Saturday 6/3/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358257

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 3 - Allowance - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 86

    QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE AT THE MEET. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 7 CHARLIES FURY 3/1
    # 6 NSM PARKS CANDY GIRL 6/1
    # 10 IM A FANCEE CHIK 4/1
    I have to consider CHARLIES FURY here. Will make a strong performance versus this field of horses. Has been running in the most competitive company of the field recently. Has run solidly when racing a short race. NSM PARKS CANDY GIRL - Is a definite contender - given the 77 speed figure from her most recent race. Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in short races make this animal a contender. IM A FANCEE CHIK - This filly could improve on Lasix. Will probably be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the halfway point of the contest.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358257

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      PURCHASE


      Churchill Downs - Race #2 - Post: 1:14pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $58,000 Class Rating: 80

      Rating:

      #6 GRACEFUL UNION (ML=5/1)
      #4 WHAT'S TO DO (ML=3/1)
      #5 TWO WORDS (ML=6/1)
      #2 MISS ANALYZED (ML=10/1)


      GRACEFUL UNION - You always have to be on the watch for bankroll building jockey/conditioner tandems; we have one right here. This horse coming off a sharp performance in the last month is a strong challenger in my humble opinion. WHAT'S TO DO - Faced tougher last out at Churchill Downs. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of probable winners in this race. This jock/conditioner duo has been producing a very favorable ROI, right at +41. This filly garnered a good rating of 80 in her last contest. That speed rating should be strong enough to score this time. Leading into this race, this racer has recorded three speed ratings that are equal to or higher than today's class rating. What that tells me is she should compete well in this event. Have to forget about that last race on the turf. This filly should do better hitting the main track today. TWO WORDS - Blair drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping data to think this thoroughbred has a good chance at this level. MISS ANALYZED - Last ran at Churchill Downs and finished fourth. Reviewing her PP data, I see she was close at the end, within five of the winner. I like that latest contest on May 13th at Churchill Downs where she ran fourth.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #3 EXCLUSIVE JONI (ML=4/1), #9 SHE'S MAGIC (ML=5/1), #1 MAGIC PALACE (ML=6/1),

      EXCLUSIVE JONI - This filly registered a speed figure in her last event which likely isn't good enough today. SHE'S MAGIC - Recorded a common rating last time out in a Maiden Special race on April 29th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure. MAGIC PALACE - 6/1 is just not enough of a value to take on most any entrant that has run poorly in back to back efforts.

      GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - GRACEFUL UNION - Pouring over thousands of records has given me insight into this type of horse. With her front running pace, this one may be unchallenged.




      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #6 GRACEFUL UNION to win if you can get odds of 6/1 or more
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,6]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      None
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

      SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:
      Pass

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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358257

        #18
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

        PURCHASE
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 5 - Stakes - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 94

        GEORGE ROYAL S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION BY MIDNIGHT SATURDAY, MAY 27, 2023 WITH AN ADDITIONAL $750 TO ENTER AND $1,000 TO START. $50,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH 55% GOES TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH AND 4% TO FIFTH, AND 2% TO SIXTH THROUGH EIGHTH, FINISHERS NINETH THROUGH ELEVENTH WILL

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 3 CASCADE BILLY 2/1
        # 1 BIG UNION 8/1
        # 4 SET TO SHINE 8/1
        CASCADE BILLY looks to be a formidable contender. May best this group here, showing very strong figures of late. Appears to have a quite good class edge based on the most recent company kept. Is worth thinking about and may be a bet - strong Speed Figures (92 average) at today's distance and surface lately. BIG UNION - Ran a strong last race. SET TO SHINE - Looks to have a quite good class edge based on the most recent company kept. No strangers to the winner's circle, Heads and Reyes should have this horse breaking away from the field.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358257

          #19
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

          PURCHASE


          Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 2:23pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 92

          Rating:

          #3 STORMIN GALILEO (ML=4/1)
          #1 SUGAR BEETS (ML=9/5)
          #5 SPEED GRAZY (ML=2/1)


          STORMIN GALILEO - The rest of the field may trail this horse all the way around the track. SUGAR BEETS - Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. Ayuso comes to get aboard after getting to know the gelding in the last race. This gelding is in first-rate condition right now. Finished third last out and comes back quickly. A repeat of that last effort on May 12th where he registered a figure of 88 looks lofty enough to win in this affair. SPEED GRAZY - This thoroughbred isn't the M/L favorite, but finished ahead of today's M/L favorite in his last race (May 12th at Golden Gate Fields). Wong brings him back again. I advocate you stick with this hot gelding. Just look at his last fig, 88. That one fits well in this bunch.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TEX HANLEY (ML=6/1),

          TEX HANLEY - Awfully difficult to bet on this vulnerable equine when he hasn't been showing any fighting spirit lately.



          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #3 STORMIN GALILEO to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
          EXACTA WAGERS: Pass

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Box [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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