Friday 5/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Pimlico Hotlist - May 19

May. 18, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $60,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 11:30 AM ET
BEST BET: #13 BATTLE OF NORMANDY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	13	Battle of Normandy	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	7-2	5	Evan Harlan	J Rosario
SHOW	12-1	4	Monjid	F Geroux
WILD CARD	5-1	1	O Captain	F Lynch
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	3	Prowling Tiger	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	50-1	7	Collection Day	J Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 13-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/13 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #2 $64,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	5	Going to the Lead	J Rodriguez
PLACE	2-1	7	Cees Get Degrees	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	5-2	4	Ruggs	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Holy Synchronicity	J C Alvelo
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	1	Saffas Day	J Barbosa
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Outkissed	X Perez
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
RACE #3 $57,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #14 PARISH BELLE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	14	Parish Belle	J Rodriguez
PLACE	7-2	1	Up for It	J Toledo
SHOW	4-1	2	Watch This Birdie	V Cheminaud
WILD CARD	3-1	12	Lady Wildcat	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	11	Caroline Krystyna	C Cedeno
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	16	Roman Goddess	I Ortiz Jr.
* EXACTA: 14-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/14 BOX, 1/2/12 BOX
RACE #4 $100,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:02 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 DISTAFF STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	1-1	2	Interstatedaydream	F Geroux
PLACE	5-2	6	Falconet	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	12-1	5	Misty Veil	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	7-2	1	Le Da Vida	V Cheminaud
ALTERNATE 1	30-1	4	Misty Mauve	J Rosado
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Butterbean	F Prat
* EXACTA: 2,6/1,2,5,6
* TRIFECTA: 2/5,6/ALL
COMMENTS: INTERSTATEDAYDREAM finished in the money in eight of nine races and returns to Pimlico where she ran her best race. FALCONET tends to run well in her first starts after a layoff but can hang late. MISTY VEIL ran faster early fractions last out which can be a sign of an improving horse. LE DA VIDA has her best shot to win if the pace is quicker than expected as she has explosive late pop at times.
RACE #5 $64,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Above the Limit	A Concepcion
PLACE	5-2	6	American Starlet	J R Velazquez
SHOW	8-1	8	Whiteknuckleflyer	J Barbosa
WILD CARD	15-1	2	Bandits Warrior	X Perez
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	7	Roses for Debra	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	9	Golden Can	J Toledo
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
RACE #6 $60,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 ROYAL WHISPER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1	Royal Whisper	J Toledo
PLACE	8-1	2	Hidewright Away	J Barbosa
SHOW	9-2	7	Liquidator	T Lyapustina
WILD CARD	6-1	3	Italian Dressing	A Cruz
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	8	Continentalcongres	J Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	4	And Whistle	C E Lopez
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
RACE #7 $64,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:34 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	12	Kings Honor	F Boyce
PLACE	4-1	4	Chulainn	M Franco
SHOW	15-1	8	B Determined	J Toledo
WILD CARD	5-2	5	Shadow Sphinx	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	7	Cannons Roar	J Barbosa
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	13	Tom Hagen	S Russell
* EXACTA: 12-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/12 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
RACE #8 $60,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	6	Johnyz From Albany	J Ruiz
PLACE	7-5	2	Fort Warren	S Russell
SHOW	10-1	3	Heldish	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	15-1	7	Contempt	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Cartographer	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1A	Indybound	J Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:36 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 THE VERY ONE STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	4	Can the Queen	V R Carrasco
PLACE	9-2	8	Spicy Marg	J R Velazquez
SHOW	6-1	5	Thundering Creed	J Rocco Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	9	Her World	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	2	Train to Artemus	P Lopez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Spun Glass	F Lynch
* EXACTA: 4,5,8,9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4,5,8,9 BOX
COMMENTS: CAN THE QUEEN has been working well for her first race since October and is one for one on an off track if it is moved of grass. SPICY MARG is also coming off an extended break and has a good series of works getting ready. THUNDERING CREED will try to put her strong late legs to work in a race that appears to have a lot of early speed. HER WORLDs trainer and jockey combo of Irad Ortiz and Wesley Ward won five of 11 together.
RACE #10 $150,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:07 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 MISS PREAKNESS STAKES GRADE III
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	1-1	2	Key of Life	F Prat
PLACE	8-5	6	Maple Leaf Mel	J Rosario
SHOW	15-1	3	Happy Clouds	A Bocachica
WILD CARD	8-1	4	Afternoon Tea	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Topsy	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	7	Bound by Destiny	S Russell
* EXACTA: 2,6/2,3,6
* TRIFECTA: 2,6/2,3,6/2,3,4,5,6,7
COMMENTS: KEY OF LIFE won four of five with a third at the distance. MAPLE LEAF MEL ran the highest last race speed figure and usually makes a strong mid move. HAPPY CLOUDS is a live longshot as she be close to the pace here and has enough late octane to pass tiring speed. AFTERNOON TEA upped her pace numbers from gate to wire in her second career start and would be a major threat with similar improvement today.
RACE #11 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:38 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 HILLTOPS STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	3	Aspray	F Prat
PLACE	5-1	11	Well Into	L Saez
SHOW	2-1	1	Breath Away	J Rosario
WILD CARD	6-1	8	Up and Down	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	2	Aunt Shirley	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	9	Miss New York	P Lopez
* EXACTA: 1,3,8,11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,3,11/1,3,8,11/1,2,3,8,9,11
COMMENTS: ASPRAY has been the heavy favorite in both of her races winning them with ease. WELL INTO ran the highest last race speed figure and drops in class which is a combo we like. BREATH AWAY is undefeated in her two starts at the distance. UP AND DOWN has room to improve in her second start off the sidelines and second race with Lasix.
RACE #12 $250,000 STAKES 1 3/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 PIMLICO SPECIAL STAKES GRADE III
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Law Professor	M Franco
PLACE	9-5	2	Rattle N Roll	F Prat
SHOW	15-1	4	Armando R	H Karamanos
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Speed Bias	L Saez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Kuchar	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Clapton	E Jaramillo
* EXACTA: 2,4,5,7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,5/2,4,5,7/1,2,3,4,5,7
COMMENTS: LAW PROFESSOR upped his in race numbers from start to finish in his last outing. RATTLE N ROLL should be close to his best in the third race after a layoff. ARMANDO R could be a live longshot as his late pace is outstanding and he should not be too far from the front with this group. SPEED BIAS is not that far from winning four of his last five efforts. A solid workout between races says he will win another good one here.
RACE #13 $300,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 BLACK EYED SUSAN STAKES GRADE II
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	9	Faiza	F Prat
PLACE	6-1	4	Merlazza	F Geroux
SHOW	8-1	8	Balpool	M Franco
WILD CARD	12-1	7	Comparative	L Saez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Miracle	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	10	Taxed	R Bejarano
* EXACTA: 4,7,8,9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/4,7,8/4,5,7,8,10
COMMENTS: FAIZA ran the highest last race speed figure winning the Grade II Santa Anita Oaks. MERLAZZA should get close to an ideal trip with her running style with this group. BALPOOLs last race was even better than it looks on paper running two seconds faster than her prior outing. COMPARATIVE is a horse on the upswing and her workouts say the trend will continue.
RACE #14 $36,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:23 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	10	S. Muffin	J Toledo
PLACE	10-1	4	Mission Man	M Rowland
SHOW	5-1	16	Alibi Ike	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	9-2	6	Certain	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	2	Covert Kat	A Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	9	Theolovesawinner	J Ruiz
* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-16 BOX, 16-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/10/16 BOX, 4/6/16 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 19

May. 18, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (3) Deboisblanc is a firster from Cox who should handle this field. (4) Sapphire Nights might be more competitive in her second start. (8) Green Chile may improve with blinkers. (7) You’re Forever could be a factor in her debut. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-7-8. Doubles: 3-4-7-8 with 1-5-6. Pick 3: 3-4-7-8 with 1-5-6 with 1-2-4-9.
2nd race – (1) Dazzling Blue has been away since December but is working smartly for her debut. (5) Back to Ohio has been absent since October but must be respected off three straight wins. (6) Sunday Shoes will be dangerous if she makes a smooth switch to dirt. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6. Doubles: 1-5-6 with 1-2-4-9.
3rd race – (1) Tx Women for Arts seems poised to win at first asking. (2) Hi’aika is another firster who seems to have potential. (4) V V’s Dream cannot be dismissed here. (9) Titania’s Dream may last for a share. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-9.
8th race – (11) Price Talk should thrive while returning to turf. (7) Stolen Base could perk up back on turf. (4) Hidden Stash should pose a late threat in this field. (2) Henley’s Joy was bumped late last time and deserves a second chance. Betting strategy: 11 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-7-11. 10th race – (7) Pledgeofallegiance missed by a neck last time and should make amends here. (3) Aeronaut might respond to the turf to dirt switch. (8) Retained has speed and could be tough to catch. (6) Supremely will be a contender on his best try. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-7-8.

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Belmont Park Hotlist - May 19

May. 18, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1^st race [Md 20000, 1 1/16 mi] – (7) Jeter and Judge was sent off at 4-1 in his debut at Tampa Bay Downs on the turf and gets the blinkers on while dropping in class and moving to the main track. (8) Bold Honor was second last month at Aqueduct going seven-furlongs. This field is lacking in early speed which may give him the chance to get to the lead from the outside post going one turn. (1) Old Point was claimed two races back, tried the grass in his first start for Linda Rice, and now moves back to the main track where he finished second twice. (6) Steady Progress brings plenty of experience at this level into the race.
2^nd race [Clm 25000 N2L, 1 mi] – (4) Chasing Daylight had one race this year after winning her debut last year. She ran in a state-bred allowance in April and could be on the lead in this claimer against open company. (3) Hypnocurrency was third in a starter allowance two races back. (1) Susie’s Saver will return to the main track after four turf starts recently. She did break her maiden in December on the dirt for a $40,000 tag. (5) Mursal got her victory for $50,000 and has been racing against better on the grass.
5^th race [NY, Md 40000, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (2) October Bliss made a big improvement in his first start on the grass when he pressed the pace, got the lead, and finished second. (8) Maythisbetheone made his first start of the year on the grass and finished third behind the top choice. (5) Myles will be forwardly placed after setting the pace in the race with the first two horses described. (9) Awesome Force gets blinkers on as he drops into a maiden claimer for the first time.
7^th race [Alw 95000 N1X, 6F] – (9) Who Hoo Thats Me won a top-level allowance for NY-breds at Aqueduct in January and returns from that race still eligible for the first-level allowance against open company. (1) Romantic Gamble has four wins on dirt tracks and a fast pace is expected which should aid his closing style. (3) Digital Future was a late-running winner of a $25,000 claimer last month at Aqueduct. (4) Varatti has been away for almost a year and was a debut winner for Todd Pletcher.
Best bets: Chasing Daylight (2^nd); October Bliss (5^th). Best value: Jeter and Judge (1^st); Who Hoo That’s Me (7^th).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday’s 6-pack

— Florida 3, Carolina 2 (4 OT’s)— 6th-longest game in NHL history.
— Nuggets 108, Lakers 103— Jamal Murray scored 37 points, 23 in 4th quarter alone.
— Cardinals 16, Dodgers 8— Willson Contreras hit two homers, had 6 RBI
— Angels 6, Orioles 5— Halos scored twice in 8th inning.
— Mets 3, Rays 2— Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
— Marlins 5, Nationals 3— Miami is 23-21; right now, they’re the last NL playoff team.

Quote of the Day
“I do know the play-in helped. There are far less teams tanking. Everyone was fighting for it those last two months. Every game was must-see TV and that was in both conferences. So I think [for] the league, that’s probably the best thing that’s happened in the last decade.”
Miami Heat coach Erik Spoelstra

Friday’s quiz
What team did Paul Goldschmidt break into the big leagues with?

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie The Replacements, Jack Warden played the owner of the Washington Sentinels.

Wednesday’s quiz
Denver Nuggets have always called Denver home, but they became the Nuggets in 1975, their 8th year in existence. They were the Denver Rockets their first seven years in the ABA.

**************************************************

Friday’s Den: 13 of my favorite sports-related movies…….

13) Rocky— The original was a true classic; a journeyman boxer gets a chance to fight for the heavyweight title, and makes the most of it. 40 years later, tourists who come to Philadelphia still pose for pictures near the Rocky statue.

12) Bull Durham— Kevin Costner is a minor league catcher who is brought in to mentor a hot-shot pitching prospect. Robert Wuhl is the pitching coach, Susan Sarandon mentors the prospect off the field.

11) Draft Day— Costner does lot of sports movies; he is GM of the Cleveland Browns in this one, Denis Leary is the Browns’ coach.

The year this movie came out, NFL pushed back the draft so the movie could be promoted more, but Radio City Music Hall wasn’t available for the later date, which is why they started moving the draft around the country. Sometimes great ideas happen by accident.

10) Major League— Bob Uecker should’ve won an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor for his role as Indians’ radio announcer Harry Doyle.

9) Friday Night Lights— Billy Bob Thornton is a high school football coach in west Texas, where they take high school football very seriously.

8) One on One— Robby Benson is a hotshot high school basketball player who gets recruited by a big-time college team, then finds himself in over his head.

7) For Love of the Game— Kevin Costner is a star pitcher for the Tigers who is at the end of his career; he has flashbacks throughout his last game.

Detroit’s manager in this movie is JK Simmons, who is a Tigers fan in real life; New York’s manager is the late Augie Garrido, one of the all-time great college baseball coaches.

6) Any Given Sunday— Al Pacino is a pro football coach whose team is struggling; Cameron Diaz is the owner, Dennis Quaid, Jamie Foxx are two of the QB’s.

Miami Sharks play against four teams in the movie, all coached by NFL Hall of Famers.

5) Invincible— True story about Vince Papale, a 30-year old bartender who tries out for the 1976 Philadelphia Eagles and makes the squad as a special teams player.

4) Fast Break— Gabe Kaplan manages a New York City deli until he applies for a job as a college basketball coach in Nevada. Bernard King, Michael Warren are two of his players; another one is a girl disguised as a guy.

3) Blue Chips— Nick Nolte is a college basketball coach who used to win a lot; in order to start winning again, he has to decide whether to break the recruiting rules or not.

Bob Cousy is the AD; Shaquille O’Neal, Penny Hardaway are two of the recruits. Lot of cameos from basketball people; Jerry Tarkanian, Jim Boeheim, Rick Pitino, Dick Vitale.

2) Moneyball— Beginning isn’t very good, the end sucks, but I’m an A’s fan and this movie is about how the 2003 A’s put together a team that won 20 games in a row, made the playoffs.

Only really bad thing about this movie is they made skipper Art Howe look like a bad manager, and he was anything but— you don’t win 20 games in a row by accident.

1) American Underdog— Kurt Warner’s story had to become a movie; he played in NFL Europe, worked in a supermarket, played in the Arena League, then became an NFL Hall of Famer. It is such an improbable movie that it would seem ridiculous, except we know it is true.

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MLB
Weather Report

Friday, May 19

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MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, May 19

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MLB

Friday, May 19

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Trend Report
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 19

National League
Arizona (25-19) @ Pittsburgh (23-20)
— Gallen is 6-0, 1.16 in his last seven starts.
— Arizona is 7-2 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He is 1-1, 1.38 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Arizona won five of its last six games.
— Arizona is 11-9 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 13-44
— record in first 5 innings: 18-16-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3.2-x

— Oviedo is 0-2, 10.19 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 3-5 in his starts.
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 4.1 IP in his one start vs Arizona

— Pirates lost 12 of last 15 games.
— Pittsburgh is 10-9 at home.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 13-43
— record in first 5 innings: 20-15-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-x

Cubs (19-24) @ Philadelphia (20-23)
— Stroman is 0-3, 5.54 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 3-6 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-4
— He is 5-4, 2.34 in ten starts vs Philadelphia.

— Cubs are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
— Chicago is 8-13 on the road.
— over 9-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-43
— record in first 5 innings: 17-17-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-x

— Suarez allowed 3 runs in 4 IP (72 PT) in his first ‘23 start.
— Phillies are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-1, 2.40 in four games (2 starts) vs Chicago.

— Phillies lost their last four games.
— Phillies are 11-7 at home.
— under 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 12-43
— record in first 5 innings: 17-22-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-7.1-x

Los Angeles (28-17) @ St Louis (19-26)
— Gonsolin is 1-1, 2.84 in four starts.
— Dodgers are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-0, 3.86 in three starts against St Louis.

— Dodgers won 19 of last 26 games.
— Dodgers are 11-10 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 20-45
— record in first 5 innings: 22-17-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-8-5

— Matz is 0-4, 5.58 in eight starts.
— Cardinals are 2-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-2
— He is 3-1, 3.68 in five starts vs Los Angeles.

— Cardinals won nine of their last 11 games.
— Cardinals are 9-14 at home.
— over 10-4-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-45
— record in first 5 innings: 16-20-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-3.1

Miami (23-21) @ San Francisco (19-23)
— Alcantara is 0-4, 6.63 in his last six starts.
— Marlins are 2-6 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5
— He is 1-2, 2.43 in six starts vs San Francisco.

— Miami is 6-2 in its last eight games.
— Marlins are 9-10 on the road.
— over 7-4 last eleven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-44
— record in first 5 innings: 17-19-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4

— DeSclafani is 0-2, 6.00 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 at home
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3
— He is 2-2, 2.97 in six starts vs Miami.

— Giants won their last three games.
— San Francisco is 13-10 at home.
— under 6-4 last 10 home games
— scored run in first inning: 15-43
— record in first 5 innings: 19-13-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-5.2-x

American League
Baltimore (28-16) @ Toronto (25-19)
— Gibson is 0-3, 6.11 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 5-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5
— He is 5-2, 4.81 in 11 starts vs Toronto

— Orioles are 11-7 in their last 18 games.
— Baltimore is 11-5 in last 16 home games.
— under 6-3-2 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 8-44
— record in first 5 innings: 21-16-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-4

— Kikuchi is 1-0, 6.14 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 7-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2
— He is 3-4, 6.37 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Toronto is 1-3 in its last four games.
— Blue Jays are 13-6 at home.
— over 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-44
— record in first 5 innings: 18-16-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2.1

Kansas City (14-31) @ White Sox (16-29)
— Greinke is 1-1, 6.23 in his last six starts.
— White Sox are 3-6 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He is 10-10, 3.84 in 29 starts vs Chicago

— Royals are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Royals are 8-14 on the road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 18-47
— record in first 5 innings: 12-27-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-x

— Kopech is 1-2, 4.43 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 3-5 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He is 0-1, 5.47 in 10 games (4 starts) vs Kansas City.

— Chicago is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— White Sox are 9-13 at home.
— under 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 11-45
— record in first 5 innings: 16-23-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2.2

Oakland (10-35) @ Houston (24-19)
— Waldichuk is 1-0, 6.86 in his last four starts.
— Oakland won his last four starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 2.2 IP, in his one start vs Houston.

— A’s are 5-17 in their last 22 games.
— Oakland is 5-15 on the road.
— over 6-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 14-45
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-28-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-x

— Bielak is 0-1, 3.72 in two starts.
— Astros are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 1-1, 4.66 in four games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Astros are 7-1 in their last eight games.
— Houston is 11-11 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 16-43
— record in first 5 innings: 19-14-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.1-x

Minnesota (24-20) @ LA Angels (23-22)
— Ryan is 2-1, 1.44 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 6-2 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-3
— He allowed 3 runs in 4 IP, in his one start against the Angels.

— Twins are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Minnesota is 10-12 on road
— over 5-1 last six
— scored run in first inning: 11-44
— record in first 5 innings: 18-18-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-x

— Detmers is 0-3, 5.68 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 0-1, 6.00 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Angels are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Angels are 10-9 at home.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-45
— record in first 5 innings: 21-17-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2.1-4

Interleague games
Milwaukee (24-19) @ Tampa Bay (32-13)
— Houser is 0-0, 5.19 in two starts.
— Brewers are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Milwaukee is 11-11 on road.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 11-43
— record in first 5 innings: 18-19-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-2-x

— McClanahan is 3-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 8-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 9-0
— He hasn’t pitched vs Milwaukee.

— Tampa Bay is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Rays are 19-3 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 19-45
— record in first 5 innings: 30-12-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4.1-3

New York (26-20) @ Cincinnati (19-24)
— Schmidt is 1-4, 7.06 in his last six starts.
— New York is 3-6 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-3
— He hasn’t pitched vs Cincinnati.

— New York is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
— Bronx is 10-10 on the road.
— over 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-46
— record in first 5 innings: 22-15-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-3

— bullpen game

— Reds are 7-7 in their last fourteen games.
— Cincinnati is 6-3 in its last nine home games.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 14-43
— record in first 5 innings: 15-20-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-x

Detroit (19-22) @ Washington (18-26)
— Boyd is 1-2, 10.38 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 4-3 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched vs Washington.

— Detroit is 9-5 in its last 14 games.
— Tigers are 9-12 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 12-41
— record in first 5 innings: 12-21-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-4

— Irvin is 1-1, 4.11 in three starts.
— Nationals are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Nationals are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Washington is 8-14 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 13-44
— record in first 5 innings: 18-22-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-2.1-2

Cleveland (20-23) @ NY Mets (22-23)
— Quantrill is 1-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 4.1 IP, in his one start vs New York.

— Guardians are 7-10 in their last 17 games.
— Cleveland is 11-11 on road.
— under 9-2-1 last dozen road games
— scored run in first inning: 14-43
— record in first 5 innings: 16-18-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.2-3.1

— Carrasco is 0-2, 8.56 in three starts (last start April 15).
— Mets are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He pitched for Cleveland from 2009-20.
— He hasn’t pitched against his old team.

— Mets are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Mets are 9-9 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-45
— record in first 5 innings: 18-24-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3

Seattle (21-22) @ Atlanta (27-16)
— Miller is 2-0, 0.47 in three starts.
— Mariners are 3-0 in his starts
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Seattle lost three of its last four games.
— Mariners are 11-10 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 12-43
— record in first 5 innings: 20-16-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-7.1

— Elder is 1-0, 1.56 in his last three starts.
— Atlanta is 6-2 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Atlanta lost five of its last seven games.
— Braves are 10-9 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 17-43
— record in first 5 innings: 27-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-4

Colorado (19-25) @ Texas (26-17)
— Colorado hasn’t named a starter

— Rockies won 11 of last 16 games.
— Colorado is 9-13 on road.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-44
— record in first 5 innings: 15-19-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-x

— Perez is 0-0, 11.42 in his last two starts.
— Texas is 5-3 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1
— He is 1-2, 4.05 in five starts vs Colorado.

— Texas won 12 of its last 18 games.
— Rangers are 13-8 at home.
— over 6-0 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-43
— record in first 5 innings: 28-12-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-x

Boston (24-20) @ San Diego (20-24)
— Paxt0n allowed 2 runs in 5 IP (87 PT) in his first ‘23 start.
— Red Sox are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-1, 1.98 in three starts vs San Diego.

— Red Sox lost six of their last nine games.
— Boston is 9-9 on the road.
— over 18-7-1 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-44
— record in first 5 innings: 17-22-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-4

— Snell is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 1-7 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7
— He is 7-3, 2.59 in 12 starts vs Boston.

— Padres are 2-9 in their last eleven games.
— San Diego is 11-13 at home
— under 17-4-2 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-44
— record in first 5 innings: 18-22-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-7-4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, May 19