Wednesday 10/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:33 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special

PURCHASE

Equibase Special - Race 1	Leg 1 of the Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 88 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 2:36P
KEE - R4 - (RAIL AT 30 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $75,000). IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SEA DANCER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. COLONIAL ROSE: Today is a h orse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). TURINO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. JUST PRADA: Today is a horse's first or second race on tur f, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). SHOW ME THE CANDY: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts).
13	SEA DANCER	5/2	5/1
6	COLONIAL ROSE	4/1	6/1
14	TURINO	9/2	8/1
9	JUST PRADA	15/1	9/1
15	SHOW ME THE CANDY	10/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	HIGH FASHION KATE	4	20/1	Front-runner	0	0	68.3	60.7	44.2
2	WINSOME BEAUTY	2	6/1	Front-runner	72	72	66.4	68.3	53.3
12	CARINA NEBULA	12	9/2	Front-runner	71	60	56.7	58.1	40.6
11	MAYBE MAGIC	11	30/1	Front-runner	0	0	43.6	52.1	28.6
6	COLONIAL ROSE	6	4/1	Stalker	81	80	74.5	74.5	67.5
14	TURINO	14	9/2	Stalker	81	72	68.3	68.3	62.3
10	FUN LOVING	10	8/1	Stalker	72	69	35.6	60.5	41.0
1	I'M A MESS	1	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	110.0	68.3	60.8
13	SEA DANCER	13	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	81	80	97.1	74.0	69.5
15	SHOW ME THE CANDY	15	10/1	Trailer	0	0	70.2	69.2	61.7
8	PENDULUM	8	7/2	Trailer	69	67	63.5	63.5	49.0
16	FLORIBUNDA	16	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	92.9	62.6	49.1

Unknown Running Style: KILLSHAVE BEAUTY (15/1) [Jockey: Beschizza Adam - Trainer: McKeever Andrew], MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA (30/1) [Jockey: Elliott Jane - Trainer: Wittek Karyn], PURR FACTOR (12/1) [Jockey: Torres Cristian A - Trainer: DeVaux Cherie], JUS

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:34 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer ParkPURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race 4	2nd Half Daily Double $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 5 (races 4-8) $.50 Wheel
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 55 • Purse: $16,500 • Post: 8:15P
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. SPIDER PIG is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * I'LL SMOKEM: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MANSION PARTY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SPIDER PIG: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	I'LL SMOKEM	7/2	9/2
2	MANSION PARTY	4/1	5/1
8	SPIDER PIG	5/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	MOON RIDGE	3	12/1	Front-runner	52	29	56.6	24.8	11.3
6	STANDINGINTHEFIRE	6	3/1	Front-runner	57	40	54.5	31.8	23.3
2	MANSION PARTY	2	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	54	51	47.8	42.2	35.7
5	I'LL SMOKEM	5	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	60	52	48.7	48.0	45.0
7	TWO MORE SHOTS	7	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	60	38	39.4	33.6	27.6
8	SPIDER PIG	8	5/1	Trailer	60	47	36.5	37.0	30.5
1	HEARTFELT KARTER	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	16.3	32.2	20.7

Unknown Running Style: CRUZIN FOR CHAOS (10/1) [Jockey: Simpson Jason - Trainer: Viands Gregory].

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:34 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17700 Class Rating: 86

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE IN 2023 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 SECRETARY AT WAR 7/2
# 11 SKY JUMPER 6/1
# 1 NOT TODAY SATAN 9/2

SECRETARY AT WAR figures to be the wager in here. Have to assume this equine will make a good impression again this time out. Has posted formidable speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent speed figs with an average of 82. SKY JUMPER - His earnings per start in dirt sprint events alone makes you take a look at him. Always seems to be close up on the wire. NOT TODAY SATAN - Has ran solidly in dirt sprint races. Should keep the strong string of finishes intact today.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:34 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Thistledown - Race #8 - Post: 4:20pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,900 Class Rating: 51

Rating:

#4 SHOWTIME BOY (ML=5/1)
#3 HARSH TRUTH (ML=5/2)

SHOWTIME BOY - I think Thistledown players know a good thing when they see the jockey/trainer tandem of Aviles and Fernandez. Their winning percent together has been strong. HARSH TRUTH - This fine animal should be motoring down the lane.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 EL SORDO (ML=9/5), #2 MILAGRO DE JOVANNI (ML=7/2), #5 ROUGE TU RICHES (ML=6/1),

EL SORDO - Hasn't raced or had any workouts since August 28th. Not much value on this chalk horse. MILAGRO DE JOVANNI - This gelding didn't do too much last out. The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this horse as a likely underlay. ROUGE TU RICHES - This equine doesn't have a winning spirit. Often finishes near the winner.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #4 SHOWTIME BOY to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:34 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17600 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 11, 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $9,000 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 FIRST DEPUTY 3/1
# 2 JITTER JUICE 5/2
# 7 PARADE FIELD 6/1

FIRST DEPUTY is my choice. He has earned very good figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well against this group. With one of the top jock in terms of returns at the window, don't count this horse out. Seems to have a solid class edge based on the latest company kept. JITTER JUICE - Likely to see a formidable attempt with the class drop. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 81 - of his last affair. PARADE FIELD - Could best this group of animals based on the speed figure - 74 - of his last affair. He has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group of horses in this race.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:34 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Delaware Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:30pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#4 DESI'S REWARD (ML=8/1)
#1 RED WINE TIME (ML=8/1)
#3 HAPPY UNION (ML=4/1)

DESI'S REWARD - Shipped in on Sep 28th to take the top prize here. Take right back again. The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let her get away early they probably won't catch her. This filly is in good form. Ran first on September 28th. I think this filly is coming into top form. RED WINE TIME - Many positive 'sensations' joined to this pony and her connections. HAPPY UNION - Last race was at Delaware Park in a race with an Equibase class figure of 76. Dropping a significant amount in Equibase class figure in today's event puts her in a solid position in this race. In the last race, finished eighth on the soft turf at Delaware Park. Expect better right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SEIVER (ML=2/1), #6 SHAOLIN (ML=3/1),

SEIVER - The chalk horse is vulnerable here with the lack of morning drills. You always think this horse has a shot to be the victor, but she falters regularly. No early speed in this group to help set-up her late rush. Hard to back the favorite when she continues to lose as the favorite. SHAOLIN - Not much value on this participant at the probable odds of 3/1.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 DESI'S REWARD is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,4] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:35 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrington Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Post: 6:12 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 58 - Purse:$110000 - DELAWARE STANDARDBRED BREEDERS FUND FINAL 2 YEAR OLDS COLTS & GELDINGS HARRINGTON RACE CONDITIONS DRIVER CHOICES: NO. 2 & 4 ARE UNCOUPLED PER D.H.R.C. RULE 7.1.4.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 4 LG 'S JAXON 9/5
# 2 LG'S BLUESTONE 2/1
# 6 RONNIE RIDGE 6/1

LG 'S JAXON looks competitive to best this field of starters. Had one of the finest speed figures of the field of starters in his last race. Must use in your wagers. Always terrific driver-trainer twosome. 32 percent winners when they team up. Have to make Morand the play here if only for the last thirty days win pct. Big probability for the win. LG'S BLUESTONE - Many selectors know speed is is key. This horse has credentials with a 58 avg rating. This gelding has been doing work versus some of the most competitive company in this field of horses recently. RONNIE RIDGE - That 57 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the most recent race puts this contender in the mix this time.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:35 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Post: 9:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$10000 - **THE ANAKIN SKYWALKER** 2 YEAR OLD COLTS AND GELDINGS-N/W 1 EXT PM RACE OR $6,000 LT UP TO AND INC. 10/2/23

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 4 SKYWAY CHECKMATE 3/1
# 6 JOY IN MUDVILLE 8/1
# 3 TELLITLIKESONNY 9/2

We've got good feelings SKYWAY CHECKMATE is going to get the win. With a great 76 speed rating last time out, will more than likely be a factor in this competition. Post 4 has been winning at a much better than average percent, suggesting good probability of success for this race. JOY IN MUDVILLE - Certainly did like this gelding's last race. Ran a big 75 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major contender. Tough to pass on this gelding with sharp Tetrick in the sulky. Major player for the top prize. TELLITLIKESONNY - Fantastic driver Putnam should find the pace of today's race to this gelding's liking - could be a good wager.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:35 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
2	2	TIAMOGONEDANCEN	7/2	Palone, Dave - 24	442.46
5	5	NIGHT LEGS	9/1	Monti, Drew - 8	428.02
1	1	REAL LADY SADIE	5/2	Mcneight, Robert - 8	425.22
8	8	CATS IMAGE	3/1	Indof, Jeremy - 11	421.30
4	4	KEYSTONE STEVIE	6/1	Brown, Brady - 8	395.64
6	6	AINT WATCHING	20/1	Yoder, Wilbur - 6	392.63
3	3	BUFFALO HEART	20/1	Killeen, Jack - 6	381.26
7	7	DONT U WANNA STAY	20/1	Wilder, Mike - 17	378.59
9	9	DANDY'S STARLETTE	20/1	Zendt, Brian - 7	376.03

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:35 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 7
5	5	CINNAMON STICK	5/2	Merton, Gregory - 27	487.66
8	8	BULLY BOY	3/1	Taggart, Jim Jr - 19	475.58
4	4	RACEACE	4/1	Schwartz, Alan - 17	469.50
6	6	E R SHANE	7/2	Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 13	464.91
1	1	EXPLOSIVE	8/1	Chindano, Joseph Jr - 16	434.78
7	7	MISS MUSCLE	9/2	Dibenedetto, Kyle - 7	434.46
2	2	CHAPERIDGE	6/1	Merton, Michael - 21	433.05
3	3	MAGNIFICENTCHAPTER	10/1	Parker, Brandon - 13	431.77

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:44 AM

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Philadelphia w/Nola -125 over Atlanta

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:44 AM

Free play from Totals4U

Wednesday Free Selection: Montreal/Toronto over 6 1/2

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:44 AM

Free play from #1 Sports

Wednesday's Free Play: Carolina Hurricanes - 210

**ConleyPicks** · 10-11-2023, 09:45 AM

Free play from Easy Money Sports

Free Wednesday Hockey Selection From Lee
Calgary Flames -135

Wednesday 10/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 10/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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