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Monday 8/21/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
The Soccer comp play for Monday is on AC Milan at 2:45 eastern in SERIE A Italian League play. AC Milan has dominated Bologna as they are unbeaten here over the last 8 years and on this field Bologna has one win over the past 20 years. The two did meet in April with the game winding up a 1-1 draw. However AC Milan has solid current form and is one of the top teams in the table and will compete in the Champions League in the upcoming season. Look for the visitors to emerge with the win. Play on AC Milan. Rob V-
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our Monday Free Play. Detroit is coming off a 5-4 roadtrip including taking three of four against Cleveland over the weekend. The Tigers head back home where they have won three straight games prior to the recent trip and are in a good matchup tonight. Chicago held off a late Royals rally on Sunday to win the series and complete a 3-2 homestand. The Cubs remain three games behind Milwaukee in the National League Central so that is still up for grabs and they are currently sitting in the third Wild Card spot, one game ahead of three teams trailing them. The Tigers send Alex Faedo to the hill and after a tough start through his first six starts, he has settled in of late. Over his last three outings, he has posted a 1.72 ERA and 0.83 WHIP covering 15.2 innings as his command has improved dramatically. Chicago turns to Javier Assad who is making just his fifth start and fourth since April. He too has been solid as he has a 2.70 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in his three August starts, turning in a pair of quality outings over his last two games but is a bit overpriced in this spot on the road. Play (966) Detroit Tigers
The Tigers are 6-4 over their last 10 games and right-hander Alex Faedo is 1-0 with a 1.72 ERA and only six hits allowed through 15 2/3 innings over his last three starts.
The Cubs are also 6-4 in their last 10 games, but note that they are only 12-14 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
The Tigers are 9-3 when playing on a Monday. The Cubs are 5-8 in their Monday night games.
Bet this free pick on the Tigers with 2% of your bankroll.
I'll take my chances with the Cubs as a slim -118 road favorite against the Tigers in Monday's series opener. This is way too good a price to pass up on Chicago, who continues to play great baseball down the stretch. Cubs will also have a pretty good starter going in this one with Javier Assad set to make his 5th start. Assad has a 3.20 ERA and 1.169 WHIP in 4 starts. He was so-so in his first two starts, but has been dominant in his last 2 outings, giving up just 3 ER on 8 hits in 13 innings. This is a bit of a flat spot for Detroit, who just finished up a lengthy 9-game road trip, with the last 6 of those coming against division opponents. Tigers will have Alex Faedo on the mound. He's got a 5.16 ERA in 9 starts and a 6.16 ERA in 6 home starts. Give me the Cubs -118!
Javier Assad has been dominant in little action for the Chicago Cubs as a starter this season. He is 1-0 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.169 WHIP in four starts. Assad has allowed just 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 13 innings in his last two starts against the Blue Jays and White Sox.
The Cubs have a big advantage at the plate here over the Tigers. They score 5.0 runs per game compared to just 4.0 runs per game for the Tigers. Detroit has been limited to 4 or fewer runs in eight of its last 10 games overall.
I expect the Cubs to get to Alex Faedo, who is 2-4 with a 5.16 ERA in nine starts this season. Faedo is 2-3 with a 6.16 ERA in six home starts as well. This is very good value on a playoff contender in the Cubs as a short favorite over a Tigers team that is 10 games under .500 and out of contention. Bet the Cubs Monday.
ASA Free Play on Philadelphia Phillies (-157) over San Francisco Giants, Monday 6:40 ET - There is no love lost between the City of Brotherly Love and current Giants manager Gabe Kapler. In other words, this is a special series for the Phillies in more ways than one. Though they lost 4-3 in the game versus the Nationals in Williamsport last night, Philadelphia is 3-1 the last 4 times they have been at home and coming off a loss. This line is a little on the pricey side but you are reading about it here because we like grabbing Nola when he is pitching at home and the Phillies are off a loss. At the same time, the Giants' Alexander is really just an opener here and he'll be followed by Manea most likely. Either way, we like the home team to bounce back strong at home here as San Francisco is 11-14 against NL East teams and has a 30-31 record on the road while Philly is tough at home with a 34-24 record here on the season but particularly tough in a spot like this and we see the Phillies pulling away as this one goes on. Free Play PHILADELPHIA -157
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves 5-Unit Best bet on the Atlanta Braves using the -1.5-run line. Consider betting 4-Units preflop on the Run Line and then look to add a 1-Unit amount on the money line if the Mets score first.
Betting against a team, like the Mets, that has a losing record and has batted a solid 270 or better over their last five games and is facing a team that is 30 or more games above .500 and with the game occurring after the all-star break has earned a 151-64 record for 70% winning bets and has earned a highly profitable 21.5% ROI since 2007.
John Harbaugh and the Ravens are 24-0 in the pre-season dating back to 2015. They failed to cover in last week's 20-19 win over the Eagles, and maybe that is why they are just a three point favorite here at Washington. The Commanders have a quarterback competition ongoing, so it's expected that they might play their starters. You have to ask yourself... how many times since 2015 has this Baltimore team faced an opponent that has an ongoing quarterback competition and is playing their starters. They won all those previous games, and they are well aware that they have this incredible win streak. Ron Rivera is 2-5 in his last seven pre-season games, and I don't think he cares as much about who wins, but rather how well Sam Howell plays in the time he has.
The Boston Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last seven games. The Houston Astros are 2-5 in their last seven games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer four times. James Paxton is the better starter in this matchup for the Red Sox. He is 7-3 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 16 starts this season. Paxton is 9-4 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 16 previous starts against the Astros. Christian Javier has been inconsistent all season with a 4.49 ERA in 23 starts, including a 7.56 ERA in his last nine starts while giving up 35 earned runs and 10 HR in 41 2/3 innings. Boston is 30-29 (+11.1 Units) as an underdog this season. Houston is 10-18 (-13.1 Units) at home with a money line of +100 to -150 this season. Give me the Red Sox.
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