Monday 11/6/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Zia Park

PURCHASE

Zia Park - Race 9	$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Half Late $1 Daily Double 2nd Leg Pick 3/ 3rd Leg Pick 4 / 4th Leg Pick 5
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $65,000 • Post: 3:49P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 6, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HIGHEST EARNINGS 2023).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CITYONTHENILE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FLYIN FALYNN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CITYONTHE NILE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CHARLEE MAE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is wit hin half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). RANEEM: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/sur face.
6	FLYIN FALYNN	9/5	9/2
1	CITYONTHENILE	8/1	6/1
2	CHARLEE MAE	7/2	8/1
3	RANEEM	3/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	CITYONTHENILE	1	8/1	Front-runner	86	73	77.8	73.0	66.5
6	FLYIN FALYNN	6	9/5	Stalker	86	91	68.2	89.6	87.1
2	CHARLEE MAE	2	7/2	Stalker	86	88	63.2	77.0	66.5
7	GEMSTONE GAL	7	5/1	Stalker	87	77	56.4	73.8	65.3
4	STACI'S RED DRESS	4	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	82	49.4	70.2	60.2
3	RANEEM	3	3/1	Trailer	86	80	45.4	80.6	76.1
5	DANNYBOB	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	88	76	79.5	66.8	55.3

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers DownsPURCHASE

Will Rogers Downs - Race 3	$2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta / $2 Daily Double (.50) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 86 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 12:50
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO-YEAR-OLD COLTS AND GELDINGS WHICH WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THESE TRIALS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. FINALISTS MUST PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL NEGATIVE HAIR TEST PRIOR TO ENTERING IN THE FINAL.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MYSTIC PAINT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. KAMS RELENTLESS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RELENTLESSLY FAST: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
4	MYSTIC PAINT	5/2	9/2
3	KAMS RELENTLESS	2/1	9/2
2	RELENTLESSLY FAST	7/2	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SS CANT TOUCH THIS	1	8/1	Average	74	68	3.9	0.0	0.0
2	RELENTLESSLY FAST	2	7/2	Fast	80	74	3.0	0.0	0.0
3	KAMS RELENTLESS	3	2/1	Fast	86	81	2.1	0.0	0.0
4	MYSTIC PAINT	4	5/2	Average	87	81	3.8	0.0	0.0
5	EASY OFF N ON	5	20/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	7.8	0.0	0.0
6	KG SEE IF I CARE	6	4/1	Fast	72	64	3.2	0.0	0.0
7	JESS A SMARTY PANTS	7	20/1	Slow	65	56	6.1	0.0	0.0

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $12600 Class Rating: 69

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 COLOR COMMISH 1/1
# 5 SHE SPEAKS WELL 5/1
# 1 NEMO'S FORTUNE 9/2

COLOR COMMISH is my choice. Shows reliable speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses in this race. Englehart has a very strong win percent with horses moving in dirt route races. Has been running admirably lately and ought to be on the lead early on.SHE SPEAKS WELL - Bettors get an edge when playing this conditioner in a dirt route race. Has to be given consideration in this event if only for the competitive speed figure recorded in the last contest. NEMO'S FORTUNE - Is worth serious consideration and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figs (50 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Wagerers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 1:53pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating:

#7 PORSUPUESTO (ML=9/2)


PORSUPUESTO - This gelding is most likely the strongest stretch runner in the field. Outside the top 3 finish last out at Parx Racing was better than it looked on paper. He improved position in the stretch and never gave up.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS (ML=3/1), #2 LORD UHTRED (ML=7/2), #5 STEELY DANZA (ML=4/1),

GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS - Doesn't appear to be in a strong spot in today's event. LORD UHTRED - This entrant likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually win. Leave out of the top spot. STEELY DANZA - This horse doesn't have a champion's state of mind. Always finishes in the place and show hole. Notched a run-of-the-mill fig last out in a $7,500 Claiming race on Oct 25th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 PORSUPUESTO to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21600 Class Rating: 74

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 WILDCAT BILL 3/1
# 6 STUNT MAN 6/1
# 3 SURROUNDER 7/2

I think WILDCAT BILL is a strong choice. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Radosevich running at this distance are the most respectable in this field. Must be carefully examined - I like the numbers from the last affair. Has performed solidly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 59 avg speed figure. STUNT MAN - He has to be considered given the competitive speed numbers. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this field. SURROUNDER - Is a solid choice - given the 68 speed figure from his most recent race. Hard to pass on this gelding with Bowen in the irons.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,700 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#2 MY WROTE (ML=8/1)
#5 GAMING SOUL (ML=3/1)
#10 SENSE OF GOLDEN (ML=20/1)


MY WROTE - Based on drills, I look for this gelding to run a big race. This gelding's last speed rating notched on August 28th is tops in last race Equibase speed figs. GAMING SOUL - I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class rating pts like this one did last race out. I believe he'll be competitive at this class level. This horse is uppermost in earnings per start. He looks sharp in today's race. SENSE OF GOLDEN - Has happened upon a great spot this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ELEGGUA (ML=9/2), #4 TRUST FUND ROBBER (ML=5/1), #6 BAYTOWN BEAVER (ML=6/1),

ELEGGUA - Hasn't been close to winning at all of late. TRUST FUND ROBBER - Really had to give me lots more last time around the track. Never made much of an impact. BAYTOWN BEAVER - 6/1 odds isn't enough for this thoroughbred when checking the most recent efforts. Don't think this mount will make an impact in today's race. That last fig was mediocre when compared with today's class figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #2 MY WROTE to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 8	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $11,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up •CR: 81 • Purse: $17,600 • Post: 3:31P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1, 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $9,000 2 LBS. (RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Class. MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface. CAN'T BEAT ME: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NUTSIE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Tr ackMaster Power Rating. DROSEL DIEM: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
6	MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI)	8/5	3/1
9	CAN'T BEAT ME	4/1	8/1
8	NUTSIE	6/1	9/1
2	DROSEL DIEM	12/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	DROSEL DIEM	2	12/1	Front-runner	82	76	79.6	65.2	53.7
4	CAPE COD GEM	4	10/1	Front-runner	77	71	78.4	64.4	49.4
5	BOWING SNOWMAN	5	8/1	Front-runner	76	65	57.2	65.2	51.7
1	DEVIOUS MO	1	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	75	76	71.4	68.8	61.8
6	MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI)	6	8/5	Stalker	97	93	88.6	87.0	85.0
9	CAN'T BEAT ME	9	4/1	Trailer	85	79	54.6	79.0	74.5
8	NUTSIE	8	6/1	Trailer	83	79	28.6	78.0	72.0
7	HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE	7	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	71	55.0	63.0	50.0
3	QUAD PARTY	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	65	32.6	60.4	43.4

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 89

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR OKLAHOMA-BRED THREE-YEAR-OLDS THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THESE TRIALS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS FINALISTS MUST PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL NEGATIVE HAIR TEST PRIOR TO ENTERING IN THE FINAL.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 JC BLACK MAMBA 8/5
# 5 ROCK ON 3/1
# 9 RELENTLESS OKIE 7/2

I think JC BLACK MAMBA is a quite good choice. Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Melton running at this distance are the most competitive in this group. Melton has her trained solidly to break promptly out of the gate. ROCK ON - Ran a strong last race. Could provide positive returns based on solid recent Speed Figures with an average of 76. RELENTLESS OKIE - Olmstead has this gelding travelling well and is a very good selection based on the solid speed figs earned in short races as of late. Strong rider with conditioner figures make this horse a strong pick.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cumberland Run

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Post: 2:12 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$17000 - NW $4,000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 4 PD THE BIG EASY 2/1
# 1 WONDER OF LOVE 9/2
# 2 MCTHRILLER 5/1

The play today is PD THE BIG EASY. Might be there at a nice price tag. Unquestionably one to keep in your exotics. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 86 speed rating. A very nice class horse shouldn't be be passed over. With an avg class figure of 87 all signs look good for this one. WONDER OF LOVE - Drawing the 1 post at this track has lead to a well above average win pct. Has the perfect running style to take this group, according to the pace numbers. MCTHRILLER - It's somewhat risky to consider based only on class, but this gelding has among the strongest class ratings of the pack. Composite pace figures say this race should shape up nicely for this gelding. Looking for a big effort.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 9
1	1	SIP AND A BITE	4/1	Sugg, Kurt - 9	503.63
6	6	MAXDADDY BLUE CHIP	5/2	Davis, Billy Jr - 16	490.08
2	2	BE A LUCKY STAR	4/1	Stahl, Ryan - 10	482.20
3	3	CAPTAIN BUTLER	4/1	Myers, Hunter - 14	478.57
7	7	MCWIZ	7/1	Merriman, Aaron - 24	467.50
4	4	ROSE RUN WALKER	25/1	Lems, Chris - 11	444.19
5	5	HARDT HERO	15/1	Tharps, Eric Jr - 9	437.53
8	8	CURRENT YANKEE	25/1	Day, James - 4	414.43
9	9	PET MY ROCK	25/1	Rhoades, Braiden - 0	395.80

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 10
3	3	MISS BRICKLEY	4/1	Dobson, Billy - 13	453.22
7	7	RUMORED	3/1	Long, Chris - 10	393.99
2	2	ROCKIN LAZARUS	10/1	Mcneight, James Jr - 13	390.79
1	1	MISS COUNTOUR	5/2	Hennessey, Wally - 17	386.93
8	8	HUNTS FLOWER	8/1	Devaux, Jim - 19	375.20
5	5	STONECOLD GIRL	9/2	Cross, Brian - 6	361.25
4	4	CRAZY COOL	12/1	Fluet, Phil - 10	342.19
6	6	SILVER APACHE	6/1	Rybka, Steven - 6	326.43

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Post: 9:38 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$12000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 TO $16,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 ROYAL REGATTA 7/2
# 10 BLAKESAGENT 2/1
# 6 MACH ART IN MOTION 6/1

If you want a nice play in this contest, feast your eyes on ROYAL REGATTA. Have good feelings this one might take in this one. With a really strong 71 TrackMaster SR last time out, will very likely be a factor in this race. Post 5 has been winning at a better than expected rate, suggesting respectable probability of success in this contest. BLAKESAGENT - This harness racer looks tough. Check out the 80 average speed rating. If effort in the most recent contest is representative, this standardbred will have a very really good shot in this race. High last race speed rating. MACH ART IN MOTION - Starters win from this hole at Woodbine Mohawk Park with better than average regularity, suggesting this magnificent wager.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 13 - Post: 8:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$13500 - CLAIMING PRICE $17,500 NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER BALLY`S DOVER DRIVER CHOICES: COREY CALLAHAN 3 OVER 6

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 2 CNTNOBDYTELMENOTHN 9/2
# 4 ALL HANDS ON DECK 8/1
# 3 HUNDIE N 7/2

After thorough analysis by the consortium, CNTNOBDYTELMENOTHN comes out as the top choice. This nice horse will have to be a wager, based on the great driver-trainer win percentage. ALL HANDS ON DECK - The consortium will always toss in a interesting entrant from the 4 hole here at Dover Downs, keep in mind for your exotics. The panel of smart guys knows that speed is the key in harness racing. This nice horse will unlock our way to a nice win. HUNDIE N - Has a sharp shot in here, if he can perform to his back class. With a terrific driver, who has won at a really strong 24 percent rate this last month, this has to be one of the best picks.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 10
5	5	WARRAWEE XENIA	5/1	Mcclure, Bob - 14	652.60
7	7	AMIGO VOLO	2/1	Mcnair, Douglas R - 18	647.44
6	6	PATRIARCH HANOVER	10/1	Jones, Tyler S - 7	619.65
8	8	PEMBERTON	7/2	Henry, Trevor S - 11	612.60
1	1	ONEY HALL	9/2	Macdonald, James A - 21	599.19
2	2	FLEURIE	6/1	Filion, Sylvain R - 13	569.91
3	3	TRUFFLES TOO	10/1	Roy, Louis-Philippe - 17	559.14
4	4	WHITE TIGER	8/1	Young, Scott R - 8	548.39