Wednesday 10/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

JEREMY PLONK KEENELAND

Jeremy Plonk’s Keeneland Keys for Wednesday, October 11, 2023

What to Watch for Today: An eight-race card welcomes Week 2 action, which means that Races 4 and 5 will overlap in the early and late pick four and pick five. A trio of juvenile races – two on the turf – are in the mix.

Today’s Keeneland Turf Pick Three races will be Races 4,6,8 for the $3 minimum, a 15% takeout wager.

Handicapping Head-start: Be sure to join me at 8:30 pm ET on the night before each racing day’s card for the Keeneland Look-Ahead video podcast. It streams live on the Keeneland YouTube page as well on Twitter @Keenelandracing, @BetKeeneland and @Horseplayernow.

Weather: Mostly sunny skies with temps in the low 70s are in a beautiful forecast.

My Selections: You can get my top 3 picks in each race on the track simulcast feed before each race as well on the Keeneland.com handicappers’ consensus page (https://www.keeneland.com/racing/wag...pers-consensus).

Keeneland Handicapping 101: Most information is gleaned from the free Keeneland Handicapping database (http://apps.keeneland.com/awstats/Default.asp) that you can manipulate and search for yourself as well!

1st Race
Week 2 begins with dual-condition claimers routing 1-1/16 miles on dirt. The historical trends for Keeneland Fall Meet dual-condition claimers are formful races with an average winner at 4-1 odds and less than 5% won by horses 10-1 or more … though 15-1 Navy Soul popped here Sunday in a similar spot. Churchill preppers win more than a third of them overall and tower over the prep locale competition, though Horseshoe Indianapolis is competitive with the others and included Sunday’s winner from Indy. Lady With a Cause is the CD rep here and looks logical on paper with a Keeneland victory over this distance during the Spring Meet. A trio of these runners come in via Belterra Park in Ohio, but note Btp preppers won just 2 races at the entire 2022 Fall Meet (none yet so far in 2023).


2nd Race
The early pick 4 starts with a 2-year-old maiden special sprint at 7 furlongs. The historical trends for Keeneland Fall Meet 2-year-old MSW dirt sprints is to follow the toteboard. Favorites are a strong 44% and all 6 winners opening weekend were between 3-1 and 5-1 odds. Winners are evenly split among first-time starters and Churchill preppers with a massive gap to any other venue, but the first-time starters won 4 offerings opening week. Give extra credence if a rookie has a local Keeneland workout prior. The rookies here are Silent Spectre, Great Richie M, Mr Faversham and Cloth of Gold from the main body of the field. Wecallemfuncoupons, Tiz My Hero, Money Shot and Lead Foot represent CD.


3rd Race
Starter allowance sprinters kick off the pick 6 at 7 furlongs. This might be the strongest and deepest race of the meet so far with several runners in raging good form. We’ve had 47 starter allowances on dirt in the Fall Meets with 19 winners via Churchill Downs, and Horseshoe Indianapolis far back next with 5. The average winner has been 5-1 odds with favorites way underperforming at 14-47. But note 40 of 47 winners were 8-1 or less, so these have been excellent betting chances for fair prices. Churchill runners here include Like a Saltshaker, One Cool Due, Junior Bug and Risk Profile. Caramel Chip was a smashing winner here in April of a nearly identical race. Casey’s Memory brings a strong record from Iowa’s Prairie Meadows and could like the Kee footing in his local debut as a son of sire Honor Code.


4th Race
The Keeneland Turf Pick Three and the late pick 5 start in this 2-year-old maiden special weight at 1 mile on grass. The historical trends for Keeneland Fall Meet 2-year-old MSW turf routes is to be on longshot alert. The average winner is 9.5-1 odds from nearly 70 such races in the database with as many winners 10-1 or more as winning favorites. Only about half the winners prepped at a route distance, so don’t be afraid of a stretch-out in trip; note two-thirds of the winners did prep on turf. Winners are really spread evenly with an ever-slight edge to Kentucky Downs preppers over first-time starters, Churchill and NYRA preppers all nearly identical. Several of the top KD interests in this race are on the also-eligible list, so keep an eye on the changes.


5th Race
The late pick four opener is a non-winners of 2 lifetime (N2L) claimer at 6 furlongs on dirt. We’ve had 24 such N2L claimers at this distance in Fall Meets and just over half the winners (13) were shortening distance from their previous start. Churchill preppers lead Indy 8-3 in these spots, so horses like Go Margie Go and Two Fast for You on CD cut-backs in distance could fit the profile. Don’t be worried so much about a surface change in these races as 9 of 24 winners made such a move. One of my favorite traditional handicapping angles is to bet horses in N2L claimers who have the strongest maiden wins on paper since they’ve all just won once. The Indy open MSW wins by Intermittent Fast and Too Fast for You rate highest in quality to me in this field.


6th Race
This entry-level (N1X) turf mile allowance serves as the middle leg of today’s Keeneland Turf Pick Three. The historical trends for Keeneland Fall Meet turf route allowance races is for favorites to underperform (just 27%) with an average winner at 6-1 odds. These races about 40% of their winners come evenly split via Kentucky Downs and New York (Saratoga, Belmont, Aqueduct) with a big gap back to Churchill Downs next-best. Opening week’s pair of such offerings were split between KD and Sar preppers. The main body of the field here has 4 via KD: Make the Boys Wink, Lilac Girl, Up and Down and Lemon Bomb; while Whiskey Lullaby is the only NYRA shipper. The average winner of these races is nearly 4 lengths off the lead after the first half-mile with only 17% of winners leading that that point. No trainer has won more Fall Meet turf ALW routes here since 2006 than Graham Motion’s 25 (Up and Down).


7th Race
Starter allowance performers route 1-1/16 miles on dirt in this one. We’ve had 47 starter allowances on dirt in the Fall Meets with 19 winners via Churchill Downs, and Horseshoe Indianapolis far back next with 5. The average winner has been 5-1 odds with favorites way underperforming at 14-47. But note 40 of 47 winners were 8-1 or less, so these have been excellent betting chances for fair prices. Sant’ Antimo is a Churchill prepper at an attractive 9-2 morning line and by strong Kee dirt sire Honor Code. Fightertown also comes via CD and is by high-volume Kee dirt sire Into Mischief.


8th Race
The nightcap is a split division of Race 4 for 2-year-old maiden special weight turf milers. It wraps today’s Keeneland Turf Pick Three and all the late multi-race wagers. The historical trends for Keeneland Fall Meet 2-year-old MSW turf routes is to be on longshot alert. The average winner is 9.5-1 odds from nearly 70 such races in the database with as many winners 10-1 or more as winning favorites. Only about half the winners prepped at a route distance, so don’t be afraid of a stretch-out in trip; note two-thirds of the winners did prep on turf. Winners are really spread evenly with an ever-slight edge to Kentucky Downs preppers over first-time starters, Churchill and NYRA preppers all nearly identical. From KD, Auraculous and Cairo Street are both of interest in this spot, offering more value than fellow RD raider Spiritual Lady based on the morning line.

[ConleyPicks]

CATON BREDAR KEENELAND

Comments for Wednesday Oct 11 Keeneland

1st Race
While the weekend wasn't particularly kind to speed horses on either surface, conditions have changed and a warm up is projected so handicap with an open mind. The opener is a pretty evenly matched group with six of eight having a fighter's chance. 5-Vintage has done more recently than anyone in the field, with a win at Saratoga followed by a win at Finger Lakes. The filly can lead or stalk and appears to be the marginally best in the group exiting the best Finger Lakes has to offer at the level. 1-Sicilian Grandma disappointed in her turf try at Kentucky Downs but won on dirt before with an easy group. Maker and Gaffalione team up with a filly who definitely can rebound. 2-Lady With a Cause has a prior win at Keeneland and ran well enough in Indy to be competitive with this group. Best advice, spread for this first leg of the Pick 5.


2nd Race
The two-year-old maiden races have been somewhat unpredictable and this one may be no exception, with some of the most interesting contenders (14-Gagliardi, 16-We Miss Arlington and 13-Waldrip) all on the also eligibles. If any scratch in, they should be considered. If none scratch in, 2-Wecallemfuncoupons just about won over at Churchill Downs last month in an easier maiden claimer. The son of Twirling Candy adds blinkers, has tactical speed and seems like the type able to make the 7 furlong distance. 11-Mr. Faversham has been working well for his debut. His trainer Cherie DeVaux isn't known to press a horse to win first out, but her stable is generally performing very well everywhere and with a win-early type of horse, she's certainly capable. 8-Silent Spectre offers mixed signals with a solid pedigree and strong works but over synthetic at Turfway. Seven furlongs may be tricky for a first timer, but connections are solid. Others definitely with a chance include 3-Stunnem who was second in New York last month against easier and first time son of Tapizar, 12-Cloth of Gold, who debuts with some solid works at Keeneland. Definitely a race to keep an eye on the tote board for clues.


3rd Race
Start of the Pick 6 seems to lean toward a few horses. 4-Caramel Chip retains Irad Oriz, Jr., who has ridden him to four victories from five rides. The warhorse won his only start at Keeneland, is effective at 7 furlongs and comes off a win at Parx in the slop at the same level. He just missed on a fast track at Saratoga against tougher, so he's definitely top choice. 2-Like a Saltshaker has won three of his lsat four starts including a Churchill Downs Starter Allowance last out almost identical to the one he's in here. 10-Shckleford Strong may well be the speed of the speed and seeks his fifth win in a row, although the last four were all at Hawthorne against easier. If the track hasn't changed since the weekend, consider late running 7-Junior Bug, who just missed at this level last out and will appreciate the 7 furlongs.


4th Race
Maiden fillies get a turn on the grass in another wide open group. For the Turf Pick 3, it doesn't get any easier later, so best strategy might be to narrow things down here in the first leg. Once again, the seemingly strongest contenders (13-Sea Dancer, 14-Turino15-Show Me the Candy and even 16-Floribunda) are all on the outside looking in; if any draw into the race, they should move to the top of the list despite the outside post. Of those in the body of the race, 4-High Fashion Kate ran well sprinting at Ellis and seems the type who will appreciate more ground. She led for half the race before fading in her most recent out, but the winner, Buchu, came back to win the Jessamin here opening weekend so we won't hold that against her, plus she seems better suited to run with a target rather than be the target. Corey Lanerie goes into the day 1 win shy of 5,000 career victories, and having ridden this filly last out, may have learned a few things about her that could get him to his milestone. 8-Pendulum was a good third at Kentucky Downs and gets more ground to work with. 2-Winsome Beauty is improving with each start and just missed at this level at Ellis last out.


5th Race
First leg of the late Pick 4 is a conditioned (or 'beaten') claiming race for non winners of two races lifetime. 6-Go Margie Go broke her maiden in her debut at Hawthorne in front running fashion as favorite then failed to pick up a hoof on turf in a very tough Churchill allowance. She's the pick in a return to the dirt, catch her if you can. 7-AAdio Muchachas ran very well to win first time out on turf at Canterbury Downs and is bred to handle the move to dirt. 2-Shy Shy also broke her maiden in a Canterbury turf maiden special. Trainer Mack Robertson goes to Tyler Gaffalione, and the filly showed some ability on dirt prior to her win.


6th Race
Second leg of the Turf Pick 3 is also the feature of the day, with distaffers going one mile on turf. Several horses suffered rough trips in their previous starts including 5-Lilac Girl, who rushed up to challenge the leaders early at Kentucky Downs, seemed unsure of herself on the uphill portion of the race, was taken ahold of then rushed back to vie with the front pack before fading at the end. Prior to that start, she was just beaten at this level at Keeneland in the spring, so the return combined with her reuniting with Luis Saez for her second start off the layoff should all lead to a much more positive effort. 9-Beautifulnavigator exits stakes company for her third start following a layoff. The filly also had a rough trip in the Virginia Oaks and is capable of a nice late rally--where most of the turf winners have been coming from this meet. 3-Up and Down was beaten a neck at this level at Kentucky Downs last start; she's made a habit of running well without winning but did break her maiden at Keeneland in the spring.11-Star Fortress makes her US debut, adds Lasix, gets Rosario and has been working well since coming to Cherie DeVaux's barn. The trainer wins 27% with runners new to her barn and 21% when adding Lasix; a lot of pluses to consider.


7th Race
Horses who have started for a claiming price of $30,000 or less are generally inconsistent, but 1-Hurry Hurry has had some seemingly legitimate excuses. Last out as the favorite, the colt was bothered badly at the start and still made up group to finish fourth going a mile. The previous start was on a good (wet) track and against extremely tough company. And the start before, for $75,000 claiming, he battled for the lead and won easily at high odds. Closer to the pace this time, barring traffic trouble or track conditions, the colt should be very competitive at the mile and a sixteenth. 10-Master Game makes his second start following a layoff and will benefit from a fitness standpoint. He closed well at Ellis to be second with tougher. 2-Fightertown won his last against easier at Churchill Downs but looked good going so and may be the best of the front runners, of which there aren't many.


8th Race
Last leg of the Turf Pick 3 (and last leg of all the multi race sequences) is another wide open affair with maiden juvenile fillies going a mile on the turf. 6-Luz Divina has had two prior tries on grass, both of them solid. In her most recent out in Louisville, she was second to the highly regarded (and now Jessamine winner and Breeders' Cup bound) Buchu. Definitely top choice although others can improve with the switch to turf including 5-Extremely Gruntled, a daughter of hot stallion Not This Time. The Kenny McPeek runner showed little on dirt at Saratoga, but Kenny has solid stats moving to the turf, and the filly has the pedigree to enjoy it as well. 7-Cairo Street has also faced tough company on grass and comes off an improving third at Kentucky Downs for trainer Ian Wilkes, who scored at Keeneland on Sunday with his son-in-law Chris Landeros aboard. Others to consider if you want to cover the bases include 8-Auraculous (close second in a turf sprint last out who should like the distance) and 11-LaScalnoeta, a More Than Ready filly trying grass for the first time.

[ConleyPicks]

ED DEROSA KEENELAND

1st Race
Going to try to stem the tide of Sunday's skid right off the rip with #5 Vintage, who I expect to be forwardly placed shipping in for trainer Jeffrey Englehart and returning to the claiming ranks under Reylu Gutierrez. Army Mule filly has Brisnet pace ratings at par for the level and a seemingly strong kick late relative to the level. Being for Vintage means I'm against 6-to-5 morning line favorite #1 Sicilian Grandma. Obviously, the starter on turf at Kentucky Downs is forgivable, but at this price, I'm not willing to answer the two-turn question, which our top pick already has. I bring this up because they are both by Army Mule, who has not been a stamina influence by any means.

PICKS: 5-4-6-2, against #1

2nd Race
I asked Scott Shapiro, who handicaps Kentucky racing for TwinSpires, if he thought Keeneland had more contender AEs than other tracks. He said he hadn't noticed. Cool story, right bro? Well, the reason I bring it up is because I'm an also eligible not only in this race but also two others today. That's 3 out of 8! I.e. 37.5%. Wild.
Anyway, #14 Gagliardi will need to draw in to make his debut for Diversified Pedigree Acquisitions Inc., which acquired the Omaha Beach colt as a yearling for $32,000. Omaha Beach is a freshman sire this year and is off to a great start, throwing 27% first-out winners. The dam, the unraced A.P. Indy mare Listen A. P., has thrown 7 winners already, including a trio of two-year-old winners and a stakes winner. #2 Wecallemfuncoupons makes me wonder what fun coupons are and if they're safe for a family audience. More importantly, though, that was a strong debut last month at Churchill Downs, and now trainer Jeffrey Englehart (who we picked in race 1 as well) adds blinkers and retains Julien Leparoux.

PICKS: 14-2-16-8-11

3rd Race
Starter allowance for horses who have previously competed for a $10,000 claiming tag, and I am most encouraged by #4 Caramel Chip's consistency. Even in trying tougher competition than he'll see today, he "always runs his race" with additional points for a win at this track and distance. #2 Like a Saltshaker fits these conditions as well as our top pick, but at 2-to-1 morning line versus 3-to-1 top tab, I slotted the deuce in the second spot. Assuming Sicilian Grandma is an overlay in race 1, I don't mind using both these horses here. It's pretty open behind them, so willing to gamble a bit with the biggest prices post "/" underneath the top two.

PICKS: 4-2 / 11-7-12-10-9

4th Race
Back to the also eligible list for our top pick here, as #14 Turino would be "gran"d if she draws in. That debut was solid from post 10 of 12 hung wide on that big turn while edging toward the winner the length of the stretch. Like our top pick, #8 Pendulum raced well at Kentucky Downs on debut. So well, in fact, that Tyler Gaffalione sees fit to take the mount for trainer Brendan Walsh. Another AE, #13 Sea Dancer, is our third pick. She also happens to be another Kentucky Downs shipper who didn't embarrass herself trying stakes company as a maiden.

PICKS: 14-8-13-6

th Race
You have have noticed in the shipper chart above a gaudy Horse Racing Nation Impact and ROI for Canterbury shippers. They went 1-for-6 opening weekend, but that one was a big one, and put me on notice not to discount the Minnesota expats. #2 Shy Shy has never run a bad race, and after breaking her maiden sprinting on the Canterbury turf, returns to dirt with Tyler Gaffalione picking up the mount for trainer McLean Robertson, who is 22% when saddling a first-time claimer. #7 Adios Muchachas also ships to Keeneland off a turf sprint win at Canterbury. Her number a touch slower than our top pick, but dirt an intriguing switch for owner-trainer Tim Padilla, who is already out on his Adios Charlie filly that he bought for $7,000. #5 Intermittent Fast went gate-to-wire in a five-furlong sprint to break maiden in third career start before failing against stakes foes going 7 furlongs. I just can't use this horse at 5-to-2 (morning line), preferring a little more upside with the lesser knowns.

PICKS: 2-7-4-10 against 5

6th Race
The also eligible tour of top picks continues in race 6 with #15 Work of Fiction, who was left for dead at the break sprinting last out at Kentucky Downs. Now back out to a two-turn mile with Luis Saez returning to the saddle, my biggest fair if drawn in is the outside trip. #11 Star Fortress Has never been shorter than 1 1/4 miles in her career, so who knows what trainer Cherie DeVaux has planned for this one, who gets lasix and some weight relief for her Stateside debut. #6 Whiskey Lullaby is new to the barn of Robertino Diodoro after breaking the maiden for $40k. This is a stern class test, but connections and early pace give some hope.

PICKS: 15-11-6-5-3

7th Race
#5 Inexorable has traded hands in each of his last three races, but trainer Steve Asmussen is keeping him for at least this start, as the frequent claimee lands in a starter allowance with Steve legging up son Keith for the start. Outwork gelding has been on a positive trajectory since breaking maiden via DQ then running off screen in the conditioned claimer last month at Churchill. Best bet of the day at 3-to-1 morning line.

PICKS: 5-1-8-2

8th Race
Nightcap concludes not only the day's proceedings but also the $3 all-turf Pick 3 that began with races 4 & 6. Using both debut runners, as their 5- and 4-star ratings mean they're likely to be underbet--especially given their morning lines, 8-to-1 on #2 Mishka and 12-to-1 on #5 Joyful Image. I do prefer the former even at the shorter morning line price given the dam has two winners from two starters, including a turf winner. Also in the mix for me is #6 Luz Divina, who caught a tough next-out winner when stretching out and now gets Luis Saez.

PICKS: 2-6-5

As for the $3 all-turf Pick 3, it's tough to form a firm approach given our top picks in each of the preceding races are also eligible horses. As of right now, using all "PICKS:" would be $180, but I expect some scratches. Watch this space for the final strategy!

[ConleyPicks]

TOM LEACH KEENELAND

Wednesday, October 11, 2023

A lot of big fields for today's card and it's hard to find singles for multi-race wagers so if you have a strong opinion, take a stand and enjoy the freedom to spread out in other spots. Good luck.

1st Race
1-Sicilian Grandma got crushed last time but this is a tremendously softer spot and if this filly runs back to her previous outing, she'll be tough to beat. 3-Vintage is riding a two-race win streak for the new trainer and could easily win in this spot 2-Lady With a Cause has won on this track and has run well in two starts off a short break.


2nd Race
Thinking we'll see a first-time starter win in this spot as the ones who have started have not shown a lot yet. 11-Mr. Faversham gets the nod for me for drawing Luis Saez in the saddle and a long pattern of workouts. 8-Silent Spectre debuts for a barn that has solid first-out numbers and Gafflione taking the mount is a plus. 9-Khanate caught some good fields in his two races at Saratoga and the Pletcher barn runners have been firing. 3-Stunnem improved in the second start and another step forward would make this one tough.


3rd Race
2-Like a Saltshaker has won three of his last four and the Beyer figure last time was his best yet and he has 10 lifetime wins. 4-Caramel Chip has won nine times and that 94 Beyer figure at Saratoga jumps off the page. 11-Startdfromdabottom jumped up in class last time against much lesser and improved his Beyer fig by eight points, to a level that would be competitive here at a price. 10--Shackleford Strong moves to a new barn and draws Gafflione in the saddle and he's won four in a row.


4th Race
8-Pendulum ran well first time at Kentucky Downs at a time when the outside paths were best and he was inside. I expect him to improve in his second start. 9-Just Prada was bought for $240,000 at a two-year old sale in March and Saez showing up to ride this one makes me think he'll be live for a barn that can certainly with a first-time starter. 12-Carina Nebula just missed in her second start and Prat shows up to ride. 10-Fun Loving caught some tough fields in her first two runs and this might be a softer spot.


5th Race
The late pick 4 starts here on Wednesdays and you'll probably need to use several of these to feel comfortable. I leaned to 6-Go Margie Go because this trainer picks his spots well when shipping here and getting back on the dirt should be the ticket to a reversal of form. It's also noteworthy that the trainer uses his go-to rider. 5-Intermittent Fast found the stakes company too tough last time but a return to the form from two starts back makes her tough to handle. 2-Shy Shy has good speed for connections that do well here. 8-Too Fast for You drops in class and she's working like she's ready to get back to the form we saw in early August.


6th Race
3-Up and Down ran well in the first start for Motion despite some trouble against a salty group at Kentucky Downs. 11-Star Fortress ran decently in group 3 company in Europe and this barn excels with newcomers. 5-Lilac Girl just missed in a race here in the spring so that affinity for this surface makes her a must-use. 2-Grace Darling didn't fire off the layoff but her trainer told us that she needs racing to get fit because she dislikes the main track and for that reason, we expect a much-improved performance today.


7th Race
6-Madison Luvs Duke makes the second start for this barn and comes off a solid third against a tough field at Kentucky Downs. Gafflione taking the mount seals the chance for an upset. 5-Inexorable likely wins with a Beyer figure similar to the last one but that was a big jump and there might be a regression this time. 10-Master Game has six finishes in the top two slots. 2-Fightertown is in top form and is a strong contender, too.


8th Race
My strongest opinion of the day comes in this race--it's 6-Luz Devina who ran second to Buchu, a super-impressive stakes winner here last weekend. "Luz" was four lengths ahead of the third-place finisher that day and gets Saez in the saddle. 8-Auraculous makes her second grass start for a sharp barn and this one improved with the surface switch last time out. Also, the winner of that race came back to finish second in a stake at Santa Anita on Sunday. 2-Mishka merits respect as a first-timer from the Cox barn. 3-Extremely Gruntled could improve with more distance the move to turf.

[ConleyPicks]

ELLIS STARR KEENELAND

Wednesday October 11, 2023
Race 6 at Keeneland
Post Time 3:40 p.m. eastern time
Key Win Contender(s) in preference order with minimum odds for considering win bets:
#11 Star Fortress – minimum win betting odds 3 to 1
#3 Up and Down – minimum win betting odds – 7 to 2
#1 Make the Boys Wink – minimum win betting odds – 7 to 2
Possible exacta bets:
Box 1, 3, 11
1, 3, 11 over 1, 3, 4, 5, 10, 11, 16 (At the $1 minimum per exacta combination, the cost of the bet is $18 if all seven horses run, less if there are scratches. We win if #1, #3 or #11 wins then if any of the other six finish second). The other horses are #4 Clever Joke, #5 Lilac Girl, #10 Sake, #16 Hola Gala
Star Fortune makes her North American debut, having run exclusively in Great Britain until now. Although she has just won win, so do the other 15 entrants in this race. More importantly she’s been facing stakes competition in England, most recently third near the end of July, and this first allowance level is quite a big drop in class so by virtue of that she has an edge. Per a query using the Race Lens program, I discovered that in the pasts five years, horses making their North American debuts in turf routes at Keeneland have won about 20% of the time but most importantly betting on every one of them to win has resulted in a huge 140% profit. Trainer DeVaux is very good, winning 20% of her races this year, and the filly has been in regular training since the end of August so is ready to run her best and that could be good enough to win.
Up and Down won the only time she previously ran on the Keeneland turf, this past spring, at this mile trip. She finished fourth right after that, in a stakes race, then second sprinting on turf, then after two and one-half months off missed by a neck in a big effort last month at Kentucky Downs in a shorter race. Trainer Graham Motion has a strong record stretching horses out on grass and jockey Florent Geroux rides Up and Down again after getting familiar with her so we can expect another top effort.
Make the Boys Wink didn’t do much last month when 11th in the same race Up and Down finished second in but had some traffic trouble which makes it easy to ignore that effort. She was moving up quickly late but pretty much had her momentum stopped in traffic or otherwise might have finished in the top three at least. Prior to that, in a turf route, she won with a visually impressive rally from last of eight and that win came after adding blinkers and could be representative of what she can do in this situation if she has a clean stretch run so she’s definitely a contender for all the marbles.

[ConleyPicks]

KIM NELSON KEENELAND

Wednesday is a great day to enjoy Keeneland. Several salty maiden races and a couple of very competitive turf races fill the 8 race card.

1st Race
#6 Big Java has been popular at the claim box recently and comes in to this one first off the claim. She is fresh and barn has strong percentages with this sort. #5 Vintage looks to be in top form bringing back to back wins. She has speed to gain good early position and could hang on for part. #1 Sicilian Grandma is the early favorite . She is making a significant drop in class off recent form. Top Picks #6, #5 and #1


2nd Race
#2 Wecallemfuncoupons just missed in his debut and expect a sharp effort in his 2nd start. Barn is also adding the blinkers. #3 Stunnem improved in his 2nd start and expect him to move forward again here. The 7 furlongs should suit him. #7 Lead Foot is better than his last effort and could get back on track to land a share. Top Picks #2, #3 and #7


3rd Race
#4 Caramel Chip looks to be the one that could set off the pace and pick up the pieces if the front end starts to back up. He is proven at this distance and won with similar at Keeneland in the spring. #10 Shackleford Strong brings a 4 race win streak and has the early foot to take this field gate to wire. #2 Like a Saltshaker has an early turn of foot as well and like that he keeps his regular jock Chris Emigh in the irons. Top Picks #4, #10 and #2


4th Race
#13 Sea Dancer just missed 2 starts back with a solid bunch of maidens in Saratoga. She turned in an even effort with stakes company in her last at Kentucky Downs and expect her to appreciate the softer company here and the Keeneland lawn. #2 Winsome Beauty improved to finish a close third in her 2nd career start. She brings a bullet work to this event and gets Rosario in the irons. #6 Colonial Rose exits a key race finishing a good 5th behind a very salty bunch of maidens. First time grass for her here and think she will like the added distance. Top Picks #13, #2 and #6


5th Race
#2 Shy Shy finished a close 3rd behind Xtreme Smoke Show who won impressively here over the weekend. She has since broke her maiden and this looks like a good spot to keep her confidence up. #5 Intermittent Fast was a solid maiden winner but didn't fair well with stakes company last out. She has since turned in a sharp work and this level of company should suit her. #7 Adios Muchachas won at first asking and could boost exotics. Top Picks #2, #5 and #7


6th Race
#3 Up and Down just came up a neck short in her last race. She broke her maiden here at Keeneland at this distance on the grass. Look for her to close fast. #9 Beautifulnavigator is making her 3rd start off the layoff and should appreciate the softer company and back up in distance. #5 Lilac Girl should be sharp off her last effort and pose a threat here. Top Picks #3, #9 and #5


7th Race
#5 Inexorable is first off the claim for connections with strong percentages with this type. He boast the best last Beyer Speed figure. #2 Fightertown is another first off the claim and has won his last 2 at the $30K level. He has the early turn of foot to get out on the lead. #3 Sant' Antimo is a consistent performer and just missed with similar last time out. Top Picks #5, #2 and #3


8th Race
#6 Luz Divina has a couple of races under her belt both on the turf. Note she finished 2nd behind Grade 2 Jessimine winner Buchu in her last. #10 Spiritual Lady should be sharp off her last effort and she should appreciate the added distance. #2 Mishka is a firster for the formidable Brad Cox barn. Works are solid. Top Picks #6, #10 and #2

[ConleyPicks]

Thistledown Tip Sheet - October 11

Oct. 10, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 75% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $7,500 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	8	Masterofthehounds	R Bowen
PLACE	5-1	2	Hoppy Gilmore	L R Rivera
SHOW	3-1	5	Powerful Phil	L A Gonzalez
WILD CARD	6-1	3	Weekend Buzz	G Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	7	Spin Doctor	Y Aviles
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	9	Youre My Boy Blue	F Salazar Becerra
* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #2 $25,600 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 BEAT THE DEALER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1	Beat the Dealer	R Bowen
PLACE	3-1	2	Speedy Mobile	L R Rivera
SHOW	9-5	5	Dr. Zarnett	G Rodriguez
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Rosco P. Coltrane	L A Batista
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Chocolate Philling	M Cedillo
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
RACE #3 $33,900 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	After Sunrise	M Cedillo
PLACE	7-2	3	Vecchi	J A Bracho
SHOW	4-1	5	Counteveryblessing	E Paucar
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Dreamingabouttime	J Panaijo
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Guess Again	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	One Step Aside	V Severino
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #4 $29,700 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 TYRONA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	3	Tyrona	L A Gonzalez
PLACE	4-1	6	Dot Marie	Y Aviles
SHOW	9-2	5	Alsanah	L R Rivera
WILD CARD	5-2	4	Zip Code Envy	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	2	Datttsafancyfox	G Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	1	Jacks Yacht Queen	J S Toledo
* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
RACE #5 $33,900 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	6	Saltmakeshersweet	L R Rivera
PLACE	3-1	2	Flame for Real	Y Aviles
SHOW	8-1	5	Kiss Me Quick	E Barbaran
WILD CARD	2-1	1	Compute This	C Keiser
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	4	Snowbird	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Curlin Pearls	G Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
RACE #6 $25,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	1	Panamaniac	L A Gonzalez
PLACE	9-5	3	Aujara	F Salazar Becerra
SHOW	10-1	2	Lionistic	L R Rivera
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Cliftons Ballerina	J S Toledo
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Status Symbol	Y Aviles
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Lexy Anna	L A Batista
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #7 $5,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 LITTLE BIRD FLASH
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	4	Little Bird Flash	E Paucar
PLACE	8-1	3	J Ps Gladys	F Salazar Becerra
SHOW	7-2	6	Kay Bee Gee	H L Rosario Jr.
WILD CARD	2-1	5	Adulting	J S Toledo
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Designate	T D Houghton
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Lady Leah	R Diaz
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #8 $33,900 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	1	El Sordo	A Hernandez-Lopez
PLACE	5-2	3	Harsh Truth	G Rodriguez
SHOW	6-1	5	Rouge Tu Riches	L A Batista
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Showtime Boy	Y Aviles
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Ippolitos Wonder	F Salazar Becerra
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	2	Milagro de Jovanni	D J Haldar
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Keeneland Tip Sheet - October 11

Oct. 10, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $20,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	2	Lady With a Cause	E Morales
PLACE	3-1	5	Vintage	R Gutierrez
SHOW	6-5	1	Sicilian Grandma	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Big Java	K J Asmussen
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	8	Rock the Nile	J Gilligan
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Spiritcatcher	W A Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #2 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	2	Wecallemfuncoupons	J R Leparoux
PLACE	6-1	4	Tiz My Hero	C J Lanerie
SHOW	7-2	3	Stunnem	B J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD	8-1	9	Khanate	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	7	Lead Foot	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	16	We Miss Arlington	J Loveberry
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX
RACE #3 $44,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 CARAMEL CHIP
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Caramel Chip	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	2-1	2	Like a Saltshaker	C A Emigh
SHOW	8-1	5	One Cool Dude	M Michel
WILD CARD	12-1	11	Startdfromdabottom	E Morales
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	10	Shackleford Strong	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Caseys Memory	R Gutierrez
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/5/11 BOX
RACE #4 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	13	Sea Dancer	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	9-2	14	Turino	A Beschizza
SHOW	4-1	6	Colonial Rose	J R Leparoux
WILD CARD	7-2	8	Pendulum	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	12	Carina Nebula	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	7	Purr Factor	C A Torres
* EXACTA: 13-14 BOX, 14-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/13/14 BOX, 6/8/14 BOX
RACE #5 $40,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Intermittent Fast	T Heard
PLACE	12-1	7	Adios Muchachas	A Quinonez
SHOW	7-2	2	Shy Shy	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	12-1	4	Stealthespotlight	C A Torres
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	9	Afterneath	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Back On Track	W A Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
RACE #6 $110,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Up and Down	F Geroux
PLACE	6-1	15	Work of Fiction	L Saez
SHOW	5-1	5	Lilac Girl	L Saez
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Make the Boys Wink	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	9	Beautifulnavigator	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	16	Hola Gata	T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 3-15 BOX, 15-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/15 BOX, 1/5/15 BOX
RACE #7 $52,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	10-1	10	Master Game	J Graham
PLACE	3-1	5	Inexorable	K J Asmussen
SHOW	9-2	8	Sant Antimo	C J Lanerie
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Madison Luvs Duke	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	2	Fightertown	J Gilligan
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	11	Dog Red	L Saez
* EXACTA: 10-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/10 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
RACE #8 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 LUZ DIVINA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	6	Luz Divina	L Saez
PLACE	9-2	8	Auraculous	C A Torres
SHOW	8-1	15	Savannamarie	L Saez
WILD CARD	3-1	10	Spiritual Lady	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Mishka	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Cairo Street	C Landeros
* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-15 BOX, 15-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/8/15 BOX, 8/10/15 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - October 11

Oct. 10, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	1	Dixie Rag	J D Ramos
PLACE	7-2	4	El Kown	F De La Cruz
SHOW	5-1	7	Art Queen	G Saez
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Devil	R A Prescott
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	9	L. A. Woman	M Pedroza Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Holiday Road	A Centeno
* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
RACE #2 $43,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	1	Spotonjustice	A P Ulloa
PLACE	9-2	7	Commando Joe	R A Prescott
SHOW	7-2	2	Good Forever	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	12-1	3	Caboose	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Butchs Best	G Saez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	One Way Ray	A Centeno
* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
RACE #3 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 SMOKIN HOT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Smokin Hot	E Esquivel
PLACE	5-1	3	Jura	T Heard
SHOW	9-2	7	One Lucky Day	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	8-1	8	El Rayo	A Centeno
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Liam the Brave	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	Get Through	G Saez
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
RACE #4 $42,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	2	Whosforjustice	F De La Cruz
PLACE	3-1	1	Jova	M Burnham
SHOW	4-1	3	C. Js Storm	A Burgos
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Classic Max	G Terraza
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Stop Hammertime	E Esquivel
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Spoke	S E Bermudez
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
RACE #5 $20,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Azurita	E Esquivel
PLACE	7-2	1	First Kitten	A Centeno
SHOW	12-1	8	Believing	P W Ouzts
WILD CARD	10-1	2	Je Suis Belle	J Morales
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	5	Keen Ice Sight	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	12	Mabee Luckynwild	C J Hernandez
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
RACE #6 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	1	Specialty Act	J D Ramos
PLACE	9-2	12	Cowboy Justice	E E Perez
SHOW	3-1	7	Andele Andele	H Leahey
WILD CARD	8-1	4	Greewhiz	M Pedroza Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	13	My Names Jeff	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Tremor	R A Prescott
* EXACTA: 1-12 BOX, 12-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/12 BOX, 4/7/12 BOX
RACE #7 $36,000 ALLOWANCE 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:36 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	20-1	7	Granato	J D Ramos
PLACE	5-2	2	Star Wisher	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	5-2	3	Designed by Kitten	M Chuan
WILD CARD	6-1	8	More Than a Diva	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	12	La V.	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	5	Buttons	E Esquivel
* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:07 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	1-1	3	Ekati Flatter	S E Bermudez
PLACE	5-2	7	Imagine the Moon	O Mojica
SHOW	12-1	2	Wildcatjustice	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	15-1	5	Itzforever	M Pedroza Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	8	Tizzy Jojo	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	9	Here Kitty Kitty	E E Perez
* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:38 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 DOUBLEDOGJUSTICE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	2	Doubledogjustice	F De La Cruz
PLACE	9-2	4	Juancho	E Esquivel
SHOW	4-1	5	Daykra	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	12-1	8	Last Outlaw	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Rock the Red	E E Perez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Highest Memories	M Pedroza Jr.
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
RACE #10 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:09 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	6	Cats by Five	J D Ramos
PLACE	9-2	5	Aztecas Gold	R A Prescott
SHOW	12-1	10	My Man Freddy	V Bush
WILD CARD	20-1	3	Factor the Odds	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	9	Drive Train	A Centeno
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 3/5/10 BOX
RACE #11 $84,100 STAKES 400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:37 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	10	Carters Law	A Hunt
PLACE	3-1	2	Mr Michel	E Diaz
SHOW	4-1	1	Stone Lake	L D Martinez
WILD CARD	7-2	8	Hh C J Shake	E N Esqueda
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	High Rolling Seize	S Jackson
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Hooked On Jordan	I Banuelos
* EXACTA: 10-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/10 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
RACE #12 $124,300 STAKES 400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:05 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 TACHAS SECRET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	3	Tachas Secret	F Morin
PLACE	5-1	10	Seize Greatness	S Jackson
SHOW	7-2	7	Sundays Best	G Vazquez-Gomez
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Cv Struttinforakiss	E Diaz
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	8	Streakindownthebeach	R D Pina
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Royal Sin	I Banuelos
* EXACTA: 3-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/10 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX