Sunday 2/5/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372270

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 7 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 89

    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $17,500.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 3 QUARKY 4/1
    # 9 BELEWS GOLD 10/1
    # 7 AFFLUENT GENTLEMAN 20/1
    QUARKY has a formidable shot to take this race. Shows evidence of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 85 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the most respectable in this group of animals. The Equibase Speed Figure of 83 from his last contest looks very strong in here. Has a solid shot for this event if you like back class. BELEWS GOLD - Lately Elliott has been hot which may give the edge to this gelding. Has competed solidly in turf sprint races. AFFLUENT GENTLEMAN - A solid 95 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this field. Respectable jock and handler combo winning 15 percent of their races working together.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372270

      #17
      Rocket Picks ��: Oaklawn Park, Gulfstream Park, and Santa Anita for February 5, 2023
      By: Aaron Halterman

      Let’s get another big Sunday of racing kicked off today! For the free pick 4, we will head to Gulfstream Park for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Santa Anita and Oaklawn Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s GO!

      Below is our free late Pick 4 for Gulfstream Park:

      Gulfstream Park February 5, 2023

      Race 6: Maiden Special Weight

      #3 Typey came within a half-length of winning over this track in her first start over the surface. She should improve off of that effort today. #4 Lady Beth debuts in this spot for Chad Brown, who is always dangerous over the turf. Her workouts looks solid leading up to this race.

      Race 7: Claiming
      freestar

      #2 Find Your Passion goes for two win a row today after winning at this level and over this track in her last start. She is the horse to beat off of that effort. #3 Singing the Oldies gets major class relief today; however, she will move over to the synthetic surface for the first time.

      Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming

      #6 Charge It returns today and should dominate this group if he is ready to put up his normal effort. He is a horse that looks to be exciting this season if he can stay healthy. #3 Clapton gets major class relief today after running poorly in a Grade 3 race last time out.

      Race 9: Maiden Special Weight

      #4 Solicitation was a decent fourth on debut last time out over this track. If she moves forward off of that effort she will be tough to beat in this spot. #5 Nonnas Tiramisu debuts today for a solid trainer, while Saez jumps aboard, which is a good sign the horse has some talent.

      THE TICKET

      $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 2,3,4,5 / 2,3,5 / 6 / 2,4,5,8 – $24
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372270

        #18
        Kristpicks

        aqueduct racetrack - sunday, february 05, 2023 // post time - 11:50 a.m. Est

        - daily selections for february 05 -

        race 1:
        5 - balpool 2-1
        2 - gifted 7-2
        1 - (a) check engine light 9-5

        race 2:
        2 - america's pride 7-2
        4 - sweet sensation 5-2
        1 - april antics 6-5

        race 3:
        3 - malibu moonshine 2-1
        4 - girl trouble 9-5
        1 - senior prank 4-1

        race 4:
        7 - quickflash 10-1
        3 - money in the bank 5-1
        1 - synthesis 6-5

        race 5:
        7 - dark storm 9-2 - best bet
        6 - cool quartet 2-1
        1 - hagler 7-2

        race 6:
        1 - johnselectricride 8-1
        6 - braciole 5-2
        2 - outasite 8-5

        race 7:
        6 - sheriff bianco 7-5
        5 - back ring luck 12-1
        4 - bourbonic 9-2

        race 8:
        2 - hang tight 12-1 - longshot
        5 - funny joke 5-2
        6 - winners laugh 6-1

        race 9:
        6 - my man matty 3-1
        2 - tin pan alley 7-2
        5 - golden code 5-2

        race 10:
        4 - caramocha 10-1
        3 - shinfull 9-2
        2 - kant hurry love 2-1
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372270

          #19
          Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, February 5
          Posted on February 4, 2023 by David Aragona

          RACE 1: TRYINMYHEARTOUT (#3)

          Likely favorite Check Engine Light (#1A) showed some promise in her career debut last summer at Saratoga, closing belatedly for fifth behind the highly-touted Prank. She returned from the layoff in December and just didn’t seem comfortable racing inside of horses on the far turn, appearing to get discouraged after getting put in tight quarters in the stretch. That might not be an issue on the stretch-out, but I am a little concerned that race she’s exiting might not be that strong. The winner and runner-up returned to regress in their subsequent starts by 10 and 33 TimeformUS Speed Figure points, respectively. She’s a contender, but perhaps not the most appealing option at a short price. Balpool (#5) is a horse that I was interested in when she was entered to make her second start sprinting back on January 15, but she was a vet scratch that day. I’m a little concerned about the stretch-out to a mile as she now targets this one-mile maiden event instead. Her debut was better than the result indicates, as she got off to a rough start, breaking slowly and getting bumped. She actually did well to make some progress through the lane after racing a bit greenly, since that race didn’t feature much pace. Rob Atras doesn’t have the best statistics with second time starters, so I’m inclined to explore other options. My top pick is Tryinmyheartout (#3). She actually took some money on debut, going off at 7-2 in a race that featured plenty of interesting first time starters. She maintained contact with the leaders on the backstretch, but couldn’t keep up on the turn, dropping out of contention by the quarter pole. However, she didn’t completely throw in the towel, and was staying on well at the end with big, steady strides. I get the impression that added distance is really going to be this filly’s friend. The dam won going a mile and is a 3/4-sister to G1 Santa Anita Derby winner Honor A. P. Additionally, her second dam Hollywood Story was a multiple G1-winning dirt router. She gets a rider upgrade and I’m expecting a much better effort.

          RACE 7: UNCLE MOONLIGHT (#2)

          Likely favorite Sheriff Bianco (#6) looks pretty formidable based on his recent set of speed figures. Ever since switching back over to dirt for Linda Rice, he’s been on quite a run, reeling off three victories in a row before just missing at this level last time. Despite losing that recent race, he seemed to handle the step up in class, taking a good run at winner Pirate Rick, who came back to win again. The big question for him is the stretch-out in distance. His best half-sibling is Never Gone South, who was stakes-placed going a mile but was a bit better sprinting. Linda Rice is 10 for 44 (23%, $2.17 ROI) with non-maidens making their first route attempt on dirt over 5 years. He’s the one to beat, but there are some other viable options who are proven at the distance. Main rival Winit (#3) can be his own worst enemy, as he tends to break sluggishly from the gate and often proceeds to get rank soon after. Kendrick Carmouche had seemingly figured him out in his recent starts, but he won’t be riding on this occasion, just announced to be off his mounts for 3 to 4 weeks. It’s also a concern that Kimmel now decides to add blinkers, which could work against a horse that already tends to get keen. I’m going in a different direction with Uncle Moonlight (#2). This 6-year-old had really come into form in the middle of 2022. He ran deceptively well off the layoff on Apr. 22 when against a track bias before breaking through his N1X condition with a commanding score on Belmont Stakes Day. That effort earned a career-best 119 TimeformUS Speed Figure, though he may have been a bit aided by the track profile early in the day. While it’s not a great sign that he went to the sidelines in his best form, his return last month for these same conditions wasn’t so bad. He contested an honest pace that came apart and battled back pretty gamely through the stretch for fourth. He has a right to do better second off the layoff and the price should be fair.

          RACE 9: WRITER’S REGRET (#7)

          Golden Code (#5) could go favored here as he returns from a lengthy layoff for Todd Pletcher. This colt showed some ability here last winner when breaking his maiden by over 10 lengths before finishing a good third in the Grade 3 Gotham. However, he failed to handle a stretch-out in distance in the Wood Memorial and now hasn’t been seen since. Todd Pletcher is 15 for 68 (22%, $1.38 ROI) with horses off layoffs of 180 days or more going from routes to sprints on dirt. I won’t be surprised when he runs well, but I didn’t need to default to him at a short price. Another runner who could take money from a powerful barn is Tin Pan Alley (#2). He returns from a similar layoff for Chad Brown after putting in a dull effort as the favorite in the Mike Lee last year. I’m just a little skeptical of this runner’s overall quality, since the maiden race that he won last March hasn’t proven to be quite as strong as it might have seemed at the time. The “now” horse in this field is My Man Matty (#6), who steps up against winners for the first time. This lightly raced 5-year-old took a while to get to the races, but he ran into a very good rival on debut and moved forward last time when beating winners. He fits from a speed figure standpoint and merits respect. My top pick is Writer’s Regret (#7). He comes out of a race at this level last month won by Warrior’s Revenge, has won 8 of his last 9 starts. No one was in the same league as that rival, but I thought this 5-year-old battled on gamely for second after stalking the pace. That was his return from a layoff and he has a right to step forward in his second start back. He’s always most dangerous when he can make use of his early speed and he’s drawn well outside of his main pace rivals. Trainer Ralph D’Alessandro can fly under the radar at Aqueduct, and is 20 for 163 (12%, $3.80 ROI) on dirt here over the past 5 years.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372270

            #20
            2023 San Marcos Stakes Preview & FREE Picks | Dicey Mo Chara Aiming For 2nd Straight Score
            By: Curtis "Magic" Kalleward

            Mike previews the 2023 San Marcos Stakes (G3) from Santa Anita Park, then gives his top picks & long shots. Trainer Leonard Powell’s Dicey Mo Chara returns to the local turf seeking his 2nd straight score following the 2022 San Gabriel Stakes (G2), but is there a chance for an upset? Tell us YOUR thoughts in the Comments section!

            The track press release:

            Trainer Leonard Powell’s English-bred Dicey Mo Chara seeks his second graded stakes turf win of the meet as he heads a field of 10 older horses in Sunday’s Grade III, $200,000 San Marcos Stakes, to be contested at a mile one quarter of the Santa Anita turf.

            A gutty half length winner of the Grade II San Gabriel Stakes at a mile and one quarter on Dec. 26, Dicey Mo Chara, who overcame a rough start, will be reunited with leading man Juan Hernandez as he pursues his fifth win from 18 overall starts.

            A versatile 5-year-old gelding, Dicey Mo Chara, who is owned by Red Baron’s Barn, LLC and Rancho Temescal, is 8-2-2-1 over the Santa Anita lawn. A tough luck second in his only try at a mile and one quarter three starts back here in the Grade II John Henry Turf Championship, Dicey Mo Chara should be tough to deny on Sunday.

            Phil D’Amato, who will saddle four horses in the San Marcos, has a big look with 6-year-old Masteroffoxhounds, who pressed the early pace and finished third, beaten 1
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372270

              #21
              How to bet the 2023 San Marcos Stakes
              John Mucciolo

              A deep cast of 10 turf stayers has been assembled for the $200,000 San Marcos S. (G3) at Santa Anita on Sunday. The 1 1/4-mile tilt attracted some of the better turf horses based in the Golden State and appears to be a mostly wide-open betting contest.

              #9 The Grey Wizard was a facile winner over first-level allowance foes on the surface last time out and is worth a chance in a well-matched field for conditioner Graham Motion. By Caravaggio, the four-year-old is twice graded stakes placed since arriving in the U.S. and will have no trouble negotiating the distance in his second outing of 2023.

              Bred in Ireland, the consistent late runner comes back quickly following a tally, which tells me he was using that contest as something of a prep run for Sunday. The gray received a decent post to avoid trouble, and I expect him to be a dangerous commodity inside the final furlong under John Velazquez.

              Recent San Gabriel S. (G2) star #7 Dicey Mo Chara has done some of his best work at Santa Anita and rates an obvious chance for conditioner Leonard Powell. The gelded son of Adaay just missed at the distance in the John Henry Turf Championship (G2) in October, and the five-year-old figures to sit a very good trip a few lengths off an honest early tempo to the top of the lane. Juan Hernandez will be in the stirrups.

              John Henry (G2) victor #2 Masteroffoxhounds, one of four in the field for trainer Phil D’Amato, led late before ultimately finishing third in the San Gabriel but might be more effective at 10 furlongs. The six-year-old War Front bay has never missed the board on the course, and he also dons a 5-2-2-0 mark at the trip, as well. The pacey Kentucky-bred will have Umberto Rispoli in the silks.

              #4 Prince Abama has steadily grown into a fine turf performer for D’Amato. The Hollywood Turf Cup (G2) hero has won or placed in eight of his last 10 engagements, with the last four coming against stakes foes, and the five-year-old son of Tamayuz seems poised to be in contention late once again with Flavien Prat taking the reins. The chestnut will be stalking the pace from the outset.
              San Marcos Wagers

              $12 win and place #9 The Grey Wizard ($24)
              50-cent trifecta 7,9 with 2,4,7,9 with all ($24)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372270

                #22
                Sunday Seoul & Busan: Race-By-Race Preview (February 5)

                There is Sunday racing at both Seoul (11 races from 10:40 to 18:00) and Busan (6 races from 11:05 to 15:40). Here are the previews:

                Three-year-old maiden fillies in the opener. (8) META BLADE will be the favourite. Having run 2nd on debut over 1000M, she followed up with 4th and 3rd in two starts over today’s trip, last time out coming from midfield to finish off well. She can settle back again here and should be too strong. (4) JAEWOO SIDAE comes in off a promising 3rd place at this distance on January 8th. She’s not shown a whole lot in terms of speed but draws nicely here and an apprentice keeps her weight light. (10) YUKWAEHAN SARANG is done no favours by the draw but ran 4th, just half a length behind Meta Blade in November over 1200M. She followed up with a 5th on Christmas Eve and while she may need a touch of luck at the start, she has claims. (6)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372270

                  #23
                  Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

                  Free Winners for Sunday, February 5th 2023 from THE LEGEND!
                  FREE HORSE PICKS
                  AQUEDUCT
                  RACE #7
                  TIME: 2:51 PM EST
                  PICK: BET #4 Bourbonic 9/2 odds to win @ Bovada
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372270

                    #24
                    Matt Fargo

                    Feb 05 '23, 2:00 PM in 1h
                    NCAA-B | Rider vs Manhattan

                    Play on: Rider -3 -110 at Caesars

                    This is a play on the RIDER BRONCS for our Sunday Free Play. Rider is the hottest team in the MAAC as it has won six straight games following a blowout win over St. Peter's and shares first place with Siena at 9-3. They are one of only three teams in the conference that is at .500 or better on the road and the Broncs are catching a great number in a great spot here. They are 5-5 in true road games including a win at conference favorite Iona which kicked off this winning streak and a win here goes a long way with four of their next five games taking place at home. Manhattan went just 2-7 in nonconference action but has rebounded with a 6-6 record in the MAAC thus far as they have been very streaky. The Jaspers started 2-0 then had three losses at the start of the month which turned into two wins after that only to see three more losses followed by two recent wins. Those last two wins came in overtime including a win on Friday against Siena and close wins have been the story as their six victories have come by an average of 6.0 ppg while their losses have been by much bigger margins on average and their 4-6 home record is certainly nothing to be intimidated by. Play (843) Rider Broncs
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372270

                      #25
                      Stephen Nover

                      Feb 05 '23, 2:00 PM in 1h
                      NCAA-B | Canisius vs Marist

                      Play on: Marist -115 at William Hill

                      A Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference matchup of last place teams, Canisius and Marist, is not exactly must-see viewing. But I find value with host Marist so I'm involved.
                      Canisius hosted Marist on Jan. 13 and lost, 76-58. Center Patrick Gardner led the Red Foxes with 26 points on 11-of-15 shooting from the floor. He gives Marist the best player on the court.
                      The Golden Griffins are 5-16. Marist is 7-14. Both are 3-9 in the MAAC.
                      The Red Foxes are home and have the superior defense. Canisius is 2-10 on the road. The Golden Griffins rank last in the conference in many key defensive categories, including scoring defense, defensive field goal percentage and 3-point defense.
                      Marist beat Canisius by 18 points on the road. Asking the Red Foxes to simply beat this same team at home shouldn't be too strong of a request.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372270

                        #26
                        Steve Janus

                        Feb 05 '23, 2:00 PM in 1h
                        NCAA-B | Rider vs Manhattan

                        Play on: [B]Manhattan +3
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372270

                          #27
                          Cole Faxon

                          Feb 05 '23, 3:00 PM in 2h
                          NCAA-B | Wichita State vs Tulsa

                          Play on: [B]Wichita State -5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 372270

                            #28
                            Black Widow

                            Feb 05 '23, 6:10 PM in 5h
                            NBA | Raptors vs Grizzlies

                            Play on: [B]Grizzlies -4
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 372270

                              #29
                              AAA Sports

                              Feb 05 '23, 6:10 PM in 5h
                              NBA | Raptors vs Grizzlies

                              Play on: Grizzlies -185 at Mirage

                              1* FREE PLAY Memphis on the moneyline.
                              The Grizz beat the Raptors 119-106 in Toronto back in December, and I envision a similar outcome here as well. Memphis looks to stop the bleeding here after dropping seven of its last eight. It's the "hungrier" team in this fight. Toronto snapped a two-game slide with a 117-111 win at Houston. This is the final game of a tough six-game Western swing and I say the Raptors get caught "looking ahead" here. Let's bypass the spread here though, and lay the price with Memphis on the moneyline option!
                              AAA Sports
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 372270

                                #30
                                ProSportsPicks

                                Feb 05 '23, 6:10 PM in 5h
                                NBA | Raptors vs Grizzlies

                                Play on: Raptors +5 -110 at Ace

                                PSP's Data Driven 1* free play.

                                At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
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