runner-up in both of his last two starts. The Carla Gaines-trained gelding lacks tactical speed but usually finds himself within range at the head of the lane, and after four career starts he’s due to produce a forward move. If he’s what his form says he is (no world beater) there’s a reasonable opportunity for a fresh face in this six furlong dirt sprint for state-bred sophomores. The Peter Miller-trained Upward Mobility has been hidden away at San Luis Rey Downs but he’s bred to win early (Smiling Tiger), and the work tab contains some decent moves so we suspect he can run enough to be a threat first crack out of the box, especially with Ramon Vasquez, one of the barn’s “go-to” riders, taking the call.

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RACE 6: Post: 2:51 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Tom’s Beauty; 1-Ready Jet Go; 3-Briefcase Girl
Backups/savers: 10-Carmen Miranda

Forecast: Tom’s Beauty didn’t get the clearest of runs when rallying to finish a good third before galloping out strongly in a similar grass dash for first-level allowance fillies and mares at Del Mar in November and returns with an extra furlong to work with over a course she’s won on in the past. The lightly raced filly likes to settle and blast home, and with good racing luck and a decent pace to set things up the Jeff Mullins-trained 4-year-old should be capable of producing a winning late kick. Ready Jet Go, a willing fourth in the same race our top pick exits, is guaranteed a ground-saving trip and is likely to be heard from late. Briefcase Girl ran quite well over this course and distance during the fall season and a repeat of that performance today puts her squarely in the hunt. Also worth tossing in, at least as a backup, is Carmen Miranda, primarily a miler but a possible late threat under Flavian Pride despite her extreme outside draws.

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RACE 7: Post: 3:21 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): Arrowthegreat; 3-Big Hat Willie; 8-Motorcade
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Arrowthegreat displayed a reasonable amount of ability in his only start last summer at Del Mar, appearing a bit green and very late changing leads when rallying steadily to be second behind Newgate in a decent maiden special weight sprint for juveniles. The son of Arrogate returns for trainer Dan Blacker in this seven furlong affair with Lasix and without blinkers for a barn that has solid stats with comeback runners. The work tab looks promising, so if he returns as well as he left this sophomore gelding may be the one to beat. Big Hat Willie, second off a $50,000 claim by Peter Miller, remains protected in maiden optional claiming company in a sign of confidence, and with improving speed figures and the proper style for this extended sprint trip the son of First Samurai seems likely be a heard from in the late stages. He finished a solid runner-up behind class dropper Nullarbor last time out in the same race that the slow starting first timer Motorcade rallied to finish third in a promising debut. The son of Lookin At Lucky hails from the John Sadler barn, which boasts very strong stats with the second time starter angle. We’ll be surprised if the winner isn’t one of the three listed above, with the edge on top going to Arrowthegreat.

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RACE 8: Post: 3:53 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Escape Artist
Backups/savers: 11-Eastbound; 4-Maltese Falcon

Forecast: This nine furlong maiden turf affair for sophomores is a better than average affair that promises to be slowly run early with a projected race flow that might greatly benefit the second time starter Escape Artist. The son of Good Magic established the running and proved hard to down when a promising runner-up in a similar affair over a mile in late December, and despite today’s longer nine furlong trip the Michael McCarthy-trained ridgling should have every chance to the control this field gate to wire. He’ll get Lasix while retaining Johnny V. for a barn that has useful stats with second time starters, so let’s give him the edge on top. Eastbound must overcome an extreme outside draw but ran well in a runner-up performance to next out Sham Stakes winner Reincarnate over the local lawn two races back when finding his best stride late to be well clear of the others. A subsequent main track outing was disappointing, but we expect a snap back performance with this surface switch back to grass. Maltese Falcon finished with interest when fourth in the same race our top pick exits and seems quite capable of stepping forward with that effort underneath him. Second of 14 in his debut in England last fall, the son of Caravaggio has the makings of a useful colt and gets Lasix, Frankie, and more distance to promote his closing kick.

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RACE 9: Post: 4:23 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Fun to Dream
Backups/savers: 5-Awake At Midnyte

Forecast: Fun to Dream and Awake At Midnyte finished one-two in the La Brea S.-G1 over this track and distance in late December while more than three lengths clear of the rest and it will be somewhat surprising if they don’t do so again in this year’s edition of the Santa Monica S.-G2 for older fillies and mares. There’s a two pound weight shift in favor of ‘Midnyte, for whatever that’s worth, but ‘Dream has a bit more tactical speed in a race that projects to have soft early splits. In a race that probably should be left alone, we’ll include both in our rolling exotics.

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RACE 10: Post: 4:53 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Air Force Red; 10-Dark Shift
Backups/savers: 3-Anaconda

Forecast: Air Force Red has won his last two races with authority and probably has even more improvement in him. The Leonard Powell-trained gelding now has captured half of his 10 career starts, and while he’s probably most comfortable as the controlling speed he can stalk and pounce if the situation dictates. His win down the hill in the Joe Hernandez Stakes earned a career top speed figure and his Lure Stakes triumph before that showed he could handle this two turn mile trip. Dark Shift didn’t bring his best stuff in his U.S. debut at Keeneland last fall when failing to land a blow in a strong allowance middle distance affair, but he was a high class handicapper last year in Europe, with victories that included the 29-runner Royal Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot, so you have to respect him, especially with Frankie in the saddle. Eastern shipper Anaconda has won over this course in the past and has recent numbers in New York that make him dangerous. Comfortably drawn in post three, the Joe Sharp-trained veteran should draft into a cozy, second flight early position and then have every chance from there.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:10 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

February 4, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has 14 races scheduled and hopefully the weather will cooperate. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

5-Belmont Royale N (3-1)-Came the 2nd half in 54.2 but couldn't catch the leader. Drops and was off 2 weeks before the last race. Looks like the one to beat.
7-Burnham Boy N (4-1)-Takes on much better after pacing the 2nd half in .53 with a 25.2 last quarter. That was the 1st start on Lasix and his M1 debut. Willing to take a swing the performance wasn't a fluke and the Ryder barn is posting 25% winner in the last 30 days.

Race 11

1-Mister Spot A (5-1)-Bumps up after a big try from post 10 to dead-heat for the win. Does well racing near the top of the stack and with this post draw Gingras shouldn't have an issue working that trip.
3-Baileys Rock N (3-1)-Gets a positive driver change in Dunn and drops to a more comfortable level. Should be right there at the wire but might be over bet. Big M record is nothing to write home about, has posted only 2 wins in 33 starts.
4-Rockin The Aces (5-1)-Raced from the back at this class last week and zipped home with a 25.4 last quarter to finish a distant 4th. This veteran knows how to win, should be very competitive versus this kind and will look for an aggressive steer in the 3rd start for the Saunders barn.

Race 12

3-Andres Hanover (5-1)-This is the 2nd start in sequence and drops to a level which should yield a good result. This is only the tenth race since 2022 so there have been issues for this 5-year-old. But could be sitting on a big try and lands in a good spot for an overdue win.
5-Literl Lad Hanover (6-1)-Has had trouble putting 2 strong races together and not sure what happened last week. If the pattern holds this should be a better effort. Could surprise if Joe B provides a sharp steer.
10-Bet On Blake (10-1)-Looking for a long shot and Mark MacDonald gets the drive for the Burke barn. Has been racing better and this is the 4th start off the bench. Has the gate speed to get a decent seat, and could pop at a price if the upswing continues in a race without a standout.

Race 13

1-Duddie's Lor (5-1)-This veteran grinded it out and closed nicely last time. Finally gets a better draw after starting from posts 8-9-7-9. Getting the rail should help, won on 12-17 on the engine at M1. Dave Miller should work an efficient trip and could offer a square price.
4-Paternity Suit A (8-1)-Here is another who has been stuck outside in recent starts (8-8-8). This 10-year-old fits well and McCarthy could work a suck-around trip. This looks like the best chance so far this year to snag an overdue win.
6-Dealer's Table (3-1)-Recent form has been dull and keeps dropping looking for a spark. May have found a field to beat and this will be 1st time Dunn is steering. Having that pilot probably hurts the price but maybe he can wake up this 7-year-old.

0.50 Late Pick 4

5,7/1,3,4/3,5,10/1,4,6
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:10 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fair Grounds - Race #4

#2 Frosty Diva	Tactical type has proven a good fit at similar kinds of levels, and she might be the right one as something like the second choice in here. She should be right up in a perfect spot in a race without a ton of serious early burn.
#7 Ghostly Girl	Likely chalk drops in for the first time with several running lines that would probably make her tough, but she hasn't finished her races with a ton of enthusiasm, and I see a scenario in which someone is able to outgame her to the wire.
#1 Prize Debate	Nothing so far through three starts for this one, but she has shown a little bit of early pace in a couple of her starts, and maybe she flashes a little speed and sticks around better today while racing for a tag for the first time.
Race Summary	Feel like the winner should come from one of the two of Frosty Diva and Ghostly Girl, and Prize Debate is my price player to try to get in the frame with one of those.

Fair Grounds - Race #7

#7 Shaniah	Think she has a little bit of mid-range price appeal in a race where there should be a handful of forward players stacked up in the early going, and she's a pretty reliable finisher with some running lines that make her competitive here. Decent lean here.
#1 Basalt Street	Think she's one of the ones in here while moving back into open company, but she fared well with open runners in Canada, so I don't think she's overmatched in here. The last two were sharp, and she might land a cozy inside trip.
#3 Beleout	She's capable of big things on her best day, and she has shown an affinity for the local footing. She has a mild tactical gear that might keep her from getting caught up early.
Race Summary	Shaniah has solid rallying form, and I think there might be just enough early speed in here to set things up for her to get past them late, and her ceiling is high enough to capitalize if she brings one of her better efforts.

Fair Grounds - Race #8

#10 Maasai Warrior	He'll rise on relatively short rest if he's able to get in here, and I really liked his turf debut last time out when he flashed some powerful foot on the front end most of the way. Dangerous if he goes.
#9 Super Wise	Have been chasing this guy a little bit in recent starts, but I think he gets another good trip here and can adapt to however the pace unfolds with the other two potential forward players.
#5 Monarch Man	He might be a little cheap for these right now, but did score his graduation run over the local turf in maiden claiming company, and he has some versatility that should help him find a good tracking trip here.
Race Summary	Maasai Warrior was sharp in the turf debut last time out and merits a long look back with winners if he gets in, otherwise it's back to Super Wise for me as likely the most reliable of the forward players with some compelling enough back turf form.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:11 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #1

#8 CAUSE TO DREAM (7-2)	Rounding to another good race, should get jump on main rivals.
#5 IF THEN (2-1)	Rallied for a win, two seconds and a third in her last four starts, all with Cruz aboard.
#6 MO FIRE (5-1)	Finished in the money in 8 of 12 starts at Laurel Park at various distances.
Race Summary	CAUSE TO DREAM ranged up on the loose leader while in-hand for the stretch drive. She edged clear to win in the 12-horse field at this distance, a nice follow-up to her prior start at 6F, when she opened a clear lead from post 10 and held second. Bet to win and place and play 8-5 and 8-6 exactas.

Laurel Park - Race #5

#5 CLUBMAN (5-2)	Laurel lover projects ideal trip under same conditions of his victory two back.
#3 OXIDE (9-2)	Upstaged series of runner-up finishes with romp, could return quick claim dividend.
#8 FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY (2-1)	Has speed, gets class relief, wears hood, offers little value.
Race Summary	CLUBMAN, who earned most of his $550k bankroll at Laurel Park, won under these conditions two starts back, repeated at a higher level and should sit a good stalking trip in his bid for three in a row. Bet to win and place and play a 3-5-8 exacta box.

Laurel Park - Race #9

#1 SISTER SPIRIT (15-1)	Price stab in dismal field with second-time Lasix in second start for barn.
#2 IRISH LACE (3-1)	Lost contact with odds-on winner in five-horse field, gets blinkers.
#4 SWEET FACTOR (3-1)	Backed off leaders on turn, re-bid to finish a game second at this level.
Race Summary	In a field that is a combined 0-for-45 with two runner-up finishes, it’s worth trying a longshot. SISTER SPIRIT back-pedaled in her first start for this barn but ran okay in her two prior races at 6F and 7F. She gets second-time Lasix and an upset call at 15-1 on the morning line. Bet to win and place.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:13 AM

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - February 4

Feb. 03, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	14	Hillbilly Logic	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	5-2	12	Pettinari	G Corrales
SHOW	9-5	6	Roan for the Rose	C Landeros
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Scotch No Rocks	W A Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	11	Longer View	R M Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	Kick Rocks Kid	D J Haldar

* EXACTA: 14-12 BOX, 12-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/12/14 BOX, 3/6/12 BOX

RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	1-1	1	Tuskegee Cat	J Nava-Marin
PLACE	3-1	7	Command Central	C Landeros
SHOW	12-1	6	Strike Price	W A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	12-1	3	Drop Anchor	S Sanjur

ALTERNATE 1	30-1	13	Shirleys Sherman	R Betancourt
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	8	Mountain Ghost	V Lebron

* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

RACE #3 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	1-1	6	Maseta	G Corrales
PLACE	8-1	9	Son of Grace	E Esquivel
SHOW	15-1	2	Eli	D Cannon
WILD CARD	5-1	5	English Classic	J McKee

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Deny	L Machado
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Authoritarian	C Orm

* EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/5/9 BOX

RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #13 STEPPER

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	13	Stepper	M Franklin
PLACE	4-1	6	Aunt Ruth	W A Rodriguez
SHOW	10-1	4	Right Now	C Landeros
WILD CARD	7-2	1	Wicked Wonder	S Sanjur

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	10	Sonnyneedsmoney	A Achard
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	2	Trick Hat	L Machado

* EXACTA: 13-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/13 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

RACE #5 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 AMANWALKSINTOABAR

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	9	Amanwalksintoabar	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	7-2	5	Dont Let Me Down	R M Hernandez
SHOW	15-1	11	Sailors Chance	J E Felix
WILD CARD	15-1	12	Shortly	J McKee

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	10	Reprehend	M Franklin
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	Savvy On Blanc	G Corrales

* EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX, 11-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/9/11 BOX, 5/11/12 BOX

RACE #6 $125,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $125,000 FOREGO STAKES

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-5	9	Visitant	G Corrales
PLACE	3-1	8	Night Time	C Landeros
SHOW	4-1	3	Here Mi Song	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	20-1	5	Gallant Guy	R M Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	1	Bandit Swanson	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	50-1	7	Midnight Escape	D Cannon

* EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX
COMMENTS: VISITANT won eight of 10 on Turfway synthetic. NIGHT TIME ran the highest last race speed figure stronger in race pace numbers. HERE MI SONG has been off since October but good works hint at a ready horse. GALLANT GUY improved noticeably from race to race in the last three.

RACE #7 $78,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/4 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 VERSTAPPEN

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	1	Verstappen	D Cannon
PLACE	12-1	11	Chantry Flats	F De La Cruz
SHOW	8-1	4	Bluegrass Parkway	C Landeros
WILD CARD	4-1	3	Tiberius Mercurius	G Corrales

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Protonic Power	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Buy Me Candy	L Machado

* EXACTA: 1-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/11 BOX, 3/4/11 BOX

RACE #8 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	8	Honky Tonk Hero	J E Felix
PLACE	4-1	5	Draft Capital	R M Hernandez
SHOW	10-1	7	Texas Gano	A Achard
WILD CARD	12-1	3	Lord Revelstoke	J Elliott

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	1	Blanket of Roses	J Padron-Barcenas
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	10	Delft Blue	E Esquivel

* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:13 AM

Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - February 4

Feb. 03, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 DOC ADAMS

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	8	Doc Adams	R A Vazquez
PLACE	7-2	6	Continental Divide	L Dettori
SHOW	5-1	7	Donner Lake	J R Velazquez
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Big Talker	R Curatolo

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Bottle of Smoke	K Frey
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	Prayer of Jabez	A Aguilar

* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX

RACE #2 $40,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:32 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	7	Weemissgrammy	D Van Dyke
PLACE	5-2	5	Carpe Fortuna	L Dettori
SHOW	5-1	8	Very Scary	K J Desormeaux
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Glenall	J Bravo

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Gypsy Lynn	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	1	Slam Diego	H I Berrios

* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX

RACE #3 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:05 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $200,000 ROBERT B LEWIS STAKES GRADE III

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	1	Arabian Lion	J R Velazquez
PLACE	8-5	2	Newgate	L Dettori
SHOW	9-5	3	Worcester	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	8-1	4	Hard to Figure	R A Vazquez

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
COMMENTS: ARABIAN LION has been working out well at Santa Anita. NEWGATE upped his speed figure in the last three and could make it four in his second start after a layoff. WORCESTER improved a lot in race two from its debut. HARD TO FIGURE is the fourth horse in a four field and looks a cut below the others.

RACE #4 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:38 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $100,000 MEGAHERTZ STAKES GRADE III

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	2	Hamwood Flier	J J Hernandez
PLACE	3-1	6	School Dance	R A Vazquez
SHOW	12-1	5	One Silk Stocking	L Dettori
WILD CARD	7-2	4	Closing Remarks	J Bravo

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Bay Storm	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	3	Nadette	U Rispoli

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
COMMENTS: HAMWOOD FLIER won both of her Santa Anita races and should be involved from go to photo. SCHOOL DANCE is just a head away from winning four in a row. ONE SILK STOCKING showed much better pace through the first half mile of her last race. CLOSING REMARKS ran the top last race speed figure and could take it higher in the second race after a layoff.

RACE #5 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:14 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 RHYTHEM ON STAGE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	6	Rhythem On Stage	J J Hernandez
PLACE	3-1	7	Montana	F Prat
SHOW	4-1	5	Seattle Surf	L Dettori
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Bus Buzz	E A Maldonado

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	2	Upward Mobility	R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	Catalina Eddy	K Kimura

* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

RACE #6 $72,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:51 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	10	Carmen Miranda	F Prat
PLACE	4-1	2	Toms Beauty	H I Berrios
SHOW	6-1	1	Ready Jet Go	R A Vazquez
WILD CARD	3-1	3	Briefcase Girl	M E Smith

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	Annies Song	A Alsagoor
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	Rebel Girl	J R Velazquez

* EXACTA: 10-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/10 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #7 $42,000 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:21 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	8	Motorcade	J J Hernandez
PLACE	3-1	3	Big Hat Willie	F Prat
SHOW	4-1	2	Henry Q	L Dettori
WILD CARD	5-2	1	Arrowthegreat	V Espinoza

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	9	Bluegrass Go Go	E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Look Sharp	R A Vazquez

* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #8 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:53 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 SINGLE TRACK MIND

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	6	Single Track Mind	U Rispoli
PLACE	4-1	2	Escape Artist	J R Velazquez
SHOW	7-2	1	San Anton	F Prat
WILD CARD	6-1	11	Eastbound	V Espinoza

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Maltese Falcon	L Dettori
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	10	Genius Jimmy	J J Hernandez

* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/11 BOX

RACE #9 $200,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:23 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $200,000 SANTA MONICA STAKES GRADE II

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	2	Fun to Dream	J J Hernandez
PLACE	5-2	5	Awake At Midnyte	M Gutierrez
SHOW	8-1	4	Angel Nadeshiko	M E Smith
WILD CARD	4-1	3	Samurai Charm	F Prat

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	6	Lady T	V Espinoza
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	Anacapa	J R Velazquez

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
COMMENTS: FUN TO DREAM won five of six races and three of three at the distance. AWAKE AT MIDNYTE has a win and three seconds at Santa Anita. ANGEL NADESHIKO never ran off the board in six on fast dirt. SAMURAI CHARM missed as the favorite in his last. Trainer Peter Miller bounces back at 23 percent the next time around the track.

RACE #10 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:53 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $100,000 THUNDER ROAD STAKES GRADE III

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	8	Air Force Red	J J Hernandez
PLACE	5-1	9	Hit the Road	K Kimura
SHOW	8-1	7	There Goes Harvard	J R Velazquez
WILD CARD	15-1	2	Du Jour	U Rispoli

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Earls Rock	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Anaconda	E A Maldonado

* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX
COMMENTS: AIR FORCE RED is an all or nothing horse winning five of 10 with all the wins in eight at Santa Anita. HIT THE ROAD won six of 11 at the distance with a pair of thirds. THERE GOES HARVARD has been off since the end of July but training sessions say he is ready to run today. ANACONDA made up late ground in the last seven races.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:14 AM

Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - February 4

Feb. 03, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $10,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	4	Flashy Brew	C J Lanerie
PLACE	5-2	1	Half Again	J Loveberry
SHOW	4-1	5	Coach Kenny	M Murrill
WILD CARD	7-2	3	Gravy Hound	J Graham

ALTERNATE 1	5-2	1A	Secret Vista	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Quest for Avette	A Beschizza

* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #2 $35,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-5	2	Emerald Forest	R Gutierrez
PLACE	9-5	5	All West	M Murrill
SHOW	7-2	3	Mike J	A Green
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Spankhurst	C J Lanerie

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Firewater Jake	J Graham

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #3 $52,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	3	Wupkar	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	7-2	4	Sumitup	E Morales
SHOW	3-1	5	Hei Hei Custivity	A Green
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Shellis Angel	M Murrill

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Sky High Susan	D L Parker
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Viola Star	J Graham

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

RACE #4 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	7	Ghostly Girl	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	3-1	2	Frosty Diva	C J Lanerie
SHOW	6-1	6	Roll Gypsy Roll	S Barandela
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Wait On Me	A Green

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	5	Graceful Union	C J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Baby Your Perfect	J Loveberry

* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

RACE #5 $15,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	1	Keep Left	J Loveberry
PLACE	5-2	9	Nomadic Pride	E Morales
SHOW	9-2	6	The Rage of Art	D Carroll
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Danke Fuer Alles	C J Lanerie

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	8	Corona Del Mar	E M Murray
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Unbridled Annsley	A Castillo

* EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX

RACE #6 $51,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 KYLE BEAUTY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	3	Kyle Beauty	J Loveberry
PLACE	7-2	8	Michelles Lil Star	C J Lanerie
SHOW	8-1	2	A Runnin Afleet	M Murrill
WILD CARD	7-2	1	Hopeitsmyluckyday	J Graham

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Dontcallmepatsy	A Green
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Dixie Farmer	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX

RACE #7 $51,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 BELEOUT

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	3	Beleout	J Graham
PLACE	3-1	1	Basalt Street	C J Lanerie
SHOW	6-1	4	Carnelian	E Morales
WILD CARD	10-1	5	High Speed	M Murrill

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Miss Distinctive	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Shaniah	C J Hernandez

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX

RACE #8 $51,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	10	Maasai Warrior	E Morales
PLACE	7-2	3	Hidden Enemy	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	4-1	8	Courageously	M Murrill
WILD CARD	8-1	5	Monarch Man	E Morales

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	1A	Cousin Larry	D L Parker
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	11	Fieldstone	M Murrill

* EXACTA: 10-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/8/10 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX

RACE #9 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 ISNT IT TIME

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	1	Isnt It Time	A Green
PLACE	7-2	9	Anslies Gumdrop	C J Hernandez
SHOW	5-1	3	Beanie	C J Lanerie
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Madisons Screen	J Riquelme

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	8	Fedora Freya	E Morales
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	10	My Royal Princess	E M Murray

* EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:14 AM

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - February 4

Feb. 03, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 MEAN JAKEY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	5	Mean Jakey	C A Torres
PLACE	2-1	1	Best of Greeley	W De La Cruz
SHOW	6-1	2	Whiskey Double	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	3-1	4	Upstriker	N Juarez

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	6	Burninhunkoflove	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Whooping Jay	T Baze

* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

RACE #2 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:01 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	5	Family Tradition	I Castillo
PLACE	7-2	2	Dancin Rocket	K R Jordan
SHOW	5-1	10	Shotgun Up	L S Quinonez
WILD CARD	12-1	11	Joe Bill	D Cabrera

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	8	Guarded	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	9	Order of Merit	C A Torres

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/10 BOX, 2/10/11 BOX

RACE #3 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:32 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	7	Atlantic Dancer	C A Torres
PLACE	8-5	1	Mount Craig	F Arrieta
SHOW	7-2	6	Goin to the Show	T Baze
WILD CARD	5-1	9	Patrolman	R Bejarano

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	3	Funny Uncle	J K Court
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	8	Tahoe Run	R Santana Jr.

* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX

RACE #4 $103,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 STRIKINGLY SPUN

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	7	Strikingly Spun	F Arrieta
PLACE	12-1	5	Juniors Joanie	C A Torres
SHOW	8-1	3	Need Some Money	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	2-1	2	Stellar Lady	D Cabrera

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Homecoming Queen	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Beautiful and Bold	W De La Cruz

* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

RACE #5 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:35 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	10	Moon Connection	T Baze
PLACE	4-1	6	Eternally Grateful	K J Asmussen
SHOW	15-1	7	El Mongo	I Castillo
WILD CARD	3-1	3	Cactus	R Santana Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	9	Six Whips	E Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	11	Manta Rey	R Bejarano

* EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/10 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

RACE #6 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:07 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	15-1	8	See Spot Run	R Bowen
PLACE	5-1	5	Take Charge Gent	G Saez
SHOW	3-1	10	Incorrigible	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	10-1	6	Primer Dimer	C A Torres

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	1	Mr. Tip	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	7	Boldish	D Cabrera

* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/10 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX

RACE #7 $103,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:38 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 GUN PILOT

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	2	Gun Pilot	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	2-1	6	Protege	R Bejarano
SHOW	4-1	7	Bourbon Bash	M Michel
WILD CARD	12-1	3	Vigorish	I Castillo

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	Gunflash	C A Torres
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Coffee Caliente	G Saez

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

RACE #8 $50,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	12	Concept	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	3-1	8	Commander Carl	C A Torres
SHOW	15-1	9	Lucky Dude	K R Jordan
WILD CARD	10-1	5	Breslau	F Arrieta

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	11	Touch Code	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Deus Ex Machina	D Cabrera

* EXACTA: 12-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/9/12 BOX, 5/8/9 BOX

RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:42 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $250,000 BAYAKOA STAKES GRADE III

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	7	Lovely Ride	C A Torres
PLACE	4-1	3	Ice Orchid	R Santana Jr.
SHOW	7-2	6	Le Da Vida	V Cheminaud
WILD CARD	5-2	1	A Mo Reay	F Geroux

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	2	Guana Cay	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	4	Powder River	D Cabrera

* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
COMMENTS: LOVELY RIDE won two in a row and should be better in his third off the break. ICE ORCHARD finished in the trifecta in all races. LE DA VITA race internals were better across the board in his last. A MO REAY just ran his best race but his record in second off the break is iffy.

RACE #10 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:14 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	2	Stuck N Snow	L S Quinonez
PLACE	5-1	9	Pearcy Road	C A Torres
SHOW	6-1	10	Skyped	C H Borel
WILD CARD	6-1	11	Classy Socks	G Saez

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Shake Up	N Juarez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	8	Kissofthenile	K R Jordan

* EXACTA: 2-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/9/10 BOX, 9/10/11 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:15 AM

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - February 4

Feb. 03, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 OLD TIME REVIVAL

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	4	Old Time Revival	E Santiago
PLACE	2-1	5	Ask for Bode	S Camacho
SHOW	4-1	6	Loud N Proud	L Sanchez
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Maximum Factor	K J Coa

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	2	New York Style	H R Diaz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Lord of Legends	J C Ferrer

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX

RACE #2 $8,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:03 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	5	Funny Enough	C E Rojas
PLACE	8-1	2	My Girl Melly	R D Allen Jr.
SHOW	6-1	3	Miss Inez	D Cardoso
WILD CARD	5-1	9	Redzilla	S Marin

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	6	Trouble in Red	L Sosa
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	8	Rain of Blessing	J A Batista

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/9 BOX

RACE #3 $8,000 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:41 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	1	Creative Cloud	C E Rojas
PLACE	5-1	7	Tiz Triumphant	S Marin
SHOW	6-1	5	Thats My Boi Toy	J A Batista
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Fulton Street	S Leon

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Mo Wine Please	K J Coa
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	8	Punx	M Allen

* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

RACE #4 $8,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:12 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 LIKING IT TWISTED

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	1	Liking It Twisted	S Camacho
PLACE	7-2	3	Maracas Bay	M Meneses
SHOW	6-1	4	Starship Precious	K J Coa
WILD CARD	4-1	7	Raw Honey	P Morales

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	8	Bella Romance	C E Rojas
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	More Mucho	P Lopez

* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

RACE #5 $27,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	3	Classic Creation	A A Gallardo
PLACE	5-1	2	Pike Place	D Centeno
SHOW	9-2	7	Talk of the Nation	S Camacho
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Love Me Not	P Morales

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	8	Anamnestic	H R Diaz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Southpaw Mike	J A Batista

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

RACE #6 $32,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	5	Wits and Wagers	D Centeno
PLACE	5-1	7	Patience Worth	P Morales
SHOW	4-1	8	Volatility	S Camacho
WILD CARD	5-2	3	Just My Own	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Frosty O Toole	A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Jet City Woman	J C Ferrer

* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX

RACE #7 $175,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $175,000 ENDEAVOUR STAKES GRADE III

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	6	Marketsegmentation	S Camacho
PLACE	4-1	11	Scotish Star	J Castellano
SHOW	8-1	2	Surprisingly	P Lopez
WILD CARD	9-2	3	Panama Red	D Centeno

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Oliviaofthedesert	P Morales
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	8	Spirit And Glory	H R Diaz Jr.

* EXACTA: 6-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/11 BOX, 2/3/11 BOX
COMMENTS: MARKETSEGMENTATION is a length from being unbeaten in three races. SCOTISH STAR will try to make a big mid move and hold on from there. SURPRISINGLY ran the highest last race speed figure and could be even better in round two off the sidelines. PANAMA RED comes in from Ireland where she faced some quality company.

RACE #8 $32,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 CITY HUMOR

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	4	City Humor	D Centeno
PLACE	5-2	8	Fire Baron	J C Ferrer
SHOW	6-1	3	Graphene Cassock	S Camacho
WILD CARD	7-2	2	Reinvest	P Morales

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	6	Roses by Liam	A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Star Kanoo	J Alicea

* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX

RACE #9 $175,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $175,000 TAMPA BAY STAKES GRADE III

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	10	Chez Pierre	D Centeno
PLACE	6-1	4	Winfromwithin	J A Batista
SHOW	30-1	1	Barberini	A Suarez
WILD CARD	15-1	14	Creed	P Morales

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	9	Drama Chorus	A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Kentucky Ghost	E Wilson

* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-14 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/10 BOX, 1/4/14 BOX
COMMENTS: CHEZ PIERRE is undefeated in five races. WINFROMWITHIN upped his speed figure in the last three and has a lot of early speed. BARBERINI could be a live longshot with two wins with a second and third in four Tampa turf tries. CREED won easily in his first try across Tampa Turf.

RACE #10 $28,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	10	Raising Moon	J A Batista
PLACE	4-1	2	Justintimeforwine	P Lopez
SHOW	10-1	4	Damir	J E Lopez
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Rock the Stars	A A Gallardo

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	7	Tallahatchiebridge	S Camacho
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	King Ramos	M Meneses

* EXACTA: 10-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/10 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:17 AM

Keeneland Select Derby Prep Hotlist - Holy Bull Stakes - February 4

Feb. 03, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
The $250,000 Holy Bull Stakes (G3), Gulfstream Park, Race 12, 5:43 p.m. ET
(8) Rocket Can comes off a nice effort in a Churchill Downs allowance race last fall and has been training in solid fashion. Trainer Bill Mott is having a fine GP meet, as evidenced by last weekend’s Pegasus World Cup, and this 3-year-old should have enough tactical speed to offset the outside post. In a field that seems more like an allowance race than a stakes, he’s an intriguing possibility. (4) Cyclone Mischief ran a huge race last time and if he duplicates that effort, he’ll breeze to victory. But he’s likely to bounce and that could make him vulnerable here. (1) Lord Miles rallied strongly while racing wide and missed by less than a length in the mile Mucho Macho Man. The added distance here and a ground-saving trip should suit him. (6) Legacy Isle won the Mucho Macho Man but was disqualified and placed second. His early speed makes him a dangerous here, but he figures to receive plenty of pressure in this field and will need a superb effort to hang on. Betting strategy: 8 to win. Exacta and trifecta box: 1-4-6-8.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:18 AM

Gulfstream Park Hotlist - February 4

Feb. 03, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
4th race – (5) Demurely (A) missed by a nose last time and should work out a winning trip here. (1) Oaxaca returns to Tapeta, where he was victorious three starts ago. (4) Lena the Lion has speed and looks like the one to catch. (7) Heir to the Roar figures to be a stretch threat here. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-7. Doubles: 1-4-5-7 with 1-4-5-6.
5th race – (4) Mutaawid was a fast-closing third in his turf debut and should prevail over this field. (1) Just So is a firster from Brown who appears to have some talent. (5) King’s Fortune debuts for Pletcher and merits attention. (6) Carlin Clan was second in his last two starts and is overdue for a win. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-6.
7th race – (2) Shadow Sphinx showed little in a Grade 2 stakes and may thrive with some class relief in today’s test. (4) Samburu showed improve speed last time and should benefit from a switch to Irad. (6) Richiesgotgame returns to turf and should perk up. (5) Coinage figures to be well-suited by today’s distance. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-6.
9th race – (2) Souzak (B) had a troubled trip in his U.S. debut and can make amends for that setback here. (1) Candidate seeks a fourth straight win and should emerge as the main rival. (4) Major Dude was second in a stakes and should make his presence felt. (5) Lights of Broadway can shine in this field. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5. Doubles: 1-2-4-5 with 2-3-5-7.
10th race – (7) Undervalued Asset was an easy debut winner and should pass the class test here. (8) Red Carpet Ready is a perfect 2-for-2 and will be hard to handle. (5) Apropos exits a sharp maiden win and cannot be ignored. (3) Atomically makes her first start since the Breeders’ Cup and will be dangerous on her best try. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-7-8.

No.		Letter/Last race	Today’s race	Comment
(5)	Demurely	A, 1/15	4 GP	Comes off a loss by a nose
(2)	Souzak	B, 1/7	9 GP	Had a troubled U.S. debut

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:18 AM

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | February 4, 2023

Feb. 03, 2023

Race 10 at Gulfstream Park | Saturday February 4 | Post Time 4:17 PM Eastern
Forward Gal Stakes – Grade 3 | Purse $125,000 | Seven Furlongs | Fillies, Three Years Old
Top Contenders:
Twice as Sweet (2) has to get top billing among the three horses with the highest probability to win (in my opinion) as she opens at 10 to 1 odds. That’s in spite of her being one of just four horses among the 10 entered with a stakes win. Two of the other three earned those wins in restricted Florida sire stakes so she’s one of only two which have won an “open” stakes (the other being Red Carpet Ready). Twice as Sweet earned that win in November after a runner-up effort, win and another runner-up effort to start her career so showed a lot of talent to that point, particularly in the two wins when maturely relaxing off the pace early and running to the front late. In her only start since the win, at the end of December in a stakes at Fair Grounds, she was six paths wide into the stretch as she rallied from seventh of eighth and missed second by a pair of noses in another big effort as the winner had drawn off by three lengths. Tyler Gaffalione gets on and the filly earned a field high 91 Equibase Speed Figure in that Smart Halo Stakes win in November, which is the highest (fastest) figure in the field as well. Now making her first start as a three year old, she could blow past that effort and win this race in an upset.
Red Carpet Ready (8), as previously mentioned, is the only other “open” stakes winner in the field. She earned that win in the second start of her career, near the end of November, in the Fern Creek Stakes. Like Twice as Sweet, Red Carpet Ready showed maturity sitting off the pace then blasted home to win by three lengths. She was flattered by the runner-up, who came back to win, and with any improvement off the 88 figure earned and now as a newly turned three year old this gal could get the job done here.
Undervalued Asset (7) is the last of the three main win contenders but the one most likely to be bet down from her 7 to 2 starting odds. That’s because she’s trained by Chad Brown and ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr. She’s only run once, on November 10 of last year, but that was a strong eight length victory in which she was eased up late or could have won by more. Similar to Red Carpet Ready’s last race, Undervalued Asset earned an 87 figure and has every right to improve upon it in her first start as a three year old.
Win bets: Twice as Sweet (2) at 5 to 2 or more.
I might also consider a win bet on Red Carpet Ready (8) at 3 to 1 or more.
Exactas:
Box Twice As Sweet (2), Undervalued Asset (7) and Red Carpet Ready (8)
Trifectas:
Twice As Sweet (2), Undervalued Asset (7) and Red Carpet Ready (8) over ALL over Twice As Sweet (2), Undervalued Asset (7) and Red Carpet Ready (8).
At the $0.50 minimum level the cost of the trifecta above is $18. We win if any two of the three finish first and third. This compliments the exacta where we win if any two of the three finish first and second. We win twice if all three finish in the top three.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:19 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

PURCHASE

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 8	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Pick Three Superfecta (.10 cent minumum wager)
Maiden Claiming $8,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 62 • Purse: $9,700 • Post: 8:54P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * PARTY HARDY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TEMPTING COURAGE: Horse ranks in the t op three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RUN DAPISAURUS RUN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	PARTY HARDY	5/2	7/2
3	TEMPTING COURAGE	4/1	4/1
8	RUN DAPISAURUS RUN	8/5	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	PARTY HARDY	2	5/2	Slow	70	54	6.9	0.0	0.0
3	TEMPTING COURAGE	3	4/1	Average	70	54	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	THE LAST DON	4	10/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
5	HES VALIANT ENERGY	5	8/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
6	FIRE STEL	6	8/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	THE VALIANT QUEEN	7	20/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8	RUN DAPISAURUS RUN	8	8/5	Average	58	53	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: PW DYNAMITA (15/1) [Jockey: Franco Cesar - Trainer: Hurtado Clement].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-04-2023, 06:20 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana DownsPURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 58 • Purse: $3,500 • Post: 3:11P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LOUISIANA SASS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Ra ting. JJ BABY SWEET JESS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. AWESOM BLACEY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface.
5	LOUISIANA SASS	3/1	3/1
7	JJ BABY SWEET JESS	5/2	7/2
2	AWESOM BLACEY	7/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	TESSIES GIFT	1	8/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	AWESOM BLACEY	2	7/2	Slow	51	46	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	RW KOOLMAN	3	10/1	Average/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	BERLYNETTA	4	12/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
5	LOUISIANA SASS	5	3/1	Fast	63	55	3.3	0.0	0.0
7	JJ BABY SWEET JESS	7	5/2	Average	57	53	5.4	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: QUICK OPEN BAR (6/1) [Jockey: Segura Cesar - Trainer: Huitron Josue].