Wednesday 8/9/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:37 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/9/23

August 9, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Pass/No Play
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The first race, carded for hurdlers, has been cancelled.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:46 ET Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 9-Pillbox
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.
Forecast: In her first outing since March, Pillbox shows up well below her claim price, a class dive that always must be viewed with caution, but this barn runs its claiming stock where it belongs, and this lightly raced filly appears to have found a proper spot to regain her winning form in this extended sprint for restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming fillies and mares. A series of sharp works at Gulfstream Park prior to her arrival at the Spa may be viewed as an enticement for a claim, but if healthy she shouldn’t have much trouble with this group. At 6/5 on the morning line, though, there’s very little value to be found.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:19 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Miss d’Oro Cherie
Backups/savers/Underneath: 3-Tricky Temper; 4-Dorth’s Dol Dancer; 6-Stormy Disco.

Forecast: This race was originally carded for turf but has been transferred to the main track (check for late changes). Main track only entrant Miss d’Or Cherie smoked a quarter of a mile in 20 3/5 at the OBS April sale, the fastest for the distance at the entire sale. She’s done some very good work preparing for this race at Belmont Park and is the choice if she starts. However, she was entered back for Thursday, so we’ll see where she winds up. Tricky Temper, a daughter of Into Mischief, must be considered a major contender in this moderate New York-bred maiden sprint based on a recent bullet half mile gate drill (:47 3/5) that was the fastest of 41 for the distance. She was purchased for $230,000 at the same sale as our top pick (who brought $300,000) after previewing 10 1/5 seconds, an okay move but certainly not scintillating. Also at the same sale, Dorth’s Sol Dancer breezed a furlong in 10 1/5 seconds and certainly looked the equal to ‘Temper. The barn does well with first timers and the work tab at Finger Lakes gives a hint of some ability. Stormy Disco is bred to win early (Disco Partner) and has some drills at Monmouth Park that appear sneaky. At 8-1 on the morning line, you have to toss her in somewhere.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): Pass/No Play
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: This race was carded for turf but has been transferred to the main track. We will pass the race.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Crazy Camie; 5-Shimmering Allure; 3-Zadorsky
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 8-Echo Lake.

Forecast: This maiden special weight restricted to $50,000 auction purchases (or those that were bought back for that price or less) has several possibilities in a field loaded with lightly raced runners or first time starters. Crazy Camie, a fair-to-moderate third in her debut against similar foes here last month, adds blinkers today and seems likely to produce a forward move. Her number wasn’t bad, so we’ll give her a very slight edge on top over the Ellis Park shipper Shimmering Allure, who was nosed out in a straight maiden sprint last time out while more than three lengths clear of the others in a big improvement over her debut performance. Her numbers are nothing special but at least they’re moving in the right direction. Zadorsky has been a beaten choice in both of her starts at the Pea Patch, and while her figures are competitive she may not be one to trust. Still, we’ll include her on our ticket.

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RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Mia Marcela; 16-Solve the Puzzle
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 7-Jody’s Pride.

Forecast: This race was originally carded for turf but has been transferred to the main track. Mia Marcela blazed a furlong in 9 4/5 seconds at the OBS April sale and then brought $375,000 through the ring. The daughter of Twirling Candy also has been very impressive in her local drills and appears to be a filly blessed with intense speed. We’re expecting to see her outrun this field. Solve the Puzzle, entered for main track only, looked like a runner in a team gate drill last month and is a “must use.” Jody’s Pride is another that has displayed a bit of quality in her local workouts and is certain to receive support on the tote. However, the daughter of American Pharoah isn’t certain to start, as most of her sire’s offspring (especially the fillies) seem to perform better on grass.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Asymmetric; 10-Clubhouse; 9-Tommy Gun
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Asymmetric is being culled from the stable in just his fifth career start, plummeting from a first level allowance race (was fourth as the favorite) all the way down to the (nw-2) $25,000 claiming level in his first outing since March. With the yearling sales approaching, you’ll see a lot of this from the big stables. He’s clearly faster than these based on speed figures, but the red flags are hard to ignore. Clubhouse is being tossed away as well. Stakes-placed three races back but unplaced in the Gotham S.-G3 and then far back in a first level allowance turf sprint, the son of Speightstown lands the cozy outside post and should regain some of his confidence against this group. Tommy Gun may be the quickest in the field and could get brave if he can shake loose early.

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RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Raging Sea; 5-Pharoah’s Heart
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Raging Sea makes her first start in this allowance optional claimer since finishing a promising third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies at Keeneland last November for trainer Chad Brown, who has superb stats with layoff runners. She was also crossed the wire third (beaten a neck) in the Alcibiades S.-G2 during her three-race 2-year-old campaign. However, we’re not sure what to make of the fact that she hasn’t recorded an official local drill since July 23. Pharoah’s Heart is entered for the $50,000 tag because she’s already won this condition. She was below form in a turf router at Belmont Park in June but recorded speed figures in three of her previous four dirt track efforts that stamps her as a major player at this level. We’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Raging Sea.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Sunset Louise; 5-Betsy Blue
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Timeless Journey.

Forecast: Sunset Louise seeks her fourth straight score and seems likely to gain her preferred role as the controlling speed in this year’s edition of the Johnstone Mile Handicap for New York-bred fillies and mares. She is a non-stakes winner facing several who have won or placed in black type events, but her numbers make her a fit and she’s improving with each outing and a perfect two-for-two over the Saratoga main track. She actually doesn’t need the lead to win but the pace projection tells us she can have it if she wants it. Betsy Blue is fast on figures and should settle into an ideal second flight position and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home. She’s a tough old pro that has finished first or second in 18 of 23 career starts and though primarily a sprinter has won at this one mile trip in the past.

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RACE 10: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): Pass/No Play
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The finale was carded for grass, but hs been moved to the main track. We will pass the race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:37 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #6

#9 Belperron	Tactical speed should be able to find a really good spot in a race where a handful of the other main characters want to do their running late. Think she's a handful here, especially if she has any upside at all in the second start off the layoff.
#4 Blame Nellie	She has come to life a bit since turning back to these shorter turf trips, and I like that she has enough positional pace to bridge the speed and finishing groups. Wouldn't surprise.
#7 Rare Action Attack	She has always done pretty good work at these short turf sprints, but the price surely gets a lot shorter this time around, and her late-running style always leaves her vulnerable to coming up short. Capable.
Race Summary	Belperron stepped up to try winners last out and nearly scored when racing off the break, and she should be in line for another perfect trip today.

Hawthorne - Race #7

#3 Dash to the Cash	He hasn't been overmatched in a couple starts against winners, and he was at least finishing with a little energy from the tail last out in a short field. Hoping the pace players produce an honest race flow.
#7 Easy Fast	Thought about giving this guy the call on top, as someone in here has to prove best of the speed, and he gets the best draw of the forward players to force the issue from the outside. Capable on the rise.
#5 Plausible Denile	He might be a bit better price this time around, but he's going to need to do better than that last one to land this. His better lines would make him tough, but I wonder what kind of price he's going to offer.
Race Summary	Dash to the Cash will probably be a midrange price in here, and he has been a fairly honest finisher despite being along too late in most of his tries. Hoping a few of these knock heads early and come up wanting in the final yards.

Hawthorne - Race #8

#4 Dynablue	He has been fairly competitive with this kind in the past, and I'm willing to give him a pass for the total no show last time out. Think he might get a decent run into the pace today.
#2 Flying Samurai	Think he has a little price appeal in the gimmicks after a flat run last time out, as he's likely to find a good spying spot in here while getting back to the grass. Piece?
#5 Driven One	He didn't miss by too much when facing similar last time out, and he's fast enough to get in the picture early again today. All that said, I have a mild concern about his potential need for the front while facing some other pace elements.
Race Summary	#1 Command Central also makes sense on paper, but I wonder if his form peaked and that's why he's on his way back down the class ladder after a couple big tries. Dynablue typically has honest form and can bounce back today at a playable price.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:37 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #1

#5 MAIDEN ROCK (8-1)	Romped in latest, met short-priced winners at Hawthrone in the spring.
#1 GHALEEB’S DREAMS (9-5	Fractious in gate, 3- to 4-wide throughout, willing finish for third.
#6 TWELVE RED ROSES (3-1)	Beaten favorite going long in last pair, starts fresh.
Race Summary	MAIDEN ROCK ‘gained ground quickly’ and drew away from the favorite for an upset victory at Canterbury Park. She finished in the money the last three times she ran at Hawthorne, twice behind odds-on winners and once while chasing the 5-2 winner. Bet to win and place.

Hawthorne - Race #2

#1 STOLICH (12-1)	Broke out, finished well as the favorite, transitions to the turf.
#9 AQUACAT (5-1)	Holds tactical advantage in pace-less race, use in all gimmicks.
#10 LAWMAKER (4-1)	In good form, must avoid wide trip, runs for Santiago.
Race Summary	The field is a combined 3-for-46 on turf, so willing to take a longshot stab on STOLICH in his grassy debut. He broke his maiden going long and finished third three times in five starts since then, the latest after he broke outward. Bet to win and place and play a 1-9-10-12 exacta box.

Hawthorne - Race #3

#1 HOLY STAR (2-1)	Takes magnified class drop, cut back to sprint might be maiden-breaking answer.
#5 TWICK OR TWEAT (4-1)	Chased 1-to-5 winner in latest and fast pace two back for new barn.
#2 EVIE JEAN (5-2)	Finished in the money in 6 of last 11, makes 26th start today.
Race Summary	HOLY STAR has improved, contended for 6F in her last three route attempts and meets six rivals who are a combined 0-for-55. Could be a now-or-never type breaking from the rail. Bet to win and place.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:38 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

PURCHASE

Presque Isle Downs - Race 1	$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 1-2-3) Pick 5 (min .50 cent) (Races 1-5)
Claiming $6,250 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 3:00P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES) (LIMITED TO10 STARTERS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SUMTING RIGHT is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUMTING RIGHT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distanc e/surface. SCOOP THERE IT IS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. JEFF'S ANGEL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equib ase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SAILOR'S SALUTE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Qu arter Horse race).
1	SUMTING RIGHT	6/1	9/2
5	SCOOP THERE IT IS	5/2	5/1
4	JEFF'S ANGEL	9/2	7/1
2	SAILOR'S SALUTE	9/5	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SUMTING RIGHT	1	6/1	Front-runner	75	73	95.2	56.0	51.0
5	SCOOP THERE IT IS	5	5/2	Stalker	80	78	74.4	69.2	64.2
2	SAILOR'S SALUTE	2	9/5	Alternator/Stalker	71	72	89.2	61.0	54.0
4	JEFF'S ANGEL	4	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	80	72	62.0	66.2	61.7
3	FAST FASHION	3	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	65	83.6	54.0	43.0
6	GLOVANNA	6	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	67	74.4	51.2	42.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:38 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury ParkPURCHASE

Canterbury Park - Race 8	Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta
Allowance • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 8:37P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO MINNESOTA BREDS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * RELENTLESS LEGACY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. FIVE BAR FANTASY: Quar ter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. WESTERN RESERVE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	RELENTLESS LEGACY	8/5	7/2
2	FIVE BAR FANTASY	3/1	4/1
1	WESTERN RESERVE	7/2	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	WESTERN RESERVE	1	7/2	Average	91	66	5.2	0.0	0.0
2	FIVE BAR FANTASY	2	3/1	Average	86	79	4.9	0.0	0.0
3	RELENTLESS LEGACY	3	8/5	Average	82	82	5.8	0.0	0.0
4	MOUNTAINS ARE BLUE	4	5/1	Average	67	66	4.0	0.0	0.0
5	SEIS IT AINT SO	5	6/1	Slow	76	64	6.1	0.0	0.0
6	ROCKING THE WORLD	6	12/1	Average	66	61	6.0	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:38 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 78

FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 TRUE EMPRESS 5/2
# 8 TOWERING GAZE 7/2
# 1 SMALL PEBBLES 8/1

TRUE EMPRESS looks to be a solid contender. She has been running well recently while recording very strong Equibase Speed Figs. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 74 - of her last race. Is tough not to examine given the company run in as of late. TOWERING GAZE - Could provide positive gains based on respectable recent speed figures with an average of 64. SMALL PEBBLES - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Dixon have shown sharp results recently. Put up a formidable Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:38 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Hawthorne - Race #5 - Post: 4:18pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#5 CAMARGO (ML=4/1)

CAMARGO - All systems look good for this gelding. Last work, 2nd fastest of the day, shows he's fit and ready.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE (ML=5/2), #4 PISTOL BOX (ML=3/1), #3 CHRISTMAS PRESENT (ML=9/2),

MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE - The Equibase speed figs are going downward. I'm not playing this less than sharp equine off of that trend. Jul 11th is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. PISTOL BOX - Hard to play at 3/1 odds after the two most recent efforts. CHRISTMAS PRESENT - You believe this equine is going to be victorious just because he's always close. Just doesn't win regularly.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #5 CAMARGO to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:39 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury All Turf Pick 3

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Turf. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 90

CBY - R6 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 9 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 9 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 NORTHCUT 10/1
# 6 MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 3/1
# 1 CIBERTRUCK 8/1

I like NORTHCUT in this competition and the potential return justifies the unsafe nature of the long odds. With Wade aboard him, this gelding should be able to break out quickly here. Has a strong shot in this contest if you like back class. MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) - When a conditioner brings any racer back this soon it is a positive signal. Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this racer look competitive in this race. CIBERTRUCK - Will probably go to the front end and might never look back. Formidable rider and conditioner combo winning 33 percent of their races working together.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:39 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 9:05pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,300 Class Rating: 84

Rating:

#1 FIRST HOMESTEAD (ML=9/5)
#4 PAISANO (ML=6/1)

FIRST HOMESTEAD - According to well-known handicapping professionals, the stalking-type of magnificent animal is one of the most steadfast bets in racing. It looks like Velez had to 'know' this gelding on July 25th when riding him for the first time. Back aboard again today. When Velez and Meyers join forces on animals the win percent has been tremendous at 33. A campaigner coming back this soon after a sharp effort is a good sign. PAISANO - I like to play this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice contest within the last thirty days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 LAST DROP OF WINE (ML=7/5), #5 BACK ALLEY CAT (ML=9/2),

LAST DROP OF WINE - The fifth place finish in the last affair was not that great. This entrant hasn't been on the track since Jul 10th. Not even any workouts. Don't believe this entrant will do much running today. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's Equibase class figure. BACK ALLEY CAT - This equine hasn't been hitting the board in either of his last two races around the track.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 FIRST HOMESTEAD is the play if we get odds of 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:40 AM

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - August 9

Aug. 08, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	8	Master of Disguise	J Gilligan
PLACE	8-5	3	Quarrymen	E Esquivel
SHOW	6-1	1	Mr Discount	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Epic Battle	E Morales

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	4	Ukraine Strong	M A Perez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Union Run	Y Navas

* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:04 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 HAYTHERE JOGEEGIRL

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-2	3	Haythere Jogeegirl	S E Bermudez
PLACE	4-5	5	Landslid	E Esquivel
SHOW	5-1	2	Ocelia	E E Perez
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Mama Lou	M Franklin

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	7	Sentimentaljourney	R A Prescott
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Southern Smile	F De La Cruz

* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

RACE #3 $42,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:38 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	6	Tay	A Burgos
PLACE	7-2	3	On the Raydar	S E Bermudez
SHOW	5-2	1	Too Bad Justice	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Bluegrass Prayer	O Mojica

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Azzaro Steel	E Esquivel
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	2	Rotary Dial	R A Prescott

* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #4 $15,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	7	Luckies Joy	J D Ramos
PLACE	5-2	5	Outstandingjustice	S E Bermudez
SHOW	9-2	2	Second to No One	E E Perez
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Snerdley	O Mojica

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	8	De la Victory	A Burgos
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Last Outlaw	Y Navas

* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

RACE #5 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:46 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	10	Tiger Tap	D Cannon
PLACE	7-2	2	Just Say So	A Achard
SHOW	4-1	8	Boppy	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	10-1	7	Ms. Lilibet	E Esquivel

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	Hurry Up Hannah	L Machado
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Tribest	J Talamo

* EXACTA: 10-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/8/10 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX

RACE #6 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	4	Racing in My Heart	E Morales
PLACE	5-2	3	Seminole Austin	M Franklin
SHOW	12-1	2	Student Prince	S E Bermudez
WILD CARD	10-1	1	San Ronin	H Leahey

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	9	Jack D	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Running Smart	F De La Cruz

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #7 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:53 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	4	Cable Boss	G Saez
PLACE	4-1	3	Polyglot	J D Ramos
SHOW	7-2	7	Smart Prize	R A Prescott
WILD CARD	15-1	10	Faith Runner	K J Asmussen

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	1	Hilton Head	S E Bermudez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Pearse	F De La Cruz

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/7/10 BOX

RACE #8 $43,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:23 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 GOOD FOREVER

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	6	Good Forever	F De La Cruz
PLACE	9-2	3	Bruster Justice	S Sanjur
SHOW	6-1	1	Shooter Justice	H Leahey
WILD CARD	12-1	9	Fierce Justice	E Esquivel

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	Zappinit	J Morales
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	11	Bonne Chere	E E Perez

* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX

RACE #9 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:53 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	9	Video Princess	G Corrales
PLACE	3-1	10	Razzaluna	S Sanjur
SHOW	8-1	6	Honeytown	V Lebron
WILD CARD	12-1	7	Point Well Taken	H Leahey

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	5	A Star for Cora	D Cannon
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	8	Rosarios Prayer	E Morales

* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/9/10 BOX, 6/7/10 BOX

RACE #10 $18,500 ALLOWANCE 330 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:23 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 BOORAY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	4	Booray	M Munoz
PLACE	5-1	5	My Liquid Love	D Villamil Bocanegra
SHOW	7-2	8	You Fly Baby Fly	G Laurianis
WILD CARD	9-2	7	Majestic Cocktail	R D Pina

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	3	Just a Blue Peanut	G Vazquez-Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Separate Incident	L D Martinez

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:41 AM

Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 9

Aug. 08, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $70,000 ALLOWANCE 2 3/8 MILES ON THE HURDLE - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-2	2	Cibolian	P Hendriks
PLACE	3-1	3	Bandua	H Beswick
SHOW	4-1	7	Neotropic	G Watters
WILD CARD	2-1	4	Rampoldi Plan	R Dunne

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Rhebus Road	T Garner
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	High Mounte	G Galligan

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:46 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 PILLBOX

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-5	9	Pillbox	T Gaffalione
PLACE	7-2	1	Shigeko	L Saez
SHOW	15-1	3	Handle the Truth	O Hernandez Moreno
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Our Rosie Diamonds	R Santana Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	1A	Carbon	J Alvarado
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	8	Susies Saver	F Prat

* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX

RACE #3 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:19 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	3	Tricky Temper	J Rosario
PLACE	9-2	11	Pretty Up	Rider TBA
SHOW	10-1	4	Dorths Sol Dancer	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Lonchura	J Alvarado

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	9	Miss dOr Cherie	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	8	My Kinda Mischief	D Davis

* EXACTA: 3-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/11 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX

RACE #4 $156,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET
BEST BET: #1A DYNADRIVE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	1A	Dynadrive	T Gaffalione
PLACE	2-1	7	Corelli	M Franco
SHOW	7-5	8	Ouster	D Davis
WILD CARD	3-1	9	Costa Terra	J Lezcano

ALTERNATE 1	9-5	1	Tide of the Sea	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Burning Bright	R Santana Jr.

* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX

RACE #5 $83,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	3	Zadorsky	J Lezcano
PLACE	5-1	8	Echo Lake	F Prat
SHOW	8-1	1	Lady Prospect	L Saez
WILD CARD	7-2	9	Crazy Cami	I Castillo

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	10	Extra Dirty	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	4	Elusive Fashion	K Carmouche

* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX

RACE #6 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	13	Honey Dijon	T Gaffalione
PLACE	5-2	7	Jodys Pride	F Prat
SHOW	6-1	6	My Cora	L Saez
WILD CARD	15-1	10	Sugar N Spice	J A Torres

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	14	Bundchen	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Reagans Version	R Santana Jr.

* EXACTA: 13-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/13 BOX, 6/7/10 BOX

RACE #7 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 ASYMMETRIC

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	4	Asymmetric	M Franco
PLACE	6-1	9	Tommy Gun	F Prat
SHOW	3-1	10	Clubhouse	L Saez
WILD CARD	8-1	2	Red D G P	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	7	Hatch	D Davis
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	1	Basis Risk	S Bridgmohan

* EXACTA: 4-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/9/10 BOX, 2/9/10 BOX

RACE #8 $149,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	3	Raging Sea	F Prat
PLACE	6-1	1	Into Happiness	J R Velazquez
SHOW	8-1	8	Sweet Willemina	K Carmouche
WILD CARD	7-2	5	Pharoahs Heart	J Lezcano

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	Fancy Azteca	D Davis
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	7	Coppa Girl	L Saez

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

RACE #9 $125,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	2	Sunset Louise	L Saez
PLACE	3-1	5	Betsy Blue	J Lezcano
SHOW	6-1	4	Bustin Bay	K Carmouche
WILD CARD	3-1	1	Venti Valentine	M Franco

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Know It All Audrey	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	6	Timeless Journey	J Rosario

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX

RACE #10 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	1	Morethanafeeling	T Gaffalione
PLACE	6-1	8	Lt. Mitchell	J Lezcano
SHOW	3-1	6	Slapintheface	M Franco
WILD CARD	3-1	15	Squid Gamer	Rider TBA

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	14	Refuah	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	12	Chulligan	J Rosario

* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-15 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 6/8/15 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:41 AM

Delaware Park Tip Sheet - August 9

Aug. 08, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 73% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	5	Mr Laoban	J Rodriguez
PLACE	3-1	8	Capt Complicated	J Trejos
SHOW	4-1	4	Sette Stelle	J Mendoza
WILD CARD	6-1	6	El Gran Cuyaya	C Cedeno

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	Nature Ofthe Beast	M Solis
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	7	Social Joe	E Ruiz

* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX

RACE #2 $7,500 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	4	Matoula	J Rodriguez
PLACE	7-2	7	Lucky Lorraine	K Gomez
SHOW	5-1	3	Rationalmillennial	J G Briceno
WILD CARD	2-1	6	Shaolin	C Cedeno

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	5	Merger of Equals	J F Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Sirenetta	W Torres

* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

RACE #3 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	12	Save Your Tears	M J Sanchez
PLACE	6-1	5	Hopeful Cure	A Crispin
SHOW	8-1	10	Wine in the Dark	J Rose
WILD CARD	12-1	7	Allies Halo	D Centeno

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Lilli Rose	A Concepcion
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	One Clear Moment	J Rodriguez

* EXACTA: 12-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/10/12 BOX, 5/7/10 BOX

RACE #4 $14,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	5	Winkiwinki	M Olver
PLACE	3-1	6	Youre the One	J Alicea
SHOW	8-1	1	Child Proof	J Mendoza
WILD CARD	4-1	7	Big Ambition	J Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Tap N Glo	A Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Fabulous Candy	J Hiraldo

* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX

RACE #5 $38,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 HEAVENLY APPOINTED

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	5	Heavenly Appointed	W Humphrey
PLACE	5-1	2	Treasured Gem	J Rodriguez
SHOW	10-1	3	Kakes Tap Dancer	J Barbosa
WILD CARD	15-1	7	Sergeant Molly	A Crispin

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	9	Evita	D Centeno
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	8	Compass Rises	C Cedeno

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX

RACE #6 $16,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	10-1	6	Valuable Breigh	Y C Ramos
PLACE	2-1	8	Cartwheel	J Rodriguez
SHOW	6-1	1	Liking It Twisted	C Marquez
WILD CARD	4-1	7	Prospera	C Cedeno

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	Calypso Ghost	A Crispin
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	2	Theas Theme	K Trotman

* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX

RACE #7 $39,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 AFANDI

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-2	2	Afandi	D Centeno
PLACE	3-2	4	R Averie Lynn	D Centeno
SHOW	5-2	10	Above the Limit	A Concepcion
WILD CARD	1-1	6	Bound by Destiny	S Marin

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	9	Twirling Savi	C Cedeno
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Lady Zeta	J Rodriguez

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/10 BOX, 4/6/10 BOX

RACE #8 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 CAMP PENDLETON

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	7	Camp Pendleton	J Barbosa
PLACE	4-1	2	Cosmic Treasure	J Hiraldo
SHOW	3-1	1	Lifespan	J Alicea
WILD CARD	6-1	3	Tiny Tin	A Crispin

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	8	Night Ops	R Silvera
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	4	Melinas Dream	J Mendoza

* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2023, 05:41 AM

Saratoga Hotlist - August 9

Aug. 08, 2023

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
7^th race [Clm 25000, N2L] – (4) Asymmetric returns from a March layoff and drops into the N2L for the first time for Chad Brown. (10) Clubhouse was second in the Jimmy Winkfield in February at Aqueduct, most recently ran in an allowance, and makes the big drop into this restricted claimer. (8) Morning Cup was fourth in this condition for a $30,000 tag after pressing the pace and got claimed by Linda Rice. The recent turf race was a throw out. (2) Red D G P broke his maiden for $30,000 at Belmont Park by more than 16 lengths.
8^th race [OC 50k/N1X, 1 mi] – (5) Pharoah’s Heart gets a pass for the turf start at Belmont in June because before that she won a second-level allowance by 19 lengths. She gets into this race with the claiming option. (4) Fancy Azteca was claimed from Linda Rice by Rick Dutrow after a $40,000 race that she won by five lengths. (3) Raging Sea will make her 2023 debut for Chad Brown after last being seen running third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies and the Alcibiades (G1). (1) Into Happiness won her last two starts moving from a N2L to a starter allowance.
9^th race [NY, Johnstone Mile, 1 mi] – (3) Know It All Audrey (A) had to check badly, lost all momentum at the quarter pole, and still managed to finish third. She is stakes-placed amongst state-breds. (2) Sunset Louise has three front running victories in a row with the last against open company. She is expected to be loose on the lead again. (5) Betsy Blue returned from a four month layoff in a NY-bred stakes race. She won a pair of open company stakes at Aqueduct in the winter. (1) Venti Valentine is a past NY-bred and open company stakes winner.
10^th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 mi TURF] – (12) Chulligan (B) was twice bumped, taken up, and then had to race wide in what was his first start of 2023 in June. (6) Slapintheface was second beaten by less than a length in his 2023 debut at the beginning of June. (9) Tony O has several good results at this level and when he is on the turf he is at his best. (1) Morethanafeeling has a pair of second-place finishes in his last two starts.
Best bets: Asymmetric (7^th); Pharoah’s Heart (8^th). Best value: Know It All Audrey (9^th); Chulligan (10^th).

No.	Name	Letter/ last race	Today's Race	Comments
(3)	Know It All Audrey	A on 7/20	9	Checked badly, lost all momentum, and finished third.
(12)	Chulligan	B on 6/23	10	Bumped twice, taken up, and then went very wide.
(13)	Heroneandonly	D on 7/8	10	First on Also Eligible list.

**ConleyPicks** · 08-09-2023, 10:45 AM

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Grand River Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 08/09 GRAND RIVER RCY

Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

Race#: 1- - TROT 08/09 GRAND RIVER RCY

4 Dollar Maker 2/1 318.33 100 26.7 62.7 2:04.0 Cullen, Travis A 28

3 Momma Made Me Good 8/1 276.61 60 11.7 58.3 2:05.2 Gois, Ondrej 10

1 Smokin Power 4/1 271.80 70 25.0 60.4 2:05.0 Boughton, David M 6

2 J M Stella 5/2 261.73 40 Q >21 70.0 61.0 2:05.1 Lacaille, Sylvain G 4

7 Biofuel 3/1 257.61 80 43.3 61.5 2:05.1 Dion, Rene 4