Sunday 7/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:33 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 7/16/23

July 16, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: C
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Speakinofthedevil; 6-Giroovin; 2-Fight Fiercely
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: There are too many red flags to handicap the Sunday opener with any degree of confidence. Speakinofthedevil earned a monster speed figure when demolishing maidens at Horseshoe Indiana two races back but regressed big time (on numbers) when third in a first level allowance grass sprint last month. Back on the dirt and facing 3-year-olds only in this modest $25,000 claiming sprint, the Steve Asmussen-trained gelding looks more than capable of taking this field gate to wire with his best effort but offers no value at his morning line of 3/5. Giroovin was claimed for $75,000 last time out when beaten off at Ellis Park last month and returns in his first start for Michael Maker (22% with this angle) for a third of that price (ouch!). In this league, he could improve a bunch (or not). Fight Fiercely managed to finish behind Giroovin in that same race (beaten 54 lengths) when eased through the lane but has previous form that makes him competitive with this bunch. The Joe Sharp trained colt lacks early speed but can finish a bit when in the mood. Tread lightly.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:44 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Jolly Miss Jill; 2-Susie’s Saver
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 7-Yogi

Forecast: Jolly Miss Jill stretches out for the first time, and if she’s ever going to get two turns it'll most likely be in her initial attempt. The daughter of Handsome Mike projects as the controlling speed and has a few back figures that will make her difficult to catch. Susie’s Saver has primarily been a turf performer but actually broke her maiden on dirt, so the return to the main track shouldn’t be an issue. She lacks tactical speed, but if the front group falls apart she may make a serious impression in the final stages.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:21 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Pleasant Passage
Backups/savers/Underneath: 7-Veronica Queen; 3-Beechhut Trophy

Forecast: This race has been handicapped for turf. We’ll pass if it is switched to the main track. Pleasant Passage adds blinkers for the first time and may try gate-to-wire tactics. She’s a fit on speed figures and is lightly raced with further improvement likely. We’re curious to see if Shug leaves her in the race should there be a surface switch (she’s really bred to handle a wet track). Beechnut Trophy and Veronica Queen are one-paced grinding closers and need help up front to be most effective. ‘Greene has the better figures and is the one to fear most. If the race comes off the turf and onto a wet main track, it surely will boil down to two of the “main track only” entrants, Sunset Louise and Pharoah’s Heart

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RACE 4: Post: 2:54 ET Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Let Freedom Spring; 6-Ensign Parker
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 7-Hereby

Forecast: Let Freedom Spring crushed a non-winners of two $16,000 field last month at Belmont Park with a career top (but not particularly fast) speed figure and remains at this price while stepping up to the nw-3 level. Looks like a logical move. The Orlando Noda-trained gelding will have to deal with the other main speed, Ensign Parker, who is drawn outside and has the option of employing a stalk and pounce strategy. ‘Parker is just two-for-33 in his career and generally gives you little to nothing under pressure, so we’ll go with ‘Spring on top in a race in which our confidence level is quite low.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:32 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Always a Warrior
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Maiden New York-bred juveniles sprint five and one-half furlongs in the fifth. With Antonio of Venice entered back on Thursday and likely to come out, let’s go with the Monmouth Park shipper Always a Warrior, who attracts I. Ortiz, Jr. On that angle alone the Carlos David-trained colt is worth including on your ticket. The work tab shows a hint of ability for a barn that can get them ready without the need of quick works. But this entire race is pretty much a guessing game.

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RACE 6: Post: 4:06 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Rockstar Red; 4-Cumberland; 6-Ringside
Backups/Savers/Underneath:

Forecast: Here’s a grass grab bag for older maiden $75,000 claimers in which nothing would surprise. We’ll try to survive and advance going three deep but feel free to use as many as you like. Rockstar Red is a first-off-the-claim play for Linda Rice (a massive 26% with this angle) and is raised considerably on the claiming ladder in a sign of confidence. The Frosted gelding missed by a head despite a less than ideal trip (stumbling start, etc.) but earned a career top speed figure in that race at Belmont Park two weeks ago and is likely to step forward today for his new outfit. Cumberland shows up in a seller for the first time after failing to threaten (and then getting vanned off) last month. We have to think he’s physically okay today, and the number he earned when second (while more than six clear of the rest) two races back probably beats this bunch. Ringside, away since March, returns as a first-time gelding and earned numbers in his two starts facing maiden special weight foes at Tampa Bay Downs that make him a solid fit with these. He may be most comfortable on the lead, but the pace flow projects to be quicker than par, which makes his chances problematic.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade:
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Film Star; 3-The Prince’s Spur; 2-Ouster
Backups/Savers/Underneath:

Forecast: Though he has finished second in each of his last three starts, Film Star looks pretty solid in this main track router for entry-level allowance older horses, and with numbers that are stronger than par for the level the son of Flatter should break through with a win for the powerful Linda Rice/Jose Ortiz trainer jockey team. Both of his career scores have been accomplished gate-to-wire and we suspect front-running tactics will be employed in a race that projects to have modest early splits. Ouster and The Prince’s Spur both have strong chances as well, with the latter showing a runaway win over the Spa’s main track in an off-the-turfer here last year.

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RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Baby Yoda
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Saratoga specialist Baby Yoda (three wins in four starts) returns to his favorite track and is likely to be a short price to regain his winning form in this three-other-than extended main track sprint for seasoned performers. Rested since May and with a history of firing fresh, the Bill Mott-trained gelding is reunited with his favorite jockey (Joel Rosario) and simply should outclass this field. The projected pace looks soft, adding fuel to his fire. At 6/5 on the morning line, the son of Prospective won’t offer any wagering value but he can used as a short-priced rolling exotic single.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:48 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Uncashed; 10-Gaslight Dancer
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: This year’s renewal of the Quick Call S.-G3 has been handicapped for turf. We’ll pass if the race is transferred to the main track. This group seems to take turns, and there are several in the field that could win without calling it an upset. Uncashed is the quickest in the field but he is unproven on grass and against this type of competition (his chances markedly increase if the race is switches to dirt). He’s fast on speed figures, attracts I. Ortiz, Jr., and may never look back if he can clear early. Gaslight Dancer employs an effective stalking style, so his far outside draw shouldn’t be an issue. He was beaten at odds-on when third in a listed turf stakes at Churchill Downs but after two months rest could easily bounce back with his best effort. However, he seems unlikely to start if the race is transferred to dirt.

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RACE 10: Post: 6:21 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Maggie; 10-Strange Fruit
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Maiden claiming ($30,000) New York bred fillies and mares sprint six and one-half furlongs in the nightcap. Maggie beats this group with a repeat of her race before last, a nose defeat while almost six lengths clear of the rest last November at Aqueduct. Her recent comeback outing was disappointing, but it came against tougher foes and on grass, too. This looks like her proper spot. Strange Fruit is drawn comfortably outside and seems certain to enjoy a soft stalking trip with clear sailing throughout. She’s hit the board in three of five career starts and while basically slows on numbers, the others are, too.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:33 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

July 16, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 16-race card ready to begin the week and the program will feature Buckeye Stallion Series action. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

3-Bug Juice (5-1)-Makes its Nfld debut and has some speed. The Brian Brown stable has been clicking and should be in the mix if can make the turns.
5-Muddinup (2-1)-This is another question mark making the 1st start at Nfld. Should be a player if takes to the track but will spread out in this leg.
7-Kamala (6-1)-Came a quick back half and was paced compromised as the 1st half went in 58.4. Will respect chances for the Lather Up 2-year-old.
9-Fear Of Moonlight (7/2)-Went the 2nd half at ScD in 56.1 to come 2nd in a 154.1 mile. The 2nd tier is a challenge but will trust Chris Page to land a decent early seat. Should be in the mix in a wide-open affair if close enough to the lead at the 3/4 pole.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

1-The Idea Dance A (5/2)-This is the 2nd start for Braiden Rhoades, draws the rail and has enough gate speed to be no worse than 2nd around the opening turn.
3-Turbo Hill (3-1)-This veteran probably has the best gate speed in the field but has trouble standing tall to the wire. Drops to a better level for success. Is only 1-8 at Nfld but will be tough to beat if Davis Jr steals a quarter.
6-Nvrpoptdaplugs (7-1)-Comes off a strong win and steps up. Not liking the 1-10 record at Nfld but should be able to compete at a solid price and could win with the right trip.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

1-Naked On A Hill (2-1)-This baby race looks like it should boil down to the 1 & 4, but these are green 2-year-olds and neither has raced on this surface. This one has impressive gate speed and should be a main player if stays flat.
4-Gulf Moon (7/5)-Won his debut at ScD and was on the point early on. Went off at 1/5 and should be a tiny price again.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

2-Favorite Aunt (3-1)-Meadows shipper comes off a win and has hit the board in 7 of 9 here with 3 pictures. Ronnie Wrenn should have the Burke pupil in play when the wings fold.
7-Manofmanymuscles (6-1)-Steps up after an impressive win in the 1st start for the Braiden Rhoades barn. Should offer a solid price and Merriman has enough gate speed to get in good position off the gate. Could be in the hunt at the wire with a sharp steer and some live cover.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

3,5,7,9/1,3,6/1,4/2,7
Total Bet=$48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:34 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #4

#6 Gettin Down	She's likely to get bet in here, but I think she's also pretty likely to handle this group while rising to face winners. This is a really logical level after rolling a cheap claiming group to graduate last out, and she should be in line for a perfect pressing trip again today.
#4 Bells of Joy	She's a good fit for a piece of this, but she's a little tough to endorse on top with the long string of mild finishing efforts that have typically left her underneath without being a threat. Exotics player.
#7 Sequaya	Worry that she's going to wind up with just a little too much to do here while turning back, but she has good one-turn form that makes her a player for a part at least.
Race Summary	Gettin Down found the right kind of level last time out, and she's right back in a good spot off that first career score. Guessing she'll sit right up on the splits and wear out the other pace.

Hawthorne - Race #5

#8 Bakaneko	He tracked the pace and made a move before flattening out behind a big longshot winner last out, but all the finishers that day made mild moves to varying degrees behind that one, and I wouldn't be surprised to see better if this stays on the turf.
#1 Degree of Risk	He's the clear one to beat with a Grade I placing on his resume and a good most recent try at Santa Anita in February, but he has failed to capitalize when in really good spots in the stretch on several occasions, and I could see him finding a way to lose this.
#5 Man On Attack	Tactical speed ran a good one on the turf last out and should be able to find another good trip near the top. He's probably a bit of a stretch on top, but I think he might be useful for a piece.
Race Summary	Could see any of these three being capable enough on either surface, but Bakaneko has the most appeal for me if this stays on the turf. A handful of these come out of the same race won by a big longshot, and I'm willing to give a couple of them the benefit of the doubt after chasing that price speed.

Hawthorne - Race #6

#5 Arch Flyer	She should be right up on the pace while prompting the whole way, and I like the fact that she's a pretty reliable runner who figures to show up for another good effort. Think she's a handful today.
#2 Cairo Summer	She cuts back for this one for the new team, and there are a couple decent sprint tries on her page that might keep her in the frame today. Price gets better than that 9/5 offering last out.
#6 Palace Magic	She's probably going to take some cash as the only dropper in here, coming down from the $25,000 level. She was competitive at this kind of price a few starts ago, but I worry she's overbet even while the clear one to beat.
Race Summary	Arch Flyer should get a perfect trip right up on the splits, and she can prompt any other pace player who wants to go for it early. Hoping the presence of dropper Palace Magic will keep the price just playable enough.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:35 AM

Saratoga Tip Sheet - July 16

Jul. 15, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 GABE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-1	4	Gabe	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	3-5	3	Speakinofthedevil	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	15-1	1	With Know Name	J Castellano
WILD CARD	7-2	2	Fight Fiercely	L Saez

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	5	Swaysinmydna	A Castillo
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Giroovin	M Franco

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	7	Yogi	J A Torres
PLACE	4-1	5	Alice Kramden	D Davis
SHOW	12-1	1	Handle the Truth	O Hernandez Moreno
WILD CARD	5-2	3	Jolly Miss Jill	J L Ortiz

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	2	Susies Saver	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Jackson Avenue	J A Davis

* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #3 $156,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:21 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Pleasant Passage	J R Velazquez
PLACE	3-1	7	Veronica Greene	J L Ortiz
SHOW	2-1	9	Sunset Louise	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	3-1	10	Pharoahs Heart	J Lezcano

ALTERNATE 1	8-5	4	Beaute Cachee	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	5	Linny Kate	M Franco

* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX

RACE #4 $14,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:54 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	1	Let Freedom Spring	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	5-2	4	Charger	L Saez
SHOW	6-1	7	Hereby	K Davis
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Ensign Parker	D Davis

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	8	Norgay	N Alvarado
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Central Pride	J Castellano

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX

RACE #5 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 ANTONIO OF VENICE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	1	Antonio of Venice	L Saez
PLACE	4-1	8	Always a Warrior	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	6-1	6	Collected Special	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Dixie Pharaoh	D Davis

ALTERNATE 1	8-5	1A	Khadullah	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Mamas Middie	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX

RACE #6 $75,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:06 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	10	Mo Saturdays	L Saez
PLACE	6-1	6	Ringside	J L Ortiz
SHOW	4-1	11	Hes Got Swagger	J R Leparoux
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Cumberland	J Rosario

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1A	Happy Bob	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	12	Game Keeper	I Ortiz Jr.

* EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/10/11 BOX, 4/6/11 BOX

RACE #7 $149,500 ALLOWANCE 1 3/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-1	3	The Princes Spur	J R Velazquez
PLACE	2-1	6	Film Star	J L Ortiz
SHOW	5-2	2	Ouster	D Davis
WILD CARD	9-2	1	Prove Worthy	I Ortiz Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	Complete Agenda	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Saqeel	L Saez

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX

RACE #8 $162,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-5	3	Baby Yoda	J Rosario
PLACE	5-2	2	Nakatomi	T Gaffalione
SHOW	10-1	1	Mr Phil	M Franco
WILD CARD	7-2	5	Sheriff Bianco	J L Ortiz

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Bourbon Calling	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Shooters Shoot	L Saez

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

RACE #9 $175,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	3	Eye Witness	J L Ortiz
PLACE	6-1	1	No Nay Hudson	J Graham
SHOW	5-1	9	Uncashed	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	10	Gaslight Dancer	T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	12	Acoustic Ave	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	11	Joey Freshwater	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX

RACE #10 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:21 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 MAGGIE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	4	Maggie	L Saez
PLACE	9-2	10	Strange Fruit	J L Ortiz
SHOW	8-1	7	Irish Empress	J Castellano
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Northway	D Davis

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	2	Sarahs Dialed In	M Martin
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Cause Im Elegant	J A Torres

* EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/10 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:35 AM

Woodbine Tip Sheet - July 16

Jul. 15, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $23,500 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 TIPSY MOON

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	5	Tipsy Moon	E Wilson
PLACE	7-2	7	Humor Me Jim	S P Husbands
SHOW	5-1	1	Big Ginger	S Vives
WILD CARD	3-1	3	Dixie Morning	D Moran

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Thatsitthatsall	K Nicholls
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Stole the Ring	L Salles

* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX

RACE #2 $61,800 OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Long Pond	J Stein
PLACE	2-1	6	Hunt Master	E Wilson
SHOW	8-1	1	Threefiftyseven	P Husbands
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Poseidon Steel	R Munger

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	3	Souper Classy	G Boulanger
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	5	Quite Ready	R M Hernandez

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

RACE #3 $125,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:08 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	5	Pipit	P Husbands
PLACE	5-2	2	Yacht Boy	R W Walcott
SHOW	2-1	1	Mattingly	S Civaci
WILD CARD	3-1	4	Gotts Got It	E M Walker

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Going Up	R D Allen Jr.

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

RACE #4 $23,500 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:41 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	7	Walter Me Lad	O Moreno
PLACE	3-1	8	One More Brew	S Vives
SHOW	8-1	9	Jamiesta	E Wilson
WILD CARD	15-1	3	Moonquest	E Flores

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	6	Justins Way	J Stein
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	2	Mr Narcissistic	R Munger

* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX

RACE #5 $65,900 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	3	Forest Woodsman	I C Wenc
PLACE	7-2	1	Siesta Beach	D Moran
SHOW	6-1	8	Bucks Fizz	L Contreras
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Summer Commander	R M Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Red Sneakers	L Salles
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	10	Brave Dancer	R Munger

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

RACE #6 $117,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:48 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	2	Palazzi	S Civaci
PLACE	6-1	5	Haddassah	R M Hernandez
SHOW	8-5	4	Golden Glider	P Husbands
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Avoman	J Stein

ALTERNATE 1	5-2	1	Malibu Mambo	D Moran
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Dun Drum	E Wilson

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

RACE #7 $23,500 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:21 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	9	Bold Reload	J L Campos
PLACE	4-1	8	Allen Diggs	D Carroll
SHOW	3-1	10	Souper Rush	S Vives
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Call My Banker	R W Walcott

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	3	Souper River	E Wilson
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Grand Alliance	J Crawford

* EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/9/10 BOX, 1/8/10 BOX

RACE #8 $114,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/4 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:54 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 BRITISH ROYALTY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	5	British Royalty	P Husbands
PLACE	6-1	7	Dancin in Danile	D Carroll
SHOW	4-1	2	Like the King	E Wilson
WILD CARD	8-1	9	Ready for the Lady	S Civaci

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	English Conqueror	R M Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Elusive Knight	G Boulanger

* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX

RACE #9 $111,600 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:27 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 SIGN OF BEAUTY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	3	Sign of Beauty	S Civaci
PLACE	3-1	7	The Niigon Factor	S Vives
SHOW	4-1	4	Beautiful as You	P Husbands
WILD CARD	12-1	2	Centenary	L Contreras

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Crystal the Pistol	R M Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Peace in Paradise	L Salles

* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

RACE #10 $111,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	5	Galloping dOro	L Contreras
PLACE	4-1	7	King Alfredo	P Husbands
SHOW	7-2	6	Star Sign	S Civaci
WILD CARD	10-1	2	Priceless Will	R M Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	5-2	3	Lenny K	J Stein
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	8	Highland Life	S Chernetz

* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

RACE #11 $65,900 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	4	Sarahs Dancer	L Salles
PLACE	10-1	10	Worry Less	J Crawford
SHOW	7-2	1	Tapping a Rhythm	K Nicholls
WILD CARD	3-1	9	Bijou Baby	D Carroll

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Knotty and Nice	O Moreno
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	8	Moonbright	E Wilson

* EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/10 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:36 AM

Ellis Park Tip Sheet - July 16

Jul. 15, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-5	4	Punctuality	C A Torres
PLACE	5-1	5	Secret Edge	W A Rodriguez
SHOW	6-1	2	Camp Gray	M Chuan
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Moon Over Dubai	A Beschizza

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Left Pocket Money	Y Navas
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Alpha Lea	B Bays

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 INTREPID HEART

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	2	Intrepid Heart	C J Lanerie
PLACE	5-1	5	Sprinklehead	G Saez
SHOW	6-1	1	W W Crazy	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	2-1	6	Mobster Gun	M Chuan

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Dixie Drawl	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Nepotism	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX

RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-2	5	Two Hearted	L Machado
PLACE	7-2	3	Myas Halo	D Cannon
SHOW	8-1	6	Wonder Wave	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	8-1	10	Maghra	B J Hernandez Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	9	Winsome Beauty	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	4	Lucky Lady Sadie	E Morales

* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/6/10 BOX

RACE #4 $30,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 TAMARAS WAY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	1	Tamaras Way	G Corrales
PLACE	6-1	4	Hammerdonhappiness	E Esquivel
SHOW	5-2	7	Coexist	E Morales
WILD CARD	8-1	2	Halo of Fire	K J Asmussen

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	5	Charley Rude	M Chuan
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Coloratura	R Gutierrez

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

RACE #5 $74,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/4 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 ANGLOPHILE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	5	Anglophile	D Cannon
PLACE	2-1	8	Family Man	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	5-1	2	King Curlin	C A Emigh
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Mount Rundle	W A Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Carnivore	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	3	Solid Country Gold	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX

RACE #6 $40,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	9	Stairstep Toheaven	R Bejarano
PLACE	6-1	2	Wee Bit O Mischief	M Chuan
SHOW	4-1	7	Up On the Edge	G Corrales
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Shimmering Allure	B J Hernandez Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Mo Twilight	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	5	Classyn Connected	J Talamo

* EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX

RACE #7 $100,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	2	Twice as Sweet	D Cannon
PLACE	3-1	1	American Apple	G Corrales
SHOW	9-2	3	Daring Do	W A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	9-2	9	Twirled	C A Torres

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Condensation	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Erna	R Bejarano

* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX

RACE #8 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	2	Cusp	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	5-1	11	Smile Mon	M Chuan
SHOW	20-1	14	Speed Institute	E Morales
WILD CARD	10-1	4	Chiron	J Elliott

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	12	Smoke Wagon	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Single Dot Yaht	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 2-11 BOX, 11-14 BOX, 14-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/11/14 BOX, 4/11/14 BOX

RACE #9 $74,000 ALLOWANCE 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	1	Hideki	R Bejarano
PLACE	10-1	7	Devine Charger	R Gutierrez
SHOW	6-1	11	Ruthless Rua	M Chuan
WILD CARD	9-2	3	Only Kidding	D Cannon

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	6	L Js Emma	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	12	Shannon	G Saez

* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/11 BOX, 3/7/11 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:36 AM

Monmouth Park Tip Sheet - July 16

Jul. 15, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	1-1	3	Queen Cadence	M Rowland
PLACE	3-1	5	Take Charge Erica	M Olver
SHOW	7-2	2	Rainbow Trout	P L Cotto Jr.
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Jet Force	F Gonzalez Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	4	Takestwotowiggle	R Mitchell
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Salsa Rita	M Iorio

* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:09 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 LORD MIO

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	3	Lord Mio	I Castillo
PLACE	4-1	1	The Method	P L Cotto Jr.
SHOW	5-2	6	Loverboy Lou	L R Rivera Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Cantakeitanymore	A S Arroyo

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Cartier Cat	R F Moya
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	2	Synonym B C	G Huayas

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

RACE #3 $71,875 OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:38 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	7	Midnight Heiress	N Juarez
PLACE	4-1	1	Postinos Prophecy	L J Luzzi
SHOW	6-1	5	Sherry Oriental	C E Rojas
WILD CARD	9-2	6	Te Amo	S Marin

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Rob the Treasure	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Epic Queen	J Rendon

* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX

RACE #4 $10,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	2	Exaggerateddefence	P Lopez
PLACE	3-1	6	Royal Mover	J A Vargas Jr.
SHOW	7-2	1	Barfly	M Iorio
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Wasabi Boy	L J Luzzi

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	3	Cacio E Pepe	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Big Popper	I Castillo

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX

RACE #5 $71,875 OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	5	Jesters Honor	J C Ferrer
PLACE	4-1	2	Hello Pop	I Castillo
SHOW	7-2	6	Magical Jaime	L J Luzzi
WILD CARD	5-1	11	Lemon Creek Louie	P Lopez

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	7	Sunshine Charlie	L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	4	Whats Up Mr. Z	J Rendon

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/6/11 BOX

RACE #6 $57,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	3	Peace Not War	S Marin
PLACE	5-2	6	Maycocks Bay	P Lopez
SHOW	9-2	8	Uncle Cat	C E Rojas
WILD CARD	6-1	9	Apollo Code	J C Ferrer

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Legendary Phantom	L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	Real Sensation	I Castillo

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 6/8/9 BOX

RACE #7 $14,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:35 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 WHATCHAMACALL

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	8	Whatchamacall	J Torres
PLACE	3-1	4	Bens Sunny Island	A S Arroyo
SHOW	9-2	9	Fast Corey	I Castillo
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Sedona Rocks	J A Vargas Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	5	Aiken to Belong	P L Cotto Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Dahgo	L J Luzzi

* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX

RACE #8 $10,500 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:05 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 ARROW SHAPE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	1	Arrow Shape	P Lopez
PLACE	3-1	4	Miss Casey	J C Ferrer
SHOW	4-1	6	Bullet On Tap	J Rendon
WILD CARD	6-1	3	Pearls and Heels	N Juarez

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Del Rey Dolly	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	2	Peacelovenkarma	L R Rivera Jr.

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:35 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	9	Super Chow
PLACE	5-2	3	Sir Lancelot	P Lopez
SHOW	7-2	4	Crispy Cat	J C Ferrer
WILD CARD	3-1	1	Extendo	T McCarthy

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	5	Playground Legend	N Juarez
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	6	Sweet Cherry Pie	J Rendon

* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #10 $6,500 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:04 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	1	Smooth Rico	M Iorio
PLACE	5-2	2	Holy City	P Lopez
SHOW	4-1	5	Shea On the Lam	I Castillo
WILD CARD	7-5	3	Golden Code	A S Arroyo

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	7	Tiempo Perfecto	L J Luzzi
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Smart and Fast	G Huayas

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:36 AM

Saratoga Hotlist - July 16

Jul. 15, 2023

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1^st race [Clm 25000, 6F] – (3) Speakinofthedevil shipped to Saratoga to join the Asmussen barn and that alone indicates there is some quality in this horse. He won a maiden special weight by more than 11 lengths and then moved to a turf sprint allowance and ran third. (2) Fight Fiercely was claimed for $30,000 two races back by Joe Sharp and tried a much higher open claimer. The blinkers come off now and that is a winning move for Sharp. (4) Gabe has been off since April when he won an allowance at Belterra Park by more than nine lengths. He did break his maiden for a $25,000 tag at Gulfstream Park. (6) Giroovin was claimed for $75,000 last month at Ellis Park from a race where he was badly beaten.
2^nd race [Clm 25000 N2L, 1 mi] – (7) Yogi (B) returned from a short layoff, dropped down in class, pressed the pace, got the lead, and was beaten by a length by another horse that was making a big drop down. (3) Jolly Miss Jill raced over her head last time in a starter allowance after she was claimed for $30,000 by Linda Rice when she was second. (5) Alice Kramden was claimed from a NY-bred maiden claimer for $30,000 and then tried a starter allowance. Now she drops back down and gets blinkers on. (4) Bravo Regina returns from an April layoff following a pair of seconds in the $16,000 N2L races.
6^th race [Mdn 75000, 1 mi TURF] – (1) Rockstar Red (A) was second in a $40,000 race last time when he fought off a few horses to get the lead in the stretch but was overtaken near the wire to finish second and was claimed by Linda Rice. (11) He’s Got Swagger has three second-place finishes out of five in maiden special weights and now runs for a tag for the first time. (9) Liquid Addiction raced in three Kentucky maiden special weights and was third in June in a turf sprint. This will be his first try in a claimer. (4) Cumberland missed a maiden win at Gulfstream by a nose and then was vanned off from a subsequent maiden special weight at Belmont.
7^th race [Alw 149500 N1X, 1 3/16 mi] – (6) Film Star has three second-place finishes in a row in first level allowances after getting claimed by Linda Rice. (2) Ouster had a second in a similar allowance two races back after winning the highest NY-bred allowance. Most recently he did little running in a state-bred stakes race. (7) Pledgeofallegiance won his last two starts in Kentucky taking a $50,000 claimer at Churchill and then a starter allowance at Ellis Park. (4) Complete Agenda has a second and a pair of thirds at this allowance level in his last three starts.
Best bets: Speakinofthedevil (1^st); Film Star (7^th). Best value: Yogi (2^nd); Rockstar Red (6^th).

No.	Name	Letter/ last race	Today's Race	Comments
(7)	Yogi	B on 5/19	2	Second behind a horse making a big drop in class.
(1)	Rockstar Red	A on 7/2	6	Battled a few horses in the stretch, had the lead, finished second.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:37 AM

Ellis Park Hotlist - July 16

Jul. 15, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race – (5) Sprinklehead has won two in a row and can make it three straight here. (1) W W Crazy drops to a level where he should be effective. (6) Mobster Gun should perk up in this field. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6. Doubles: 1-5-6 with 3-6-8-9.
3rd race – (6) Wonder Wave is training sharply for her debut and should win at first asking. (8) Star Performance is another interesting possibility off solid works. (9) Winsome Beauty seems ready for a big effort in her debut. (3) Mya’s Halo has turned in a couple of bullet works for this and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-8-9.
5th race – (7) Jarreau failed to fire on the main track and will welcome a return to turf. (6) Mount Rundle should have no problem handling the distance. (2) King Curlin has the potential to be a major threat in the stretch. (3) Solid Country Gold may relish the added distance. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-7.
7th race – (3) Daring Do was a game third last time and seems to have found a winning spot here. (6) Condensation exits stakes company and shapes up as the one to fear. (1) American Apple will benefit from a rail trip. (2) Twice as Sweet returns to turf, where she broke her maiden. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-6.
9th race – (1) Hideki gets the benefit of a rail trip and should handle this field. (7) Devine Charger will be a main factor in the final furlong. (11) Ruthless Rua can make her presence felt on turf. (6) L J’s Emma will be hard to handle if she can duplicate her maiden win. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-7-11.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:38 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Century Mile

PURCHASE

Century Mile - Race 3	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Jackpot Pick 5 (Races 3-7)
Claiming $6,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 54 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 4:45P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR ALBERTA BREDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,000 (LESSER CLAIMING RACES FOR $3,500 (AB $4,500) AT CENTURY MILE NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. WILD RUNNIN MAGGIE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WILD RUNNIN MAGGIE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BETTIN ON BELLE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. REBATE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SAVYSKYE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" de signation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	WILD RUNNIN MAGGIE	3/1	7/2
3	BETTIN ON BELLE	6/1	6/1
2	SAVYSKYE	12/1	9/1
1	REBATE	5/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	SAVYSKYE	2	12/1	Front-runner	57	55	52.6	40.5	35.0
6	THIS TIME SWEETIE	6	4/1	Front-runner	54	51	40.4	40.4	31.9
4	WILD RUNNIN MAGGIE	4	3/1	Stalker	57	53	58.8	45.5	39.5
3	BETTIN ON BELLE	3	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	61	46	40.9	37.7	30.2
1	REBATE	1	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	57	47	42.4	44.4	39.4
5	ANNA'S IMAGE	5	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	58	52	27.5	21.8	14.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:38 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for CamareroPURCHASE

Camarero - Race 3	Pick 5 (3-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 3-4
Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 44 • Purse: $11,500 • Post: 3:35P
FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 16 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PETROLERO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PETROLERO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Ho rse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
3	PETROLERO	2/1	1/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	PETROLERO	3	2/1	Front-runner	46	43	47.2	39.6	37.1
1	CORALINO	1	7/2	Front-runner	25	27	28.8	22.2	15.7
5	EL FERROCARRIL	5	3/1	Stalker	31	23	31.4	11.6	3.6
2	CHARLIE EL MEJOR	2	4/1	Stalker	23	25	19.9	23.7	18.7
4	EMANUEL MY SON	4	9/2	Trailer	28	27	28.2	22.6	14.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:38 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 80

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 CINTRA 30/1
# 9 CHIMERA 5/2
# 7 LETHAL ICE 9/2

CINTRA is my pick especially at 30/1. Has to be carefully examined based on the quite good speed rating earned in the last race. CHIMERA - Has formidable Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this event. Handler has sharp win rate (19 percent) at this distance and surface. LETHAL ICE - Has put up strong Equibase Speed Figs in short races in the past. Has the looks of a lucrative play.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:39 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Wyoming Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Trial - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 68

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND OLDER WHICH WERE MAIDENS AS OF JANUARY 1, 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS . 126 LBS. OLDER . 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 LOOK JAMES 10/1
# 1 MOMENTS 7/2
# 6 BF EMILYS OUTRAGE 5/2

LOOK JAMES should be supported as the wager in here and could score at a price in here. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of strong win percentage - 32 percent - at this distance & surface. Has the appearance of a profitable wager. The big drop in competition can only help out this horse this time around. MOMENTS - She has been racing strongly as of late while recording strong speed figures. Vantassell is very serious with this one, wheeling her back in next to no time. BF EMILYS OUTRAGE - Canales has one of the most respectable winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. She looks respectable in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2023, 11:39 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Hawthorne - Race #2 - Post: 2:57pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#5 OPTION (ML=7/2)
#6 MITZRAYIM (ML=8/5)

OPTION - Giles and Meraz have had terrific success together over the last year. MITZRAYIM - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is up against an easier bunch than last time out at Hawthorne. This animal is uppermost in EPS (earnings per start). He looks solid in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MISTER CHARMING (ML=9/2), #4 KRAMDEN (ML=5/1), #3 LOOK AWAY (ML=5/1),

MISTER CHARMING - Didn't end up on the board on June 4th at Hawthorne. Followed it up with another lackluster try. KRAMDEN - Disappointing speed figure last time around the track at FanDuel Horse Racing at 1 mile 70 yards. Don't believe this runner will improve too much in today's race. LOOK AWAY - The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable competitor.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - MITZRAYIM - This gelding has the top last speed figure at Hawthorne. Must be considered in your betting.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 OPTION to win at post-time odds of 6/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None