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Re: 2-28-09
CTO
11* TX AM
10* G Mason
10* N Western
CTO
11* TX AM
10* G Mason
10* N Western
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Re: 2-28-09
Rocketman Sports
UCLA
Rocketman
Southern Miss @ Memphis
Play:3* Southern Miss +23
Southern Miss is 9-2 ATS last 3 years against good defensive teams allowing 64 points per game or less after 15 or more game. Southern Miss is 13-4 ATS last 3 years against good defensive teams allowing 64 points per game or less. Golden Eagles are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater. My four sets of power ratings have Memphis winning by only 10.19, 23, 22.27 and 17 points. We'll play Southern Miss for 3 units today!Comment
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Re: 2-28-09
The real animal
Pick title: 3* Dayton -3
Pick Date: 02/28/2009
Pick description:
Great spot for Dayton off two road defeats including a two-point loss at Rhode Island this week. The Flyers are a perfect 16-0 at home this year and close out the regular season with Duquesne next Saturday. I went against Temple on February 13th against St. Joes and a very unlikely 18-0 run by the Owls enabled them to win by just two points in the end. What I love here is the Dayton defense at home allowing just 54 points a game. Curiously Dayton was off back-to-back losses last year when they beat Temple 77-66 on their home floor. Of course that Dayton squad wasn't 23-5 on the year like this season and needed three consecutive wins to end the regular season just to make the NIT. Dayton already owns double-digit home wins over Xavier and St. Joes at home. Dayton is 10-1 ATS their last 11 at home when coming off a SU road loss as an underdog.Comment
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Re: 2-28-09
John Ryan - NHL
Ryan’s 1st NHL 15* Graded Play of the Year
Money Line: 135 Montreal Canadiens
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Montreal as they host San Jose slated to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 79-25 for 76% winners and has made 45.7 units since 1996. Play against any team against the money line and is an extremely tired team playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the second half of the season. Here is another system that has gone 156-159 for just 49.5% winners, but has made a whopping 53.3 units exploiting false favorites with the average play a +136 DOG. Play against a favorite against the money line that is a tired team playing their 4th game in 7 days and with the game taking place in February. San Jose is just 2-7 against the money line (-11.5 Units) against good offensive teams averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season; 3-8 against the money line (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season. Sa Jose looks to be quite tired as well and it reflects on the scoreboard. Although they have won 5 of their last 6 they have scored just 4 goals in 2 of these games. They have scored just 7 goals over their last 4 games. Montreal is playing very strong offense and has averaged 4 goals per game in their last 4 games. San Jose has one of the best PP units in the game, but Montreal can more than offset that strength with their 9th best PP killing unit. Take Montreal.Comment
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Re: 2-28-09
VERNON CROY
NBA Smash of the Month
New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
Play: NY Knicks +6
20 Units, Take the NY Knicks ATS, The Knicks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games as a dog of +5.0 to +10.5 and they are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record at home. The Knicks have owned the Heat winning 6 of their last 7 games against them and the Heat are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on back to back days. The Heat are just 1-6 ATS when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and they are just 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against an Atlantic division opponent. The Heat are just 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games when favored by -5.0 to -10.5 points and the Knicks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a road dog. The Knicks are 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS against a Southeast Division opponent this season and they are a perfect 3-0 ATS this season after playing 3 consecutive home games. The Knicks are averaging 112.4 ppg over their last 5 games while the Heat are averaging just 97.2 ppg. Take the NY Knicks as my NBA Smash of the Month since I have them covering hands down tonight on the road.
NHL Game of the Year
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators
Play: Ottawa -145
25 Units, Take Ottawa ML, The Senators although they have struggled this season are the superior overall team here Saturday night and this game should not be close. The Leafs are just 1-5 in the 3rd game in a 4 night situation and the Senators are 7-1 in their last 8 games when favored by -110 to -150 at home. The Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing record and the Leafs are just 1-5 after scoring 5 or more goals in their previous game. The Leafs are just 4-11 in their last 15 trips to Ottawa and the home team is 7-3 in the last 10 games between these two teams. The Leafs have allowed an average of 3.8 goals per game on the road this season and they have had trouble killing penalties on the road with their opponents converting at 22.9% on the powerplay. Take Ottawa as my NHL Game of the Year.
NCAAB Slam Dunk of the Week
Milwaukee vs. Detroit U
Play: Detroit +2
20 Units, Take Detroit ATS, This pick falls into one of my top CBB systems and the Panthers have struggled on the road this season with a 2-11 SU record. The Panthers are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games and the dog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 games between these two teams. The Panthers are just 9-33 SU in their last 42 road games and they have been out-scored by an average of 7.2 ppg on the road this season. The Panthers are shooting just 38.1% as a team over their last 5 games and the Titans are shooting 44.9% at home this season. The Titans have held their opponents to just 61.9 ppg at home while the Panthers opponents are averaging 71.1 ppg against them on the road this season. This is the same Detroit team that lost by just 5 points against the #1 Horizon Team (Butler) in their 3rd last home game and I look for them to end their 5 game losing streak today. Grab the points with Detroit as my NCAAB Slam Dunk of the Week.
SEC Bookie Buster of the Year
LSU vs. Kentucky
Play:Kentucky -4.5
25 Units, Take Kentucky ATS, This pick falls into one of my elite CBB systems and LSU has not beat the Wildcats at Rupp Arena since they pulled out a 64-62 win over 20 years ago in 1989. The Wildcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after failing to cover in their previous game and Kentucky is simply the better overall team at home today. The Wildcats are shooting 50.4% as a team at home this season while averaging 79.9 ppg and out-scoring their opponents by an average of 15.3 ppg. Kentucky has played solid defensively at home with opponents shooting just 37.6% against them while averaging just 64.6 ppg and the Wildcats have out-rebounded their opponents by an average of 8.3 rebounds per game at home this season. Kentucky is also the better FT shooting team at home today where they are shooting 77% from the line compared to LSU who is shooting just 66.7% from the line on the road this season. I look for Jodie Meeks who is averaging 25.1 ppg to have a huge game at home for the Wildcats today as they bounce back big after losing on the road to the Gamecocks. Take Kentucky as my SEC Bookie Buster of the Year.Comment
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Re: 2-28-09
INDIAN COWBOY
Play: *2 Units. #508. Take the Chicago Bulls -1 over Houston Rockets (Saturday @ 8:30pm est). (POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: *2 Units. #508. Take the Chicago Bulls -1 over Houston Rockets (Saturday @ 8:30pm est). We had a letdown yesterday as the Timberwolves barely even show up as despite we hit the CBB 5* GOM with Rider, we failed to cash in the NBA GOM. That brings the 5* Lifetime to 31-8 Now. The news is that we will end with a winning month of February, albeit small. We are up overall +10 units in Hoops with college ball as our saving grace. Let's cash today in the Association as well as in college to close the month up double-digits units. A bit of a let down from the +66 units in January, but it's much better than losing money. I feel good as we look ahead to Saturday Night's contest with the Bulls against the Rockets. Getting the Bulls at this price is solid. Look, this team comes off an embarrassing loss to one of the duds in the league in Washington (although Washington might be game at Milwaukee today) and they will look to bounce-back at home. Do you remember the last time Chicago was at home? They took care of business against the Magic. Why can they not do that here at home? With 66% of the public favoring Houston and the line moving in favor of Chicago, this is an indicator that money is coming in on the Bulls. And, remember, the Bulls have revenge from a 7 point loss earlier this year at Houston. Houston had McGrady that game but they will not have him tonight or most of the season. Yes, Houston is a good team. But, on the road, they are a bit different as their offense defense more than they want it to on Rafer Alston. I do love the fact that Houston comes off a monster win over the Cavs on primetime TNT only to face a Bulls team that comes off a terrible loss to Washington. This is a Saturday night game. The Bulls are ticked. They have revenge. They return home with that revenge. The Rockets have the backing of 66% of the public only to come off a very public nationally televised win which means they are prime for a let down here. When the Bulls played Orlando at home, they had double-figures from 7 players and frankly, they are good enough to put up double-digits from 8 players. This game will be lower scoring than the Magic game, but will be prototypical of that game. Remember, the Bulls feature constant scoring threats with the likes of Deng, Rose, Gordon, Hinrich, Salmons, Miller, Noah and Tim Thomas. The Bulls can play folks and they will be prime for a big game against the Rockets with revenge following an ugly loss. The Bulls are 6-1 ATS following a straight up loss and the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Play: 2 Unit Play. #558. Take Purdue -9.5 over Ohio State (Saturday @ 4pm est).
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: *2 Unit Play. #558. Take Purdue -9.5 over Ohio State (Saturday @ 4pm est). We fell a few points short with our total yesterday and that brings us to 3-2 in cbb this week. All in all, it is our CBB that has helped us secure a winning month gaining +15 units as we gained an overall +10 units in the month of February. A bit of a letdown if you ask me from +66 in January. But, that's where money management comes into play and why it's great to have the Guarantee that we have with the service as I simply work until we make you money before you re-up. That's the confidence we have as we stay patient and plug ahead. Let's end the note in double-digit units of profit as we cheer on the Boilermakers at home against Ohio State. Yes, this is a lot of points and I nearly went with the hot Panthers of Georgia State to cover the big number against VCU. But, I'd rather roll with Purdue at home. This is similar to the Cavs in some ways against the Spurs in the NBA. The Cavs came off a tough TV loss only to bounce-back nicely and win the next time around in easy fashion against the Spurs on the road. Well, we have Purdue here, who come off a tough loss at Michigan and who continued to play hard the whole way. That was a must win revenge game for Michigan. For Purdue, this is a revenge game. They lost to Ohio State on the road earlier this year in OT 72-80. You don't think Purdue remembers that loss? Purdue does have Hummel back and has been able to beat the likes of Michigan State at home by 18, Penn State by 14, Michigan by 18, Iowa by 22 and Wisconsin by 13. So, is it all that impossible they don't lay the wood on Ohio State with revenge at home? This game will be televised and I think Purdue can blast them to a 15 digit or better win here. Remember, Purdue gets calls at home and I think this game will be similar to when Ohio State lost by 18 to Illinois on the road. Furthermore, whenever 60% of the public rides a public dog, usually that is a reason to question the dog to begin with. I think this game starts out somewhat tight and then Purdue has a big second half as they have done at home for the most part of this year. Purdue 70, Ohio State 55.Comment
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