Monday 9/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Matt Fargo

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS+106 for our Monday Free Play. Washington snapped a five-game losing streak with a 2-1 win over the Brewers on Sunday in 11 innings. It was not a great roadtrip and while the Nationals have not been great at home overall, they are 18-11 over their last 29 home games and going back to early-July, the Nationals are 32-29 over their last 61 games and on the season, +21.2 units. Chicago comes in as a favorite on the road, which should not be the case. The White Sox were shutout 4-0 on Sunday and have now lost seven of their last nine games with most of those losses coming at home. Chicago comes in with a 27-48 record on the road. Mike Clevinger has been pitching well of late which is the reason for the favorite role. He has allowed three runs or less in 12 of his last 14 starts dating back to May with a couple of injury stints in-between there but the wins have not been coming including the road where the White Sox are 4-6. Joan Adon has made seven starts since entering the rotation, some good and some bad. He has allowed three runs or less in four of those and while he is coming off a start where he allowed four runs, in the two previous times he allowed four or more runs, he has followed those up with great bounce backs, allowing only two runs in 11 combined innings. Play (970) Washington Nationals

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on White Sox vs Nationals over 9

*All MLB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Saints/Panthers under 39.5 +100

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

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Dustin Hawkins

1 Dimer on Saints vs Panthers over 39

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Under 39 Saints/Panthers

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Cole Faxon

FREE PLAY on Saints/Panthers over 39

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Phillies+103

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Dave Price

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Philadelphia Phillies -109

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies are still trying to clinch a wild card. The Atlanta Braves have clinched the NL East and all but clinched the top seed in the National League. They Braves were just swept in Miami while giving up a total of 36 runs in 3 games to the Marlins. They will give up another big number to the Phillies tonight. Kyle Wright is 0-2 with a 7.48 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in 6 starts this year for the Braves. He just yielded 6 earned runs in 3 innings to the Phillies in his last start. Zack Wheeler is 7-4 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 16 road starts for the Phillies this year. Wheeler is 11-8 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 27 lifetime starts against the Braves. Take Philadelphia.

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Ray Monohan

Free Play: Braves ML

Probable Pitchers: PHI - Z. Wheeler-R vs ATL - K. Wright-R

After witnessing the Braves (96-53) suffer a surprising sweep at the hands of the resurgent Marlins, whose bats seem to be catching fire, my money is on Atlanta to bounce back in a big way tonight against Wheeler and the Phillies.

It's worth noting that these two teams clashed just last week, with Atlanta emerging victorious in 3/4 games securing the NL East in the process. 5 days ago Atlanta won 4-1. (Last game of series) I expect a similar score line on Monday night. Atlanta is just clicking on all cylinders right now (apart from this weekend) They've put together an incredible offensive season, and they have to get the offense back on track in this series, and it starts tonight vs. Wheeler. Philadelphia (81-68) managed to claim two out of three wins in their recent series against the Cardinals.

In the latest matchup, Wheeler didn't sway the outcome on Tuesday. He surrendered 6 runs from 7 hits and 3 walks across 5 innings in a close 7-6 defeat to Atlanta, managing to strike out 4 batters along the way. Meanwhile, Wright, who's been struggling, suffered a loss on Monday. He gave up 6 runs, allowing 6 hits and 2 walks in just 3 innings during a 7-5 loss to the Phillies, recording 3 strikeouts in the process. He'll get "Wright" tonight. (LOL)

Some trends to note, the Braves have hit the ML in 63 of their last 92 games (+9.25 Units / 5% ROI). Philadelphia are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Atlanta, and they're 6-14 SU in their L20 games when playing on the road against the Braves. Atlanta are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games against an opponent in the NL East.

The line is close on this one because Wheeler has had success vs. Atlanta in his career, but we're backing the Braves on the ML tonight.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 5* FREE MLB ML Play

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Will Rogers

Free Play: Phillies-109

Can the Braves really lose four in a row? Acuna could be out, and he has been dynamite against today's starter for the Phillies. Atlanta's starter, recent IL returnee Wright, certainly struggled in his first appearance, lasting just 3 innings and giving up 6 runs. Phillies starter Wheeler has been effective lately except vs the Braves in his last start. He is a money pitcher and the Phillies need this win, so I am banking on a better effort from him today. The offenses are ranked 2nd and 6th in the last week, but the Braves pitching , especially it's bullpen, has been dreadful of late. I am excited to report that the Phillies actually have an effective relief corps this year and they have pitched well of late. Look for a big game from Phillies' ace and bats as the Braves lose a meaningless (to them) game today.

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AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY Phillies+103

Playoff implications on the line for Philadelphia in this series. The difference-maker for us though in the opener of this series starts and ends with the starting pitching. The Braves go with the struggling Kyle Wright (0-2, 7.48 ERA, 1.89 WHIP), while the visitors counter with the in form Zach Wheeler (11-6, 3.70, 1.07.) Consider Philadelphia on Monday night!

AAA Sports

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Texas Rangers -157

The Texas Rangers are back home and playing a team they can take advantage of to try and win the AL West or at least make the playoffs. The Boston Red Sox come to town after going 2-10 in their last 12 games overall and just playing out the string. The Rangers have the advantage on the mound in this game with Jordan Montgomery, who is 9-11 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 29 starts this season. He was tremendous in his last start pitching 7 shutout innings against the Blue Jays in a 10-0 victory. That's a Blue Jays team that they swept on the road and one that they are battling with to make the playoffs. Kutter Crawford is 6-6 with a 4.88 ERA in 20 starts for the Red Sox, and 0-1 with a 9.81 ERA in his last three starts. Crawford gave up 3 earned runs in 4 innings to the Rangers in his lone start against them this season. Boston is 1-9 in Crawford's last 10 starts after he gave up one or fewer earned run in his last start. Give me the Rangers.

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Rob Vinciletti

The MLB Comp play for Monday is on Texas-157 at 8:05 eastern. The Rangers fit a nice 12-2 system for Non Division home favorites in September games if the total is 8 or more and both teams are in off a road loss. The Rangers were blast by Cleveland on Sunday. Texas is a much better home team sitting 15 games over .500 on their home soil so we will back Montgomery and Texas over Boston and Crawford. Jump on now as we start the week fast. For the Comp play. Take Texas. Rob V-

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Astros-145

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Mike Williams

1* on Astros-158