2-28-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, February 28, 2009
$40.00 Guaranteed: Tonight we have isolated an ABSOLUTE BLOWOUT WINNER in College Hoops that will again be "in the bag" by HALF TIME! This play is so STRONG it can only be rated as a ONE AND ONLY COLLEGE HOOPS GAME OF THE YEAR! You can get this TOP RATED WINNER right now for just $40 and you MUST WIN this game or you will not be charged! Why should you get this game? Because we are 100-72 in Hoops this year! 2/28/2009

ONE AND ONLY COLLEGE HOOPS GAME OF THE YEAR
654 Vanderbilt -1.5 9:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Wunderdog

Game: Notre Dame at Connecticut (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 150.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Notre Dame has certainly displayed the firepower to put up a lot of points, but the Huskies have one of the top defenses in the country, and that has been personified at home. The Huskies have played 15 home games, and are allowing a very stingy 59.6 points per game in those games. They have allowed just three teams to make it to 70 points in the 15-game stand. The Huskies have not reached 70 points themselves in their last four Big East home games. This one will have a very difficult time getting into the 150s as the oddsmakers suggests. As a result, I will play on the UNDER here.
Game: Oklahoma at Texas Tech (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Texas Tech +9.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Oklahoma has not been the same team without Blake Griffin. They have dropped their last two games. The Red Raiders are definitely in a down year and have not had too much success in a highly competitive Big-12 conference this season. They have been much more competitive of late as the team gains experience, and have not lost by more than 10 points in their last three games. While the Sooners are piling up the wins, that hasn't gotten them the money when playing on the road against a team with a winning home record as they are just 20-41-3 ATS in their last 64 games facing that situation. The Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS at home against a team with a winning road record. I like them to stay close and get the cover in this one.
Game: Duke at Virginia Tech (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Virginia Tech +6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Hokies are sitting at 17-10. But, by losing three of their last four, they have put themselves firmly on the bubble for an NCAA Tournament bid. They will be a hungry team needing a quality win, and I expect an inspired performance here. Duke, at just 4-4 in the conference in their last eight games, has been a much more vulnerable team than past editions. That is especially true on the road where the Dukies are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven. They are not only 1-6 ATS, they have been outscored by a total of 14 points in those seven games. Virginia Tech may have 10 losses on the season, but they have had a lot of bad breaks as seven of the 10 losses have come by four points or less, so they have played close to just about everyone. There hasn't been a team yet to beat them on their home floor by more than four points and they are a live dog here, so I'll back them in this one.

Game: U S C at Stanford (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Stanford -1.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

There has been no place like home for this USC team on the season as the road has not been kind to them. They are now 1-6 on the road and it has cost them to slip to a 16-11 mark and on the tourney bubble. They have also been in a horrid slump as they have just one win to show for their last six games. The problem is mostly on the offensive end, where they have been held to 61 points or less in four of the six games. Stanford almost got the win at USC - dropping the game by a point and will be out to extract a bad taste from that one. The Cardinal is getting it done as a home favorite as they are 13-5 in their last 18 in that role. I like them to continue that success and get the win and cover in this one.
Game: Drake at Bradley (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Drake +215 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 6.5)

The Bradley Braves have had an up-and-down season. After opening poorly at 1-2, they went on a nice run where they went 9-3. The results have not been kind to the Braves since. They have struggled over the second half of the season going just 6-8 in their last 14 games. The Bulldogs were the surprise in the MVC a year ago, but certainly haven't snuck up on anyone this season. What they have done however, is played well against the top of the conference - especially on the road. The Bulldogs own upset wins on the road at the Conference Co-leaders, Northern Iowa and Creighton. They also own a 14-point win over this same Bradley team. I like Drake to get this one on the road and will play them on the moneyline.

Game: Eastern Kentucky at Murray State (8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Eastern Kentucky +240 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 7.2)

I have to say the Eastern Kentucky Colonels have been a surprise in the OVC. This team has come on strong after a four-game losing streak right after the first of the year, going 11-4 since. The offense has been consistently good as they have put up 70+ points in eight of their last nine, leading to a 7-2 mark. Murray State has been playing well themselves and beat this Colonels’ team on the road by eight, but that was way back in the first week of December and E. Kentucky has made great strides since then. The key here is the E. Kentucky offense that has generated 70+ in eight of their last nine games. Murray St. has had trouble all year against teams that can score. They are just 1-6 SU on the season when they allow 70 or more, giving E. Kentucky a good chance for the upset here, and I'll take them on the moneyline.

Game: Southeast Missouri State at Austin Peay (8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Southeast Missouri State +18.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Southeast Missouri State has truly had a lost season and has played with just seven scholarship players for most of the second half of the season. They have now lost 18 straight games. The oddsmakers have certainly made it difficult to play against this team with some high lines, and their backers have certainly benefited by going 7-4 ATS in their last 11 when a dog of +8.5 or more. Austin Peay has been an extremely streaky team this season. They have sandwiched a 6-12 season around a four-game and six-game winning streak. They are just 4-5 in their last nine, and aren't on the top of their game right now. This is simply too many points and SE Missouri St. stays within the inflated number here.
Game: Florida at New Jersey (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -140 (risk 3 to win 2.1)

The Florida Panthers have been a respectful .500 team on the road this season, but their offense of late has really slowed down to a crawl. The Panthers have managed just five goals in their last four games. They will be facing a Devils’ team that between Marin Brodeur and Scott Clemmenson, have recorded shutouts in three of the last four home games. The Panthers have been an UNDER-producing machine against the NHL Atlantic as they have played UNDER to a mark of 39-18-4 in their last 61. That fits well with the fact that the last seven times these teams have squared off, the UNDER is a perfect 5-0-2. I'll play this one to go UNDER the posted total.

Game: Colorado at New York Rangers (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on New York Rangers -160 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2.5)

There haven’t been a lot of good things happening with this Rangers’ team, who have won just twice in their last 12 times on the ice, yet they are a mid-level favorite here. They have been a very favorable team to get behind in this role as they are now 19-9-1 when favored in the -150 to -200 range. The Avalanche have not been getting it done either, with just six of their last 20 resulting in victory, and just two of those on the road. When they are off a horrible game, losing by three or more goals, they have been a no-show in their next game dropping their last seven. This is a good spot for the Rangers to right the ship, and I'll back them in this one.

Game: Detroit at Nashville (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Nashville +135 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.7)

The defending Stanley Cup Champion Red Wings are at it again with just 13 losses on the season, but nine of those have come on the road. Their recent road play has left a little to be desired as they are just 2-6 in their last eight. They have yielded 30 goals in the eight games, or 3.75 per contest. The Predators have played strong on home ice all season and have won their last two there. The Predators have gone 7-0 facing a team that scored two goals or less in their last game. The Red Wings have been struggling and are now playing their third game in four nights where they have struggled even more - going 1-4 in this situation. We have a live dog here, so I will back the Predators.

Game: Minnesota at Edmonton (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 5 -130 (risk 3 to win 2.3)

The Oilers have been about the same team at home or on the road. Their offense has not produced when needed, until recently where they have averaged three goals a game for their last eight, but have allowed 3.1 over their last 10. The Wild have been nothing to rave about on the offensive end, but something seems to happen to these teams when they square off. Their last 10 games have produced some shootouts, as three of them have seen at least eight goals scored and four others have seen six or more. They have averaged 6.4 goals a game in their last 10 meetings, and the lowest output has been four. This one will go OVER the posted total.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Alatex 20* Az. St. -1.5
Fla St. +1.5
Dayton -3
Miss. ST. -5
Cal +2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Docs

4-Unit Play #505 Take Oklahoma City +7 ½ Over Memphis (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday)

No way the Grizzlies should be favored by this many over anyone, even the Thunder without Durant. The Thunder star rolled his ankle last night in the first quarter against the Mavs but their team still played well on the road and even sent the game into overtime. This Memphis team has lost six straight games and is really struggling. They have only been a favorite of more than six points twice this season and failed to cover both times. The Thunder are 5-2 ATS as a underdog of between six and 7.5 points. OKC has won and covered three of the last four meetings and their lone loss during that stretch was by six points. This is more of a fade of Memphis than a pick on OKC. We think the Grizzlies will likely win a slim one but they have no business laying this kind of chalk.



3-Unit Play #511 Take Sacramento/Utah UNDER 216 (9 p.m. EST, Saturday)

The Kings have been playing under their season average during their last four games, averaging just 97 PPG. We think they are in for a real tough offensive night tonight against a Utah team that has held their last three opponents at home under 90 points. This team gives up just 95 PPG at home this season, which means they are a pretty decent home defense. The Kings play very bad defense and we expect the Jazz to get their points, but in a game that is a likely blowout we feel that those crucial last few minutes for a high total might see the Jazz running out the clock and the refs failing to call fouls. Five of the last seven for the Kings have gone under and their fire sale during the trade deadline has further hurt this offense.



4-Unit Play Take LA Clippers +1 Over Charlotte (10:30 p.m. EST, Saturday)

We think the wrong team is favored here as we had this game capped at Clippers -3. Yes, the Bobcats have been one of the best teams in the NBA against the number, but road favorite is a role they are rarely placed in and one we don’t think they deserve. The Clips finally have their main nucleus of Baron Davis, Marcus Camby and Zach Randolph back on the court and they have played very well in their last two home games, nabbing convincing wins over the defending champs (Celtics) and also Golden State. In the last meeting the Clippers played the Bobcats very close on the road the whole game but had a disastrous fourth quarter. We think they play a full four quarters tonight at home and get the win in front of the home fans.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

igz1 sports

Saturday Action !!
CBB
5* The Citadel -6 (-110)
3* Unc Wilmington +12.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Fairway Jay

2/28/09
CBB
So Mississippi +23 (523)

2/28/09
CBB
Eastern Wash. +4.5 (696)
ANALYSIS:
Last game on the added board and a solid last home game (LHG) situation supporting the home underdog. Eastern Washington’s season is on the line, as they must win this contest to play in the Big Sky Tournament beginning March 7. A loss ends their season altogether, and we’re sure to get a focused and inspired effort. Add in the embarrassing 22-point loss to Portland State five weeks ago along with PSU’s 3rd place position secure and we know which team will be more motivated in this contest. Portland State relies heavily on the 3-point shot, having taken over 400 attempts from the arch in conference play, which is over 100 more than any other Big Sky team. Eastern Washington has 9 of their 12 total victories at home this season while Portland State is just 6-7 on the road and has dropped 4-straight Big Sky road games. Eastern Washington hung on for a needed win last Saturday at home over No. Colorado and coach Kirk Earlywine has stressed the importance of this game. Pressure and must wins can work both ways, but the opponent’s lack of motivation combined with Eastern Washington’s extreme effort should allow the Eagles to prevail with a 4’-point cushion.

2/28/09
CBB
20* Big Drive: TCU +4.5 (644)
ANALYSIS:
Last home game (LHG) for TCU and the Horned Frogs should bring one of their better efforts following eight losses in their last nine games. They get San Diego State at the right time, as the Aztecs have dropped three of their last four games including 4-straight ATS losses. This is also San Diego State’s final road game and the Aztecs are just 4-5 on the road and will be without star forward Billy White (knee) again, the leagues top FG shooter. The Aztecs come off a very disappointing home loss to BYU (a winner for us) in which they blew a 13-point halftime lead but were completely dominated by BYU in the second half. San Diego State lost their shot at a top Mountain West Conference (MWC) finish. With a pair of home games remaining, this does not figure to be a good bounce back spot against a TCU team that is trying to finish with a winning record and fight their way to any post season tournament bid. TCU has gone 10-4 at home and coach Jim Christian is still holding his players accountable despite recent struggles. Senior forward Kevin Langford scores 15ppg and junior center Zvonko Buljan quietly leads the MWC in rebounding despite playing 27 minutes per contest, and he’s been most productive scoring and rebounding his last five games. The Frogs played some pretty solid defense early season and into January, but then started to struggle when their offensive production really fell off which has led to less defensive effort and the prolonged losing. A closer look at their two most recent games shows that TCU held both Wyoming and New Mexico below their season shooting average while battling them on their strong home courts. This last home game situation combined with redemption against a struggling opponent should provide the necessary pride and energy from the Frogs. Those of you that have followed my late season basketball know that we have profited well supporting greater than or equal to .500 home teams off back-to-back losses playing with same season revenge against a winning team. That’s the final support we need to take TCU as our Underdog GOY.

2/28/09
CBB
California +2.5 (650)

2/28/09
CBB
Loyola Marymount +18 (626)

2/28/09
CBB
San Diego +9.5 (618)

2/28/09
CBB
Georgia State +14.5 (569)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

M@linsky added

4 sac/utah under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

teddy june


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Virgina Tech private players club

Kentucky

Oklahoma State

California

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Seabass:

100 Steam Wash U

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Frank Tapani
SATURDAY 200 DIME

DREXEL

"I am from South Philly and I have been watching Drexel all year. I've attended 10 of their home games this year alone. To say I know this team is an understatement. I was waiting for the line on this match up since the beginning of the year."

"Regardless of where my bankroll is at for the month, this was going to be a huge play for me but when I got the exact line I was looking for, I can't pass up a money making opportunity."

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Docs

6* dayton

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

NSA's Selection
CBB 20* Arizona St -1.5
CBB 10* Wisc Green Bay +2
CBB 10* Villanova -6
CBB 10* Washington -7.5
CBB 10* Virginia Tech +6
NBA 10* Miami -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Seabass

300 Vandy
100 BYU, Wyo
50, Cal, IndSt, GaSt, Bradley

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

Kelso

25 Pitt -10
10 Troy -3.5
5 Ind St --3
3 Richmond -7
5 76ers +2
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-28-09

ASA 10* Midwest game of year.......
Purdue