Friday 8/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Hotlist - August 18

Aug. 17, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (2) Hudson Ridge was second in a similar race last time and should handle this field. (4) Lottery Pick may be closing quickly at the end. (3) Birth of Cool could work out a good trip here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4.
3rd race – (4) Jersey Sunset tired late last time but adds Lasix and may not look back. (2) Idessia looks like the main threat. (5) Candy On Top is 0-for-15 but belongs in the exotics. (3) Kaylas Joy could be a factor here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.
5th race – (2) Harper’s Gallop has enough speed to lead throughout. (6) Unfaithful Ways will welcome the shorter distance. (1) La Deuxieme Etoile might wake up from the rail. (9) Shared Future should be very competitive at this level. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-9.
7th race – (8) Myfavoritedaughter (B) was a troubled second last time and can make amends here. (9) Sister Otoole ships in from New York and should relish the distance. (7) Eylara beat the top pick last time and cannot be ignored. (1) Symphony Perfect will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-7-8-9. Doubles: 1-7-8-9 with 1-5-6-10.
8th race – (5) U R Pressed was no worse than third in his last three starts and graduates today. (6) Midnight Fury will appreciate a return to dirt. (1) South Coast Route drops to a level where he should be effective. (10) Habeas should perk up while returning to a sprint. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-10.

No.		Letter/Last race	Today’s race	Comment
(8)	Myfavoritedaughter	B, 7/27	7 DMR	Was a troubled second last time

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - August 18

Aug. 17, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2^nd race [Clm 14000B, 1 mi] – (6) T Max was claimed for $30,000 at Ellis Park by Linda Rice and now drops down. She won her first two starts last year in a maiden special weight and then an allowance, each time by five lengths. (5) Luna Loca was taken for $40,000 also by Rice at Belmont Park in May and now drops after a July start at that level. She is expected to be on the lead. (7) Simple Sugar has run well at this level several times. (2) Sweet as Sugar was second at this level in the late winter and spring at Aqueduct.
4^th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 mi] – (4) Stunningly has a pair of summer starts that showed big improvement as she finished second for Steve Asmussen. (3) Miss Our Hero will make her debut for Bill Mott. She is by Tapit and is out of a stakes winning mare who has three winners from three to start. (2) Rayya Valentine is the first foal out of a mare that earned more than $657,000 and won the UAE Oaks. (1) Magical Song is a royally bred daughter of top sire Tapit and the Champion Songbird. She moves from the barn of Brad Cox, where she made three starts and finished third in her debut at Keeneland in November, to that of Todd Pletcher.
6^th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (3) Dancing Mischief (B) stretched out in distance, had to check, raced greenly, checked again, and then finished second at 4-1. (1) Frozen Four finished with good courage to get third in his first career start two weeks ago for the Clement barn. (5) Savage Spirit was sixth in his debut and now stretches out which is often a good move for turf horses. (10) Unaudited pressed the pace in his first start on the turf, had his back heels clipped, and finished sixth.
9^th race [Clm 50000, 6F] – (1) Seven Nation Army (B) raced six wide while pressing the pace, finished second, and was claimed for $25,000 after that improved effort. (6) Thinkaboutit was a winner last time with a closing move for the $50,000 tag in his first start after getting claimed for $40,000. (2) Prisoner won 4 out of his last 7 starts including last time in a second-level allowance at Monmouth Park. (7) Cees Get Degrees was claimed for $50,000 from his most recent start which was at Saratoga. He has lots of early speed and is projected to be on the lead.
Best bets: Stunningly (4^th); Dancing Mischief (6^th). Best value: T Max (2^nd); Seven Nation Army (9^th).

No.	Name	Letter/ last race	Today's Race	Comments
(3)	Dancing Mischief	B on 8/3	6	Checked, rank, checked again, and finished second.
(1)	Seven Nation Army	B on 7/22	9	Raced six wide, finished second well ahead of the rest.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Grand River Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 08/18 GRAND RIVER RCY

Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

Race#: 6- - PACE 08/18 GRAND RIVER RCY

3 D A Mcdreamy 5/2 518.51 100 60.0 75.0 1:57.0 Drury, Jonathan L 16

1 Chivalry Seelster 2/1 484.07 80 40.0 76.5 1:57.5 Moore, Tyler 17

8 B Sonny 8/1 483.15 80 31.7 70.0 1:57.7 Harris, J Bradley 28

2 Harborlite Ambrose 4/1 472.10 80 68.3 71.3 1:58.5 Sorrie, Austin 19

5 Vogue Blue Chip 6/1 463.30 80 13.3 76.7 1:58.9 Cullen, Tra

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Hoosier Park

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 08/18 HOOSIER PARK

Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

Race#: 4- - PACE 08/18 HOOSIER PARK

5 Serious Miki 5/2 753.82 100 68.3 93.0 1:49.3 Putnam, Joey 18

3 My House 7/2 704.97 90 63.3 93.0 1:49.9 Wrenn, Ronnie Jr 29

2 Er Rocky 5/1 690.00 90 83.3 93.0 1:50.0 Luna, Marvin 11

8 Bet Mine 15/1 673.95 90 26.7 93.0 1:50.0 Wilfong, Kyle 18

7 Rockie Got Framed 6/1 667.60 90 70.0 93.0 1:50.7 Oosting, Michael 20

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 1
4	4	LOU VUITTON	5/2	Gingras, Yannick - 19	458.92
6	6	BETTOR STAY HUNGRY	6/1	Palone, Dave - 24	456.89
2	2	LOU'S WORLD	7/2	Mccarthy, Todd - 15	456.67
1	1	SOLAR SOLUTION	3/1	Kakaley, Matt - 11	450.70
5	5	WATERLOO	7/1	Dunn, Dexter - 19	432.77
3	3	LYONS ROCK	4/1	Tetrick, Tim - 30	415.19

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rocksprings

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 4
3	3	GLOBAL'S GLORY	3/1	Irvine, Don Jr - 25	271.62
2	2	GET THE CAVIAR	2/1	Clemens, Brady - 17	224.76
1	1	MJ'S MAJOR TOM	4/1	Woolums, Allen - 11	219.15
4	4	FINAL VICTORY	6/1	Clemens, Brady - 17	204.82

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 8 - Post: 9:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 51 - Purse:$6000 - LEARN AND EARN PACING SERIES - 3RD LEG NON-WINNERS $3,500

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 KISSAPOTAMUS 6/1
# 2 MANHATTAN PROJECT 5/2
# 3 COURTLY PRINCE 4/1

Feel pretty confident putting mucho dinero down on KISSAPOTAMUS. This harness racer and Miller have some sort of connection going. In the money pct for this team is high. The knowledge group keenly points out that when Miller drives this contender, the odds of finishing top 3 go way up. Chances are greatly improved for nice horses coming from the 1 position at Saratoga Harness. MANHATTAN PROJECT - Great driver Hanners should find the pace of today's race to this filly's liking - could be a good wager. Look for Hanners and this horse to dominate today. Exemplary hitting the board stat for the driver/horse twosome. COURTLY PRINCE - Post 3 has been winning at a well above average percentage, suggesting great probability of success this time.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 3 - Post: 7:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$16000 - FILLIES & MARES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 4 STARTS.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 6 IN THE MOOD 6/1
# 3 MS QUICK SAND 5/2
# 10 MOMENTARILY 3/1

IN THE MOOD is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the number crunching team. The knowledge group always likes a proven player. This horse's high winning clip is proof of that. This interesting entrant could get the score here beginning from the Woodbine Mohawk Park 6 post. MS QUICK SAND - This race could be controlled by this mare. Just one look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will prove that. Most definitely the class of the pack with an average rating of 87. A nice selection. MOMENTARILY - The handicapping team noted a strong effort out of this horse last time. Looking for a duplicate of that to dominate. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at her better than average win stat.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: San Francisco/Atlanta Over 8.5 Runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4U
Friday Free Selection: Chicago White Sox/Colorado Rockies over 12 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 Sports
Friday's Free Play: Minnesota Twins -220

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Easy Money Sports
Free Friday Baseball Selection From Lee
TORONTO w/Berrios -147

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Friday Free Play
White Sox Kopech -120 MLB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood Anthony
Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Atlanta -205

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, August 18, 2023

NFLX

406. Atlanta Falcons -6.5 (4:30 PT / 7:30 ET)