Tuesday 3/14/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 47

    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 7 FLORA 4/1
    # 4 CUP OF LIFE 3/1
    # 3 BET ON DRAMA 9/5
    I think FLORA is a formidable choice. Has formidable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of animals - worth a look. Her 52 average has this filly with among the best speed figures in here. The big drop in class can only help this entrant today. CUP OF LIFE - Gonzalez will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out early in this race. Has to be given a chance - I like the figures from the last outing. BET ON DRAMA - This mare is coming back in next to no time to race. One of the most favorable win percentages between this rider and conditioner make this mare dangerous.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358349

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      PURCHASE


      Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:05pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,900 Class Rating: 80

      Rating:

      #2 PERCENTAGE (ML=7/2)
      #3 RULING EMPIRE (ML=8/1)


      PERCENTAGE - Perez and Cline partnered together are a railbird's friend. Gelding's last morning work was second fastest of the day for the distance. RULING EMPIRE - Erwin has this gelding entered in the perfect race.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #4 HOLY SAINT (ML=2/1), #5 SEMINOLE JUSTICE (ML=3/1), #7 QUESTION AUTHORITY (ML=5/1),

      HOLY SAINT - If he goes off at the M/L odds of 2/1, I'll have to pass. SEMINOLE JUSTICE - This animal likes to finish in the money, but doesn't usually finish on top. Keep out of the top spot. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will do much running in today's event. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's class rating. QUESTION AUTHORITY - Speed ratings of 80/76/62 are in motion the wrong direction.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #2 PERCENTAGE on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      None
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358349

        #18
        1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Spurs +6
        2. Gameday Network NBA – Cavaliers -7.5
        3. Sports Action 365 CBB – Villanova +3
        4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – Washington St -10.5
        5. VegasSI NBA – Pistons +12.5
        6. Sam Casey NBA – Lakers pk
        7. Henry Brown Sports CBB – Seton Hall over 137.5
        8. Winning Big Sports NBA – Spurs +6
        9. Lou Panelli NBA – Trailblazers +2
        10. Platinum Info Club CBB – Mississippi St -2.5
        11. William E. Stockton CBB – Seton Hall +4
        12. Vincent Pioli CBB – Texas A&M Corpus under 156
        13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Thunder -1.5
        14. SCORE NBA – Nuggets +1
        15. Tony Campone CBB – Wisconsin -3
        16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Trailblazers +2
        17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Hofstra +7.5
        18. VIP Action CBB – Yale +3
        19. South Beach Sports NBA – Bucks -2
        20. LV Sports Commission NBA – Lakers over 225.5
        21. NY Players Club CBB – Seton Hall +4
        22. Fred Callahan CBB – Villanova over 137
        23. LV Private CEO Club NBA – Raptors -1
        24. Michigan Sports NBA – Cavaliers -7.5
        25. National Consensus Report CBB – Texas A&M Corpus under 156
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358349

          #19
          Matt Fargo

          Mar 14 '23, 7:00 PM in 38m
          NCAA-B | Hofstra vs Rutgers

          Play on: Hofstra +8 -110 at SC Consensus

          This is a play on the HOFSTRA PRIDE for our Tuesday Free Play. Rutgers was arguably the most noteworthy omission from the NCAA Tournament as the Scarlet Knights finished the season No. 35 in the KenPom rankings and No. 40 in the NET rankings and had the best road win of any team in the NIT with a victory at Purdue. It is now time to figure out if Rutgers is motivated to be in the NIT and will be out to prove something or if the disappointment lingers. The Scarlet Knights are laying a big number and this team is not constructed to cover large spreads as they are one of the most limited teams in the country on offense. Hofstra finished tied atop the Colonial Athletic Association with Charleston and it was bounced in the conference tournament in overtime by UNC Wilmington but was given an automatic bid into the NIT which the Pride should relish in. This is a good opening matchup as their defense is one of the best in the nation along with Rutgers and a low scoring game favors the significant underdog. This is also a little brother, big brother situation as Hofstra is back near its hometown playing another nearby team from a bigger conference so there will be plenty of motivation. Play (679) Hofstra Pride
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358349

            #20
            ASA

            Mar 14 '23, 7:00 PM in 38m
            NCAA-B | Hofstra vs Rutgers

            Play on: [B]UNDER 136
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358349

              #21
              Dustin Hawkins

              Mar 14 '23, 7:00 PM in 38m
              MLB | Israel vs Dominican Republic

              Play on: [B]UNDER 11
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358349

                #22
                Stephen Nover

                Mar 14 '23, 7:00 PM in 38m
                NCAA-B | Toledo vs Michigan

                Play on: [B]Toledo +6
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358349

                  #23
                  Info Plays

                  Mar 14 '23, 7:00 PM in 38m
                  NCAA-B | Hofstra vs Rutgers

                  Play on: [B]Hofstra +7
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358349

                    #24
                    Mike Williams

                    Mar 14 '23, 7:07 PM in 45m
                    NHL | Golden Knights vs Flyers

                    Play on: Flyers +165 at Ace

                    1* on Flyers
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358349

                      #25
                      Black Widow

                      Mar 14 '23, 7:07 PM in 45m
                      NHL | Lightning vs Devils

                      Play on: Lightning +120 at Ace

                      1* Free Wiseguy Play on Lightning
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358349

                        #26
                        Ricky Tran

                        Mar 14 '23, 7:07 PM in 45m
                        NHL | Capitals vs Rangers

                        Play on: Rangers -163 at circa

                        Ricky's 1* play on NYR.
                        Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
                        Key Trends:
                        - The Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
                        - The Capitals are 2-6 in their last 8 versus. Eastern Conference.
                        - The Rangers are 44-20 in their last 64 versus. a team with a losing record.
                        Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358349

                          #27
                          Nick Parsons

                          Mar 14 '23, 7:10 PM in 48m
                          NBA | Cavs vs Hornets

                          Play on: Hornets +8 -110 at SC Consensus

                          This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Hornets.
                          Cleveland just beat the Hornets here two nights ago by a score of 114-108. Charlotte was a ten-point dog in that one, and is getting less points here in the second game of the head-to-head matchup, but I still think the home side can get the job done again for bettors.
                          If you believe in "trap" games, then this one sets up as a bit of a "trap" I think for Cleveland. The Cavaliers have won four of their last five, but they have a big game at home tomorrow night vs. Philadelphia, which sits second in the East.
                          Letdown + look-ahead = trap game.
                          I think Charlotte plays hard once again here and, at the very least, comfortably covers once again with the points.
                          Consider the HORNETS.
                          Good luck, NP
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358349

                            #28
                            Dave Price

                            Mar 14 '23, 7:10 PM in 48m
                            NBA | Pistons vs Wizards

                            Play on: [B]Wizards -12
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358349

                              #29
                              Jimmy Boyd

                              Mar 14 '23, 7:30 PM in 1h
                              NCAA-B | Southern Miss vs UAB

                              Play on: Southern Miss +10 -110 at YouWager

                              1* Free Pick on Southern Miss
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358349

                                #30
                                Jack Jones

                                Mar 14 '23, 7:40 PM in 1h
                                NBA | Nuggets vs Raptors

                                Play on: Raptors -1 -110 at Caesars

                                Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Toronto Raptors -1
                                The Toronto Raptors want revenge from a 113-118 road loss at Denver on March 6th just over a week ago. They blew a 6-point lead in the final 2:20 and it was a very chippy game down the stretch. I like their chances of getting revenge at home this time around.
                                Normally I don't like backing NBA teams in that first home game back from an extended road trip. There's distractions to deal with back at home and it tends to be a flat spot. However, that is negated here by the fact that the Raptors have had the last three days off following their five-game trip. They are rested, refocused and ready to go tonight.
                                The Nuggets are just going through the motions right now with a 4.5-game lead over the Memphis Grizzlies, who are playing without JA Morant and others. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall with that non-cover against Toronto, a 21-point home loss to Chicago as a 9-point favorite, an 8-point road loss at San Antonio as a 13-point favorite and an upset home loss to Brooklyn as a 9-point favorite. They just cannot be trusted right now.
                                The Raptors are happy to be back home where they are 6-1 SU in their last seven home games. Toronto is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. We'll get an inspired effort from the Raptors tonight, and it should be enough to get the win and cover. Bet the Raptors Tuesday.
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